Vanga
News 2026-04-09T21:48:35.146638+00:00
ML 2026-04-12T09:00:53.197822+00:00
Decision 2026-04-12T09:00:53.592316+00:00

Logs & Traces

Operational brain of the system ? inspect traces, step timelines, refs, and grouped errors quickly.

Traces

Recent operational runs
last 100 traces
100
loaded into current page

Errors

Grouped inbox
error groups
4
grouped by node / name

Steps

Timeline details
selected trace steps
0
inputs / outputs / refs drill-down

Artifacts

Refs behind the trace
selected trace artifacts
9
clickable refs / raw JSON

Traces list

Last traces with duration, status, error and quick filter
Trace ID Started Duration Status Error Actions
2026-04-12T09:24:05.082663+00:00 2834 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:23:50.083668+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-12T09:23:35.084294+00:00 3523 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:23:35.084047+00:00 ? ok
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2026-04-12T09:23:07.915486+00:00 2816 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:23:05.083893+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:23:05.081313+00:00 806 ms error
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2026-04-12T09:22:35.084805+00:00 2933 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:22:35.083473+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:22:20.083692+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:22:07.403020+00:00 2840 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:22:05.082017+00:00 558 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:21:35.083735+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:21:35.083723+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:21:35.081752+00:00 2878 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:21:05.081511+00:00 2562 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:20:50.084525+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:20:35.084442+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:20:35.082383+00:00 2916 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:20:08.127771+00:00 2728 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:20:05.085312+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:20:05.082863+00:00 1300 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:19:35.084204+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:19:35.083050+00:00 2849 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:19:20.084079+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:19:05.082563+00:00 2605 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:18:37.864623+00:00 3038 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:18:35.110438+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:18:35.088356+00:00 636 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:18:35.086716+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:18:07.538270+00:00 3345 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:18:05.082176+00:00 602 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:17:50.084443+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:17:35.083632+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:17:35.082781+00:00 2839 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:17:07.646663+00:00 2859 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:17:05.089139+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:17:05.081498+00:00 572 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:16:35.094367+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:16:35.081365+00:00 3768 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:16:20.084550+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:16:07.797705+00:00 2849 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:16:05.083144+00:00 577 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:15:37.189451+00:00 3472 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:15:35.083819+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:15:35.083797+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:15:35.081496+00:00 30 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:15:05.082144+00:00 4131 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:14:50.085183+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:14:35.084747+00:00 2871 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:14:35.084445+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:14:08.615063+00:00 2823 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:14:05.083885+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:14:05.081811+00:00 1274 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:13:35.085859+00:00 2883 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:13:35.083832+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:13:20.084257+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:13:07.889858+00:00 3334 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:13:05.082508+00:00 567 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:12:35.085019+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:12:35.084898+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:12:35.082748+00:00 2595 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:12:05.083275+00:00 2845 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:11:50.083762+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:11:35.085212+00:00 2937 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:11:35.084456+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:11:07.390047+00:00 3459 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:11:05.083978+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:11:05.082834+00:00 576 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:10:35.084974+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:10:35.082961+00:00 2928 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:10:20.084304+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:10:05.082260+00:00 2733 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:09:35.086837+00:00 2842 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:09:35.086554+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:09:35.085062+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:09:07.468800+00:00 2926 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:09:05.081857+00:00 597 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:08:50.084655+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:08:35.085655+00:00 4649 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:08:35.084872+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:08:07.673279+00:00 2870 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:08:05.083395+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:08:05.082003+00:00 565 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:07:35.083514+00:00 4069 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:07:35.083465+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:07:20.083710+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:07:06.811417+00:00 2827 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:07:05.082032+00:00 20 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:06:35.086131+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:06:35.085255+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:06:35.082990+00:00 4518 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:06:05.082351+00:00 2482 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:05:50.086469+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:05:35.083879+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:05:35.082795+00:00 2758 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:05:07.414650+00:00 3558 ms ok
?
2026-04-12T09:05:05.083622+00:00 ? ok
?
2026-04-12T09:05:05.082414+00:00 581 ms error
?
2026-04-12T09:04:35.084739+00:00 ? ok
?

Trace artifacts / refs

refs_json links and artifact drill-down
Kind Created Ref Actions
autotrade.status 2026-04-12T08:01:36.208715+00:00 artifact://179815
autotrade.execution.result 2026-04-12T08:01:35.920321+00:00 artifact://179814
trade.attribution 2026-04-12T08:01:35.918592+00:00 artifact://179813
trade.result 2026-04-12T08:01:35.914217+00:00 artifact://179812
autotrade.gate.summary 2026-04-12T08:01:35.912713+00:00 artifact://179811
autotrade.gate.result 2026-04-12T08:01:35.910347+00:00 artifact://179810
trade.intent 2026-04-12T08:01:35.099585+00:00 artifact://179809
autotrade.decision.bundle 2026-04-12T08:01:35.088285+00:00 artifact://179808
autotrade.status 2026-04-12T08:01:35.084446+00:00 artifact://179807

Error inbox

Latest errors grouped by node / name
ccxt
2026-04-12T09:23:05.081313+00:00
1982 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
tools_3
2026-04-12T09:00:47.843518+00:00
293 errors
Server error '502 Bad Gateway' for url 'https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500&file_type=json&api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d' For more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/502
fetch_ohlcv_recent
2026-04-12T05:47:35.079862+00:00
17 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
/traces/{trace_id}
2026-04-10T11:39:40.389699+00:00
3 errors
404: trace not found

Error count per hour

Operational pressure snapshot
2026-04-11T09:00:00
22
2026-04-11T10:00:00
44
2026-04-11T11:00:00
42
2026-04-11T12:00:00
50
2026-04-11T13:00:00
39
2026-04-11T14:00:00
41
2026-04-11T15:00:00
27
2026-04-11T16:00:00
35
2026-04-11T17:00:00
37
2026-04-11T18:00:00
45
2026-04-11T19:00:00
28
2026-04-11T20:00:00
54
2026-04-11T21:00:00
50
2026-04-11T22:00:00
40
2026-04-11T23:00:00
60
2026-04-12T00:00:00
41
2026-04-12T01:00:00
52
2026-04-12T02:00:00
49
2026-04-12T03:00:00
44
2026-04-12T04:00:00
41
2026-04-12T05:00:00
62
2026-04-12T06:00:00
53
2026-04-12T07:00:00
38
2026-04-12T08:00:00
48
2026-04-12T09:00:00
17

Raw payload preview

Debug view for the page payload
Open raw JSON
{
  "artifacts": [
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T08:01:36.208715+00:00",
      "id": 179815,
      "kind": "autotrade.status",
      "payload": {
        "dry_run": false,
        "enabled": true,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "exchange_balance_summary": {
          "balances": {},
          "error": "AuthenticationError: binanceusdm {\"code\":-2008,\"msg\":\"Invalid Api-Key ID.\"}",
          "exchange": "binance",
          "market_type": "unknown",
          "ok": false,
          "raw": null,
          "sandbox": true
        },
        "execution_mode": "sandbox",
        "exposure_limit": 1000.0,
        "kill_switch": false,
        "last_amount": null,
        "last_error": null,
        "last_gate_decision": "allowed",
        "last_gate_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action:unknown",
        "last_order_id": null,
        "last_price": null,
        "last_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action",
        "last_status": "skipped",
        "liquidity_gate": "required",
        "local_balance": 0.0,
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "position_limit": 250.0,
        "same_candle_bucket": "1h:1775980800",
        "sandbox": true,
        "source": "services.autotrade.runner",
        "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
        "timeframe": "1h",
        "trace_id": "bf2900bd2d894c1b8bde2eca2343e338",
        "ts": "2026-04-12T08:01:36.206842+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://179815",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "bf2900bd2d894c1b8bde2eca2343e338"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T08:01:35.920321+00:00",
      "id": 179814,
      "kind": "autotrade.execution.result",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "base_qty": null,
        "confidence": 0.2142,
        "decision_ref": "artifact://179808",
        "dry_run": false,
        "exchange": "binance",
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": "None",
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": "None",
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "gate": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "blockers": [
            {
              "code": "strategy.non_executable_action",
              "group": "strategy",
              "value": "unknown"
            },
            {
              "code": "strategy.non_executable_side",
              "group": "strategy",
              "value": "none"
            },
            {
              "code": "confidence.below_threshold",
              "group": "confidence",
              "threshold": 0.48,
              "value": 0.2142
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.trade_intent_autotrade_unsafe",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": false
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.pipeline_degraded",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "degraded"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.llm_status_not_ok",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "exception"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.bundle_pipeline_degraded",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": "degraded"
            },
            {
              "code": "quality.meta_filter_skip",
              "group": "quality",
              "value": 0.0
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.2142,
          "decision": "allowed",
          "decision_label": "allowed",
          "exchange": "binance",
          "gate_level": "micro_auto",
          "guards": {
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "inputs": {
            "action": "unknown",
            "confidence": 0.2142,
            "side": "none",
            "signal": {
              "action_after_risk": "buy",
              "action_before_risk": "buy",
              "asset": null,
              "bearish_contributors": [
                "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
              ],
              "blocked_by": [
                "synthetic_price_only"
              ],
              "blockers": [],
              "bullish_contributors": [
                "onchain:bullish:+0.328",
                "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
                "onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.16 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
                "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
              ],
              "calibration_score": 1.0,
              "candidate_models": [
                "tp_eq_sl",
                "tp_3sl",
                "sl_3tp"
              ],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.3186321435814801,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.366140069785707,
              "decision_state": "blocked_signal",
              "degraded_sources": [],
              "ensemble_weights": [
                {
                  "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                  "weight": 0.2907
                },
                {
                  "model": "tp_3sl",
                  "weight": 0.2237
                },
                {
                  "model": "sl_3tp",
                  "weight": 0.4566
                }
              ],
              "evidence_pack": {
                "bearish_contributors": [
                  "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
                ],
                "bullish_contributors": [
                  "onchain:bullish:+0.328",
                  "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
                  "onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.16 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
                  "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
                ],
                "degraded_sources": [],
                "evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.328, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende, onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.16 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish , onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only",
                "neutral_contributors": [
                  "strategy_factor:ml_directional_bias",
                  "strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
                ],
                "override_explanation": "price_safety_override"
              },
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "hold_cause": "blocked",
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "meta_decision": {
                "action": "paper_only",
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.2142,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "edge_score": 0.238,
                "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
                "execution_vote": "allow",
                "expected_value_score": 0.1952,
                "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
                "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
                "reason_codes": [
                  "ml_trust_low"
                ],
                "refs_used": [],
                "risk_vote": "allow",
                "should_trade": false,
                "signal": {
                  "calibration_score": null,
                  "drift_detected": false,
                  "health_state": "unknown",
                  "ml_trust": 0.0,
                  "synthetic_price": true,
                  "trend_direction": "flat"
                },
                "size_multiplier": 0.0,
                "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
                "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
              },
              "model": "sl_3tp",
              "model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
              "model_selection_score": 0.462958,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "preferred_action": "buy",
              "price_agent": {
                "autotrade_safe": false,
                "confidence": 0.3707,
                "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
                "expected_close": 77246.17910854727,
                "expected_high": 78173.13325784983,
                "expected_low": 76319.2249592447,
                "expected_move_pct": 7.762310075817186,
                "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
                "horizon": "1h",
                "llm_status": "exception",
                "mode": "degraded",
                "needs_manual_review": true,
                "path_shape": "trend",
                "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                "price_range_68": {
                  "high": 72542.184,
                  "low": 70821.816
                },
                "price_range_95": {
                  "high": 73316.3496,
                  "low": 70047.6504
                },
                "quality": "degraded",
                "raw_refs": {},
                "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
                "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
                "refs_used": [],
                "signal": {
                  "ml_score": 0.17249577946260414,
                  "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.012
                },
                "sl_hard": 64726.77611431591,
                "sl_soft": 67230.65671316219,
                "tp1": 77676.27110854727,
                "tp2": 78063.35390854727
              },
              "quality_score": 0.5555,
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "regime_confidence": 0.8182,
              "regime_factors": {
                "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.004380787139444027,
                "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                "hurst_exp": 0.5094739235110775,
                "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                "slope_price": 0.0,
                "trend_persistence": 0.55,
                "vol_expansion": 0.0
              },
              "regime_label": "range",
              "risk_confidence": 0.5793160717907401,
              "risk_impact": {
                "action_after_risk": "buy",
                "action_before_risk": "buy",
                "blocked_by": [],
                "confidence_after_risk": 0.3186321435814801,
                "confidence_before_risk": 0.366140069785707,
                "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
                "overrides": [],
                "size_modifier": 1.0
              },
              "risk_ok": true,
              "risk_overrides": [],
              "selected_model": "sl_3tp",
              "sl": 0.01,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03838405,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.366140069785707,
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              "trailing_callback": null,
              "trend_factor": 1.0,
              "vol_factor": 1.0
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            "take_profit": 0.02,
            "time_in_force": "GTC"
          },
          "side": "None",
          "signal": {
            "calibration_score": 1.0,
            "candidate_models": [
              "tp_eq_sl",
              "tp_3sl",
              "sl_3tp"
            ],
            "ensemble_weights": [
              {
                "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                "weight": 0.2907
              },
              {
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              },
              {
                "model": "sl_3tp",
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            ],
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              "exit_template": "fixed",
              "max_hold_candles": 24,
              "partial_tp_levels": [
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                  "target_distance": 0.015
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              "trailing_activation": null,
              "trailing_callback": null,
              "trend_factor": 1.0,
              "vol_factor": 1.0
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            "model_selection_score": 0.462958,
            "quality_score": 0.5555,
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              "regime_factors": {
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                "hurst_exp": 0.5094739235110775,
                "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
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                "slope_price": 0.0,
                "trend_persistence": 0.55,
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              },
              "regime_label": "range"
            },
            "threshold_used": 0.375
          },
          "size": {
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            "dynamic_sizing": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "quote_notional": null,
            "size_multiplier": null
          },
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
          "source_quality_score": 0.88,
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "trade_class": "paper_only"
        },
        "trade_intent": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.2142,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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          "entry": {
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            "execution_style": null,
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "price": null,
            "slices": null,
            "type": null
          },
          "guards": {
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "compliance_ok": true,
            "execution_ok": null,
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "portfolio_ok": null,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
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          },
          "health": {
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            "degraded_sources": [
              "supervisor",
              "risk"
            ],
            "drift_detected": false,
            "health_state": "unknown",
            "ml_trust_score": null,
            "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
          },
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2142,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.238,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1952,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "needs_manual_review": false,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
          "reason_codes": [
            "ml_trust_low"
          ],
          "reduce_only": false,
          "risk": {
            "cancel_after_sec": null,
            "exit_policy": {
              "atr_base": 0.01,
              "break_even_trigger": null,
              "exit_template": "fixed",
              "max_hold_candles": 24,
              "partial_tp_levels": [
                {
                  "fraction": 0.5,
                  "target_distance": 0.015
                }
              ],
              "stop_loss": 0.01,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "trailing_activation": null,
              "trailing_callback": null,
              "trend_factor": 1.0,
              "vol_factor": 1.0
            },
            "stop_loss": 0.03838405,
            "take_profit": 0.02,
            "time_in_force": "GTC"
          },
          "side": "None",
          "signal": {
            "calibration_score": 1.0,
            "candidate_models": [
              "tp_eq_sl",
              "tp_3sl",
              "sl_3tp"
            ],
            "ensemble_weights": [
              {
                "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                "weight": 0.2907
              },
              {
                "model": "tp_3sl",
                "weight": 0.2237
              },
              {
                "model": "sl_3tp",
                "weight": 0.4566
              }
            ],
            "exit_policy": {
              "atr_base": 0.01,
              "break_even_trigger": null,
              "exit_template": "fixed",
              "max_hold_candles": 24,
              "partial_tp_levels": [
                {
                  "fraction": 0.5,
                  "target_distance": 0.015
                }
              ],
              "stop_loss": 0.01,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "trailing_activation": null,
              "trailing_callback": null,
              "trend_factor": 1.0,
              "vol_factor": 1.0
            },
            "model": "sl_3tp",
            "model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
            "model_selection_score": 0.462958,
            "quality_score": 0.5555,
            "realized_vol_short": null,
            "regime": {
              "regime_confidence": 0.8182,
              "regime_factors": {
                "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.004380787139444027,
                "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                "hurst_exp": 0.5094739235110775,
                "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                "slope_price": 0.0,
                "trend_persistence": 0.55,
                "vol_expansion": 0.0
              },
              "regime_label": "range"
            },
            "threshold_used": 0.375
          },
          "size": {
            "base_qty": null,
            "dynamic_sizing": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "quote_notional": null,
            "size_multiplier": null
          },
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
          "source_quality_score": 0.88,
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "trade_class": "paper_only"
        },
        "ts": "2026-04-12T08:01:35.098979+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://179809",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "bf2900bd2d894c1b8bde2eca2343e338"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T08:01:35.088285+00:00",
      "id": 179808,
      "kind": "autotrade.decision.bundle",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://179517",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179528",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144504121107903,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08732290039567978
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2142,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.238,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1952,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://179696",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "taker_buy_dominant:1.16 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6856,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.328). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); taker_buy_dominant:1.16 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure); fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179650",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.328,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179659",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.3707,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 77246.17910854727,
            "expected_high": 78173.13325784983,
            "expected_low": 76319.2249592447,
            "expected_move_pct": 7.762310075817186,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72542.184,
              "low": 70821.816
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 73316.3496,
              "low": 70047.6504
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.17249577946260414,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 64726.77611431591,
            "sl_soft": 67230.65671316219,
            "tp1": 77676.27110854727,
            "tp2": 78063.35390854727
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://179692",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "buy",
            "action_before_risk": "buy",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://179528",
                  "artifact://179718",
                  "artifact://179659"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00023721481894927788
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://179528",
                  "artifact://179718",
                  "artifact://179659"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://179528",
                  "artifact://179718",
                  "artifact://179659"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00023721481894927788
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://179528",
                  "artifact://179718",
                  "artifact://179659"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5793160717907401,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3186321435814801,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.366140069785707,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.32.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.32.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://179528",
              "portfolio": "artifact://179659",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://179718"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179528",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://179718",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179659",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4094515003456338,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.18536202837826574,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03838405
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://179592",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "buy",
            "confidence": 0.366140069785707,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://179528",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://179674\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.842694051093214}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://179676\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8770769605866012}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://179678\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9669930776749905}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://179679\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9090640897705963}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://179680\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9090640897705963}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://179681\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9090640897705963}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://179592",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179528",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://179592",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://179674",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://179676",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://179678",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://179679",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://179680",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://179681",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bullish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "up",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4372828502941718,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08732290039567978,
              "market_momentum": 0.00023721481894927788,
              "ml_score": 0.17249577946260414,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_buy"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": 0.06231046514777065,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.366140069785707,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://179663",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://179659",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://179646",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://179696",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://179692",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5793160717907401,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03838405,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.366140069785707
            },
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
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          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "buy",
            "confidence": 0.3655552506591469,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://179663",
              "execution": "artifact://179738",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://179731",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://179718"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://179718",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://179731",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://179738",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179663",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5793160717907401,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03838405,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.366140069785707
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          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "up",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "confidence": 0.2142,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://179663",
            "macro": "artifact://179646",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://179517",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://179504",
              "price": "artifact://179522",
              "snapshot": "artifact://179528"
            },
            "ml": [
              "artifact://179674",
              "artifact://179676",
              "artifact://179678",
              "artifact://179679",
              "artifact://179680",
              "artifact://179681"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/56f528d104039597ac1c1849",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://179659",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://179517",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179528",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://179696",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://179692",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
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          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144504121107903,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08732290039567978
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2142,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.238,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1952,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://179696",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "taker_buy_dominant:1.16 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6856,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.328). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); taker_buy_dominant:1.16 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure); fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": -3.809192200895e-05,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 57.090966798559926,
              "btc_hash_rate": 925682811152.9967,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 547372,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 3.471471542739358,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 95213157366.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 16.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": -1.0753645811144266,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": -3.92838440179e-05
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179650",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.328,
            "sources_count": 10,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179659",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.3707,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 77246.17910854727,
            "expected_high": 78173.13325784983,
            "expected_low": 76319.2249592447,
            "expected_move_pct": 7.762310075817186,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72542.184,
              "low": 70821.816
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 73316.3496,
              "low": 70047.6504
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            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.17249577946260414,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 64726.77611431591,
            "sl_soft": 67230.65671316219,
            "tp1": 77676.27110854727,
            "tp2": 78063.35390854727
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://179692",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "buy",
            "action_before_risk": "buy",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://179528",
                  "artifact://179718",
                  "artifact://179659"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00023721481894927788
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://179528",
                  "artifact://179718",
                  "artifact://179659"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://179528",
                  "artifact://179718",
                  "artifact://179659"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00023721481894927788
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://179528",
                  "artifact://179718",
                  "artifact://179659"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5793160717907401,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3186321435814801,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.366140069785707,
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.32.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.32.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://179528",
              "portfolio": "artifact://179659",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://179718"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179528",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://179718",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179659",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4094515003456338,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "buy",
              "action_before_risk": "buy",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.3186321435814801,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.366140069785707,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.18536202837826574,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03838405
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://179592",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "buy",
            "action_tradeable": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "bullish",
            "confidence": 0.366140069785707,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://179528",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://179674\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.842694051093214}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://179676\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8770769605866012}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://179678\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9669930776749905}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://179679\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9090640897705963}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://179680\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9090640897705963}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://179681\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9090640897705963}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://179592",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179528",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://179592",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://179674",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://179676",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://179678",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://179679",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://179680",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://179681",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bullish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "up",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4372828502941718,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08732290039567978,
              "market_momentum": 0.00023721481894927788,
              "ml_score": 0.17249577946260414,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_buy"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": 0.06231046514777065,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            },
            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.366140069785707,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://179663",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://179659",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://179646",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://179696",
                "title": null,
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://179692",
                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "buy",
              "action_before_risk": "buy",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.3186321435814801,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.366140069785707,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5793160717907401,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03838405,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.366140069785707
            },
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
            ]
          },
          "system_status": {
            "agents": {
              "compliance_mode": "degraded",
              "execution_mode": "llm_error",
              "macro_mode": "degraded",
              "meta_decision_mode": "degraded",
              "ml_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "portfolio_mode": "llm_error",
              "price_mode": "degraded",
              "rag_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "risk_mode": "degraded",
              "sentiment_mode": "llm_error",
              "strategy_mode": "deterministic",
              "supervisor_mode": "degraded",
              "trading_mode": "deterministic",
              "trend_mode": "degraded"
            },
            "compliance_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "macro_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "ml_predictions_status": {
              "count": 6,
              "usable": false
            },
            "narratives": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            },
            "news_status": {
              "count": 0
            },
            "portfolio_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "rag": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            }
          },
          "trade_intent": {
            "action": "unknown",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2142,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "entry": {
              "aggressiveness": "neutral",
              "execution_style": null,
              "max_slippage_bps": null,
              "price": null,
              "slices": null,
              "type": null
            },
            "guards": {
              "blocking_factors": [
                "synthetic_price_only"
              ],
              "compliance_ok": true,
              "execution_ok": null,
              "overrides": [
                "price_safety_override"
              ],
              "portfolio_ok": null,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "winner_factors": [
                "risk_approved",
                "compliance_clear",
                "onchain_bullish_confirmation"
              ]
            },
            "health": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "degraded_sources": [
                "supervisor",
                "risk"
              ],
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust_score": null,
              "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "meta_decision": {
              "action": "paper_only",
              "autotrade_safe": false,
              "confidence": 0.2142,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "edge_score": 0.238,
              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.1952,
              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "reason_codes": [
                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
              "signal": {
                "calibration_score": null,
                "drift_detected": false,
                "health_state": "unknown",
                "ml_trust": 0.0,
                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
              },
              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reduce_only": false,
            "risk": {
              "cancel_after_sec": null,
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "stop_loss": 0.03838405,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "time_in_force": "GTC"
            },
            "side": null,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": 1.0,
              "candidate_models": [
                "tp_eq_sl",
                "tp_3sl",
                "sl_3tp"
              ],
              "ensemble_weights": [
                {
                  "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                  "weight": 0.2907
                },
                {
                  "model": "tp_3sl",
                  "weight": 0.2237
                },
                {
                  "model": "sl_3tp",
                  "weight": 0.4566
                }
              ],
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "model": "sl_3tp",
              "model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
              "model_selection_score": 0.462958,
              "quality_score": 0.5555,
              "realized_vol_short": null,
              "regime": {
                "regime_confidence": 0.8182,
                "regime_factors": {
                  "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.004380787139444027,
                  "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                  "hurst_exp": 0.5094739235110775,
                  "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                  "slope_price": 0.0,
                  "trend_persistence": 0.55,
                  "vol_expansion": 0.0
                },
                "regime_label": "range"
              },
              "threshold_used": 0.375
            },
            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "dynamic_sizing": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "quote_notional": null,
              "size_multiplier": null
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "trade_class": "paper_only"
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.3655552506591469,
            "degradation_blockers": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://179663",
              "execution": "artifact://179738",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://179731",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://179718"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://179718",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://179731",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://179738",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://179663",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5793160717907401,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03838405,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.366140069785707
            },
            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "trend": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "up",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "degraded_sources": [
          "supervisor",
          "risk"
        ],
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": "None",
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": "None",
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
        "final_summary": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "bearish_contributors": [
            "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
          ],
          "blocking_factors": [
            "synthetic_price_only"
          ],
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            "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
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            "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
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              "title": null,
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            },
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                "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
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                "range_break_against_direction"
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