Vanga
News 2026-04-07T15:05:12.576906+00:00
ML 2026-04-07T15:05:10.333086+00:00
Decision 2026-04-07T22:01:50.853296+00:00

Logs & Traces

Operational brain of the system ? inspect traces, step timelines, refs, and grouped errors quickly.

Traces

Recent operational runs
last 100 traces
100
loaded into current page

Errors

Grouped inbox
error groups
2
grouped by node / name

Steps

Timeline details
selected trace steps
0
inputs / outputs / refs drill-down

Artifacts

Refs behind the trace
selected trace artifacts
9
clickable refs / raw JSON

Traces list

Last traces with duration, status, error and quick filter
Trace ID Started Duration Status Error Actions
2026-04-07T22:13:51.218182+00:00 24 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:13:42.498819+00:00 3748 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:13:27.497231+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-07T22:13:13.658303+00:00 4 ms ok
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2026-04-07T22:13:13.657005+00:00 5 ms ok
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2026-04-07T22:13:12.500682+00:00 2737 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:13:12.498533+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:12:42.498443+00:00 2527 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:12:42.496557+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:12:25.143148+00:00 7 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:12:25.142785+00:00 6 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:12:25.142409+00:00 6 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:12:25.141904+00:00 6 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:12:16.717108+00:00 4 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:12:16.625276+00:00 4 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:12:16.559453+00:00 6 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:12:12.498897+00:00 2844 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:12:12.497138+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:11:57.497334+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:11:42.498642+00:00 2664 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:11:18.922631+00:00 2570 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:11:12.499166+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:11:12.498023+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:10:44.942347+00:00 89 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:10:44.924574+00:00 107 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:10:42.499128+00:00 3243 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:10:27.496970+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:10:24.495339+00:00 7 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:10:24.494606+00:00 10 ms ok
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2026-04-07T22:10:12.503871+00:00 2647 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:10:12.499480+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:09:42.498683+00:00 2443 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:09:42.496828+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:09:12.500611+00:00 3453 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:09:12.498497+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:08:57.496712+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:08:42.499561+00:00 12951 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:08:12.499065+00:00 2440 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:08:12.498316+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:08:12.497430+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:07:42.500306+00:00 2773 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:07:27.498020+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:07:12.499820+00:00 2721 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:07:12.497643+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:06:42.500453+00:00 3070 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:06:42.497624+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:06:12.499616+00:00 2837 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:06:12.497788+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:05:57.497878+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:05:42.497903+00:00 2682 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:05:12.549529+00:00 2921 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:05:12.548145+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:05:12.546441+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:04:42.498521+00:00 2466 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:04:27.496959+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:04:12.498726+00:00 2756 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:04:12.496647+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:03:42.498800+00:00 2775 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:03:42.497179+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:03:12.501312+00:00 2531 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:03:12.498830+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:02:57.497218+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:02:42.498726+00:00 2734 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:02:12.501354+00:00 2768 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:02:12.497799+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:02:12.497759+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:01:42.498160+00:00 2501 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:01:27.496518+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:01:12.500832+00:00 3241 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:01:12.498085+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:00:42.499440+00:00 2825 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:00:42.497153+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:00:28.775499+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T22:00:12.506742+00:00 9224 ms error
?
2026-04-07T22:00:12.503276+00:00 3457 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T22:00:12.501684+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T21:59:57.497255+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T21:59:42.498586+00:00 2857 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T21:59:12.502939+00:00 2719 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T21:59:12.501247+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T21:59:12.497231+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T21:58:42.498841+00:00 2431 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T21:58:27.497924+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T21:58:12.500729+00:00 3819 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T21:58:12.497750+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T21:57:42.498799+00:00 2788 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T21:57:42.496946+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T21:57:12.500678+00:00 2515 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T21:57:12.498520+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T21:56:57.497749+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T21:56:42.498516+00:00 2972 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T21:56:12.500282+00:00 3452 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T21:56:12.498836+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T21:56:12.497998+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T21:55:42.498476+00:00 3457 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T21:55:27.496822+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T21:55:12.505182+00:00 3498 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T21:55:12.499835+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-07T21:54:42.499556+00:00 2598 ms ok
?
2026-04-07T21:54:42.496824+00:00 ? ok
?

Trace artifacts / refs

refs_json links and artifact drill-down
Kind Created Ref Actions
autotrade.status 2026-04-07T17:02:13.124530+00:00 artifact://3516
autotrade.execution.result 2026-04-07T17:02:12.829908+00:00 artifact://3515
trade.attribution 2026-04-07T17:02:12.826313+00:00 artifact://3514
trade.result 2026-04-07T17:02:12.821430+00:00 artifact://3513
autotrade.gate.summary 2026-04-07T17:02:12.819229+00:00 artifact://3512
autotrade.gate.result 2026-04-07T17:02:12.815914+00:00 artifact://3511
trade.intent 2026-04-07T17:02:12.514424+00:00 artifact://3510
autotrade.decision.bundle 2026-04-07T17:02:12.503581+00:00 artifact://3509
autotrade.status 2026-04-07T17:02:12.499498+00:00 artifact://3506

Error inbox

Latest errors grouped by node / name
tools_3
2026-04-07T22:00:23.080162+00:00
14 errors
Server error '500 Internal Server Error' for url 'https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500&file_type=json&api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d' For more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500
/traces/{trace_id}
2026-04-07T21:53:11.158522+00:00
2 errors
404: trace not found

Error count per hour

Operational pressure snapshot
2026-04-07T15:00:00
1
2026-04-07T16:00:00
1
2026-04-07T17:00:00
4
2026-04-07T18:00:00
2
2026-04-07T19:00:00
1
2026-04-07T20:00:00
1
2026-04-07T21:00:00
3
2026-04-07T22:00:00
3

Raw payload preview

Debug view for the page payload
Open raw JSON
{
  "artifacts": [
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-07T17:02:13.124530+00:00",
      "id": 3516,
      "kind": "autotrade.status",
      "payload": {
        "dry_run": false,
        "enabled": true,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "exchange_balance_summary": {
          "balances": {},
          "error": "AuthenticationError: binanceusdm {\"code\":-2008,\"msg\":\"Invalid Api-Key ID.\"}",
          "exchange": "binance",
          "market_type": "unknown",
          "ok": false,
          "raw": null,
          "sandbox": true
        },
        "execution_mode": "sandbox",
        "exposure_limit": 1000.0,
        "kill_switch": false,
        "last_amount": null,
        "last_error": null,
        "last_gate_decision": "allowed",
        "last_gate_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action:unknown",
        "last_order_id": null,
        "last_price": null,
        "last_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action",
        "last_status": "skipped",
        "liquidity_gate": "required",
        "local_balance": 0.0,
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "position_limit": 250.0,
        "same_candle_bucket": "1h:1775581200",
        "sandbox": true,
        "source": "services.autotrade.runner",
        "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
        "timeframe": "1h",
        "trace_id": "2083d05c596644f29decfd8cd3169546",
        "ts": "2026-04-07T17:02:13.123287+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://3516",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "2083d05c596644f29decfd8cd3169546"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-07T17:02:12.829908+00:00",
      "id": 3515,
      "kind": "autotrade.execution.result",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "base_qty": null,
        "confidence": 0.2,
        "decision_ref": "artifact://3509",
        "dry_run": false,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": "None",
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": "None",
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "gate": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "blockers": [
            {
              "code": "strategy.non_executable_action",
              "group": "strategy",
              "value": "unknown"
            },
            {
              "code": "strategy.non_executable_side",
              "group": "strategy",
              "value": "none"
            },
            {
              "code": "confidence.below_threshold",
              "group": "confidence",
              "threshold": 0.48,
              "value": 0.2
            },
            {
              "code": "confidence.below_no_llm_threshold",
              "group": "confidence",
              "mode": "deterministic_fallback",
              "threshold": 0.45,
              "value": 0.2
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.trade_intent_autotrade_unsafe",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": false
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.pipeline_degraded",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "degraded"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.llm_status_not_ok",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "exception"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.bundle_pipeline_degraded",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "degraded"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.meta_filter_skip",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": 0.0
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.2,
          "decision": "allowed",
          "decision_label": "allowed",
          "exchange": "binance",
          "gate_level": "micro_auto",
          "guards": {
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "inputs": {
            "action": "unknown",
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "side": "none",
            "signal": {
              "action_after_risk": "hold",
              "action_before_risk": "hold",
              "asset": null,
              "bearish_contributors": [
                "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
              ],
              "blocked_by": [],
              "blockers": [],
              "bullish_contributors": [
                "onchain:bullish:+0.328",
                "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended",
                "onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.17 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
                "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:11/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
              ],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.174954477868927,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.19341247507343517,
              "decision_state": "conflicting_signal",
              "degraded_sources": [],
              "evidence_pack": {
                "bearish_contributors": [
                  "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
                ],
                "bullish_contributors": [
                  "onchain:bullish:+0.328",
                  "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended",
                  "onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.17 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
                  "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:11/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
                ],
                "degraded_sources": [],
                "evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.328, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended, onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.17 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish , onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:11/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a",
                "neutral_contributors": [
                  "strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
                ],
                "override_explanation": null
              },
              "hold_cause": "conflicting_signal",
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "meta_decision": {
                "action": "paper_only",
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.2,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "edge_score": 0.1257,
                "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
                "execution_vote": "allow",
                "expected_value_score": 0.1031,
                "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
                "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
                "reason_codes": [
                  "ml_trust_low"
                ],
                "refs_used": [],
                "risk_vote": "allow",
                "should_trade": false,
                "signal": {
                  "calibration_score": null,
                  "drift_detected": false,
                  "health_state": "unknown",
                  "ml_trust": 0.0,
                  "synthetic_price": true,
                  "trend_direction": "flat"
                },
                "size_multiplier": 0.0,
                "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
                "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
              },
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "preferred_action": "hold",
              "price_agent": {
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.25,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "expected_close": 68206.06,
                "expected_high": 69024.53272,
                "expected_low": 67387.58727999999,
                "expected_move_pct": 0.0,
                "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
                "horizon": "1h",
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "path_shape": "chop",
                "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                "price_range_68": {
                  "high": 69024.53272,
                  "low": 67387.58727999999
                },
                "price_range_95": {
                  "high": 69761.158168,
                  "low": 66650.961832
                },
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
                "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
                "refs_used": [],
                "signal": {
                  "ml_score": 0.0,
                  "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.012
                },
                "sl_hard": 67350.7560076,
                "sl_soft": 67796.82364,
                "tp1": 68615.29636,
                "tp2": 68983.609084
              },
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5074772389344635,
              "risk_impact": {
                "action_after_risk": "hold",
                "action_before_risk": "hold",
                "blocked_by": [],
                "confidence_after_risk": 0.174954477868927,
                "confidence_before_risk": 0.19341247507343517,
                "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
                "overrides": [
                  "allow"
                ],
                "size_modifier": 1.0
              },
              "risk_ok": true,
              "risk_overrides": [
                "allow"
              ],
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.19341247507343517,
              "trend_agent": {
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.22,
                "continuation_probability": 0.42,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "evidence": [
                  "market.momentum",
                  "ml.directional_bias"
                ],
                "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
                "invalidators": [
                  "momentum_flip",
                  "range_break_against_direction"
                ],
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
                "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
                "refs_used": [],
                "reversal_probability": 0.58,
                "signal": {
                  "ml_direction": "neutral",
                  "momentum": 0.0
                },
                "trend_direction": "flat",
                "trend_horizon": "intraday",
                "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
                "trend_strength": 0.0
              }
            },
            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "entry_type": null,
              "price": null,
              "quote_notional": null
            }
          },
          "ok": true,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "policy": {
            "buy_confidence_min": 0.52,
            "deterministic_fallback": true,
            "dry_run": false,
            "enabled": true,
            "kill_switch": false,
            "min_confidence": 0.48,
            "min_confidence_no_llm": 0.45,
            "profile": "derivatives_long_short_combat",
            "sandbox": true,
            "sandbox_only": true,
            "sell_confidence_min": 0.36,
            "sell_risk_off_confidence_min": 0.32
          },
          "quality": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "calibration_score": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "drift_detected": false,
            "health_state": "unknown",
            "is_reduce_only": false,
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "pipeline_quality": "degraded",
            "source_quality_score": 0.64
          },
          "reasons": [
            "strategy.non_executable_action:unknown",
            "strategy.non_executable_side:none",
            "confidence.below_threshold:0.2000\u003c0.4800",
            "confidence.below_no_llm_threshold:0.2000\u003c0.4500",
            "quality.trade_intent_autotrade_unsafe",
            "quality.pipeline_degraded",
            "quality.llm_status_not_ok_degraded_det:exception",
            "quality.bundle_pipeline_degraded",
            "quality.meta_filter_skip:qualifier.hard_gate_blocked",
            "gate.recovered_micro_auto_with_soft_blockers"
          ],
          "reduced_reason": "gate.recovered_micro_auto_with_soft_blockers",
          "settings_snapshot": {
            "AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS": 2,
            "AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN": false,
            "AUTOTRADE_ENABLED": true,
            "AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH": false,
            "AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE": 0.48,
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      "trace_id": "2083d05c596644f29decfd8cd3169546"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-07T17:02:12.514424+00:00",
      "id": 3510,
      "kind": "trade.intent",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "base_qty": null,
        "confidence": 0.2,
        "decision_ref": "artifact://3509",
        "dry_run": false,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": "None",
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": "None",
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "price": null,
        "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
        "sandbox": true,
        "side": "None",
        "size": null,
        "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
        "timeframe": "1h",
        "trace_id": "2083d05c596644f29decfd8cd3169546",
        "trade": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.2,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "disagreement_score": 0.0,
          "entry": {
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            "execution_style": null,
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
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            "slices": null,
            "type": null
          },
          "guards": {
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "health": {
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            "degraded_sources": [
              "strategy",
              "trading",
              "supervisor",
              "risk"
            ],
            "drift_detected": false,
            "health_state": "unknown",
            "ml_trust_score": null,
            "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
          },
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1257,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1031,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
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              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
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            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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          "needs_manual_review": false,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
          "reason_codes": [
            "ml_trust_low"
          ],
          "reduce_only": false,
          "risk": {
            "cancel_after_sec": null,
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
            "take_profit": null,
            "time_in_force": "GTC"
          },
          "side": "None",
          "signal": {
            "calibration_score": null,
            "candidate_models": null,
            "ensemble_weights": null,
            "exit_policy": null,
            "model": null,
            "model_runtime_score": null,
            "model_selection_score": null,
            "quality_score": null,
            "realized_vol_short": null,
            "regime": {
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              "regime_label": null
            },
            "threshold_used": null
          },
          "size": {
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            "dynamic_sizing": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "quote_notional": null,
            "size_multiplier": null
          },
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
          "source_quality_score": 0.64,
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "trade_class": "paper_only"
        },
        "trade_intent": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.2,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "disagreement_score": 0.0,
          "entry": {
            "aggressiveness": "neutral",
            "execution_style": null,
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "price": null,
            "slices": null,
            "type": null
          },
          "guards": {
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "health": {
            "calibration_score": null,
            "degraded_sources": [
              "strategy",
              "trading",
              "supervisor",
              "risk"
            ],
            "drift_detected": false,
            "health_state": "unknown",
            "ml_trust_score": null,
            "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
          },
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1257,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1031,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "needs_manual_review": false,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
          "reason_codes": [
            "ml_trust_low"
          ],
          "reduce_only": false,
          "risk": {
            "cancel_after_sec": null,
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
            "take_profit": null,
            "time_in_force": "GTC"
          },
          "side": "None",
          "signal": {
            "calibration_score": null,
            "candidate_models": null,
            "ensemble_weights": null,
            "exit_policy": null,
            "model": null,
            "model_runtime_score": null,
            "model_selection_score": null,
            "quality_score": null,
            "realized_vol_short": null,
            "regime": {
              "regime_confidence": null,
              "regime_factors": null,
              "regime_label": null
            },
            "threshold_used": null
          },
          "size": {
            "base_qty": null,
            "dynamic_sizing": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "quote_notional": null,
            "size_multiplier": null
          },
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
          "source_quality_score": 0.64,
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "trade_class": "paper_only"
        },
        "ts": "2026-04-07T17:02:12.513863+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://3510",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "2083d05c596644f29decfd8cd3169546"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-07T17:02:12.503581+00:00",
      "id": 3509,
      "kind": "autotrade.decision.bundle",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://3213",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://3224",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5145093644578372,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08753344449227571
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.1257,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1031,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://3377",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "taker_buy_dominant:1.17 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:11/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6856,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.328). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); taker_buy_dominant:1.17 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure); fear_greed_extreme_fear:11/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://3346",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.328,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://3355",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.25,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 68206.06,
            "expected_high": 69024.53272,
            "expected_low": 67387.58727999999,
            "expected_move_pct": 0.0,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "chop",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 69024.53272,
              "low": 67387.58727999999
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 69761.158168,
              "low": 66650.961832
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.0,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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            "sl_hard": 67350.7560076,
            "sl_soft": 67796.82364,
            "tp1": 68615.29636,
            "tp2": 68983.609084
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          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://3373",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://3224",
                  "artifact://3407",
                  "artifact://3355"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://3224",
                  "artifact://3407",
                  "artifact://3355"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://3224",
                  "artifact://3407",
                  "artifact://3355"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://3224",
                  "artifact://3407",
                  "artifact://3355"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
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            ],
            "confidence": 0.5074772389344635,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.174954477868927,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.19341247507343517,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [
              "strategy_agent_degraded"
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            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.17.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.17.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://3224",
              "portfolio": "artifact://3355",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://3407"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://3224",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://3407",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://3355",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://3288",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.19341247507343517,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://3224",
              "ml": [],
              "narratives": "artifact://3288",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://3224",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://3288",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "neutral",
              "blockers": [
                "mostly_empty_inputs"
              ],
              "direction": "neutral",
              "factors": [
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43733295978916165,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08753344449227571,
              "market_momentum": -0.00035072553872582374,
              "ml_score": 0.0,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "hold_deadband"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.018137994868161627,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "confidence": 0.2348085748607236,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://3359",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://3355",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://3342",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://3377",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://3373",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5074772389344635,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.19341247507343517
            },
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.2348085748607236,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://3359",
              "execution": "artifact://3427",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://3420",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://3407"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://3407",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://3420",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://3427",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://3359",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5074772389344635,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.19341247507343517
            }
          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "neutral",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "confidence": 0.2,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://3359",
            "macro": "artifact://3342",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://3213",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://3204",
              "price": "artifact://3218",
              "snapshot": "artifact://3224"
            },
            "ml": [],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/a0ed9b139db5c30536fa9a96",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://3355",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://3213",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://3224",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "All connection attempts failed",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://3377",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "All connection attempts failed",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://3373",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
            }
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5145093644578372,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08753344449227571
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1257,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1031,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://3377",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "taker_buy_dominant:1.17 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:11/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6856,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.328). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); taker_buy_dominant:1.17 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure); fear_greed_extreme_fear:11/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": 6.7400737512e-05,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 56.561148164091904,
              "btc_hash_rate": 918774730472.7507,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 493376,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": -1.0309701401321127,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 91320192850.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 11.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": -2.058260699446773,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": 6.0871475024e-05
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://3346",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.328,
            "sources_count": 10,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://3355",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.25,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 68206.06,
            "expected_high": 69024.53272,
            "expected_low": 67387.58727999999,
            "expected_move_pct": 0.0,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "chop",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 69024.53272,
              "low": 67387.58727999999
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 69761.158168,
              "low": 66650.961832
            },
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.0,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 67350.7560076,
            "sl_soft": 67796.82364,
            "tp1": 68615.29636,
            "tp2": 68983.609084
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://3373",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://3224",
                  "artifact://3407",
                  "artifact://3355"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://3224",
                  "artifact://3407",
                  "artifact://3355"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://3224",
                  "artifact://3407",
                  "artifact://3355"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://3224",
                  "artifact://3407",
                  "artifact://3355"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5074772389344635,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.174954477868927,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.19341247507343517,
            "degraded_dependencies": [
              "strategy_agent_degraded"
            ],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.17.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.17.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://3224",
              "portfolio": "artifact://3355",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://3407"
            },
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://3224",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://3407",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://3355",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "hold",
              "action_before_risk": "hold",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.174954477868927,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.19341247507343517,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "allow"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://3288",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "hold",
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                "kind": "market_snapshot",
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                "kind": "narratives",
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                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
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            ],
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                "kind": "compliance",
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                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
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                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
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                "kind": "macro",
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                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
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                "kind": "ml_judge",
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                "kind": "rag_judge",
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                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
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              "sentiment_mode": "llm_error",
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            "macro_snapshot_status": {
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              "winner_factors": [
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              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
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              "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
              "reason_codes": [
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              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
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                "health_state": "unknown",
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                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
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              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
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            "reduce_only": false,
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            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "source_quality_score": 0.64,
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            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
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            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
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            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
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              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://3407",
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                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://3420",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
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                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
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                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
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              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
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                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
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              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
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          "notional_usd": 100.0,
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        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
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          "evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.328, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended, onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.17 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish , onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:11/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a",
          "override_explanation": null,
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          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "compliance",
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              "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
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            {
              "kind": "portfolio",
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              "title": null,
              "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
            },
            {
              "kind": "macro",
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              "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
            },
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              "kind": "ml_judge",
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              "kind": "rag_judge",
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              "onchain:bullish:+0.328",
              "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended",
              "onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.17 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
              "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:11/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
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              "bullish_contributors": [
                "onchain:bullish:+0.328",
                "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended",
                "onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.17 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
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              "evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.328, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended, onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.17 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish , onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:11/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a",
              "neutral_contributors": [
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              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
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            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
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              "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
              "horizon": "1h",
              "llm_status": "exception",
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              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "path_shape": "chop",
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              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
              "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
              "refs_used": [],
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              "size_modifier": 1.0
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            "risk_ok": true,
            "risk_overrides": [
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            "source": "deterministic_fallback",
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              "continuation_probability": 0.42,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "evidence": [
                "market.momentum",
                "ml.directional_bias"
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              "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
              "invalidators": [
                "momentum_flip",
                "range_break_against_direction"
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              "llm_status": "exception",
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              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
              "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
              "refs_used": [],
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              "trend_direction": "flat",
              "trend_horizon": "intraday",
              "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
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          },
          "why": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
          "winner_factors": [
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            "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
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        },
        "pipeline_quality": "degraded",
        "refs": {
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          "compliance": "artifact://3359",
          "decision": "artifact://3496",
          "extras": {},
          "macro": "artifact://3342",
          "market": {
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            "price": "artifact://3218",
            "snapshot": "artifact://3224"
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          "ml": [],
          "ml_judge": "artifact://3377",
          "narratives": "chroma://narratives/a0ed9b139db5c30536fa9a96",
          "news": [],
          "portfolio": "artifact://3355",
          "rag": [],
          "rag_judge": "artifact://3373",
          "steps": {
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