Vanga
News 2026-04-09T21:48:35.146638+00:00
ML 2026-04-14T22:00:52.404168+00:00
Decision 2026-04-14T22:00:52.829497+00:00

Logs & Traces

Operational brain of the system ? inspect traces, step timelines, refs, and grouped errors quickly.

Traces

Recent operational runs
last 100 traces
100
loaded into current page

Errors

Grouped inbox
error groups
4
grouped by node / name

Steps

Timeline details
selected trace steps
0
inputs / outputs / refs drill-down

Artifacts

Refs behind the trace
selected trace artifacts
9
clickable refs / raw JSON

Traces list

Last traces with duration, status, error and quick filter
Trace ID Started Duration Status Error Actions
2026-04-14T22:29:07.799376+00:00 2733 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:29:05.084079+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-14T22:29:05.082059+00:00 535 ms error
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2026-04-14T22:28:35.088543+00:00 2770 ms ok
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2026-04-14T22:28:35.084758+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:28:20.083694+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-14T22:28:07.729911+00:00 2529 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:28:05.082619+00:00 562 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:27:42.123871+00:00 526 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:27:37.431285+00:00 584 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:27:35.084011+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:27:35.083959+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:27:35.081961+00:00 595 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:27:07.147890+00:00 2875 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:27:05.081444+00:00 18 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:26:50.084387+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:26:41.275134+00:00 2784 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:26:37.407965+00:00 556 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:26:35.084536+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:26:35.081742+00:00 560 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:26:05.083465+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:26:05.081967+00:00 2433 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:25:35.083923+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:25:35.082103+00:00 3072 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:25:20.083720+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:25:05.081719+00:00 2712 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:24:35.087803+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:24:35.086720+00:00 3307 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:24:35.083819+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:24:07.860031+00:00 3579 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:24:05.081139+00:00 752 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:23:50.084817+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:23:35.089901+00:00 2804 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:23:35.085003+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:23:05.083805+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:23:05.081635+00:00 2652 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:22:35.084952+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:22:35.081982+00:00 2561 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:22:20.083725+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:22:05.083643+00:00 2885 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:21:35.084180+00:00 3613 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:21:35.084041+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:21:35.083914+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:21:05.082097+00:00 2493 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:20:50.083967+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:20:37.474517+00:00 3779 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:20:35.085090+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:20:35.082066+00:00 586 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:20:05.083488+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-14T22:20:05.081986+00:00 2857 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:19:35.083692+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:19:35.081692+00:00 2850 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:19:20.084875+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-14T22:19:05.082480+00:00 2408 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:18:41.429008+00:00 2847 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:18:37.787986+00:00 558 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:18:35.121037+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:18:35.115518+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-14T22:18:35.087047+00:00 583 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:18:05.081696+00:00 2696 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:17:50.083971+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:17:35.083692+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:17:35.081784+00:00 2432 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:17:05.083670+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:17:05.082171+00:00 2884 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:16:37.389381+00:00 2803 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:16:35.084897+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:16:35.082218+00:00 562 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:16:20.083847+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:16:10.761546+00:00 540 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:16:07.356313+00:00 19 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:16:05.081577+00:00 22 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:15:38.490457+00:00 2719 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:15:35.083740+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:15:35.083684+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:15:35.082222+00:00 1466 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:15:05.082512+00:00 3025 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:14:50.084618+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:14:35.084504+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:14:35.081430+00:00 2839 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:14:07.861783+00:00 2779 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:14:05.083661+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:14:05.081644+00:00 585 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:13:35.085842+00:00 2852 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:13:35.085783+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:13:20.083936+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:13:05.081382+00:00 2517 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:12:35.098122+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:12:35.084981+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:12:35.082038+00:00 2768 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:12:09.012104+00:00 3751 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:12:05.081309+00:00 1962 ms error
?
2026-04-14T22:11:50.083698+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:11:35.084128+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:11:35.082920+00:00 2855 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:11:05.083654+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:11:05.082419+00:00 2477 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:10:35.084777+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-14T22:10:35.082571+00:00 3064 ms ok
?
2026-04-14T22:10:20.084077+00:00 ? ok
?

Trace artifacts / refs

refs_json links and artifact drill-down
Kind Created Ref Actions
autotrade.status 2026-04-14T21:01:35.665993+00:00 artifact://285493
autotrade.execution.result 2026-04-14T21:01:35.396107+00:00 artifact://285492
trade.attribution 2026-04-14T21:01:35.394395+00:00 artifact://285491
trade.result 2026-04-14T21:01:35.389463+00:00 artifact://285490
autotrade.gate.summary 2026-04-14T21:01:35.388012+00:00 artifact://285489
autotrade.gate.result 2026-04-14T21:01:35.385680+00:00 artifact://285488
trade.intent 2026-04-14T21:01:35.099149+00:00 artifact://285487
autotrade.decision.bundle 2026-04-14T21:01:35.088031+00:00 artifact://285486
autotrade.status 2026-04-14T21:01:35.084362+00:00 artifact://285484

Error inbox

Latest errors grouped by node / name
ccxt
2026-04-14T22:29:05.082059+00:00
4768 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
tools_3
2026-04-14T22:00:47.913690+00:00
456 errors
Server error '502 Bad Gateway' for url 'https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500&file_type=json&api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d' For more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/502
fetch_ohlcv_recent
2026-04-14T22:27:35.079050+00:00
62 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
/traces/{trace_id}
2026-04-10T11:39:40.389699+00:00
3 errors
404: trace not found

Error count per hour

Operational pressure snapshot
2026-04-13T22:00:00
29
2026-04-13T23:00:00
43
2026-04-14T00:00:00
55
2026-04-14T01:00:00
54
2026-04-14T02:00:00
56
2026-04-14T03:00:00
50
2026-04-14T04:00:00
59
2026-04-14T05:00:00
44
2026-04-14T06:00:00
61
2026-04-14T07:00:00
47
2026-04-14T08:00:00
48
2026-04-14T09:00:00
48
2026-04-14T10:00:00
52
2026-04-14T11:00:00
56
2026-04-14T12:00:00
68
2026-04-14T13:00:00
60
2026-04-14T14:00:00
46
2026-04-14T15:00:00
43
2026-04-14T16:00:00
40
2026-04-14T17:00:00
53
2026-04-14T18:00:00
58
2026-04-14T19:00:00
47
2026-04-14T20:00:00
52
2026-04-14T21:00:00
55
2026-04-14T22:00:00
29

Raw payload preview

Debug view for the page payload
Open raw JSON
{
  "artifacts": [
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T21:01:35.665993+00:00",
      "id": 285493,
      "kind": "autotrade.status",
      "payload": {
        "dry_run": false,
        "enabled": true,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "exchange_balance_summary": {
          "balances": {},
          "error": "AuthenticationError: binanceusdm {\"code\":-2008,\"msg\":\"Invalid Api-Key ID.\"}",
          "exchange": "binance",
          "market_type": "unknown",
          "ok": false,
          "raw": null,
          "sandbox": true
        },
        "execution_mode": "sandbox",
        "exposure_limit": 1000.0,
        "kill_switch": false,
        "last_amount": null,
        "last_error": null,
        "last_gate_decision": "allowed",
        "last_gate_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action:unknown",
        "last_order_id": null,
        "last_price": null,
        "last_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action",
        "last_status": "skipped",
        "liquidity_gate": "required",
        "local_balance": 0.0,
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "position_limit": 250.0,
        "same_candle_bucket": "1h:1776200400",
        "sandbox": true,
        "source": "services.autotrade.runner",
        "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
        "timeframe": "1h",
        "trace_id": "6149affd27284b3190d2e62991c43379",
        "ts": "2026-04-14T21:01:35.664798+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://285493",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "6149affd27284b3190d2e62991c43379"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T21:01:35.396107+00:00",
      "id": 285492,
      "kind": "autotrade.execution.result",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "base_qty": null,
        "confidence": 0.2,
        "decision_ref": "artifact://285486",
        "dry_run": false,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": "None",
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": "None",
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "gate": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "blockers": [
            {
              "code": "strategy.non_executable_action",
              "group": "strategy",
              "value": "unknown"
            },
            {
              "code": "strategy.non_executable_side",
              "group": "strategy",
              "value": "none"
            },
            {
              "code": "confidence.below_threshold",
              "group": "confidence",
              "threshold": 0.48,
              "value": 0.2
            },
            {
              "code": "confidence.below_no_llm_threshold",
              "group": "confidence",
              "mode": "deterministic_fallback",
              "threshold": 0.45,
              "value": 0.2
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.trade_intent_autotrade_unsafe",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": false
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.pipeline_degraded",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "degraded"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.llm_status_not_ok",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "exception"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.bundle_pipeline_degraded",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "degraded"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.meta_filter_skip",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": 0.0
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.2,
          "decision": "allowed",
          "decision_label": "allowed",
          "exchange": "binance",
          "gate_level": "micro_auto",
          "guards": {
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
            ]
          },
          "inputs": {
            "action": "unknown",
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "side": "none",
            "signal": {
              "action_after_risk": "hold",
              "action_before_risk": "hold",
              "asset": null,
              "bearish_contributors": [
                "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
              ],
              "blocked_by": [],
              "blockers": [],
              "bullish_contributors": [
                "onchain:bullish:+0.228",
                "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende",
                "onchain_detail:ls_ratio_low:0.65 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (b",
                "onchain_detail:fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish"
              ],
              "calibration_score": 1.0,
              "candidate_models": [
                "tp_eq_sl",
                "tp_3sl",
                "sl_3tp"
              ],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.21208048124861856,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.23445533542611774,
              "decision_state": "conflicting_signal",
              "degraded_sources": [],
              "ensemble_weights": [
                {
                  "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                  "weight": 0.6274
                },
                {
                  "model": "tp_3sl",
                  "weight": 0.5026
                },
                {
                  "model": "sl_3tp",
                  "weight": 0.5963
                }
              ],
              "evidence_pack": {
                "bearish_contributors": [
                  "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
                ],
                "bullish_contributors": [
                  "onchain:bullish:+0.228",
                  "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende",
                  "onchain_detail:ls_ratio_low:0.65 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (b",
                  "onchain_detail:fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish"
                ],
                "degraded_sources": [],
                "evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.228, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende, onchain_detail:ls_ratio_low:0.65 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (b, onchain_detail:fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a",
                "neutral_contributors": [
                  "strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
                ],
                "override_explanation": null
              },
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "hold_cause": "conflicting_signal",
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "meta_decision": {
                "action": "paper_only",
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.2,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "edge_score": 0.1524,
                "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
                "execution_vote": "allow",
                "expected_value_score": 0.125,
                "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
                "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
                "reason_codes": [
                  "ml_trust_low"
                ],
                "refs_used": [],
                "risk_vote": "allow",
                "should_trade": false,
                "signal": {
                  "calibration_score": null,
                  "drift_detected": false,
                  "health_state": "unknown",
                  "ml_trust": 0.0,
                  "synthetic_price": true,
                  "trend_direction": "flat"
                },
                "size_multiplier": 0.0,
                "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
                "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
              },
              "model": "sl_3tp",
              "model_runtime_score": 0.641568,
              "model_selection_score": 0.641568,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "preferred_action": "hold",
              "price_agent": {
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.2581,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "expected_close": 74498.63349082186,
                "expected_high": 75392.61709271172,
                "expected_low": 73604.64988893199,
                "expected_move_pct": 0.5237226719855425,
                "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
                "horizon": "1h",
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "path_shape": "chop",
                "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                "price_range_68": {
                  "high": 74999.826,
                  "low": 73221.174
                },
                "price_range_95": {
                  "high": 75800.2194,
                  "low": 72420.7806
                },
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
                "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
                "refs_used": [],
                "signal": {
                  "ml_score": 0.011638281599678722,
                  "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.012
                },
                "sl_hard": 73181.15433,
                "sl_soft": 73665.837,
                "tp1": 74943.29649082186,
                "tp2": 75343.49319082186
              },
              "quality_score": 0.7699,
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "regime_confidence": 0.7778,
              "regime_factors": {
                "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.01863008327072708,
                "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                "hurst_exp": 0.4927509510514331,
                "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                "slope_price": 0.0,
                "trend_persistence": 0.65,
                "vol_expansion": 0.0
              },
              "regime_label": "range",
              "risk_confidence": 0.5260402406243092,
              "risk_impact": {
                "action_after_risk": "hold",
                "action_before_risk": "hold",
                "blocked_by": [],
                "confidence_after_risk": 0.21208048124861856,
                "confidence_before_risk": 0.23445533542611774,
                "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
                "overrides": [
                  "allow"
                ],
                "size_modifier": 1.0
              },
              "risk_ok": true,
              "risk_overrides": [
                "allow"
              ],
              "selected_model": "sl_3tp",
              "sl": 0.01,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
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              "strategy_confidence": 0.23445533542611774,
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                "weight": 0.5026
              },
              {
                "model": "sl_3tp",
                "weight": 0.5963
              }
            ],
            "exit_policy": {
              "atr_base": 0.01,
              "break_even_trigger": null,
              "exit_template": "fixed",
              "max_hold_candles": 24,
              "partial_tp_levels": [
                {
                  "fraction": 0.5,
                  "target_distance": 0.015
                }
              ],
              "stop_loss": 0.01,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "trailing_activation": null,
              "trailing_callback": null,
              "trend_factor": 1.0,
              "vol_factor": 1.0
            },
            "model": "sl_3tp",
            "model_runtime_score": 0.641568,
            "model_selection_score": 0.641568,
            "quality_score": 0.7699,
            "realized_vol_short": null,
            "regime": {
              "regime_confidence": 0.7778,
              "regime_factors": {
                "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.01863008327072708,
                "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                "hurst_exp": 0.4927509510514331,
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                "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                "slope_price": 0.0,
                "trend_persistence": 0.65,
                "vol_expansion": 0.0
              },
              "regime_label": "range"
            },
            "threshold_used": 0.375
          },
          "size": {
            "base_qty": null,
            "dynamic_sizing": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "quote_notional": null,
            "size_multiplier": null
          },
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
          "source_quality_score": 0.64,
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "trade_class": "paper_only"
        },
        "trade_intent": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.2,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "disagreement_score": 0.0,
          "entry": {
            "aggressiveness": "neutral",
            "execution_style": null,
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "price": null,
            "slices": null,
            "type": null
          },
          "guards": {
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
            ]
          },
          "health": {
            "calibration_score": null,
            "degraded_sources": [
              "strategy",
              "trading",
              "supervisor",
              "risk"
            ],
            "drift_detected": false,
            "health_state": "unknown",
            "ml_trust_score": null,
            "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
          },
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1524,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.125,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "needs_manual_review": false,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027]",
          "reason_codes": [
            "ml_trust_low"
          ],
          "reduce_only": false,
          "risk": {
            "cancel_after_sec": null,
            "exit_policy": {
              "atr_base": 0.01,
              "break_even_trigger": null,
              "exit_template": "fixed",
              "max_hold_candles": 24,
              "partial_tp_levels": [
                {
                  "fraction": 0.5,
                  "target_distance": 0.015
                }
              ],
              "stop_loss": 0.01,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "trailing_activation": null,
              "trailing_callback": null,
              "trend_factor": 1.0,
              "vol_factor": 1.0
            },
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
            "take_profit": 0.02,
            "time_in_force": "GTC"
          },
          "side": "None",
          "signal": {
            "calibration_score": 1.0,
            "candidate_models": [
              "tp_eq_sl",
              "tp_3sl",
              "sl_3tp"
            ],
            "ensemble_weights": [
              {
                "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                "weight": 0.6274
              },
              {
                "model": "tp_3sl",
                "weight": 0.5026
              },
              {
                "model": "sl_3tp",
                "weight": 0.5963
              }
            ],
            "exit_policy": {
              "atr_base": 0.01,
              "break_even_trigger": null,
              "exit_template": "fixed",
              "max_hold_candles": 24,
              "partial_tp_levels": [
                {
                  "fraction": 0.5,
                  "target_distance": 0.015
                }
              ],
              "stop_loss": 0.01,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "trailing_activation": null,
              "trailing_callback": null,
              "trend_factor": 1.0,
              "vol_factor": 1.0
            },
            "model": "sl_3tp",
            "model_runtime_score": 0.641568,
            "model_selection_score": 0.641568,
            "quality_score": 0.7699,
            "realized_vol_short": null,
            "regime": {
              "regime_confidence": 0.7778,
              "regime_factors": {
                "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.01863008327072708,
                "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                "hurst_exp": 0.4927509510514331,
                "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                "slope_price": 0.0,
                "trend_persistence": 0.65,
                "vol_expansion": 0.0
              },
              "regime_label": "range"
            },
            "threshold_used": 0.375
          },
          "size": {
            "base_qty": null,
            "dynamic_sizing": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "quote_notional": null,
            "size_multiplier": null
          },
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
          "source_quality_score": 0.64,
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "trade_class": "paper_only"
        },
        "ts": "2026-04-14T21:01:35.098473+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://285487",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "6149affd27284b3190d2e62991c43379"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T21:01:35.088031+00:00",
      "id": 285486,
      "kind": "autotrade.decision.bundle",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://285199",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285210",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5146388091966819,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08799574713100672
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.1524,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.125,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://285380",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "ls_ratio_low:0.65 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish)",
              "fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); ls_ratio_low:0.65 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish); fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285334",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.228,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285343",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.2581,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 74498.63349082186,
            "expected_high": 75392.61709271172,
            "expected_low": 73604.64988893199,
            "expected_move_pct": 0.5237226719855425,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "chop",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 74999.826,
              "low": 73221.174
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 75800.2194,
              "low": 72420.7806
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.011638281599678722,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 73181.15433,
            "sl_soft": 73665.837,
            "tp1": 74943.29649082186,
            "tp2": 75343.49319082186
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://285376",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://285210",
                  "artifact://285402",
                  "artifact://285343"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://285210",
                  "artifact://285402",
                  "artifact://285343"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://285210",
                  "artifact://285402",
                  "artifact://285343"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://285210",
                  "artifact://285402",
                  "artifact://285343"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5260402406243092,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.21208048124861856,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.23445533542611774,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [
              "strategy_agent_degraded"
            ],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.23-\u003e0.21.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.23-\u003e0.21.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://285210",
              "portfolio": "artifact://285343",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://285402"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285210",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://285402",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285343",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://285274",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.23445533542611774,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://285210",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://285358\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8293283457029864}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://285360\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8940844980271325}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://285362\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9111865717831185}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://285363\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8764577843159057}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://285364\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8764577843159057}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://285365\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8764577843159057}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://285274",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285210",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://285274",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://285358",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://285360",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://285362",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://285363",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://285364",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://285365",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "neutral",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "neutral",
              "factors": [
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4374429878171796,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08799574713100672,
              "market_momentum": 0.00011079279736167943,
              "ml_score": 0.011638281599678722,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "hold_deadband"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.012046112855098108,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
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          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "confidence": 0.2685932379362429,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://285347",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://285343",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://285326",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://285380",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://285376",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5260402406243092,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.23445533542611774
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            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
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          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.2685932379362429,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://285347",
              "execution": "artifact://285422",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://285415",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://285402"
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            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://285402",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://285415",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://285422",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285347",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5260402406243092,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.23445533542611774
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          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
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            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
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            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "neutral",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "confidence": 0.2,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
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            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://285347",
            "macro": "artifact://285326",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://285199",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://285190",
              "price": "artifact://285204",
              "snapshot": "artifact://285210"
            },
            "ml": [
              "artifact://285358",
              "artifact://285360",
              "artifact://285362",
              "artifact://285363",
              "artifact://285364",
              "artifact://285365"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/274d2d7ba797a07412a76ee3",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://285343",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://285199",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285210",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://285380",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://285376",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
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          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5146388091966819,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
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              "macro_structural_score": -0.08799574713100672
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1524,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.125,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://285380",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
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          "onchain": {
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            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "ls_ratio_low:0.65 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish)",
              "fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish"
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            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); ls_ratio_low:0.65 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish); fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": -0.00010620611542965,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 57.39858237700224,
              "btc_hash_rate": 1056936344077.6755,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 575027,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 2.125708417242496,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 96951997505.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 21.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": 1.0085856704754714,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": -0.0001600722308593
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            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285334",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
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            "score": 0.228,
            "sources_count": 10,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
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          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285343",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2581,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 74498.63349082186,
            "expected_high": 75392.61709271172,
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            "path_shape": "chop",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 74999.826,
              "low": 73221.174
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            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 75800.2194,
              "low": 72420.7806
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            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
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            "sl_hard": 73181.15433,
            "sl_soft": 73665.837,
            "tp1": 74943.29649082186,
            "tp2": 75343.49319082186
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://285376",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
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                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
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                "refs": [
                  "artifact://285210",
                  "artifact://285402",
                  "artifact://285343"
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                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
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                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
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                "refs": [
                  "artifact://285210",
                  "artifact://285402",
                  "artifact://285343"
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                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
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            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://285210",
                  "artifact://285402",
                  "artifact://285343"
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                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
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              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
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                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://285210",
                  "artifact://285402",
                  "artifact://285343"
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                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
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            ],
            "confidence": 0.5260402406243092,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.21208048124861856,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.23445533542611774,
            "degraded_dependencies": [
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            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.23-\u003e0.21.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.23-\u003e0.21.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
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              "market_snapshot": "artifact://285210",
              "portfolio": "artifact://285343",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://285402"
            },
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            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
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              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285210",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://285402",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285343",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "hold",
              "action_before_risk": "hold",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.21208048124861856,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.23445533542611774,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "allow"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://285274",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "hold",
            "action_tradeable": false,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.23445533542611774,
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              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://285210",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://285358\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8293283457029864}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://285360\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8940844980271325}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://285362\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9111865717831185}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://285363\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8764577843159057}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://285364\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8764577843159057}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://285365\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8764577843159057}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://285274",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285210",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://285274",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://285358",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://285360",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://285362",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://285363",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://285364",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://285365",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "neutral",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "neutral",
              "factors": [
                "macro_structural_bias"
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              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4374429878171796,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08799574713100672,
              "market_momentum": 0.00011079279736167943,
              "ml_score": 0.011638281599678722,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "hold_deadband"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.012046112855098108,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
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            "signal_quality": "degraded"
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          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "confidence": 0.2685932379362429,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "overrides": [],
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://285347",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://285343",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://285326",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://285380",
                "title": null,
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://285376",
                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "hold",
              "action_before_risk": "hold",
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              "overrides": [
                "allow"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
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              "max_position": 100.0,
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              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
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              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
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            "agents": {
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              "ml_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "portfolio_mode": "llm_error",
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              "sentiment_mode": "llm_error",
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            },
            "macro_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "ml_predictions_status": {
              "count": 6,
              "usable": false
            },
            "narratives": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            },
            "news_status": {
              "count": 0
            },
            "portfolio_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
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            "rag": {
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          },
          "trade_intent": {
            "action": "unknown",
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              "slices": null,
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            },
            "guards": {
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              "compliance_ok": true,
              "execution_ok": null,
              "overrides": [],
              "portfolio_ok": null,
              "risk_ok": true,
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                "risk_approved",
                "compliance_clear",
                "deterministic_arbitration"
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            },
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              "drift_detected": false,
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            "llm_status": "exception",
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              "action": "paper_only",
              "autotrade_safe": false,
              "confidence": 0.2,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "edge_score": 0.1524,
              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.125,
              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
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              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "reason_codes": [
                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
              "signal": {
                "calibration_score": null,
                "drift_detected": false,
                "health_state": "unknown",
                "ml_trust": 0.0,
                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
              },
              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027]",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reduce_only": false,
            "risk": {
              "cancel_after_sec": null,
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
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                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "time_in_force": "GTC"
            },
            "side": null,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": 1.0,
              "candidate_models": [
                "tp_eq_sl",
                "tp_3sl",
                "sl_3tp"
              ],
              "ensemble_weights": [
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                  "weight": 0.6274
                },
                {
                  "model": "tp_3sl",
                  "weight": 0.5026
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                {
                  "model": "sl_3tp",
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              ],
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "model": "sl_3tp",
              "model_runtime_score": 0.641568,
              "model_selection_score": 0.641568,
              "quality_score": 0.7699,
              "realized_vol_short": null,
              "regime": {
                "regime_confidence": 0.7778,
                "regime_factors": {
                  "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.01863008327072708,
                  "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                  "hurst_exp": 0.4927509510514331,
                  "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                  "slope_price": 0.0,
                  "trend_persistence": 0.65,
                  "vol_expansion": 0.0
                },
                "regime_label": "range"
              },
              "threshold_used": 0.375
            },
            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "dynamic_sizing": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "quote_notional": null,
              "size_multiplier": null
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "source_quality_score": 0.64,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "trade_class": "paper_only"
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2685932379362429,
            "degradation_blockers": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://285347",
              "execution": "artifact://285422",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://285415",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://285402"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://285402",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://285415",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://285422",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://285347",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5260402406243092,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.23445533542611774
            },
            "signal_quality": "degraded"
          },
          "trend": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "neutral",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "degraded_sources": [
          "strategy",
          "trading",
          "supervisor",
          "risk"
        ],
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": "None",
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": "None",
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
        "final_summary": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "bearish_contributors": [
            "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
          ],
          "blocking_factors": [],
          "bullish_contributors": [
            "onchain:bullish:+0.228",
            "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende",
            "onchain_detail:ls_ratio_low:0.65 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (b",
            "onchain_detail:fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish"
          ],
          "confidence": 0.2,
          "degraded_sources": [],
          "evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.228, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextende, onchain_detail:ls_ratio_low:0.65 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (b, onchain_detail:fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a",
          "override_explanation": null,
          "overrides": [],
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "compliance",
              "ref": "artifact://285347",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
            },
            {
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