Logs & Traces
Operational brain of the system ? inspect traces, step timelines, refs, and grouped errors quickly.
Traces
Recent operational runs
last 100 traces
100
loaded into current page
Errors
Grouped inbox
error groups
4
grouped by node / name
Steps
Timeline details
selected trace steps
0
inputs / outputs / refs drill-down
Artifacts
Refs behind the trace
selected trace artifacts
9
clickable refs / raw JSON
Traces list
Last traces with duration, status, error and quick filter
| Trace ID | Started | Duration | Status | Error | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08T18:26:42.498787+00:00 | 3410 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:26:12.501414+00:00 | 4320 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:26:12.498124+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:26:12.498099+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:25:42.499596+00:00 | 3660 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:25:27.496812+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:25:12.501565+00:00 | 3358 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:25:12.499279+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:24:42.499030+00:00 | 2826 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:24:42.496783+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:24:12.500112+00:00 | 2827 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:24:12.497631+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:23:57.497663+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:23:42.499399+00:00 | 3036 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:23:12.501523+00:00 | 2810 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:23:12.498570+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:23:12.497337+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:22:42.498955+00:00 | 2724 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:22:27.497225+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:22:12.498557+00:00 | 3450 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:22:12.496947+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:21:42.498549+00:00 | 2836 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:21:42.496501+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:21:12.501071+00:00 | 2908 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:21:12.498546+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:20:57.497304+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:20:42.500576+00:00 | 3476 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:20:12.528219+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:20:12.502616+00:00 | 3245 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:20:12.500737+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:19:42.498569+00:00 | 2439 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:19:27.496893+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:19:12.500399+00:00 | 2976 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:19:12.497811+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:18:42.499233+00:00 | 2792 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:18:42.496741+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:18:12.498888+00:00 | 2546 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:18:12.497028+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:17:57.497394+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:17:42.499553+00:00 | 2477 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:17:12.502126+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:17:12.500405+00:00 | 3122 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:17:12.498268+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:16:42.499082+00:00 | 2784 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:16:27.497684+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:16:12.500093+00:00 | 3256 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:16:12.497262+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:15:42.499946+00:00 | 3644 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:15:42.497336+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:15:12.507523+00:00 | 3470 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:15:12.501563+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:14:57.497238+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:14:42.498337+00:00 | 3699 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:14:12.501217+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:14:12.500142+00:00 | 2523 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:14:12.497296+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:13:42.498673+00:00 | 2777 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:13:27.497271+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:13:12.501750+00:00 | 2824 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:13:12.498506+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:12:42.498972+00:00 | 2490 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:12:42.496952+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:12:12.499072+00:00 | 3886 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:12:12.496985+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:11:57.497602+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:11:42.498257+00:00 | 2683 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:11:12.500441+00:00 | 2857 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:11:12.498162+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:11:12.498126+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:10:42.499465+00:00 | 2987 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:10:37.432246+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:10:27.496950+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:10:12.501156+00:00 | 3788 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:10:12.499222+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:09:42.499064+00:00 | 2655 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:09:42.496443+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:09:12.500260+00:00 | 3801 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:09:12.497079+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:08:57.497693+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:08:42.499096+00:00 | 2880 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:08:12.499695+00:00 | 2573 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:08:12.499448+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:08:12.496592+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:07:42.499125+00:00 | 3202 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:07:27.496954+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:07:12.501912+00:00 | 2907 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:07:12.498740+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:06:42.499471+00:00 | 3734 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:06:42.497079+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:06:12.500647+00:00 | 2872 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:06:12.498047+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:05:57.497789+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:05:42.498781+00:00 | 3768 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:05:12.563898+00:00 | 2892 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:05:12.561816+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:05:12.561438+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:04:42.499083+00:00 | 3011 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:04:27.497039+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:04:12.499582+00:00 | 2766 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-08T18:04:12.497438+00:00 | ? | ok |
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Trace viewer
Timeline steps, refs, inputs, outputs
trace
ok
No step timeline available for selected trace.
Trace artifacts / refs
refs_json links and artifact drill-down
| Kind | Created | Ref | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| autotrade.status | 2026-04-08T17:02:13.113995+00:00 | artifact://42794 | |
| autotrade.execution.result | 2026-04-08T17:02:12.822280+00:00 | artifact://42793 | |
| trade.attribution | 2026-04-08T17:02:12.820579+00:00 | artifact://42792 | |
| trade.result | 2026-04-08T17:02:12.817224+00:00 | artifact://42791 | |
| autotrade.gate.summary | 2026-04-08T17:02:12.815701+00:00 | artifact://42790 | |
| autotrade.gate.result | 2026-04-08T17:02:12.813307+00:00 | artifact://42789 | |
| trade.intent | 2026-04-08T17:02:12.514958+00:00 | artifact://42788 | |
| autotrade.decision.bundle | 2026-04-08T17:02:12.502960+00:00 | artifact://42787 | |
| autotrade.status | 2026-04-08T17:02:12.498988+00:00 | artifact://42783 |
Error inbox
Latest errors grouped by node / name
tools_3
2026-04-08T18:00:24.174379+00:00
64 errors
Server error '502 Bad Gateway' for url 'https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10&file_type=json&api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d'
For more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/502
ccxt
2026-04-08T17:53:42.499294+00:00
10 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
/traces/{trace_id}
2026-04-07T21:53:11.158522+00:00
2 errors
404: trace not found
fetch_ohlcv_recent
2026-04-08T15:09:21.803529+00:00
1 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
Error count per hour
Operational pressure snapshot
2026-04-07T19:00:00
1
2026-04-07T20:00:00
1
2026-04-07T21:00:00
3
2026-04-07T22:00:00
3
2026-04-07T23:00:00
3
2026-04-08T00:00:00
4
2026-04-08T01:00:00
1
2026-04-08T02:00:00
1
2026-04-08T03:00:00
1
2026-04-08T04:00:00
3
2026-04-08T05:00:00
6
2026-04-08T06:00:00
3
2026-04-08T07:00:00
7
2026-04-08T08:00:00
1
2026-04-08T09:00:00
1
2026-04-08T10:00:00
2
2026-04-08T11:00:00
3
2026-04-08T12:00:00
1
2026-04-08T13:00:00
1
2026-04-08T14:00:00
4
2026-04-08T15:00:00
7
2026-04-08T16:00:00
1
2026-04-08T17:00:00
8
2026-04-08T18:00:00
3
Refs panel
Fast links to artifact viewer
Raw payload preview
Debug view for the page payload
Open raw JSON
{
"artifacts": [
{
"created_at": "2026-04-08T17:02:13.113995+00:00",
"id": 42794,
"kind": "autotrade.status",
"payload": {
"dry_run": false,
"enabled": true,
"exchange": "binance",
"exchange_balance_summary": {
"balances": {},
"error": "AuthenticationError: binanceusdm {\"code\":-2008,\"msg\":\"Invalid Api-Key ID.\"}",
"exchange": "binance",
"market_type": "unknown",
"ok": false,
"raw": null,
"sandbox": true
},
"execution_mode": "sandbox",
"exposure_limit": 1000.0,
"kill_switch": false,
"last_amount": null,
"last_error": null,
"last_gate_decision": "allowed",
"last_gate_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action:unknown",
"last_order_id": null,
"last_price": null,
"last_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action",
"last_status": "skipped",
"liquidity_gate": "required",
"local_balance": 0.0,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"position_limit": 250.0,
"same_candle_bucket": "1h:1775667600",
"sandbox": true,
"source": "services.autotrade.runner",
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trace_id": "b02c622981bc44db96105554c83c9e96",
"ts": "2026-04-08T17:02:13.112372+00:00"
},
"ref": "artifact://42794",
"store": "postgres",
"trace_id": "b02c622981bc44db96105554c83c9e96"
},
{
"created_at": "2026-04-08T17:02:12.822280+00:00",
"id": 42793,
"kind": "autotrade.execution.result",
"payload": {
"action": "unknown",
"base_qty": null,
"confidence": 0.2,
"decision_ref": "artifact://42787",
"dry_run": false,
"exchange": "binance",
"execution_plan": {
"amount": null,
"execution_mode": "None",
"expected_price": null,
"maker_first": null,
"market_type": "spot",
"marketable_limit": null,
"max_reprice_attempts": null,
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"notional_usd": 100.0,
"order_type": "None",
"qualification_class": "None",
"reduce_only": false,
"sandbox": null,
"slice_interval_ms": null,
"slices": null,
"time_in_force": "GTC",
"venue": "binance"
},
"gate": {
"action": "unknown",
"blockers": [
{
"code": "strategy.non_executable_action",
"group": "strategy",
"value": "unknown"
},
{
"code": "strategy.non_executable_side",
"group": "strategy",
"value": "none"
},
{
"code": "confidence.below_threshold",
"group": "confidence",
"threshold": 0.48,
"value": 0.2
},
{
"code": "confidence.below_no_llm_threshold",
"group": "confidence",
"mode": "deterministic_fallback",
"threshold": 0.45,
"value": 0.2
},
{
"code": "quality.trade_intent_autotrade_unsafe",
"group": "quality",
"value": false
},
{
"code": "quality.pipeline_degraded",
"group": "quality",
"value": "degraded"
},
{
"code": "quality.llm_status_not_ok",
"group": "quality",
"value": "exception"
},
{
"code": "quality.bundle_pipeline_degraded",
"group": "quality",
"value": "degraded"
},
{
"code": "quality.meta_filter_skip",
"group": "quality",
"value": 0.0
}
],
"confidence": 0.2,
"decision": "allowed",
"decision_label": "allowed",
"exchange": "binance",
"gate_level": "micro_auto",
"guards": {
"blocking_factors": [],
"compliance_ok": true,
"execution_ok": null,
"overrides": [],
"portfolio_ok": null,
"risk_ok": true,
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"deterministic_arbitration",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
]
},
"inputs": {
"action": "unknown",
"confidence": 0.2,
"side": "none",
"signal": {
"action_after_risk": "hold",
"action_before_risk": "hold",
"asset": null,
"bearish_contributors": [
"onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
],
"blocked_by": [],
"blockers": [],
"bullish_contributors": [
"onchain:bullish:+0.278",
"onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended",
"onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b",
"onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:4.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
],
"confidence_after_risk": 0.17405783991153473,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.19242124027512408,
"decision_state": "conflicting_signal",
"degraded_sources": [],
"evidence_pack": {
"bearish_contributors": [
"onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
],
"bullish_contributors": [
"onchain:bullish:+0.278",
"onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended",
"onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b",
"onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:4.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
],
"degraded_sources": [],
"evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.278, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b, onchain_detail:market_cap_rise:4.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a",
"neutral_contributors": [
"strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
],
"override_explanation": null
},
"hold_cause": "conflicting_signal",
"max_position": 100.0,
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.2,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.1251,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1026,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "All connection attempts failed",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"preferred_action": "hold",
"price_agent": {
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.25,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"expected_close": 71625.69,
"expected_high": 72485.19828,
"expected_low": 70766.18172000001,
"expected_move_pct": 0.0,
"explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"horizon": "1h",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"path_shape": "chop",
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"price_range_68": {
"high": 72485.19828,
"low": 70766.18172000001
},
"price_range_95": {
"high": 73258.75573199999,
"low": 69992.624268
},
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "All connection attempts failed",
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {
"ml_score": 0.0,
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"realized_vol_short": 0.012
},
"sl_hard": 70727.5038474,
"sl_soft": 71195.93586,
"tp1": 72055.44414,
"tp2": 72442.22286600001
},
"recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
"risk_confidence": 0.5070289199557674,
"risk_impact": {
"action_after_risk": "hold",
"action_before_risk": "hold",
"blocked_by": [],
"confidence_after_risk": 0.17405783991153473,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.19242124027512408,
"final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"overrides": [
"allow"
],
"size_modifier": 1.0
},
"risk_ok": true,
"risk_overrides": [
"allow"
],
"source": "deterministic_fallback",
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"strategy_action": "hold",
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"reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
"sandbox": true,
"side": "None",
"size": null,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trace_id": "b02c622981bc44db96105554c83c9e96",
"trade": {
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"confidence": 0.2,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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"entry": {
"aggressiveness": "neutral",
"execution_style": null,
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"price": null,
"slices": null,
"type": null
},
"guards": {
"blocking_factors": [],
"compliance_ok": true,
"execution_ok": null,
"overrides": [],
"portfolio_ok": null,
"risk_ok": true,
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"deterministic_arbitration",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
]
},
"health": {
"calibration_score": null,
"degraded_sources": [
"strategy",
"trading",
"supervisor",
"risk"
],
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
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"pipeline_quality": "degraded"
},
"llm_status": "exception",
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.2,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.1251,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1026,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "All connection attempts failed",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"needs_manual_review": false,
"quality": "degraded",
"reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"reduce_only": false,
"risk": {
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"stop_loss": 0.03715833,
"take_profit": null,
"time_in_force": "GTC"
},
"side": "None",
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"candidate_models": null,
"ensemble_weights": null,
"exit_policy": null,
"model": null,
"model_runtime_score": null,
"model_selection_score": null,
"quality_score": null,
"realized_vol_short": null,
"regime": {
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"regime_factors": null,
"regime_label": null
},
"threshold_used": null
},
"size": {
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"dynamic_sizing": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"quote_notional": null,
"size_multiplier": null
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"source_quality_score": 0.64,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trade_class": "paper_only"
},
"trade_intent": {
"action": "unknown",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.2,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"disagreement_score": 0.0,
"entry": {
"aggressiveness": "neutral",
"execution_style": null,
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"price": null,
"slices": null,
"type": null
},
"guards": {
"blocking_factors": [],
"compliance_ok": true,
"execution_ok": null,
"overrides": [],
"portfolio_ok": null,
"risk_ok": true,
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"deterministic_arbitration",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
]
},
"health": {
"calibration_score": null,
"degraded_sources": [
"strategy",
"trading",
"supervisor",
"risk"
],
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust_score": null,
"pipeline_quality": "degraded"
},
"llm_status": "exception",
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.2,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.1251,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1026,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "All connection attempts failed",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"needs_manual_review": false,
"quality": "degraded",
"reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027deterministic_arbitration\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027]",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"reduce_only": false,
"risk": {
"cancel_after_sec": null,
"stop_loss": 0.03715833,
"take_profit": null,
"time_in_force": "GTC"
},
"side": "None",
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"candidate_models": null,
"ensemble_weights": null,
"exit_policy": null,
"model": null,
"model_runtime_score": null,
"model_selection_score": null,
"quality_score": null,
"realized_vol_short": null,
"regime": {
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"regime_label": null
},
"threshold_used": null
},
"size": {
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"dynamic_sizing": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"quote_notional": null,
"size_multiplier": null
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"source_quality_score": 0.64,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trade_class": "paper_only"
},
"ts": "2026-04-08T17:02:12.514374+00:00"
},
"ref": "artifact://42788",
"store": "postgres",
"trace_id": "b02c622981bc44db96105554c83c9e96"
},
{
"created_at": "2026-04-08T17:02:12.502960+00:00",
"id": 42787,
"kind": "autotrade.decision.bundle",
"payload": {
"action": "unknown",
"agents": {
"compliance": {
"confidence": 0.0,
"constraints": {},
"decision_override": null,
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output"
],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {},
"trading_allowed": true,
"violations": []
},
"execution": {
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"entry_type": null,
"execution_style": null,
"explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_liquidity",
"ref": "artifact://42491",
"title": "None",
"why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
},
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://42502",
"title": "None",
"why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
}
],
"signal": {},
"slices": null
},
"macro": {
"action": "hold",
"bias": "neutral",
"confidence": 0.5147778802871592,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
"macro_score": null,
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output",
"macro.structural_fallback"
],
"refs_used": [],
"regime": "neutral",
"signal": {
"macro_regime": "neutral",
"macro_structural_factors": [
"crypto_macro_score",
"usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
"equity_risk_off"
],
"macro_structural_score": -0.08849242959699735
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},
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"confidence": 0.2,
"constraints": {},
"edge_score": 0.1251,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1026,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"mode": "degraded",
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"raw_refs": {},
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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"ml_judge": {
"accepted_refs": [],
"agreement_score": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"horizon_fit": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://42655",
"title": "None",
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
],
"rejected_refs": [],
"signal": {},
"trust_score": null,
"usable": null
},
"onchain": {
"bearish_signals": [
"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
],
"bias": "bullish",
"bullish_signals": [
"cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
"fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal",
"market_cap_rise:4.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
],
"confidence": 0.6756,
"constraints": {},
"data_quality": "live",
"derivatives_signal": "neutral",
"exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
"explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.278). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal; market_cap_rise:4.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
"mode": "deterministic",
"network_signal": "shrinking",
"onchain_available": true,
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "onchain_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://42624",
"title": "None",
"why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
}
],
"score": 0.278,
"signal": {},
"valuation_signal": "unknown"
},
"portfolio": {
"allow_add": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
"exposure_warning": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"recommended_size_multiplier": null,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://42633",
"title": "None",
"why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
}
],
"signal": {}
},
"price": {
"confidence": 0.25,
"constraints": {},
"expected_close": 71625.69,
"expected_high": 72485.19828,
"expected_low": 70766.18172000001,
"expected_move_pct": 0.0,
"explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"horizon": "1h",
"mode": "degraded",
"path_shape": "chop",
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"price_range_68": {
"high": 72485.19828,
"low": 70766.18172000001
},
"price_range_95": {
"high": 73258.75573199999,
"low": 69992.624268
},
"raw_refs": {},
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {
"ml_score": 0.0,
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"realized_vol_short": 0.012
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"sl_hard": 70727.5038474,
"sl_soft": 71195.93586,
"tp1": 72055.44414,
"tp2": 72442.22286600001
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"rag_judge": {
"accepted_refs": [],
"confidence": null,
"consistency_score": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://42651",
"title": "None",
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
],
"rejected_refs": [],
"relevance_score": null,
"signal": {},
"usable": null
},
"risk": {
"action_after_risk": "hold",
"action_before_risk": "hold",
"active_risk_factors": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://42502",
"artifact://42685",
"artifact://42633"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"degraded_dependencies": [
"strategy_agent_degraded"
]
},
"explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
"id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
"mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
"refs": [
"artifact://42502",
"artifact://42685",
"artifact://42633"
],
"score": 0.7,
"severity": "high",
"source": "pipeline.refs",
"title": "System/dependency degradation",
"type": "system_risk"
}
],
"autotrade_allowed": true,
"blocking_risks": [],
"caution_risks": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://42502",
"artifact://42685",
"artifact://42633"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"degraded_dependencies": [
"strategy_agent_degraded"
]
},
"explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
"id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
"mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
"refs": [
"artifact://42502",
"artifact://42685",
"artifact://42633"
],
"score": 0.7,
"severity": "high",
"source": "pipeline.refs",
"title": "System/dependency degradation",
"type": "system_risk"
}
],
"confidence": 0.5070289199557674,
"confidence_after_risk": 0.17405783991153473,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.19242124027512408,
"constraints": {},
"degraded_dependencies": [
"strategy_agent_degraded"
],
"explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.17.",
"explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
"explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.17.",
"manual_review_required": false,
"max_position": 100.0,
"mitigations": [
"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"Run in caution mode or force manual review."
],
"mode": "degraded",
"ok": true,
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://42502",
"portfolio": "artifact://42633",
"rag": [],
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://42685"
},
"reasons": [
"model_degraded_or_fallback",
"system_degraded_dependencies"
],
"recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://42502",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
},
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://42685",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
},
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://42633",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
}
],
"risk_breakdown": {
"data_risk": {
"score": 0.3333333333333333,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"event_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"execution_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"liquidity_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"market_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"model_risk": {
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated"
},
"policy_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"portfolio_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"signal_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"strategy_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"system_risk": {
"score": 0.7,
"severity": "high"
}
},
"risk_confidence": 0.65,
"risk_level": "low",
"risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
"risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"signal": {},
"stop_loss": 0.03715833
},
"sentiment": {
"action": null,
"bias": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"event_strength": null,
"explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "narratives",
"ref": "artifact://42566",
"title": "None",
"why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
}
],
"sentiment_score": null,
"signal": {}
},
"strategy": {
"action": "hold",
"confidence": 0.19242124027512408,
"constraints": {
"allow_short": null,
"blacklist": [],
"horizon": null,
"max_leverage": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"preferred_assets": [],
"style": null
},
"explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
"mode": "degraded",
"profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://42502",
"ml": [],
"narratives": "artifact://42566",
"news": [],
"rag": []
},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://42502",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
},
{
"kind": "narratives",
"ref": "artifact://42566",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": "BTC",
"bias": "neutral",
"blockers": [
"mostly_empty_inputs"
],
"direction": "neutral",
"factors": [
"macro_structural_bias"
],
"macd_hist": null,
"macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
"macro_agent_weight": 0.4375611982440853,
"macro_structural_score": -0.08849242959699735,
"market_momentum": 0.00032945961082142154,
"ml_score": 0.0,
"narrative_score": 0.0,
"news_score": 0.0,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"price_vs_slow": 0.0,
"reason_codes": [
"hold_deadband"
],
"regime": null,
"rsi": null,
"score": -0.01710545861992091,
"score_deadband": 0.042,
"source": "deterministic_fallback"
}
},
"supervisor": {
"action": "hold",
"blocking_factors": [],
"confidence": 0.2339926343194966,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
"mode": "degraded",
"overrides": [],
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"deterministic_arbitration"
],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "compliance",
"ref": "artifact://42637",
"title": "None",
"why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
},
{
"kind": "portfolio",
"ref": "artifact://42633",
"title": "None",
"why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
},
{
"kind": "macro",
"ref": "artifact://42620",
"title": "None",
"why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
},
{
"kind": "ml_judge",
"ref": "artifact://42655",
"title": "None",
"why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
},
{
"kind": "rag_judge",
"ref": "artifact://42651",
"title": "None",
"why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": null,
"blockers": [],
"max_position": 100.0,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
"risk_confidence": 0.5070289199557674,
"risk_ok": true,
"source": "deterministic_fallback",
"stop_loss": 0.03715833,
"strategy_action": "hold",
"strategy_confidence": 0.19242124027512408
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"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"deterministic_arbitration",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
]
},
"trading": {
"action": "hold",
"confidence": 0.2339926343194966,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {
"compliance": "artifact://42637",
"execution": "artifact://42711",
"risk_agent_output": "artifact://42698",
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://42685"
},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://42685",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
},
{
"kind": "risk_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://42698",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
},
{
"kind": "execution_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://42711",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
},
{
"kind": "compliance_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://42637",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": null,
"blockers": [],
"max_position": 100.0,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
"risk_confidence": 0.5070289199557674,
"risk_ok": true,
"source": "deterministic_fallback",
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},
"trend": {
"confidence": 0.22,
"constraints": {},
"continuation_probability": 0.42,
"evidence": [
"market.momentum",
"ml.directional_bias"
],
"explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
"invalidators": [
"momentum_flip",
"range_break_against_direction"
],
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"reversal_probability": 0.58,
"signal": {
"ml_direction": "neutral",
"momentum": 0.0
},
"trend_direction": "flat",
"trend_horizon": "intraday",
"trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
"trend_strength": 0.0
}
},
"confidence": 0.2,
"debug": {
"compliance": {
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.0,
"decision_override": null,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "All connection attempts failed",
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output"
],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {},
"trading_allowed": true,
"violations": []
},
"evidence": {
"compliance": "artifact://42637",
"macro": "artifact://42620",
"market": {
"liquidity": "artifact://42491",
"ohlcv": "artifact://42482",
"price": "artifact://42496",
"snapshot": "artifact://42502"
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"ml": [],
"narratives": "chroma://narratives/e8ca5753b5a2ac0ca059276f",
"news": [],
"portfolio": "artifact://42633",
"rag": []
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"execution": {
"error": "All connection attempts failed",
"explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_liquidity",
"ref": "artifact://42491",
"title": null,
"why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
},
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://42502",
"title": null,
"why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
}
]
},
"execution_plan": {
"amount": null,
"execution_style": null,
"expected_price": null,
"market_type": "spot",
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"notional_usd": 100.0,
"order_type": null,
"reduce_only": false,
"sandbox": null,
"side": null,
"slices": null,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"time_in_force": "GTC",
"timeframe": "1h",
"venue": "binance"
},
"judgements": {
"ml_judge": {
"error": "All connection attempts failed",
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://42655",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
]
},
"rag_judge": {
"error": "All connection attempts failed",
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://42651",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
]
}
},
"macro": {
"action": "hold",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"bias": "neutral",
"confidence": 0.5147778802871592,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "All connection attempts failed",
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output",
"macro.structural_fallback"
],
"refs_used": [],
"regime": "neutral",
"signal": {
"macro_regime": "neutral",
"macro_structural_factors": [
"crypto_macro_score",
"usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
"equity_risk_off"
],
"macro_structural_score": -0.08849242959699735
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},
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.2,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.1251,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.1026,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "All connection attempts failed",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"ml_judge": {
"error": "All connection attempts failed",
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://42655",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
]
},
"onchain": {
"action": "buy",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"bearish_signals": [
"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
],
"bias": "bullish",
"bullish_signals": [
"cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
"fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal",
"market_cap_rise:4.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength"
],
"confidence": 0.6756,
"data_quality": "live",
"derivatives_signal": "neutral",
"exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
"explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.278). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:17/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal; market_cap_rise:4.3% \u2014 mild broad market strength. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
"extra_metrics": {
"avg_funding_rate": 6.054657727e-05,
"btc_dominance_pct": 56.930809865665786,
"btc_hash_rate": 960223214554.2283,
"btc_tx_count_24h": 536036,
"defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 0.4930134646962616,
"defi_tvl_usd": 94983851210.0,
"fear_greed_index": 17.0,
"fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
"market_cap_change_24h_pct": 4.292918956159891,
"mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
"okx_funding_rate": 8.061315454e-05
},
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "deterministic",
"needs_manual_review": false,
"network_signal": "shrinking",
"onchain_available": true,
"quality": "trusted",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "onchain_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://42624",
"title": null,
"why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
}
],
"score": 0.278,
"sources_count": 10,
"valuation_signal": "unknown"
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"portfolio": {
"error": "All connection attempts failed",
"explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://42633",
"title": null,
"why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
}
]
},
"price": {
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.25,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"expected_close": 71625.69,
"expected_high": 72485.19828,
"expected_low": 70766.18172000001,
"expected_move_pct": 0.0,
"explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"horizon": "1h",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"path_shape": "chop",
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"price_range_68": {
"high": 72485.19828,
"low": 70766.18172000001
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"price_range_95": {
"high": 73258.75573199999,
"low": 69992.624268
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"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "All connection attempts failed",
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {
"ml_score": 0.0,
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"realized_vol_short": 0.012
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"sl_hard": 70727.5038474,
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"tp2": 72442.22286600001
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"rag_judge": {
"error": "All connection attempts failed",
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://42651",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
]
},
"risk": {
"action_after_risk": "hold",
"action_before_risk": "hold",
"active_risk_factors": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://42502",
"artifact://42685",
"artifact://42633"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"degraded_dependencies": [
"strategy_agent_degraded"
]
},
"explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
"id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
"mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
"refs": [
"artifact://42502",
"artifact://42685",
"artifact://42633"
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"score": 0.7,
"severity": "high",
"source": "pipeline.refs",
"title": "System/dependency degradation",
"type": "system_risk"
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],
"autotrade_allowed": true,
"autotrade_safe": false,
"blocking_risks": [],
"caution_risks": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://42502",
"artifact://42685",
"artifact://42633"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"degraded_dependencies": [
"strategy_agent_degraded"
]
},
"explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
"id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
"mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
"refs": [
"artifact://42502",
"artifact://42685",
"artifact://42633"
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"score": 0.7,
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"title": "System/dependency degradation",
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],
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"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.17.",
"explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
"explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.19-\u003e0.17.",
"llm_status": "exception",
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"max_position": 100.0,
"meta": {
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"missing_inputs": [
"metrics.atr_pct",
"metrics.spread_bps"
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"mitigations": [
"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"Run in caution mode or force manual review."
],
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"ok": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://42502",
"portfolio": "artifact://42633",
"rag": [],
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://42685"
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"reason": "All connection attempts failed",
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"model_degraded_or_fallback",
"system_degraded_dependencies"
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"recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://42502",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
},
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://42685",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
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{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://42633",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
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],
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"score": 0.3333333333333333,
"severity": "moderate"
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"event_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
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"execution_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
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"liquidity_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"market_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"model_risk": {
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated"
},
"policy_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"portfolio_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"signal_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"strategy_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"system_risk": {
"score": 0.7,
"severity": "high"
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},
"risk_confidence": 0.65,
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"action_after_risk": "hold",
"action_before_risk": "hold",
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"final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"overrides": [
"allow"
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"risk_level": "low",
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"sentiment": {
"error": "All connection attempts failed",
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"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
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"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "narratives",
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"title": null,
"why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
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},
"strategy": {
"action": "hold",
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"bias": "neutral",
"confidence": 0.19242124027512408,
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"blacklist": [],
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"max_position_usd": null,
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"style": null
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"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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"explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {
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"ml": [],
"narratives": "artifact://42566",
"news": [],
"rag": []
},
"reason": "All connection attempts failed",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
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"title": null,
"why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
},
{
"kind": "narratives",
"ref": "artifact://42566",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
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],
"signal": {
"asset": "BTC",
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"blockers": [
"mostly_empty_inputs"
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"direction": "neutral",
"factors": [
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"pair": "BTC/USDT",
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"reason_codes": [
"hold_deadband"
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"score": -0.01710545861992091,
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"source": "deterministic_fallback"
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"signal_quality": "degraded"
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"supervisor": {
"action": "hold",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"blocking_factors": [],
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"explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
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"overrides": [],
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
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"reasons": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"deterministic_arbitration"
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"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "compliance",
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"title": null,
"why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
},
{
"kind": "portfolio",
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"title": null,
"why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
},
{
"kind": "macro",
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"title": null,
"why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
},
{
"kind": "ml_judge",
"ref": "artifact://42655",
"title": null,
"why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
},
{
"kind": "rag_judge",
"ref": "artifact://42651",
"title": null,
"why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
}
],
"risk_impact": {
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"action_before_risk": "hold",
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"confidence_after_risk": 0.17405783991153473,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.19242124027512408,
"final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"overrides": [
"allow"
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"size_modifier": 1.0
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"max_position": 100.0,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
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"source": "deterministic_fallback",
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"winner_factors": [
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"compliance_clear",
"deterministic_arbitration",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
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},
"system_status": {
"agents": {
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"execution_mode": "llm_error",
"macro_mode": "degraded",
"meta_decision_mode": "degraded",
"ml_judge_mode": "llm_error",
"portfolio_mode": "llm_error",
"price_mode": "degraded",
"rag_judge_mode": "llm_error",
"risk_mode": "degraded",
"sentiment_mode": "llm_error",
"strategy_mode": "degraded",
"supervisor_mode": "degraded",
"trading_mode": "degraded",
"trend_mode": "degraded"
},
"compliance_snapshot_status": {
"present": true,
"source": "artifact"
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"macro_snapshot_status": {
"present": true,
"source": "artifact"
},
"ml_predictions_status": {
"count": 0,
"usable": false
},
"narratives": {
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"status": "used"
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"news_status": {
"count": 0
},
"portfolio_snapshot_status": {
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"source": "artifact"
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"rag": {
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},
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},
{
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],
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},
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],
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{
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},
{
"kind": "portfolio",
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"why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
},
{
"kind": "macro",
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"title": null,
"why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
},
{
"kind": "ml_judge",
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"why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
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{
"kind": "rag_judge",
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},
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},
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},
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},
"trace_id": "3b09feb4c1a74e389b06655b0907924e",
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},
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