Logs & Traces
Operational brain of the system ? inspect traces, step timelines, refs, and grouped errors quickly.
Traces
Recent operational runs
last 100 traces
100
loaded into current page
Errors
Grouped inbox
error groups
4
grouped by node / name
Steps
Timeline details
selected trace steps
0
inputs / outputs / refs drill-down
Artifacts
Refs behind the trace
selected trace artifacts
9
clickable refs / raw JSON
Traces list
Last traces with duration, status, error and quick filter
| Trace ID | Started | Duration | Status | Error | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11T22:23:08.045889+00:00 | 2874 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:23:05.083475+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:23:05.082366+00:00 | 793 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T22:22:35.084876+00:00 | 3093 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:22:35.084779+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:22:20.083505+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:22:05.081992+00:00 | 2725 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:21:37.866463+00:00 | 2876 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:21:35.084081+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:21:35.083809+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:21:35.083163+00:00 | 600 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T22:21:05.082247+00:00 | 2507 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:20:50.084638+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:20:35.085682+00:00 | 3016 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:20:35.084901+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:20:05.083854+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:20:05.082788+00:00 | 2792 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:19:35.083744+00:00 | 2529 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:19:35.083688+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:19:20.084263+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:19:07.277379+00:00 | 2868 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:19:05.081882+00:00 | 21 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T22:18:37.823234+00:00 | 2810 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:18:35.108847+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:18:35.089856+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:18:35.088992+00:00 | 594 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T22:18:05.081985+00:00 | 2594 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:17:50.084499+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:17:35.083088+00:00 | 2899 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:17:35.083678+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:17:07.913852+00:00 | 3614 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:17:05.083618+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:17:05.082219+00:00 | 563 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T22:16:35.085228+00:00 | 2721 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:16:35.084690+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:16:20.084721+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:16:05.082652+00:00 | 3442 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:15:35.083836+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:15:35.083817+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:15:35.082557+00:00 | 3238 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:15:05.083561+00:00 | 2829 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:14:50.084673+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:14:35.084364+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:14:35.082842+00:00 | 2496 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:14:07.868749+00:00 | 2736 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:14:05.083489+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:14:05.081955+00:00 | 591 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T22:13:35.088708+00:00 | 2879 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:13:35.083732+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:13:20.084097+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:13:05.081732+00:00 | 2689 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:12:35.099170+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:12:35.086493+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:12:35.085225+00:00 | 2493 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:12:05.082582+00:00 | 2891 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:11:50.083811+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:11:35.083917+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:11:35.082130+00:00 | 3246 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:11:05.089220+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:11:05.081462+00:00 | 2474 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:10:38.426994+00:00 | 2877 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:10:35.084572+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:10:35.082420+00:00 | 1594 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T22:10:20.084927+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:10:05.082156+00:00 | 4395 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:09:37.475752+00:00 | 2819 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:09:35.083815+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:09:35.083801+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:09:35.081541+00:00 | 578 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T22:09:07.939101+00:00 | 2603 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:09:05.083357+00:00 | 603 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T22:08:50.084540+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:08:35.090784+00:00 | 2828 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:08:35.084667+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:08:07.452836+00:00 | 2900 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:08:05.084112+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:08:05.082961+00:00 | 566 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T22:07:37.923481+00:00 | 2847 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:07:35.083668+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:07:35.083141+00:00 | 559 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T22:07:20.084025+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:07:05.082225+00:00 | 2528 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:06:37.741464+00:00 | 2859 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:06:35.102347+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:06:35.086517+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:06:35.083233+00:00 | 619 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T22:06:05.081303+00:00 | 3123 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:05:50.083577+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:05:37.418883+00:00 | 2800 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:05:35.093241+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:05:35.081392+00:00 | 585 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T22:05:05.083955+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:05:05.081879+00:00 | 3428 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:04:35.084553+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:04:35.082350+00:00 | 2581 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:04:20.084278+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:04:05.082683+00:00 | 2656 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:03:35.090434+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:03:35.086960+00:00 | 2933 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T22:03:35.084164+00:00 | ? | ok |
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Trace viewer
Timeline steps, refs, inputs, outputs
trace
ok
No step timeline available for selected trace.
Trace artifacts / refs
refs_json links and artifact drill-down
| Kind | Created | Ref | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| autotrade.status | 2026-04-11T21:01:35.698824+00:00 | artifact://160670 | |
| autotrade.execution.result | 2026-04-11T21:01:35.414986+00:00 | artifact://160669 | |
| trade.attribution | 2026-04-11T21:01:35.413106+00:00 | artifact://160668 | |
| trade.result | 2026-04-11T21:01:35.408891+00:00 | artifact://160667 | |
| autotrade.gate.summary | 2026-04-11T21:01:35.407013+00:00 | artifact://160666 | |
| autotrade.gate.result | 2026-04-11T21:01:35.404687+00:00 | artifact://160665 | |
| trade.intent | 2026-04-11T21:01:35.104541+00:00 | artifact://160664 | |
| autotrade.decision.bundle | 2026-04-11T21:01:35.099373+00:00 | artifact://160663 | |
| autotrade.status | 2026-04-11T21:01:35.084689+00:00 | artifact://160662 |
Error inbox
Latest errors grouped by node / name
ccxt
2026-04-11T22:23:05.082366+00:00
1485 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
tools_3
2026-04-11T22:00:48.321060+00:00
270 errors
Server error '502 Bad Gateway' for url 'https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500&file_type=json&api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d'
For more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/502
fetch_ohlcv_recent
2026-04-11T21:32:35.079618+00:00
9 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
/traces/{trace_id}
2026-04-10T11:39:40.389699+00:00
3 errors
404: trace not found
Error count per hour
Operational pressure snapshot
2026-04-10T22:00:00
25
2026-04-10T23:00:00
44
2026-04-11T00:00:00
36
2026-04-11T01:00:00
23
2026-04-11T02:00:00
31
2026-04-11T03:00:00
39
2026-04-11T04:00:00
35
2026-04-11T05:00:00
48
2026-04-11T06:00:00
33
2026-04-11T07:00:00
43
2026-04-11T08:00:00
51
2026-04-11T09:00:00
39
2026-04-11T10:00:00
44
2026-04-11T11:00:00
42
2026-04-11T12:00:00
50
2026-04-11T13:00:00
39
2026-04-11T14:00:00
41
2026-04-11T15:00:00
27
2026-04-11T16:00:00
35
2026-04-11T17:00:00
37
2026-04-11T18:00:00
45
2026-04-11T19:00:00
28
2026-04-11T20:00:00
54
2026-04-11T21:00:00
50
2026-04-11T22:00:00
17
Refs panel
Fast links to artifact viewer
artifact://160670
artifact://160669
artifact://160668
artifact://160667
artifact://160666
artifact://160665
artifact://160664
artifact://160663
artifact://160527
artifact://160529
artifact://160531
artifact://160532
artifact://160533
artifact://160534
artifact://160499
artifact://160642
artifact://160549
artifact://160512
artifact://160545
artifact://160516
chroma://narratives/463ac0fff4eb20a160cad5d0
artifact://160662
Raw payload preview
Debug view for the page payload
Open raw JSON
{
"artifacts": [
{
"created_at": "2026-04-11T21:01:35.698824+00:00",
"id": 160670,
"kind": "autotrade.status",
"payload": {
"dry_run": false,
"enabled": true,
"exchange": "binance",
"exchange_balance_summary": {
"balances": {},
"error": "AuthenticationError: binanceusdm {\"code\":-2008,\"msg\":\"Invalid Api-Key ID.\"}",
"exchange": "binance",
"market_type": "unknown",
"ok": false,
"raw": null,
"sandbox": true
},
"execution_mode": "sandbox",
"exposure_limit": 1000.0,
"kill_switch": false,
"last_amount": null,
"last_error": null,
"last_gate_decision": "allowed",
"last_gate_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action:hold",
"last_order_id": null,
"last_price": null,
"last_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action",
"last_status": "skipped",
"liquidity_gate": "required",
"local_balance": 0.0,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"position_limit": 250.0,
"same_candle_bucket": "1h:1775941200",
"sandbox": true,
"source": "services.autotrade.runner",
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trace_id": "47910ce04cff40b9afef48c1716478cd",
"ts": "2026-04-11T21:01:35.697497+00:00"
},
"ref": "artifact://160670",
"store": "postgres",
"trace_id": "47910ce04cff40b9afef48c1716478cd"
},
{
"created_at": "2026-04-11T21:01:35.414986+00:00",
"id": 160669,
"kind": "autotrade.execution.result",
"payload": {
"action": "hold",
"base_qty": null,
"confidence": 0.3,
"decision_ref": "artifact://160663",
"dry_run": false,
"exchange": "binance",
"execution_plan": {
"amount": null,
"execution_mode": "None",
"expected_price": null,
"maker_first": null,
"market_type": "spot",
"marketable_limit": null,
"max_reprice_attempts": null,
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"notional_usd": 100.0,
"order_type": "None",
"qualification_class": "None",
"reduce_only": false,
"sandbox": null,
"slice_interval_ms": null,
"slices": null,
"time_in_force": "GTC",
"venue": "binance"
},
"gate": {
"action": "hold",
"blockers": [
{
"code": "strategy.non_executable_action",
"group": "strategy",
"value": "hold"
},
{
"code": "strategy.non_executable_side",
"group": "strategy",
"value": "none"
},
{
"code": "confidence.below_threshold",
"group": "confidence",
"threshold": 0.48,
"value": 0.3
},
{
"code": "quality.trade_intent_autotrade_unsafe",
"group": "quality",
"value": false
},
{
"code": "quality.trade_intent_needs_manual_review",
"group": "quality",
"value": true
},
{
"code": "quality.pipeline_degraded",
"group": "quality",
"value": "degraded"
},
{
"code": "quality.llm_status_not_ok",
"group": "quality",
"value": "exception"
},
{
"code": "quality.bundle_pipeline_degraded",
"group": "quality",
"value": "degraded"
},
{
"code": "quality.meta_filter_skip",
"group": "quality",
"value": 0.0
}
],
"confidence": 0.3,
"decision": "allowed",
"decision_label": "allowed",
"exchange": "binance",
"gate_level": "micro_auto",
"guards": {
"blocking_factors": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"compliance_ok": true,
"execution_ok": null,
"overrides": [
"price_safety_override"
],
"portfolio_ok": null,
"risk_ok": true,
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
]
},
"inputs": {
"action": "hold",
"confidence": 0.3,
"side": "none",
"signal": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"asset": null,
"bearish_contributors": [
"onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
],
"blocked_by": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"blockers": [],
"bullish_contributors": [
"strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
"onchain:bullish:+0.328",
"onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
"onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.15 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
"onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
],
"calibration_score": 1.0,
"candidate_models": [
"tp_eq_sl",
"tp_3sl",
"sl_3tp"
],
"confidence_after_risk": 0.30498637182158883,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.3572042649376092,
"decision_state": "blocked_signal",
"degraded_sources": [],
"ensemble_weights": [
{
"model": "tp_eq_sl",
"weight": 0.2672
},
{
"model": "tp_3sl",
"weight": 0.2307
},
{
"model": "sl_3tp",
"weight": 0.4624
}
],
"evidence_pack": {
"bearish_contributors": [
"onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
],
"bullish_contributors": [
"strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
"onchain:bullish:+0.328",
"onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
"onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.15 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
"onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
],
"degraded_sources": [],
"evidence_summary": "bullish: strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit, onchain:bullish:+0.328, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende, onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.15 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish , onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only",
"neutral_contributors": [
"strategy_factor:ml_directional_bias",
"strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
],
"override_explanation": "price_safety_override"
},
"exit_policy": {
"atr_base": 0.01,
"break_even_trigger": null,
"exit_template": "fixed",
"max_hold_candles": 24,
"partial_tp_levels": [
{
"fraction": 0.5,
"target_distance": 0.015
}
],
"stop_loss": 0.01,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"trailing_activation": null,
"trailing_callback": null,
"trend_factor": 1.0,
"vol_factor": 1.0
},
"hold_cause": null,
"max_position": 6.25,
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.209,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.2322,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1904,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"model": "sl_3tp",
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"slope_price": 0.0,
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},
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},
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},
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"dynamic_sizing": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"quote_notional": null,
"size_multiplier": null
},
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"source_quality_score": 0.88,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trade_class": "paper_only"
},
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"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.3,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"disagreement_score": 0.0,
"entry": {
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"execution_style": null,
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"price": null,
"slices": null,
"type": null
},
"guards": {
"blocking_factors": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"compliance_ok": true,
"execution_ok": null,
"overrides": [
"price_safety_override"
],
"portfolio_ok": null,
"quality_gate_blocked": true,
"quality_gate_reasons": [
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"quality.ml_trust_very_low"
],
"risk_ok": true,
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
]
},
"health": {
"calibration_score": null,
"degraded_sources": [
"supervisor",
"risk"
],
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust_score": null,
"pipeline_quality": "degraded"
},
"llm_status": "exception",
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.209,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.2322,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1904,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
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"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
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"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"reduce_only": false,
"risk": {
"cancel_after_sec": null,
"exit_policy": {
"atr_base": 0.01,
"break_even_trigger": null,
"exit_template": "fixed",
"max_hold_candles": 24,
"partial_tp_levels": [
{
"fraction": 0.5,
"target_distance": 0.015
}
],
"stop_loss": 0.01,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"trailing_activation": null,
"trailing_callback": null,
"trend_factor": 1.0,
"vol_factor": 1.0
},
"stop_loss": 0.03897089,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"time_in_force": "GTC"
},
"side": "None",
"signal": {
"calibration_score": 1.0,
"candidate_models": [
"tp_eq_sl",
"tp_3sl",
"sl_3tp"
],
"ensemble_weights": [
{
"model": "tp_eq_sl",
"weight": 0.2672
},
{
"model": "tp_3sl",
"weight": 0.2307
},
{
"model": "sl_3tp",
"weight": 0.4624
}
],
"exit_policy": {
"atr_base": 0.01,
"break_even_trigger": null,
"exit_template": "fixed",
"max_hold_candles": 24,
"partial_tp_levels": [
{
"fraction": 0.5,
"target_distance": 0.015
}
],
"stop_loss": 0.01,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"trailing_activation": null,
"trailing_callback": null,
"trend_factor": 1.0,
"vol_factor": 1.0
},
"model": "sl_3tp",
"model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
"model_selection_score": 0.462958,
"quality_score": 0.5555,
"realized_vol_short": null,
"regime": {
"regime_confidence": 0.8571,
"regime_factors": {
"bollinger_bandwidth": 0.013345103509515052,
"directional_consistency": 0.0,
"hurst_exp": 0.40943157917656336,
"is_trend_regime": 0.0,
"realized_vol_short": 0.0,
"slope_price": 0.0,
"trend_persistence": 0.6,
"vol_expansion": 0.0
},
"regime_label": "range"
},
"threshold_used": 0.375
},
"size": {
"base_qty": null,
"dynamic_sizing": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"quote_notional": null,
"size_multiplier": null
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"source_quality_score": 0.88,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trade_class": "paper_only"
},
"ts": "2026-04-11T21:01:35.103887+00:00"
},
"ref": "artifact://160664",
"store": "postgres",
"trace_id": "47910ce04cff40b9afef48c1716478cd"
},
{
"created_at": "2026-04-11T21:01:35.099373+00:00",
"id": 160663,
"kind": "autotrade.decision.bundle",
"payload": {
"action": "hold",
"agents": {
"compliance": {
"confidence": 0.0,
"constraints": {},
"decision_override": null,
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output"
],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {},
"trading_allowed": true,
"violations": []
},
"execution": {
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"entry_type": null,
"execution_style": null,
"explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_liquidity",
"ref": "artifact://160370",
"title": "None",
"why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
},
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://160381",
"title": "None",
"why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
}
],
"signal": {},
"slices": null
},
"macro": {
"action": "hold",
"bias": "neutral",
"confidence": 0.5145248783673296,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
"macro_score": null,
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output",
"macro.structural_fallback"
],
"refs_used": [],
"regime": "neutral",
"signal": {
"macro_regime": "neutral",
"macro_structural_factors": [
"crypto_macro_score",
"usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
"equity_risk_off"
],
"macro_structural_score": -0.08758885131189145
}
},
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"confidence": 0.209,
"constraints": {},
"edge_score": 0.2322,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1904,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"mode": "degraded",
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"raw_refs": {},
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"ml_judge": {
"accepted_refs": [],
"agreement_score": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"horizon_fit": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://160549",
"title": "None",
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
],
"rejected_refs": [],
"signal": {},
"trust_score": null,
"usable": null
},
"onchain": {
"bearish_signals": [
"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
],
"bias": "bullish",
"bullish_signals": [
"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
"taker_buy_dominant:1.15 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure)",
"fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
],
"confidence": 0.6856,
"constraints": {},
"data_quality": "live",
"derivatives_signal": "neutral",
"exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
"explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.328). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); taker_buy_dominant:1.15 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
"mode": "deterministic",
"network_signal": "shrinking",
"onchain_available": true,
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "onchain_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://160503",
"title": "None",
"why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
}
],
"score": 0.328,
"signal": {},
"valuation_signal": "unknown"
},
"portfolio": {
"allow_add": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
"exposure_warning": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"recommended_size_multiplier": null,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://160512",
"title": "None",
"why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
}
],
"signal": {}
},
"price": {
"confidence": 0.2951,
"constraints": {},
"expected_close": 71175.73963953655,
"expected_high": 72029.848515211,
"expected_low": 70321.63076386211,
"expected_move_pct": -2.8984201296658583,
"explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"horizon": "1h",
"mode": "degraded",
"path_shape": "trend",
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"price_range_68": {
"high": 74179.89348,
"low": 72420.68651999999
},
"price_range_95": {
"high": 74971.53661199998,
"low": 71629.04338799999
},
"raw_refs": {},
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {
"ml_score": -0.06440933621479684,
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"realized_vol_short": 0.012
},
"sl_hard": 70644.60204942068,
"sl_soft": 71600.64971162923,
"tp1": 73740.09173999999,
"tp2": 74135.913306
},
"rag_judge": {
"accepted_refs": [],
"confidence": null,
"consistency_score": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://160545",
"title": "None",
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
],
"rejected_refs": [],
"relevance_score": null,
"signal": {},
"usable": null
},
"risk": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"active_risk_factors": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"factors_count": 3,
"strategy_confidence": 0.3572042649376092
},
"explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
"id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
"mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.42386408881030774,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
"title": "Signal reliability risk",
"type": "signal_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": 0.00013453325352301226
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"autotrade_allowed": true,
"blocking_risks": [],
"caution_risks": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"factors_count": 3,
"strategy_confidence": 0.3572042649376092
},
"explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
"id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
"mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.42386408881030774,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
"title": "Signal reliability risk",
"type": "signal_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": 0.00013453325352301226
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"confidence": 0.5724931859107945,
"confidence_after_risk": 0.30498637182158883,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.3572042649376092,
"constraints": {},
"degraded_dependencies": [],
"explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.30.",
"explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
"explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.30.",
"manual_review_required": false,
"max_position": 25.0,
"mitigations": [
"Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
],
"mode": "degraded",
"ok": true,
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://160381",
"portfolio": "artifact://160512",
"rag": [],
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://160571"
},
"reasons": [
"signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
"model_degraded_or_fallback",
"policy_short_not_allowed",
"strategy_timing_weak"
],
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://160381",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
},
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://160571",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
},
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://160512",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
}
],
"risk_breakdown": {
"data_risk": {
"score": 0.3333333333333333,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"event_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"execution_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"liquidity_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"market_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"model_risk": {
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated"
},
"policy_risk": {
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high"
},
"portfolio_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"signal_risk": {
"score": 0.42386408881030774,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"strategy_risk": {
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"system_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
}
},
"risk_confidence": 0.8,
"risk_level": "low",
"risk_score": 0.20883566487867333,
"risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"signal": {},
"stop_loss": 0.03897089
},
"sentiment": {
"action": null,
"bias": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"event_strength": null,
"explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "narratives",
"ref": "artifact://160445",
"title": "None",
"why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
}
],
"sentiment_score": null,
"signal": {}
},
"strategy": {
"action": "sell",
"confidence": 0.3572042649376092,
"constraints": {
"allow_short": null,
"blacklist": [],
"horizon": null,
"max_leverage": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"preferred_assets": [],
"style": null
},
"explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
"mode": "deterministic",
"profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://160381",
"ml": [
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://160527\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7743560978422908}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://160529\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9046489583866674}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://160531\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9792707411846974}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://160532\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9043324128141957}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://160533\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9043324128141957}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://160534\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9043324128141957}"
],
"narratives": "artifact://160445",
"news": [],
"rag": []
},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://160381",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
},
{
"kind": "narratives",
"ref": "artifact://160445",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://160527",
"title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://160529",
"title": "tp_3sl:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://160531",
"title": "sl_3tp:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://160532",
"title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://160533",
"title": "ensemble.price:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://160534",
"title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": "BTC",
"bias": "bearish",
"blockers": [],
"direction": "down",
"factors": [
"ml_directional_bias",
"macro_structural_bias",
"long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
],
"macd_hist": null,
"macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
"macro_agent_weight": 0.43734614661223015,
"macro_structural_score": -0.08758885131189145,
"market_momentum": 0.00013453325352301226,
"ml_score": -0.06440933621479684,
"narrative_score": 0.0,
"news_score": 0.0,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"price_vs_slow": 0.0,
"reason_codes": [
"direction_sell"
],
"regime": null,
"rsi": null,
"score": -0.04690390506484342,
"score_deadband": 0.042,
"source": "deterministic_fallback"
}
},
"supervisor": {
"action": "hold",
"blocking_factors": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"confidence": 0.3572042649376092,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
"mode": "degraded",
"overrides": [
"price_safety_override"
],
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "compliance",
"ref": "artifact://160516",
"title": "None",
"why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
},
{
"kind": "portfolio",
"ref": "artifact://160512",
"title": "None",
"why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
},
{
"kind": "macro",
"ref": "artifact://160499",
"title": "None",
"why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
},
{
"kind": "ml_judge",
"ref": "artifact://160549",
"title": "None",
"why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
},
{
"kind": "rag_judge",
"ref": "artifact://160545",
"title": "None",
"why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": null,
"blockers": [],
"max_position": 6.25,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"risk_confidence": 0.5724931859107945,
"risk_ok": true,
"source": "deterministic_fallback",
"stop_loss": 0.03897089,
"strategy_action": "sell",
"strategy_confidence": 0.3572042649376092
},
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
]
},
"trading": {
"action": "sell",
"confidence": 0.3531375983576458,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
"mode": "deterministic",
"raw_refs": {
"compliance": "artifact://160516",
"execution": "artifact://160591",
"risk_agent_output": "artifact://160584",
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://160571"
},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://160571",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
},
{
"kind": "risk_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://160584",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
},
{
"kind": "execution_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://160591",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
},
{
"kind": "compliance_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://160516",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": null,
"blockers": [],
"max_position": 6.25,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"risk_confidence": 0.5724931859107945,
"risk_ok": true,
"source": "deterministic_fallback",
"stop_loss": 0.03897089,
"strategy_action": "sell",
"strategy_confidence": 0.3572042649376092
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},
"trend": {
"confidence": 0.22,
"constraints": {},
"continuation_probability": 0.42,
"evidence": [
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"ml.directional_bias"
],
"explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
"invalidators": [
"momentum_flip",
"range_break_against_direction"
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"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"reversal_probability": 0.58,
"signal": {
"ml_direction": "down",
"momentum": 0.0
},
"trend_direction": "flat",
"trend_horizon": "intraday",
"trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
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}
},
"confidence": 0.3,
"debug": {
"compliance": {
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.0,
"decision_override": null,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output"
],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {},
"trading_allowed": true,
"violations": []
},
"evidence": {
"compliance": "artifact://160516",
"macro": "artifact://160499",
"market": {
"liquidity": "artifact://160370",
"ohlcv": "artifact://160357",
"price": "artifact://160375",
"snapshot": "artifact://160381"
},
"ml": [
"artifact://160527",
"artifact://160529",
"artifact://160531",
"artifact://160532",
"artifact://160533",
"artifact://160534"
],
"narratives": "chroma://narratives/463ac0fff4eb20a160cad5d0",
"news": [],
"portfolio": "artifact://160512",
"rag": []
},
"execution": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_liquidity",
"ref": "artifact://160370",
"title": null,
"why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
},
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://160381",
"title": null,
"why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
}
]
},
"execution_plan": {
"amount": null,
"execution_style": null,
"expected_price": null,
"market_type": "spot",
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"notional_usd": 100.0,
"order_type": null,
"reduce_only": false,
"sandbox": null,
"side": null,
"slices": null,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"time_in_force": "GTC",
"timeframe": "1h",
"venue": "binance"
},
"judgements": {
"ml_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://160549",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
]
},
"rag_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://160545",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
]
}
},
"macro": {
"action": "hold",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"bias": "neutral",
"confidence": 0.5145248783673296,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output",
"macro.structural_fallback"
],
"refs_used": [],
"regime": "neutral",
"signal": {
"macro_regime": "neutral",
"macro_structural_factors": [
"crypto_macro_score",
"usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
"equity_risk_off"
],
"macro_structural_score": -0.08758885131189145
}
},
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.209,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.2322,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1904,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"ml_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://160549",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
]
},
"onchain": {
"action": "buy",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"bearish_signals": [
"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
],
"bias": "bullish",
"bullish_signals": [
"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
"taker_buy_dominant:1.15 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure)",
"fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
],
"confidence": 0.6856,
"data_quality": "live",
"derivatives_signal": "neutral",
"exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
"explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.328). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); taker_buy_dominant:1.15 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
"extra_metrics": {
"avg_funding_rate": -1.4355951597000018e-06,
"btc_dominance_pct": 57.17961710396382,
"btc_hash_rate": 870418165711.027,
"btc_tx_count_24h": 482226,
"defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 6.406845252684514,
"defi_tvl_usd": 97396408618.0,
"fear_greed_index": 15.0,
"fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
"market_cap_change_24h_pct": 0.35652537540716855,
"mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
"okx_funding_rate": 6.46788096806e-05
},
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "deterministic",
"needs_manual_review": false,
"network_signal": "shrinking",
"onchain_available": true,
"quality": "trusted",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "onchain_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://160503",
"title": null,
"why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
}
],
"score": 0.328,
"sources_count": 10,
"valuation_signal": "unknown"
},
"portfolio": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://160512",
"title": null,
"why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
}
]
},
"price": {
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"confidence": 0.2951,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"expected_close": 71175.73963953655,
"expected_high": 72029.848515211,
"expected_low": 70321.63076386211,
"expected_move_pct": -2.8984201296658583,
"explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"horizon": "1h",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"path_shape": "trend",
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"price_range_68": {
"high": 74179.89348,
"low": 72420.68651999999
},
"price_range_95": {
"high": 74971.53661199998,
"low": 71629.04338799999
},
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {
"ml_score": -0.06440933621479684,
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"realized_vol_short": 0.012
},
"sl_hard": 70644.60204942068,
"sl_soft": 71600.64971162923,
"tp1": 73740.09173999999,
"tp2": 74135.913306
},
"rag_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://160545",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
]
},
"risk": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"active_risk_factors": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"factors_count": 3,
"strategy_confidence": 0.3572042649376092
},
"explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
"id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
"mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.42386408881030774,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
"title": "Signal reliability risk",
"type": "signal_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": 0.00013453325352301226
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"autotrade_allowed": true,
"autotrade_safe": false,
"blocking_risks": [],
"caution_risks": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"factors_count": 3,
"strategy_confidence": 0.3572042649376092
},
"explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
"id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
"mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.42386408881030774,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
"title": "Signal reliability risk",
"type": "signal_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": 0.00013453325352301226
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://160381",
"artifact://160571",
"artifact://160512"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"confidence": 0.5724931859107945,
"confidence_after_risk": 0.30498637182158883,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.3572042649376092,
"degraded_dependencies": [],
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.30.",
"explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
"explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.30.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"manual_review_required": false,
"max_position": 25.0,
"meta": {
"allow_short": false,
"max_leverage": 1.0,
"missing_inputs": [
"metrics.atr_pct",
"metrics.spread_bps"
],
"strategy_action": "sell",
"volatility": null
},
"mitigations": [
"Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
],
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"ok": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://160381",
"portfolio": "artifact://160512",
"rag": [],
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://160571"
},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasons": [
"signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
"model_degraded_or_fallback",
"policy_short_not_allowed",
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{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://160571",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
},
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://160512",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
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],
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"severity": "moderate"
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"event_risk": {
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"size_modifier": 0.25
},
"risk_level": "low",
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"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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"style": null
},
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"news": [],
"rag": []
},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
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{
"kind": "narratives",
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"title": null,
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},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://160527",
"title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://160529",
"title": "tp_3sl:1h",
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{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://160531",
"title": "sl_3tp:1h",
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},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://160532",
"title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://160533",
"title": "ensemble.price:1h",
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{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://160534",
"title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
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],
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],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "compliance",
"ref": "artifact://160516",
"title": null,
"why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
},
{
"kind": "portfolio",
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"title": null,
"why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
},
{
"kind": "macro",
"ref": "artifact://160499",
"title": null,
"why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
},
{
"kind": "ml_judge",
"ref": "artifact://160549",
"title": null,
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},
{
"kind": "rag_judge",
"ref": "artifact://160545",
"title": null,
"why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
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},
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],
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},
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},
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],
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],
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"trailing_callback": null,
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],
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{
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{
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"break_even_trigger": null,
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{
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],
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"trailing_callback": null,
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},
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},
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},
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"dynamic_sizing": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"quote_notional": null,
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},
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"mode": "deterministic",
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"quality": "partial",
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"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://160571"
},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://160571",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
},
{
"kind": "risk_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://160584",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
},
{
"kind": "execution_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://160591",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
},
{
"kind": "compliance_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://160516",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
}
],
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"blockers": [],
"max_position": 6.25,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
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},
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],
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],
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"raw_refs": {},
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"momentum": 0.0
},
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}
},
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],
"execution_plan": {
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"expected_price": null,
"maker_first": null,
"market_type": "spot",
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"notional_usd": 100.0,
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"sandbox": null,
"slice_interval_ms": null,
"slices": null,
"time_in_force": "GTC",
"venue": "binance"
},
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"final_summary": {
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],
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],
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"onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.15 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish",
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],
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],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "compliance",
"ref": "artifact://160516",
"title": null,
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},
{
"kind": "portfolio",
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"title": null,
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},
{
"kind": "macro",
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"why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
},
{
"kind": "ml_judge",
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"title": null,
"why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
},
{
"kind": "rag_judge",
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"title": null,
"why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
}
],
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],
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],
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"onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
"onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.15 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
"onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
],
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],
"confidence_after_risk": 0.30498637182158883,
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"decision_state": "blocked_signal",
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"ensemble_weights": [
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