Logs & Traces

{
  "artifacts": [
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.906742+00:00",
      "id": 169338,
      "kind": "decision.run.result",
      "payload": {
        "action": "hold",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://169062",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144094046092957,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2132,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.2368,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1942,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://169241",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.596,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "balanced",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.180). Bullish factors: fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169195",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.18,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.314,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 68704.55399769652,
            "expected_high": 69529.00864566889,
            "expected_low": 67880.09934972416,
            "expected_move_pct": -4.113195874410111,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72511.55076,
              "low": 70791.90924
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 73285.38944399999,
              "low": 70018.07055599999
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 67967.75999712065,
            "sl_soft": 69293.98919815721,
            "tp1": 72081.64038,
            "tp2": 72468.559722
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://169237",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.575749349398669,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://169073",
              "portfolio": "artifact://169204",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169263",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.41228711427914233,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.20733065818962185,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03893327
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://169137",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://169073",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8014383825832473}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9351882911800932}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9784675848655613}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169226\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://169137",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://169137",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169219",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169221",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169223",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169224",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169225",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169226",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bearish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "down",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias",
                "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43724799391790137,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921,
              "market_momentum": 0.00011222202541484948,
              "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_sell"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.05927929163264091,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://169208",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://169191",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://169241",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://169237",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.575749349398669,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.36438198914693176
            },
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
            ]
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.35906381590557745,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://169208",
              "execution": "artifact://169283",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://169276",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169263",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169276",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169283",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169208",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.575749349398669,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.36438198914693176
            }
          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "down",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "confidence": 0.3,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
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            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
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            "compliance": "artifact://169208",
            "macro": "artifact://169191",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://169062",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://169048",
              "price": "artifact://169067",
              "snapshot": "artifact://169073"
            },
            "ml": [
              "artifact://169219",
              "artifact://169221",
              "artifact://169223",
              "artifact://169224",
              "artifact://169225",
              "artifact://169226"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/1b176e770fbb761df2bb409c",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://169204",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://169062",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://169241",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://169237",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
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          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144094046092957,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
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              "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2132,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.2368,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1942,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://169241",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
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          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.596,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "balanced",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.180). Bullish factors: fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "btc_dominance_pct": 57.042148344399735,
              "btc_hash_rate": 884234327071.5194,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 511364,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 5.175685345277702,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 96781353648.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 16.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": -1.4874772979702866,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": 3.54136854935e-05
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            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169195",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.18,
            "sources_count": 9,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.314,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 68704.55399769652,
            "expected_high": 69529.00864566889,
            "expected_low": 67880.09934972416,
            "expected_move_pct": -4.113195874410111,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72511.55076,
              "low": 70791.90924
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            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 73285.38944399999,
              "low": 70018.07055599999
            },
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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            "sl_hard": 67967.75999712065,
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            "tp2": 72468.559722
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://169237",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
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                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
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                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
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            ],
            "confidence": 0.575749349398669,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "meta": {
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              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://169073",
              "portfolio": "artifact://169204",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169263",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.41228711427914233,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 0.25
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.20733065818962185,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03893327
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://169137",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "action_tradeable": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "bearish",
            "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://169073",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8014383825832473}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9351882911800932}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9784675848655613}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169226\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://169137",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://169137",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169219",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
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                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169223",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169224",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169225",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
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              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169226",
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            ],
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                "kind": "macro",
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                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
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                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://169241",
                "title": null,
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
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                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
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            "macro_snapshot_status": {
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            },
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            },
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              "raw_refs": {},
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              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
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                    "target_distance": 0.015
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                ],
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                "trailing_callback": null,
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                "sl_3tp"
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                "partial_tp_levels": [
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                    "target_distance": 0.015
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                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
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                "regime_label": "range"
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              "threshold_used": 0.375
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              "base_qty": null,
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              "max_position_usd": null,
              "quote_notional": null,
              "size_multiplier": null
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          "trading": {
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            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "partial",
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              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://169276",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169263",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
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                "title": null,
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              },
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                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
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                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
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                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169208",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
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              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
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          },
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              "ml.directional_bias"
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              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
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            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
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          "marketable_limit": null,
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          "max_slippage_bps": null,
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          ],
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            },
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              "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
            },
            {
              "kind": "macro",
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            },
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              "kind": "rag_judge",
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              },
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                "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
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                "strategy_factor:ml_directional_bias",
                "strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
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              "exit_template": "fixed",
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              "refs_used": [],
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                "health_state": "unknown",
                "ml_trust": 0.0,
                "synthetic_price": true,
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              },
              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
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            "model_selection_score": 0.462958,
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            "price_agent": {
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              "confidence": 0.314,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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              "expected_high": 69529.00864566889,
              "expected_low": 67880.09934972416,
              "expected_move_pct": -4.113195874410111,
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              "horizon": "1h",
              "llm_status": "exception",
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              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "path_shape": "trend",
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
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              "price_range_95": {
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              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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\u0027evidence_pack\u0027: {\u0027bullish_contributors\u0027: [\u0027strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit\u0027, \u0027onchain:bullish:+0.180\u0027, \u0027onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b\u0027], \u0027bearish_contributors\u0027: [\u0027onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a\u0027], \u0027neutral_contributors\u0027: [\u0027strategy_factor:ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias\u0027], \u0027degraded_sources\u0027: [], \u0027evidence_summary\u0027: \u0027bullish: strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit, onchain:bullish:+0.180, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only\u0027, \u0027override_explanation\u0027: \u0027price_safety_override\u0027}, \u0027trend_agent\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027trend_direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027trend_phase\u0027: \u0027mean_reversion\u0027, \u0027trend_horizon\u0027: \u0027intraday\u0027, \u0027trend_strength\u0027: 0.0, \u0027continuation_probability\u0027: 0.42, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: 0.58, \u0027invalidators\u0027: [\u0027momentum_flip\u0027, \u0027range_break_against_direction\u0027], \u0027evidence\u0027: [\u0027market.momentum\u0027, \u0027ml.directional_bias\u0027], \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.22, \u0027reasoning_summary\u0027: \u0027Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027momentum\u0027: 0.0, \u0027ml_direction\u0027: \u0027down\u0027}, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027deterministic_route_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded_deterministic\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {}}, \u0027price_agent\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027expected_close\u0027: 68704.55399769652, \u0027expected_high\u0027: 69529.00864566889, \u0027expected_low\u0027: 67880.09934972416, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: -4.113195874410111, \u0027price_range_68\u0027: {\u0027low\u0027: 70791.90924, \u0027high\u0027: 72511.55076}, \u0027price_range_95\u0027: {\u0027low\u0027: 70018.07055599999, \u0027high\u0027: 73285.38944399999}, \u0027tp1\u0027: 72081.64038, \u0027tp2\u0027: 72468.559722, \u0027sl_soft\u0027: 69293.98919815721, \u0027sl_hard\u0027: 67967.75999712065, \u0027path_shape\u0027: \u0027trend\u0027, \u0027horizon\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: True, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.314, \u0027reasoning_summary\u0027: \u0027Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027ml_score\u0027: -0.09140435276466911, \u0027realized_vol_short\u0027: 0.012, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: True}, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027deterministic_route_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded_deterministic\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {}}, \u0027meta_decision\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027should_trade\u0027: False, \u0027action\u0027: \u0027paper_onl\u2026"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169337",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.896136+00:00",
      "id": 169336,
      "kind": "decision.step.decision_bundle",
      "payload": {
        "action": "hold",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://169062",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144094046092957,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2132,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.2368,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1942,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://169241",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.596,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "balanced",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.180). Bullish factors: fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169195",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.18,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.314,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 68704.55399769652,
            "expected_high": 69529.00864566889,
            "expected_low": 67880.09934972416,
            "expected_move_pct": -4.113195874410111,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72511.55076,
              "low": 70791.90924
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 73285.38944399999,
              "low": 70018.07055599999
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 67967.75999712065,
            "sl_soft": 69293.98919815721,
            "tp1": 72081.64038,
            "tp2": 72468.559722
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://169237",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.575749349398669,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://169073",
              "portfolio": "artifact://169204",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169263",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.41228711427914233,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.20733065818962185,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03893327
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://169137",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://169073",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8014383825832473}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9351882911800932}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9784675848655613}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169226\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://169137",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://169137",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169219",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169221",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169223",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169224",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169225",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169226",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bearish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "down",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias",
                "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43724799391790137,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921,
              "market_momentum": 0.00011222202541484948,
              "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_sell"
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              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.05927929163264091,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
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          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
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            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://169208",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://169191",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://169241",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://169237",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.575749349398669,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.36438198914693176
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            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
            ]
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.35906381590557745,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://169208",
              "execution": "artifact://169283",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://169276",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169263",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169276",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169283",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169208",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.575749349398669,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.36438198914693176
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          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "down",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "confidence": 0.3,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://169208",
            "macro": "artifact://169191",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://169062",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://169048",
              "price": "artifact://169067",
              "snapshot": "artifact://169073"
            },
            "ml": [
              "artifact://169219",
              "artifact://169221",
              "artifact://169223",
              "artifact://169224",
              "artifact://169225",
              "artifact://169226"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/1b176e770fbb761df2bb409c",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://169204",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://169062",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://169241",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://169237",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
            }
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144094046092957,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2132,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.2368,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1942,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://169241",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.596,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "balanced",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.180). Bullish factors: fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "btc_dominance_pct": 57.042148344399735,
              "btc_hash_rate": 884234327071.5194,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 511364,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 5.175685345277702,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 96781353648.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 16.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": -1.4874772979702866,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": 3.54136854935e-05
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169195",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.18,
            "sources_count": 9,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.314,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 68704.55399769652,
            "expected_high": 69529.00864566889,
            "expected_low": 67880.09934972416,
            "expected_move_pct": -4.113195874410111,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72511.55076,
              "low": 70791.90924
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 73285.38944399999,
              "low": 70018.07055599999
            },
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 67967.75999712065,
            "sl_soft": 69293.98919815721,
            "tp1": 72081.64038,
            "tp2": 72468.559722
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://169237",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.575749349398669,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://169073",
              "portfolio": "artifact://169204",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169263",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.41228711427914233,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 0.25
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.20733065818962185,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03893327
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://169137",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "action_tradeable": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "bearish",
            "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://169073",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8014383825832473}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9351882911800932}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9784675848655613}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169226\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://169137",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://169137",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169219",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169221",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169223",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169224",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169225",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169226",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bearish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "down",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias",
                "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43724799391790137,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921,
              "market_momentum": 0.00011222202541484948,
              "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_sell"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.05927929163264091,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            },
            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://169208",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://169191",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://169241",
                "title": null,
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://169237",
                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 0.25
            },
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.575749349398669,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.36438198914693176
            },
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
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          },
          "system_status": {
            "agents": {
              "compliance_mode": "degraded",
              "execution_mode": "llm_error",
              "macro_mode": "degraded",
              "meta_decision_mode": "degraded",
              "ml_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "portfolio_mode": "llm_error",
              "price_mode": "degraded",
              "rag_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "risk_mode": "degraded",
              "sentiment_mode": "llm_error",
              "strategy_mode": "deterministic",
              "supervisor_mode": "degraded",
              "trading_mode": "deterministic",
              "trend_mode": "degraded"
            },
            "compliance_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "macro_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "ml_predictions_status": {
              "count": 6,
              "usable": false
            },
            "narratives": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            },
            "news_status": {
              "count": 0
            },
            "portfolio_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "rag": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            }
          },
          "trade_intent": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.3,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "entry": {
              "aggressiveness": "neutral",
              "execution_style": null,
              "max_slippage_bps": null,
              "price": null,
              "slices": null,
              "type": null
            },
            "guards": {
              "blocking_factors": [
                "synthetic_price_only"
              ],
              "compliance_ok": true,
              "execution_ok": null,
              "overrides": [
                "price_safety_override"
              ],
              "portfolio_ok": null,
              "quality_gate_blocked": true,
              "quality_gate_reasons": [
                "quality.supervisor_degraded",
                "quality.ml_trust_very_low"
              ],
              "risk_ok": true,
              "winner_factors": [
                "risk_approved",
                "compliance_clear"
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            },
            "health": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "degraded_sources": [
                "supervisor",
                "risk"
              ],
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust_score": null,
              "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "meta_decision": {
              "action": "paper_only",
              "autotrade_safe": false,
              "confidence": 0.2132,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "edge_score": 0.2368,
              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.1942,
              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "reason_codes": [
                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
              "signal": {
                "calibration_score": null,
                "drift_detected": false,
                "health_state": "unknown",
                "ml_trust": 0.0,
                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
              },
              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reduce_only": false,
            "risk": {
              "cancel_after_sec": null,
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "time_in_force": "GTC"
            },
            "side": null,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": 1.0,
              "candidate_models": [
                "tp_eq_sl",
                "tp_3sl",
                "sl_3tp"
              ],
              "ensemble_weights": [
                {
                  "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                  "weight": 0.2765
                },
                {
                  "model": "tp_3sl",
                  "weight": 0.2385
                },
                {
                  "model": "sl_3tp",
                  "weight": 0.462
                }
              ],
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "model": "sl_3tp",
              "model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
              "model_selection_score": 0.462958,
              "quality_score": 0.5555,
              "realized_vol_short": null,
              "regime": {
                "regime_confidence": 1.0,
                "regime_factors": {
                  "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.03152685517990549,
                  "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                  "hurst_exp": 0.3291108447556198,
                  "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                  "slope_price": 0.0,
                  "trend_persistence": 0.65,
                  "vol_expansion": 0.0
                },
                "regime_label": "range"
              },
              "threshold_used": 0.375
            },
            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "dynamic_sizing": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "quote_notional": null,
              "size_multiplier": null
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "trade_class": "paper_only"
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "sell",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.35906381590557745,
            "degradation_blockers": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://169208",
              "execution": "artifact://169283",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://169276",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169263",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169276",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169283",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169208",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.575749349398669,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.36438198914693176
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            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "trend": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "down",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "degraded_sources": [
          "supervisor",
          "risk"
        ],
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": null,
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": null,
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
        "final_summary": {
          "action": "hold",
          "bearish_contributors": [
            "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
          ],
          "blocking_factors": [
            "synthetic_price_only"
          ],
          "bullish_contributors": [
            "strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
            "onchain:bullish:+0.180",
            "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
          ],
          "confidence": 0.3,
          "degraded_sources": [],
          "evidence_summary": "bullish: strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit, onchain:bullish:+0.180, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only",
          "override_explanation": "price_safety_override",
          "overrides": [
            "price_safety_override"
          ],
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "compliance",
              "ref": "artifact://169208",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio",
              "ref": "artifact://169204",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
            },
            {
              "kind": "macro",
              "ref": "artifact://169191",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_judge",
              "ref": "artifact://169241",
              "title": null,
              "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
            },
            {
              "kind": "rag_judge",
              "ref": "artifact://169237",
              "title": null,
              "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "asset": null,
            "bearish_contributors": [
              "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
            ],
            "blocked_by": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "blockers": [],
            "bullish_contributors": [
              "strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
              "onchain:bullish:+0.180",
              "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
            ],
            "calibration_score": 1.0,
            "candidate_models": [
              "tp_eq_sl",
              "tp_3sl",
              "sl_3tp"
            ],
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
            "decision_state": "blocked_signal",
            "degraded_sources": [],
            "ensemble_weights": [
              {
                "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                "weight": 0.2765
              },
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                "hurst_exp": 0.3291108447556198,
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                "slope_price": 0.0,
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                "vol_expansion": 0.0
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              "regime_label": "range"
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            "threshold_used": 0.375
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          "size": {
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            "dynamic_sizing": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "quote_notional": null,
            "size_multiplier": null
          },
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
          "source_quality_score": 0.88,
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "trade_class": "paper_only"
        },
        "ts": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.886988+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169336",
      "store": "postgres",
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    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.893785+00:00",
      "id": 169335,
      "kind": "risk.snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "action_after_risk": "sell",
        "action_before_risk": "sell",
        "active_risk_ids": [
          "model_degraded_or_fallback",
          "policy_short_not_allowed",
          "strategy_timing_weak"
        ],
        "autotrade_allowed": true,
        "blocking_risk_ids": [],
        "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
        "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
        "degraded_dependencies": [],
        "exchange": null,
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        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
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        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "market_snapshot",
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            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
          },
          {
            "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://169263",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
          },
          {
            "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
            "ref": "artifact://169204",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
          }
        ],
        "risk_breakdown": {
          "data_risk": {
            "score": 0.3333333333333333,
            "severity": "moderate"
          },
          "event_risk": {
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            "severity": "low"
          },
          "execution_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "liquidity_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "market_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "model_risk": {
            "score": 0.68,
            "severity": "elevated"
          },
          "policy_risk": {
            "score": 0.72,
            "severity": "high"
          },
          "portfolio_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "signal_risk": {
            "score": 0.41228711427914233,
            "severity": "moderate"
          },
          "strategy_risk": {
            "score": 0.44,
            "severity": "moderate"
          },
          "system_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          }
        },
        "risk_confidence": 0.8,
        "risk_level": "low",
        "risk_score": 0.20733065818962185,
        "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
        "timeframe": "1h",
        "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4",
        "ts": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.886988+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169335",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.889270+00:00",
      "id": 169334,
      "kind": "decision.bundle",
      "payload": {
        "action": "hold",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://169062",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144094046092957,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2132,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.2368,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1942,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://169241",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.596,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "balanced",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.180). Bullish factors: fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169195",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.18,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.314,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 68704.55399769652,
            "expected_high": 69529.00864566889,
            "expected_low": 67880.09934972416,
            "expected_move_pct": -4.113195874410111,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72511.55076,
              "low": 70791.90924
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 73285.38944399999,
              "low": 70018.07055599999
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 67967.75999712065,
            "sl_soft": 69293.98919815721,
            "tp1": 72081.64038,
            "tp2": 72468.559722
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          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://169237",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
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            ],
            "confidence": 0.575749349398669,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://169073",
              "portfolio": "artifact://169204",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169263",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.41228711427914233,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.20733065818962185,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03893327
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://169137",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://169073",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8014383825832473}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9351882911800932}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9784675848655613}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169226\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://169137",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://169137",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169219",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169221",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169223",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169224",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169225",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169226",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bearish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "down",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias",
                "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43724799391790137,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921,
              "market_momentum": 0.00011222202541484948,
              "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_sell"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.05927929163264091,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://169208",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://169191",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://169241",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://169237",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.575749349398669,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.36438198914693176
            },
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
            ]
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.35906381590557745,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://169208",
              "execution": "artifact://169283",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://169276",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169263",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169276",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169283",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169208",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.575749349398669,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.36438198914693176
            }
          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "down",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "confidence": 0.3,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://169208",
            "macro": "artifact://169191",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://169062",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://169048",
              "price": "artifact://169067",
              "snapshot": "artifact://169073"
            },
            "ml": [
              "artifact://169219",
              "artifact://169221",
              "artifact://169223",
              "artifact://169224",
              "artifact://169225",
              "artifact://169226"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/1b176e770fbb761df2bb409c",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://169204",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://169062",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://169241",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://169237",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
            }
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144094046092957,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2132,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.2368,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1942,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://169241",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.596,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "balanced",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.180). Bullish factors: fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "btc_dominance_pct": 57.042148344399735,
              "btc_hash_rate": 884234327071.5194,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 511364,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 5.175685345277702,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 96781353648.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 16.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": -1.4874772979702866,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": 3.54136854935e-05
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169195",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.18,
            "sources_count": 9,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.314,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 68704.55399769652,
            "expected_high": 69529.00864566889,
            "expected_low": 67880.09934972416,
            "expected_move_pct": -4.113195874410111,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72511.55076,
              "low": 70791.90924
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 73285.38944399999,
              "low": 70018.07055599999
            },
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 67967.75999712065,
            "sl_soft": 69293.98919815721,
            "tp1": 72081.64038,
            "tp2": 72468.559722
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://169237",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://169073",
                  "artifact://169263",
                  "artifact://169204"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.575749349398669,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://169073",
              "portfolio": "artifact://169204",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169263",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.41228711427914233,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 0.25
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.20733065818962185,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03893327
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://169137",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "action_tradeable": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "bearish",
            "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://169073",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8014383825832473}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9351882911800932}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9784675848655613}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169226\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://169137",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169073",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://169137",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169219",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169221",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169223",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169224",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169225",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://169226",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bearish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "down",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias",
                "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43724799391790137,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921,
              "market_momentum": 0.00011222202541484948,
              "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_sell"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.05927929163264091,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            },
            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://169208",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://169204",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://169191",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://169241",
                "title": null,
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://169237",
                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 0.25
            },
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.575749349398669,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.36438198914693176
            },
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
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          },
          "system_status": {
            "agents": {
              "compliance_mode": "degraded",
              "execution_mode": "llm_error",
              "macro_mode": "degraded",
              "meta_decision_mode": "degraded",
              "ml_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "portfolio_mode": "llm_error",
              "price_mode": "degraded",
              "rag_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "risk_mode": "degraded",
              "sentiment_mode": "llm_error",
              "strategy_mode": "deterministic",
              "supervisor_mode": "degraded",
              "trading_mode": "deterministic",
              "trend_mode": "degraded"
            },
            "compliance_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "macro_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "ml_predictions_status": {
              "count": 6,
              "usable": false
            },
            "narratives": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            },
            "news_status": {
              "count": 0
            },
            "portfolio_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "rag": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            }
          },
          "trade_intent": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.3,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "entry": {
              "aggressiveness": "neutral",
              "execution_style": null,
              "max_slippage_bps": null,
              "price": null,
              "slices": null,
              "type": null
            },
            "guards": {
              "blocking_factors": [
                "synthetic_price_only"
              ],
              "compliance_ok": true,
              "execution_ok": null,
              "overrides": [
                "price_safety_override"
              ],
              "portfolio_ok": null,
              "quality_gate_blocked": true,
              "quality_gate_reasons": [
                "quality.supervisor_degraded",
                "quality.ml_trust_very_low"
              ],
              "risk_ok": true,
              "winner_factors": [
                "risk_approved",
                "compliance_clear"
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            },
            "health": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "degraded_sources": [
                "supervisor",
                "risk"
              ],
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust_score": null,
              "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "meta_decision": {
              "action": "paper_only",
              "autotrade_safe": false,
              "confidence": 0.2132,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "edge_score": 0.2368,
              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.1942,
              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "reason_codes": [
                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
              "signal": {
                "calibration_score": null,
                "drift_detected": false,
                "health_state": "unknown",
                "ml_trust": 0.0,
                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
              },
              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reduce_only": false,
            "risk": {
              "cancel_after_sec": null,
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "time_in_force": "GTC"
            },
            "side": null,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": 1.0,
              "candidate_models": [
                "tp_eq_sl",
                "tp_3sl",
                "sl_3tp"
              ],
              "ensemble_weights": [
                {
                  "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                  "weight": 0.2765
                },
                {
                  "model": "tp_3sl",
                  "weight": 0.2385
                },
                {
                  "model": "sl_3tp",
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                }
              ],
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "model": "sl_3tp",
              "model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
              "model_selection_score": 0.462958,
              "quality_score": 0.5555,
              "realized_vol_short": null,
              "regime": {
                "regime_confidence": 1.0,
                "regime_factors": {
                  "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.03152685517990549,
                  "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                  "hurst_exp": 0.3291108447556198,
                  "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                  "slope_price": 0.0,
                  "trend_persistence": 0.65,
                  "vol_expansion": 0.0
                },
                "regime_label": "range"
              },
              "threshold_used": 0.375
            },
            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "dynamic_sizing": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "quote_notional": null,
              "size_multiplier": null
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "trade_class": "paper_only"
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "sell",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.35906381590557745,
            "degradation_blockers": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://169208",
              "execution": "artifact://169283",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://169276",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169263",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169276",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://169283",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://169208",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.575749349398669,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.36438198914693176
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            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "trend": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "down",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "degraded_sources": [
          "supervisor",
          "risk"
        ],
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": null,
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": null,
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
        "final_summary": {
          "action": "hold",
          "bearish_contributors": [
            "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
          ],
          "blocking_factors": [
            "synthetic_price_only"
          ],
          "bullish_contributors": [
            "strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
            "onchain:bullish:+0.180",
            "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
          ],
          "confidence": 0.3,
          "degraded_sources": [],
          "evidence_summary": "bullish: strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit, onchain:bullish:+0.180, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only",
          "override_explanation": "price_safety_override",
          "overrides": [
            "price_safety_override"
          ],
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "compliance",
              "ref": "artifact://169208",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio",
              "ref": "artifact://169204",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
            },
            {
              "kind": "macro",
              "ref": "artifact://169191",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_judge",
              "ref": "artifact://169241",
              "title": null,
              "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
            },
            {
              "kind": "rag_judge",
              "ref": "artifact://169237",
              "title": null,
              "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "asset": null,
            "bearish_contributors": [
              "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
            ],
            "blocked_by": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "blockers": [],
            "bullish_contributors": [
              "strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
              "onchain:bullish:+0.180",
              "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
            ],
            "calibration_score": 1.0,
            "candidate_models": [
              "tp_eq_sl",
              "tp_3sl",
              "sl_3tp"
            ],
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
            "decision_state": "blocked_signal",
            "degraded_sources": [],
            "ensemble_weights": [
              {
                "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                "weight": 0.2765
              },
              {
                "model": "tp_3sl",
                "weight": 0.2385
              },
              {
                "model": "sl_3tp",
                "weight": 0.462
              }
            ],
            "evidence_pack": {
              "bearish_contributors": [
                "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
              ],
              "bullish_contributors": [
                "strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
                "onchain:bullish:+0.180",
                "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
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      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"action\": \"hold\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"blocking_factors\": [\"synthetic_price_only\"], \"confidence\": 0.36438198914693176, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"disagreement_score\": 0.0, \"explanation\": \"LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"overrides\": [\"price_safety_override\"], \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"reasons\": [\"synthetic_price_only\"], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"compliance\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169208\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Compliance gate can override final action\"}, {\"kind\": \"portfolio\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169204\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk\"}, {\"kind\": \"macro\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169191\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Macro backdrop influences regime filter\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_judge\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169241\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"ML trust influences final confidence\"}, {\"kind\": \"rag_judge\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169237\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"RAG trust influences evidence usage\"}], \"risk_impact\": {\"action_after_risk\": \"sell\", \"action_before_risk\": \"sell\", \"blocked_by\": [], \"confidence_after_risk\": 0.3114986987973378, \"confidence_before_risk\": 0.36438198914693176, \"final_reason\": \"Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.\", \"overrides\": [\"forbid_short\", \"reduce_size\"], \"size_modifier\": 0.25}, \"signal\": {\"asset\": null, \"blockers\": [], \"max_position\": 6.25, \"pair\": \"BTC/USDT\", \"recommended_size_modifier\": 0.25, \"risk_confidence\": 0.575749349398669, \"risk_ok\": true, \"source\": \"deterministic_fallback\", \"stop_loss\": 0.03893327, \"strategy_action\": \"sell\", \"strategy_confidence\": 0.36438198914693176}, \"source_quality_score\": 0.88, \"winner_factors\": [\"risk_approved\", \"compliance_clear\"]}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169326",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.861657+00:00",
      "id": 169325,
      "kind": "decision.step.supervisor_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://169321",
        "out": "artifact://169324"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169325",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.860440+00:00",
      "id": 169324,
      "kind": "decision.supervisor_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "action": "hold",
        "autotrade_safe": false,
        "blocking_factors": [
          "synthetic_price_only"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
        "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
        "disagreement_score": 0.0,
        "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "degraded",
        "needs_manual_review": true,
        "overrides": [
          "price_safety_override"
        ],
        "quality": "degraded",
        "raw_refs": {},
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "reasons": [
          "synthetic_price_only"
        ],
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "compliance",
            "ref": "artifact://169208",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
          },
          {
            "kind": "portfolio",
            "ref": "artifact://169204",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
          },
          {
            "kind": "macro",
            "ref": "artifact://169191",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
          },
          {
            "kind": "ml_judge",
            "ref": "artifact://169241",
            "title": null,
            "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
          },
          {
            "kind": "rag_judge",
            "ref": "artifact://169237",
            "title": null,
            "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
          }
        ],
        "risk_impact": {
          "action_after_risk": "sell",
          "action_before_risk": "sell",
          "blocked_by": [],
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
          "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "overrides": [
            "forbid_short",
            "reduce_size"
          ],
          "size_modifier": 0.25
        },
        "signal": {
          "asset": null,
          "blockers": [],
          "max_position": 6.25,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
          "risk_confidence": 0.575749349398669,
          "risk_ok": true,
          "source": "deterministic_fallback",
          "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
          "strategy_action": "sell",
          "strategy_confidence": 0.36438198914693176
        },
        "source_quality_score": 0.88,
        "winner_factors": [
          "risk_approved",
          "compliance_clear"
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169324",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.857684+00:00",
      "id": 169323,
      "kind": "decision.llm.supervisor.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169323",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.850969+00:00",
      "id": 169322,
      "kind": "decision.llm.supervisor.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are SupervisorAgent \u2014 the final decision maker. You MUST return a JSON object with these exact keys: \\\"action\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". action must be exactly one of: buy, sell, hold. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string explaining your decision. When strategy AND risk both agree on a direction with confidence \u003e= 0.5, the final action MUST match that direction. Use hold ONLY when evidence is genuinely contradictory or all signals are weak.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Arbitrate all agent outputs into final decision action and confidence.\u0027, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027action\u0027: \u0027hold\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.5144094046092957, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\u0027, \u0027reasons\u0027: [\u0027quality.llm_invalid_output\u0027, \u0027macro.structural_fallback\u0027], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027macro_regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08717644503319921, \u0027macro_structural_factors\u0027: [\u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027, \u0027usd_strong_crypto_headwind\u0027, \u0027equity_risk_off\u0027]}, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027deterministic_route_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded_deterministic\u0027, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {}}, \u0027sentiment\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027llm_error\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027quality.llm_exception\u0027, \u0027error\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027model\u0027: \u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169137\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}], \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.\u0027}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027sell\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.36438198914693176, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027down\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: -0.05927929163264091, \u0027ml_score\u0027: -0.09140435276466911, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08717644503319921, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.43724799391790137, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: 0.00011222202541484948, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027, \u0027long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_sell\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169073\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169137\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169322",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.848590+00:00",
      "id": 169321,
      "kind": "decision.supervisor_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "compliance": {
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.0,
          "decision_override": null,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "quality.llm_invalid_output"
          ],
          "refs_used": [],
          "signal": {},
          "trading_allowed": true,
          "violations": []
        },
        "execution": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_liquidity",
              "ref": "artifact://169062",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
            },
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://169073",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
            }
          ]
        },
        "macro": {
          "action": "hold",
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "neutral",
          "confidence": 0.5144094046092957,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "quality.llm_invalid_output",
            "macro.structural_fallback"
          ],
          "refs_used": [],
          "regime": "neutral",
          "signal": {
            "macro_regime": "neutral",
            "macro_structural_factors": [
              "crypto_macro_score",
              "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
              "equity_risk_off"
            ],
            "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921
          }
        },
        "ml_judge": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "ml_judgement",
              "ref": "artifact://169241",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
            }
          ]
        },
        "portfolio": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://169204",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
            }
          ]
        },
        "price": {
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.314,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "expected_close": 68704.55399769652,
          "expected_high": 69529.00864566889,
          "expected_low": 67880.09934972416,
          "expected_move_pct": -4.113195874410111,
          "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
          "horizon": "1h",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "path_shape": "trend",
          "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
          "price_range_68": {
            "high": 72511.55076,
            "low": 70791.90924
          },
          "price_range_95": {
            "high": 73285.38944399999,
            "low": 70018.07055599999
          },
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
          "refs_used": [],
          "signal": {
            "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "realized_vol_short": 0.012
          },
          "sl_hard": 67967.75999712065,
          "sl_soft": 69293.98919815721,
          "tp1": 72081.64038,
          "tp2": 72468.559722
        },
        "rag_judge": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "rag_judgement",
              "ref": "artifact://169237",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
            }
          ]
        },
        "requirements": {
          "fields": [
            "mode",
            "action",
            "confidence",
            "winner_factors",
            "blocking_factors",
            "overrides",
            "signal",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "refs_used"
          ],
          "must_apply_compliance_override": true,
          "must_output_json_only": true
        },
        "risk": {
          "action_after_risk": "sell",
          "action_before_risk": "sell",
          "active_risk_factors": [
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "ml_mode": null,
                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
              },
              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://169073",
                "artifact://169263",
                "artifact://169204"
              ],
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
              "type": "model_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "allow_short": false
              },
              "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
              "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://169073",
                "artifact://169263",
                "artifact://169204"
              ],
              "score": 0.72,
              "severity": "high",
              "source": "risk_prefs",
              "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
              "type": "policy_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
              },
              "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
              "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
              "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://169073",
                "artifact://169263",
                "artifact://169204"
              ],
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "strategy.signal",
              "title": "Strategy timing risk",
              "type": "strategy_risk"
            }
          ],
          "autotrade_allowed": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "blocking_risks": [],
          "caution_risks": [
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "ml_mode": null,
                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
              },
              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://169073",
                "artifact://169263",
                "artifact://169204"
              ],
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
              "type": "model_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "allow_short": false
              },
              "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
              "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://169073",
                "artifact://169263",
                "artifact://169204"
              ],
              "score": 0.72,
              "severity": "high",
              "source": "risk_prefs",
              "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
              "type": "policy_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
              },
              "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
              "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
              "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://169073",
                "artifact://169263",
                "artifact://169204"
              ],
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "strategy.signal",
              "title": "Strategy timing risk",
              "type": "strategy_risk"
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.575749349398669,
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
          "degraded_dependencies": [],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
          "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
          "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "manual_review_required": false,
          "max_position": 25.0,
          "meta": {
            "allow_short": false,
            "max_leverage": 1.0,
            "missing_inputs": [
              "metrics.atr_pct",
              "metrics.spread_bps"
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            "strategy_action": "sell",
            "volatility": null
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            "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
            "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
            "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
          ],
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          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "ok": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
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            "portfolio": "artifact://169204",
            "rag": [],
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
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            "policy_short_not_allowed",
            "strategy_timing_weak"
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          "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://169073",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
            },
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://169263",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://169204",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
            }
          ],
          "risk_breakdown": {
            "data_risk": {
              "score": 0.3333333333333333,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "event_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "execution_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "liquidity_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "market_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "model_risk": {
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated"
            },
            "policy_risk": {
              "score": 0.72,
              "severity": "high"
            },
            "portfolio_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "signal_risk": {
              "score": 0.41228711427914233,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "strategy_risk": {
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "system_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            }
          },
          "risk_confidence": 0.8,
          "risk_impact": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "blocked_by": [],
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
            "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "overrides": [
              "forbid_short",
              "reduce_size"
            ],
            "size_modifier": 0.25
          },
          "risk_level": "low",
          "risk_score": 0.20733065818962185,
          "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "stop_loss": 0.03893327
        },
        "sentiment": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://169137",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
            }
          ]
        },
        "strategy": {
          "action": "sell",
          "action_tradeable": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "bearish",
          "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
          "constraints": {
            "allow_short": null,
            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
          },
          "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
          "disagreement_flags": [],
          "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "deterministic",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
          "quality": "partial",
          "raw_refs": {
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            "ml": [
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              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9784675848655613}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169226\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}"
            ],
            "narratives": "artifact://169137",
            "news": [],
            "rag": []
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://169073",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://169137",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://169219",
              "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://169221",
              "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://169223",
              "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://169224",
              "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://169225",
              "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://169226",
              "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
            "asset": "BTC",
            "bias": "bearish",
            "blockers": [],
            "direction": "down",
            "factors": [
              "ml_directional_bias",
              "macro_structural_bias",
              "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
            ],
            "macd_hist": null,
            "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
            "macro_agent_weight": 0.43724799391790137,
            "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921,
            "market_momentum": 0.00011222202541484948,
            "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
            "narrative_score": 0.0,
            "news_score": 0.0,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
            "reason_codes": [
              "direction_sell"
            ],
            "regime": null,
            "rsi": null,
            "score": -0.05927929163264091,
            "score_deadband": 0.042,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback"
          },
          "signal_quality": "partial"
        },
        "task": "Arbitrate all agent outputs into final decision action and confidence.",
        "trading": {
          "action": "sell",
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.35906381590557745,
          "degradation_blockers": [],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
          "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
          "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "deterministic",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "partial",
          "raw_refs": {
            "compliance": "artifact://169208",
            "execution": "artifact://169283",
            "risk_agent_output": "artifact://169276",
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://169263",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "risk_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://169276",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "execution_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://169283",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
            },
            {
              "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://169208",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
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          ],
          "signal": {
            "asset": null,
            "blockers": [],
            "max_position": 6.25,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "risk_confidence": 0.575749349398669,
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            "strategy_action": "sell",
            "strategy_confidence": 0.36438198914693176
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          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.22,
          "continuation_probability": 0.42,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "evidence": [
            "market.momentum",
            "ml.directional_bias"
          ],
          "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
          "invalidators": [
            "momentum_flip",
            "range_break_against_direction"
          ],
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
          "refs_used": [],
          "reversal_probability": 0.58,
          "signal": {
            "ml_direction": "down",
            "momentum": 0.0
          },
          "trend_direction": "flat",
          "trend_horizon": "intraday",
          "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
          "trend_strength": 0.0
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      "ref": "artifact://169321",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"narratives\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169137\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source\"}]}",
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"portfolio_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169204\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks\"}]}",
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"rag_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169237\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as base evaluation\"}]}",
            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169241\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}]}",
            "{\"action\": \"sell\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"confidence\": 0.35906381590557745, \"degradation_blockers\": [], \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"full_deterministic\", \"execution_readiness\": \"not_ready\", \"explanation\": \"TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"quality\": \"partial\", \"raw_refs\": {\"compliance\": \"artifact://169208\", \"execution\": \"artifact://169283\", \"risk_agent_output\": \"artifact://169276\", \"strategy_agent_output\": \"artifact://169263\"}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"strategy_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169263\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent.\"}, {\"kind\": \"risk_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169276\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent.\"}, {\"kind\": \"execution_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169283\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping.\"}, {\"kind\": \"compliance_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169208\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates.\"}], \"signal\": {\"asset\": null, \"blockers\": [], \"max_position\": 6.25, \"pair\": \"BTC/USDT\", \"recommended_size_modifier\": 0.25, \"risk_confidence\": 0.575749349398669, \"risk_ok\": true, \"source\": \"deterministic_fallback\", \"stop_loss\": 0.03893327, \"strategy_action\": \"sell\", \"strategy_confidence\": 0.36438198914693176}, \"signal_quality\": \"partial\"}"
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "onchain_out": "{\"action\": \"buy\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bearish_signals\": [\"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal\"], \"confidence\": 0.596, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"balanced\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.180). Bullish factors: fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.\", \"extra_metrics\": {\"btc_dominance_pct\": 57.042148344399735, \"btc_hash_rate\": 884234327071.5194, \"btc_tx_count_24h\": 511364, \"defi_tvl_change_7d_pct\": 5.175685345277702, \"defi_tvl_usd\": 96781353648.0, \"fear_greed_index\": 16.0, \"fear_greed_label\": \"Extreme Fear\", \"market_cap_change_24h_pct\": -1.4874772979702866, \"mempool_fastest_fee\": 1.0, \"okx_funding_rate\": 3.54136854935e-05}, \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": false, \"network_signal\": \"shrinking\", \"onchain_available\": true, \"quality\": \"trusted\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"onchain_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169195\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Primary on-chain evidence\"}], \"score\": 0.18, \"sources_count\": 9, \"valuation_signal\": \"unknown\"}",
            "price_out": "{\"autotrade_safe\": false, \"confidence\": 0.314, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"expected_close\": 68704.55399769652, \"expected_high\": 69529.00864566889, \"expected_low\": 67880.09934972416, \"expected_move_pct\": -4.113195874410111, \"explanation\": \"Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\", \"horizon\": \"1h\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"path_shape\": \"trend\", \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"price_range_68\": {\"high\": 72511.55076, \"low\": 70791.90924}, \"price_range_95\": {\"high\": 73285.38944399999, \"low\": 70018.07055599999}, \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"reasoning_summary\": \"Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\", \"refs_used\": [], \"signal\": {\"ml_score\": -0.09140435276466911, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"realized_vol_short\": 0.012}, \"sl_hard\": 67967.75999712065, \"sl_soft\": 69293.98919815721, \"tp1\": 72081.64038, \"tp2\": 72468.559722}",
            "trend_out": "{\"autotrade_safe\": false, \"confidence\": 0.22, \"continuation_probability\": 0.42, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"evidence\": [\"market.momentum\", \"ml.directional_bias\"], \"explanation\": \"Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.\", \"invalidators\": [\"momentum_flip\", \"range_break_against_direction\"], \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"reasoning_summary\": \"Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.\", \"refs_used\": [], \"reversal_probability\": 0.58, \"signal\": {\"ml_direction\": \"down\", \"momentum\": 0.0}, \"trend_direction\": \"flat\", \"trend_horizon\": \"intraday\", \"trend_phase\": \"mean_reversion\", \"trend_strength\": 0.0}"
          }
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169320",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.840344+00:00",
      "id": 169319,
      "kind": "decision.trading_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"action\": \"sell\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"confidence\": 0.35906381590557745, \"degradation_blockers\": [], \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"full_deterministic\", \"execution_readiness\": \"not_ready\", \"explanation\": \"TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"quality\": \"partial\", \"raw_refs\": {\"compliance\": \"artifact://169208\", \"execution\": \"artifact://169283\", \"risk_agent_output\": \"artifact://169276\", \"strategy_agent_output\": \"artifact://169263\"}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"strategy_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169263\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent.\"}, {\"kind\": \"risk_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169276\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent.\"}, {\"kind\": \"execution_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169283\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping.\"}, {\"kind\": \"compliance_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169208\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates.\"}], \"signal\": {\"asset\": null, \"blockers\": [], \"max_position\": 6.25, \"pair\": \"BTC/USDT\", \"recommended_size_modifier\": 0.25, \"risk_confidence\": 0.575749349398669, \"risk_ok\": true, \"source\": \"deterministic_fallback\", \"stop_loss\": 0.03893327, \"strategy_action\": \"sell\", \"strategy_confidence\": 0.36438198914693176}, \"signal_quality\": \"partial\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169319",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.839123+00:00",
      "id": 169318,
      "kind": "decision.step.trading_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://169314",
        "out": "artifact://169317"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169318",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.837967+00:00",
      "id": 169317,
      "kind": "decision.trading_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "action": "sell",
        "autotrade_safe": false,
        "confidence": 0.35906381590557745,
        "degradation_blockers": [],
        "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
        "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "deterministic",
        "needs_manual_review": true,
        "quality": "partial",
        "raw_refs": {
          "compliance": "artifact://169208",
          "execution": "artifact://169283",
          "risk_agent_output": "artifact://169276",
          "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
        },
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://169263",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
          },
          {
            "kind": "risk_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://169276",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
          },
          {
            "kind": "execution_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://169283",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
          },
          {
            "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
            "ref": "artifact://169208",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
          }
        ],
        "signal": {
          "asset": null,
          "blockers": [],
          "max_position": 6.25,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
          "risk_confidence": 0.575749349398669,
          "risk_ok": true,
          "source": "deterministic_fallback",
          "stop_loss": 0.03893327,
          "strategy_action": "sell",
          "strategy_confidence": 0.36438198914693176
        },
        "signal_quality": "partial"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169317",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.835643+00:00",
      "id": 169316,
      "kind": "decision.llm.trading.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169316",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.829563+00:00",
      "id": 169315,
      "kind": "decision.llm.trading.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are TradingAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with these exact keys: \\\"action\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". action must be exactly one of: buy, sell, hold. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string. Your job is to translate the strategy recommendation into an executable trade. If strategy says buy/sell with confidence \u003e= 0.50 and risk_ok is true, you MUST follow the strategy direction. Only override to hold if risk explicitly forbids or evidence collapses.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Convert strategy + risk into a final DecisionBundle intent (still not execution).\u0027, \u0027user_text\u0027: \u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027, \u0027risk_prefs\u0027: {}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027sell\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.36438198914693176, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027down\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: -0.05927929163264091, \u0027ml_score\u0027: -0.09140435276466911, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08717644503319921, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.43724799391790137, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: 0.00011222202541484948, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027, \u0027long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_sell\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169073\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169137\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169226\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated:1h\u0027}], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {\u0027market_snapshot\u0027: \u0027artifact://169073\u0027, \u0027news\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: \u0027artifact://169137\u0027, \u0027ml\u0027: [\\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8014383825832473}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9351882911800932}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9784675848655613}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}\\\", \\\"{\u0027predict\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169315",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.827744+00:00",
      "id": 169314,
      "kind": "decision.trading_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "requirements": {
          "must_respect_profile_constraints": true,
          "no_execution": true
        },
        "risk": {
          "action_after_risk": "sell",
          "action_before_risk": "sell",
          "active_risk_factors": [
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "ml_mode": null,
                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
              },
              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://169073",
                "artifact://169263",
                "artifact://169204"
              ],
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
              "type": "model_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "allow_short": false
              },
              "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
              "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://169073",
                "artifact://169263",
                "artifact://169204"
              ],
              "score": 0.72,
              "severity": "high",
              "source": "risk_prefs",
              "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
              "type": "policy_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
              },
              "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
              "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
              "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://169073",
                "artifact://169263",
                "artifact://169204"
              ],
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "strategy.signal",
              "title": "Strategy timing risk",
              "type": "strategy_risk"
            }
          ],
          "autotrade_allowed": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "blocking_risks": [],
          "caution_risks": [
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "ml_mode": null,
                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
              },
              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://169073",
                "artifact://169263",
                "artifact://169204"
              ],
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
              "type": "model_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "allow_short": false
              },
              "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
              "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://169073",
                "artifact://169263",
                "artifact://169204"
              ],
              "score": 0.72,
              "severity": "high",
              "source": "risk_prefs",
              "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
              "type": "policy_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "momentum": 0.00011222202541484948
              },
              "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
              "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
              "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://169073",
                "artifact://169263",
                "artifact://169204"
              ],
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "strategy.signal",
              "title": "Strategy timing risk",
              "type": "strategy_risk"
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.575749349398669,
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
          "degraded_dependencies": [],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
          "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
          "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "manual_review_required": false,
          "max_position": 25.0,
          "meta": {
            "allow_short": false,
            "max_leverage": 1.0,
            "missing_inputs": [
              "metrics.atr_pct",
              "metrics.spread_bps"
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              "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
            },
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          "risk_confidence": 0.8,
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            "action_before_risk": "sell",
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            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
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            "overrides": [
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              "reduce_size"
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            "size_modifier": 0.25
          },
          "risk_level": "low",
          "risk_score": 0.20733065818962185,
          "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
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            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
          },
          "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
          "disagreement_flags": [],
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          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "deterministic",
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          "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
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            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://169223",
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              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
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          "signal_quality": "partial"
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            "{\"action_after_risk\": \"sell\", \"action_before_risk\": \"sell\", \"active_risk_factors\": [{\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"ml_mode\": null, \"signal_source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"explanation\": \"Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.\", \"id\": \"model_degraded_or_fallback\", \"mitigation\": \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://169073\", \"artifact://169263\", \"artifact://169204\"], \"score\": 0.68, \"severity\": \"elevated\", \"source\": \"ml.prediction\", \"title\": \"Model quality / fallback risk\", \"type\": \"model_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"allow_short\": false}, \"explanation\": \"User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.\", \"id\": \"policy_short_not_allowed\", \"mitigation\": \"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://169073\", \"artifact://169263\", \"artifact://169204\"], \"score\": 0.72, \"severity\": \"high\", \"source\": \"risk_prefs\", \"title\": \"Short selling disabled by policy\", \"type\": \"policy_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"momentum\": 0.00011222202541484948}, \"explanation\": \"Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.\", \"id\": \"strategy_timing_weak\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for clearer trend confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://169073\", \"artifact://169263\", \"artifact://169204\"], \"score\": 0.44, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"strategy.signal\", \"title\": \"Strategy timing risk\", \"type\": \"strategy_risk\"}], \"autotrade_allowed\": true, \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"blocking_risks\": [], \"caution_risks\": [{\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"ml_mode\": null, \"signal_source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"explanation\": \"Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.\", \"id\": \"model_degraded_or_fallback\", \"mitigation\": \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://169073\", \"artifact://169263\", \"artifact://169204\"], \"score\": 0.68, \"severity\": \"elevated\", \"source\": \"ml.prediction\", \"title\": \"Model quality / fallback risk\", \"type\": \"model_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"allow_short\": false}, \"explanation\": \"User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.\", \"id\": \"policy_short_not_allowed\", \"mitigation\": \"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://169073\", \"artifact://169263\", \"artifact://169204\"], \"score\": 0.72, \"severity\": \"high\", \"source\": \"risk_prefs\", \"title\": \"Short selling disabled by policy\", \"type\": \"policy_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"momentum\": 0.00011222202541484948}, \"explanation\": \"Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.\", \"id\": \"strategy_timing_weak\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for clearer trend confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://169073\", \"artifact://169263\", \"artifact://169204\"], \"score\": 0.44, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"strategy.signal\", \"title\": \"Strategy timing risk\", \"type\": \"strategy_risk\"}], \"confidence\": 0.575749349398669, \"confidence_after_risk\": 0.3114986987973378, \"confidence_before_risk\": 0.36438198914693176, \"degraded_dependencies\": [], \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"explanation\": \"Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.\", \"explanation_for_chat\": \"Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.\", \"explanation_for_ui\": \"Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"manual_review_required\": false, \"max_position\": 25.0, \"meta\": {\"allow_short\": false, \"max_leverage\": 1.0, \"missing_inputs\": [\"metrics.atr_pct\", \"metrics.spread_bps\"], \"strategy_action\": \"sell\", \"volatility\": null}, \"mitigations\": [\"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.\", \"Wait for clearer trend confirmation.\"], \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"ok\": true, \"quality\": \"de\u2026"
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        "preview": {
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      },
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "id": 169311,
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.818264+00:00",
      "id": 169310,
      "kind": "decision.ml_judge_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
        "mode": "llm_error",
        "model": "gemma3:12b",
        "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "ml_judgement",
            "ref": "artifact://169241",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
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        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169310",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.815940+00:00",
      "id": 169309,
      "kind": "decision.llm.ml_judge.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
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      "id": 169308,
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            "\"672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are MLJudgeAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"usable\\\", \\\"trust_score\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". usable must be true or false. trust_score must be a number between 0 and 1. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the ML prediction trustworthiness.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Judge whether ML predictions are trustworthy enough for this decision.\u0027, \u0027ml_judgement\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.571770+00:00\u0027, \u0027usable\u0027: True, \u0027trust_score\u0027: 0.9778541825279934, \u0027horizon_fit\u0027: 1.0, \u0027agreement_score\u0027: 1.0, \u0027reason\u0027: None, \u0027accepted_refs\u0027: [\u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027artifact://169226\u0027], \u0027rejected_refs\u0027: [], \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169241\u0027}, \u0027ml_predictions\u0027: [{\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.515199+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.13467780221881367, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8014383825832473, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.06388381519793901, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0}, \u0027prediction_value\u0027: None, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8014383825832473, \u0027error\u0027: None, \u0027last_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: None, \u0027features_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169218\u0027, \u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027expected_return\u0027: None, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: None, \u0027volatility_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027regime_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: None, \u0027breakout_probability\u0027: None, \u0027mean_reversion_probability\u0027: None, \u0027stop_loss_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027take_profit_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027tp_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027sl_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027risk_reward_estimate\u0027: None, \u0027tradeability_score\u0027: None, \u0027quality_score\u0027: None, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: None, \u0027uncertainty_score\u0027: None, \u0027forecast\u0027: {}}, {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.519107+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.005098460832724661, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9351882911800932, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.0597132479871821, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0}, \u0027prediction_value\u0027: None, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9351882911800932, \u0027error\u0027: None, \u0027last_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: None, \u0027features_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169220\u0027, \u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027expected_return\u0027: None, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: None, \u0027volatility_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027regime_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: None, \u0027breakout_probability\u0027: None, \u0027mean_reversion_probability\u0027: None, \u0027stop_loss_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027take_profit_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027tp_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027sl_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027risk_reward_estimate\u0027: None, \u0027tradeability_score\u0027: None, \u0027quality_score\u0027: None, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: None, \u0027uncertainty_score\u0027: None, \u0027forecast\u0027: {}}, {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.522921+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.019565225058706164, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9784675848655613, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.001967190075732416, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0}, \u0027prediction_value\u0027: None, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9784675848655613, \u0027error\u0027: None, \u0027last_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: None, \u0027features_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169222\u0027, \u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027expected_return\u0027: None, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: None, \u0027volatility_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027regime_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: None, \u0027breakout_probability\u0027: None, \u0027mean_reversion_probability\u0027: None, \u0027stop_loss_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027take_profit_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027tp_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027sl_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027risk_reward_estimate\u0027: None, \u0027tradeability_score\u0027: None, \u0027quality_score\u0027: None, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: None, \u0027uncertainty_score\u0027: None, \u0027forecast\u0027: {}}, {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.524603+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.04861223092964136, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9178020406809803, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.03358572838937818, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0, \u0027ensemble\u0027: True, \u0027ensemble_mode\u0027: \u0027weighted\u0027, \u0027member_coun\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
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      "id": 169307,
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          "reason": null,
          "ref": "artifact://169241",
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          "trust_score": 0.9778541825279934,
          "ts": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.571770+00:00",
          "usable": true
        },
        "ml_predictions": [
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            "take_profit_suggestion": null,
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            "ts": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.515199+00:00",
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            "asset": "BTC",
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            "take_profit_suggestion": null,
            "timeframe": "1h",
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            "tradeability_score": null,
            "ts": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.519107+00:00",
            "uncertainty_score": null,
            "volatility_forecast": null
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          {
            "asset": "BTC",
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            "features_ref": "artifact://169222",
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            "timeframe": "1h",
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            "ts": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.522921+00:00",
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          {
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        "requirements": {
          "fields": [
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            "confidence",
            "accepted_refs",
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            "explanation",
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        },
        "task": "Judge whether ML predictions are trustworthy enough for this decision."
      },
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            "{\"compliance\": \"artifact://169208\", \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://169191\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://169062\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://169048\", \"price\": \"artifact://169067\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://169073\"}, \"ml\": [\"artifact://169219\", \"artifact://169221\", \"artifact://169223\", \"artifact://169224\", \"artifact://169225\", \"artifact://169226\"], \"ml_enrichment\": {\"1h\": {\"direction_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.9178020406809803, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"direction\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8014383825832473, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"weight\": 0.2765}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9351882911800932, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"weight\": 0.2385}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9784675848655613, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"weight\": 0.462}], \"p_down\": 0.04861223092964136, \"p_side\": 0.9178020406809803, \"p_up\": 0.03358572838937818}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"ensemble_weights\": [{\"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"weight\": 0.2765}, {\"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"weight\": 0.2385}, {\"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"weight\": 0.462}], \"exit_policy\": {\"atr_base\": 0.01, \"break_even_trigger\": null, \"exit_template\": \"fixed\", \"max_hold_candles\": 24, \"partial_tp_levels\": [{\"fraction\": 0.5, \"target_distance\": 0.015}], \"stop_loss\": 0.01, \"take_profit\": 0.02, \"trailing_activation\": null, \"trailing_callback\": null, \"trend_factor\": 1.0, \"vol_factor\": 1.0}, \"member_scores\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"score\": 0.238049, \"threshold_used\": 0.38}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"score\": 0.2848, \"threshold_used\": 0.38}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"score\": 0.462958, \"threshold_used\": 0.375}], \"price_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.9178020406809803, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"price\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8014383825832473, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"weight\": 0.2765}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9351882911800932, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"weight\": 0.2385}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9784675848655613, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"weight\": 0.462}], \"p_down\": 0.04861223092964136, \"p_side\": 0.9178020406809803, \"p_up\": 0.03358572838937818}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"regime_confidence\": 1.0, \"regime_factors\": {\"bollinger_bandwidth\": 0.03152685517990549, \"directional_consistency\": 0.0, \"hurst_exp\": 0.3291108447556198, \"is_trend_regime\": 0.0, \"realized_vol_short\": 0.0, \"slope_price\": 0.0, \"trend_persistence\": 0.65, \"vol_expansion\": 0.0}, \"regime_label\": \"range\"}}, \"ml_judge\": \"artifact://169241\", \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/1b176e770fbb761df2bb409c\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": \"artifact://169204\", \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": \"artifact://169237\", \"steps\": {\"chat_context\": \u2026",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.571770+00:00\u0027 usable=True trust_score=0.9778541825279934 horizon_fit=1.0 agreement_score=1.0 reason=None accepted_refs=[\u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027artifact://169226\u0027] rejected_refs=[] ref=\u0027artifact://169241\u0027\"",
            "[\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.515199+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.13467780221881367, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8014383825832473, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.06388381519793901, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8014383825832473 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://169218\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://169219\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.519107+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_3sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.005098460832724661, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9351882911800932, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.0597132479871821, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.9351882911800932 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://169220\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://169221\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.522921+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027sl_3tp\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.019565225058706164, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9784675848655613, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.001967190075732416, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.9784675848655613 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://169222\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://169223\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.524603+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027ensemble.direction\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.04861223092964136, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9178020406809803, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.03358572838937818, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0, \u0027ensemble\u0027: True, \u0027ensemble_mode\u0027: \u0027weighted\u0027, \u0027member_count\u0027: 3, \u0027members\u0027: [{\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8014383825832473, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.2765, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.1904, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9351882911800932, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.2385, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.2278, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9784675848655613, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.462, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.5555, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}], \u0027disagreement_score\u0027: -0.0, \u0027direction_votes\u0027: {\u0027up\u0027: 0, \u0027down\u0027: 0, \u0027flat\u0027: 3}} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.9178020406809803 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=True features_ref=\u0027artifact://169218\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://169224\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.525965+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169306",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.800895+00:00",
      "id": 169305,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"rag_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169237\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as base evaluation\"}]}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169305",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.799766+00:00",
      "id": 169304,
      "kind": "decision.step.rag_judge_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://169300",
        "out": "artifact://169303"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169304",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.798656+00:00",
      "id": 169303,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
        "mode": "llm_error",
        "model": "gemma3:12b",
        "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "rag_judgement",
            "ref": "artifact://169237",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
          }
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169303",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.796274+00:00",
      "id": 169302,
      "kind": "decision.llm.rag_judge.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169302",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.790382+00:00",
      "id": 169301,
      "kind": "decision.llm.rag_judge.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are RAGJudgeAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"usable\\\", \\\"relevance_score\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". usable must be true or false. relevance_score must be a number between 0 and 1. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the RAG context quality.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Judge whether retrieved RAG context is relevant enough for decision-making.\u0027, \u0027user_text\u0027: \u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027, \u0027rag_judgement\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.564177+00:00\u0027, \u0027usable\u0027: False, \u0027relevance_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027consistency_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027rag.no_refs\u0027, \u0027accepted_refs\u0027: [], \u0027rejected_refs\u0027: [], \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169237\u0027}, \u0027rag_preview\u0027: {\u0027refs\u0027: [], \u0027context_preview\u0027: \u0027\u0027}, \u0027requirements\u0027: {\u0027fields\u0027: [\u0027mode\u0027, \u0027usable\u0027, \u0027relevance_score\u0027, \u0027consistency_score\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027, \u0027accepted_refs\u0027, \u0027rejected_refs\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027, \u0027reasons\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027]}}\\n\\nReturn JSON judging RAG relevance and accepted/rejected refs.\", \"role\": \"user\"}]"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169301",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.789128+00:00",
      "id": 169300,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "rag_judgement": {
          "accepted_refs": [],
          "consistency_score": 0.0,
          "reason": "rag.no_refs",
          "ref": "artifact://169237",
          "rejected_refs": [],
          "relevance_score": 0.0,
          "ts": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.564177+00:00",
          "usable": false
        },
        "rag_preview": {
          "context_preview": "",
          "refs": []
        },
        "requirements": {
          "fields": [
            "mode",
            "usable",
            "relevance_score",
            "consistency_score",
            "confidence",
            "accepted_refs",
            "rejected_refs",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "signal"
          ]
        },
        "task": "Judge whether retrieved RAG context is relevant enough for decision-making.",
        "user_text": "scheduler decision tick"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169300",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.787703+00:00",
      "id": 169299,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
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            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.564177+00:00\u0027 usable=False relevance_score=0.0 consistency_score=0.0 reason=\u0027rag.no_refs\u0027 accepted_refs=[] rejected_refs=[] ref=\u0027artifact://169237\u0027\"",
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          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169299",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.782370+00:00",
      "id": 169298,
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        }
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      "ref": "artifact://169298",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.781170+00:00",
      "id": 169297,
      "kind": "decision.step.compliance_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://169293",
        "out": "artifact://169296"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169297",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.779990+00:00",
      "id": 169296,
      "kind": "decision.compliance_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
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        "confidence": 0.0,
        "decision_override": null,
        "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
        "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "degraded",
        "needs_manual_review": true,
        "quality": "degraded",
        "raw_refs": {},
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "reasons": [
          "quality.llm_invalid_output"
        ],
        "refs_used": [],
        "signal": {},
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        "violations": []
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169296",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.777594+00:00",
      "id": 169295,
      "kind": "decision.llm.compliance.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169295",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.771750+00:00",
      "id": 169294,
      "kind": "decision.llm.compliance.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are ComplianceAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"trading_allowed\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"violations\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". trading_allowed must be true or false. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. violations must be an array of strings (empty if none). explanation must be a brief string summarizing the compliance check.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Apply policy and compliance gates to this decision.\u0027, \u0027compliance_snapshot\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:49.586503+00:00\u0027, \u0027dry_run\u0027: False, \u0027kill_switch\u0027: False, \u0027trading_allowed\u0027: True, \u0027violations\u0027: [], \u0027policy_flags\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027request_meta_runtime_profile\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027exchange\u0027: \u0027binance\u0027, \u0027env\u0027: \u0027local\u0027, \u0027allowed_assets\u0027: [], \u0027allowed_timeframes\u0027: [], \u0027blocked_exchanges\u0027: [], \u0027market_bans\u0027: [], \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027requested_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027allowed_envs\u0027: [], \u0027env_blocked\u0027: False}, \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169208\u0027}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027sell\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.36438198914693176, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027down\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: -0.05927929163264091, \u0027ml_score\u0027: -0.09140435276466911, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08717644503319921, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.43724799391790137, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: 0.00011222202541484948, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027, \u0027long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_sell\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169073\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169137\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169226\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated:1h\u0027}], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {\u0027market_snapshot\u0027: \u0027artifact://169073\u0027, \u0027news\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: \u0027artifact://169137\u0027, \u0027ml\u0027: [\\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8014383825832473}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9351882911800932\u2026"
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          "kwargs": {}
        }
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      "ref": "artifact://169294",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.770141+00:00",
      "id": 169293,
      "kind": "decision.compliance_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "compliance_snapshot": {
          "dry_run": false,
          "kill_switch": false,
          "policy_flags": {
            "allowed_assets": [],
            "allowed_envs": [],
            "allowed_timeframes": [],
            "asset": "BTC",
            "blocked_exchanges": [],
            "env": "local",
            "env_blocked": false,
            "exchange": "binance",
            "market_bans": [],
            "max_leverage": null,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "requested_leverage": null,
            "source": "request_meta_runtime_profile",
            "timeframe": "1h"
          },
          "ref": "artifact://169208",
          "trading_allowed": true,
          "ts": "2026-04-12T02:00:49.586503+00:00",
          "violations": []
        },
        "requirements": {
          "fields": [
            "mode",
            "trading_allowed",
            "decision_override",
            "violations",
            "confidence",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "signal"
          ]
        },
        "strategy": {
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          "action_tradeable": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
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          "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
          "constraints": {
            "allow_short": null,
            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
          },
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            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:49.577457+00:00\u0027 total_exposure_usd=None net_exposure_usd=None per_asset_exposure={} correlation_risk=None leverage_used=None available_margin=None payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027fallback\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027portfolio.service_unavailable\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027source_notes\u0027: [], \u0027positions_count\u0027: 0, \u0027derived_from_rows\u0027: False} ref=\u0027artifact://169204\u0027\"",
            "{\"action\": \"sell\", \"action_tradeable\": true, \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bias\": \"bearish\", \"confidence\": 0.36438198914693176, \"constraints\": {\"allow_short\": null, \"blacklist\": [], \"horizon\": null, \"max_leverage\": null, \"max_position_usd\": null, \"preferred_assets\": [], \"style\": null}, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"full_deterministic\", \"disagreement_flags\": [], \"explanation\": \"StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"profile_summary_text\": \"language=Default\", \"quality\": \"partial\", \"raw_refs\": {\"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://169073\", \"ml\": [\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8014383825832473}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9351882911800932}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9784675848655613}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169226\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}\"], \"narratives\": \"artifact://169137\", \"news\": [], \"rag\": []}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169073\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\"}, {\"kind\": \"narratives\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169137\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169219\", \"title\": \"tp_eq_sl:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169221\", \"title\": \"tp_3sl:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169223\", \"title\": \"sl_3tp:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169224\", \"title\": \"ensemble.direction:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169225\", \"title\": \"ensemble.price:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169226\", \"title\": \"ensemble.orchestrated:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}], \"signal\": {\"asset\": \"BTC\", \"bias\": \"bearish\", \"blockers\": [], \"direction\": \"down\", \"factors\": [\"ml_directional_bias\", \"macro_structural_bias\", \"long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit\"], \"macd_hist\": null, \"macro_agent_signed\": 0.0, \"macro_agent_weight\": 0.43724799391790137, \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08717644503319921, \"market_momentum\": 0.00011222202541484948, \"ml_score\": -0.09140435276466911, \"narrative_score\": 0.0, \"news_score\": 0.0, \"pair\": \"BTC/USDT\", \"price_vs_slow\": 0.0, \"reason_codes\": [\"direction_sell\"], \"regime\": null, \"rsi\": null, \"score\": -0.05927929163264091, \"score_deadband\": 0.042, \"source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"signal_quality\": \"partial\"}"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
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      },
      "ref": "artifact://169285",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.743905+00:00",
      "id": 169284,
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        "preview": {
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      },
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
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    {
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      "ref": "artifact://169283",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
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        "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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        "model": "gemma3:12b",
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            "title": null,
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
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        "preview": {
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      },
      "ref": "artifact://169281",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.728543+00:00",
      "id": 169280,
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        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are ExecutionAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"execution_style\\\", \\\"entry_type\\\", \\\"slices\\\", \\\"max_slippage_bps\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". execution_style: one of \\\"market_single\\\", \\\"limit_passive\\\", \\\"twap\\\", \\\"iceberg\\\". confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the chosen execution approach.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Choose execution style for proposed strategy under current risk and market state.\u0027, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027sell\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.36438198914693176, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027down\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: -0.05927929163264091, \u0027ml_score\u0027: -0.09140435276466911, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08717644503319921, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.43724799391790137, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: 0.00011222202541484948, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027, \u0027long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_sell\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169073\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169137\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169226\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated:1h\u0027}], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {\u0027market_snapshot\u0027: \u0027artifact://169073\u0027, \u0027news\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: \u0027artifact://169137\u0027, \u0027ml\u0027: [\\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169219\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8014383825832473}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169221\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9351882911800932}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169223\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9784675848655613}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169224\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169225\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9178020406809803}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169226\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timefra\u2026"
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                "artifact://169263",
                "artifact://169204"
              ],
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "strategy.signal",
              "title": "Strategy timing risk",
              "type": "strategy_risk"
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.575749349398669,
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
          "degraded_dependencies": [],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
          "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
          "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "manual_review_required": false,
          "max_position": 25.0,
          "meta": {
            "allow_short": false,
            "max_leverage": 1.0,
            "missing_inputs": [
              "metrics.atr_pct",
              "metrics.spread_bps"
            ],
            "strategy_action": "sell",
            "volatility": null
          },
          "mitigations": [
            "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
            "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
            "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
          ],
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "ok": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://169073",
            "portfolio": "artifact://169204",
            "rag": [],
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://169263"
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "model_degraded_or_fallback",
            "policy_short_not_allowed",
            "strategy_timing_weak"
          ],
          "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://169073",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
            },
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://169263",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://169204",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
            }
          ],
          "risk_breakdown": {
            "data_risk": {
              "score": 0.3333333333333333,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "event_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "execution_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "liquidity_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "market_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "model_risk": {
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated"
            },
            "policy_risk": {
              "score": 0.72,
              "severity": "high"
            },
            "portfolio_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "signal_risk": {
              "score": 0.41228711427914233,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "strategy_risk": {
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "system_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            }
          },
          "risk_confidence": 0.8,
          "risk_impact": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "blocked_by": [],
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
            "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "overrides": [
              "forbid_short",
              "reduce_size"
            ],
            "size_modifier": 0.25
          },
          "risk_level": "low",
          "risk_score": 0.20733065818962185,
          "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "stop_loss": 0.03893327
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        "strategy": {
          "action": "sell",
          "action_tradeable": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "bearish",
          "confidence": 0.36438198914693176,
          "constraints": {
            "allow_short": null,
            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
          },
          "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
          "disagreement_flags": [],
          "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "deterministic",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
          "quality": "partial",
          "raw_refs": {
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            "ml": [
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            "narratives": "artifact://169137",
            "news": [],
            "rag": []
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
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              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://169137",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://169219",
              "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://169221",
              "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://169223",
              "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://169224",
              "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://169225",
              "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://169226",
              "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
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            "bias": "bearish",
            "blockers": [],
            "direction": "down",
            "factors": [
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              "macro_structural_bias",
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            "macd_hist": null,
            "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
            "macro_agent_weight": 0.43724799391790137,
            "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921,
            "market_momentum": 0.00011222202541484948,
            "ml_score": -0.09140435276466911,
            "narrative_score": 0.0,
            "news_score": 0.0,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
            "reason_codes": [
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            ],
            "regime": null,
            "rsi": null,
            "score": -0.05927929163264091,
            "score_deadband": 0.042,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback"
          },
          "signal_quality": "partial"
        },
        "task": "Choose execution style for proposed strategy under current risk and market state."
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      "ref": "artifact://169279",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
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67156.93, \u0027high\u0027: 67185.0, \u0027low\u0027: 67060.56, \u0027close\u0027: 67097.87, \u0027volume\u0027: 140.59027}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775307600000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 13:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67097.87, \u0027high\u0027: 67267.0, \u0027low\u0027: 67082.41, \u0027close\u0027: 67193.44, \u0027volume\u0027: 362.06124}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775311200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 14:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67193.45, \u0027high\u0027: 67223.51, \u0027low\u0027: 67029.07, \u0027close\u0027: 67215.24, \u0027volume\u0027: 369.07128}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775314800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 15:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67215.24, \u0027high\u0027: 67562.93, \u0027low\u0027: 67177.39, \u0027close\u0027: 67383.66, \u0027volume\u0027: 635.57272}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775318400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 16:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67383.66, \u0027high\u0027: 67520.85, \u0027low\u0027: 67331.06, \u0027close\u0027\u2026"
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          "result": "{\"action_after_risk\": \"sell\", \"action_before_risk\": \"sell\", \"active_risk_factors\": [{\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"ml_mode\": null, \"signal_source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"explanation\": \"Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.\", \"id\": \"model_degraded_or_fallback\", \"mitigation\": \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://169073\", \"artifact://169263\", \"artifact://169204\"], \"score\": 0.68, \"severity\": \"elevated\", \"source\": \"ml.prediction\", \"title\": \"Model quality / fallback risk\", \"type\": \"model_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"allow_short\": false}, \"explanation\": \"User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.\", \"id\": \"policy_short_not_allowed\", \"mitigation\": \"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://169073\", \"artifact://169263\", \"artifact://169204\"], \"score\": 0.72, \"severity\": \"high\", \"source\": \"risk_prefs\", \"title\": \"Short selling disabled by policy\", \"type\": \"policy_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"momentum\": 0.00011222202541484948}, \"explanation\": \"Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.\", \"id\": \"strategy_timing_weak\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for clearer trend confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://169073\", \"artifact://169263\", \"artifact://169204\"], \"score\": 0.44, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"strategy.signal\", \"title\": \"Strategy timing risk\", \"type\": \"strategy_risk\"}], \"autotrade_allowed\": true, \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"blocking_risks\": [], \"caution_risks\": [{\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"ml_mode\": null, \"signal_source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"explanation\": \"Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.\", \"id\": \"model_degraded_or_fallback\", \"mitigation\": \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://169073\", \"artifact://169263\", \"artifact://169204\"], \"score\": 0.68, \"severity\": \"elevated\", \"source\": \"ml.prediction\", \"title\": \"Model quality / fallback risk\", \"type\": \"model_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"allow_short\": false}, \"explanation\": \"User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.\", \"id\": \"policy_short_not_allowed\", \"mitigation\": \"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://169073\", \"artifact://169263\", \"artifact://169204\"], \"score\": 0.72, \"severity\": \"high\", \"source\": \"risk_prefs\", \"title\": \"Short selling disabled by policy\", \"type\": \"policy_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"momentum\": 0.00011222202541484948}, \"explanation\": \"Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.\", \"id\": \"strategy_timing_weak\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for clearer trend confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://169073\", \"artifact://169263\", \"artifact://169204\"], \"score\": 0.44, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"strategy.signal\", \"title\": \"Strategy timing risk\", \"type\": \"strategy_risk\"}], \"confidence\": 0.575749349398669, \"confidence_after_risk\": 0.3114986987973378, \"confidence_before_risk\": 0.36438198914693176, \"degraded_dependencies\": [], \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"explanation\": \"Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.\", \"explanation_for_chat\": \"Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.\", \"explanation_for_ui\": \"Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"manual_review_required\": false, \"max_position\": 25.0, \"meta\": {\"allow_short\": false, \"max_leverage\": 1.0, \"missing_inputs\": [\"metrics.atr_pct\", \"metrics.spread_bps\"], \"strategy_action\": \"sell\", \"volatility\": null}, \"mitigations\": [\"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.\", \"Wait for clearer trend confirmation.\"], \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"ok\": true, \"quality\": \"de\u2026"
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        "action_before_risk": "sell",
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            "refs": [
              "artifact://169073",
              "artifact://169263",
              "artifact://169204"
            ],
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            "severity": "elevated",
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            "type": "model_risk"
          },
          {
            "blocking": false,
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              "allow_short": false
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            "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
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              "artifact://169263",
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            "score": 0.72,
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              "artifact://169204"
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        ],
        "autotrade_allowed": true,
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              "artifact://169263",
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            "severity": "high",
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          {
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            "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
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              "artifact://169263",
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        ],
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        "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
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        "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
        "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
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        "quality": "degraded",
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          "rag": [],
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        },
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "reasons": [
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          "policy_short_not_allowed",
          "strategy_timing_weak"
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        "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "market_snapshot",
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            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
          },
          {
            "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://169263",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
          },
          {
            "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
            "ref": "artifact://169204",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
          }
        ],
        "risk_breakdown": {
          "data_risk": {
            "score": 0.3333333333333333,
            "severity": "moderate"
          },
          "event_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "execution_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "liquidity_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "market_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
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          "model_risk": {
            "score": 0.68,
            "severity": "elevated"
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          "policy_risk": {
            "score": 0.72,
            "severity": "high"
          },
          "portfolio_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "signal_risk": {
            "score": 0.41228711427914233,
            "severity": "moderate"
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          "strategy_risk": {
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            "severity": "moderate"
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          "system_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
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        },
        "risk_confidence": 0.8,
        "risk_impact": {
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          "action_before_risk": "sell",
          "blocked_by": [],
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.3114986987973378,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.36438198914693176,
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          "overrides": [
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            "reduce_size"
          ],
          "size_modifier": 0.25
        },
        "risk_level": "low",
        "risk_score": 0.20733065818962185,
        "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
        "stop_loss": 0.03893327
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          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
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            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
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            "[{\"content\": \"You are RiskAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with these exact keys: \\\"ok\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"max_position\\\", \\\"stop_loss\\\", \\\"reasons\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". ok must be true or false. true means trading is safe. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. max_position must be a number or null. stop_loss must be a number or null. reasons must be an array of strings. explanation must be a brief string summarizing the risk assessment. Only set ok=false when there is a clear, specific risk (extreme volatility, liquidity crisis, position limit exceeded). 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pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u2026",
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            "[\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.515199+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.13467780221881367, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8014383825832473, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.06388381519793901, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8014383825832473 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://169218\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://169219\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.519107+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_3sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.005098460832724661, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9351882911800932, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.0597132479871821, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.9351882911800932 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://169220\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://169221\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.522921+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027sl_3tp\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.019565225058706164, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9784675848655613, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.001967190075732416, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.9784675848655613 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://169222\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://169223\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.524603+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027ensemble.direction\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.04861223092964136, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9178020406809803, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.03358572838937818, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0, \u0027ensemble\u0027: True, \u0027ensemble_mode\u0027: \u0027weighted\u0027, \u0027member_count\u0027: 3, \u0027members\u0027: [{\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8014383825832473, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.2765, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.1904, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9351882911800932, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.2385, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.2278, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9784675848655613, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.462, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.5555, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}], \u0027disagreement_score\u0027: -0.0, \u0027direction_votes\u0027: {\u0027up\u0027: 0, \u0027down\u0027: 0, \u0027flat\u0027: 3}} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.9178020406809803 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=True features_ref=\u0027artifact://169218\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://169224\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:52.525965+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "macro_out": "{\"action\": \"hold\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.5144094046092957, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\", \"macro.structural_fallback\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"signal\": {\"macro_regime\": \"neutral\", \"macro_structural_factors\": [\"crypto_macro_score\", \"usd_strong_crypto_headwind\", \"equity_risk_off\"], \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08717644503319921}}",
            "macro_snapshot": "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:48.257492+00:00\u0027 regime=\u0027neutral\u0027 rates_bias=\u0027neutral\u0027 usd_strength=1.0 equity_risk=0.254375 commodity_risk=0.32062499999999994 crypto_macro_score=0.27607851655600263 payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot\u0027, \u0027date\u0027: \u00272026-04-12\u0027, \u0027base_currency\u0027: \u0027USD\u0027, \u0027market\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 71647.12, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2219.1800000000003, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 82.28}, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.6, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89}, \u0027crypto\u0027: {\u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.042148344399735, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2512077930139.5117, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 16.0}, \u0027meta\u0027: {\u0027best_effort\u0027: True, \u0027fred\u0027: {\u0027series\u0027: {\u0027DTWEXBGS\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T00:00:46.370921+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.3186903, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\\\"}, \u0027DGS2\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.940656+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.6965935, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027DGS10\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.942878+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.6820307, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027SP500\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.945088+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.6899621, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027NASDAQCOM\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.947302+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.6902068, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}}, \u0027macro_degraded\u0027: False, \u0027source_mode\u0027: \u0027fred_observations_api\u0027}, \u0027sources\u0027: {\u0027market\u0027: [\u0027https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\u0027, \u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\u0027], \u0027macro\u0027: [\u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\u0027, \u0027https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027], \u0027crypto\u0027: [\u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\u0027, \u0027https://api.alternative.me/fng/\u0027]}}, \u0027derived\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 71647.12, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2219.1800000000003, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 82.28, \u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.6, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89, \u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.042148344399735, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2512077930139.5117, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 16.0, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.254375, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.32062499999999994, \u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027: 0.27607851655600263, \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027rates_bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027}} ref=\u0027artifact://169191\u0027\""
          }
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169258",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.624110+00:00",
      "id": 169257,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"narratives\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169137\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source\"}]}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169257",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.622961+00:00",
      "id": 169256,
      "kind": "decision.step.sentiment_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://169252",
        "out": "artifact://169255"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169256",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.621830+00:00",
      "id": 169255,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
        "mode": "llm_error",
        "model": "gemma3:12b",
        "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "narratives",
            "ref": "artifact://169137",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
          }
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169255",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.619436+00:00",
      "id": 169254,
      "kind": "decision.llm.sentiment.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169254",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.613905+00:00",
      "id": 169253,
      "kind": "decision.llm.sentiment.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are SentimentAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"bias\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"sentiment_score\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". bias must be a string: \\\"bullish\\\", \\\"bearish\\\", or \\\"neutral\\\". confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. sentiment_score must be a number between -1 and 1. explanation: brief string summarizing the sentiment reading.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Interpret news + narratives as market sentiment for trading.\u0027, \u0027news_events\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: {\u0027narrative_id\u0027: \u00271b176e770fbb761df2bb409c\u0027, \u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.785350+00:00\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027, \u0027tags\u0027: [\u0027btc/usdt\u0027, \u00271h\u0027, \u0027neutral\u0027], \u0027sentiment\u0027: 0.0, \u0027maturity\u0027: 0.19852469003787665, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3965167501352737, \u0027embedding_ref\u0027: \u0027chroma://narratives/1b176e770fbb761df2bb409c\u0027, \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://169137\u0027, \u0027payload\u0027: {\u0027method\u0027: \u0027lexicon_v1\u0027, \u0027signals\u0027: [\u0027no_lexicon_hits\u0027, \u0027raw=+0.00\u0027], \u0027events_used\u0027: 0, \u0027text_len\u0027: 165, \u0027stored\u0027: True, \u0027collection\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027created_at\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.785350+00:00\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027}}, \u0027requirements\u0027: {\u0027fields\u0027: [\u0027mode\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027, \u0027action\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027, \u0027event_strength\u0027, \u0027sentiment_score\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027, \u0027reasons\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027]}}\\n\\nReturn JSON with keys: bias, confidence, sentiment_score.\", \"role\": \"user\"}]"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169253",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.612626+00:00",
      "id": 169252,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "narratives": {
          "confidence": 0.3965167501352737,
          "embedding_ref": "chroma://narratives/1b176e770fbb761df2bb409c",
          "maturity": 0.19852469003787665,
          "narrative_id": "1b176e770fbb761df2bb409c",
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "payload": {
            "collection": "narratives",
            "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:45.785350+00:00",
            "events_used": 0,
            "method": "lexicon_v1",
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "signals": [
              "no_lexicon_hits",
              "raw=+0.00"
            ],
            "source": "narratives_enrich",
            "stored": true,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "text_len": 165,
            "timeframe": "1h"
          },
          "ref": "artifact://169137",
          "sentiment": 0.0,
          "source": "narratives_enrich",
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "tags": [
            "btc/usdt",
            "1h",
            "neutral"
          ],
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "ts": "2026-04-12T02:00:45.785350+00:00"
        },
        "news_events": [],
        "requirements": {
          "fields": [
            "mode",
            "bias",
            "action",
            "confidence",
            "event_strength",
            "sentiment_score",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "signal"
          ]
        },
        "task": "Interpret news + narratives as market sentiment for trading."
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169252",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.611093+00:00",
      "id": 169251,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"trace_id=\u0027672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\"",
            "{\"compliance\": \"artifact://169208\", \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://169191\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://169062\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://169048\", \"price\": \"artifact://169067\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://169073\"}, \"ml\": [\"artifact://169219\", \"artifact://169221\", \"artifact://169223\", \"artifact://169224\", \"artifact://169225\", \"artifact://169226\"], \"ml_enrichment\": {\"1h\": {\"direction_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.9178020406809803, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"direction\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8014383825832473, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"weight\": 0.2765}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9351882911800932, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"weight\": 0.2385}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9784675848655613, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"weight\": 0.462}], \"p_down\": 0.04861223092964136, \"p_side\": 0.9178020406809803, \"p_up\": 0.03358572838937818}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"ensemble_weights\": [{\"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"weight\": 0.2765}, {\"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"weight\": 0.2385}, {\"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"weight\": 0.462}], \"exit_policy\": {\"atr_base\": 0.01, \"break_even_trigger\": null, \"exit_template\": \"fixed\", \"max_hold_candles\": 24, \"partial_tp_levels\": [{\"fraction\": 0.5, \"target_distance\": 0.015}], \"stop_loss\": 0.01, \"take_profit\": 0.02, \"trailing_activation\": null, \"trailing_callback\": null, \"trend_factor\": 1.0, \"vol_factor\": 1.0}, \"member_scores\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"score\": 0.238049, \"threshold_used\": 0.38}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"score\": 0.2848, \"threshold_used\": 0.38}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"score\": 0.462958, \"threshold_used\": 0.375}], \"price_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.9178020406809803, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"price\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8014383825832473, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"weight\": 0.2765}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9351882911800932, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"weight\": 0.2385}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9784675848655613, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"weight\": 0.462}], \"p_down\": 0.04861223092964136, \"p_side\": 0.9178020406809803, \"p_up\": 0.03358572838937818}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"regime_confidence\": 1.0, \"regime_factors\": {\"bollinger_bandwidth\": 0.03152685517990549, \"directional_consistency\": 0.0, \"hurst_exp\": 0.3291108447556198, \"is_trend_regime\": 0.0, \"realized_vol_short\": 0.0, \"slope_price\": 0.0, \"trend_persistence\": 0.65, \"vol_expansion\": 0.0}, \"regime_label\": \"range\"}}, \"ml_judge\": \"artifact://169241\", \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/1b176e770fbb761df2bb409c\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": \"artifact://169204\", \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": \"artifact://169237\", \"steps\": {\"chat_context\": \u2026",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "[]",
            "\"narrative_id=\u00271b176e770fbb761df2bb409c\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.785350+00:00\u0027 symbol=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 source=\u0027narratives_enrich\u0027 tags=[\u0027btc/usdt\u0027, \u00271h\u0027, \u0027neutral\u0027] sentiment=0.0 maturity=0.19852469003787665 confidence=0.3965167501352737 embedding_ref=\u0027chroma://narratives/1b176e770fbb761df2bb409c\u0027 ref=\u0027artifact://169137\u0027 payload={\u0027method\u0027: \u0027lexicon_v1\u0027, \u0027signals\u0027: [\u0027no_lexicon_hits\u0027, \u0027raw=+0.00\u0027], \u0027events_used\u0027: 0, \u0027text_len\u0027: 165, \u0027stored\u0027: True, \u0027collection\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027created_at\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.785350+00:00\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027}\""
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        }
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      "ref": "artifact://169251",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.605703+00:00",
      "id": 169250,
      "kind": "decision.macro_agent.outputs",
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      },
      "ref": "artifact://169250",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.604485+00:00",
      "id": 169249,
      "kind": "decision.step.macro_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://169245",
        "out": "artifact://169248"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169249",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.603278+00:00",
      "id": 169248,
      "kind": "decision.macro_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
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        "autotrade_safe": false,
        "bias": "neutral",
        "confidence": 0.5144094046092957,
        "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
        "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "degraded",
        "needs_manual_review": true,
        "quality": "degraded",
        "raw_refs": {},
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "reasons": [
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        "refs_used": [],
        "regime": "neutral",
        "signal": {
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          "macro_structural_factors": [
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            "equity_risk_off"
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          "macro_structural_score": -0.08717644503319921
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      },
      "ref": "artifact://169248",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.600803+00:00",
      "id": 169247,
      "kind": "decision.llm.macro.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169247",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:52.592390+00:00",
      "id": 169246,
      "kind": "decision.llm.macro.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are MacroAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"regime\\\", \\\"bias\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". regime: current market regime (trend_up, trend_down, range, breakout, high_vol). bias: risk_on or risk_off. confidence: number between 0 and 1. explanation: brief string summarizing the macro environment assessment.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Interpret macro backdrop for current trade decision.\u0027, \u0027macro_snapshot\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:48.257492+00:00\u0027, \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027rates_bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.254375, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.32062499999999994, \u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027: 0.27607851655600263, \u0027payload\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot\u0027, \u0027date\u0027: \u00272026-04-12\u0027, \u0027base_currency\u0027: \u0027USD\u0027, \u0027market\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 71647.12, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2219.1800000000003, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 82.28}, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.6, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89}, \u0027crypto\u0027: {\u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.042148344399735, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2512077930139.5117, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 16.0}, \u0027meta\u0027: {\u0027best_effort\u0027: True, \u0027fred\u0027: {\u0027series\u0027: {\u0027DTWEXBGS\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T00:00:46.370921+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.3186903, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\\\"}, \u0027DGS2\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.940656+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.6965935, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027DGS10\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.942878+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.6820307, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027SP500\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.945088+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.6899621, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027NASDAQCOM\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.947302+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.6902068, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}}, \u0027macro_degraded\u0027: False, \u0027source_mode\u0027: \u0027fred_observations_api\u0027}, \u0027sources\u0027: {\u0027market\u0027: [\u0027https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\u0027, \u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\u0027], \u0027macro\u0027: [\u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\u0027, \u0027https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027], \u0027crypto\u0027: [\u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\u0027, \u0027https://api.alternative.me/fng/\u0027]}}, \u0027derived\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 71647.12, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2219.1800000000003, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 82.28, \u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.6, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89, \u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.042148344399735, 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                  "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                  "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
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                  "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
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            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "{\"chat_id\": \"scheduler\", \"history\": [], \"language\": \"Default\", \"profile\": {\"meta_inf\": {\"language\": \"Default\"}}, \"profile_summary\": {\"allow_short\": null, \"blacklist\": [], \"horizon\": null, \"language\": \"Default\", \"max_leverage\": null, \"max_position_usd\": null, \"preferred_assets\": [], \"risk_level\": null, \"style\": null, \"summary_text\": \"language=Default\"}, \"profile_summary_ref\": \"artifact://169025\", \"profile_version\": 1, \"user_id\": \"scheduler\"}"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169207",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:49.580333+00:00",
      "id": 169206,
      "kind": "decision.portfolio_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:49.577457+00:00\u0027 total_exposure_usd=None net_exposure_usd=None per_asset_exposure={} correlation_risk=None leverage_used=None available_margin=None payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027fallback\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027portfolio.service_unavailable\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027source_notes\u0027: [], \u0027positions_count\u0027: 0, \u0027derived_from_rows\u0027: False} ref=\u0027artifact://169204\u0027\""
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169206",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:49.579109+00:00",
      "id": 169205,
      "kind": "decision.step.portfolio_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "available_margin": null,
        "correlation_risk": null,
        "leverage_used": null,
        "net_exposure_usd": null,
        "payload_source": "fallback",
        "per_asset_exposure": {},
        "ref": "artifact://169204",
        "source_notes": [],
        "total_exposure_usd": null
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169205",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:49.577940+00:00",
      "id": 169204,
      "kind": "decision.portfolio_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "available_margin": null,
        "correlation_risk": null,
        "leverage_used": null,
        "net_exposure_usd": null,
        "payload": {
          "asset": "BTC",
          "derived_from_rows": false,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "positions_count": 0,
          "reason": "portfolio.service_unavailable",
          "source": "fallback",
          "source_notes": []
        },
        "per_asset_exposure": {},
        "ref": null,
        "total_exposure_usd": null,
        "ts": "2026-04-12T02:00:49.577457+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169204",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:49.576473+00:00",
      "id": 169203,
      "kind": "decision.portfolio_snapshot.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"trace_id=\u0027672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\"",
            "{\"compliance\": null, \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://169191\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://169062\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://169048\", \"price\": \"artifact://169067\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://169073\"}, \"ml\": [], \"ml_judge\": null, \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/1b176e770fbb761df2bb409c\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": null, \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": null, \"steps\": {\"chat_context\": \"artifact://169031\", \"macro_snapshot\": \"artifact://169192\", \"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://169074\", \"narratives\": \"artifact://169142\", \"news_events\": \"artifact://169083\", \"onchain_agent\": \"artifact://169201\", \"onchain_snapshot\": \"artifact://169196\", \"profile_summary\": \"artifact://169027\", \"rag_context\": \"artifact://169106\"}}",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169203",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:49.571351+00:00",
      "id": 169202,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"action\": \"buy\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bearish_signals\": [\"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal\"], \"confidence\": 0.596, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"balanced\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.180). Bullish factors: fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.\", \"extra_metrics\": {\"btc_dominance_pct\": 57.042148344399735, \"btc_hash_rate\": 884234327071.5194, \"btc_tx_count_24h\": 511364, \"defi_tvl_change_7d_pct\": 5.175685345277702, \"defi_tvl_usd\": 96781353648.0, \"fear_greed_index\": 16.0, \"fear_greed_label\": \"Extreme Fear\", \"market_cap_change_24h_pct\": -1.4874772979702866, \"mempool_fastest_fee\": 1.0, \"okx_funding_rate\": 3.54136854935e-05}, \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": false, \"network_signal\": \"shrinking\", \"onchain_available\": true, \"quality\": \"trusted\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"onchain_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://169195\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Primary on-chain evidence\"}], \"score\": 0.18, \"sources_count\": 9, \"valuation_signal\": \"unknown\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169202",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:49.570126+00:00",
      "id": 169201,
      "kind": "decision.step.onchain_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://169199",
        "out": "artifact://169200"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169201",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:49.568960+00:00",
      "id": 169200,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "action": "buy",
        "autotrade_safe": false,
        "bearish_signals": [
          "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
        ],
        "bias": "bullish",
        "bullish_signals": [
          "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.596,
        "data_quality": "live",
        "derivatives_signal": "balanced",
        "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
        "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.180). Bullish factors: fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
        "extra_metrics": {
          "btc_dominance_pct": 57.042148344399735,
          "btc_hash_rate": 884234327071.5194,
          "btc_tx_count_24h": 511364,
          "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 5.175685345277702,
          "defi_tvl_usd": 96781353648.0,
          "fear_greed_index": 16.0,
          "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
          "market_cap_change_24h_pct": -1.4874772979702866,
          "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
          "okx_funding_rate": 3.54136854935e-05
        },
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "deterministic",
        "needs_manual_review": false,
        "network_signal": "shrinking",
        "onchain_available": true,
        "quality": "trusted",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
            "ref": "artifact://169195",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
          }
        ],
        "score": 0.18,
        "sources_count": 9,
        "valuation_signal": "unknown"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169200",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:49.567710+00:00",
      "id": 169199,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "data_quality": "live",
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "snapshot": {
          "active_addresses_24h": 511364,
          "asset": "BTC",
          "data_quality": "live",
          "exchange_inflow_24h": null,
          "exchange_outflow_24h": null,
          "exchange_reserve": null,
          "funding_rate": null,
          "funding_rate_annualized": null,
          "hash_rate": null,
          "liquidations_long_24h_usd": null,
          "liquidations_short_24h_usd": null,
          "long_short_ratio": 0.7452,
          "mvrv_ratio": null,
          "net_exchange_flow": null,
          "nvt_ratio": null,
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          "ref": "artifact://169195",
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          "sources_used": [
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            "defillama_tvl"
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          "stablecoin_supply_ratio": null,
          "taker_buy_sell_ratio": 1.0439,
          "transaction_count_24h": null,
          "ts": "2026-04-12T02:00:49.551992+00:00"
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      "id": 169198,
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            "\"672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\"",
            "{\"compliance\": null, \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://169191\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://169062\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://169048\", \"price\": \"artifact://169067\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://169073\"}, \"ml\": [], \"ml_judge\": null, \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/1b176e770fbb761df2bb409c\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": null, \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": null, \"steps\": {\"chat_context\": \"artifact://169031\", \"macro_snapshot\": \"artifact://169192\", \"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://169074\", \"narratives\": \"artifact://169142\", \"news_events\": \"artifact://169083\", \"onchain_snapshot\": \"artifact://169196\", \"profile_summary\": \"artifact://169027\", \"rag_context\": \"artifact://169106\"}}",
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\u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 16:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67383.66, \u0027high\u0027: 67520.85, \u0027low\u0027: 67331.06, \u0027close\u0027\u2026"
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      "id": 169197,
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      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:49.551992+00:00\u0027 funding_rate=None funding_rate_annualized=None open_interest_usd=6955281652.71429 open_interest_change_24h_pct=1.7741705055376065 long_short_ratio=0.7452 taker_buy_sell_ratio=1.0439 liquidations_long_24h_usd=None liquidations_short_24h_usd=None exchange_inflow_24h=None exchange_outflow_24h=None net_exchange_flow=None exchange_reserve=None mvrv_ratio=None sopr=None nvt_ratio=None realized_price=None active_addresses_24h=511364 transaction_count_24h=None hash_rate=None stablecoin_supply_ratio=None data_quality=\u0027live\u0027 sources_used=[\u0027binance_open_interest\u0027, \u0027binance_long_short_ratio\u0027, \u0027binance_taker_ratio\u0027, \u0027alternative_me_fng\u0027, \u0027coingecko_global\u0027, \u0027blockchain_info\u0027, \u0027mempool_space\u0027, \u0027okx_funding_rate\u0027, \u0027defillama_tvl\u0027] ref=\u0027artifact://169195\u0027\""
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      "id": 169196,
      "kind": "decision.step.onchain_snapshot",
      "payload": {
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        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "sources": [
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          "binance_long_short_ratio",
          "binance_taker_ratio",
          "alternative_me_fng",
          "coingecko_global",
          "blockchain_info",
          "mempool_space",
          "okx_funding_rate",
          "defillama_tvl"
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      "ref": "artifact://169196",
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      "kind": "decision.onchain_snapshot",
      "payload": {
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        "asset": "BTC",
        "data_quality": "live",
        "exchange_inflow_24h": null,
        "exchange_outflow_24h": null,
        "exchange_reserve": null,
        "funding_rate": null,
        "funding_rate_annualized": null,
        "hash_rate": null,
        "liquidations_long_24h_usd": null,
        "liquidations_short_24h_usd": null,
        "long_short_ratio": 0.7452,
        "mvrv_ratio": null,
        "net_exchange_flow": null,
        "nvt_ratio": null,
        "open_interest_change_24h_pct": 1.7741705055376065,
        "open_interest_usd": 6955281652.71429,
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "realized_price": null,
        "ref": null,
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        "sources_used": [
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          "binance_long_short_ratio",
          "binance_taker_ratio",
          "alternative_me_fng",
          "coingecko_global",
          "blockchain_info",
          "mempool_space",
          "okx_funding_rate",
          "defillama_tvl"
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        "stablecoin_supply_ratio": null,
        "taker_buy_sell_ratio": 1.0439,
        "transaction_count_24h": null,
        "ts": "2026-04-12T02:00:49.551992+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169195",
      "store": "postgres",
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      "id": 169194,
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      "payload": {
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            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.514258+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 price=71651.73 ohlcv=[{\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775242800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 19:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66812.04, \u0027high\u0027: 66911.19, \u0027low\u0027: 66774.02, \u0027close\u0027: 66885.74, \u0027volume\u0027: 289.39585}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775246400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 20:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66885.73, \u0027high\u0027: 66919.61, \u0027low\u0027: 66831.97, \u0027close\u0027: 66831.98, \u0027volume\u0027: 141.97965}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775250000000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 21:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66831.97, \u0027high\u0027: 66970.18, \u0027low\u0027: 66827.6, \u0027close\u0027: 66964.21, \u0027volume\u0027: 378.17654}, 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66924.48, \u0027low\u0027: 66827.22, \u0027close\u0027: 66852.0, \u0027volume\u0027: 418.46364}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775268000000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 02:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66852.0, \u0027high\u0027: 66919.41, \u0027low\u0027: 66814.0, \u0027close\u0027: 66844.83, \u0027volume\u0027: 138.81793}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775271600000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 03:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66844.84, \u0027high\u0027: 66910.22, \u0027low\u0027: 66830.23, \u0027close\u0027: 66832.18, \u0027volume\u0027: 86.81929}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775275200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 04:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66832.18, \u0027high\u0027: 66876.32, \u0027low\u0027: 66775.91, \u0027close\u0027: 66860.73, \u0027volume\u0027: 180.50471}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775278800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: 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\u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 16:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67383.66, \u0027high\u0027: 67520.85, \u0027low\u0027: 67331.06, \u0027close\u0027\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169194",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:48.263722+00:00",
      "id": 169193,
      "kind": "decision.macro_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T02:00:48.257492+00:00\u0027 regime=\u0027neutral\u0027 rates_bias=\u0027neutral\u0027 usd_strength=1.0 equity_risk=0.254375 commodity_risk=0.32062499999999994 crypto_macro_score=0.27607851655600263 payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot\u0027, \u0027date\u0027: \u00272026-04-12\u0027, \u0027base_currency\u0027: \u0027USD\u0027, \u0027market\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 71647.12, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2219.1800000000003, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 82.28}, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.6, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89}, \u0027crypto\u0027: {\u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.042148344399735, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2512077930139.5117, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 16.0}, \u0027meta\u0027: {\u0027best_effort\u0027: True, \u0027fred\u0027: {\u0027series\u0027: {\u0027DTWEXBGS\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T00:00:46.370921+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.3186903, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\\\"}, \u0027DGS2\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.940656+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.6965935, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027DGS10\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.942878+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.6820307, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027SP500\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.945088+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.6899621, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027NASDAQCOM\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T02:00:45.947302+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775959246.6902068, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}}, \u0027macro_degraded\u0027: False, \u0027source_mode\u0027: \u0027fred_observations_api\u0027}, \u0027sources\u0027: {\u0027market\u0027: [\u0027https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\u0027, \u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\u0027], \u0027macro\u0027: [\u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\u0027, \u0027https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027], \u0027crypto\u0027: [\u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\u0027, \u0027https://api.alternative.me/fng/\u0027]}}, \u0027derived\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 71647.12, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2219.1800000000003, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 82.28, \u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.6, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89, \u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.042148344399735, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2512077930139.5117, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 16.0, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.254375, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.32062499999999994, \u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027: 0.27607851655600263, \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027rates_bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027}} ref=\u0027artifact://169191\u0027\""
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169193",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:48.262271+00:00",
      "id": 169192,
      "kind": "decision.step.macro_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "commodity_risk": 0.32062499999999994,
        "crypto_macro_score": 0.27607851655600263,
        "equity_risk": 0.254375,
        "payload_source": "tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot",
        "rates_bias": "neutral",
        "ref": "artifact://169191",
        "regime": "neutral",
        "usd_strength": 1.0
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169192",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:48.260833+00:00",
      "id": 169191,
      "kind": "decision.macro_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "commodity_risk": 0.32062499999999994,
        "crypto_macro_score": 0.27607851655600263,
        "equity_risk": 0.254375,
        "payload": {
          "base_currency": "USD",
          "crypto": {
            "btc_dominance": 57.042148344399735,
            "fear_greed_index": 16.0,
            "total3_market_cap": 2512077930139.5117
          },
          "date": "2026-04-12",
          "derived": {
            "btc_dominance": 57.042148344399735,
            "btc_usdt": 71647.12,
            "commodity_risk": 0.32062499999999994,
            "crypto_macro_score": 0.27607851655600263,
            "dxy": 120.6565,
            "equity_risk": 0.254375,
            "eth_usdt": 2219.1800000000003,
            "fear_greed_index": 16.0,
            "gold_price": 1957.5,
            "nasdaq_index": 22902.89,
            "oil_brent": 70.6,
            "rates_bias": "neutral",
            "regime": "neutral",
            "sol_usdt": 82.28,
            "sp500_index": 6816.89,
            "total3_market_cap": 2512077930139.5117,
            "us_10y_yield": 4.29,
            "us_2y_yield": 3.78,
            "usd_strength": 1.0
          },
          "macro": {
            "dxy": 120.6565,
            "gold_price": 1957.5,
            "nasdaq_index": 22902.89,
            "oil_brent": 70.6,
            "sp500_index": 6816.89,
            "us_10y_yield": 4.29,
            "us_2y_yield": 3.78
          },
          "market": {
            "btc_usdt": 71647.12,
            "eth_usdt": 2219.1800000000003,
            "sol_usdt": 82.28
          },
          "meta": {
            "best_effort": true,
            "fred": {
              "macro_degraded": false,
              "series": {
                "DGS10": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1775959246.6820307,
                  "last_error_short": null,
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-12T02:00:45.942878+00:00",
                  "value_source": "live"
                },
                "DGS2": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1775959246.6965935,
                  "last_error_short": null,
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-12T02:00:45.940656+00:00",
                  "value_source": "live"
                },
                "DTWEXBGS": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1775959246.3186903,
                  "last_error_short": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea",
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-12T00:00:46.370921+00:00",
                  "value_source": "stale_cache"
                },
                "NASDAQCOM": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1775959246.6902068,
                  "last_error_short": null,
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-12T02:00:45.947302+00:00",
                  "value_source": "live"
                },
                "SP500": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1775959246.6899621,
                  "last_error_short": null,
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-12T02:00:45.945088+00:00",
                  "value_source": "live"
                }
              },
              "source_mode": "fred_observations_api"
            },
            "sources": {
              "crypto": [
                "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global",
                "https://api.alternative.me/fng/"
              ],
              "macro": [
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold",
                "https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold",
                "https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent",
                "https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil",
                "https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil"
              ],
              "market": [
                "https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price",
                "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price"
              ]
            }
          },
          "source": "tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot"
        },
        "rates_bias": "neutral",
        "ref": null,
        "regime": "neutral",
        "ts": "2026-04-12T02:00:48.257492+00:00",
        "usd_strength": 1.0
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169191",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:48.258075+00:00",
      "id": 169190,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.collect_macro_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"commodity_risk\": 0.32062499999999994, \"crypto_macro_score\": 0.27607851655600263, \"equity_risk\": 0.254375, \"payload\": {\"base_currency\": \"USD\", \"crypto\": {\"btc_dominance\": 57.042148344399735, \"fear_greed_index\": 16.0, \"total3_market_cap\": 2512077930139.5117}, \"date\": \"2026-04-12\", \"derived\": {\"btc_dominance\": 57.042148344399735, \"btc_usdt\": 71647.12, \"commodity_risk\": 0.32062499999999994, \"crypto_macro_score\": 0.27607851655600263, \"dxy\": 120.6565, \"equity_risk\": 0.254375, \"eth_usdt\": 2219.1800000000003, \"fear_greed_index\": 16.0, \"gold_price\": 1957.5, \"nasdaq_index\": 22902.89, \"oil_brent\": 70.6, \"rates_bias\": \"neutral\", \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"sol_usdt\": 82.28, \"sp500_index\": 6816.89, \"total3_market_cap\": 2512077930139.5117, \"us_10y_yield\": 4.29, \"us_2y_yield\": 3.78, \"usd_strength\": 1.0}, \"macro\": {\"dxy\": 120.6565, \"gold_price\": 1957.5, \"nasdaq_index\": 22902.89, \"oil_brent\": 70.6, \"sp500_index\": 6816.89, \"us_10y_yield\": 4.29, \"us_2y_yield\": 3.78}, \"market\": {\"btc_usdt\": 71647.12, \"eth_usdt\": 2219.1800000000003, \"sol_usdt\": 82.28}, \"meta\": {\"best_effort\": true, \"fred\": {\"macro_degraded\": false, \"series\": {\"DGS10\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775959246.6820307, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T02:00:45.942878+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"DGS2\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775959246.6965935, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T02:00:45.940656+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"DTWEXBGS\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775959246.3186903, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T00:00:46.370921+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"NASDAQCOM\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775959246.6902068, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T02:00:45.947302+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"SP500\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775959246.6899621, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T02:00:45.945088+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}}, \"source_mode\": \"fred_observations_api\"}, \"sources\": {\"crypto\": [\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\", \"https://api.alternative.me/fng/\"], \"macro\": [\"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\", \"https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\"], \"market\": [\"https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\", \"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\"]}}}, \"rates_bias\": \"neutral\", \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"ts\": \"2026-04-12T02:00:48.257492+00:00\", \"usd_strength\": 1.0}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169190",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:48.255183+00:00",
      "id": 169189,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.agent_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"base_currency\": \"USD\", \"crypto\": {\"btc_dominance\": 57.042148344399735, \"fear_greed_index\": 16.0, \"total3_market_cap\": 2512077930139.5117}, \"date\": \"2026-04-12\", \"macro\": {\"dxy\": 120.6565, \"gold_price\": 1957.5, \"nasdaq_index\": 22902.89, \"oil_brent\": 70.6, \"sp500_index\": 6816.89, \"us_10y_yield\": 4.29, \"us_2y_yield\": 3.78}, \"market\": {\"btc_usdt\": 71647.12, \"eth_usdt\": 2219.1800000000003, \"sol_usdt\": 82.28}, \"meta\": {\"best_effort\": true, \"fred\": {\"macro_degraded\": false, \"series\": {\"DGS10\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775959246.6820307, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T02:00:45.942878+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"DGS2\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775959246.6965935, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T02:00:45.940656+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"DTWEXBGS\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775959246.3186903, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T00:00:46.370921+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"NASDAQCOM\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775959246.6902068, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T02:00:45.947302+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"SP500\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775959246.6899621, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T02:00:45.945088+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}}, \"source_mode\": \"fred_observations_api\"}, \"sources\": {\"crypto\": [\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\", \"https://api.alternative.me/fng/\"], \"macro\": [\"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\", \"https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\"], \"market\": [\"https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\", \"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\"]}}}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169189",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:48.252346+00:00",
      "id": 169188,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.get_gold_price.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "1957.5"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169188",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:48.247292+00:00",
      "id": 169187,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"\u003c!DOCTYPE html\u003e\u003chtml lang=\\\"ru\\\" dir=\\\"ltr\\\" class=\\\"html\\\"\u003e\u003chead\u003e\u003cmeta charSet=\\\"utf-8\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003cmeta name=\\\"viewport\\\" content=\\\"initial-scale=1.0,width=device-width\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"canonical\\\" href=\\\"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"x-default\\\" href=\\\"https://www.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-us\\\" href=\\\"https://www.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"he-il\\\" href=\\\"https://il.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ar\\\" href=\\\"https://sa.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"es\\\" href=\\\"https://es.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"fr\\\" href=\\\"https://fr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"zh-cn\\\" href=\\\"https://cn.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ru\\\" href=\\\"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"de\\\" href=\\\"https://de.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"it\\\" href=\\\"https://it.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"tr-tr\\\" href=\\\"https://tr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ja\\\" href=\\\"https://jp.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"pt\\\" href=\\\"https://br.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"sv-se\\\" href=\\\"https://se.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"el\\\" href=\\\"https://gr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"pl\\\" href=\\\"https://pl.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"nl\\\" href=\\\"https://nl.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"fi\\\" href=\\\"https://fi.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ko-kr\\\" href=\\\"https://kr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"es-mx\\\" href=\\\"https://mx.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"pt-pt\\\" href=\\\"https://pt.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-gb\\\" href=\\\"https://uk.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"vi-vn\\\" href=\\\"https://vn.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"th-th\\\" href=\\\"https://th.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"id-id\\\" href=\\\"https://id.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"zh-hk\\\" href=\\\"https://hk.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-in\\\" href=\\\"https://in.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ms\\\" href=\\\"https://ms.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-ca\\\" href=\\\"https://ca.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-au\\\" href=\\\"https://au.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-za\\\" href=\\\"https://za.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"hi\\\" href=\\\"https://hi.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-ng\\\" href=\\\"https://ng.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"\u2026"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169187",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:47.051312+00:00",
      "id": 169186,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.get_oil_price.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "70.6"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169186",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:47.047537+00:00",
      "id": 169185,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.error",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027403 Forbidden\u0027 for url \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/403",
        "error_type": "HTTPStatusError",
        "stack": "Traceback (most recent call last):\n  File \"/app/core/telemetry/decorator.py\", line 271, in _wrapper\n    res = await fn(*args, **kwargs)\n          ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 154, in _fetch_text\n    return await _call()\n           ^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 134, in _call\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/app/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Client error \u0027403 Forbidden\u0027 for url \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/403\n"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169185",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:47.006447+00:00",
      "id": 169184,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\""
          ],
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        "stack": "Traceback (most recent call last):\n  File \"/app/core/telemetry/decorator.py\", line 271, in _wrapper\n    res = await fn(*args, **kwargs)\n          ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 886, in _fred_fetch_json_once\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/app/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500\n"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169162",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:46.269086+00:00",
      "id": 169161,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\""
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "headers": "{\"Accept-Language\": \"en-US,en;q=0.8,ru;q=0.6\"}",
            "runtime": "{\"_autotrade_cadence\": {\"bucket_key\": \"1h:1775959200\", \"gate_name\": \"autotrade:binance:BTC/USDT:1h\", \"same_candle_skip\": true}, \"app\": \"\u003cfastapi.applications.FastAPI object at 0x7f034454c650\u003e\", \"ccxt_factory\": \"\u003cfunction _build_ccxt_factory.\u003clocals\u003e._factory at 0x7f039ec75a80\u003e\", \"chat_runtime\": \"\u003cservices.chat.runtime.ChatRuntime object at 0x7f033fb4b1a0\u003e\", \"chroma\": \"\u003ccore.storage.chroma.ChromaStore object at 0x7f0363935c10\u003e\", \"chroma_mode\": \"chroma\", \"exchange\": \"binance\", \"last_decision_bundle\": {\"analysis_candle_bucket\": \"1h:1775955600\", \"analysis_candle_bucket_iso\": \"1h:2026-04-12T01:00:00+00:00\", \"ok\": true, \"payload\": {\"action\": \"hold\", \"agents\": {\"compliance\": {\"confidence\": 0.0, \"constraints\": {}, \"decision_override\": null, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trading_allowed\": true, \"violations\": []}, \"execution\": {\"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"entry_type\": null, \"execution_style\": null, \"explanation\": \"ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.\", \"max_slippage_bps\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_liquidity\", \"ref\": \"artifact://167319\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry\"}, {\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://167330\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Market snapshot used for execution context\"}], \"signal\": {}, \"slices\": null}, \"macro\": {\"action\": \"hold\", \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.5145188041997113, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\", \"macro_score\": null, \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\", \"macro.structural_fallback\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"signal\": {\"macro_regime\": \"neutral\", \"macro_structural_factors\": [\"crypto_macro_score\", \"usd_strong_crypto_headwind\", \"equity_risk_off\"], \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08756715785611195}}, \"meta_decision\": {\"action\": \"paper_only\", \"confidence\": 0.2492, \"constraints\": {}, \"edge_score\": 0.2769, \"entry_quality_score\": 0.42, \"execution_vote\": \"allow\", \"expected_value_score\": 0.227, \"explanation\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"final_summary\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"price_asymmetry_score\": 0.35, \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason_codes\": [\"ml_trust_low\"], \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [], \"risk_vote\": \"allow\", \"should_trade\": false, \"signal\": {\"calibration_score\": null, \"drift_detected\": false, \"health_state\": \"unknown\", \"ml_trust\": 0.0, \"synthetic_price\": true, \"trend_direction\": \"flat\"}, \"size_multiplier\": 0.0, \"skip_reason\": \"ml_trust_low\", \"trend_alignment_score\": 0.4}, \"ml_judge\": {\"accepted_refs\": [], \"agreement_score\": null, \"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"horizon_fit\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://167488\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}], \"rejected_refs\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trust_score\": null, \"usable\": null}, \"onchain\": {\"bearish_signals\": [\"taker_sell_dominant:0.84 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure)\", \"mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal\"], \"confidence\": 0.6456, \"constraints\": {}, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.128). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fe\u2026",
            "trace_id": "\"672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4\""
          }
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://169161",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:46.166816+00:00",
      "id": 169160,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fred_fetch_json_once.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\""
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "runtime": "{\"_autotrade_cadence\": {\"bucket_key\": \"1h:1775959200\", \"gate_name\": \"autotrade:binance:BTC/USDT:1h\", \"same_candle_skip\": true}, \"app\": \"\u003cfastapi.applications.FastAPI object at 0x7f034454c650\u003e\", \"ccxt_factory\": \"\u003cfunction _build_ccxt_factory.\u003clocals\u003e._factory at 0x7f039ec75a80\u003e\", \"chat_runtime\": \"\u003cservices.chat.runtime.ChatRuntime object at 0x7f033fb4b1a0\u003e\", \"chroma\": \"\u003ccore.storage.chroma.ChromaStore object at 0x7f0363935c10\u003e\", \"chroma_mode\": \"chroma\", \"exchange\": \"binance\", \"last_decision_bundle\": {\"analysis_candle_bucket\": \"1h:1775955600\", \"analysis_candle_bucket_iso\": \"1h:2026-04-12T01:00:00+00:00\", \"ok\": true, \"payload\": {\"action\": \"hold\", \"agents\": {\"compliance\": {\"confidence\": 0.0, \"constraints\": {}, \"decision_override\": null, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trading_allowed\": true, \"violations\": []}, \"execution\": {\"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"entry_type\": null, \"execution_style\": null, \"explanation\": \"ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.\", \"max_slippage_bps\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_liquidity\", \"ref\": \"artifact://167319\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry\"}, {\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://167330\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Market snapshot used for execution context\"}], \"signal\": {}, \"slices\": null}, \"macro\": {\"action\": \"hold\", \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.5145188041997113, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\", \"macro_score\": null, \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\", \"macro.structural_fallback\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"signal\": {\"macro_regime\": \"neutral\", \"macro_structural_factors\": [\"crypto_macro_score\", \"usd_strong_crypto_headwind\", \"equity_risk_off\"], \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08756715785611195}}, \"meta_decision\": {\"action\": \"paper_only\", \"confidence\": 0.2492, \"constraints\": {}, \"edge_score\": 0.2769, \"entry_quality_score\": 0.42, \"execution_vote\": \"allow\", \"expected_value_score\": 0.227, \"explanation\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"final_summary\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"price_asymmetry_score\": 0.35, \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason_codes\": [\"ml_trust_low\"], \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [], \"risk_vote\": \"allow\", \"should_trade\": false, \"signal\": {\"calibration_score\": null, \"drift_detected\": false, \"health_state\": \"unknown\", \"ml_trust\": 0.0, \"synthetic_price\": true, \"trend_direction\": \"flat\"}, \"size_multiplier\": 0.0, \"skip_reason\": \"ml_trust_low\", \"trend_alignment_score\": 0.4}, \"ml_judge\": {\"accepted_refs\": [], \"agreement_score\": null, \"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"horizon_fit\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://167488\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}], \"rejected_refs\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trust_score\": null, \"usable\": null}, \"onchain\": {\"bearish_signals\": [\"taker_sell_dominant:0.84 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure)\", \"mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal\"], \"confidence\": 0.6456, \"constraints\": {}, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.128). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fe\u2026",
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      "ref": "artifact://169160",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "672cceb1585f4859af8b907f27cccab4"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T02:00:46.166711+00:00",
      "id": 169156,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fred_fetch_json_once.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
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          ],
          "kwargs": {
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      "payload": {
        "preview": {
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          ],
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\u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 16:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67383.66, \u0027high\u0027: 67520.85, \u0027low\u0027: 67331.06, \u0027close\u0027\u2026"
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