Vanga
News 2026-04-07T15:05:12.576906+00:00
ML 2026-04-07T15:05:10.333086+00:00
Decision 2026-04-08T20:01:53.288058+00:00

Logs & Traces

Operational brain of the system ? inspect traces, step timelines, refs, and grouped errors quickly.

Traces

Recent operational runs
last 100 traces
100
loaded into current page

Errors

Grouped inbox
error groups
4
grouped by node / name

Steps

Timeline details
selected trace steps
0
inputs / outputs / refs drill-down

Artifacts

Refs behind the trace
selected trace artifacts
9
clickable refs / raw JSON

Traces list

Last traces with duration, status, error and quick filter
Trace ID Started Duration Status Error Actions
2026-04-08T20:39:12.501288+00:00 2558 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:39:12.498814+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:38:57.496904+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:38:42.499260+00:00 2803 ms ok
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2026-04-08T20:38:12.501222+00:00 2863 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:38:12.498493+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:38:12.498478+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:37:42.500046+00:00 2782 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:37:27.496989+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:37:12.502978+00:00 4172 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:37:12.498634+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:36:42.499770+00:00 2635 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:36:42.497600+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:36:12.499867+00:00 2809 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:36:12.497686+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:35:57.496721+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:35:42.500493+00:00 2904 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:35:12.525853+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:35:12.523732+00:00 2821 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:35:12.501587+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:34:42.498880+00:00 2549 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:34:27.496822+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:34:12.498908+00:00 6212 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:34:12.497115+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:33:42.498172+00:00 2738 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:33:42.496424+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:33:12.500022+00:00 2868 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:33:12.498007+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:32:57.496947+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:32:42.498677+00:00 2717 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:32:12.500579+00:00 3266 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:32:12.498752+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:32:12.497820+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:31:42.498904+00:00 3535 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:31:27.497078+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:31:12.503407+00:00 2684 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:31:12.498614+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:30:42.498672+00:00 2755 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:30:42.496994+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:30:12.503467+00:00 2843 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:30:12.498393+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:29:57.497551+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:29:42.498900+00:00 2695 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:29:12.499518+00:00 2736 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:29:12.497793+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:29:12.496566+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:28:42.498993+00:00 2678 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:28:27.496675+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:28:12.499489+00:00 2793 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:28:12.497281+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:27:42.499612+00:00 2502 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:27:42.497271+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:27:12.501511+00:00 2488 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:27:12.498940+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:26:57.496787+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:26:42.498931+00:00 3225 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:26:12.500640+00:00 3724 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:26:12.498886+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:26:12.498516+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-08T20:25:42.498494+00:00 2461 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:25:27.497699+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:25:12.504090+00:00 3445 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:25:12.503926+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:24:42.498527+00:00 2961 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:24:42.496876+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:24:12.499749+00:00 3546 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:24:12.497597+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:23:57.497025+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:23:42.498248+00:00 3630 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:23:12.500951+00:00 2710 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:23:12.499758+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:23:12.498131+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:22:42.499953+00:00 2711 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:22:27.497348+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:22:12.500040+00:00 3775 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:22:12.497935+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:21:42.499088+00:00 2797 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:21:42.496754+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:21:12.500302+00:00 2480 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:21:12.498261+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:20:57.496995+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:20:42.500083+00:00 2711 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:20:12.524603+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:20:12.505898+00:00 2772 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:20:12.500387+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:19:42.499567+00:00 2492 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:19:27.497349+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:19:12.502700+00:00 2891 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:19:12.499002+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:18:42.499250+00:00 2838 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:18:42.496977+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:18:12.499643+00:00 2968 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:18:12.497156+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:17:57.497468+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:17:42.498697+00:00 2874 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:17:12.501318+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:17:12.499970+00:00 3502 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:17:12.497731+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-08T20:16:42.499453+00:00 2655 ms ok
?
2026-04-08T20:16:27.497183+00:00 ? ok
?

Trace artifacts / refs

refs_json links and artifact drill-down
Kind Created Ref Actions
autotrade.status 2026-04-08T19:02:13.113783+00:00 artifact://46049
autotrade.execution.result 2026-04-08T19:02:12.829294+00:00 artifact://46048
trade.attribution 2026-04-08T19:02:12.827368+00:00 artifact://46047
trade.result 2026-04-08T19:02:12.823991+00:00 artifact://46046
autotrade.gate.summary 2026-04-08T19:02:12.822461+00:00 artifact://46045
autotrade.gate.result 2026-04-08T19:02:12.819117+00:00 artifact://46044
trade.intent 2026-04-08T19:02:12.514339+00:00 artifact://46043
autotrade.decision.bundle 2026-04-08T19:02:12.508882+00:00 artifact://46042
autotrade.status 2026-04-08T19:02:12.499324+00:00 artifact://46039

Error inbox

Latest errors grouped by node / name
tools_3
2026-04-08T20:00:23.307688+00:00
67 errors
Server error '502 Bad Gateway' for url 'https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10&file_type=json&api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d' For more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/502
ccxt
2026-04-08T17:53:42.499294+00:00
10 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
/traces/{trace_id}
2026-04-07T21:53:11.158522+00:00
2 errors
404: trace not found
fetch_ohlcv_recent
2026-04-08T15:09:21.803529+00:00
1 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}

Error count per hour

Operational pressure snapshot
2026-04-07T21:00:00
3
2026-04-07T22:00:00
3
2026-04-07T23:00:00
3
2026-04-08T00:00:00
4
2026-04-08T01:00:00
1
2026-04-08T02:00:00
1
2026-04-08T03:00:00
1
2026-04-08T04:00:00
3
2026-04-08T05:00:00
6
2026-04-08T06:00:00
3
2026-04-08T07:00:00
7
2026-04-08T08:00:00
1
2026-04-08T09:00:00
1
2026-04-08T10:00:00
2
2026-04-08T11:00:00
3
2026-04-08T12:00:00
1
2026-04-08T13:00:00
1
2026-04-08T14:00:00
4
2026-04-08T15:00:00
7
2026-04-08T16:00:00
1
2026-04-08T17:00:00
8
2026-04-08T18:00:00
3
2026-04-08T19:00:00
2
2026-04-08T20:00:00
1

Raw payload preview

Debug view for the page payload
Open raw JSON
{
  "artifacts": [
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-08T19:02:13.113783+00:00",
      "id": 46049,
      "kind": "autotrade.status",
      "payload": {
        "dry_run": false,
        "enabled": true,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "exchange_balance_summary": {
          "balances": {},
          "error": "AuthenticationError: binanceusdm {\"code\":-2008,\"msg\":\"Invalid Api-Key ID.\"}",
          "exchange": "binance",
          "market_type": "unknown",
          "ok": false,
          "raw": null,
          "sandbox": true
        },
        "execution_mode": "sandbox",
        "exposure_limit": 1000.0,
        "kill_switch": false,
        "last_amount": null,
        "last_error": null,
        "last_gate_decision": "allowed",
        "last_gate_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action:unknown",
        "last_order_id": null,
        "last_price": null,
        "last_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action",
        "last_status": "skipped",
        "liquidity_gate": "required",
        "local_balance": 0.0,
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "position_limit": 250.0,
        "same_candle_bucket": "1h:1775674800",
        "sandbox": true,
        "source": "services.autotrade.runner",
        "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
        "timeframe": "1h",
        "trace_id": "9e5644dbd4d84f84a3efdeb22e4b9888",
        "ts": "2026-04-08T19:02:13.112648+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://46049",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "9e5644dbd4d84f84a3efdeb22e4b9888"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-08T19:02:12.829294+00:00",
      "id": 46048,
      "kind": "autotrade.execution.result",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "base_qty": null,
        "confidence": 0.2,
        "decision_ref": "artifact://46042",
        "dry_run": false,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": "None",
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": "None",
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "gate": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "blockers": [
            {
              "code": "strategy.non_executable_action",
              "group": "strategy",
              "value": "unknown"
            },
            {
              "code": "strategy.non_executable_side",
              "group": "strategy",
              "value": "none"
            },
            {
              "code": "confidence.below_threshold",
              "group": "confidence",
              "threshold": 0.48,
              "value": 0.2
            },
            {
              "code": "confidence.below_no_llm_threshold",
              "group": "confidence",
              "mode": "deterministic_fallback",
              "threshold": 0.45,
              "value": 0.2
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.trade_intent_autotrade_unsafe",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": false
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.pipeline_degraded",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "degraded"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.llm_status_not_ok",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "exception"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.bundle_pipeline_degraded",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "degraded"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.meta_filter_skip",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": 0.0
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.2,
          "decision": "allowed",
          "decision_label": "allowed",
          "exchange": "binance",
          "gate_level": "micro_auto",
          "guards": {
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "inputs": {
            "action": "unknown",
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "side": "none",
            "signal": {
              "action_after_risk": "hold",
              "action_before_risk": "hold",
              "asset": null,
              "bearish_contributors": [
                "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
              ],
              "blocked_by": [],
              "blockers": [],
              "bullish_contributors": [
                "onchain:bullish:+0.278",
                "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended",
                "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b",
                "onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:3.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
              ],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.17506485940541494,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.1935345020511644,
              "decision_state": "conflicting_signal",
              "degraded_sources": [],
              "evidence_pack": {
                "bearish_contributors": [
                  "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
                ],
                "bullish_contributors": [
                  "onchain:bullish:+0.278",
                  "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended",
                  "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b",
                  "onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:3.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
                ],
                "degraded_sources": [],
                "evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.278, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b, onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:3.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a",
                "neutral_contributors": [
                  "strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
                ],
                "override_explanation": null
              },
              "hold_cause": "conflicting_signal",
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "meta_decision": {
                "action": "paper_only",
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.2,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "edge_score": 0.1258,
                "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
                "execution_vote": "allow",
                "expected_value_score": 0.1032,
                "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
                "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
                "reason_codes": [
                  "ml_trust_low"
                ],
                "refs_used": [],
                "risk_vote": "allow",
                "should_trade": false,
                "signal": {
                  "calibration_score": null,
                  "drift_detected": false,
                  "health_state": "unknown",
                  "ml_trust": 0.0,
                  "synthetic_price": true,
                  "trend_direction": "flat"
                },
                "size_multiplier": 0.0,
                "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
                "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
              },
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "preferred_action": "hold",
              "price_agent": {
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.25,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "expected_close": 71076.66,
                "expected_high": 71929.57992,
                "expected_low": 70223.74008,
                "expected_move_pct": 0.0,
                "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
                "horizon": "1h",
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "path_shape": "chop",
                "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                "price_range_68": {
                  "high": 71929.57992,
                  "low": 70223.74008
                },
                "price_range_95": {
                  "high": 72697.207848,
                  "low": 69456.112152
                },
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
                "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
                "refs_used": [],
                "signal": {
                  "ml_score": 0.0,
                  "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.012
                },
                "sl_hard": 70185.3586836,
                "sl_soft": 70650.20004,
                "tp1": 71503.11996000001,
                "tp2": 71886.93392400001
              },
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5075324297027075,
              "risk_impact": {
                "action_after_risk": "hold",
                "action_before_risk": "hold",
                "blocked_by": [],
                "confidence_after_risk": 0.17506485940541494,
                "confidence_before_risk": 0.1935345020511644,
                "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
                "overrides": [
                  "allow"
                ],
                "size_modifier": 1.0
              },
              "risk_ok": true,
              "risk_overrides": [
                "allow"
              ],
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.1935345020511644,
              "trend_agent": {
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.22,
                "continuation_probability": 0.42,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "evidence": [
                  "market.momentum",
                  "ml.directional_bias"
                ],
                "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
                "invalidators": [
                  "momentum_flip",
                  "range_break_against_direction"
                ],
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
                "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
                "refs_used": [],
                "reversal_probability": 0.58,
                "signal": {
                  "ml_direction": "neutral",
                  "momentum": 0.0
                },
                "trend_direction": "flat",
                "trend_horizon": "intraday",
                "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
                "trend_strength": 0.0
              }
            },
            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "entry_type": null,
              "price": null,
              "quote_notional": null
            }
          },
          "ok": true,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "policy": {
            "buy_confidence_min": 0.52,
            "deterministic_fallback": true,
            "dry_run": false,
            "enabled": true,
            "kill_switch": false,
            "min_confidence": 0.48,
            "min_confidence_no_llm": 0.45,
            "profile": "derivatives_long_short_combat",
            "sandbox": true,
            "sandbox_only": true,
            "sell_confidence_min": 0.36,
            "sell_risk_off_confidence_min": 0.32
          },
          "quality": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "calibration_score": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "drift_detected": false,
            "health_state": "unknown",
            "is_reduce_only": false,
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "pipeline_quality": "degraded",
            "source_quality_score": 0.64
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          "timeframe": "1h",
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        "trade_qualification": {
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          "health_policy_route": "block",
          "reason": "qualifier.hard_gate_blocked",
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          "trade_quality_score": 0.0
        },
        "ts": "2026-04-08T19:02:12.817928+00:00"
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "9e5644dbd4d84f84a3efdeb22e4b9888"
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    {
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      "kind": "trade.intent",
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        "confidence": 0.2,
        "decision_ref": "artifact://46042",
        "dry_run": false,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": "None",
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": "None",
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "price": null,
        "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
        "sandbox": true,
        "side": "None",
        "size": null,
        "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
        "timeframe": "1h",
        "trace_id": "9e5644dbd4d84f84a3efdeb22e4b9888",
        "trade": {
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          "confidence": 0.2,
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          },
          "guards": {
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            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "health": {
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            "degraded_sources": [
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            "health_state": "unknown",
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            "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
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            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1258,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1032,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reason_codes": [
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            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
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              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
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            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
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          "quality": "degraded",
          "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
          "reason_codes": [
            "ml_trust_low"
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          "reduce_only": false,
          "risk": {
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            "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
            "take_profit": null,
            "time_in_force": "GTC"
          },
          "side": "None",
          "signal": {
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            "candidate_models": null,
            "ensemble_weights": null,
            "exit_policy": null,
            "model": null,
            "model_runtime_score": null,
            "model_selection_score": null,
            "quality_score": null,
            "realized_vol_short": null,
            "regime": {
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              "regime_factors": null,
              "regime_label": null
            },
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          },
          "size": {
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            "dynamic_sizing": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "quote_notional": null,
            "size_multiplier": null
          },
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
          "source_quality_score": 0.64,
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "trade_class": "paper_only"
        },
        "trade_intent": {
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          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.2,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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          "entry": {
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            "execution_style": null,
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "price": null,
            "slices": null,
            "type": null
          },
          "guards": {
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            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
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          },
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            "degraded_sources": [
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              "trading",
              "supervisor",
              "risk"
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            "drift_detected": false,
            "health_state": "unknown",
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            "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
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            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1258,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1032,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reason_codes": [
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            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
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              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
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            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "needs_manual_review": false,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
          "reason_codes": [
            "ml_trust_low"
          ],
          "reduce_only": false,
          "risk": {
            "cancel_after_sec": null,
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
            "take_profit": null,
            "time_in_force": "GTC"
          },
          "side": "None",
          "signal": {
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            "candidate_models": null,
            "ensemble_weights": null,
            "exit_policy": null,
            "model": null,
            "model_runtime_score": null,
            "model_selection_score": null,
            "quality_score": null,
            "realized_vol_short": null,
            "regime": {
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              "regime_label": null
            },
            "threshold_used": null
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            "dynamic_sizing": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "quote_notional": null,
            "size_multiplier": null
          },
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
          "source_quality_score": 0.64,
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "trade_class": "paper_only"
        },
        "ts": "2026-04-08T19:02:12.513744+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://46043",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "9e5644dbd4d84f84a3efdeb22e4b9888"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-08T19:02:12.508882+00:00",
      "id": 46042,
      "kind": "autotrade.decision.bundle",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://45746",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45757",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5147570180056498,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
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              "macro_structural_score": -0.08841792144874933
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.1258,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1032,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
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              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
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              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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          "ml_judge": {
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            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://45910",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal",
              "market_cap_rise:3.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6756,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.278). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal; market_cap_rise:3.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45879",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.278,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45888",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.25,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 71076.66,
            "expected_high": 71929.57992,
            "expected_low": 70223.74008,
            "expected_move_pct": 0.0,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "chop",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
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              "low": 70223.74008
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 72697.207848,
              "low": 69456.112152
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            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.0,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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            "sl_hard": 70185.3586836,
            "sl_soft": 70650.20004,
            "tp1": 71503.11996000001,
            "tp2": 71886.93392400001
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            "confidence": null,
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            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://45906",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
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                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
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                  "artifact://45940",
                  "artifact://45888"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
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                  "artifact://45940",
                  "artifact://45888"
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                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
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            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
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                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
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                  "artifact://45940",
                  "artifact://45888"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
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                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
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                  "artifact://45940",
                  "artifact://45888"
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                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
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            ],
            "confidence": 0.5075324297027075,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.17506485940541494,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.1935345020511644,
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            "degraded_dependencies": [
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            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.18.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.18.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
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              "portfolio": "artifact://45888",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://45940"
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            "reasons": [
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              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
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                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45757",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://45940",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45888",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
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                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
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                "severity": "low"
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              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
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              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://45821",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.1935345020511644,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://45757",
              "ml": [],
              "narratives": "artifact://45821",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45757",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://45821",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "neutral",
              "blockers": [
                "mostly_empty_inputs"
              ],
              "direction": "neutral",
              "factors": [
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4375434653048023,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08841792144874933,
              "market_momentum": -0.0003230677853035404,
              "ml_score": 0.0,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "hold_deadband"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.01826510630329624,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "confidence": 0.2349090220589276,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://45892",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://45888",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://45875",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://45910",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://45906",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5075324297027075,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.1935345020511644
            },
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.2349090220589276,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://45892",
              "execution": "artifact://45960",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://45953",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://45940"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://45940",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://45953",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://45960",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45892",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5075324297027075,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.1935345020511644
            }
          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "neutral",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "confidence": 0.2,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://45892",
            "macro": "artifact://45875",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://45746",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://45737",
              "price": "artifact://45751",
              "snapshot": "artifact://45757"
            },
            "ml": [],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/cadcee8588cab97fce12f65d",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://45888",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://45746",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45757",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "All connection attempts failed",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://45910",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "All connection attempts failed",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://45906",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
            }
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5147570180056498,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08841792144874933
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1258,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1032,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://45910",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal",
              "market_cap_rise:3.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6756,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.278). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal; market_cap_rise:3.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": 3.383950468165e-05,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 56.90597381624978,
              "btc_hash_rate": 987855537275.2131,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 532546,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 1.4892293639238103,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 95154137889.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 17.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": 3.3370294038656954,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": 2.71990093633e-05
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45879",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.278,
            "sources_count": 10,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45888",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.25,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 71076.66,
            "expected_high": 71929.57992,
            "expected_low": 70223.74008,
            "expected_move_pct": 0.0,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "chop",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 71929.57992,
              "low": 70223.74008
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 72697.207848,
              "low": 69456.112152
            },
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.0,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 70185.3586836,
            "sl_soft": 70650.20004,
            "tp1": 71503.11996000001,
            "tp2": 71886.93392400001
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://45906",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://45757",
                  "artifact://45940",
                  "artifact://45888"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://45757",
                  "artifact://45940",
                  "artifact://45888"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://45757",
                  "artifact://45940",
                  "artifact://45888"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://45757",
                  "artifact://45940",
                  "artifact://45888"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5075324297027075,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.17506485940541494,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.1935345020511644,
            "degraded_dependencies": [
              "strategy_agent_degraded"
            ],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.18.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.18.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://45757",
              "portfolio": "artifact://45888",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://45940"
            },
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45757",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://45940",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45888",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "hold",
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                "allow"
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            "risk_level": "low",
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          "sentiment": {
            "error": "All connection attempts failed",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
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                "kind": "narratives",
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            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
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            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://45757",
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              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45757",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://45821",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
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              "blockers": [
                "mostly_empty_inputs"
              ],
              "direction": "neutral",
              "factors": [
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4375434653048023,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08841792144874933,
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              "narrative_score": 0.0,
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              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "hold_deadband"
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              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.01826510630329624,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
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            "signal_quality": "degraded"
          },
          "supervisor": {
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            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
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            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasons": [
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              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
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            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://45892",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://45888",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://45875",
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                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
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              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
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                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
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                "kind": "rag_judge",
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                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
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            ],
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              "action_before_risk": "hold",
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              "confidence_after_risk": 0.17506485940541494,
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              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "allow"
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              "size_modifier": 1.0
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            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
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              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
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            "source_quality_score": 0.64,
            "winner_factors": [
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              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "system_status": {
            "agents": {
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              "execution_mode": "llm_error",
              "macro_mode": "degraded",
              "meta_decision_mode": "degraded",
              "ml_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "portfolio_mode": "llm_error",
              "price_mode": "degraded",
              "rag_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "risk_mode": "degraded",
              "sentiment_mode": "llm_error",
              "strategy_mode": "degraded",
              "supervisor_mode": "degraded",
              "trading_mode": "degraded",
              "trend_mode": "degraded"
            },
            "compliance_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "macro_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
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            "ml_predictions_status": {
              "count": 0,
              "usable": false
            },
            "narratives": {
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              "status": "used"
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            "news_status": {
              "count": 0
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            "portfolio_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
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          },
          "trade_intent": {
            "action": "unknown",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "entry": {
              "aggressiveness": "neutral",
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              "slices": null,
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            },
            "guards": {
              "blocking_factors": [],
              "compliance_ok": true,
              "execution_ok": null,
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              "portfolio_ok": null,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "winner_factors": [
                "risk_approved",
                "compliance_clear",
                "deterministic_arbitration",
                "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
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            },
            "health": {
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                "supervisor",
                "risk"
              ],
              "drift_detected": false,
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            "llm_status": "exception",
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              "confidence": 0.2,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "edge_score": 0.1258,
              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.1032,
              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
              "reason_codes": [
                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
              "signal": {
                "calibration_score": null,
                "drift_detected": false,
                "health_state": "unknown",
                "ml_trust": 0.0,
                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
              },
              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reduce_only": false,
            "risk": {
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              "time_in_force": "GTC"
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            "side": null,
            "signal": {
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              "candidate_models": null,
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              "exit_policy": null,
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              "model_selection_score": null,
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              "realized_vol_short": null,
              "regime": {
                "regime_confidence": null,
                "regime_factors": null,
                "regime_label": null
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              "threshold_used": null
            },
            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "dynamic_sizing": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "quote_notional": null,
              "size_multiplier": null
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "source_quality_score": 0.64,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "trade_class": "paper_only"
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "hold",
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            "confidence": 0.2349090220589276,
            "degradation_blockers": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://45892",
              "execution": "artifact://45960",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://45953",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://45940"
            },
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://45940",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://45953",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://45960",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://45892",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
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            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5075324297027075,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.1935345020511644
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            "signal_quality": "degraded"
          },
          "trend": {
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            "confidence": 0.22,
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
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            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "neutral",
              "momentum": 0.0
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            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "degraded_sources": [
          "strategy",
          "trading",
          "supervisor",
          "risk"
        ],
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": "None",
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": "None",
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          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
        "final_summary": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "bearish_contributors": [
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          "blocking_factors": [],
          "bullish_contributors": [
            "onchain:bullish:+0.278",
            "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended",
            "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b",
            "onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:3.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
          ],
          "confidence": 0.2,
          "degraded_sources": [],
          "evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.278, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b, onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:3.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a",
          "override_explanation": null,
          "overrides": [],
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "compliance",
              "ref": "artifact://45892",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio",
              "ref": "artifact://45888",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
            },
            {
              "kind": "macro",
              "ref": "artifact://45875",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_judge",
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              "title": null,
              "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
            },
            {
              "kind": "rag_judge",
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              "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
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          ],
          "signal": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
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            "asset": null,
            "bearish_contributors": [
              "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
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            "blocked_by": [],
            "blockers": [],
            "bullish_contributors": [
              "onchain:bullish:+0.278",
              "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended",
              "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b",
              "onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:3.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
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            "confidence_after_risk": 0.17506485940541494,
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            "degraded_sources": [],
            "evidence_pack": {
              "bearish_contributors": [
                "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
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              "bullish_contributors": [
                "onchain:bullish:+0.278",
                "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended",
                "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b",
                "onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:3.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
              ],
              "degraded_sources": [],
              "evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.278, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b, onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:3.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a",
              "neutral_contributors": [
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              "override_explanation": null
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            "hold_cause": "conflicting_signal",
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              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "llm_status": "exception",
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              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
              "reason_codes": [
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              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
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                "health_state": "unknown",
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                "synthetic_price": true,
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              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "preferred_action": "hold",
            "price_agent": {
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              "confidence": 0.25,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "expected_close": 71076.66,
              "expected_high": 71929.57992,
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              "expected_move_pct": 0.0,
              "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
              "horizon": "1h",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "path_shape": "chop",
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "price_range_68": {
                "high": 71929.57992,
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              "price_range_95": {
                "high": 72697.207848,
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              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
              "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
              "refs_used": [],
              "signal": {
                "ml_score": 0.0,
                "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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              "sl_hard": 70185.3586836,
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            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
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              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.17506485940541494,
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              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
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              "size_modifier": 1.0
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            "risk_ok": true,
            "risk_overrides": [
              "allow"
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            "source": "deterministic_fallback",
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            "strategy_action": "hold",
            "strategy_confidence": 0.1935345020511644,
            "trend_agent": {
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              "confidence": 0.22,
              "continuation_probability": 0.42,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "evidence": [
                "market.momentum",
                "ml.directional_bias"
              ],
              "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
              "invalidators": [
                "momentum_flip",
                "range_break_against_direction"
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              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "All connection attempts failed",
              "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
              "refs_used": [],
              "reversal_probability": 0.58,
              "signal": {
                "ml_direction": "neutral",
                "momentum": 0.0
              },
              "trend_direction": "flat",
              "trend_horizon": "intraday",
              "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
              "trend_strength": 0.0
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          },
          "why": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
          "winner_factors": [
            "risk_approved",
            "compliance_clear",
            "deterministic_arbitration",
            "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
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        },
        "pipeline_quality": "degraded",
        "refs": {
          "artifacts": [],
          "compliance": "artifact://45892",
          "decision": "artifact://46029",
          "extras": {},
          "macro": "artifact://45875",
          "market": {
            "liquidity": "artifact://45746",
            "ohlcv": "artifact://45737",
            "price": "artifact://45751",
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