Logs & Traces
Operational brain of the system ? inspect traces, step timelines, refs, and grouped errors quickly.
Traces
Recent operational runs
last 100 traces
100
loaded into current page
Errors
Grouped inbox
error groups
4
grouped by node / name
Steps
Timeline details
selected trace steps
0
inputs / outputs / refs drill-down
Artifacts
Refs behind the trace
selected trace artifacts
9
clickable refs / raw JSON
Traces list
Last traces with duration, status, error and quick filter
| Trace ID | Started | Duration | Status | Error | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11T15:12:08.497258+00:00 | 2865 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:12:05.082833+00:00 | 1558 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T15:11:50.084109+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:11:35.083696+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:11:35.082690+00:00 | 2729 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:11:05.083572+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:11:05.082457+00:00 | 2719 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:10:35.084907+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:10:35.082835+00:00 | 2761 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:10:20.083720+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:10:05.082469+00:00 | 3702 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:09:35.083906+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:09:35.083902+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:09:35.083172+00:00 | 3780 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:09:05.082358+00:00 | 3188 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:08:50.084223+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:08:35.090008+00:00 | 2508 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:08:35.084679+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:08:05.083530+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:08:05.082137+00:00 | 2728 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:07:35.085724+00:00 | 2744 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:07:35.084990+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:07:20.084274+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:07:05.083241+00:00 | 3430 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:06:35.084858+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:06:35.084831+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:06:35.082381+00:00 | 3225 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:06:08.760527+00:00 | 2853 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:06:05.081716+00:00 | 1527 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T15:05:50.084953+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:05:37.941792+00:00 | 2832 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:05:35.083777+00:00 | 568 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T15:05:35.083509+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:05:05.083468+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:05:05.082359+00:00 | 2520 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:04:35.084876+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:04:35.083461+00:00 | 3404 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:04:20.084772+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:04:05.082596+00:00 | 2976 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:03:37.974361+00:00 | 2809 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:03:35.086955+00:00 | 593 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T15:03:35.084172+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:03:35.084085+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:03:05.082945+00:00 | 2765 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:02:50.083666+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:02:35.084700+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:02:35.082798+00:00 | 2512 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:02:05.083584+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:02:05.082350+00:00 | 2778 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:01:35.083761+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:01:35.082785+00:00 | 2804 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:01:20.085559+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:01:05.082654+00:00 | 3979 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:00:48.614865+00:00 | 2816 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:00:35.094639+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:00:35.093791+00:00 | 5045 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:00:35.094255+00:00 | 10310 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T15:00:35.090626+00:00 | 4751 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:00:35.086936+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:00:08.888621+00:00 | 2875 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T15:00:05.081215+00:00 | 1550 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T14:59:50.084520+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:59:38.583515+00:00 | 2637 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:59:35.083689+00:00 | 1514 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T14:59:35.083635+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:59:05.083791+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:59:05.081613+00:00 | 2756 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:58:37.634620+00:00 | 2986 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:58:35.086405+00:00 | 606 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T14:58:35.084605+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:58:20.083669+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:58:07.658880+00:00 | 2778 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:58:05.082205+00:00 | 625 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T14:57:35.083811+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:57:35.083718+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:57:35.082535+00:00 | 2878 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:57:08.387216+00:00 | 2854 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:57:05.083013+00:00 | 1513 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T14:56:50.083986+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:56:37.661517+00:00 | 3285 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:56:35.093924+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:56:35.081248+00:00 | 604 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T14:56:05.084279+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:56:05.083401+00:00 | 2551 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:55:35.083484+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:55:35.082053+00:00 | 2493 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:55:20.083913+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:55:05.081103+00:00 | 3154 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:54:35.084811+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:54:35.084786+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:54:35.083248+00:00 | 2841 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:54:05.083723+00:00 | 3470 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:53:50.084309+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:53:35.090584+00:00 | 3131 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:53:35.083716+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:53:05.083426+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:53:05.081794+00:00 | 2818 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:52:35.085295+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:52:35.082450+00:00 | 2969 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T14:52:20.083658+00:00 | ? | ok |
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Trace viewer
Timeline steps, refs, inputs, outputs
trace
ok
No step timeline available for selected trace.
Trace artifacts / refs
refs_json links and artifact drill-down
| Kind | Created | Ref | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| autotrade.status | 2026-04-11T14:01:35.690906+00:00 | artifact://148606 | |
| autotrade.execution.result | 2026-04-11T14:01:35.407521+00:00 | artifact://148605 | |
| trade.attribution | 2026-04-11T14:01:35.405860+00:00 | artifact://148604 | |
| trade.result | 2026-04-11T14:01:35.402161+00:00 | artifact://148603 | |
| autotrade.gate.summary | 2026-04-11T14:01:35.400729+00:00 | artifact://148602 | |
| autotrade.gate.result | 2026-04-11T14:01:35.398102+00:00 | artifact://148601 | |
| trade.intent | 2026-04-11T14:01:35.103159+00:00 | artifact://148600 | |
| autotrade.decision.bundle | 2026-04-11T14:01:35.097939+00:00 | artifact://148599 | |
| autotrade.status | 2026-04-11T14:01:35.084519+00:00 | artifact://148598 |
Error inbox
Latest errors grouped by node / name
ccxt
2026-04-11T15:12:05.082833+00:00
1220 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
tools_3
2026-04-11T15:00:46.757833+00:00
253 errors
Server error '502 Bad Gateway' for url 'https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500&file_type=json&api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d'
For more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/502
fetch_ohlcv_recent
2026-04-11T14:04:05.079684+00:00
7 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
/traces/{trace_id}
2026-04-10T11:39:40.389699+00:00
3 errors
404: trace not found
Error count per hour
Operational pressure snapshot
2026-04-10T15:00:00
5
2026-04-10T16:00:00
20
2026-04-10T17:00:00
32
2026-04-10T18:00:00
37
2026-04-10T19:00:00
57
2026-04-10T20:00:00
47
2026-04-10T21:00:00
36
2026-04-10T22:00:00
39
2026-04-10T23:00:00
44
2026-04-11T00:00:00
36
2026-04-11T01:00:00
23
2026-04-11T02:00:00
31
2026-04-11T03:00:00
39
2026-04-11T04:00:00
35
2026-04-11T05:00:00
48
2026-04-11T06:00:00
33
2026-04-11T07:00:00
43
2026-04-11T08:00:00
51
2026-04-11T09:00:00
39
2026-04-11T10:00:00
44
2026-04-11T11:00:00
42
2026-04-11T12:00:00
50
2026-04-11T13:00:00
39
2026-04-11T14:00:00
41
2026-04-11T15:00:00
9
Refs panel
Fast links to artifact viewer
artifact://148606
artifact://148605
artifact://148604
artifact://148603
artifact://148602
artifact://148601
artifact://148600
artifact://148599
artifact://148463
artifact://148465
artifact://148467
artifact://148468
artifact://148469
artifact://148470
artifact://148435
artifact://148578
artifact://148485
artifact://148448
artifact://148481
artifact://148452
chroma://narratives/0cc143139dbd283b5dcf35cb
artifact://148598
Raw payload preview
Debug view for the page payload
Open raw JSON
{
"artifacts": [
{
"created_at": "2026-04-11T14:01:35.690906+00:00",
"id": 148606,
"kind": "autotrade.status",
"payload": {
"dry_run": false,
"enabled": true,
"exchange": "binance",
"exchange_balance_summary": {
"balances": {},
"error": "AuthenticationError: binanceusdm {\"code\":-2008,\"msg\":\"Invalid Api-Key ID.\"}",
"exchange": "binance",
"market_type": "unknown",
"ok": false,
"raw": null,
"sandbox": true
},
"execution_mode": "sandbox",
"exposure_limit": 1000.0,
"kill_switch": false,
"last_amount": null,
"last_error": null,
"last_gate_decision": "allowed",
"last_gate_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action:hold",
"last_order_id": null,
"last_price": null,
"last_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action",
"last_status": "skipped",
"liquidity_gate": "required",
"local_balance": 0.0,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"position_limit": 250.0,
"same_candle_bucket": "1h:1775916000",
"sandbox": true,
"source": "services.autotrade.runner",
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trace_id": "8873ca0bbcef4d0cbb3234729e4e1e5a",
"ts": "2026-04-11T14:01:35.689628+00:00"
},
"ref": "artifact://148606",
"store": "postgres",
"trace_id": "8873ca0bbcef4d0cbb3234729e4e1e5a"
},
{
"created_at": "2026-04-11T14:01:35.407521+00:00",
"id": 148605,
"kind": "autotrade.execution.result",
"payload": {
"action": "hold",
"base_qty": null,
"confidence": 0.3,
"decision_ref": "artifact://148599",
"dry_run": false,
"exchange": "binance",
"execution_plan": {
"amount": null,
"execution_mode": "None",
"expected_price": null,
"maker_first": null,
"market_type": "spot",
"marketable_limit": null,
"max_reprice_attempts": null,
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"notional_usd": 100.0,
"order_type": "None",
"qualification_class": "None",
"reduce_only": false,
"sandbox": null,
"slice_interval_ms": null,
"slices": null,
"time_in_force": "GTC",
"venue": "binance"
},
"gate": {
"action": "hold",
"blockers": [
{
"code": "strategy.non_executable_action",
"group": "strategy",
"value": "hold"
},
{
"code": "strategy.non_executable_side",
"group": "strategy",
"value": "none"
},
{
"code": "confidence.below_threshold",
"group": "confidence",
"threshold": 0.48,
"value": 0.3
},
{
"code": "quality.trade_intent_autotrade_unsafe",
"group": "quality",
"value": false
},
{
"code": "quality.trade_intent_needs_manual_review",
"group": "quality",
"value": true
},
{
"code": "quality.pipeline_degraded",
"group": "quality",
"value": "degraded"
},
{
"code": "quality.llm_status_not_ok",
"group": "quality",
"value": "exception"
},
{
"code": "quality.bundle_pipeline_degraded",
"group": "quality",
"value": "degraded"
},
{
"code": "quality.meta_filter_skip",
"group": "quality",
"value": 0.0
}
],
"confidence": 0.3,
"decision": "allowed",
"decision_label": "allowed",
"exchange": "binance",
"gate_level": "micro_auto",
"guards": {
"blocking_factors": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"compliance_ok": true,
"execution_ok": null,
"overrides": [
"price_safety_override"
],
"portfolio_ok": null,
"risk_ok": true,
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
]
},
"inputs": {
"action": "hold",
"confidence": 0.3,
"side": "none",
"signal": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"asset": null,
"bearish_contributors": [
"onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
],
"blocked_by": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"blockers": [],
"bullish_contributors": [
"strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
"onchain:bullish:+0.328",
"onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
"onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.37 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
"onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
],
"calibration_score": 1.0,
"candidate_models": [
"tp_eq_sl",
"tp_3sl",
"sl_3tp"
],
"confidence_after_risk": 0.3183742089200978,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.3719419807296629,
"decision_state": "blocked_signal",
"degraded_sources": [],
"ensemble_weights": [
{
"model": "tp_eq_sl",
"weight": 0.2888
},
{
"model": "tp_3sl",
"weight": 0.2364
},
{
"model": "sl_3tp",
"weight": 0.4495
}
],
"evidence_pack": {
"bearish_contributors": [
"onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
],
"bullish_contributors": [
"strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
"onchain:bullish:+0.328",
"onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
"onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.37 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
"onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
],
"degraded_sources": [],
"evidence_summary": "bullish: strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit, onchain:bullish:+0.328, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende, onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.37 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish , onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only",
"neutral_contributors": [
"strategy_factor:ml_directional_bias",
"strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
],
"override_explanation": "price_safety_override"
},
"exit_policy": {
"atr_base": 0.01,
"break_even_trigger": null,
"exit_template": "fixed",
"max_hold_candles": 24,
"partial_tp_levels": [
{
"fraction": 0.5,
"target_distance": 0.015
}
],
"stop_loss": 0.01,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"trailing_activation": null,
"trailing_callback": null,
"trend_factor": 1.0,
"vol_factor": 1.0
},
"hold_cause": null,
"max_position": 6.25,
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.2176,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.2418,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1982,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"model": "sl_3tp",
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"slope_price": 0.0,
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},
"regime_label": "range"
},
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},
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"dynamic_sizing": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"quote_notional": null,
"size_multiplier": null
},
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"source_quality_score": 0.88,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trade_class": "paper_only"
},
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"entry": {
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"execution_style": null,
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"price": null,
"slices": null,
"type": null
},
"guards": {
"blocking_factors": [
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],
"compliance_ok": true,
"execution_ok": null,
"overrides": [
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],
"portfolio_ok": null,
"quality_gate_blocked": true,
"quality_gate_reasons": [
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"quality.ml_trust_very_low"
],
"risk_ok": true,
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
]
},
"health": {
"calibration_score": null,
"degraded_sources": [
"supervisor",
"risk"
],
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust_score": null,
"pipeline_quality": "degraded"
},
"llm_status": "exception",
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"confidence": 0.2176,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.2418,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1982,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
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"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
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"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"reduce_only": false,
"risk": {
"cancel_after_sec": null,
"exit_policy": {
"atr_base": 0.01,
"break_even_trigger": null,
"exit_template": "fixed",
"max_hold_candles": 24,
"partial_tp_levels": [
{
"fraction": 0.5,
"target_distance": 0.015
}
],
"stop_loss": 0.01,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"trailing_activation": null,
"trailing_callback": null,
"trend_factor": 1.0,
"vol_factor": 1.0
},
"stop_loss": 0.03889364,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"time_in_force": "GTC"
},
"side": "None",
"signal": {
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"candidate_models": [
"tp_eq_sl",
"tp_3sl",
"sl_3tp"
],
"ensemble_weights": [
{
"model": "tp_eq_sl",
"weight": 0.2888
},
{
"model": "tp_3sl",
"weight": 0.2364
},
{
"model": "sl_3tp",
"weight": 0.4495
}
],
"exit_policy": {
"atr_base": 0.01,
"break_even_trigger": null,
"exit_template": "fixed",
"max_hold_candles": 24,
"partial_tp_levels": [
{
"fraction": 0.5,
"target_distance": 0.015
}
],
"stop_loss": 0.01,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"trailing_activation": null,
"trailing_callback": null,
"trend_factor": 1.0,
"vol_factor": 1.0
},
"model": "sl_3tp",
"model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
"model_selection_score": 0.462958,
"quality_score": 0.5555,
"realized_vol_short": null,
"regime": {
"regime_confidence": 0.8571,
"regime_factors": {
"bollinger_bandwidth": 0.006144604545401875,
"directional_consistency": 0.0,
"hurst_exp": 0.3430019190573535,
"is_trend_regime": 0.0,
"realized_vol_short": 0.0,
"slope_price": 0.0,
"trend_persistence": 0.55,
"vol_expansion": 0.0
},
"regime_label": "range"
},
"threshold_used": 0.375
},
"size": {
"base_qty": null,
"dynamic_sizing": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"quote_notional": null,
"size_multiplier": null
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"source_quality_score": 0.88,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trade_class": "paper_only"
},
"ts": "2026-04-11T14:01:35.102583+00:00"
},
"ref": "artifact://148600",
"store": "postgres",
"trace_id": "8873ca0bbcef4d0cbb3234729e4e1e5a"
},
{
"created_at": "2026-04-11T14:01:35.097939+00:00",
"id": 148599,
"kind": "autotrade.decision.bundle",
"payload": {
"action": "hold",
"agents": {
"compliance": {
"confidence": 0.0,
"constraints": {},
"decision_override": null,
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output"
],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {},
"trading_allowed": true,
"violations": []
},
"execution": {
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"entry_type": null,
"execution_style": null,
"explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_liquidity",
"ref": "artifact://148306",
"title": "None",
"why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
},
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://148317",
"title": "None",
"why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
}
],
"signal": {},
"slices": null
},
"macro": {
"action": "hold",
"bias": "neutral",
"confidence": 0.5145695278901631,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
"macro_score": null,
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output",
"macro.structural_fallback"
],
"refs_used": [],
"regime": "neutral",
"signal": {
"macro_regime": "neutral",
"macro_structural_factors": [
"crypto_macro_score",
"usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
"equity_risk_off"
],
"macro_structural_score": -0.08774831389343973
}
},
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"confidence": 0.2176,
"constraints": {},
"edge_score": 0.2418,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1982,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"mode": "degraded",
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"raw_refs": {},
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"ml_judge": {
"accepted_refs": [],
"agreement_score": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"horizon_fit": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://148485",
"title": "None",
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
],
"rejected_refs": [],
"signal": {},
"trust_score": null,
"usable": null
},
"onchain": {
"bearish_signals": [
"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
],
"bias": "bullish",
"bullish_signals": [
"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
"taker_buy_dominant:1.37 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure)",
"fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
],
"confidence": 0.6856,
"constraints": {},
"data_quality": "live",
"derivatives_signal": "neutral",
"exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
"explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.328). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); taker_buy_dominant:1.37 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
"mode": "deterministic",
"network_signal": "shrinking",
"onchain_available": true,
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "onchain_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://148439",
"title": "None",
"why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
}
],
"score": 0.328,
"signal": {},
"valuation_signal": "unknown"
},
"portfolio": {
"allow_add": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
"exposure_warning": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"recommended_size_multiplier": null,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://148448",
"title": "None",
"why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
}
],
"signal": {}
},
"price": {
"confidence": 0.3324,
"constraints": {},
"expected_close": 68785.42434420824,
"expected_high": 69610.84943633874,
"expected_low": 67959.99925207773,
"expected_move_pct": -5.29807847330149,
"explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"horizon": "1h",
"mode": "degraded",
"path_shape": "trend",
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"price_range_68": {
"high": 73505.21332,
"low": 71762.00668
},
"price_range_95": {
"high": 74289.65630799999,
"low": 70977.563692
},
"raw_refs": {},
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {
"ml_score": -0.11773507718447755,
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"realized_vol_short": 0.012
},
"sl_hard": 67823.3779302603,
"sl_soft": 69555.06147536659,
"tp1": 73069.41166,
"tp2": 73461.63315400001
},
"rag_judge": {
"accepted_refs": [],
"confidence": null,
"consistency_score": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://148481",
"title": "None",
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
],
"rejected_refs": [],
"relevance_score": null,
"signal": {},
"usable": null
},
"risk": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"active_risk_factors": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://148317",
"artifact://148507",
"artifact://148448"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://148317",
"artifact://148507",
"artifact://148448"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": -0.0003366453306564075
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://148317",
"artifact://148507",
"artifact://148448"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"autotrade_allowed": true,
"blocking_risks": [],
"caution_risks": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://148317",
"artifact://148507",
"artifact://148448"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://148317",
"artifact://148507",
"artifact://148448"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": -0.0003366453306564075
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://148317",
"artifact://148507",
"artifact://148448"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"confidence": 0.579187104460049,
"confidence_after_risk": 0.3183742089200978,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.3719419807296629,
"constraints": {},
"degraded_dependencies": [],
"explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.32.",
"explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
"explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.32.",
"manual_review_required": false,
"max_position": 25.0,
"mitigations": [
"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
],
"mode": "degraded",
"ok": true,
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://148317",
"portfolio": "artifact://148448",
"rag": [],
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://148507"
},
"reasons": [
"model_degraded_or_fallback",
"policy_short_not_allowed",
"strategy_timing_weak"
],
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://148317",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
},
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://148507",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
},
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://148448",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
}
],
"risk_breakdown": {
"data_risk": {
"score": 0.3333333333333333,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"event_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"execution_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"liquidity_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"market_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"model_risk": {
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated"
},
"policy_risk": {
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high"
},
"portfolio_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"signal_risk": {
"score": 0.40009357946828566,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"strategy_risk": {
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"system_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
}
},
"risk_confidence": 0.8,
"risk_level": "low",
"risk_score": 0.20574549866421046,
"risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"signal": {},
"stop_loss": 0.03889364
},
"sentiment": {
"action": null,
"bias": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"event_strength": null,
"explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "narratives",
"ref": "artifact://148381",
"title": "None",
"why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
}
],
"sentiment_score": null,
"signal": {}
},
"strategy": {
"action": "sell",
"confidence": 0.3719419807296629,
"constraints": {
"allow_short": null,
"blacklist": [],
"horizon": null,
"max_leverage": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"preferred_assets": [],
"style": null
},
"explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
"mode": "deterministic",
"profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://148317",
"ml": [
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://148463\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8371455022992426}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://148465\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9269246040464776}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://148467\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9518997450826218}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://148468\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9118379086231989}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://148469\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9118379086231989}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://148470\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9118379086231989}"
],
"narratives": "artifact://148381",
"news": [],
"rag": []
},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://148317",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
},
{
"kind": "narratives",
"ref": "artifact://148381",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://148463",
"title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://148465",
"title": "tp_3sl:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://148467",
"title": "sl_3tp:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://148468",
"title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://148469",
"title": "ensemble.price:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://148470",
"title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": "BTC",
"bias": "bearish",
"blockers": [],
"direction": "down",
"factors": [
"ml_directional_bias",
"macro_structural_bias",
"long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
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"macd_hist": null,
"macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
"macro_agent_weight": 0.4373840987066386,
"macro_structural_score": -0.08774831389343973,
"market_momentum": -0.0003366453306564075,
"ml_score": -0.11773507718447755,
"narrative_score": 0.0,
"news_score": 0.0,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"price_vs_slow": 0.0,
"reason_codes": [
"direction_sell"
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"regime": null,
"rsi": null,
"score": -0.07231375987872915,
"score_deadband": 0.042,
"source": "deterministic_fallback"
}
},
"supervisor": {
"action": "hold",
"blocking_factors": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"confidence": 0.3719419807296629,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
"mode": "degraded",
"overrides": [
"price_safety_override"
],
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "compliance",
"ref": "artifact://148452",
"title": "None",
"why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
},
{
"kind": "portfolio",
"ref": "artifact://148448",
"title": "None",
"why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
},
{
"kind": "macro",
"ref": "artifact://148435",
"title": "None",
"why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
},
{
"kind": "ml_judge",
"ref": "artifact://148485",
"title": "None",
"why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
},
{
"kind": "rag_judge",
"ref": "artifact://148481",
"title": "None",
"why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": null,
"blockers": [],
"max_position": 6.25,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"risk_confidence": 0.579187104460049,
"risk_ok": true,
"source": "deterministic_fallback",
"stop_loss": 0.03889364,
"strategy_action": "sell",
"strategy_confidence": 0.3719419807296629
},
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
]
},
"trading": {
"action": "sell",
"confidence": 0.36532053011728904,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
"mode": "deterministic",
"raw_refs": {
"compliance": "artifact://148452",
"execution": "artifact://148527",
"risk_agent_output": "artifact://148520",
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://148507"
},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://148507",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
},
{
"kind": "risk_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://148520",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
},
{
"kind": "execution_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://148527",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
},
{
"kind": "compliance_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://148452",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": null,
"blockers": [],
"max_position": 6.25,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"risk_confidence": 0.579187104460049,
"risk_ok": true,
"source": "deterministic_fallback",
"stop_loss": 0.03889364,
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},
"trend": {
"confidence": 0.22,
"constraints": {},
"continuation_probability": 0.42,
"evidence": [
"market.momentum",
"ml.directional_bias"
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"explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
"invalidators": [
"momentum_flip",
"range_break_against_direction"
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"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"reversal_probability": 0.58,
"signal": {
"ml_direction": "down",
"momentum": 0.0
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"trend_direction": "flat",
"trend_horizon": "intraday",
"trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
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},
"confidence": 0.3,
"debug": {
"compliance": {
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.0,
"decision_override": null,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output"
],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {},
"trading_allowed": true,
"violations": []
},
"evidence": {
"compliance": "artifact://148452",
"macro": "artifact://148435",
"market": {
"liquidity": "artifact://148306",
"ohlcv": "artifact://148297",
"price": "artifact://148311",
"snapshot": "artifact://148317"
},
"ml": [
"artifact://148463",
"artifact://148465",
"artifact://148467",
"artifact://148468",
"artifact://148469",
"artifact://148470"
],
"narratives": "chroma://narratives/0cc143139dbd283b5dcf35cb",
"news": [],
"portfolio": "artifact://148448",
"rag": []
},
"execution": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_liquidity",
"ref": "artifact://148306",
"title": null,
"why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
},
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://148317",
"title": null,
"why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
}
]
},
"execution_plan": {
"amount": null,
"execution_style": null,
"expected_price": null,
"market_type": "spot",
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"notional_usd": 100.0,
"order_type": null,
"reduce_only": false,
"sandbox": null,
"side": null,
"slices": null,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"time_in_force": "GTC",
"timeframe": "1h",
"venue": "binance"
},
"judgements": {
"ml_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://148485",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
]
},
"rag_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://148481",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
]
}
},
"macro": {
"action": "hold",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"bias": "neutral",
"confidence": 0.5145695278901631,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output",
"macro.structural_fallback"
],
"refs_used": [],
"regime": "neutral",
"signal": {
"macro_regime": "neutral",
"macro_structural_factors": [
"crypto_macro_score",
"usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
"equity_risk_off"
],
"macro_structural_score": -0.08774831389343973
}
},
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.2176,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.2418,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1982,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"ml_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://148485",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
]
},
"onchain": {
"action": "buy",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"bearish_signals": [
"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
],
"bias": "bullish",
"bullish_signals": [
"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
"taker_buy_dominant:1.37 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure)",
"fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
],
"confidence": 0.6856,
"data_quality": "live",
"derivatives_signal": "neutral",
"exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
"explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.328). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); taker_buy_dominant:1.37 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
"extra_metrics": {
"avg_funding_rate": -9.228719566450001e-06,
"btc_dominance_pct": 57.232771297813244,
"btc_hash_rate": 856602004350.5344,
"btc_tx_count_24h": 458646,
"defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 4.901844221843139,
"defi_tvl_usd": 96018853294.0,
"fear_greed_index": 15.0,
"fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
"market_cap_change_24h_pct": 0.38871636771772433,
"mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
"okx_funding_rate": 4.23725608671e-05
},
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "deterministic",
"needs_manual_review": false,
"network_signal": "shrinking",
"onchain_available": true,
"quality": "trusted",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "onchain_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://148439",
"title": null,
"why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
}
],
"score": 0.328,
"sources_count": 10,
"valuation_signal": "unknown"
},
"portfolio": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://148448",
"title": null,
"why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
}
]
},
"price": {
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.3324,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"expected_close": 68785.42434420824,
"expected_high": 69610.84943633874,
"expected_low": 67959.99925207773,
"expected_move_pct": -5.29807847330149,
"explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"horizon": "1h",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"path_shape": "trend",
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"price_range_68": {
"high": 73505.21332,
"low": 71762.00668
},
"price_range_95": {
"high": 74289.65630799999,
"low": 70977.563692
},
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {
"ml_score": -0.11773507718447755,
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"realized_vol_short": 0.012
},
"sl_hard": 67823.3779302603,
"sl_soft": 69555.06147536659,
"tp1": 73069.41166,
"tp2": 73461.63315400001
},
"rag_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://148481",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
]
},
"risk": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"active_risk_factors": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://148317",
"artifact://148507",
"artifact://148448"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://148317",
"artifact://148507",
"artifact://148448"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": -0.0003366453306564075
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://148317",
"artifact://148507",
"artifact://148448"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"autotrade_allowed": true,
"autotrade_safe": false,
"blocking_risks": [],
"caution_risks": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://148317",
"artifact://148507",
"artifact://148448"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://148317",
"artifact://148507",
"artifact://148448"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": -0.0003366453306564075
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://148317",
"artifact://148507",
"artifact://148448"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"confidence": 0.579187104460049,
"confidence_after_risk": 0.3183742089200978,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.3719419807296629,
"degraded_dependencies": [],
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.32.",
"explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
"explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.32.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"manual_review_required": false,
"max_position": 25.0,
"meta": {
"allow_short": false,
"max_leverage": 1.0,
"missing_inputs": [
"metrics.atr_pct",
"metrics.spread_bps"
],
"strategy_action": "sell",
"volatility": null
},
"mitigations": [
"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
],
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"ok": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://148317",
"portfolio": "artifact://148448",
"rag": [],
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://148507"
},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasons": [
"model_degraded_or_fallback",
"policy_short_not_allowed",
"strategy_timing_weak"
],
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://148317",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
},
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://148507",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
},
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://148448",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
}
],
"risk_breakdown": {
"data_risk": {
"score": 0.3333333333333333,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"event_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"execution_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"liquidity_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"market_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"model_risk": {
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated"
},
"policy_risk": {
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high"
},
"portfolio_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"signal_risk": {
"score": 0.40009357946828566,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"strategy_risk": {
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"system_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
}
},
"risk_confidence": 0.8,
"risk_impact": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"blocked_by": [],
"confidence_after_risk": 0.3183742089200978,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.3719419807296629,
"final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"overrides": [
"forbid_short",
"reduce_size"
],
"size_modifier": 0.25
},
"risk_level": "low",
"risk_score": 0.20574549866421046,
"risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"stop_loss": 0.03889364
},
"sentiment": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
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