Vanga
News 2026-04-07T15:05:12.576906+00:00
ML 2026-04-07T15:05:10.333086+00:00
Decision 2026-04-08T07:01:59.319459+00:00

Logs & Traces

Operational brain of the system ? inspect traces, step timelines, refs, and grouped errors quickly.

Traces

Recent operational runs
last 100 traces
100
loaded into current page

Errors

Grouped inbox
error groups
3
grouped by node / name

Steps

Timeline details
selected trace steps
0
inputs / outputs / refs drill-down

Artifacts

Refs behind the trace
selected trace artifacts
9
clickable refs / raw JSON

Traces list

Last traces with duration, status, error and quick filter
Trace ID Started Duration Status Error Actions
2026-04-08T07:33:12.500347+00:00 2741 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:33:12.498166+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:32:57.497951+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T07:32:42.499325+00:00 2724 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:32:12.499049+00:00 3023 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:32:12.497297+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:32:12.497262+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:31:42.498830+00:00 3003 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:31:27.497834+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:31:12.502714+00:00 2644 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:31:12.498750+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:30:42.498366+00:00 2935 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:30:42.496559+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:30:12.500703+00:00 2523 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:30:12.498847+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:29:57.496925+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:29:42.498669+00:00 2703 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:29:12.500620+00:00 3614 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:29:12.498175+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:29:12.498151+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:28:42.498970+00:00 2737 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:28:27.497809+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:28:12.499488+00:00 2532 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:28:12.497340+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:27:42.498882+00:00 2651 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:27:42.496737+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:27:12.500399+00:00 2810 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:27:12.498038+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:26:57.498147+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:26:42.500083+00:00 2521 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:26:14.824675+00:00 2811 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:26:12.501181+00:00 35 ms error
?
2026-04-08T07:26:12.498078+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:26:12.498064+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:25:42.499039+00:00 2715 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:25:27.496866+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:25:12.502121+00:00 4019 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:25:12.499338+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:24:42.499777+00:00 2689 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:24:42.497332+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:24:12.499862+00:00 2691 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:24:12.497540+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:23:57.497141+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:23:42.498370+00:00 2524 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:23:12.500794+00:00 2950 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:23:12.498428+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:23:12.498411+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:22:42.498266+00:00 2646 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:22:27.496439+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:22:12.499247+00:00 2489 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:22:12.497216+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:21:42.500028+00:00 3502 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:21:42.497143+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:21:21.346673+00:00 294 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:21:21.029619+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:21:12.501020+00:00 2490 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:21:12.498553+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:20:57.496954+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:20:42.498963+00:00 2713 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:20:12.522536+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:20:12.520671+00:00 2702 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:20:12.520613+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:19:42.499173+00:00 3150 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:19:27.497458+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:19:12.500815+00:00 2615 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:19:12.498347+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:18:42.498899+00:00 2778 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:18:42.496991+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:18:12.498790+00:00 3056 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:18:12.497003+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:17:57.496682+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:17:42.498647+00:00 2724 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:17:12.501170+00:00 2525 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:17:12.499470+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:17:12.499318+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:16:42.498850+00:00 3218 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:16:27.496783+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:16:12.499855+00:00 2800 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:16:12.498272+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:15:42.498742+00:00 2729 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:15:42.496553+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:15:12.502982+00:00 3404 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:15:12.500017+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:14:57.497063+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:14:42.498607+00:00 13790 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:14:12.500626+00:00 2860 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:14:12.497962+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:14:12.497953+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:13:42.497868+00:00 3660 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:13:27.497352+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:13:12.500032+00:00 2582 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:13:12.497682+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:12:42.498882+00:00 2664 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:12:42.497140+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:12:12.499514+00:00 4156 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:12:12.497497+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:11:57.497253+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T07:11:42.499122+00:00 2495 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:11:12.501251+00:00 2849 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T07:11:12.498134+00:00 ? ok
?

Trace artifacts / refs

refs_json links and artifact drill-down
Kind Created Ref Actions
autotrade.status 2026-04-08T06:02:13.102883+00:00 artifact://24854
autotrade.execution.result 2026-04-08T06:02:12.817839+00:00 artifact://24853
trade.attribution 2026-04-08T06:02:12.816043+00:00 artifact://24852
trade.result 2026-04-08T06:02:12.812894+00:00 artifact://24851
autotrade.gate.summary 2026-04-08T06:02:12.811122+00:00 artifact://24850
autotrade.gate.result 2026-04-08T06:02:12.807736+00:00 artifact://24849
trade.intent 2026-04-08T06:02:12.516837+00:00 artifact://24848
autotrade.decision.bundle 2026-04-08T06:02:12.512229+00:00 artifact://24847
autotrade.status 2026-04-08T06:02:12.498630+00:00 artifact://24843

Error inbox

Latest errors grouped by node / name
tools_3
2026-04-08T07:00:26.132519+00:00
41 errors
Server error '502 Bad Gateway' for url 'https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10&file_type=json&api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d' For more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/502
ccxt
2026-04-08T07:26:12.501181+00:00
2 errors
binance GET https://api.binance.com/api/v3/exchangeInfo
/traces/{trace_id}
2026-04-07T21:53:11.158522+00:00
2 errors
404: trace not found

Error count per hour

Operational pressure snapshot
2026-04-07T15:00:00
1
2026-04-07T16:00:00
1
2026-04-07T17:00:00
4
2026-04-07T18:00:00
2
2026-04-07T19:00:00
1
2026-04-07T20:00:00
1
2026-04-07T21:00:00
3
2026-04-07T22:00:00
3
2026-04-07T23:00:00
3
2026-04-08T00:00:00
4
2026-04-08T01:00:00
1
2026-04-08T02:00:00
1
2026-04-08T03:00:00
1
2026-04-08T04:00:00
3
2026-04-08T05:00:00
6
2026-04-08T06:00:00
3
2026-04-08T07:00:00
7

Raw payload preview

Debug view for the page payload
Open raw JSON
{
  "artifacts": [
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-08T06:02:13.102883+00:00",
      "id": 24854,
      "kind": "autotrade.status",
      "payload": {
        "dry_run": false,
        "enabled": true,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "exchange_balance_summary": {
          "balances": {},
          "error": "AuthenticationError: binanceusdm {\"code\":-2008,\"msg\":\"Invalid Api-Key ID.\"}",
          "exchange": "binance",
          "market_type": "unknown",
          "ok": false,
          "raw": null,
          "sandbox": true
        },
        "execution_mode": "sandbox",
        "exposure_limit": 1000.0,
        "kill_switch": false,
        "last_amount": null,
        "last_error": null,
        "last_gate_decision": "allowed",
        "last_gate_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action:unknown",
        "last_order_id": null,
        "last_price": null,
        "last_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action",
        "last_status": "skipped",
        "liquidity_gate": "required",
        "local_balance": 0.0,
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "position_limit": 250.0,
        "same_candle_bucket": "1h:1775628000",
        "sandbox": true,
        "source": "services.autotrade.runner",
        "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
        "timeframe": "1h",
        "trace_id": "08035a6f23f247f6a3cb5b494bc71eb7",
        "ts": "2026-04-08T06:02:13.101530+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://24854",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "08035a6f23f247f6a3cb5b494bc71eb7"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-08T06:02:12.817839+00:00",
      "id": 24853,
      "kind": "autotrade.execution.result",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "base_qty": null,
        "confidence": 0.2,
        "decision_ref": "artifact://24847",
        "dry_run": false,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": "None",
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": "None",
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "gate": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "blockers": [
            {
              "code": "strategy.non_executable_action",
              "group": "strategy",
              "value": "unknown"
            },
            {
              "code": "strategy.non_executable_side",
              "group": "strategy",
              "value": "none"
            },
            {
              "code": "confidence.below_threshold",
              "group": "confidence",
              "threshold": 0.48,
              "value": 0.2
            },
            {
              "code": "confidence.below_no_llm_threshold",
              "group": "confidence",
              "mode": "deterministic_fallback",
              "threshold": 0.45,
              "value": 0.2
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.trade_intent_autotrade_unsafe",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": false
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.pipeline_degraded",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "degraded"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.llm_status_not_ok",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "exception"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.bundle_pipeline_degraded",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "degraded"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.meta_filter_skip",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": 0.0
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.2,
          "decision": "allowed",
          "decision_label": "allowed",
          "exchange": "binance",
          "gate_level": "micro_auto",
          "guards": {
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "inputs": {
            "action": "unknown",
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "side": "none",
            "signal": {
              "action_after_risk": "hold",
              "action_before_risk": "hold",
              "asset": null,
              "bearish_contributors": [
                "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
              ],
              "blocked_by": [],
              "blockers": [],
              "bullish_contributors": [
                "onchain:bullish:+0.278",
                "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended",
                "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b",
                "onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:4.2% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
              ],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.17482422623551697,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.1932684816695106,
              "decision_state": "conflicting_signal",
              "degraded_sources": [],
              "evidence_pack": {
                "bearish_contributors": [
                  "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
                ],
                "bullish_contributors": [
                  "onchain:bullish:+0.278",
                  "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended",
                  "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b",
                  "onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:4.2% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
                ],
                "degraded_sources": [],
                "evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.278, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b, onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:4.2% \u2014 mild broad market strength | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a",
                "neutral_contributors": [
                  "strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
                ],
                "override_explanation": null
              },
              "hold_cause": "conflicting_signal",
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "meta_decision": {
                "action": "paper_only",
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.2,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "edge_score": 0.1256,
                "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
                "execution_vote": "allow",
                "expected_value_score": 0.103,
                "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
                "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
                "reason_codes": [
                  "ml_trust_low"
                ],
                "refs_used": [],
                "risk_vote": "allow",
                "should_trade": false,
                "signal": {
                  "calibration_score": null,
                  "drift_detected": false,
                  "health_state": "unknown",
                  "ml_trust": 0.0,
                  "synthetic_price": true,
                  "trend_direction": "flat"
                },
                "size_multiplier": 0.0,
                "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
                "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
              },
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "preferred_action": "hold",
              "price_agent": {
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.25,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "expected_close": 71716.49,
                "expected_high": 72577.08788,
                "expected_low": 70855.89212,
                "expected_move_pct": 0.0,
                "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
                "horizon": "1h",
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "path_shape": "chop",
                "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                "price_range_68": {
                  "high": 72577.08788,
                  "low": 70855.89212
                },
                "price_range_95": {
                  "high": 73351.625972,
                  "low": 70081.354028
                },
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
                "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
                "refs_used": [],
                "signal": {
                  "ml_score": 0.0,
                  "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.012
                },
                "sl_hard": 70817.1652154,
                "sl_soft": 71286.19106000001,
                "tp1": 72146.78894,
                "tp2": 72534.05798600001
              },
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5074121131177585,
              "risk_impact": {
                "action_after_risk": "hold",
                "action_before_risk": "hold",
                "blocked_by": [],
                "confidence_after_risk": 0.17482422623551697,
                "confidence_before_risk": 0.1932684816695106,
                "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
                "overrides": [
                  "allow"
                ],
                "size_modifier": 1.0
              },
              "risk_ok": true,
              "risk_overrides": [
                "allow"
              ],
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.1932684816695106,
              "trend_agent": {
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.22,
                "continuation_probability": 0.42,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "evidence": [
                  "market.momentum",
                  "ml.directional_bias"
                ],
                "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
                "invalidators": [
                  "momentum_flip",
                  "range_break_against_direction"
                ],
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
                "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
                "refs_used": [],
                "reversal_probability": 0.58,
                "signal": {
                  "ml_direction": "neutral",
                  "momentum": 0.0
                },
                "trend_direction": "flat",
                "trend_horizon": "intraday",
                "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
                "trend_strength": 0.0
              }
            },
            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "entry_type": null,
              "price": null,
              "quote_notional": null
            }
          },
          "ok": true,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "policy": {
            "buy_confidence_min": 0.52,
            "deterministic_fallback": true,
            "dry_run": false,
            "enabled": true,
            "kill_switch": false,
            "min_confidence": 0.48,
            "min_confidence_no_llm": 0.45,
            "profile": "derivatives_long_short_combat",
            "sandbox": true,
            "sandbox_only": true,
            "sell_confidence_min": 0.36,
            "sell_risk_off_confidence_min": 0.32
          },
          "quality": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "calibration_score": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "drift_detected": false,
            "health_state": "unknown",
            "is_reduce_only": false,
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "pipeline_quality": "degraded",
            "source_quality_score": 0.64
          },
          "reasons": [
            "strategy.non_executable_action:unknown",
            "strategy.non_executable_side:none",
            "confidence.below_threshold:0.2000\u003c0.4800",
            "confidence.below_no_llm_threshold:0.2000\u003c0.4500",
            "quality.trade_intent_autotrade_unsafe",
            "quality.pipeline_degraded",
            "quality.llm_status_not_ok_degraded_det:exception",
            "quality.bundle_pipeline_degraded",
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            "gate.recovered_micro_auto_with_soft_blockers"
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          "factors": {
            "hard_blockers": [
              "execution_context_missing"
            ]
          },
          "hard_blocked": true,
          "health_policy_route": "block",
          "reason": "qualifier.hard_gate_blocked",
          "reason_codes": [
            "execution_context_missing"
          ],
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
          "trade_quality_class": "block",
          "trade_quality_score": 0.0
        },
        "ts": "2026-04-08T06:02:12.806377+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://24849",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "08035a6f23f247f6a3cb5b494bc71eb7"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-08T06:02:12.516837+00:00",
      "id": 24848,
      "kind": "trade.intent",
      "payload": {
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        "base_qty": null,
        "confidence": 0.2,
        "decision_ref": "artifact://24847",
        "dry_run": false,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": "None",
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": "None",
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "price": null,
        "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
        "sandbox": true,
        "side": "None",
        "size": null,
        "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
        "timeframe": "1h",
        "trace_id": "08035a6f23f247f6a3cb5b494bc71eb7",
        "trade": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.2,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "disagreement_score": 0.0,
          "entry": {
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            "execution_style": null,
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "price": null,
            "slices": null,
            "type": null
          },
          "guards": {
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "health": {
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            "degraded_sources": [
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              "trading",
              "supervisor",
              "risk"
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            "drift_detected": false,
            "health_state": "unknown",
            "ml_trust_score": null,
            "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
          },
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
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            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1256,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.103,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
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              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
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          "quality": "degraded",
          "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
          "reason_codes": [
            "ml_trust_low"
          ],
          "reduce_only": false,
          "risk": {
            "cancel_after_sec": null,
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
            "take_profit": null,
            "time_in_force": "GTC"
          },
          "side": "None",
          "signal": {
            "calibration_score": null,
            "candidate_models": null,
            "ensemble_weights": null,
            "exit_policy": null,
            "model": null,
            "model_runtime_score": null,
            "model_selection_score": null,
            "quality_score": null,
            "realized_vol_short": null,
            "regime": {
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              "regime_factors": null,
              "regime_label": null
            },
            "threshold_used": null
          },
          "size": {
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            "dynamic_sizing": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "quote_notional": null,
            "size_multiplier": null
          },
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
          "source_quality_score": 0.64,
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "trade_class": "paper_only"
        },
        "trade_intent": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.2,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "disagreement_score": 0.0,
          "entry": {
            "aggressiveness": "neutral",
            "execution_style": null,
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "price": null,
            "slices": null,
            "type": null
          },
          "guards": {
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "health": {
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            "degraded_sources": [
              "strategy",
              "trading",
              "supervisor",
              "risk"
            ],
            "drift_detected": false,
            "health_state": "unknown",
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            "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
          },
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1256,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.103,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "needs_manual_review": false,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
          "reason_codes": [
            "ml_trust_low"
          ],
          "reduce_only": false,
          "risk": {
            "cancel_after_sec": null,
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
            "take_profit": null,
            "time_in_force": "GTC"
          },
          "side": "None",
          "signal": {
            "calibration_score": null,
            "candidate_models": null,
            "ensemble_weights": null,
            "exit_policy": null,
            "model": null,
            "model_runtime_score": null,
            "model_selection_score": null,
            "quality_score": null,
            "realized_vol_short": null,
            "regime": {
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              "regime_factors": null,
              "regime_label": null
            },
            "threshold_used": null
          },
          "size": {
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            "dynamic_sizing": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "quote_notional": null,
            "size_multiplier": null
          },
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
          "source_quality_score": 0.64,
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "trade_class": "paper_only"
        },
        "ts": "2026-04-08T06:02:12.516203+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://24848",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "08035a6f23f247f6a3cb5b494bc71eb7"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-08T06:02:12.512229+00:00",
      "id": 24847,
      "kind": "autotrade.decision.bundle",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://24550",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://24561",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5146699355253707,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08810691259060971
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.1256,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.103,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://24712",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal",
              "market_cap_rise:4.2% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6756,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.278). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal; market_cap_rise:4.2% \u2014 mild broad market strength. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://24681",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.278,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://24690",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.25,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 71716.49,
            "expected_high": 72577.08788,
            "expected_low": 70855.89212,
            "expected_move_pct": 0.0,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "chop",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72577.08788,
              "low": 70855.89212
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 73351.625972,
              "low": 70081.354028
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.0,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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            "sl_hard": 70817.1652154,
            "sl_soft": 71286.19106000001,
            "tp1": 72146.78894,
            "tp2": 72534.05798600001
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          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://24708",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://24561",
                  "artifact://24742",
                  "artifact://24690"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://24561",
                  "artifact://24742",
                  "artifact://24690"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://24561",
                  "artifact://24742",
                  "artifact://24690"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://24561",
                  "artifact://24742",
                  "artifact://24690"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
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            ],
            "confidence": 0.5074121131177585,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.17482422623551697,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.1932684816695106,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [
              "strategy_agent_degraded"
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            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.17.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.17.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://24561",
              "portfolio": "artifact://24690",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://24742"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://24561",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://24742",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://24690",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://24625",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.1932684816695106,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://24561",
              "ml": [],
              "narratives": "artifact://24625",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://24561",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://24625",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "neutral",
              "blockers": [
                "mostly_empty_inputs"
              ],
              "direction": "neutral",
              "factors": [
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43746944519656505,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08810691259060971,
              "market_momentum": -0.00020367734497310903,
              "ml_score": 0.0,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "hold_deadband"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.01798800173907354,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "confidence": 0.2346900458743204,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://24694",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://24690",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://24677",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://24712",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://24708",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5074121131177585,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.1932684816695106
            },
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.2346900458743204,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://24694",
              "execution": "artifact://24765",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://24758",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://24742"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://24742",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://24758",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://24765",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://24694",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5074121131177585,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.1932684816695106
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          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "neutral",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "confidence": 0.2,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://24694",
            "macro": "artifact://24677",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://24550",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://24541",
              "price": "artifact://24555",
              "snapshot": "artifact://24561"
            },
            "ml": [],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/1a1379b1e6dbda6d118dd2de",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://24690",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://24550",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://24561",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "All connection attempts failed",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://24712",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "All connection attempts failed",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://24708",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
            }
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5146699355253707,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08810691259060971
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1256,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.103,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://24712",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal",
              "market_cap_rise:4.2% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6756,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.278). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal; market_cap_rise:4.2% \u2014 mild broad market strength. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": 8.01e-05,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 56.802304196869905,
              "btc_hash_rate": 808245439588.8108,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 453257,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 1.184279544591895,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 95637221153.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 17.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": 4.1661727923064555,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": 0.0001
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://24681",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.278,
            "sources_count": 10,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://24690",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.25,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 71716.49,
            "expected_high": 72577.08788,
            "expected_low": 70855.89212,
            "expected_move_pct": 0.0,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "chop",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72577.08788,
              "low": 70855.89212
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            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 73351.625972,
              "low": 70081.354028
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            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.0,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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            "sl_hard": 70817.1652154,
            "sl_soft": 71286.19106000001,
            "tp1": 72146.78894,
            "tp2": 72534.05798600001
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://24708",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://24561",
                  "artifact://24742",
                  "artifact://24690"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://24561",
                  "artifact://24742",
                  "artifact://24690"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://24561",
                  "artifact://24742",
                  "artifact://24690"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://24561",
                  "artifact://24742",
                  "artifact://24690"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
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            ],
            "confidence": 0.5074121131177585,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.17482422623551697,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.1932684816695106,
            "degraded_dependencies": [
              "strategy_agent_degraded"
            ],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.17.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.17.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
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              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://24561",
              "portfolio": "artifact://24690",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://24742"
            },
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://24561",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://24742",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://24690",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "hold",
              "action_before_risk": "hold",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.17482422623551697,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.1932684816695106,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "allow"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833
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          "sentiment": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
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            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
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              "market_snapshot": "artifact://24561",
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              "narratives": "artifact://24625",
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              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
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                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://24625",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
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            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
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              "blockers": [
                "mostly_empty_inputs"
              ],
              "direction": "neutral",
              "factors": [
                "macro_structural_bias"
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              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43746944519656505,
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              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
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              "regime": null,
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              "score": -0.01798800173907354,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
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            "signal_quality": "degraded"
          },
          "supervisor": {
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            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
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            "reasons": [
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              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://24694",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
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                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://24690",
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                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://24677",
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                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
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                "kind": "ml_judge",
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                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
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                "kind": "rag_judge",
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                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
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            ],
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              "size_modifier": 1.0
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            "signal": {
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              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
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            "source_quality_score": 0.64,
            "winner_factors": [
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              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
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          },
          "system_status": {
            "agents": {
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              "execution_mode": "llm_error",
              "macro_mode": "degraded",
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              "ml_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "portfolio_mode": "llm_error",
              "price_mode": "degraded",
              "rag_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "risk_mode": "degraded",
              "sentiment_mode": "llm_error",
              "strategy_mode": "degraded",
              "supervisor_mode": "degraded",
              "trading_mode": "degraded",
              "trend_mode": "degraded"
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            "compliance_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
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            "macro_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
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              "count": 0,
              "usable": false
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            "narratives": {
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            "portfolio_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
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          },
          "trade_intent": {
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            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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            "entry": {
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            "guards": {
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              "risk_ok": true,
              "winner_factors": [
                "risk_approved",
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                "deterministic_arbitration",
                "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
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            },
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                "supervisor",
                "risk"
              ],
              "drift_detected": false,
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            "llm_status": "exception",
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              "confidence": 0.2,
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              "expected_value_score": 0.103,
              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
              "reason_codes": [
                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
              "signal": {
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                "drift_detected": false,
                "health_state": "unknown",
                "ml_trust": 0.0,
                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
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              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
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            "reduce_only": false,
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              "time_in_force": "GTC"
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            "signal": {
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              "candidate_models": null,
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              "realized_vol_short": null,
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                "regime_label": null
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              "threshold_used": null
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            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "dynamic_sizing": null,
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              "quote_notional": null,
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            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "source_quality_score": 0.64,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "timeframe": "1h",
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          "trading": {
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            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
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              "execution": "artifact://24765",
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              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://24742"
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            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://24742",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://24758",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://24765",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://24694",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
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            ],
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              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
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              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.1932684816695106
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          "trend": {
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            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
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            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
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            "llm_status": "exception",
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            "raw_refs": {},
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            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
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              "momentum": 0.0
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            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "degraded_sources": [
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        "execution_plan": {
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          "execution_mode": "None",
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          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
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          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
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          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
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        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
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            "onchain:bullish:+0.278",
            "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended",
            "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b",
            "onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:4.2% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
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          "degraded_sources": [],
          "evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.278, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b, onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:4.2% \u2014 mild broad market strength | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a",
          "override_explanation": null,
          "overrides": [],
          "refs_used": [
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              "kind": "compliance",
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              "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio",
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              "title": null,
              "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
            },
            {
              "kind": "macro",
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              "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_judge",
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              "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
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              "kind": "rag_judge",
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            "bullish_contributors": [
              "onchain:bullish:+0.278",
              "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended",
              "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b",
              "onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:4.2% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
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              "bullish_contributors": [
                "onchain:bullish:+0.278",
                "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended",
                "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b",
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              "evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.278, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b, onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:4.2% \u2014 mild broad market strength | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a",
              "neutral_contributors": [
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              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
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              "quality": "degraded",
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              "risk_vote": "allow",
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                "synthetic_price": true,
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              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
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            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
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            "price_agent": {
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              "expected_move_pct": 0.0,
              "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
              "horizon": "1h",
              "llm_status": "exception",
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              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "path_shape": "chop",
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "price_range_68": {
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              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
              "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
              "refs_used": [],
              "signal": {
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                "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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              "sl_hard": 70817.1652154,
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              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
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              "size_modifier": 1.0
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            "risk_ok": true,
            "risk_overrides": [
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            "source": "deterministic_fallback",
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            "strategy_action": "hold",
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              "continuation_probability": 0.42,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "evidence": [
                "market.momentum",
                "ml.directional_bias"
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              "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
              "invalidators": [
                "momentum_flip",
                "range_break_against_direction"
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              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
              "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
              "refs_used": [],
              "reversal_probability": 0.58,
              "signal": {
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                "momentum": 0.0
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              "trend_direction": "flat",
              "trend_horizon": "intraday",
              "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
              "trend_strength": 0.0
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          },
          "why": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
          "winner_factors": [
            "risk_approved",
            "compliance_clear",
            "deterministic_arbitration",
            "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
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        },
        "pipeline_quality": "degraded",
        "refs": {
          "artifacts": [],
          "compliance": "artifact://24694",
          "decision": "artifact://24834",
          "extras": {},
          "macro": "artifact://24677",
          "market": {
            "liquidity": "artifact://24550",
            "ohlcv": "artifact://24541",
            "price": "artifact://24555",
            "snapshot": "artifact://24561"
          },
          "ml": [],
          "ml_judge": "artifact://24712",
          "narratives": "chroma://narratives/1a1379b1e6dbda6d118dd2de",
          "news": [],
          "portfolio": "artifact://24690",
          "rag": [],
          "rag_judge": "artifact://24708",
          "steps": {
            "chat_context": "artifact://24524",
            "compliance_agent": "artifact://24789",
            "compliance_snapshot": "artifact://24695",
            "decision_bundle": "artifact://24836",
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