Vanga
News 2026-04-09T21:48:35.146638+00:00
ML 2026-04-13T19:00:52.133267+00:00
Decision 2026-04-13T19:00:52.557140+00:00

Logs & Traces

Operational brain of the system ? inspect traces, step timelines, refs, and grouped errors quickly.

Traces

Recent operational runs
last 100 traces
100
loaded into current page

Errors

Grouped inbox
error groups
4
grouped by node / name

Steps

Timeline details
selected trace steps
0
inputs / outputs / refs drill-down

Artifacts

Refs behind the trace
selected trace artifacts
9
clickable refs / raw JSON

Traces list

Last traces with duration, status, error and quick filter
Trace ID Started Duration Status Error Actions
2026-04-13T19:43:07.915843+00:00 3185 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:43:05.082829+00:00 585 ms error
?
2026-04-13T19:42:35.084585+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-13T19:42:35.084556+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-13T19:42:35.081698+00:00 3331 ms ok
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2026-04-13T19:42:05.081496+00:00 2698 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:41:50.084567+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:41:35.083941+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:41:35.082943+00:00 2549 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:41:05.084342+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:41:05.081298+00:00 2997 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:40:35.084637+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:40:35.081740+00:00 2881 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:40:20.083665+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:40:07.760139+00:00 2832 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:40:05.082488+00:00 602 ms error
?
2026-04-13T19:39:35.084897+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:39:35.084103+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:39:35.081830+00:00 3042 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:39:05.082002+00:00 2727 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:38:50.084352+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:38:35.091772+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:38:35.088001+00:00 2679 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:38:05.083643+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:38:05.083167+00:00 2689 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:37:35.088564+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:37:35.080964+00:00 2459 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:37:20.084163+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:37:08.034367+00:00 2913 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:37:05.082887+00:00 781 ms error
?
2026-04-13T19:36:35.085183+00:00 2953 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:36:35.084586+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:36:35.084510+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:36:07.965857+00:00 2741 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:36:05.082420+00:00 602 ms error
?
2026-04-13T19:35:50.084445+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:35:35.083384+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:35:35.081762+00:00 2923 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:35:08.078363+00:00 3923 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:35:05.083378+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:35:05.081859+00:00 807 ms error
?
2026-04-13T19:34:37.527766+00:00 3192 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:34:35.084839+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:34:35.082963+00:00 613 ms error
?
2026-04-13T19:34:20.084250+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:34:07.989332+00:00 2891 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:34:05.081967+00:00 604 ms error
?
2026-04-13T19:33:35.088401+00:00 2815 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:33:35.083820+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:33:35.083791+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:33:07.630563+00:00 4383 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:33:05.082950+00:00 569 ms error
?
2026-04-13T19:32:50.085078+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:32:35.084824+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:32:35.082843+00:00 2914 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:32:05.083863+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:32:05.082099+00:00 2829 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:31:35.083769+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:31:35.081535+00:00 2817 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:31:20.084907+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:31:05.082252+00:00 2504 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:30:35.102284+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:30:35.082970+00:00 3319 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:30:35.084881+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:30:08.604258+00:00 2972 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:30:05.083419+00:00 1429 ms error
?
2026-04-13T19:29:50.084174+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:29:35.092806+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:29:35.081680+00:00 3277 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:29:07.806477+00:00 2672 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:29:05.083896+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:29:05.082588+00:00 587 ms error
?
2026-04-13T19:28:35.091348+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:28:35.088903+00:00 2548 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:28:20.085372+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:28:05.082268+00:00 2761 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:27:35.084106+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:27:35.084028+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:27:35.082057+00:00 2710 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:27:05.082453+00:00 2592 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:26:50.084735+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:26:35.085625+00:00 2840 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:26:35.084973+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:26:07.676627+00:00 3834 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:26:05.084022+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:26:05.082783+00:00 814 ms error
?
2026-04-13T19:25:35.084251+00:00 2796 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:25:35.083677+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:25:20.083867+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:25:05.082109+00:00 3005 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:24:35.095579+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:24:35.085601+00:00 3479 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:24:35.085017+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:24:07.571353+00:00 3072 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:24:05.082654+00:00 581 ms error
?
2026-04-13T19:23:50.084692+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:23:35.088834+00:00 2820 ms ok
?
2026-04-13T19:23:35.085980+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:23:05.083660+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-13T19:23:05.082556+00:00 2815 ms ok
?

Trace artifacts / refs

refs_json links and artifact drill-down
Kind Created Ref Actions
autotrade.status 2026-04-13T18:01:35.712057+00:00 artifact://238694
autotrade.execution.result 2026-04-13T18:01:35.425912+00:00 artifact://238693
trade.attribution 2026-04-13T18:01:35.424155+00:00 artifact://238692
trade.result 2026-04-13T18:01:35.419424+00:00 artifact://238691
autotrade.gate.summary 2026-04-13T18:01:35.418011+00:00 artifact://238690
autotrade.gate.result 2026-04-13T18:01:35.415626+00:00 artifact://238689
trade.intent 2026-04-13T18:01:35.102838+00:00 artifact://238688
autotrade.decision.bundle 2026-04-13T18:01:35.097848+00:00 artifact://238687
autotrade.status 2026-04-13T18:01:35.094050+00:00 artifact://238686

Error inbox

Latest errors grouped by node / name
ccxt
2026-04-13T19:43:05.082829+00:00
3497 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
tools_3
2026-04-13T19:00:46.763040+00:00
384 errors
Server error '502 Bad Gateway' for url 'https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500&file_type=json&api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d' For more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/502
fetch_ohlcv_recent
2026-04-13T14:10:05.079282+00:00
37 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
/traces/{trace_id}
2026-04-10T11:39:40.389699+00:00
3 errors
404: trace not found

Error count per hour

Operational pressure snapshot
2026-04-12T19:00:00
12
2026-04-12T20:00:00
56
2026-04-12T21:00:00
53
2026-04-12T22:00:00
37
2026-04-12T23:00:00
33
2026-04-13T00:00:00
54
2026-04-13T01:00:00
52
2026-04-13T02:00:00
48
2026-04-13T03:00:00
45
2026-04-13T04:00:00
46
2026-04-13T05:00:00
65
2026-04-13T06:00:00
47
2026-04-13T07:00:00
51
2026-04-13T08:00:00
51
2026-04-13T09:00:00
37
2026-04-13T10:00:00
55
2026-04-13T11:00:00
62
2026-04-13T12:00:00
42
2026-04-13T13:00:00
44
2026-04-13T14:00:00
55
2026-04-13T15:00:00
47
2026-04-13T16:00:00
28
2026-04-13T17:00:00
52
2026-04-13T18:00:00
37
2026-04-13T19:00:00
24

Raw payload preview

Debug view for the page payload
Open raw JSON
{
  "artifacts": [
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-13T18:01:35.712057+00:00",
      "id": 238694,
      "kind": "autotrade.status",
      "payload": {
        "dry_run": false,
        "enabled": true,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "exchange_balance_summary": {
          "balances": {},
          "error": "AuthenticationError: binanceusdm {\"code\":-2008,\"msg\":\"Invalid Api-Key ID.\"}",
          "exchange": "binance",
          "market_type": "unknown",
          "ok": false,
          "raw": null,
          "sandbox": true
        },
        "execution_mode": "sandbox",
        "exposure_limit": 1000.0,
        "kill_switch": false,
        "last_amount": null,
        "last_error": null,
        "last_gate_decision": "allowed",
        "last_gate_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action:hold",
        "last_order_id": null,
        "last_price": null,
        "last_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action",
        "last_status": "skipped",
        "liquidity_gate": "required",
        "local_balance": 0.0,
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "position_limit": 250.0,
        "same_candle_bucket": "1h:1776103200",
        "sandbox": true,
        "source": "services.autotrade.runner",
        "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
        "timeframe": "1h",
        "trace_id": "4e7c353f109f4e8ea4ecd89002d2a1f9",
        "ts": "2026-04-13T18:01:35.710364+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://238694",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "4e7c353f109f4e8ea4ecd89002d2a1f9"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-13T18:01:35.425912+00:00",
      "id": 238693,
      "kind": "autotrade.execution.result",
      "payload": {
        "action": "hold",
        "base_qty": null,
        "confidence": 0.3,
        "decision_ref": "artifact://238687",
        "dry_run": false,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": "None",
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": "None",
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "gate": {
          "action": "hold",
          "blockers": [
            {
              "code": "strategy.non_executable_action",
              "group": "strategy",
              "value": "hold"
            },
            {
              "code": "strategy.non_executable_side",
              "group": "strategy",
              "value": "none"
            },
            {
              "code": "confidence.below_threshold",
              "group": "confidence",
              "threshold": 0.48,
              "value": 0.3
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.trade_intent_autotrade_unsafe",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": false
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.trade_intent_needs_manual_review",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": true
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.pipeline_degraded",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "degraded"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.llm_status_not_ok",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "exception"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.bundle_pipeline_degraded",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "degraded"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.meta_filter_skip",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": 0.0
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.3,
          "decision": "allowed",
          "decision_label": "allowed",
          "exchange": "binance",
          "gate_level": "micro_auto",
          "guards": {
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "inputs": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.3,
            "side": "none",
            "signal": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "asset": null,
              "bearish_contributors": [
                "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
              ],
              "blocked_by": [
                "synthetic_price_only"
              ],
              "blockers": [],
              "bullish_contributors": [
                "strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
                "onchain:bullish:+0.328",
                "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende",
                "onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.18 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
                "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:12/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
              ],
              "calibration_score": 1.0,
              "candidate_models": [
                "tp_eq_sl",
                "tp_3sl",
                "sl_3tp"
              ],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.30486396059716253,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.35706918654459097,
              "decision_state": "blocked_signal",
              "degraded_sources": [],
              "ensemble_weights": [
                {
                  "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                  "weight": 0.3057
                },
                {
                  "model": "tp_3sl",
                  "weight": 0.2371
                },
                {
                  "model": "sl_3tp",
                  "weight": 0.4651
                }
              ],
              "evidence_pack": {
                "bearish_contributors": [
                  "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
                ],
                "bullish_contributors": [
                  "strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
                  "onchain:bullish:+0.328",
                  "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende",
                  "onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.18 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
                  "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:12/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
                ],
                "degraded_sources": [],
                "evidence_summary": "bullish: strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit, onchain:bullish:+0.328, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende, onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.18 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish , onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:12/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only",
                "neutral_contributors": [
                  "strategy_factor:ml_directional_bias",
                  "strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
                ],
                "override_explanation": "price_safety_override"
              },
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "hold_cause": null,
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "meta_decision": {
                "action": "paper_only",
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.2089,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "edge_score": 0.2321,
                "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
                "execution_vote": "allow",
                "expected_value_score": 0.1903,
                "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
                "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
                "reason_codes": [
                  "ml_trust_low"
                ],
                "refs_used": [],
                "risk_vote": "allow",
                "should_trade": false,
                "signal": {
                  "calibration_score": null,
                  "drift_detected": false,
                  "health_state": "unknown",
                  "ml_trust": 0.0,
                  "synthetic_price": true,
                  "trend_direction": "flat"
                },
                "size_multiplier": 0.0,
                "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
                "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
              },
              "model": "sl_3tp",
              "model_runtime_score": 0.512461,
              "model_selection_score": 0.512461,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "preferred_action": "sell",
              "price_agent": {
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.2933,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "expected_close": 70112.11534752892,
                "expected_high": 70953.46073169926,
                "expected_low": 69270.76996335857,
                "expected_move_pct": -2.78148687627261,
                "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
                "horizon": "1h",
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "path_shape": "trend",
                "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                "price_range_68": {
                  "high": 72983.48684000001,
                  "low": 71252.65316
                },
                "price_range_95": {
                  "high": 73762.361996,
                  "low": 70473.778004
                },
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
                "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
                "refs_used": [],
                "signal": {
                  "ml_score": -0.06181081947272467,
                  "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.012
                },
                "sl_hard": 69610.62668441114,
                "sl_soft": 70513.30627802313,
                "tp1": 72550.77842,
                "tp2": 72940.21599800001
              },
              "quality_score": 0.615,
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "regime_confidence": 1.0,
              "regime_factors": {
                "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.021400754164952244,
                "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                "hurst_exp": 0.4550886643707095,
                "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                "slope_price": 0.0,
                "trend_persistence": 0.55,
                "vol_expansion": 0.0
              },
              "regime_label": "range",
              "risk_confidence": 0.5724319802985812,
              "risk_impact": {
                "action_after_risk": "sell",
                "action_before_risk": "sell",
                "blocked_by": [],
                "confidence_after_risk": 0.30486396059716253,
                "confidence_before_risk": 0.35706918654459097,
                "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking.",
                "overrides": [
                  "forbid_short",
                  "reduce_size"
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                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5724319802985812,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.30486396059716253,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.35706918654459097,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.30.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.30.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://238415",
              "portfolio": "artifact://238538",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://238597"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://238415",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://238597",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://238538",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4240819571861436,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.208863987767532,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.0389716
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://238479",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.35706918654459097,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://238415",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://238553\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8862076052017811}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://238555\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9296912755945547}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://238557\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8897590475840734}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://238558\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8980740332773522}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://238559\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8980740332773522}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://238560\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8980740332773522}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://238479",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://238415",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://238479",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://238553",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://238555",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://238557",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://238558",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://238559",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://238560",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bearish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "down",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias",
                "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43728885151662067,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08734811561605337,
              "market_momentum": -0.00042689511284082983,
              "ml_score": -0.06181081947272467,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_sell"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.046671011283777514,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.35706918654459097,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://238542",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://238538",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://238525",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://238575",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://238571",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5724319802985812,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.0389716,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.35706918654459097
            },
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.3530262041434179,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://238542",
              "execution": "artifact://238617",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://238610",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://238597"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://238597",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://238610",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://238617",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://238542",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5724319802985812,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.0389716,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.35706918654459097
            }
          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "down",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "confidence": 0.3,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://238542",
            "macro": "artifact://238525",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://238404",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://238393",
              "price": "artifact://238409",
              "snapshot": "artifact://238415"
            },
            "ml": [
              "artifact://238553",
              "artifact://238555",
              "artifact://238557",
              "artifact://238558",
              "artifact://238559",
              "artifact://238560"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/ede6c44a219d42b480f5bc60",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://238538",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://238404",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://238415",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://238575",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://238571",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
            }
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.514457472372495,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08734811561605337
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2089,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.2321,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1903,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://238575",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "taker_buy_dominant:1.18 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:12/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6856,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.328). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); taker_buy_dominant:1.18 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure); fear_greed_extreme_fear:12/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": -6.113953905335e-05,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 57.09937187201779,
              "btc_hash_rate": 1043120182717.1831,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 721462,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 3.653857268683684,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 95006072445.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 12.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": 1.1390266214639724,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": -6.81890781067e-05
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://238529",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.328,
            "sources_count": 10,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://238538",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2933,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 70112.11534752892,
            "expected_high": 70953.46073169926,
            "expected_low": 69270.76996335857,
            "expected_move_pct": -2.78148687627261,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72983.48684000001,
              "low": 71252.65316
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 73762.361996,
              "low": 70473.778004
            },
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": -0.06181081947272467,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 69610.62668441114,
            "sl_soft": 70513.30627802313,
            "tp1": 72550.77842,
            "tp2": 72940.21599800001
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://238571",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "factors_count": 3,
                  "strategy_confidence": 0.35706918654459097
                },
                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://238415",
                  "artifact://238597",
                  "artifact://238538"
                ],
                "score": 0.4240819571861436,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://238415",
                  "artifact://238597",
                  "artifact://238538"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://238415",
                  "artifact://238597",
                  "artifact://238538"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.00042689511284082983
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://238415",
                  "artifact://238597",
                  "artifact://238538"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "factors_count": 3,
                  "strategy_confidence": 0.35706918654459097
                },
                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://238415",
                  "artifact://238597",
                  "artifact://238538"
                ],
                "score": 0.4240819571861436,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://238415",
                  "artifact://238597",
                  "artifact://238538"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://238415",
                  "artifact://238597",
                  "artifact://238538"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.00042689511284082983
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://238415",
                  "artifact://238597",
                  "artifact://238538"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5724319802985812,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.30486396059716253,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.35706918654459097,
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.30.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.30.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://238415",
              "portfolio": "artifact://238538",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://238597"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://238415",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://238597",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://238538",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4240819571861436,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.30486396059716253,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.35706918654459097,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 0.25
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.208863987767532,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.0389716
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://238479",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "action_tradeable": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "bearish",
            "confidence": 0.35706918654459097,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://238415",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://238553\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8862076052017811}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://238555\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9296912755945547}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://238557\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8897590475840734}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://238558\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8980740332773522}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://238559\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8980740332773522}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://238560\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8980740332773522}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://238479",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://238415",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://238479",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://238553",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://238555",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://238557",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://238558",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://238559",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://238560",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bearish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "down",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias",
                "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43728885151662067,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08734811561605337,
              "market_momentum": -0.00042689511284082983,
              "ml_score": -0.06181081947272467,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_sell"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.046671011283777514,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            },
            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.35706918654459097,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://238542",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://238538",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://238525",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://238575",
                "title": null,
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://238571",
                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.30486396059716253,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.35706918654459097,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 0.25
            },
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5724319802985812,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.0389716,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.35706918654459097
            },
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "system_status": {
            "agents": {
              "compliance_mode": "degraded",
              "execution_mode": "llm_error",
              "macro_mode": "degraded",
              "meta_decision_mode": "degraded",
              "ml_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "portfolio_mode": "llm_error",
              "price_mode": "degraded",
              "rag_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "risk_mode": "degraded",
              "sentiment_mode": "llm_error",
              "strategy_mode": "deterministic",
              "supervisor_mode": "degraded",
              "trading_mode": "deterministic",
              "trend_mode": "degraded"
            },
            "compliance_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "macro_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "ml_predictions_status": {
              "count": 6,
              "usable": false
            },
            "narratives": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            },
            "news_status": {
              "count": 0
            },
            "portfolio_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "rag": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            }
          },
          "trade_intent": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.3,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "entry": {
              "aggressiveness": "neutral",
              "execution_style": null,
              "max_slippage_bps": null,
              "price": null,
              "slices": null,
              "type": null
            },
            "guards": {
              "blocking_factors": [
                "synthetic_price_only"
              ],
              "compliance_ok": true,
              "execution_ok": null,
              "overrides": [
                "price_safety_override"
              ],
              "portfolio_ok": null,
              "quality_gate_blocked": true,
              "quality_gate_reasons": [
                "quality.supervisor_degraded",
                "quality.ml_trust_very_low"
              ],
              "risk_ok": true,
              "winner_factors": [
                "risk_approved",
                "compliance_clear",
                "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
              ]
            },
            "health": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "degraded_sources": [
                "supervisor",
                "risk"
              ],
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust_score": null,
              "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "meta_decision": {
              "action": "paper_only",
              "autotrade_safe": false,
              "confidence": 0.2089,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "edge_score": 0.2321,
              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.1903,
              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "reason_codes": [
                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
              "signal": {
                "calibration_score": null,
                "drift_detected": false,
                "health_state": "unknown",
                "ml_trust": 0.0,
                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
              },
              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reduce_only": false,
            "risk": {
              "cancel_after_sec": null,
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "stop_loss": 0.0389716,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "time_in_force": "GTC"
            },
            "side": null,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": 1.0,
              "candidate_models": [
                "tp_eq_sl",
                "tp_3sl",
                "sl_3tp"
              ],
              "ensemble_weights": [
                {
                  "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                  "weight": 0.3057
                },
                {
                  "model": "tp_3sl",
                  "weight": 0.2371
                },
                {
                  "model": "sl_3tp",
                  "weight": 0.4651
                }
              ],
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "model": "sl_3tp",
              "model_runtime_score": 0.512461,
              "model_selection_score": 0.512461,
              "quality_score": 0.615,
              "realized_vol_short": null,
              "regime": {
                "regime_confidence": 1.0,
                "regime_factors": {
                  "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.021400754164952244,
                  "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                  "hurst_exp": 0.4550886643707095,
                  "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                  "slope_price": 0.0,
                  "trend_persistence": 0.55,
                  "vol_expansion": 0.0
                },
                "regime_label": "range"
              },
              "threshold_used": 0.35
            },
            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "dynamic_sizing": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "quote_notional": null,
              "size_multiplier": null
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "trade_class": "paper_only"
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "sell",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.3530262041434179,
            "degradation_blockers": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://238542",
              "execution": "artifact://238617",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://238610",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://238597"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://238597",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://238610",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://238617",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://238542",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5724319802985812,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.0389716,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.35706918654459097
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            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "trend": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "down",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "degraded_sources": [
          "supervisor",
          "risk"
        ],
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": "None",
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": "None",
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
        "final_summary": {
          "action": "hold",
          "bearish_contributors": [
            "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
          ],
          "blocking_factors": [
            "synthetic_price_only"
          ],
          "bullish_contributors": [
            "strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
            "onchain:bullish:+0.328",
            "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende",
            "onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.18 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish",
            "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:12/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
          ],
          "confidence": 0.3,
          "degraded_sources": [],
          "evidence_summary": "bullish: strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit, onchain:bullish:+0.328, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende, onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.18 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish , onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:12/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only",
          "override_explanation": "price_safety_override",
          "overrides": [
            "price_safety_override"
          ],
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "compliance",
              "ref": "artifact://238542",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio",
              "ref": "artifact://238538",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
            },
            {
              "kind": "macro",
              "ref": "artifact://238525",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_judge",
              "ref": "artifact://238575",
              "title": null,
              "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
            },
            {
              "kind": "rag_judge",
              "ref": "artifact://238571",
              "title": null,
              "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
            }
          ],
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            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "asset": null,
            "bearish_contributors": [
              "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
            ],
            "blocked_by": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "blockers": [],
            "bullish_contributors": [
              "strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
              "onchain:bullish:+0.328",
              "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende",
              "onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.18 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
              "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:12/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
            ],
            "calibration_score": 1.0,
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            "confidence_before_risk": 0.35706918654459097,
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              {
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              },
              {
                "model": "sl_3tp",
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            ],
            "evidence_pack": {
              "bearish_contributors": [
                "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
              ],
              "bullish_contributors": [
                "strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
                "onchain:bullish:+0.328",
                "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende",
                "onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.18 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
                "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:12/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
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              "degraded_sources": [],
              "evidence_summary": "bullish: strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit, onchain:bullish:+0.328, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende, onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.18 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish , onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:12/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only",
              "neutral_contributors": [
                "strategy_factor:ml_directional_bias",
                "strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "override_explanation": "price_safety_override"
            },
            "exit_policy": {
              "atr_base": 0.01,
              "break_even_trigger": null,
              "exit_template": "fixed",
              "max_hold_candles": 24,
              "partial_tp_levels": [
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                  "fraction": 0.5,
                  "target_distance": 0.015
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              ],
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              "take_profit": 0.02,
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              "trailing_callback": null,
              "trend_factor": 1.0,
              "vol_factor": 1.0
            },
            "hold_cause": null,
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              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "edge_score": 0.2321,
              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.1903,
              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
              "signal": {
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                "drift_detected": false,
                "health_state": "unknown",
                "ml_trust": 0.0,
                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
              },
              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
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            "model_runtime_score": 0.512461,
            "model_selection_score": 0.512461,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "preferred_action": "sell",
            "price_agent": {
              "autotrade_safe": false,
              "confidence": 0.2933,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "expected_close": 70112.11534752892,
              "expected_high": 70953.46073169926,
              "expected_low": 69270.76996335857,
              "expected_move_pct": -2.78148687627261,
              "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
              "horizon": "1h",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "path_shape": "trend",
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
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                "low": 71252.65316
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                "high": 73762.361996,
                "low": 70473.778004
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              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
              "refs_used": [],
              "signal": {
                "ml_score": -0.06181081947272467,
                "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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              "sl_hard": 69610.62668441114,
              "sl_soft": 70513.30627802313,
              "tp1": 72550.77842,
              "tp2": 72940.21599800001
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            "quality_score": 0.615,
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "regime_confidence": 1.0,
            "regime_factors": {
              "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.021400754164952244,
              "directional_consistency": 0.0,
              "hurst_exp": 0.4550886643707095,
              "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
              "slope_price": 0.0,
              "trend_persistence": 0.55,
              "vol_expansion": 0.0
            },
            "regime_label": "range",
            "risk_confidence": 0.5724319802985812,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.30486396059716253,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.35706918654459097,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 4 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 0.25
            },
            "risk_ok": true,
            "risk_overrides": [
              "forbid_short",
              "reduce_size"
            ],
            "selected_model": "sl_3tp",
            "sl": 0.01,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback",
            "stop_loss": 0.0389716,
            "strategy_action": "sell",
            "strategy_confidence": 0.35706918654459097,
            "take_profit": 0.02,
            "threshold_used": 0.35,
            "tp": 0.02,
            "trend_agent": {
              "autotrade_safe": false,
              "confidence": 0.22,
              "continuation_probability": 0.42,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "evidence": [
                "market.momentum",
                "ml.directional_bias"
              ],
              "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
              "invalidators": [
                "momentum_flip",
                "range_break_against_direction"
              ],
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
              "refs_used": [],
              "reversal_probability": 0.58,
              "signal": {
                "ml_direction": "down",
                "momentum": 0.0
              },
              "trend_direction": "flat",
              "trend_horizon": "intraday",
              "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
              "trend_strength": 0.0
            }
          },
          "why": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
          "winner_factors": [
            "risk_approved",
            "compliance_clear",
            "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
          ]
        },
        "pipeline_quality": "degraded",
        "refs": {
          "artifacts": [],
          "compliance": "artifact://238542",
          "decision": "artifact://238668",
          "extras": {},
          "macro": "artifact://238525",
          "market": {
            "liquidity": "artifact://238404",
            "ohlcv": "artifact://238393",
            "price": "artifact://238409",
            "snapshot": "artifact://238415"
          },
          "ml": [
            "artifact://238553",
            "artifact://238555",
            "artifact://238557",
            "artifact://238558",
            "artifact://238559",
            "artifact://238560"
          ],
          "ml_judge": "artifact://238575",
          "narratives": "chroma://narratives/ede6c44a219d42b480f5bc60",
          "news": [],
          "portfolio": "artifact://238538",
          "rag": [],
          "rag_judge": "artifact://238571",
          "steps": {
            "chat_context": "artifact://238373",
            "compliance_agent": "artifact://238631",
            "compliance_snapshot": "artifact://238543",
            "decision_bundle": "artifact://238670",
            "execution_agent": "artifact://238617",
            "macro_agent": "artifact://238583",
            "macro_snapshot": "artifact://238526",
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://238416",
            "meta_decision": "artifact://238665",
            "ml_judge_agent": "artifact://238645",
            "ml_judgement": "artifact://238576",
            "ml_predictions": "artifact://238562",
            "narratives": "artifact://238484",
            "news_events": "artifact://238425",
            "onchain_agent": "artifact://238535",
            "onchain_snapshot": "artifact://238530",
            "portfolio_agent": "artifact://238624",
            "portfolio_snapshot": "artifact://238539",
            "price_agent": "artifact://238603",
            "profile_summary": "artifact://238371",
            "rag_context": "artifact://238448",
            "rag_judge_agent": "artifact://238638",
            "rag_judgement": "artifact://238572",
            "risk_agent": "artifact://238610",
            "risk_snapshot": "artifact://238669",
            "run": "artifact://238672",
            "sentiment_agent": "artifact://238590",
            "strategy_agent": "artifact://238597",
            "supervisor_agent": "artifact://238659",
            "trading_agent": "artifact://238652",
            "trend_agent": "artifact://238568"
          }
        },
        "signal": {
          "action_after_risk": "sell",
          "action_before_risk": "sell",
          "asset": null,
          "bearish_contributors": [
            "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
          ],
          "blocked_by": [
            "synthetic_price_only"
          ],
          "blockers": [],
          "bullish_contributors": [
            "strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
            "onchain:bullish:+0.328",
            "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende",
            "onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.18 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
            "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:12/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
          ],
          "calibration_score": 1.0,
          "candidate_models": [
            "tp_eq_sl",
            "tp_3sl",
            "sl_3tp"
          ],
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.30486396059716253,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.35706918654459097,
          "decision_state": "blocked_signal",
          "degraded_sources": [],
          "ensemble_weights": [
            {
              "model": "tp_eq_sl",
              "weight": 0.3057
            },
            {
              "model": "tp_3sl",
              "weight": 0.2371
            },
            {
              "model": "sl_3tp",
              "weight": 0.4651
            }
          ],
          "evidence_pack": {
            "bearish_contributors": [
              "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
            ],
            "bullish_contributors": [
              "strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
              "onchain:bullish:+0.328",
              "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende",
              "onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.18 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
              "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:12/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
            ],
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