Logs & Traces
Operational brain of the system ? inspect traces, step timelines, refs, and grouped errors quickly.
Traces
Recent operational runs
last 100 traces
100
loaded into current page
Errors
Grouped inbox
error groups
4
grouped by node / name
Steps
Timeline details
selected trace steps
0
inputs / outputs / refs drill-down
Artifacts
Refs behind the trace
selected trace artifacts
9
clickable refs / raw JSON
Traces list
Last traces with duration, status, error and quick filter
| Trace ID | Started | Duration | Status | Error | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10T21:15:05.082869+00:00 | 2713 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:14:50.084548+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:14:35.085271+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:14:35.082324+00:00 | 2466 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:14:05.083849+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:14:05.082027+00:00 | 2689 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:13:35.090893+00:00 | 2692 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:13:35.083740+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:13:20.083762+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:13:05.082895+00:00 | 2728 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:12:35.084898+00:00 | 2720 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:12:35.084753+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:12:35.084723+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:12:07.785704+00:00 | 3805 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:12:05.081503+00:00 | 566 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-10T21:11:50.084573+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:11:35.083731+00:00 | 2845 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:11:35.083679+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:11:05.083723+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:11:05.082657+00:00 | 2531 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:10:35.084512+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:10:35.081879+00:00 | 3067 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:10:20.084869+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:10:05.082168+00:00 | 2802 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:09:35.083787+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:09:35.083706+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:09:35.083086+00:00 | 2429 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:09:07.929911+00:00 | 3894 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:09:05.082069+00:00 | 557 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-10T21:08:50.084897+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:08:35.088017+00:00 | 3453 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:08:35.086538+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:08:05.083703+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:08:05.081748+00:00 | 2692 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:07:35.083936+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:07:35.082816+00:00 | 2488 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:07:20.084468+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:07:05.082486+00:00 | 2821 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:06:35.084588+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:06:35.084570+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:06:35.081637+00:00 | 2815 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:06:05.082264+00:00 | 3449 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:05:50.084913+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:05:35.083681+00:00 | 2941 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:05:35.083486+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:05:07.431181+00:00 | 3146 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:05:05.084063+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:05:05.082987+00:00 | 537 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-10T21:04:37.612056+00:00 | 3128 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:04:35.084605+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:04:35.083075+00:00 | 581 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-10T21:04:20.083724+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:04:07.608116+00:00 | 4414 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:04:05.081880+00:00 | 776 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-10T21:03:38.290972+00:00 | 2462 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:03:35.085398+00:00 | 1071 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-10T21:03:35.084072+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:03:35.084026+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:03:05.083769+00:00 | 2886 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:02:50.085276+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:02:35.085546+00:00 | 2700 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:02:35.084812+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:02:05.083581+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:02:05.081421+00:00 | 3680 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:01:35.092565+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:01:35.081411+00:00 | 2468 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:01:20.083881+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:01:05.081384+00:00 | 2888 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:00:49.826138+00:00 | 2689 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:00:37.526705+00:00 | 4342 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:00:35.113991+00:00 | 10642 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-10T21:00:35.088237+00:00 | 3347 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:00:35.087415+00:00 | 583 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-10T21:00:35.084733+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:00:35.084698+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T21:00:05.082102+00:00 | 2787 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:59:50.084122+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:59:35.084379+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:59:35.082217+00:00 | 3012 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:59:07.619168+00:00 | 3088 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:59:05.083881+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:59:05.082690+00:00 | 564 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-10T20:58:35.092273+00:00 | 2494 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:58:35.084986+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:58:20.083733+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:58:05.082877+00:00 | 2942 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:57:35.085476+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:57:35.084120+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:57:35.083212+00:00 | 2823 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:57:05.082537+00:00 | 2815 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:56:50.084942+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:56:37.911057+00:00 | 2837 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:56:35.084725+00:00 | 609 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-10T20:56:35.084631+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:56:07.840467+00:00 | 2873 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:56:05.089317+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:56:05.081452+00:00 | 594 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-10T20:55:35.083664+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:55:35.082441+00:00 | 2708 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-10T20:55:20.083884+00:00 | ? | ok |
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Trace viewer
Timeline steps, refs, inputs, outputs
trace
ok
No step timeline available for selected trace.
Trace artifacts / refs
refs_json links and artifact drill-down
| Kind | Created | Ref | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| autotrade.status | 2026-04-10T20:01:35.697798+00:00 | artifact://117801 | |
| autotrade.execution.result | 2026-04-10T20:01:35.408166+00:00 | artifact://117800 | |
| trade.attribution | 2026-04-10T20:01:35.406488+00:00 | artifact://117799 | |
| trade.result | 2026-04-10T20:01:35.403297+00:00 | artifact://117798 | |
| autotrade.gate.summary | 2026-04-10T20:01:35.401947+00:00 | artifact://117797 | |
| autotrade.gate.result | 2026-04-10T20:01:35.399629+00:00 | artifact://117796 | |
| trade.intent | 2026-04-10T20:01:35.102071+00:00 | artifact://117795 | |
| autotrade.decision.bundle | 2026-04-10T20:01:35.097307+00:00 | artifact://117794 | |
| autotrade.status | 2026-04-10T20:01:35.084275+00:00 | artifact://117793 |
Error inbox
Latest errors grouped by node / name
ccxt
2026-04-10T21:12:05.081503+00:00
564 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
tools_3
2026-04-10T21:00:47.605302+00:00
205 errors
Server error '502 Bad Gateway' for url 'https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500&file_type=json&api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d'
For more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/502
/traces/{trace_id}
2026-04-10T11:39:40.389699+00:00
3 errors
404: trace not found
fetch_ohlcv_recent
2026-04-08T15:09:21.803529+00:00
1 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
Error count per hour
Operational pressure snapshot
2026-04-09T21:00:00
5
2026-04-09T22:00:00
10
2026-04-09T23:00:00
22
2026-04-10T00:00:00
17
2026-04-10T01:00:00
8
2026-04-10T02:00:00
8
2026-04-10T03:00:00
11
2026-04-10T04:00:00
11
2026-04-10T05:00:00
19
2026-04-10T06:00:00
19
2026-04-10T07:00:00
16
2026-04-10T08:00:00
13
2026-04-10T09:00:00
9
2026-04-10T10:00:00
15
2026-04-10T11:00:00
17
2026-04-10T12:00:00
13
2026-04-10T13:00:00
14
2026-04-10T14:00:00
16
2026-04-10T15:00:00
9
2026-04-10T16:00:00
20
2026-04-10T17:00:00
32
2026-04-10T18:00:00
37
2026-04-10T19:00:00
57
2026-04-10T20:00:00
47
2026-04-10T21:00:00
12
Refs panel
Fast links to artifact viewer
artifact://117801
artifact://117800
artifact://117799
artifact://117798
artifact://117797
artifact://117796
artifact://117795
artifact://117794
artifact://117658
artifact://117660
artifact://117662
artifact://117663
artifact://117664
artifact://117665
artifact://117630
artifact://117773
artifact://117680
artifact://117643
artifact://117676
artifact://117647
chroma://narratives/74fced585579a57a0d076388
artifact://117793
Raw payload preview
Debug view for the page payload
Open raw JSON
{
"artifacts": [
{
"created_at": "2026-04-10T20:01:35.697798+00:00",
"id": 117801,
"kind": "autotrade.status",
"payload": {
"dry_run": false,
"enabled": true,
"exchange": "binance",
"exchange_balance_summary": {
"balances": {},
"error": "AuthenticationError: binanceusdm {\"code\":-2008,\"msg\":\"Invalid Api-Key ID.\"}",
"exchange": "binance",
"market_type": "unknown",
"ok": false,
"raw": null,
"sandbox": true
},
"execution_mode": "sandbox",
"exposure_limit": 1000.0,
"kill_switch": false,
"last_amount": null,
"last_error": null,
"last_gate_decision": "allowed",
"last_gate_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action:hold",
"last_order_id": null,
"last_price": null,
"last_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action",
"last_status": "skipped",
"liquidity_gate": "required",
"local_balance": 0.0,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"position_limit": 250.0,
"same_candle_bucket": "1h:1775851200",
"sandbox": true,
"source": "services.autotrade.runner",
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trace_id": "255b497c966f4f758e5ac5473626116a",
"ts": "2026-04-10T20:01:35.696636+00:00"
},
"ref": "artifact://117801",
"store": "postgres",
"trace_id": "255b497c966f4f758e5ac5473626116a"
},
{
"created_at": "2026-04-10T20:01:35.408166+00:00",
"id": 117800,
"kind": "autotrade.execution.result",
"payload": {
"action": "hold",
"base_qty": null,
"confidence": 0.3,
"decision_ref": "artifact://117794",
"dry_run": false,
"exchange": "binance",
"execution_plan": {
"amount": null,
"execution_mode": "None",
"expected_price": null,
"maker_first": null,
"market_type": "spot",
"marketable_limit": null,
"max_reprice_attempts": null,
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"notional_usd": 100.0,
"order_type": "None",
"qualification_class": "None",
"reduce_only": false,
"sandbox": null,
"slice_interval_ms": null,
"slices": null,
"time_in_force": "GTC",
"venue": "binance"
},
"gate": {
"action": "hold",
"blockers": [
{
"code": "strategy.non_executable_action",
"group": "strategy",
"value": "hold"
},
{
"code": "strategy.non_executable_side",
"group": "strategy",
"value": "none"
},
{
"code": "confidence.below_threshold",
"group": "confidence",
"threshold": 0.48,
"value": 0.3
},
{
"code": "quality.trade_intent_autotrade_unsafe",
"group": "quality",
"value": false
},
{
"code": "quality.trade_intent_needs_manual_review",
"group": "quality",
"value": true
},
{
"code": "quality.pipeline_degraded",
"group": "quality",
"value": "degraded"
},
{
"code": "quality.llm_status_not_ok",
"group": "quality",
"value": "exception"
},
{
"code": "quality.bundle_pipeline_degraded",
"group": "quality",
"value": "degraded"
},
{
"code": "quality.meta_filter_skip",
"group": "quality",
"value": 0.0
}
],
"confidence": 0.3,
"decision": "allowed",
"decision_label": "allowed",
"exchange": "binance",
"gate_level": "micro_auto",
"guards": {
"blocking_factors": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"compliance_ok": true,
"execution_ok": null,
"overrides": [
"price_safety_override"
],
"portfolio_ok": null,
"risk_ok": true,
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear"
]
},
"inputs": {
"action": "hold",
"confidence": 0.3,
"side": "none",
"signal": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"asset": null,
"bearish_contributors": [
"onchain_detail:taker_sell_dominant:0.83 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearis",
"onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
],
"blocked_by": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"blockers": [],
"bullish_contributors": [
"strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
"onchain:bullish:+0.128",
"onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
"onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
],
"calibration_score": 1.0,
"candidate_models": [
"tp_eq_sl",
"tp_3sl",
"sl_3tp"
],
"confidence_after_risk": 0.313276461679878,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.36633850396215467,
"decision_state": "blocked_signal",
"degraded_sources": [],
"ensemble_weights": [
{
"model": "tp_eq_sl",
"weight": 0.243
},
{
"model": "tp_3sl",
"weight": 0.2212
},
{
"model": "sl_3tp",
"weight": 0.426
}
],
"evidence_pack": {
"bearish_contributors": [
"onchain_detail:taker_sell_dominant:0.83 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearis",
"onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
],
"bullish_contributors": [
"strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
"onchain:bullish:+0.128",
"onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
"onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
],
"degraded_sources": [],
"evidence_summary": "bullish: strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit, onchain:bullish:+0.128, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:taker_sell_dominant:0.83 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearis, onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only",
"neutral_contributors": [
"strategy_factor:ml_directional_bias",
"strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
],
"override_explanation": "price_safety_override"
},
"exit_policy": {
"atr_base": 0.01,
"break_even_trigger": null,
"exit_template": "fixed",
"max_hold_candles": 24,
"partial_tp_levels": [
{
"fraction": 0.5,
"target_distance": 0.015
}
],
"stop_loss": 0.01,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"trailing_activation": null,
"trailing_callback": null,
"trend_factor": 1.0,
"vol_factor": 1.0
},
"hold_cause": null,
"max_position": 6.25,
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.2143,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.2381,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1953,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"model": "sl_3tp",
"model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
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"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
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"trade_class": "paper_only"
},
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"autotrade_safe": false,
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"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"disagreement_score": 0.0,
"entry": {
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"max_slippage_bps": null,
"price": null,
"slices": null,
"type": null
},
"guards": {
"blocking_factors": [
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],
"compliance_ok": true,
"execution_ok": null,
"overrides": [
"price_safety_override"
],
"portfolio_ok": null,
"quality_gate_blocked": true,
"quality_gate_reasons": [
"quality.supervisor_degraded",
"quality.ml_trust_very_low"
],
"risk_ok": true,
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear"
]
},
"health": {
"calibration_score": null,
"degraded_sources": [
"supervisor",
"risk"
],
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust_score": null,
"pipeline_quality": "degraded"
},
"llm_status": "exception",
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"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.2143,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.2381,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1953,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
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"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
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"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"reduce_only": false,
"risk": {
"cancel_after_sec": null,
"exit_policy": {
"atr_base": 0.01,
"break_even_trigger": null,
"exit_template": "fixed",
"max_hold_candles": 24,
"partial_tp_levels": [
{
"fraction": 0.5,
"target_distance": 0.015
}
],
"stop_loss": 0.01,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"trailing_activation": null,
"trailing_callback": null,
"trend_factor": 1.0,
"vol_factor": 1.0
},
"stop_loss": 0.03892301,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"time_in_force": "GTC"
},
"side": "None",
"signal": {
"calibration_score": 1.0,
"candidate_models": [
"tp_eq_sl",
"tp_3sl",
"sl_3tp"
],
"ensemble_weights": [
{
"model": "tp_eq_sl",
"weight": 0.243
},
{
"model": "tp_3sl",
"weight": 0.2212
},
{
"model": "sl_3tp",
"weight": 0.426
}
],
"exit_policy": {
"atr_base": 0.01,
"break_even_trigger": null,
"exit_template": "fixed",
"max_hold_candles": 24,
"partial_tp_levels": [
{
"fraction": 0.5,
"target_distance": 0.015
}
],
"stop_loss": 0.01,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"trailing_activation": null,
"trailing_callback": null,
"trend_factor": 1.0,
"vol_factor": 1.0
},
"model": "sl_3tp",
"model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
"model_selection_score": 0.462958,
"quality_score": 0.5555,
"realized_vol_short": null,
"regime": {
"regime_confidence": 0.8571,
"regime_factors": {
"bollinger_bandwidth": 0.010733701744920906,
"directional_consistency": 0.0,
"hurst_exp": 0.32964446838864647,
"is_trend_regime": 0.0,
"realized_vol_short": 0.0,
"slope_price": 0.0,
"trend_persistence": 0.6,
"vol_expansion": 0.0
},
"regime_label": "range"
},
"threshold_used": 0.375
},
"size": {
"base_qty": null,
"dynamic_sizing": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"quote_notional": null,
"size_multiplier": null
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"source_quality_score": 0.88,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trade_class": "paper_only"
},
"ts": "2026-04-10T20:01:35.101459+00:00"
},
"ref": "artifact://117795",
"store": "postgres",
"trace_id": "255b497c966f4f758e5ac5473626116a"
},
{
"created_at": "2026-04-10T20:01:35.097307+00:00",
"id": 117794,
"kind": "autotrade.decision.bundle",
"payload": {
"action": "hold",
"agents": {
"compliance": {
"confidence": 0.0,
"constraints": {},
"decision_override": null,
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output"
],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {},
"trading_allowed": true,
"violations": []
},
"execution": {
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"entry_type": null,
"execution_style": null,
"explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_liquidity",
"ref": "artifact://117503",
"title": "None",
"why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
},
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://117514",
"title": "None",
"why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
}
],
"signal": {},
"slices": null
},
"macro": {
"action": "hold",
"bias": "neutral",
"confidence": 0.5146189080002846,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
"macro_score": null,
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output",
"macro.structural_fallback"
],
"refs_used": [],
"regime": "neutral",
"signal": {
"macro_regime": "neutral",
"macro_structural_factors": [
"crypto_macro_score",
"usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
"equity_risk_off"
],
"macro_structural_score": -0.08792467142958799
}
},
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"confidence": 0.2143,
"constraints": {},
"edge_score": 0.2381,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1953,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"mode": "degraded",
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"raw_refs": {},
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"ml_judge": {
"accepted_refs": [],
"agreement_score": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"horizon_fit": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://117680",
"title": "None",
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
],
"rejected_refs": [],
"signal": {},
"trust_score": null,
"usable": null
},
"onchain": {
"bearish_signals": [
"taker_sell_dominant:0.83 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure)",
"mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
],
"bias": "bullish",
"bullish_signals": [
"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
"fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
],
"confidence": 0.6456,
"constraints": {},
"data_quality": "live",
"derivatives_signal": "neutral",
"exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
"explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.128). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: taker_sell_dominant:0.83 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure); mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
"mode": "deterministic",
"network_signal": "shrinking",
"onchain_available": true,
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "onchain_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://117634",
"title": "None",
"why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
}
],
"score": 0.128,
"signal": {},
"valuation_signal": "unknown"
},
"portfolio": {
"allow_add": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
"exposure_warning": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"recommended_size_multiplier": null,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://117643",
"title": "None",
"why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
}
],
"signal": {}
},
"price": {
"confidence": 0.3172,
"constraints": {},
"expected_close": 70036.3254214632,
"expected_high": 70876.76132652076,
"expected_low": 69195.88951640564,
"expected_move_pct": -4.321946735971962,
"explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"horizon": "1h",
"mode": "degraded",
"path_shape": "trend",
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"price_range_68": {
"high": 74078.38988,
"low": 72321.59012000001
},
"price_range_95": {
"high": 74868.949772,
"low": 71531.030228
},
"raw_refs": {},
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {
"ml_score": -0.09604326079937693,
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"realized_vol_short": 0.012
},
"sl_hard": 69245.409276829,
"sl_soft": 70669.05833717057,
"tp1": 73639.18994000001,
"tp2": 74034.469886
},
"rag_judge": {
"accepted_refs": [],
"confidence": null,
"consistency_score": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://117676",
"title": "None",
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
],
"rejected_refs": [],
"relevance_score": null,
"signal": {},
"usable": null
},
"risk": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"active_risk_factors": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://117514",
"artifact://117702",
"artifact://117643"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://117514",
"artifact://117702",
"artifact://117643"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": -0.0004931993247592662
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://117514",
"artifact://117702",
"artifact://117643"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"autotrade_allowed": true,
"blocking_risks": [],
"caution_risks": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://117514",
"artifact://117702",
"artifact://117643"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://117514",
"artifact://117702",
"artifact://117643"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": -0.0004931993247592662
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://117514",
"artifact://117702",
"artifact://117643"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"confidence": 0.5766382308399389,
"confidence_after_risk": 0.313276461679878,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.36633850396215467,
"constraints": {},
"degraded_dependencies": [],
"explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
"explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
"explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
"manual_review_required": false,
"max_position": 25.0,
"mitigations": [
"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
],
"mode": "degraded",
"ok": true,
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://117514",
"portfolio": "artifact://117643",
"rag": [],
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://117702"
},
"reasons": [
"model_degraded_or_fallback",
"policy_short_not_allowed",
"strategy_timing_weak"
],
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://117514",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
},
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://117702",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
},
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://117643",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
}
],
"risk_breakdown": {
"data_risk": {
"score": 0.3333333333333333,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"event_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"execution_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"liquidity_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"market_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"model_risk": {
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated"
},
"policy_risk": {
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high"
},
"portfolio_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"signal_risk": {
"score": 0.4091314452223312,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"strategy_risk": {
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"system_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
}
},
"risk_confidence": 0.8,
"risk_level": "low",
"risk_score": 0.2069204212122364,
"risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"signal": {},
"stop_loss": 0.03892301
},
"sentiment": {
"action": null,
"bias": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"event_strength": null,
"explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "narratives",
"ref": "artifact://117578",
"title": "None",
"why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
}
],
"sentiment_score": null,
"signal": {}
},
"strategy": {
"action": "sell",
"confidence": 0.36633850396215467,
"constraints": {
"allow_short": null,
"blacklist": [],
"horizon": null,
"max_leverage": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"preferred_assets": [],
"style": null
},
"explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
"mode": "deterministic",
"profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://117514",
"ml": [
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://117658\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7043086432617772}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://117660\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8673853164089094}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://117662\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9021878837989863}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://117663\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.839525321154053}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://117664\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.839525321154053}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://117665\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.839525321154053}"
],
"narratives": "artifact://117578",
"news": [],
"rag": []
},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://117514",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
},
{
"kind": "narratives",
"ref": "artifact://117578",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://117658",
"title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://117660",
"title": "tp_3sl:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://117662",
"title": "sl_3tp:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://117663",
"title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://117664",
"title": "ensemble.price:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://117665",
"title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": "BTC",
"bias": "bearish",
"blockers": [],
"direction": "down",
"factors": [
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"macro_structural_bias",
"long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
],
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"macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
"macro_agent_weight": 0.43742607180024196,
"macro_structural_score": -0.08792467142958799,
"market_momentum": -0.0004931993247592662,
"ml_score": -0.09604326079937693,
"narrative_score": 0.0,
"news_score": 0.0,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"price_vs_slow": 0.0,
"reason_codes": [
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],
"regime": null,
"rsi": null,
"score": -0.06265259303819767,
"score_deadband": 0.042,
"source": "deterministic_fallback"
}
},
"supervisor": {
"action": "hold",
"blocking_factors": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"confidence": 0.36633850396215467,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
"mode": "degraded",
"overrides": [
"price_safety_override"
],
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "compliance",
"ref": "artifact://117647",
"title": "None",
"why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
},
{
"kind": "portfolio",
"ref": "artifact://117643",
"title": "None",
"why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
},
{
"kind": "macro",
"ref": "artifact://117630",
"title": "None",
"why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
},
{
"kind": "ml_judge",
"ref": "artifact://117680",
"title": "None",
"why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
},
{
"kind": "rag_judge",
"ref": "artifact://117676",
"title": "None",
"why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": null,
"blockers": [],
"max_position": 6.25,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"risk_confidence": 0.5766382308399389,
"risk_ok": true,
"source": "deterministic_fallback",
"stop_loss": 0.03892301,
"strategy_action": "sell",
"strategy_confidence": 0.36633850396215467
},
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear"
]
},
"trading": {
"action": "sell",
"confidence": 0.36068158012868895,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
"mode": "deterministic",
"raw_refs": {
"compliance": "artifact://117647",
"execution": "artifact://117722",
"risk_agent_output": "artifact://117715",
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://117702"
},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://117702",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
},
{
"kind": "risk_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://117715",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
},
{
"kind": "execution_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://117722",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
},
{
"kind": "compliance_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://117647",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": null,
"blockers": [],
"max_position": 6.25,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"risk_confidence": 0.5766382308399389,
"risk_ok": true,
"source": "deterministic_fallback",
"stop_loss": 0.03892301,
"strategy_action": "sell",
"strategy_confidence": 0.36633850396215467
}
},
"trend": {
"confidence": 0.22,
"constraints": {},
"continuation_probability": 0.42,
"evidence": [
"market.momentum",
"ml.directional_bias"
],
"explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
"invalidators": [
"momentum_flip",
"range_break_against_direction"
],
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"reversal_probability": 0.58,
"signal": {
"ml_direction": "down",
"momentum": 0.0
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"trend_direction": "flat",
"trend_horizon": "intraday",
"trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
"trend_strength": 0.0
}
},
"confidence": 0.3,
"debug": {
"compliance": {
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.0,
"decision_override": null,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output"
],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {},
"trading_allowed": true,
"violations": []
},
"evidence": {
"compliance": "artifact://117647",
"macro": "artifact://117630",
"market": {
"liquidity": "artifact://117503",
"ohlcv": "artifact://117494",
"price": "artifact://117508",
"snapshot": "artifact://117514"
},
"ml": [
"artifact://117658",
"artifact://117660",
"artifact://117662",
"artifact://117663",
"artifact://117664",
"artifact://117665"
],
"narratives": "chroma://narratives/74fced585579a57a0d076388",
"news": [],
"portfolio": "artifact://117643",
"rag": []
},
"execution": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_liquidity",
"ref": "artifact://117503",
"title": null,
"why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
},
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://117514",
"title": null,
"why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
}
]
},
"execution_plan": {
"amount": null,
"execution_style": null,
"expected_price": null,
"market_type": "spot",
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"notional_usd": 100.0,
"order_type": null,
"reduce_only": false,
"sandbox": null,
"side": null,
"slices": null,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"time_in_force": "GTC",
"timeframe": "1h",
"venue": "binance"
},
"judgements": {
"ml_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://117680",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
]
},
"rag_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://117676",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
]
}
},
"macro": {
"action": "hold",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"bias": "neutral",
"confidence": 0.5146189080002846,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output",
"macro.structural_fallback"
],
"refs_used": [],
"regime": "neutral",
"signal": {
"macro_regime": "neutral",
"macro_structural_factors": [
"crypto_macro_score",
"usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
"equity_risk_off"
],
"macro_structural_score": -0.08792467142958799
}
},
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.2143,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.2381,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1953,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"ml_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://117680",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
]
},
"onchain": {
"action": "buy",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"bearish_signals": [
"taker_sell_dominant:0.83 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure)",
"mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
],
"bias": "bullish",
"bullish_signals": [
"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
"fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
],
"confidence": 0.6456,
"data_quality": "live",
"derivatives_signal": "neutral",
"exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
"explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.128). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: taker_sell_dominant:0.83 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure); mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
"extra_metrics": {
"avg_funding_rate": -5.747955033e-06,
"btc_dominance_pct": 57.241557143196,
"btc_hash_rate": 870418165711.027,
"btc_tx_count_24h": 462878,
"defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 4.403791454939167,
"defi_tvl_usd": 95976070998.0,
"fear_greed_index": 16.0,
"fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
"market_cap_change_24h_pct": 1.1153961437538766,
"mempool_fastest_fee": 2.0,
"okx_funding_rate": 1.0374089934e-05
},
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "deterministic",
"needs_manual_review": false,
"network_signal": "shrinking",
"onchain_available": true,
"quality": "trusted",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "onchain_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://117634",
"title": null,
"why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
}
],
"score": 0.128,
"sources_count": 10,
"valuation_signal": "unknown"
},
"portfolio": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://117643",
"title": null,
"why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
}
]
},
"price": {
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.3172,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"expected_close": 70036.3254214632,
"expected_high": 70876.76132652076,
"expected_low": 69195.88951640564,
"expected_move_pct": -4.321946735971962,
"explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"horizon": "1h",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"path_shape": "trend",
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"price_range_68": {
"high": 74078.38988,
"low": 72321.59012000001
},
"price_range_95": {
"high": 74868.949772,
"low": 71531.030228
},
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {
"ml_score": -0.09604326079937693,
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"realized_vol_short": 0.012
},
"sl_hard": 69245.409276829,
"sl_soft": 70669.05833717057,
"tp1": 73639.18994000001,
"tp2": 74034.469886
},
"rag_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://117676",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
]
},
"risk": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"active_risk_factors": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://117514",
"artifact://117702",
"artifact://117643"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://117514",
"artifact://117702",
"artifact://117643"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": -0.0004931993247592662
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://117514",
"artifact://117702",
"artifact://117643"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"autotrade_allowed": true,
"autotrade_safe": false,
"blocking_risks": [],
"caution_risks": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://117514",
"artifact://117702",
"artifact://117643"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://117514",
"artifact://117702",
"artifact://117643"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": -0.0004931993247592662
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://117514",
"artifact://117702",
"artifact://117643"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"confidence": 0.5766382308399389,
"confidence_after_risk": 0.313276461679878,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.36633850396215467,
"degraded_dependencies": [],
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
"explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
"explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"manual_review_required": false,
"max_position": 25.0,
"meta": {
"allow_short": false,
"max_leverage": 1.0,
"missing_inputs": [
"metrics.atr_pct",
"metrics.spread_bps"
],
"strategy_action": "sell",
"volatility": null
},
"mitigations": [
"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
],
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"ok": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://117514",
"portfolio": "artifact://117643",
"rag": [],
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://117702"
},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasons": [
"model_degraded_or_fallback",
"policy_short_not_allowed",
"strategy_timing_weak"
],
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://117514",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
},
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://117702",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
},
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://117643",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
}
],
"risk_breakdown": {
"data_risk": {
"score": 0.3333333333333333,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"event_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"execution_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"liquidity_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"market_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"model_risk": {
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated"
},
"policy_risk": {
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high"
},
"portfolio_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"signal_risk": {
"score": 0.4091314452223312,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"strategy_risk": {
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"system_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
}
},
"risk_confidence": 0.8,
"risk_impact": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"blocked_by": [],
"confidence_after_risk": 0.313276461679878,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.36633850396215467,
"final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"overrides": [
"forbid_short",
"reduce_size"
],
"size_modifier": 0.25
},
"risk_level": "low",
"risk_score": 0.2069204212122364,
"risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"stop_loss": 0.03892301
},
"sentiment": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "narratives",
"ref": "artifact://117578",
"title": null,
"why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
}
]
},
"strategy": {
"action": "sell",
"action_tradeable": true,
"autotrade_safe": false,
"bias": "bearish",
"confidence": 0.36633850396215467,
"constraints": {
"allow_short": null,
"blacklist": [],
"horizon": null,
"max_leverage": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"preferred_assets": [],
"style": null
},
"deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
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