Logs & Traces

{
  "artifacts": [
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.525417+00:00",
      "id": 202358,
      "kind": "decision.run.result",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://202082",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5143219345940337,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2101,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.2334,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1914,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://202261",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure)",
              "mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6456,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.128). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure); mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202215",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.128,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.3525,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 76045.06669208083,
            "expected_high": 76957.6074923858,
            "expected_low": 75132.52589177586,
            "expected_move_pct": 6.590430560878397,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72199.35888,
              "low": 70487.12112000001
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 72969.865872,
              "low": 69716.614128
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 65465.956634898976,
            "sl_soft": 67581.77864633536,
            "tp1": 76473.12613208083,
            "tp2": 76858.37962808083
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          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://202257",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "buy",
            "action_before_risk": "buy",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "factors_count": 2,
                  "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
                },
                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "factors_count": 2,
                  "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
                },
                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
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            ],
            "confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
              "portfolio": "artifact://202224",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202283",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.1868356558124513,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03842089
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://202157",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "buy",
            "confidence": 0.3591120004842066,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://202157",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://202157",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202239",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202241",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202243",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202244",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202245",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202246",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bullish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "up",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4371736444049287,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903,
              "market_momentum": 0.00010948276333390328,
              "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_buy"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": 0.050193104283114826,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.35965245250181344,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://202228",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://202211",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://202261",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://202257",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
            },
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
            ]
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "buy",
            "confidence": 0.35965245250181344,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://202228",
              "execution": "artifact://202303",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://202296",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202283",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202296",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202303",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202228",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
            }
          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
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            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
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              "ml_direction": "up",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "confidence": 0.2101,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://202228",
            "macro": "artifact://202211",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://202082",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://202073",
              "price": "artifact://202087",
              "snapshot": "artifact://202093"
            },
            "ml": [
              "artifact://202239",
              "artifact://202241",
              "artifact://202243",
              "artifact://202244",
              "artifact://202245",
              "artifact://202246"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://202224",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://202082",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://202261",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://202257",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
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          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5143219345940337,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
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              "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2101,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.2334,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1914,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
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              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
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            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://202261",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
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          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure)",
              "mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6456,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.128). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure); mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": 2.10313683627e-05,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 56.93801737384968,
              "btc_hash_rate": 1043120182717.1831,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 662080,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 3.1904376916852626,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 94954552196.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 16.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": -2.3805958897135104,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 2.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": 4.54127367254e-05
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            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202215",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
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            ],
            "score": 0.128,
            "sources_count": 10,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.3525,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 76045.06669208083,
            "expected_high": 76957.6074923858,
            "expected_low": 75132.52589177586,
            "expected_move_pct": 6.590430560878397,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72199.35888,
              "low": 70487.12112000001
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 72969.865872,
              "low": 69716.614128
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            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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            "sl_hard": 65465.956634898976,
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            "tp1": 76473.12613208083,
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://202257",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "buy",
            "action_before_risk": "buy",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "factors_count": 2,
                  "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
                },
                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "factors_count": 2,
                  "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
                },
                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
              "portfolio": "artifact://202224",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202283",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "buy",
              "action_before_risk": "buy",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.1868356558124513,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03842089
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://202157",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "buy",
            "action_tradeable": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "bullish",
            "confidence": 0.3591120004842066,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}"
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              "narratives": "artifact://202157",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://202157",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202239",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202241",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202243",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202244",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202245",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202246",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
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              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "up",
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                "ml_directional_bias",
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          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
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              "synthetic_price_only"
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            "confidence": 0.35965245250181344,
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            "llm_status": "exception",
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              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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              "synthetic_price_only"
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              {
                "kind": "compliance",
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                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://202211",
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                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
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                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://202261",
                "title": null,
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
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                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://202257",
                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
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            ],
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            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
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              "portfolio_ok": null,
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              "drift_detected": false,
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              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.1914,
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              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
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              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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              "risk_vote": "allow",
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                "drift_detected": false,
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              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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            "needs_manual_review": false,
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            "reduce_only": false,
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                "atr_base": 0.01,
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                "partial_tp_levels": [
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                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
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                "trailing_callback": null,
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                "vol_factor": 1.0
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            "side": null,
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                "break_even_trigger": null,
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                ],
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                "trailing_callback": null,
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                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "model": "sl_3tp",
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                  "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.007638420284153222,
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                  "hurst_exp": 0.4953718140254635,
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                  "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
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              "base_qty": null,
              "dynamic_sizing": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "quote_notional": null,
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            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
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          "trading": {
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            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "partial",
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              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202283",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202296",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
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                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202228",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
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            ],
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              "max_position": 100.0,
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              "ml.directional_bias"
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              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
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            "mode": "degraded",
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            "raw_refs": {},
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            "refs_used": [],
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              "ml_direction": "up",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
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            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
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          "notional_usd": 100.0,
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            "onchain_detail:taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearis",
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          ],
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            "synthetic_price_only"
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            "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended",
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          "degraded_sources": [],
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          "overrides": [
            "price_safety_override"
          ],
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              "ref": "artifact://202228",
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            },
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              "title": null,
              "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
            },
            {
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              "ref": "artifact://202211",
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            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_judge",
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              "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
            },
            {
              "kind": "rag_judge",
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              "title": null,
              "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
            }
          ],
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            "action_before_risk": "buy",
            "asset": null,
            "bearish_contributors": [
              "onchain_detail:taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearis",
              "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
            ],
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              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
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              "onchain:bullish:+0.128",
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              "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
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            "candidate_models": [
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              "tp_3sl",
              "sl_3tp"
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            "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
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              {
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            ],
            "evidence_pack": {
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                "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
              ],
              "bullish_contributors": [
                "onchain:bullish:+0.128",
                "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended",
                "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
              ],
              "degraded_sources": [],
              "evidence_summary": "bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.128, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearis, onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only",
              "neutral_contributors": [
                "strategy_factor:ml_directional_bias",
                "strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "override_explanation": "price_safety_override"
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              "exit_template": "fixed",
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              "trailing_activation": null,
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              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "edge_score": 0.2334,
              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.1914,
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              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "reason_codes": [
                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
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          "result": "\"trace_id=\u0027cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:01:02.503471+00:00\u0027 action=\u0027unknown\u0027 confidence=0.2101 explanation=\u0027TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.\u0027 signal={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027strategy_action\u0027: \u0027buy\u0027, \u0027strategy_confidence\u0027: 0.3591120004842066, \u0027risk_ok\u0027: True, \u0027risk_confidence\u0027: 0.5760727760998975, \u0027max_position\u0027: 100.0, \u0027recommended_size_modifier\u0027: 1.0, \u0027stop_loss\u0027: 0.03842089, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: None, \u0027risk_impact\u0027: {\u0027action_before_risk\u0027: \u0027buy\u0027, \u0027action_after_risk\u0027: \u0027buy\u0027, \u0027confidence_before_risk\u0027: 0.3591120004842066, \u0027confidence_after_risk\u0027: 0.31214555219979495, \u0027overrides\u0027: [], \u0027blocked_by\u0027: [], \u0027size_modifier\u0027: 1.0, \u0027final_reason\u0027: \u0027Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.\u0027}, \u0027evidence_pack\u0027: {\u0027bullish_contributors\u0027: [\u0027onchain:bullish:+0.128\u0027, \u0027onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended\u0027, \u0027onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b\u0027], \u0027bearish_contributors\u0027: [\u0027onchain_detail:taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearis\u0027, \u0027onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a\u0027], \u0027neutral_contributors\u0027: [\u0027strategy_factor:ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias\u0027], \u0027degraded_sources\u0027: [], \u0027evidence_summary\u0027: \u0027bullish: onchain:bullish:+0.128, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearis, onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only\u0027, \u0027override_explanation\u0027: \u0027price_safety_override\u0027}, \u0027trend_agent\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027trend_direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027trend_phase\u0027: \u0027mean_reversion\u0027, \u0027trend_horizon\u0027: \u0027intraday\u0027, \u0027trend_strength\u0027: 0.0, \u0027continuation_probability\u0027: 0.42, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: 0.58, \u0027invalidators\u0027: [\u0027momentum_flip\u0027, \u0027range_break_against_direction\u0027], \u0027evidence\u0027: [\u0027market.momentum\u0027, \u0027ml.directional_bias\u0027], \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.22, \u0027reasoning_summary\u0027: \u0027Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027momentum\u0027: 0.0, \u0027ml_direction\u0027: \u0027up\u0027}, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027deterministic_route_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded_deterministic\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {}}, \u0027price_agent\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027expected_close\u0027: 76045.06669208083, \u0027expected_high\u0027: 76957.6074923858, \u0027expected_low\u0027: 75132.52589177586, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: 6.590430560878397, \u0027price_range_68\u0027: {\u0027low\u0027: 70487.12112000001, \u0027high\u0027: 72199.35888}, \u0027price_range_95\u0027: {\u0027low\u0027: 69716.614128, \u0027high\u0027: 72969.865872}, \u0027tp1\u0027: 76473.12613208083, \u0027tp2\u0027: 76858.37962808083, \u0027sl_soft\u0027: 67581.77864633536, \u0027sl_hard\u0027: 65465.956634898976, \u0027path_shape\u0027: \u0027trend\u0027, \u0027horizon\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: True, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3525, \u0027reasoning_summary\u0027: \u0027Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027ml_score\u0027: 0.14645401246396436, \u0027realized_vol_short\u0027: 0.012, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: True}, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027deterministic_route_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded_deterministic\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {}}, \u0027meta_decision\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 \u2026"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202357",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.514279+00:00",
      "id": 202356,
      "kind": "decision.step.decision_bundle",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://202082",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5143219345940337,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2101,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.2334,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1914,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://202261",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure)",
              "mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6456,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.128). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure); mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202215",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.128,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.3525,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 76045.06669208083,
            "expected_high": 76957.6074923858,
            "expected_low": 75132.52589177586,
            "expected_move_pct": 6.590430560878397,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72199.35888,
              "low": 70487.12112000001
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 72969.865872,
              "low": 69716.614128
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 65465.956634898976,
            "sl_soft": 67581.77864633536,
            "tp1": 76473.12613208083,
            "tp2": 76858.37962808083
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://202257",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "buy",
            "action_before_risk": "buy",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "factors_count": 2,
                  "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
                },
                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "factors_count": 2,
                  "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
                },
                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
              "portfolio": "artifact://202224",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202283",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.1868356558124513,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03842089
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://202157",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "buy",
            "confidence": 0.3591120004842066,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://202157",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://202157",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202239",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202241",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202243",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202244",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202245",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202246",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bullish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "up",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4371736444049287,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903,
              "market_momentum": 0.00010948276333390328,
              "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_buy"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": 0.050193104283114826,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.35965245250181344,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://202228",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://202211",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://202261",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://202257",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
            },
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
            ]
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "buy",
            "confidence": 0.35965245250181344,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://202228",
              "execution": "artifact://202303",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://202296",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202283",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202296",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202303",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202228",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
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          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "up",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "confidence": 0.2101,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://202228",
            "macro": "artifact://202211",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://202082",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://202073",
              "price": "artifact://202087",
              "snapshot": "artifact://202093"
            },
            "ml": [
              "artifact://202239",
              "artifact://202241",
              "artifact://202243",
              "artifact://202244",
              "artifact://202245",
              "artifact://202246"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://202224",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://202082",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://202261",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://202257",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
            }
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5143219345940337,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2101,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.2334,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1914,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://202261",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure)",
              "mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6456,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.128). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure); mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": 2.10313683627e-05,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 56.93801737384968,
              "btc_hash_rate": 1043120182717.1831,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 662080,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 3.1904376916852626,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 94954552196.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 16.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": -2.3805958897135104,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 2.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": 4.54127367254e-05
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202215",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.128,
            "sources_count": 10,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.3525,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 76045.06669208083,
            "expected_high": 76957.6074923858,
            "expected_low": 75132.52589177586,
            "expected_move_pct": 6.590430560878397,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72199.35888,
              "low": 70487.12112000001
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 72969.865872,
              "low": 69716.614128
            },
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 65465.956634898976,
            "sl_soft": 67581.77864633536,
            "tp1": 76473.12613208083,
            "tp2": 76858.37962808083
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://202257",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "buy",
            "action_before_risk": "buy",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "factors_count": 2,
                  "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
                },
                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "factors_count": 2,
                  "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
                },
                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
              "portfolio": "artifact://202224",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202283",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "buy",
              "action_before_risk": "buy",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.1868356558124513,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03842089
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://202157",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "buy",
            "action_tradeable": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "bullish",
            "confidence": 0.3591120004842066,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://202157",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://202157",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202239",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202241",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202243",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202244",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202245",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202246",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bullish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "up",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4371736444049287,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903,
              "market_momentum": 0.00010948276333390328,
              "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_buy"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": 0.050193104283114826,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            },
            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.35965245250181344,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://202228",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://202211",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://202261",
                "title": null,
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://202257",
                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "buy",
              "action_before_risk": "buy",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
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            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
            ]
          },
          "system_status": {
            "agents": {
              "compliance_mode": "degraded",
              "execution_mode": "llm_error",
              "macro_mode": "degraded",
              "meta_decision_mode": "degraded",
              "ml_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "portfolio_mode": "llm_error",
              "price_mode": "degraded",
              "rag_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "risk_mode": "degraded",
              "sentiment_mode": "llm_error",
              "strategy_mode": "deterministic",
              "supervisor_mode": "degraded",
              "trading_mode": "deterministic",
              "trend_mode": "degraded"
            },
            "compliance_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "macro_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "ml_predictions_status": {
              "count": 6,
              "usable": false
            },
            "narratives": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            },
            "news_status": {
              "count": 0
            },
            "portfolio_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "rag": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            }
          },
          "trade_intent": {
            "action": "unknown",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2101,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "entry": {
              "aggressiveness": "neutral",
              "execution_style": null,
              "max_slippage_bps": null,
              "price": null,
              "slices": null,
              "type": null
            },
            "guards": {
              "blocking_factors": [
                "synthetic_price_only"
              ],
              "compliance_ok": true,
              "execution_ok": null,
              "overrides": [
                "price_safety_override"
              ],
              "portfolio_ok": null,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "winner_factors": [
                "risk_approved",
                "compliance_clear"
              ]
            },
            "health": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "degraded_sources": [
                "supervisor",
                "risk"
              ],
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust_score": null,
              "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "meta_decision": {
              "action": "paper_only",
              "autotrade_safe": false,
              "confidence": 0.2101,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "edge_score": 0.2334,
              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.1914,
              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "reason_codes": [
                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
              "signal": {
                "calibration_score": null,
                "drift_detected": false,
                "health_state": "unknown",
                "ml_trust": 0.0,
                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
              },
              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reduce_only": false,
            "risk": {
              "cancel_after_sec": null,
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "time_in_force": "GTC"
            },
            "side": null,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": 1.0,
              "candidate_models": [
                "tp_eq_sl",
                "tp_3sl",
                "sl_3tp"
              ],
              "ensemble_weights": [
                {
                  "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                  "weight": 0.2962
                },
                {
                  "model": "tp_3sl",
                  "weight": 0.217
                },
                {
                  "model": "sl_3tp",
                  "weight": 0.4406
                }
              ],
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "model": "sl_3tp",
              "model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
              "model_selection_score": 0.462958,
              "quality_score": 0.5555,
              "realized_vol_short": null,
              "regime": {
                "regime_confidence": 0.8182,
                "regime_factors": {
                  "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.007638420284153222,
                  "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                  "hurst_exp": 0.4953718140254635,
                  "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                  "slope_price": 0.0,
                  "trend_persistence": 0.6,
                  "vol_expansion": 0.0
                },
                "regime_label": "range"
              },
              "threshold_used": 0.375
            },
            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "dynamic_sizing": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "quote_notional": null,
              "size_multiplier": null
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "trade_class": "paper_only"
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.35965245250181344,
            "degradation_blockers": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://202228",
              "execution": "artifact://202303",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://202296",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202283",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202296",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202303",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202228",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
            },
            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "trend": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "up",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "degraded_sources": [
          "supervisor",
          "risk"
        ],
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": null,
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": null,
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
        "final_summary": {
          "action": "unknown",
          "bearish_contributors": [
            "onchain_detail:taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearis",
            "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
          ],
          "blocking_factors": [
            "synthetic_price_only"
          ],
          "bullish_contributors": [
            "onchain:bullish:+0.128",
            "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended",
            "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
          ],
          "confidence": 0.2101,
          "degraded_sources": [],
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          "needs_manual_review": false,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
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              ],
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          },
          "side": "None",
          "signal": {
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              "tp_3sl",
              "sl_3tp"
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              {
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              {
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            ],
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                {
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              ],
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              "vol_factor": 1.0
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            "model": "sl_3tp",
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              "regime_label": "range"
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          },
          "size": {
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            "dynamic_sizing": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "quote_notional": null,
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          },
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
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          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "trade_class": "paper_only"
        },
        "ts": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.503471+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202356",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.511017+00:00",
      "id": 202355,
      "kind": "risk.snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "action_after_risk": "buy",
        "action_before_risk": "buy",
        "active_risk_ids": [
          "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
          "model_degraded_or_fallback",
          "strategy_timing_weak"
        ],
        "autotrade_allowed": true,
        "blocking_risk_ids": [],
        "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
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        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
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          {
            "kind": "market_snapshot",
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            "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
          },
          {
            "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://202283",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
          },
          {
            "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
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            "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
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        ],
        "risk_breakdown": {
          "data_risk": {
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            "severity": "moderate"
          },
          "event_risk": {
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          },
          "execution_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
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          },
          "liquidity_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
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          },
          "market_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
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          },
          "model_risk": {
            "score": 0.68,
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          },
          "policy_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "portfolio_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "signal_risk": {
            "score": 0.4207870959932151,
            "severity": "moderate"
          },
          "strategy_risk": {
            "score": 0.44,
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          },
          "system_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          }
        },
        "risk_confidence": 0.8,
        "risk_level": "low",
        "risk_score": 0.1868356558124513,
        "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
        "timeframe": "1h",
        "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca",
        "ts": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.503471+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202355",
      "store": "postgres",
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    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.505814+00:00",
      "id": 202354,
      "kind": "decision.bundle",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
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            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
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            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://202082",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5143219345940337,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2101,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.2334,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1914,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://202261",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure)",
              "mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6456,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.128). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure); mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202215",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.128,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.3525,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 76045.06669208083,
            "expected_high": 76957.6074923858,
            "expected_low": 75132.52589177586,
            "expected_move_pct": 6.590430560878397,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72199.35888,
              "low": 70487.12112000001
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 72969.865872,
              "low": 69716.614128
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 65465.956634898976,
            "sl_soft": 67581.77864633536,
            "tp1": 76473.12613208083,
            "tp2": 76858.37962808083
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          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://202257",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "buy",
            "action_before_risk": "buy",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "factors_count": 2,
                  "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
                },
                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "factors_count": 2,
                  "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
                },
                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
              "portfolio": "artifact://202224",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202283",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.1868356558124513,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03842089
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://202157",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "buy",
            "confidence": 0.3591120004842066,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://202157",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://202157",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202239",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202241",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202243",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202244",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202245",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202246",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bullish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "up",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4371736444049287,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903,
              "market_momentum": 0.00010948276333390328,
              "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_buy"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": 0.050193104283114826,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.35965245250181344,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://202228",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://202211",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://202261",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://202257",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
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            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
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          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "buy",
            "confidence": 0.35965245250181344,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://202228",
              "execution": "artifact://202303",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://202296",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202283",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202296",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202303",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202228",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
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          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
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            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "up",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "confidence": 0.2101,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://202228",
            "macro": "artifact://202211",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://202082",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://202073",
              "price": "artifact://202087",
              "snapshot": "artifact://202093"
            },
            "ml": [
              "artifact://202239",
              "artifact://202241",
              "artifact://202243",
              "artifact://202244",
              "artifact://202245",
              "artifact://202246"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://202224",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://202082",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://202261",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://202257",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
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          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5143219345940337,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2101,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.2334,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1914,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
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            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://202261",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
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          },
          "onchain": {
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            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure)",
              "mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6456,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.128). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure); mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": 2.10313683627e-05,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 56.93801737384968,
              "btc_hash_rate": 1043120182717.1831,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 662080,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 3.1904376916852626,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 94954552196.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 16.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": -2.3805958897135104,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 2.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": 4.54127367254e-05
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            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202215",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
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            ],
            "score": 0.128,
            "sources_count": 10,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
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          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.3525,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 76045.06669208083,
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            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 72199.35888,
              "low": 70487.12112000001
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            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 72969.865872,
              "low": 69716.614128
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            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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            "sl_hard": 65465.956634898976,
            "sl_soft": 67581.77864633536,
            "tp1": 76473.12613208083,
            "tp2": 76858.37962808083
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://202257",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
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            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "buy",
            "action_before_risk": "buy",
            "active_risk_factors": [
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                "evidence": {
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                  "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
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                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
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                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
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                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
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            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
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                "evidence": {
                  "factors_count": 2,
                  "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
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                "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
                "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
                "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
                "title": "Signal reliability risk",
                "type": "signal_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://202093",
                  "artifact://202283",
                  "artifact://202224"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
              "portfolio": "artifact://202224",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202283",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4207870959932151,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "buy",
              "action_before_risk": "buy",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.1868356558124513,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03842089
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://202157",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "buy",
            "action_tradeable": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "bullish",
            "confidence": 0.3591120004842066,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://202157",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202093",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://202157",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202239",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202241",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202243",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202244",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202245",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://202246",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bullish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "up",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4371736444049287,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903,
              "market_momentum": 0.00010948276333390328,
              "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_buy"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": 0.050193104283114826,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            },
            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.35965245250181344,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://202228",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://202224",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://202211",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://202261",
                "title": null,
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://202257",
                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "buy",
              "action_before_risk": "buy",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
            },
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
            ]
          },
          "system_status": {
            "agents": {
              "compliance_mode": "degraded",
              "execution_mode": "llm_error",
              "macro_mode": "degraded",
              "meta_decision_mode": "degraded",
              "ml_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "portfolio_mode": "llm_error",
              "price_mode": "degraded",
              "rag_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "risk_mode": "degraded",
              "sentiment_mode": "llm_error",
              "strategy_mode": "deterministic",
              "supervisor_mode": "degraded",
              "trading_mode": "deterministic",
              "trend_mode": "degraded"
            },
            "compliance_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "macro_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "ml_predictions_status": {
              "count": 6,
              "usable": false
            },
            "narratives": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            },
            "news_status": {
              "count": 0
            },
            "portfolio_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "rag": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            }
          },
          "trade_intent": {
            "action": "unknown",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2101,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "entry": {
              "aggressiveness": "neutral",
              "execution_style": null,
              "max_slippage_bps": null,
              "price": null,
              "slices": null,
              "type": null
            },
            "guards": {
              "blocking_factors": [
                "synthetic_price_only"
              ],
              "compliance_ok": true,
              "execution_ok": null,
              "overrides": [
                "price_safety_override"
              ],
              "portfolio_ok": null,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "winner_factors": [
                "risk_approved",
                "compliance_clear"
              ]
            },
            "health": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "degraded_sources": [
                "supervisor",
                "risk"
              ],
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust_score": null,
              "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "meta_decision": {
              "action": "paper_only",
              "autotrade_safe": false,
              "confidence": 0.2101,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "edge_score": 0.2334,
              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.1914,
              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "reason_codes": [
                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
              "signal": {
                "calibration_score": null,
                "drift_detected": false,
                "health_state": "unknown",
                "ml_trust": 0.0,
                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
              },
              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reduce_only": false,
            "risk": {
              "cancel_after_sec": null,
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "time_in_force": "GTC"
            },
            "side": null,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": 1.0,
              "candidate_models": [
                "tp_eq_sl",
                "tp_3sl",
                "sl_3tp"
              ],
              "ensemble_weights": [
                {
                  "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                  "weight": 0.2962
                },
                {
                  "model": "tp_3sl",
                  "weight": 0.217
                },
                {
                  "model": "sl_3tp",
                  "weight": 0.4406
                }
              ],
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "model": "sl_3tp",
              "model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
              "model_selection_score": 0.462958,
              "quality_score": 0.5555,
              "realized_vol_short": null,
              "regime": {
                "regime_confidence": 0.8182,
                "regime_factors": {
                  "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.007638420284153222,
                  "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                  "hurst_exp": 0.4953718140254635,
                  "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                  "slope_price": 0.0,
                  "trend_persistence": 0.6,
                  "vol_expansion": 0.0
                },
                "regime_label": "range"
              },
              "threshold_used": 0.375
            },
            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "dynamic_sizing": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "quote_notional": null,
              "size_multiplier": null
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "trade_class": "paper_only"
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.35965245250181344,
            "degradation_blockers": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://202228",
              "execution": "artifact://202303",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://202296",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202283",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202296",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://202303",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://202228",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
              "strategy_action": "buy",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
            },
            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "trend": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "up",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "degraded_sources": [
          "supervisor",
          "risk"
        ],
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": null,
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            "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended",
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            },
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            "artifact://202245",
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        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"action\": \"hold\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"blocking_factors\": [\"synthetic_price_only\"], \"confidence\": 0.35965245250181344, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"disagreement_score\": 0.0, \"explanation\": \"LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"overrides\": [\"price_safety_override\"], \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"reasons\": [\"synthetic_price_only\"], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"compliance\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202228\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Compliance gate can override final action\"}, {\"kind\": \"portfolio\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202224\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk\"}, {\"kind\": \"macro\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202211\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Macro backdrop influences regime filter\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_judge\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202261\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"ML trust influences final confidence\"}, {\"kind\": \"rag_judge\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202257\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"RAG trust influences evidence usage\"}], \"risk_impact\": {\"action_after_risk\": \"buy\", \"action_before_risk\": \"buy\", \"blocked_by\": [], \"confidence_after_risk\": 0.31214555219979495, \"confidence_before_risk\": 0.3591120004842066, \"final_reason\": \"Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.\", \"overrides\": [], \"size_modifier\": 1.0}, \"signal\": {\"asset\": null, \"blockers\": [], \"max_position\": 100.0, \"pair\": \"BTC/USDT\", \"recommended_size_modifier\": 1.0, \"risk_confidence\": 0.5760727760998975, \"risk_ok\": true, \"source\": \"deterministic_fallback\", \"stop_loss\": 0.03842089, \"strategy_action\": \"buy\", \"strategy_confidence\": 0.3591120004842066}, \"source_quality_score\": 0.88, \"winner_factors\": [\"risk_approved\", \"compliance_clear\"]}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202346",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.477605+00:00",
      "id": 202345,
      "kind": "decision.step.supervisor_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://202341",
        "out": "artifact://202344"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202345",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.469828+00:00",
      "id": 202344,
      "kind": "decision.supervisor_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "action": "hold",
        "autotrade_safe": false,
        "blocking_factors": [
          "synthetic_price_only"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.35965245250181344,
        "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
        "disagreement_score": 0.0,
        "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "degraded",
        "needs_manual_review": true,
        "overrides": [
          "price_safety_override"
        ],
        "quality": "degraded",
        "raw_refs": {},
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "reasons": [
          "synthetic_price_only"
        ],
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "compliance",
            "ref": "artifact://202228",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
          },
          {
            "kind": "portfolio",
            "ref": "artifact://202224",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
          },
          {
            "kind": "macro",
            "ref": "artifact://202211",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
          },
          {
            "kind": "ml_judge",
            "ref": "artifact://202261",
            "title": null,
            "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
          },
          {
            "kind": "rag_judge",
            "ref": "artifact://202257",
            "title": null,
            "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
          }
        ],
        "risk_impact": {
          "action_after_risk": "buy",
          "action_before_risk": "buy",
          "blocked_by": [],
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
          "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "overrides": [],
          "size_modifier": 1.0
        },
        "signal": {
          "asset": null,
          "blockers": [],
          "max_position": 100.0,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
          "risk_confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
          "risk_ok": true,
          "source": "deterministic_fallback",
          "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
          "strategy_action": "buy",
          "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
        },
        "source_quality_score": 0.88,
        "winner_factors": [
          "risk_approved",
          "compliance_clear"
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202344",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.467339+00:00",
      "id": 202343,
      "kind": "decision.llm.supervisor.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202343",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.460368+00:00",
      "id": 202342,
      "kind": "decision.llm.supervisor.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are SupervisorAgent \u2014 the final decision maker. You MUST return a JSON object with these exact keys: \\\"action\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". action must be exactly one of: buy, sell, hold. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string explaining your decision. When strategy AND risk both agree on a direction with confidence \u003e= 0.5, the final action MUST match that direction. Use hold ONLY when evidence is genuinely contradictory or all signals are weak.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Arbitrate all agent outputs into final decision action and confidence.\u0027, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027action\u0027: \u0027hold\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.5143219345940337, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\u0027, \u0027reasons\u0027: [\u0027quality.llm_invalid_output\u0027, \u0027macro.structural_fallback\u0027], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027macro_regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08686405212154903, \u0027macro_structural_factors\u0027: [\u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027, \u0027usd_strong_crypto_headwind\u0027, \u0027equity_risk_off\u0027]}, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027deterministic_route_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded_deterministic\u0027, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {}}, \u0027sentiment\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027llm_error\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027quality.llm_exception\u0027, \u0027error\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027model\u0027: \u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202157\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}], \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.\u0027}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027buy\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3591120004842066, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bullish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027up\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bullish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: 0.050193104283114826, \u0027ml_score\u0027: 0.14645401246396436, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08686405212154903, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.4371736444049287, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: 0.00010948276333390328, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_buy\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202093\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202157\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202342",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.457879+00:00",
      "id": 202341,
      "kind": "decision.supervisor_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "compliance": {
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.0,
          "decision_override": null,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "quality.llm_invalid_output"
          ],
          "refs_used": [],
          "signal": {},
          "trading_allowed": true,
          "violations": []
        },
        "execution": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_liquidity",
              "ref": "artifact://202082",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
            },
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://202093",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
            }
          ]
        },
        "macro": {
          "action": "hold",
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "neutral",
          "confidence": 0.5143219345940337,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "quality.llm_invalid_output",
            "macro.structural_fallback"
          ],
          "refs_used": [],
          "regime": "neutral",
          "signal": {
            "macro_regime": "neutral",
            "macro_structural_factors": [
              "crypto_macro_score",
              "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
              "equity_risk_off"
            ],
            "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903
          }
        },
        "ml_judge": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "ml_judgement",
              "ref": "artifact://202261",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
            }
          ]
        },
        "portfolio": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://202224",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
            }
          ]
        },
        "price": {
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.3525,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "expected_close": 76045.06669208083,
          "expected_high": 76957.6074923858,
          "expected_low": 75132.52589177586,
          "expected_move_pct": 6.590430560878397,
          "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
          "horizon": "1h",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "path_shape": "trend",
          "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
          "price_range_68": {
            "high": 72199.35888,
            "low": 70487.12112000001
          },
          "price_range_95": {
            "high": 72969.865872,
            "low": 69716.614128
          },
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
          "refs_used": [],
          "signal": {
            "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "realized_vol_short": 0.012
          },
          "sl_hard": 65465.956634898976,
          "sl_soft": 67581.77864633536,
          "tp1": 76473.12613208083,
          "tp2": 76858.37962808083
        },
        "rag_judge": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "rag_judgement",
              "ref": "artifact://202257",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
            }
          ]
        },
        "requirements": {
          "fields": [
            "mode",
            "action",
            "confidence",
            "winner_factors",
            "blocking_factors",
            "overrides",
            "signal",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "refs_used"
          ],
          "must_apply_compliance_override": true,
          "must_output_json_only": true
        },
        "risk": {
          "action_after_risk": "buy",
          "action_before_risk": "buy",
          "active_risk_factors": [
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "factors_count": 2,
                "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
              },
              "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
              "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
              "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://202093",
                "artifact://202283",
                "artifact://202224"
              ],
              "score": 0.4207870959932151,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
              "title": "Signal reliability risk",
              "type": "signal_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "ml_mode": null,
                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
              },
              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://202093",
                "artifact://202283",
                "artifact://202224"
              ],
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
              "type": "model_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
              },
              "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
              "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
              "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://202093",
                "artifact://202283",
                "artifact://202224"
              ],
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "strategy.signal",
              "title": "Strategy timing risk",
              "type": "strategy_risk"
            }
          ],
          "autotrade_allowed": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "blocking_risks": [],
          "caution_risks": [
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "factors_count": 2,
                "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
              },
              "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
              "id": "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
              "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://202093",
                "artifact://202283",
                "artifact://202224"
              ],
              "score": 0.4207870959932151,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
              "title": "Signal reliability risk",
              "type": "signal_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "ml_mode": null,
                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
              },
              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://202093",
                "artifact://202283",
                "artifact://202224"
              ],
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
              "type": "model_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
              },
              "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
              "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
              "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://202093",
                "artifact://202283",
                "artifact://202224"
              ],
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "strategy.signal",
              "title": "Strategy timing risk",
              "type": "strategy_risk"
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
          "degraded_dependencies": [],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
          "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.",
          "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "manual_review_required": false,
          "max_position": 100.0,
          "meta": {
            "allow_short": false,
            "max_leverage": 1.0,
            "missing_inputs": [
              "metrics.atr_pct",
              "metrics.spread_bps"
            ],
            "strategy_action": "buy",
            "volatility": null
          },
          "mitigations": [
            "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
            "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
            "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
          ],
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "ok": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
            "portfolio": "artifact://202224",
            "rag": [],
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
            "model_degraded_or_fallback",
            "strategy_timing_weak"
          ],
          "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://202093",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
            },
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://202283",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://202224",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
            }
          ],
          "risk_breakdown": {
            "data_risk": {
              "score": 0.3333333333333333,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "event_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "execution_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "liquidity_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "market_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "model_risk": {
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated"
            },
            "policy_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "portfolio_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "signal_risk": {
              "score": 0.4207870959932151,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "strategy_risk": {
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "system_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            }
          },
          "risk_confidence": 0.8,
          "risk_impact": {
            "action_after_risk": "buy",
            "action_before_risk": "buy",
            "blocked_by": [],
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
            "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "overrides": [],
            "size_modifier": 1.0
          },
          "risk_level": "low",
          "risk_score": 0.1868356558124513,
          "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "stop_loss": 0.03842089
        },
        "sentiment": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://202157",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
            }
          ]
        },
        "strategy": {
          "action": "buy",
          "action_tradeable": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "bullish",
          "confidence": 0.3591120004842066,
          "constraints": {
            "allow_short": null,
            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
          },
          "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
          "disagreement_flags": [],
          "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "deterministic",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
          "quality": "partial",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
            "ml": [
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}"
            ],
            "narratives": "artifact://202157",
            "news": [],
            "rag": []
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://202093",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://202157",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202239",
              "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202241",
              "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202243",
              "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202244",
              "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202245",
              "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202246",
              "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
            "asset": "BTC",
            "bias": "bullish",
            "blockers": [],
            "direction": "up",
            "factors": [
              "ml_directional_bias",
              "macro_structural_bias"
            ],
            "macd_hist": null,
            "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
            "macro_agent_weight": 0.4371736444049287,
            "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903,
            "market_momentum": 0.00010948276333390328,
            "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
            "narrative_score": 0.0,
            "news_score": 0.0,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
            "reason_codes": [
              "direction_buy"
            ],
            "regime": null,
            "rsi": null,
            "score": 0.050193104283114826,
            "score_deadband": 0.042,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback"
          },
          "signal_quality": "partial"
        },
        "task": "Arbitrate all agent outputs into final decision action and confidence.",
        "trading": {
          "action": "buy",
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.35965245250181344,
          "degradation_blockers": [],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
          "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
          "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "deterministic",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "partial",
          "raw_refs": {
            "compliance": "artifact://202228",
            "execution": "artifact://202303",
            "risk_agent_output": "artifact://202296",
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://202283",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "risk_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://202296",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "execution_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://202303",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
            },
            {
              "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://202228",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
            "asset": null,
            "blockers": [],
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "risk_confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback",
            "stop_loss": 0.03842089,
            "strategy_action": "buy",
            "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
          },
          "signal_quality": "partial"
        },
        "trend": {
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.22,
          "continuation_probability": 0.42,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "evidence": [
            "market.momentum",
            "ml.directional_bias"
          ],
          "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
          "invalidators": [
            "momentum_flip",
            "range_break_against_direction"
          ],
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
          "refs_used": [],
          "reversal_probability": 0.58,
          "signal": {
            "ml_direction": "up",
            "momentum": 0.0
          },
          "trend_direction": "flat",
          "trend_horizon": "intraday",
          "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
          "trend_strength": 0.0
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202341",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.455358+00:00",
      "id": 202340,
      "kind": "decision.supervisor_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"narratives\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202157\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source\"}]}",
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202261\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}]}",
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          ],
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        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "refs_used": [
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      "id": 202335,
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Only override to hold if risk explicitly forbids or evidence collapses.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Convert strategy + risk into a final DecisionBundle intent (still not execution).\u0027, \u0027user_text\u0027: \u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027, \u0027risk_prefs\u0027: {}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027buy\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3591120004842066, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bullish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027up\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bullish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: 0.050193104283114826, \u0027ml_score\u0027: 0.14645401246396436, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08686405212154903, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.4371736444049287, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: 0.00010948276333390328, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_buy\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202093\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202157\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated:1h\u0027}], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {\u0027market_snapshot\u0027: \u0027artifact://202093\u0027, \u0027news\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: \u0027artifact://202157\u0027, \u0027ml\u0027: [\\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ens\u2026"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.433820+00:00",
      "id": 202334,
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          "action_before_risk": "buy",
          "active_risk_factors": [
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              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "factors_count": 2,
                "strategy_confidence": 0.3591120004842066
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              "explanation": "Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.",
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              "mitigation": "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
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                "artifact://202093",
                "artifact://202283",
                "artifact://202224"
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              "score": 0.4207870959932151,
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              "source": "decision.strategy_agent.outputs",
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            {
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              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
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                "artifact://202093",
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                "artifact://202093",
                "artifact://202283",
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          ],
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          "caution_risks": [
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            {
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              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
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          "degraded_dependencies": [],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
          "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.",
          "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "manual_review_required": false,
          "max_position": 100.0,
          "meta": {
            "allow_short": false,
            "max_leverage": 1.0,
            "missing_inputs": [
              "metrics.atr_pct",
              "metrics.spread_bps"
            ],
            "strategy_action": "buy",
            "volatility": null
          },
          "mitigations": [
            "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
            "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
            "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
          ],
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "ok": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
            "portfolio": "artifact://202224",
            "rag": [],
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
            "model_degraded_or_fallback",
            "strategy_timing_weak"
          ],
          "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://202093",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
            },
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://202283",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://202224",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
            }
          ],
          "risk_breakdown": {
            "data_risk": {
              "score": 0.3333333333333333,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "event_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "execution_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "liquidity_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "market_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "model_risk": {
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated"
            },
            "policy_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "portfolio_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "signal_risk": {
              "score": 0.4207870959932151,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "strategy_risk": {
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "system_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            }
          },
          "risk_confidence": 0.8,
          "risk_impact": {
            "action_after_risk": "buy",
            "action_before_risk": "buy",
            "blocked_by": [],
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
            "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "overrides": [],
            "size_modifier": 1.0
          },
          "risk_level": "low",
          "risk_score": 0.1868356558124513,
          "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "stop_loss": 0.03842089
        },
        "risk_prefs": {},
        "strategy": {
          "action": "buy",
          "action_tradeable": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "bullish",
          "confidence": 0.3591120004842066,
          "constraints": {
            "allow_short": null,
            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
          },
          "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
          "disagreement_flags": [],
          "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "deterministic",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
          "quality": "partial",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
            "ml": [
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}"
            ],
            "narratives": "artifact://202157",
            "news": [],
            "rag": []
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://202093",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://202157",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202239",
              "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202241",
              "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202243",
              "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202244",
              "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202245",
              "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202246",
              "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
            "asset": "BTC",
            "bias": "bullish",
            "blockers": [],
            "direction": "up",
            "factors": [
              "ml_directional_bias",
              "macro_structural_bias"
            ],
            "macd_hist": null,
            "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
            "macro_agent_weight": 0.4371736444049287,
            "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903,
            "market_momentum": 0.00010948276333390328,
            "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
            "narrative_score": 0.0,
            "news_score": 0.0,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
            "reason_codes": [
              "direction_buy"
            ],
            "regime": null,
            "rsi": null,
            "score": 0.050193104283114826,
            "score_deadband": 0.042,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback"
          },
          "signal_quality": "partial"
        },
        "task": "Convert strategy + risk into a final DecisionBundle intent (still not execution).",
        "user_text": "scheduler decision tick"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202334",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.431743+00:00",
      "id": 202333,
      "kind": "decision.trading_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
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            "{\"action\": \"buy\", \"action_tradeable\": true, \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"confidence\": 0.3591120004842066, \"constraints\": {\"allow_short\": null, \"blacklist\": [], \"horizon\": null, \"max_leverage\": null, \"max_position_usd\": null, \"preferred_assets\": [], \"style\": null}, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"full_deterministic\", \"disagreement_flags\": [], \"explanation\": \"StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"profile_summary_text\": \"language=Default\", \"quality\": \"partial\", \"raw_refs\": {\"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://202093\", \"ml\": [\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}\"], \"narratives\": \"artifact://202157\", \"news\": [], \"rag\": []}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202093\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\"}, {\"kind\": \"narratives\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202157\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202239\", \"title\": \"tp_eq_sl:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202241\", \"title\": \"tp_3sl:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202243\", \"title\": \"sl_3tp:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202244\", \"title\": \"ensemble.direction:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202245\", \"title\": \"ensemble.price:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202246\", \"title\": \"ensemble.orchestrated:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}], \"signal\": {\"asset\": \"BTC\", \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"blockers\": [], \"direction\": \"up\", \"factors\": [\"ml_directional_bias\", \"macro_structural_bias\"], \"macd_hist\": null, \"macro_agent_signed\": 0.0, \"macro_agent_weight\": 0.4371736444049287, \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08686405212154903, \"market_momentum\": 0.00010948276333390328, \"ml_score\": 0.14645401246396436, \"narrative_score\": 0.0, \"news_score\": 0.0, \"pair\": \"BTC/USDT\", \"price_vs_slow\": 0.0, \"reason_codes\": [\"direction_buy\"], \"regime\": null, \"rsi\": null, \"score\": 0.050193104283114826, \"score_deadband\": 0.042, \"source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"signal_quality\": \"partial\"}",
            "{\"action_after_risk\": \"buy\", \"action_before_risk\": \"buy\", \"active_risk_factors\": [{\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"factors_count\": 2, \"strategy_confidence\": 0.3591120004842066}, \"explanation\": \"Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.\", \"id\": \"signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://202093\", \"artifact://202283\", \"artifact://202224\"], \"score\": 0.4207870959932151, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"decision.strategy_agent.outputs\", \"title\": \"Signal reliability risk\", \"type\": \"signal_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"ml_mode\": null, \"signal_source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"explanation\": \"Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.\", \"id\": \"model_degraded_or_fallback\", \"mitigation\": \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://202093\", \"artifact://202283\", \"artifact://202224\"], \"score\": 0.68, \"severity\": \"elevated\", \"source\": \"ml.prediction\", \"title\": \"Model quality / fallback risk\", \"type\": \"model_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"momentum\": 0.00010948276333390328}, \"explanation\": \"Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.\", \"id\": \"strategy_timing_weak\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for clearer trend confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://202093\", \"artifact://202283\", \"artifact://202224\"], \"score\": 0.44, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"strategy.signal\", \"title\": \"Strategy timing risk\", \"type\": \"strategy_risk\"}], \"autotrade_allowed\": true, \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"blocking_risks\": [], \"caution_risks\": [{\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"factors_count\": 2, \"strategy_confidence\": 0.3591120004842066}, \"explanation\": \"Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.\", \"id\": \"signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://202093\", \"artifact://202283\", \"artifact://202224\"], \"score\": 0.4207870959932151, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"decision.strategy_agent.outputs\", \"title\": \"Signal reliability risk\", \"type\": \"signal_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"ml_mode\": null, \"signal_source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"explanation\": \"Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.\", \"id\": \"model_degraded_or_fallback\", \"mitigation\": \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://202093\", \"artifact://202283\", \"artifact://202224\"], \"score\": 0.68, \"severity\": \"elevated\", \"source\": \"ml.prediction\", \"title\": \"Model quality / fallback risk\", \"type\": \"model_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"momentum\": 0.00010948276333390328}, \"explanation\": \"Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.\", \"id\": \"strategy_timing_weak\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for clearer trend confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://202093\", \"artifact://202283\", \"artifact://202224\"], \"score\": 0.44, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"strategy.signal\", \"title\": \"Strategy timing risk\", \"type\": \"strategy_risk\"}], \"confidence\": 0.5760727760998975, \"confidence_after_risk\": 0.31214555219979495, \"confidence_before_risk\": 0.3591120004842066, \"degraded_dependencies\": [], \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"explanation\": \"Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.\", \"explanation_for_chat\": \"Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.\", \"explanation_for_ui\": \"Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"manual_review_required\": false, \"max_position\": 100.0, \"meta\": {\"allow_short\": false, \"max_leverage\": 1.0, \"missing_inputs\": [\"metrics.atr_pct\", \"metrics.spread_bps\"], \"strategy_action\": \"buy\", \"volatility\": null}, \"mitigations\": [\"Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.\", \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/li\u2026"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.425926+00:00",
      "id": 202332,
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      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.424765+00:00",
      "id": 202331,
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.423588+00:00",
      "id": 202330,
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        "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
        "mode": "llm_error",
        "model": "gemma3:12b",
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        "refs_used": [
          {
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            "ref": "artifact://202261",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
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        ]
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.421067+00:00",
      "id": 202329,
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        "preview": {
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            "[{\"content\": \"You are MLJudgeAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"usable\\\", \\\"trust_score\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". usable must be true or false. trust_score must be a number between 0 and 1. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the ML prediction trustworthiness.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Judge whether ML predictions are trustworthy enough for this decision.\u0027, \u0027ml_judgement\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.872180+00:00\u0027, \u0027usable\u0027: True, \u0027trust_score\u0027: 0.9715277676367794, \u0027horizon_fit\u0027: 1.0, \u0027agreement_score\u0027: 1.0, \u0027reason\u0027: None, \u0027accepted_refs\u0027: [\u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027artifact://202246\u0027], \u0027rejected_refs\u0027: [], \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202261\u0027}, \u0027ml_predictions\u0027: [{\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.813116+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.03146780766861535, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.858498786673028, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.11003340565835652, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0}, \u0027prediction_value\u0027: None, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028, \u0027error\u0027: None, \u0027last_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: None, \u0027features_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202238\u0027, \u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027expected_return\u0027: None, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: None, \u0027volatility_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027regime_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: None, \u0027breakout_probability\u0027: None, \u0027mean_reversion_probability\u0027: None, \u0027stop_loss_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027take_profit_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027tp_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027sl_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027risk_reward_estimate\u0027: None, \u0027tradeability_score\u0027: None, \u0027quality_score\u0027: None, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: None, \u0027uncertainty_score\u0027: None, \u0027forecast\u0027: {}}, {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.817126+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.0068347309562538355, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8511336790329543, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.14203159001079185, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0}, \u0027prediction_value\u0027: None, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543, \u0027error\u0027: None, \u0027last_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: None, \u0027features_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202240\u0027, \u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027expected_return\u0027: None, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: None, \u0027volatility_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027regime_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: None, \u0027breakout_probability\u0027: None, \u0027mean_reversion_probability\u0027: None, \u0027stop_loss_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027take_profit_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027tp_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027sl_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027risk_reward_estimate\u0027: None, \u0027tradeability_score\u0027: None, \u0027quality_score\u0027: None, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: None, \u0027uncertainty_score\u0027: None, \u0027forecast\u0027: {}}, {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.821115+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.05867500073781929, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9331347874839093, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.008190211778271285, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0}, \u0027prediction_value\u0027: None, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093, \u0027error\u0027: None, \u0027last_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: None, \u0027features_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202242\u0027, \u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027expected_return\u0027: None, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: None, \u0027volatility_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027regime_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: None, \u0027breakout_probability\u0027: None, \u0027mean_reversion_probability\u0027: None, \u0027stop_loss_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027take_profit_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027tp_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027sl_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027risk_reward_estimate\u0027: None, \u0027tradeability_score\u0027: None, \u0027quality_score\u0027: None, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: None, \u0027uncertainty_score\u0027: None, \u0027forecast\u0027: {}}, {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.822930+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.03843054664861886, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8912997233642714, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.07026972998710958, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0, \u0027ensemble\u0027: True, \u0027ensemble_mode\u0027: \u0027weighted\u0027, \u0027member_count\u2026"
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          "kwargs": {}
        }
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          "reason": null,
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          "trust_score": 0.9715277676367794,
          "ts": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.872180+00:00",
          "usable": true
        },
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            "ts": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.813116+00:00",
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            "timeframe": "1h",
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            "ts": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.817126+00:00",
            "uncertainty_score": null,
            "volatility_forecast": null
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            "asset": "BTC",
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            "ts": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.821115+00:00",
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        "requirements": {
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        },
        "task": "Judge whether ML predictions are trustworthy enough for this decision."
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            "{\"compliance\": \"artifact://202228\", \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://202211\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://202082\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://202073\", \"price\": \"artifact://202087\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://202093\"}, \"ml\": [\"artifact://202239\", \"artifact://202241\", \"artifact://202243\", \"artifact://202244\", \"artifact://202245\", \"artifact://202246\"], \"ml_enrichment\": {\"1h\": {\"direction_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.8912997233642714, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"direction\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.858498786673028, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"weight\": 0.2962}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8511336790329543, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"weight\": 0.217}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9331347874839093, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"weight\": 0.4406}], \"p_down\": 0.03843054664861886, \"p_side\": 0.8912997233642714, \"p_up\": 0.07026972998710958}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"ensemble_weights\": [{\"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"weight\": 0.2962}, {\"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"weight\": 0.217}, {\"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"weight\": 0.4406}], \"exit_policy\": {\"atr_base\": 0.01, \"break_even_trigger\": null, \"exit_template\": \"fixed\", \"max_hold_candles\": 24, \"partial_tp_levels\": [{\"fraction\": 0.5, \"target_distance\": 0.015}], \"stop_loss\": 0.01, \"take_profit\": 0.02, \"trailing_activation\": null, \"trailing_callback\": null, \"trend_factor\": 1.0, \"vol_factor\": 1.0}, \"member_scores\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"score\": 0.238049, \"threshold_used\": 0.38}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"score\": 0.2848, \"threshold_used\": 0.38}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"score\": 0.462958, \"threshold_used\": 0.375}], \"price_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.8912997233642714, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"price\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.858498786673028, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"weight\": 0.2962}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8511336790329543, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"weight\": 0.217}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9331347874839093, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"weight\": 0.4406}], \"p_down\": 0.03843054664861886, \"p_side\": 0.8912997233642714, \"p_up\": 0.07026972998710958}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"regime_confidence\": 0.8182, \"regime_factors\": {\"bollinger_bandwidth\": 0.007638420284153222, \"directional_consistency\": 0.0, \"hurst_exp\": 0.4953718140254635, \"is_trend_regime\": 0.0, \"realized_vol_short\": 0.0, \"slope_price\": 0.0, \"trend_persistence\": 0.6, \"vol_expansion\": 0.0}, \"regime_label\": \"range\"}}, \"ml_judge\": \"artifact://202261\", \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": \"artifact://202224\", \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": \"artifact://202257\", \"steps\": {\"chat_context\":\u2026",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.872180+00:00\u0027 usable=True trust_score=0.9715277676367794 horizon_fit=1.0 agreement_score=1.0 reason=None accepted_refs=[\u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027artifact://202246\u0027] rejected_refs=[] ref=\u0027artifact://202261\u0027\"",
            "[\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.813116+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.03146780766861535, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.858498786673028, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.11003340565835652, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.858498786673028 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://202238\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://202239\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.817126+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_3sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.0068347309562538355, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8511336790329543, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.14203159001079185, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8511336790329543 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://202240\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://202241\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.821115+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027sl_3tp\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.05867500073781929, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9331347874839093, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.008190211778271285, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.9331347874839093 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://202242\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://202243\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.822930+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027ensemble.direction\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.03843054664861886, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8912997233642714, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.07026972998710958, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0, \u0027ensemble\u0027: True, \u0027ensemble_mode\u0027: \u0027weighted\u0027, \u0027member_count\u0027: 3, \u0027members\u0027: [{\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.2962, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.1904, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.217, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.2278, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.4406, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.5555, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}], \u0027disagreement_score\u0027: -0.0, \u0027direction_votes\u0027: {\u0027up\u0027: 0, \u0027down\u0027: 0, \u0027flat\u0027: 3}} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8912997233642714 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=True features_ref=\u0027artifact://202238\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://202244\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.824370+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 \u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202326",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.402047+00:00",
      "id": 202325,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"rag_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202257\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as base evaluation\"}]}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202325",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.400163+00:00",
      "id": 202324,
      "kind": "decision.step.rag_judge_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://202320",
        "out": "artifact://202323"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202324",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.109017+00:00",
      "id": 202323,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
        "mode": "llm_error",
        "model": "gemma3:12b",
        "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "rag_judgement",
            "ref": "artifact://202257",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
          }
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202323",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.106351+00:00",
      "id": 202322,
      "kind": "decision.llm.rag_judge.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202322",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.100162+00:00",
      "id": 202321,
      "kind": "decision.llm.rag_judge.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are RAGJudgeAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"usable\\\", \\\"relevance_score\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". usable must be true or false. relevance_score must be a number between 0 and 1. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the RAG context quality.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Judge whether retrieved RAG context is relevant enough for decision-making.\u0027, \u0027user_text\u0027: \u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027, \u0027rag_judgement\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.865261+00:00\u0027, \u0027usable\u0027: False, \u0027relevance_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027consistency_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027rag.no_refs\u0027, \u0027accepted_refs\u0027: [], \u0027rejected_refs\u0027: [], \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202257\u0027}, \u0027rag_preview\u0027: {\u0027refs\u0027: [], \u0027context_preview\u0027: \u0027\u0027}, \u0027requirements\u0027: {\u0027fields\u0027: [\u0027mode\u0027, \u0027usable\u0027, \u0027relevance_score\u0027, \u0027consistency_score\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027, \u0027accepted_refs\u0027, \u0027rejected_refs\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027, \u0027reasons\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027]}}\\n\\nReturn JSON judging RAG relevance and accepted/rejected refs.\", \"role\": \"user\"}]"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202321",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.098907+00:00",
      "id": 202320,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "rag_judgement": {
          "accepted_refs": [],
          "consistency_score": 0.0,
          "reason": "rag.no_refs",
          "ref": "artifact://202257",
          "rejected_refs": [],
          "relevance_score": 0.0,
          "ts": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.865261+00:00",
          "usable": false
        },
        "rag_preview": {
          "context_preview": "",
          "refs": []
        },
        "requirements": {
          "fields": [
            "mode",
            "usable",
            "relevance_score",
            "consistency_score",
            "confidence",
            "accepted_refs",
            "rejected_refs",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "signal"
          ]
        },
        "task": "Judge whether retrieved RAG context is relevant enough for decision-making.",
        "user_text": "scheduler decision tick"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202320",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.097498+00:00",
      "id": 202319,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
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            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.865261+00:00\u0027 usable=False relevance_score=0.0 consistency_score=0.0 reason=\u0027rag.no_refs\u0027 accepted_refs=[] rejected_refs=[] ref=\u0027artifact://202257\u0027\"",
            "{\"context\": \"\", \"refs\": []}"
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          "kwargs": {}
        }
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      "ref": "artifact://202319",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
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      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.092060+00:00",
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      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"autotrade_safe\": false, \"confidence\": 0.0, \"decision_override\": null, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trading_allowed\": true, \"violations\": []}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202318",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.090880+00:00",
      "id": 202317,
      "kind": "decision.step.compliance_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://202313",
        "out": "artifact://202316"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202317",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.089673+00:00",
      "id": 202316,
      "kind": "decision.compliance_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
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        "confidence": 0.0,
        "decision_override": null,
        "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
        "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "degraded",
        "needs_manual_review": true,
        "quality": "degraded",
        "raw_refs": {},
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "reasons": [
          "quality.llm_invalid_output"
        ],
        "refs_used": [],
        "signal": {},
        "trading_allowed": true,
        "violations": []
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202316",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.087227+00:00",
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      "kind": "decision.llm.compliance.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202315",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.080870+00:00",
      "id": 202314,
      "kind": "decision.llm.compliance.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are ComplianceAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"trading_allowed\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"violations\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". trading_allowed must be true or false. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. violations must be an array of strings (empty if none). explanation must be a brief string summarizing the compliance check.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Apply policy and compliance gates to this decision.\u0027, \u0027compliance_snapshot\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:57.990315+00:00\u0027, \u0027dry_run\u0027: False, \u0027kill_switch\u0027: False, \u0027trading_allowed\u0027: True, \u0027violations\u0027: [], \u0027policy_flags\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027request_meta_runtime_profile\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027exchange\u0027: \u0027binance\u0027, \u0027env\u0027: \u0027local\u0027, \u0027allowed_assets\u0027: [], \u0027allowed_timeframes\u0027: [], \u0027blocked_exchanges\u0027: [], \u0027market_bans\u0027: [], \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027requested_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027allowed_envs\u0027: [], \u0027env_blocked\u0027: False}, \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202228\u0027}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027buy\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3591120004842066, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bullish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027up\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bullish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: 0.050193104283114826, \u0027ml_score\u0027: 0.14645401246396436, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08686405212154903, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.4371736444049287, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: 0.00010948276333390328, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_buy\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202093\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202157\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated:1h\u0027}], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {\u0027market_snapshot\u0027: \u0027artifact://202093\u0027, \u0027news\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: \u0027artifact://202157\u0027, \u0027ml\u0027: [\\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.079249+00:00",
      "id": 202313,
      "kind": "decision.compliance_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "compliance_snapshot": {
          "dry_run": false,
          "kill_switch": false,
          "policy_flags": {
            "allowed_assets": [],
            "allowed_envs": [],
            "allowed_timeframes": [],
            "asset": "BTC",
            "blocked_exchanges": [],
            "env": "local",
            "env_blocked": false,
            "exchange": "binance",
            "market_bans": [],
            "max_leverage": null,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "requested_leverage": null,
            "source": "request_meta_runtime_profile",
            "timeframe": "1h"
          },
          "ref": "artifact://202228",
          "trading_allowed": true,
          "ts": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.990315+00:00",
          "violations": []
        },
        "requirements": {
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            "mode",
            "trading_allowed",
            "decision_override",
            "violations",
            "confidence",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "signal"
          ]
        },
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          "action_tradeable": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "bullish",
          "confidence": 0.3591120004842066,
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            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
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You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"allow_add\\\", \\\"recommended_size_multiplier\\\", \\\"exposure_warning\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". allow_add must be true or false. recommended_size_multiplier must be a number between 0 and 1. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the portfolio exposure assessment.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Assess whether portfolio exposure allows this strategy and how size should be adjusted.\u0027, \u0027portfolio_snapshot\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:57.975780+00:00\u0027, \u0027total_exposure_usd\u0027: None, \u0027net_exposure_usd\u0027: None, \u0027per_asset_exposure\u0027: {}, \u0027correlation_risk\u0027: None, \u0027leverage_used\u0027: None, \u0027available_margin\u0027: None, \u0027payload\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027fallback\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027portfolio.service_unavailable\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027source_notes\u0027: [], \u0027positions_count\u0027: 0, \u0027derived_from_rows\u0027: False}, \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202224\u0027}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027buy\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3591120004842066, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bullish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027up\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bullish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: 0.050193104283114826, \u0027ml_score\u0027: 0.14645401246396436, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08686405212154903, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.4371736444049287, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: 0.00010948276333390328, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_buy\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. 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            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:00:57.975780+00:00\u0027 total_exposure_usd=None net_exposure_usd=None per_asset_exposure={} correlation_risk=None leverage_used=None available_margin=None payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027fallback\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027portfolio.service_unavailable\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027source_notes\u0027: [], \u0027positions_count\u0027: 0, \u0027derived_from_rows\u0027: False} ref=\u0027artifact://202224\u0027\"",
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      "ref": "artifact://202305",
      "store": "postgres",
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      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.051696+00:00",
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "ref": "artifact://202301",
      "store": "postgres",
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.033598+00:00",
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      "payload": {
        "preview": {
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            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\"",
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You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"execution_style\\\", \\\"entry_type\\\", \\\"slices\\\", \\\"max_slippage_bps\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". execution_style: one of \\\"market_single\\\", \\\"limit_passive\\\", \\\"twap\\\", \\\"iceberg\\\". confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the chosen execution approach.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Choose execution style for proposed strategy under current risk and market state.\u0027, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027buy\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3591120004842066, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bullish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027up\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bullish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: 0.050193104283114826, \u0027ml_score\u0027: 0.14645401246396436, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08686405212154903, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.4371736444049287, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: 0.00010948276333390328, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_buy\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202093\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202157\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated:1h\u0027}], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {\u0027market_snapshot\u0027: \u0027artifact://202093\u0027, \u0027news\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: \u0027artifact://202157\u0027, \u0027ml\u0027: [\\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202239\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}\u2026"
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              "evidence": {
                "momentum": 0.00010948276333390328
              },
              "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
              "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
              "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://202093",
                "artifact://202283",
                "artifact://202224"
              ],
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "strategy.signal",
              "title": "Strategy timing risk",
              "type": "strategy_risk"
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.5760727760998975,
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
          "degraded_dependencies": [],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
          "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.",
          "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "manual_review_required": false,
          "max_position": 100.0,
          "meta": {
            "allow_short": false,
            "max_leverage": 1.0,
            "missing_inputs": [
              "metrics.atr_pct",
              "metrics.spread_bps"
            ],
            "strategy_action": "buy",
            "volatility": null
          },
          "mitigations": [
            "Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.",
            "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
            "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
          ],
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "ok": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
            "portfolio": "artifact://202224",
            "rag": [],
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted",
            "model_degraded_or_fallback",
            "strategy_timing_weak"
          ],
          "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://202093",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
            },
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://202283",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://202224",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
            }
          ],
          "risk_breakdown": {
            "data_risk": {
              "score": 0.3333333333333333,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "event_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "execution_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "liquidity_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "market_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "model_risk": {
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated"
            },
            "policy_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "portfolio_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "signal_risk": {
              "score": 0.4207870959932151,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "strategy_risk": {
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "system_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            }
          },
          "risk_confidence": 0.8,
          "risk_impact": {
            "action_after_risk": "buy",
            "action_before_risk": "buy",
            "blocked_by": [],
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.31214555219979495,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3591120004842066,
            "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "overrides": [],
            "size_modifier": 1.0
          },
          "risk_level": "low",
          "risk_score": 0.1868356558124513,
          "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "stop_loss": 0.03842089
        },
        "strategy": {
          "action": "buy",
          "action_tradeable": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "bullish",
          "confidence": 0.3591120004842066,
          "constraints": {
            "allow_short": null,
            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
          },
          "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
          "disagreement_flags": [],
          "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "deterministic",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
          "quality": "partial",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://202093",
            "ml": [
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              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202241\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202243\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202244\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202245\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202246\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8912997233642714}"
            ],
            "narratives": "artifact://202157",
            "news": [],
            "rag": []
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://202093",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://202157",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202239",
              "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202241",
              "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202243",
              "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202244",
              "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202245",
              "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://202246",
              "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
            "asset": "BTC",
            "bias": "bullish",
            "blockers": [],
            "direction": "up",
            "factors": [
              "ml_directional_bias",
              "macro_structural_bias"
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            "macd_hist": null,
            "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
            "macro_agent_weight": 0.4371736444049287,
            "macro_structural_score": -0.08686405212154903,
            "market_momentum": 0.00010948276333390328,
            "ml_score": 0.14645401246396436,
            "narrative_score": 0.0,
            "news_score": 0.0,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
            "reason_codes": [
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            ],
            "regime": null,
            "rsi": null,
            "score": 0.050193104283114826,
            "score_deadband": 0.042,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback"
          },
          "signal_quality": "partial"
        },
        "task": "Choose execution style for proposed strategy under current risk and market state."
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202299",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.024382+00:00",
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      "payload": {
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Timestamp(\u00272026-04-05 11:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67046.01, \u0027high\u0027: 67087.22, \u0027low\u0027: 66973.67, \u0027close\u0027:\u2026"
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          "result": "{\"action_after_risk\": \"buy\", \"action_before_risk\": \"buy\", \"active_risk_factors\": [{\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"factors_count\": 2, \"strategy_confidence\": 0.3591120004842066}, \"explanation\": \"Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.\", \"id\": \"signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://202093\", \"artifact://202283\", \"artifact://202224\"], \"score\": 0.4207870959932151, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"decision.strategy_agent.outputs\", \"title\": \"Signal reliability risk\", \"type\": \"signal_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"ml_mode\": null, \"signal_source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"explanation\": \"Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.\", \"id\": \"model_degraded_or_fallback\", \"mitigation\": \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://202093\", \"artifact://202283\", \"artifact://202224\"], \"score\": 0.68, \"severity\": \"elevated\", \"source\": \"ml.prediction\", \"title\": \"Model quality / fallback risk\", \"type\": \"model_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"momentum\": 0.00010948276333390328}, \"explanation\": \"Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.\", \"id\": \"strategy_timing_weak\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for clearer trend confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://202093\", \"artifact://202283\", \"artifact://202224\"], \"score\": 0.44, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"strategy.signal\", \"title\": \"Strategy timing risk\", \"type\": \"strategy_risk\"}], \"autotrade_allowed\": true, \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"blocking_risks\": [], \"caution_risks\": [{\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"factors_count\": 2, \"strategy_confidence\": 0.3591120004842066}, \"explanation\": \"Directional intent is weak/conflicted or supported by too few strong factors.\", \"id\": \"signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://202093\", \"artifact://202283\", \"artifact://202224\"], \"score\": 0.4207870959932151, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"decision.strategy_agent.outputs\", \"title\": \"Signal reliability risk\", \"type\": \"signal_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"ml_mode\": null, \"signal_source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"explanation\": \"Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.\", \"id\": \"model_degraded_or_fallback\", \"mitigation\": \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://202093\", \"artifact://202283\", \"artifact://202224\"], \"score\": 0.68, \"severity\": \"elevated\", \"source\": \"ml.prediction\", \"title\": \"Model quality / fallback risk\", \"type\": \"model_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"momentum\": 0.00010948276333390328}, \"explanation\": \"Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.\", \"id\": \"strategy_timing_weak\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for clearer trend confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://202093\", \"artifact://202283\", \"artifact://202224\"], \"score\": 0.44, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"strategy.signal\", \"title\": \"Strategy timing risk\", \"type\": \"strategy_risk\"}], \"confidence\": 0.5760727760998975, \"confidence_after_risk\": 0.31214555219979495, \"confidence_before_risk\": 0.3591120004842066, \"degraded_dependencies\": [], \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"explanation\": \"Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.\", \"explanation_for_chat\": \"Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.\", \"explanation_for_ui\": \"Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"manual_review_required\": false, \"max_position\": 100.0, \"meta\": {\"allow_short\": false, \"max_leverage\": 1.0, \"missing_inputs\": [\"metrics.atr_pct\", \"metrics.spread_bps\"], \"strategy_action\": \"buy\", \"volatility\": null}, \"mitigations\": [\"Wait for stronger multi-source confirmation.\", \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/li\u2026"
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              "artifact://202224"
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          },
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            "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
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              "artifact://202283",
              "artifact://202224"
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        ],
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              "artifact://202224"
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              "artifact://202283",
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        "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: signal_confidence_low_or_conflicted, model_degraded_or_fallback, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: no_override.",
        "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action buy -\u003e buy; size x1.00, confidence 0.36-\u003e0.31.",
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        "ok": true,
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          "portfolio": "artifact://202224",
          "rag": [],
          "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://202283"
        },
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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        "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
        "refs_used": [
          {
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            "title": null,
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          },
          {
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          {
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            "ref": "artifact://202224",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
          }
        ],
        "risk_breakdown": {
          "data_risk": {
            "score": 0.3333333333333333,
            "severity": "moderate"
          },
          "event_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
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          "execution_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
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          "liquidity_risk": {
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            "severity": "low"
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          "market_risk": {
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            "severity": "low"
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          "model_risk": {
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            "severity": "elevated"
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          "policy_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
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            "severity": "low"
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          "strategy_risk": {
            "score": 0.44,
            "severity": "moderate"
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          "system_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
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        "risk_impact": {
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          "action_before_risk": "buy",
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          "overrides": [],
          "size_modifier": 1.0
        },
        "risk_level": "low",
        "risk_score": 0.1868356558124513,
        "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.19); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
        "stop_loss": 0.03842089
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          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:02.000522+00:00",
      "id": 202293,
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            "[{\"content\": \"You are RiskAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with these exact keys: \\\"ok\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"max_position\\\", \\\"stop_loss\\\", \\\"reasons\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". ok must be true or false. true means trading is safe. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. max_position must be a number or null. stop_loss must be a number or null. reasons must be an array of strings. explanation must be a brief string summarizing the risk assessment. Only set ok=false when there is a clear, specific risk (extreme volatility, liquidity crisis, position limit exceeded). 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asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 \u2026",
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Use hold only when evidence is genuinely mixed; avoid defaulting to hold when macro and ML agree on direction.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Generate a trading strategy intent (not execution).\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027user_text\u0027: \u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027, \u0027risk_prefs\u0027: {\u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: []}, \u0027user_profile_summary\u0027: {\u0027language\u0027: \u0027Default\u0027, \u0027risk_level\u0027: None, \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027}, \u0027user_profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, 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    },
    {
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      "id": 202279,
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                  "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
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            "[\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.813116+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.03146780766861535, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.858498786673028, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.11003340565835652, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.858498786673028 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://202238\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://202239\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.817126+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_3sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.0068347309562538355, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8511336790329543, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.14203159001079185, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8511336790329543 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://202240\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://202241\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.821115+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027sl_3tp\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.05867500073781929, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9331347874839093, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.008190211778271285, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.9331347874839093 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://202242\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://202243\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.822930+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027ensemble.direction\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.03843054664861886, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8912997233642714, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.07026972998710958, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0, \u0027ensemble\u0027: True, \u0027ensemble_mode\u0027: \u0027weighted\u0027, \u0027member_count\u0027: 3, \u0027members\u0027: [{\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.858498786673028, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.2962, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.1904, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8511336790329543, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.217, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.2278, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9331347874839093, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.4406, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.5555, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}], \u0027disagreement_score\u0027: -0.0, \u0027direction_votes\u0027: {\u0027up\u0027: 0, \u0027down\u0027: 0, \u0027flat\u0027: 3}} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8912997233642714 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=True features_ref=\u0027artifact://202238\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://202244\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:01:01.824370+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 \u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "macro_out": "{\"action\": \"hold\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.5143219345940337, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\", \"macro.structural_fallback\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"signal\": {\"macro_regime\": \"neutral\", \"macro_structural_factors\": [\"crypto_macro_score\", \"usd_strong_crypto_headwind\", \"equity_risk_off\"], \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08686405212154903}}",
            "macro_snapshot": "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:00:56.299418+00:00\u0027 regime=\u0027neutral\u0027 rates_bias=\u0027neutral\u0027 usd_strength=1.0 equity_risk=0.254375 commodity_risk=0.32062499999999994 crypto_macro_score=0.2771198262615032 payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot\u0027, \u0027date\u0027: \u00272026-04-12\u0027, \u0027base_currency\u0027: \u0027USD\u0027, \u0027market\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 71345.62, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2213.895, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 82.715}, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.6, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89}, \u0027crypto\u0027: {\u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 56.93801737384968, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2506835970134.5938, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 16.0}, \u0027meta\u0027: {\u0027best_effort\u0027: True, \u0027fred\u0027: {\u0027series\u0027: {\u0027DTWEXBGS\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T19:00:46.201711+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.670223, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\\\"}, \u0027DGS2\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.973528+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.5458586, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027DGS10\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.976032+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.558417, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027SP500\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T19:00:46.211638+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.7408648, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\\\"}, \u0027NASDAQCOM\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.980502+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.4494734, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}}, \u0027macro_degraded\u0027: False, \u0027source_mode\u0027: \u0027fred_observations_api\u0027}, \u0027sources\u0027: {\u0027market\u0027: [\u0027https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\u0027, \u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\u0027], \u0027macro\u0027: [\u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\u0027, \u0027https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027], \u0027crypto\u0027: [\u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\u0027, \u0027https://api.alternative.me/fng/\u0027]}}, \u0027derived\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 71345.62, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2213.895, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 82.715, \u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.6, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89, \u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 56.93801737384968, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2506835970134.5938, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 16.0, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.254375, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.32062499999999994, \u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027: 0.2771198262615032, \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027rates_bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027}} ref=\u0027artifact://202211\u0027\""
          }
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202278",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.929913+00:00",
      "id": 202277,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"narratives\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202157\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source\"}]}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202277",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.928824+00:00",
      "id": 202276,
      "kind": "decision.step.sentiment_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://202272",
        "out": "artifact://202275"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202276",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.927709+00:00",
      "id": 202275,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
        "mode": "llm_error",
        "model": "gemma3:12b",
        "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "narratives",
            "ref": "artifact://202157",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
          }
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202275",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.924723+00:00",
      "id": 202274,
      "kind": "decision.llm.sentiment.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202274",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.916751+00:00",
      "id": 202273,
      "kind": "decision.llm.sentiment.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are SentimentAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"bias\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"sentiment_score\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". bias must be a string: \\\"bullish\\\", \\\"bearish\\\", or \\\"neutral\\\". confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. sentiment_score must be a number between -1 and 1. explanation: brief string summarizing the sentiment reading.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Interpret news + narratives as market sentiment for trading.\u0027, \u0027news_events\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: {\u0027narrative_id\u0027: \u0027b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374\u0027, \u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.761989+00:00\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027, \u0027tags\u0027: [\u0027btc/usdt\u0027, \u00271h\u0027, \u0027neutral\u0027], \u0027sentiment\u0027: 0.0, \u0027maturity\u0027: 0.19852469003787665, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3965167501352737, \u0027embedding_ref\u0027: \u0027chroma://narratives/b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374\u0027, \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202157\u0027, \u0027payload\u0027: {\u0027method\u0027: \u0027lexicon_v1\u0027, \u0027signals\u0027: [\u0027no_lexicon_hits\u0027, \u0027raw=+0.00\u0027], \u0027events_used\u0027: 0, \u0027text_len\u0027: 165, \u0027stored\u0027: True, \u0027collection\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027created_at\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.761989+00:00\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027}}, \u0027requirements\u0027: {\u0027fields\u0027: [\u0027mode\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027, \u0027action\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027, \u0027event_strength\u0027, \u0027sentiment_score\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027, \u0027reasons\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027]}}\\n\\nReturn JSON with keys: bias, confidence, sentiment_score.\", \"role\": \"user\"}]"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202273",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.914038+00:00",
      "id": 202272,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "narratives": {
          "confidence": 0.3965167501352737,
          "embedding_ref": "chroma://narratives/b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374",
          "maturity": 0.19852469003787665,
          "narrative_id": "b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374",
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "payload": {
            "collection": "narratives",
            "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:53.761989+00:00",
            "events_used": 0,
            "method": "lexicon_v1",
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "signals": [
              "no_lexicon_hits",
              "raw=+0.00"
            ],
            "source": "narratives_enrich",
            "stored": true,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "text_len": 165,
            "timeframe": "1h"
          },
          "ref": "artifact://202157",
          "sentiment": 0.0,
          "source": "narratives_enrich",
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "tags": [
            "btc/usdt",
            "1h",
            "neutral"
          ],
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "ts": "2026-04-12T21:00:53.761989+00:00"
        },
        "news_events": [],
        "requirements": {
          "fields": [
            "mode",
            "bias",
            "action",
            "confidence",
            "event_strength",
            "sentiment_score",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "signal"
          ]
        },
        "task": "Interpret news + narratives as market sentiment for trading."
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202272",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.912461+00:00",
      "id": 202271,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"trace_id=\u0027cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\"",
            "{\"compliance\": \"artifact://202228\", \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://202211\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://202082\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://202073\", \"price\": \"artifact://202087\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://202093\"}, \"ml\": [\"artifact://202239\", \"artifact://202241\", \"artifact://202243\", \"artifact://202244\", \"artifact://202245\", \"artifact://202246\"], \"ml_enrichment\": {\"1h\": {\"direction_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.8912997233642714, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"direction\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.858498786673028, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"weight\": 0.2962}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8511336790329543, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"weight\": 0.217}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9331347874839093, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"weight\": 0.4406}], \"p_down\": 0.03843054664861886, \"p_side\": 0.8912997233642714, \"p_up\": 0.07026972998710958}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"ensemble_weights\": [{\"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"weight\": 0.2962}, {\"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"weight\": 0.217}, {\"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"weight\": 0.4406}], \"exit_policy\": {\"atr_base\": 0.01, \"break_even_trigger\": null, \"exit_template\": \"fixed\", \"max_hold_candles\": 24, \"partial_tp_levels\": [{\"fraction\": 0.5, \"target_distance\": 0.015}], \"stop_loss\": 0.01, \"take_profit\": 0.02, \"trailing_activation\": null, \"trailing_callback\": null, \"trend_factor\": 1.0, \"vol_factor\": 1.0}, \"member_scores\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"score\": 0.238049, \"threshold_used\": 0.38}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"score\": 0.2848, \"threshold_used\": 0.38}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"score\": 0.462958, \"threshold_used\": 0.375}], \"price_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.8912997233642714, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"price\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.858498786673028, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"weight\": 0.2962}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8511336790329543, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"weight\": 0.217}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9331347874839093, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"weight\": 0.4406}], \"p_down\": 0.03843054664861886, \"p_side\": 0.8912997233642714, \"p_up\": 0.07026972998710958}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"regime_confidence\": 0.8182, \"regime_factors\": {\"bollinger_bandwidth\": 0.007638420284153222, \"directional_consistency\": 0.0, \"hurst_exp\": 0.4953718140254635, \"is_trend_regime\": 0.0, \"realized_vol_short\": 0.0, \"slope_price\": 0.0, \"trend_persistence\": 0.6, \"vol_expansion\": 0.0}, \"regime_label\": \"range\"}}, \"ml_judge\": \"artifact://202261\", \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": \"artifact://202224\", \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": \"artifact://202257\", \"steps\": {\"chat_context\":\u2026",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "[]",
            "\"narrative_id=\u0027b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.761989+00:00\u0027 symbol=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 source=\u0027narratives_enrich\u0027 tags=[\u0027btc/usdt\u0027, \u00271h\u0027, \u0027neutral\u0027] sentiment=0.0 maturity=0.19852469003787665 confidence=0.3965167501352737 embedding_ref=\u0027chroma://narratives/b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374\u0027 ref=\u0027artifact://202157\u0027 payload={\u0027method\u0027: \u0027lexicon_v1\u0027, \u0027signals\u0027: [\u0027no_lexicon_hits\u0027, \u0027raw=+0.00\u0027], \u0027events_used\u0027: 0, \u0027text_len\u0027: 165, \u0027stored\u0027: True, \u0027collection\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027created_at\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.761989+00:00\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027}\""
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      "ref": "artifact://202271",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.906920+00:00",
      "id": 202270,
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        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202270",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.905593+00:00",
      "id": 202269,
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
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    {
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        "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
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        "mode": "degraded",
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        "quality": "degraded",
        "raw_refs": {},
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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        "signal": {
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      "ref": "artifact://202268",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.901852+00:00",
      "id": 202267,
      "kind": "decision.llm.macro.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202267",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:01:01.893072+00:00",
      "id": 202266,
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        "preview": {
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            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are MacroAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"regime\\\", \\\"bias\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". regime: current market regime (trend_up, trend_down, range, breakout, high_vol). bias: risk_on or risk_off. confidence: number between 0 and 1. explanation: brief string summarizing the macro environment assessment.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Interpret macro backdrop for current trade decision.\u0027, \u0027macro_snapshot\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:56.299418+00:00\u0027, \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027rates_bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.254375, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.32062499999999994, \u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027: 0.2771198262615032, \u0027payload\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot\u0027, \u0027date\u0027: \u00272026-04-12\u0027, \u0027base_currency\u0027: \u0027USD\u0027, \u0027market\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 71345.62, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2213.895, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 82.715}, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.6, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89}, \u0027crypto\u0027: {\u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 56.93801737384968, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2506835970134.5938, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 16.0}, \u0027meta\u0027: {\u0027best_effort\u0027: True, \u0027fred\u0027: {\u0027series\u0027: {\u0027DTWEXBGS\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T19:00:46.201711+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.670223, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\\\"}, \u0027DGS2\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.973528+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.5458586, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027DGS10\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.976032+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.558417, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027SP500\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T19:00:46.211638+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.7408648, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\\\"}, \u0027NASDAQCOM\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.980502+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.4494734, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}}, \u0027macro_degraded\u0027: False, \u0027source_mode\u0027: \u0027fred_observations_api\u0027}, \u0027sources\u0027: {\u0027market\u0027: [\u0027https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\u0027, \u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\u0027], \u0027macro\u0027: [\u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\u0027, \u0027https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027], \u0027crypto\u0027: [\u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\u0027, \u0027https://api.alternative.me/fng/\u0027]}}, \u0027derived\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 71345.62, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2213.895, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 82.715, \u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.6, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89, \u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 56.93801737384968, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2506835970134.5938, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 16.0, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.254375, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.32062499999999994, \u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027: 0.2771198262615032, \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027rates_bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027}}, \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://202211\u0027}, \u0027market_snapshot\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:0\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
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            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "{\"chat_id\": \"scheduler\", \"history\": [], \"language\": \"Default\", \"profile\": {\"meta_inf\": {\"language\": \"Default\"}}, \"profile_summary\": {\"allow_short\": null, \"blacklist\": [], \"horizon\": null, \"language\": \"Default\", \"max_leverage\": null, \"max_position_usd\": null, \"preferred_assets\": [], \"risk_level\": null, \"style\": null, \"summary_text\": \"language=Default\"}, \"profile_summary_ref\": \"artifact://202039\", \"profile_version\": 1, \"user_id\": \"scheduler\"}"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202227",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.981590+00:00",
      "id": 202226,
      "kind": "decision.portfolio_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:00:57.975780+00:00\u0027 total_exposure_usd=None net_exposure_usd=None per_asset_exposure={} correlation_risk=None leverage_used=None available_margin=None payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027fallback\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027portfolio.service_unavailable\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027source_notes\u0027: [], \u0027positions_count\u0027: 0, \u0027derived_from_rows\u0027: False} ref=\u0027artifact://202224\u0027\""
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202226",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.978880+00:00",
      "id": 202225,
      "kind": "decision.step.portfolio_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "available_margin": null,
        "correlation_risk": null,
        "leverage_used": null,
        "net_exposure_usd": null,
        "payload_source": "fallback",
        "per_asset_exposure": {},
        "ref": "artifact://202224",
        "source_notes": [],
        "total_exposure_usd": null
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202225",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.976904+00:00",
      "id": 202224,
      "kind": "decision.portfolio_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "available_margin": null,
        "correlation_risk": null,
        "leverage_used": null,
        "net_exposure_usd": null,
        "payload": {
          "asset": "BTC",
          "derived_from_rows": false,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "positions_count": 0,
          "reason": "portfolio.service_unavailable",
          "source": "fallback",
          "source_notes": []
        },
        "per_asset_exposure": {},
        "ref": null,
        "total_exposure_usd": null,
        "ts": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.975780+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202224",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.974031+00:00",
      "id": 202223,
      "kind": "decision.portfolio_snapshot.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"trace_id=\u0027cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\"",
            "{\"compliance\": null, \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://202211\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://202082\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://202073\", \"price\": \"artifact://202087\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://202093\"}, \"ml\": [], \"ml_judge\": null, \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": null, \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": null, \"steps\": {\"chat_context\": \"artifact://202046\", \"macro_snapshot\": \"artifact://202212\", \"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://202094\", \"narratives\": \"artifact://202162\", \"news_events\": \"artifact://202103\", \"onchain_agent\": \"artifact://202221\", \"onchain_snapshot\": \"artifact://202216\", \"profile_summary\": \"artifact://202042\", \"rag_context\": \"artifact://202126\"}}",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202223",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.966724+00:00",
      "id": 202222,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"action\": \"buy\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bearish_signals\": [\"taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure)\", \"mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal\"], \"confidence\": 0.6456, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.128). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure); mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.\", \"extra_metrics\": {\"avg_funding_rate\": 2.10313683627e-05, \"btc_dominance_pct\": 56.93801737384968, \"btc_hash_rate\": 1043120182717.1831, \"btc_tx_count_24h\": 662080, \"defi_tvl_change_7d_pct\": 3.1904376916852626, \"defi_tvl_usd\": 94954552196.0, \"fear_greed_index\": 16.0, \"fear_greed_label\": \"Extreme Fear\", \"market_cap_change_24h_pct\": -2.3805958897135104, \"mempool_fastest_fee\": 2.0, \"okx_funding_rate\": 4.54127367254e-05}, \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": false, \"network_signal\": \"shrinking\", \"onchain_available\": true, \"quality\": \"trusted\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"onchain_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://202215\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Primary on-chain evidence\"}], \"score\": 0.128, \"sources_count\": 10, \"valuation_signal\": \"unknown\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202222",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.965452+00:00",
      "id": 202221,
      "kind": "decision.step.onchain_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://202219",
        "out": "artifact://202220"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202221",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.964054+00:00",
      "id": 202220,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "action": "buy",
        "autotrade_safe": false,
        "bearish_signals": [
          "taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure)",
          "mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
        ],
        "bias": "bullish",
        "bullish_signals": [
          "cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
          "fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.6456,
        "data_quality": "live",
        "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
        "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
        "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.128). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: taker_sell_dominant:0.73 \u2014 aggressive market selling (bearish pressure); mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
        "extra_metrics": {
          "avg_funding_rate": 2.10313683627e-05,
          "btc_dominance_pct": 56.93801737384968,
          "btc_hash_rate": 1043120182717.1831,
          "btc_tx_count_24h": 662080,
          "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 3.1904376916852626,
          "defi_tvl_usd": 94954552196.0,
          "fear_greed_index": 16.0,
          "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
          "market_cap_change_24h_pct": -2.3805958897135104,
          "mempool_fastest_fee": 2.0,
          "okx_funding_rate": 4.54127367254e-05
        },
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "deterministic",
        "needs_manual_review": false,
        "network_signal": "shrinking",
        "onchain_available": true,
        "quality": "trusted",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
            "ref": "artifact://202215",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
          }
        ],
        "score": 0.128,
        "sources_count": 10,
        "valuation_signal": "unknown"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202220",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.962406+00:00",
      "id": 202219,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "data_quality": "live",
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "snapshot": {
          "active_addresses_24h": 662080,
          "asset": "BTC",
          "data_quality": "live",
          "exchange_inflow_24h": null,
          "exchange_outflow_24h": null,
          "exchange_reserve": null,
          "funding_rate": -3.35e-06,
          "funding_rate_annualized": -0.00366825,
          "hash_rate": null,
          "liquidations_long_24h_usd": null,
          "liquidations_short_24h_usd": null,
          "long_short_ratio": 1.1468,
          "mvrv_ratio": null,
          "net_exchange_flow": null,
          "nvt_ratio": null,
          "open_interest_change_24h_pct": -6.8782132725066445,
          "open_interest_usd": 6509258763.928801,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "realized_price": null,
          "ref": "artifact://202215",
          "sopr": null,
          "sources_used": [
            "binance_funding_rate",
            "binance_open_interest",
            "binance_long_short_ratio",
            "binance_taker_ratio",
            "alternative_me_fng",
            "coingecko_global",
            "blockchain_info",
            "mempool_space",
            "okx_funding_rate",
            "defillama_tvl"
          ],
          "stablecoin_supply_ratio": null,
          "taker_buy_sell_ratio": 0.7261,
          "transaction_count_24h": null,
          "ts": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.941587+00:00"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202219",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.960131+00:00",
      "id": 202218,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"trace_id=\u0027cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\"",
            "{\"compliance\": null, \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://202211\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://202082\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://202073\", \"price\": \"artifact://202087\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://202093\"}, \"ml\": [], \"ml_judge\": null, \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": null, \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": null, \"steps\": {\"chat_context\": \"artifact://202046\", \"macro_snapshot\": \"artifact://202212\", \"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://202094\", \"narratives\": \"artifact://202162\", \"news_events\": \"artifact://202103\", \"onchain_snapshot\": \"artifact://202216\", \"profile_summary\": \"artifact://202042\", \"rag_context\": \"artifact://202126\"}}",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "\"asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:00:57.941587+00:00\u0027 funding_rate=-3.35e-06 funding_rate_annualized=-0.00366825 open_interest_usd=6509258763.928801 open_interest_change_24h_pct=-6.8782132725066445 long_short_ratio=1.1468 taker_buy_sell_ratio=0.7261 liquidations_long_24h_usd=None liquidations_short_24h_usd=None exchange_inflow_24h=None exchange_outflow_24h=None net_exchange_flow=None exchange_reserve=None mvrv_ratio=None sopr=None nvt_ratio=None realized_price=None active_addresses_24h=662080 transaction_count_24h=None hash_rate=None stablecoin_supply_ratio=None data_quality=\u0027live\u0027 sources_used=[\u0027binance_funding_rate\u0027, \u0027binance_open_interest\u0027, \u0027binance_long_short_ratio\u0027, \u0027binance_taker_ratio\u0027, \u0027alternative_me_fng\u0027, \u0027coingecko_global\u0027, \u0027blockchain_info\u0027, \u0027mempool_space\u0027, \u0027okx_funding_rate\u0027, \u0027defillama_tvl\u0027] ref=\u0027artifact://202215\u0027\"",
            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.576280+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 price=71343.24 ohlcv=[{\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775311200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 14:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67193.45, \u0027high\u0027: 67223.51, \u0027low\u0027: 67029.07, \u0027close\u0027: 67215.24, \u0027volume\u0027: 369.07128}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775314800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 15:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67215.24, \u0027high\u0027: 67562.93, \u0027low\u0027: 67177.39, \u0027close\u0027: 67383.66, \u0027volume\u0027: 635.57272}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775318400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 16:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67383.66, \u0027high\u0027: 67520.85, \u0027low\u0027: 67331.06, \u0027close\u0027: 67366.68, \u0027volume\u0027: 294.26452}, 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00:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67300.42, \u0027high\u0027: 67307.28, \u0027low\u0027: 67168.08, \u0027close\u0027: 67225.0, \u0027volume\u0027: 431.18676}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775350800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-05 01:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67225.0, \u0027high\u0027: 67230.0, \u0027low\u0027: 67080.0, \u0027close\u0027: 67085.0, \u0027volume\u0027: 369.56535}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775354400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-05 02:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67085.0, \u0027high\u0027: 67174.92, \u0027low\u0027: 66955.72, \u0027close\u0027: 67170.16, \u0027volume\u0027: 252.42427}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775358000000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-05 03:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67170.17, \u0027high\u0027: 67188.09, \u0027low\u0027: 67089.33, \u0027close\u0027: 67145.98, \u0027volume\u0027: 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\u0027high\u0027: 66914.48, \u0027low\u0027: 66715.43, \u0027close\u0027: 66820.64, \u0027volume\u0027: 615.79892}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775376000000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-05 08:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66820.64, \u0027high\u0027: 66940.0, \u0027low\u0027: 66819.42, \u0027close\u0027: 66933.18, \u0027volume\u0027: 227.07394}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775379600000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-05 09:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66933.18, \u0027high\u0027: 67048.64, \u0027low\u0027: 66902.15, \u0027close\u0027: 67035.15, \u0027volume\u0027: 293.93169}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775383200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-05 10:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67035.15, \u0027high\u0027: 67150.0, \u0027low\u0027: 66968.35, \u0027close\u0027: 67046.01, \u0027volume\u0027: 288.35183}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775386800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-05 11:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67046.01, \u0027high\u0027: 67087.22, \u0027low\u0027: 66973.67, \u0027close\u0027:\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202218",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.947735+00:00",
      "id": 202217,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:00:57.941587+00:00\u0027 funding_rate=-3.35e-06 funding_rate_annualized=-0.00366825 open_interest_usd=6509258763.928801 open_interest_change_24h_pct=-6.8782132725066445 long_short_ratio=1.1468 taker_buy_sell_ratio=0.7261 liquidations_long_24h_usd=None liquidations_short_24h_usd=None exchange_inflow_24h=None exchange_outflow_24h=None net_exchange_flow=None exchange_reserve=None mvrv_ratio=None sopr=None nvt_ratio=None realized_price=None active_addresses_24h=662080 transaction_count_24h=None hash_rate=None stablecoin_supply_ratio=None data_quality=\u0027live\u0027 sources_used=[\u0027binance_funding_rate\u0027, \u0027binance_open_interest\u0027, \u0027binance_long_short_ratio\u0027, \u0027binance_taker_ratio\u0027, \u0027alternative_me_fng\u0027, \u0027coingecko_global\u0027, \u0027blockchain_info\u0027, \u0027mempool_space\u0027, \u0027okx_funding_rate\u0027, \u0027defillama_tvl\u0027] ref=\u0027artifact://202215\u0027\""
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202217",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.946203+00:00",
      "id": 202216,
      "kind": "decision.step.onchain_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "data_quality": "live",
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "sources": [
          "binance_funding_rate",
          "binance_open_interest",
          "binance_long_short_ratio",
          "binance_taker_ratio",
          "alternative_me_fng",
          "coingecko_global",
          "blockchain_info",
          "mempool_space",
          "okx_funding_rate",
          "defillama_tvl"
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202216",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.943350+00:00",
      "id": 202215,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "active_addresses_24h": 662080,
        "asset": "BTC",
        "data_quality": "live",
        "exchange_inflow_24h": null,
        "exchange_outflow_24h": null,
        "exchange_reserve": null,
        "funding_rate": -3.35e-06,
        "funding_rate_annualized": -0.00366825,
        "hash_rate": null,
        "liquidations_long_24h_usd": null,
        "liquidations_short_24h_usd": null,
        "long_short_ratio": 1.1468,
        "mvrv_ratio": null,
        "net_exchange_flow": null,
        "nvt_ratio": null,
        "open_interest_change_24h_pct": -6.8782132725066445,
        "open_interest_usd": 6509258763.928801,
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "realized_price": null,
        "ref": null,
        "sopr": null,
        "sources_used": [
          "binance_funding_rate",
          "binance_open_interest",
          "binance_long_short_ratio",
          "binance_taker_ratio",
          "alternative_me_fng",
          "coingecko_global",
          "blockchain_info",
          "mempool_space",
          "okx_funding_rate",
          "defillama_tvl"
        ],
        "stablecoin_supply_ratio": null,
        "taker_buy_sell_ratio": 0.7261,
        "transaction_count_24h": null,
        "ts": "2026-04-12T21:00:57.941587+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202215",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:56.314906+00:00",
      "id": 202214,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_snapshot.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"trace_id=\u0027cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\"",
            "{\"compliance\": null, \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://202211\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://202082\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://202073\", \"price\": \"artifact://202087\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://202093\"}, \"ml\": [], \"ml_judge\": null, \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": null, \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": null, \"steps\": {\"chat_context\": \"artifact://202046\", \"macro_snapshot\": \"artifact://202212\", \"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://202094\", \"narratives\": \"artifact://202162\", \"news_events\": \"artifact://202103\", \"profile_summary\": \"artifact://202042\", \"rag_context\": \"artifact://202126\"}}",
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            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.576280+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 price=71343.24 ohlcv=[{\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775311200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 14:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67193.45, \u0027high\u0027: 67223.51, \u0027low\u0027: 67029.07, \u0027close\u0027: 67215.24, \u0027volume\u0027: 369.07128}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775314800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 15:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67215.24, \u0027high\u0027: 67562.93, \u0027low\u0027: 67177.39, \u0027close\u0027: 67383.66, \u0027volume\u0027: 635.57272}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775318400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 16:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67383.66, \u0027high\u0027: 67520.85, \u0027low\u0027: 67331.06, \u0027close\u0027: 67366.68, \u0027volume\u0027: 294.26452}, 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67295.81, \u0027low\u0027: 67186.62, \u0027close\u0027: 67268.4, \u0027volume\u0027: 186.97188}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775336400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 21:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67268.4, \u0027high\u0027: 67504.54, \u0027low\u0027: 67215.0, \u0027close\u0027: 67359.2, \u0027volume\u0027: 238.4254}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775340000000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 22:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67359.21, \u0027high\u0027: 67470.93, \u0027low\u0027: 67341.19, \u0027close\u0027: 67399.92, \u0027volume\u0027: 306.3388}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775343600000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-04 23:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67399.91, \u0027high\u0027: 67399.99, \u0027low\u0027: 67261.32, \u0027close\u0027: 67300.42, \u0027volume\u0027: 397.2679}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775347200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-05 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Timestamp(\u00272026-04-05 11:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67046.01, \u0027high\u0027: 67087.22, \u0027low\u0027: 66973.67, \u0027close\u0027:\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202214",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:56.305516+00:00",
      "id": 202213,
      "kind": "decision.macro_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"ts=\u00272026-04-12T21:00:56.299418+00:00\u0027 regime=\u0027neutral\u0027 rates_bias=\u0027neutral\u0027 usd_strength=1.0 equity_risk=0.254375 commodity_risk=0.32062499999999994 crypto_macro_score=0.2771198262615032 payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot\u0027, \u0027date\u0027: \u00272026-04-12\u0027, \u0027base_currency\u0027: \u0027USD\u0027, \u0027market\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 71345.62, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2213.895, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 82.715}, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.6, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89}, \u0027crypto\u0027: {\u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 56.93801737384968, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2506835970134.5938, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 16.0}, \u0027meta\u0027: {\u0027best_effort\u0027: True, \u0027fred\u0027: {\u0027series\u0027: {\u0027DTWEXBGS\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T19:00:46.201711+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.670223, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\\\"}, \u0027DGS2\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.973528+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.5458586, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027DGS10\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.976032+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.558417, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027SP500\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T19:00:46.211638+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.7408648, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\\\"}, \u0027NASDAQCOM\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-12T21:00:53.980502+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776027654.4494734, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}}, \u0027macro_degraded\u0027: False, \u0027source_mode\u0027: \u0027fred_observations_api\u0027}, \u0027sources\u0027: {\u0027market\u0027: [\u0027https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\u0027, \u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\u0027], \u0027macro\u0027: [\u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\u0027, \u0027https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027], \u0027crypto\u0027: [\u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\u0027, \u0027https://api.alternative.me/fng/\u0027]}}, \u0027derived\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 71345.62, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2213.895, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 82.715, \u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.6, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89, \u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 56.93801737384968, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2506835970134.5938, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 16.0, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.254375, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.32062499999999994, \u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027: 0.2771198262615032, \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027rates_bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027}} ref=\u0027artifact://202211\u0027\""
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202213",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:56.304150+00:00",
      "id": 202212,
      "kind": "decision.step.macro_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "commodity_risk": 0.32062499999999994,
        "crypto_macro_score": 0.2771198262615032,
        "equity_risk": 0.254375,
        "payload_source": "tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot",
        "rates_bias": "neutral",
        "ref": "artifact://202211",
        "regime": "neutral",
        "usd_strength": 1.0
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202212",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:56.302467+00:00",
      "id": 202211,
      "kind": "decision.macro_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "commodity_risk": 0.32062499999999994,
        "crypto_macro_score": 0.2771198262615032,
        "equity_risk": 0.254375,
        "payload": {
          "base_currency": "USD",
          "crypto": {
            "btc_dominance": 56.93801737384968,
            "fear_greed_index": 16.0,
            "total3_market_cap": 2506835970134.5938
          },
          "date": "2026-04-12",
          "derived": {
            "btc_dominance": 56.93801737384968,
            "btc_usdt": 71345.62,
            "commodity_risk": 0.32062499999999994,
            "crypto_macro_score": 0.2771198262615032,
            "dxy": 120.6565,
            "equity_risk": 0.254375,
            "eth_usdt": 2213.895,
            "fear_greed_index": 16.0,
            "gold_price": 1957.5,
            "nasdaq_index": 22902.89,
            "oil_brent": 70.6,
            "rates_bias": "neutral",
            "regime": "neutral",
            "sol_usdt": 82.715,
            "sp500_index": 6816.89,
            "total3_market_cap": 2506835970134.5938,
            "us_10y_yield": 4.29,
            "us_2y_yield": 3.78,
            "usd_strength": 1.0
          },
          "macro": {
            "dxy": 120.6565,
            "gold_price": 1957.5,
            "nasdaq_index": 22902.89,
            "oil_brent": 70.6,
            "sp500_index": 6816.89,
            "us_10y_yield": 4.29,
            "us_2y_yield": 3.78
          },
          "market": {
            "btc_usdt": 71345.62,
            "eth_usdt": 2213.895,
            "sol_usdt": 82.715
          },
          "meta": {
            "best_effort": true,
            "fred": {
              "macro_degraded": false,
              "series": {
                "DGS10": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1776027654.558417,
                  "last_error_short": null,
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-12T21:00:53.976032+00:00",
                  "value_source": "live"
                },
                "DGS2": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1776027654.5458586,
                  "last_error_short": null,
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-12T21:00:53.973528+00:00",
                  "value_source": "live"
                },
                "DTWEXBGS": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1776027654.670223,
                  "last_error_short": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea",
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-12T19:00:46.201711+00:00",
                  "value_source": "stale_cache"
                },
                "NASDAQCOM": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1776027654.4494734,
                  "last_error_short": null,
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-12T21:00:53.980502+00:00",
                  "value_source": "live"
                },
                "SP500": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1776027654.7408648,
                  "last_error_short": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680",
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-12T19:00:46.211638+00:00",
                  "value_source": "stale_cache"
                }
              },
              "source_mode": "fred_observations_api"
            },
            "sources": {
              "crypto": [
                "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global",
                "https://api.alternative.me/fng/"
              ],
              "macro": [
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold",
                "https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold",
                "https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent",
                "https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil",
                "https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil"
              ],
              "market": [
                "https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price",
                "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price"
              ]
            }
          },
          "source": "tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot"
        },
        "rates_bias": "neutral",
        "ref": null,
        "regime": "neutral",
        "ts": "2026-04-12T21:00:56.299418+00:00",
        "usd_strength": 1.0
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202211",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:56.299945+00:00",
      "id": 202210,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.collect_macro_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"commodity_risk\": 0.32062499999999994, \"crypto_macro_score\": 0.2771198262615032, \"equity_risk\": 0.254375, \"payload\": {\"base_currency\": \"USD\", \"crypto\": {\"btc_dominance\": 56.93801737384968, \"fear_greed_index\": 16.0, \"total3_market_cap\": 2506835970134.5938}, \"date\": \"2026-04-12\", \"derived\": {\"btc_dominance\": 56.93801737384968, \"btc_usdt\": 71345.62, \"commodity_risk\": 0.32062499999999994, \"crypto_macro_score\": 0.2771198262615032, \"dxy\": 120.6565, \"equity_risk\": 0.254375, \"eth_usdt\": 2213.895, \"fear_greed_index\": 16.0, \"gold_price\": 1957.5, \"nasdaq_index\": 22902.89, \"oil_brent\": 70.6, \"rates_bias\": \"neutral\", \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"sol_usdt\": 82.715, \"sp500_index\": 6816.89, \"total3_market_cap\": 2506835970134.5938, \"us_10y_yield\": 4.29, \"us_2y_yield\": 3.78, \"usd_strength\": 1.0}, \"macro\": {\"dxy\": 120.6565, \"gold_price\": 1957.5, \"nasdaq_index\": 22902.89, \"oil_brent\": 70.6, \"sp500_index\": 6816.89, \"us_10y_yield\": 4.29, \"us_2y_yield\": 3.78}, \"market\": {\"btc_usdt\": 71345.62, \"eth_usdt\": 2213.895, \"sol_usdt\": 82.715}, \"meta\": {\"best_effort\": true, \"fred\": {\"macro_degraded\": false, \"series\": {\"DGS10\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776027654.558417, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T21:00:53.976032+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"DGS2\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776027654.5458586, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T21:00:53.973528+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"DTWEXBGS\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776027654.670223, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T19:00:46.201711+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"NASDAQCOM\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776027654.4494734, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T21:00:53.980502+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"SP500\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776027654.7408648, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T19:00:46.211638+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}}, \"source_mode\": \"fred_observations_api\"}, \"sources\": {\"crypto\": [\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\", \"https://api.alternative.me/fng/\"], \"macro\": [\"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\", \"https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\"], \"market\": [\"https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\", \"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\"]}}}, \"rates_bias\": \"neutral\", \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"ts\": \"2026-04-12T21:00:56.299418+00:00\", \"usd_strength\": 1.0}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202210",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:56.297347+00:00",
      "id": 202209,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.agent_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"base_currency\": \"USD\", \"crypto\": {\"btc_dominance\": 56.93801737384968, \"fear_greed_index\": 16.0, \"total3_market_cap\": 2506835970134.5938}, \"date\": \"2026-04-12\", \"macro\": {\"dxy\": 120.6565, \"gold_price\": 1957.5, \"nasdaq_index\": 22902.89, \"oil_brent\": 70.6, \"sp500_index\": 6816.89, \"us_10y_yield\": 4.29, \"us_2y_yield\": 3.78}, \"market\": {\"btc_usdt\": 71345.62, \"eth_usdt\": 2213.895, \"sol_usdt\": 82.715}, \"meta\": {\"best_effort\": true, \"fred\": {\"macro_degraded\": false, \"series\": {\"DGS10\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776027654.558417, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T21:00:53.976032+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"DGS2\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776027654.5458586, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T21:00:53.973528+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"DTWEXBGS\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776027654.670223, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T19:00:46.201711+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"NASDAQCOM\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776027654.4494734, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T21:00:53.980502+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"SP500\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776027654.7408648, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-12T19:00:46.211638+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}}, \"source_mode\": \"fred_observations_api\"}, \"sources\": {\"crypto\": [\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\", \"https://api.alternative.me/fng/\"], \"macro\": [\"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\", \"https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\"], \"market\": [\"https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\", \"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\"]}}}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202209",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:56.293914+00:00",
      "id": 202208,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.get_gold_price.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "1957.5"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202208",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:56.288836+00:00",
      "id": 202207,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"\u003c!DOCTYPE html\u003e\u003chtml lang=\\\"ru\\\" dir=\\\"ltr\\\" class=\\\"html\\\"\u003e\u003chead\u003e\u003cmeta charSet=\\\"utf-8\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003cmeta name=\\\"viewport\\\" content=\\\"initial-scale=1.0,width=device-width\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"canonical\\\" href=\\\"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"x-default\\\" href=\\\"https://www.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-us\\\" href=\\\"https://www.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"he-il\\\" href=\\\"https://il.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ar\\\" href=\\\"https://sa.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"es\\\" href=\\\"https://es.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"fr\\\" href=\\\"https://fr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"zh-cn\\\" href=\\\"https://cn.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ru\\\" href=\\\"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"de\\\" href=\\\"https://de.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"it\\\" href=\\\"https://it.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"tr-tr\\\" href=\\\"https://tr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ja\\\" href=\\\"https://jp.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"pt\\\" href=\\\"https://br.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"sv-se\\\" href=\\\"https://se.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"el\\\" href=\\\"https://gr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"pl\\\" href=\\\"https://pl.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"nl\\\" href=\\\"https://nl.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"fi\\\" href=\\\"https://fi.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ko-kr\\\" href=\\\"https://kr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"es-mx\\\" href=\\\"https://mx.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"pt-pt\\\" href=\\\"https://pt.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-gb\\\" href=\\\"https://uk.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"vi-vn\\\" href=\\\"https://vn.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"th-th\\\" href=\\\"https://th.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"id-id\\\" href=\\\"https://id.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"zh-hk\\\" href=\\\"https://hk.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-in\\\" href=\\\"https://in.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ms\\\" href=\\\"https://ms.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-ca\\\" href=\\\"https://ca.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-au\\\" href=\\\"https://au.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-za\\\" href=\\\"https://za.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"hi\\\" href=\\\"https://hi.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-ng\\\" href=\\\"https://ng.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"\u2026"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202207",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:55.089133+00:00",
      "id": 202206,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.get_oil_price.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "70.6"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202206",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:55.086237+00:00",
      "id": 202205,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.error",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027403 Forbidden\u0027 for url \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/403",
        "error_type": "HTTPStatusError",
        "stack": "Traceback (most recent call last):\n  File \"/app/core/telemetry/decorator.py\", line 271, in _wrapper\n    res = await fn(*args, **kwargs)\n          ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 154, in _fetch_text\n    return await _call()\n           ^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 134, in _call\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/app/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Client error \u0027403 Forbidden\u0027 for url \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/403\n"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202205",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:55.032862+00:00",
      "id": 202204,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\""
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "headers": "{\"Accept-Language\": \"en-US,en;q=0.8,ru;q=0.6\"}",
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      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fred_fetch_json_once.error",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500",
        "error_type": "HTTPStatusError",
        "stack": "Traceback (most recent call last):\n  File \"/app/core/telemetry/decorator.py\", line 271, in _wrapper\n    res = await fn(*args, **kwargs)\n          ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 886, in _fred_fetch_json_once\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/app/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500\n"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202198",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:54.642821+00:00",
      "id": 202197,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"bitcoin\": {\"usd\": 71348}}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202197",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:54.637621+00:00",
      "id": 202196,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"solana\": {\"usd\": 82.69}}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202196",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:54.561906+00:00",
      "id": 202195,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price?ids=ethereum\u0026vs_currencies=usd\""
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "runtime": "{\"_autotrade_cadence\": {\"bucket_key\": \"1h:1776027600\", \"gate_name\": \"autotrade:binance:BTC/USDT:1h\", \"same_candle_skip\": true}, \"app\": \"\u003cfastapi.applications.FastAPI object at 0x7f034454c650\u003e\", \"ccxt_factory\": \"\u003cfunction _build_ccxt_factory.\u003clocals\u003e._factory at 0x7f02a29942c0\u003e\", \"chat_runtime\": \"\u003cservices.chat.runtime.ChatRuntime object at 0x7f033fb4b1a0\u003e\", \"chroma\": \"\u003ccore.storage.chroma.ChromaStore object at 0x7f0363935c10\u003e\", \"chroma_mode\": \"chroma\", \"exchange\": \"binance\", \"last_decision_bundle\": {\"analysis_candle_bucket\": \"1h:1776024000\", \"analysis_candle_bucket_iso\": \"1h:2026-04-12T20:00:00+00:00\", \"ok\": true, \"payload\": {\"action\": \"unknown\", \"agents\": {\"compliance\": {\"confidence\": 0.0, \"constraints\": {}, \"decision_override\": null, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trading_allowed\": true, \"violations\": []}, \"execution\": {\"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"entry_type\": null, \"execution_style\": null, \"explanation\": \"ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.\", \"max_slippage_bps\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_liquidity\", \"ref\": \"artifact://200375\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry\"}, {\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://200386\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Market snapshot used for execution context\"}], \"signal\": {}, \"slices\": null}, \"macro\": {\"action\": \"hold\", \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.5143277413394838, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\", \"macro_score\": null, \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\", \"macro.structural_fallback\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"signal\": {\"macro_regime\": \"neutral\", \"macro_structural_factors\": [\"crypto_macro_score\", \"usd_strong_crypto_headwind\", \"equity_risk_off\"], \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08688479049815626}}, \"meta_decision\": {\"action\": \"paper_only\", \"confidence\": 0.2201, \"constraints\": {}, \"edge_score\": 0.2446, \"entry_quality_score\": 0.42, \"execution_vote\": \"allow\", \"expected_value_score\": 0.2006, \"explanation\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"final_summary\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"price_asymmetry_score\": 0.35, \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason_codes\": [\"ml_trust_low\"], \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [], \"risk_vote\": \"allow\", \"should_trade\": false, \"signal\": {\"calibration_score\": null, \"drift_detected\": false, \"health_state\": \"unknown\", \"ml_trust\": 0.0, \"synthetic_price\": true, \"trend_direction\": \"flat\"}, \"size_multiplier\": 0.0, \"skip_reason\": \"ml_trust_low\", \"trend_alignment_score\": 0.4}, \"ml_judge\": {\"accepted_refs\": [], \"agreement_score\": null, \"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"horizon_fit\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://200546\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}], \"rejected_refs\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trust_score\": null, \"usable\": null}, \"onchain\": {\"bearish_signals\": [\"market_cap_decline:-3.1% \u2014 mild market weakness\", \"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal\"], \"confidence\": 0.6516, \"constraints\": {}, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.158). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:\u2026",
            "trace_id": "\"cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\""
          }
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202195",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:54.561754+00:00",
      "id": 202194,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price?ids=bitcoin\u0026vs_currencies=usd\""
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "runtime": "{\"_autotrade_cadence\": {\"bucket_key\": \"1h:1776027600\", \"gate_name\": \"autotrade:binance:BTC/USDT:1h\", \"same_candle_skip\": true}, \"app\": \"\u003cfastapi.applications.FastAPI object at 0x7f034454c650\u003e\", \"ccxt_factory\": \"\u003cfunction _build_ccxt_factory.\u003clocals\u003e._factory at 0x7f02a29942c0\u003e\", \"chat_runtime\": \"\u003cservices.chat.runtime.ChatRuntime object at 0x7f033fb4b1a0\u003e\", \"chroma\": \"\u003ccore.storage.chroma.ChromaStore object at 0x7f0363935c10\u003e\", \"chroma_mode\": \"chroma\", \"exchange\": \"binance\", \"last_decision_bundle\": {\"analysis_candle_bucket\": \"1h:1776024000\", \"analysis_candle_bucket_iso\": \"1h:2026-04-12T20:00:00+00:00\", \"ok\": true, \"payload\": {\"action\": \"unknown\", \"agents\": {\"compliance\": {\"confidence\": 0.0, \"constraints\": {}, \"decision_override\": null, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trading_allowed\": true, \"violations\": []}, \"execution\": {\"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"entry_type\": null, \"execution_style\": null, \"explanation\": \"ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.\", \"max_slippage_bps\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_liquidity\", \"ref\": \"artifact://200375\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry\"}, {\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://200386\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Market snapshot used for execution context\"}], \"signal\": {}, \"slices\": null}, \"macro\": {\"action\": \"hold\", \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.5143277413394838, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\", \"macro_score\": null, \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\", \"macro.structural_fallback\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"signal\": {\"macro_regime\": \"neutral\", \"macro_structural_factors\": [\"crypto_macro_score\", \"usd_strong_crypto_headwind\", \"equity_risk_off\"], \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08688479049815626}}, \"meta_decision\": {\"action\": \"paper_only\", \"confidence\": 0.2201, \"constraints\": {}, \"edge_score\": 0.2446, \"entry_quality_score\": 0.42, \"execution_vote\": \"allow\", \"expected_value_score\": 0.2006, \"explanation\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"final_summary\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"price_asymmetry_score\": 0.35, \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason_codes\": [\"ml_trust_low\"], \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [], \"risk_vote\": \"allow\", \"should_trade\": false, \"signal\": {\"calibration_score\": null, \"drift_detected\": false, \"health_state\": \"unknown\", \"ml_trust\": 0.0, \"synthetic_price\": true, \"trend_direction\": \"flat\"}, \"size_multiplier\": 0.0, \"skip_reason\": \"ml_trust_low\", \"trend_alignment_score\": 0.4}, \"ml_judge\": {\"accepted_refs\": [], \"agreement_score\": null, \"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"horizon_fit\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://200546\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}], \"rejected_refs\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trust_score\": null, \"usable\": null}, \"onchain\": {\"bearish_signals\": [\"market_cap_decline:-3.1% \u2014 mild market weakness\", \"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal\"], \"confidence\": 0.6516, \"constraints\": {}, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.158). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:\u2026",
            "trace_id": "\"cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\""
          }
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202194",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:54.561571+00:00",
      "id": 202193,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price?ids=solana\u0026vs_currencies=usd\""
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "runtime": "{\"_autotrade_cadence\": {\"bucket_key\": \"1h:1776027600\", \"gate_name\": \"autotrade:binance:BTC/USDT:1h\", \"same_candle_skip\": true}, \"app\": \"\u003cfastapi.applications.FastAPI object at 0x7f034454c650\u003e\", \"ccxt_factory\": \"\u003cfunction _build_ccxt_factory.\u003clocals\u003e._factory at 0x7f02a29942c0\u003e\", \"chat_runtime\": \"\u003cservices.chat.runtime.ChatRuntime object at 0x7f033fb4b1a0\u003e\", \"chroma\": \"\u003ccore.storage.chroma.ChromaStore object at 0x7f0363935c10\u003e\", \"chroma_mode\": \"chroma\", \"exchange\": \"binance\", \"last_decision_bundle\": {\"analysis_candle_bucket\": \"1h:1776024000\", \"analysis_candle_bucket_iso\": \"1h:2026-04-12T20:00:00+00:00\", \"ok\": true, \"payload\": {\"action\": \"unknown\", \"agents\": {\"compliance\": {\"confidence\": 0.0, \"constraints\": {}, \"decision_override\": null, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trading_allowed\": true, \"violations\": []}, \"execution\": {\"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"entry_type\": null, \"execution_style\": null, \"explanation\": \"ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.\", \"max_slippage_bps\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_liquidity\", \"ref\": \"artifact://200375\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry\"}, {\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://200386\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Market snapshot used for execution context\"}], \"signal\": {}, \"slices\": null}, \"macro\": {\"action\": \"hold\", \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.5143277413394838, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\", \"macro_score\": null, \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\", \"macro.structural_fallback\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"signal\": {\"macro_regime\": \"neutral\", \"macro_structural_factors\": [\"crypto_macro_score\", \"usd_strong_crypto_headwind\", \"equity_risk_off\"], \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08688479049815626}}, \"meta_decision\": {\"action\": \"paper_only\", \"confidence\": 0.2201, \"constraints\": {}, \"edge_score\": 0.2446, \"entry_quality_score\": 0.42, \"execution_vote\": \"allow\", \"expected_value_score\": 0.2006, \"explanation\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"final_summary\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"price_asymmetry_score\": 0.35, \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason_codes\": [\"ml_trust_low\"], \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [], \"risk_vote\": \"allow\", \"should_trade\": false, \"signal\": {\"calibration_score\": null, \"drift_detected\": false, \"health_state\": \"unknown\", \"ml_trust\": 0.0, \"synthetic_price\": true, \"trend_direction\": \"flat\"}, \"size_multiplier\": 0.0, \"skip_reason\": \"ml_trust_low\", \"trend_alignment_score\": 0.4}, \"ml_judge\": {\"accepted_refs\": [], \"agreement_score\": null, \"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"horizon_fit\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://200546\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}], \"rejected_refs\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trust_score\": null, \"usable\": null}, \"onchain\": {\"bearish_signals\": [\"market_cap_decline:-3.1% \u2014 mild market weakness\", \"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"fear_greed_extreme_fear:16/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal\"], \"confidence\": 0.6516, \"constraints\": {}, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.158). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:\u2026",
            "trace_id": "\"cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca\""
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        }
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      "ref": "artifact://202193",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:54.543366+00:00",
      "id": 202192,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"data\": [{\"time_until_update\": \"10747\", \"timestamp\": \"1775952000\", \"value\": \"16\", \"value_classification\": \"Extreme Fear\"}], \"metadata\": {\"error\": null}, \"name\": \"Fear and Greed Index\"}"
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      "store": "postgres",
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:54.543030+00:00",
      "id": 202190,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"price\": \"2214.49000000\", \"symbol\": \"ETHUSDT\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://202190",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "cbae0882426a4e358de05d3a800badca"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:54.542973+00:00",
      "id": 202191,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fred_fetch_json_once.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"count\": 16768, \"file_type\": \"json\", \"limit\": 100000, \"observation_end\": \"9999-12-31\", \"observation_start\": \"1600-01-01\", \"observations\": [{\"date\": \"1962-01-02\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.06\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-03\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.03\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-04\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"3.99\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-05\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.02\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-08\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.03\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-09\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.05\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-10\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.07\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-11\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.08\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-12\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.08\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-15\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.10\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-16\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.13\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-17\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.12\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-18\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.11\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-19\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.11\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-22\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.09\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-23\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.11\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-24\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.10\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-25\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.11\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-26\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.11\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-29\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.12\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-30\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.11\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-01-31\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.10\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-01\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.09\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-02\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.08\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-05\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.07\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-06\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.06\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-07\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.07\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-08\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.07\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-09\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.05\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-12\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \".\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-13\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.03\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-14\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.03\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-15\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.02\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-16\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.02\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-19\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.01\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-20\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.05\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-21\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \"4.03\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-22\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-10\", \"realtime_start\": \"2026-04-10\", \"value\": \".\"}, {\"date\": \"1962-02-23\", \"realtime_end\": \"2026-04-\u2026"
        }
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "id": 202165,
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      "payload": {
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Timestamp(\u00272026-04-05 11:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67046.01, \u0027high\u0027: 67087.22, \u0027low\u0027: 66973.67, \u0027close\u0027:\u2026"
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        "maturity": 0.19852469003787665,
        "narrative_id": "b11369ecf7932068ea1b8374",
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "payload": {
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          "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:00:53.761989+00:00",
          "events_used": 0,
          "method": "lexicon_v1",
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          "signals": [
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          "source": "narratives_enrich",
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