Logs & Traces
Operational brain of the system ? inspect traces, step timelines, refs, and grouped errors quickly.
Traces
Recent operational runs
last 100 traces
100
loaded into current page
Errors
Grouped inbox
error groups
4
grouped by node / name
Steps
Timeline details
selected trace steps
0
inputs / outputs / refs drill-down
Artifacts
Refs behind the trace
selected trace artifacts
9
clickable refs / raw JSON
Traces list
Last traces with duration, status, error and quick filter
| Trace ID | Started | Duration | Status | Error | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11T10:15:37.700362+00:00 | 2937 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:15:35.084094+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:15:35.084047+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:15:35.082835+00:00 | 573 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T10:15:07.526832+00:00 | 3939 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:15:05.084787+00:00 | 624 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T10:14:50.084762+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:14:37.966566+00:00 | 2449 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:14:35.084466+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:14:35.082624+00:00 | 805 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T10:14:05.084021+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:14:05.082801+00:00 | 3042 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:13:35.085702+00:00 | 3013 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:13:35.083879+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:13:20.083904+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:13:05.082807+00:00 | 2823 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:12:35.091385+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:12:35.091134+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:12:35.082148+00:00 | 2756 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:12:05.081226+00:00 | 2508 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:11:50.084747+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:11:35.083749+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:11:35.082552+00:00 | 2721 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:11:05.083585+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:11:05.082329+00:00 | 2792 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:10:35.084673+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:10:35.081853+00:00 | 3484 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:10:20.083675+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:10:05.081942+00:00 | 2527 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:09:35.083879+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:09:35.083833+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:09:35.081897+00:00 | 2799 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:09:07.706968+00:00 | 3152 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:09:05.082526+00:00 | 563 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T10:08:50.083746+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:08:35.089200+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:08:35.085630+00:00 | 2742 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:08:05.083749+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:08:05.082889+00:00 | 2666 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:07:35.083773+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:07:35.082370+00:00 | 2721 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:07:20.084372+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:07:05.082719+00:00 | 4435 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:06:37.662346+00:00 | 2765 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:06:35.099125+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:06:35.084493+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:06:35.081562+00:00 | 574 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T10:06:05.082994+00:00 | 2433 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:05:50.085902+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:05:35.083051+00:00 | 2827 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:05:35.083940+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:05:05.084215+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:05:05.082967+00:00 | 2724 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:04:35.084421+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:04:35.082336+00:00 | 2886 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:04:20.084434+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:04:07.627823+00:00 | 2550 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:04:05.082238+00:00 | 575 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T10:03:38.024838+00:00 | 3909 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:03:35.086148+00:00 | 638 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T10:03:35.083760+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:03:35.083694+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:03:05.082442+00:00 | 2929 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:02:50.084510+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:02:35.085175+00:00 | 4059 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:02:35.084567+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:02:07.441771+00:00 | 3337 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:02:05.083415+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:02:05.081853+00:00 | 575 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T10:01:35.083836+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:01:35.082706+00:00 | 2742 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:01:20.084988+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:01:07.516161+00:00 | 2957 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:01:05.082249+00:00 | 601 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T10:00:46.905069+00:00 | 2754 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:00:35.091823+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:00:35.090556+00:00 | 4103 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:00:35.091171+00:00 | 8296 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T10:00:35.088703+00:00 | 3495 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:00:35.085329+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T10:00:05.082232+00:00 | 4039 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:59:50.084470+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:59:35.083839+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:59:35.082799+00:00 | 2499 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:59:08.007142+00:00 | 2827 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:59:05.084224+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:59:05.082981+00:00 | 1049 ms | error |
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| 2026-04-11T09:58:35.087381+00:00 | 2820 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:58:35.085471+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:58:20.084127+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:58:05.082236+00:00 | 2562 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:57:37.147731+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:57:35.085265+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:57:35.084872+00:00 | 2871 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:57:35.084267+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:57:05.082152+00:00 | 2648 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:56:50.084771+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:56:35.221793+00:00 | 2884 ms | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:56:35.217285+00:00 | ? | ok |
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| 2026-04-11T09:56:05.084057+00:00 | ? | ok |
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Trace viewer
Timeline steps, refs, inputs, outputs
trace
ok
No step timeline available for selected trace.
Trace artifacts / refs
refs_json links and artifact drill-down
| Kind | Created | Ref | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| autotrade.status | 2026-04-11T09:01:35.702312+00:00 | artifact://139929 | |
| autotrade.execution.result | 2026-04-11T09:01:35.411725+00:00 | artifact://139928 | |
| trade.attribution | 2026-04-11T09:01:35.409857+00:00 | artifact://139927 | |
| trade.result | 2026-04-11T09:01:35.405881+00:00 | artifact://139926 | |
| autotrade.gate.summary | 2026-04-11T09:01:35.404395+00:00 | artifact://139925 | |
| autotrade.gate.result | 2026-04-11T09:01:35.401742+00:00 | artifact://139924 | |
| trade.intent | 2026-04-11T09:01:35.101642+00:00 | artifact://139923 | |
| autotrade.decision.bundle | 2026-04-11T09:01:35.089231+00:00 | artifact://139922 | |
| autotrade.status | 2026-04-11T09:01:35.084548+00:00 | artifact://139920 |
Error inbox
Latest errors grouped by node / name
ccxt
2026-04-11T10:15:35.082835+00:00
1025 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
tools_3
2026-04-11T10:00:44.806173+00:00
239 errors
Server error '502 Bad Gateway' for url 'https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500&file_type=json&api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d'
For more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/502
fetch_ohlcv_recent
2026-04-11T08:54:35.079407+00:00
6 errors
binance {"code":-2008,"msg":"Invalid Api-Key ID."}
/traces/{trace_id}
2026-04-10T11:39:40.389699+00:00
3 errors
404: trace not found
Error count per hour
Operational pressure snapshot
2026-04-10T10:00:00
7
2026-04-10T11:00:00
17
2026-04-10T12:00:00
13
2026-04-10T13:00:00
14
2026-04-10T14:00:00
16
2026-04-10T15:00:00
9
2026-04-10T16:00:00
20
2026-04-10T17:00:00
32
2026-04-10T18:00:00
37
2026-04-10T19:00:00
57
2026-04-10T20:00:00
47
2026-04-10T21:00:00
36
2026-04-10T22:00:00
39
2026-04-10T23:00:00
44
2026-04-11T00:00:00
36
2026-04-11T01:00:00
23
2026-04-11T02:00:00
31
2026-04-11T03:00:00
39
2026-04-11T04:00:00
35
2026-04-11T05:00:00
48
2026-04-11T06:00:00
33
2026-04-11T07:00:00
43
2026-04-11T08:00:00
51
2026-04-11T09:00:00
39
2026-04-11T10:00:00
15
Refs panel
Fast links to artifact viewer
artifact://139929
artifact://139928
artifact://139927
artifact://139926
artifact://139925
artifact://139924
artifact://139923
artifact://139922
artifact://139788
artifact://139790
artifact://139792
artifact://139793
artifact://139794
artifact://139795
artifact://139760
artifact://139903
artifact://139810
artifact://139773
artifact://139806
artifact://139777
chroma://narratives/db38ac298a5f16bb2ecc6579
artifact://139920
Raw payload preview
Debug view for the page payload
Open raw JSON
{
"artifacts": [
{
"created_at": "2026-04-11T09:01:35.702312+00:00",
"id": 139929,
"kind": "autotrade.status",
"payload": {
"dry_run": false,
"enabled": true,
"exchange": "binance",
"exchange_balance_summary": {
"balances": {},
"error": "AuthenticationError: binanceusdm {\"code\":-2008,\"msg\":\"Invalid Api-Key ID.\"}",
"exchange": "binance",
"market_type": "unknown",
"ok": false,
"raw": null,
"sandbox": true
},
"execution_mode": "sandbox",
"exposure_limit": 1000.0,
"kill_switch": false,
"last_amount": null,
"last_error": null,
"last_gate_decision": "allowed",
"last_gate_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action:hold",
"last_order_id": null,
"last_price": null,
"last_reason": "strategy.non_executable_action",
"last_status": "skipped",
"liquidity_gate": "required",
"local_balance": 0.0,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"position_limit": 250.0,
"same_candle_bucket": "1h:1775898000",
"sandbox": true,
"source": "services.autotrade.runner",
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trace_id": "cecef296b8f349de9327132ad076a507",
"ts": "2026-04-11T09:01:35.700874+00:00"
},
"ref": "artifact://139929",
"store": "postgres",
"trace_id": "cecef296b8f349de9327132ad076a507"
},
{
"created_at": "2026-04-11T09:01:35.411725+00:00",
"id": 139928,
"kind": "autotrade.execution.result",
"payload": {
"action": "hold",
"base_qty": null,
"confidence": 0.3,
"decision_ref": "artifact://139922",
"dry_run": false,
"exchange": "binance",
"execution_plan": {
"amount": null,
"execution_mode": "None",
"expected_price": null,
"maker_first": null,
"market_type": "spot",
"marketable_limit": null,
"max_reprice_attempts": null,
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"notional_usd": 100.0,
"order_type": "None",
"qualification_class": "None",
"reduce_only": false,
"sandbox": null,
"slice_interval_ms": null,
"slices": null,
"time_in_force": "GTC",
"venue": "binance"
},
"gate": {
"action": "hold",
"blockers": [
{
"code": "strategy.non_executable_action",
"group": "strategy",
"value": "hold"
},
{
"code": "strategy.non_executable_side",
"group": "strategy",
"value": "none"
},
{
"code": "confidence.below_threshold",
"group": "confidence",
"threshold": 0.48,
"value": 0.3
},
{
"code": "quality.trade_intent_autotrade_unsafe",
"group": "quality",
"value": false
},
{
"code": "quality.trade_intent_needs_manual_review",
"group": "quality",
"value": true
},
{
"code": "quality.pipeline_degraded",
"group": "quality",
"value": "degraded"
},
{
"code": "quality.llm_status_not_ok",
"group": "quality",
"value": "exception"
},
{
"code": "quality.bundle_pipeline_degraded",
"group": "quality",
"value": "degraded"
},
{
"code": "quality.meta_filter_skip",
"group": "quality",
"value": 0.0
}
],
"confidence": 0.3,
"decision": "allowed",
"decision_label": "allowed",
"exchange": "binance",
"gate_level": "micro_auto",
"guards": {
"blocking_factors": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"compliance_ok": true,
"execution_ok": null,
"overrides": [
"price_safety_override"
],
"portfolio_ok": null,
"risk_ok": true,
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
]
},
"inputs": {
"action": "hold",
"confidence": 0.3,
"side": "none",
"signal": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"asset": null,
"bearish_contributors": [
"onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
],
"blocked_by": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"blockers": [],
"bullish_contributors": [
"strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
"onchain:bullish:+0.328",
"onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended",
"onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.42 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
"onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
],
"calibration_score": 1.0,
"candidate_models": [
"tp_eq_sl",
"tp_3sl",
"sl_3tp"
],
"confidence_after_risk": 0.3368666287266863,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.3921845592312667,
"decision_state": "blocked_signal",
"degraded_sources": [],
"ensemble_weights": [
{
"model": "tp_eq_sl",
"weight": 0.2898
},
{
"model": "tp_3sl",
"weight": 0.2422
},
{
"model": "sl_3tp",
"weight": 0.4476
}
],
"evidence_pack": {
"bearish_contributors": [
"onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
],
"bullish_contributors": [
"strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
"onchain:bullish:+0.328",
"onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended",
"onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.42 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish ",
"onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
],
"degraded_sources": [],
"evidence_summary": "bullish: strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit, onchain:bullish:+0.328, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended, onchain_detail:taker_buy_dominant:1.42 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish , onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only",
"neutral_contributors": [
"strategy_factor:ml_directional_bias",
"strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
],
"override_explanation": "price_safety_override"
},
"exit_policy": {
"atr_base": 0.01,
"break_even_trigger": null,
"exit_template": "fixed",
"max_hold_candles": 24,
"partial_tp_levels": [
{
"fraction": 0.5,
"target_distance": 0.015
}
],
"stop_loss": 0.01,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"trailing_activation": null,
"trailing_callback": null,
"trend_factor": 1.0,
"vol_factor": 1.0
},
"hold_cause": null,
"max_position": 6.25,
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.2294,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.2549,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.209,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"model": "sl_3tp",
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},
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},
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},
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"max_position_usd": null,
"quote_notional": null,
"size_multiplier": null
},
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"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trade_class": "paper_only"
},
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"confidence": 0.3,
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"entry": {
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"execution_style": null,
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"price": null,
"slices": null,
"type": null
},
"guards": {
"blocking_factors": [
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],
"compliance_ok": true,
"execution_ok": null,
"overrides": [
"price_safety_override"
],
"portfolio_ok": null,
"quality_gate_blocked": true,
"quality_gate_reasons": [
"quality.supervisor_degraded",
"quality.ml_trust_very_low"
],
"risk_ok": true,
"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
]
},
"health": {
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"degraded_sources": [
"supervisor",
"risk"
],
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust_score": null,
"pipeline_quality": "degraded"
},
"llm_status": "exception",
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
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"confidence": 0.2294,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.2549,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.209,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
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"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
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"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027, \u0027onchain_bullish_confirmation\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"reduce_only": false,
"risk": {
"cancel_after_sec": null,
"exit_policy": {
"atr_base": 0.01,
"break_even_trigger": null,
"exit_template": "fixed",
"max_hold_candles": 24,
"partial_tp_levels": [
{
"fraction": 0.5,
"target_distance": 0.015
}
],
"stop_loss": 0.01,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"trailing_activation": null,
"trailing_callback": null,
"trend_factor": 1.0,
"vol_factor": 1.0
},
"stop_loss": 0.03878753,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"time_in_force": "GTC"
},
"side": "None",
"signal": {
"calibration_score": 1.0,
"candidate_models": [
"tp_eq_sl",
"tp_3sl",
"sl_3tp"
],
"ensemble_weights": [
{
"model": "tp_eq_sl",
"weight": 0.2898
},
{
"model": "tp_3sl",
"weight": 0.2422
},
{
"model": "sl_3tp",
"weight": 0.4476
}
],
"exit_policy": {
"atr_base": 0.01,
"break_even_trigger": null,
"exit_template": "fixed",
"max_hold_candles": 24,
"partial_tp_levels": [
{
"fraction": 0.5,
"target_distance": 0.015
}
],
"stop_loss": 0.01,
"take_profit": 0.02,
"trailing_activation": null,
"trailing_callback": null,
"trend_factor": 1.0,
"vol_factor": 1.0
},
"model": "sl_3tp",
"model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
"model_selection_score": 0.462958,
"quality_score": 0.5555,
"realized_vol_short": null,
"regime": {
"regime_confidence": 0.8571,
"regime_factors": {
"bollinger_bandwidth": 0.002551381590175514,
"directional_consistency": 0.0,
"hurst_exp": 0.3547466984418973,
"is_trend_regime": 0.0,
"realized_vol_short": 0.0,
"slope_price": 0.0,
"trend_persistence": 0.5,
"vol_expansion": 0.0
},
"regime_label": "range"
},
"threshold_used": 0.375
},
"size": {
"base_qty": null,
"dynamic_sizing": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"quote_notional": null,
"size_multiplier": null
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"source_quality_score": 0.88,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"timeframe": "1h",
"trade_class": "paper_only"
},
"ts": "2026-04-11T09:01:35.100884+00:00"
},
"ref": "artifact://139923",
"store": "postgres",
"trace_id": "cecef296b8f349de9327132ad076a507"
},
{
"created_at": "2026-04-11T09:01:35.089231+00:00",
"id": 139922,
"kind": "autotrade.decision.bundle",
"payload": {
"action": "hold",
"agents": {
"compliance": {
"confidence": 0.0,
"constraints": {},
"decision_override": null,
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output"
],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {},
"trading_allowed": true,
"violations": []
},
"execution": {
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"entry_type": null,
"execution_style": null,
"explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_liquidity",
"ref": "artifact://139639",
"title": "None",
"why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
},
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://139650",
"title": "None",
"why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
}
],
"signal": {},
"slices": null
},
"macro": {
"action": "hold",
"bias": "neutral",
"confidence": 0.5145746985828857,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
"macro_score": null,
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output",
"macro.structural_fallback"
],
"refs_used": [],
"regime": "neutral",
"signal": {
"macro_regime": "neutral",
"macro_structural_factors": [
"crypto_macro_score",
"usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
"equity_risk_off"
],
"macro_structural_score": -0.08776678065316355
}
},
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"confidence": 0.2294,
"constraints": {},
"edge_score": 0.2549,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.209,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"mode": "degraded",
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"raw_refs": {},
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"ml_judge": {
"accepted_refs": [],
"agreement_score": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"horizon_fit": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://139810",
"title": "None",
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
],
"rejected_refs": [],
"signal": {},
"trust_score": null,
"usable": null
},
"onchain": {
"bearish_signals": [
"mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
],
"bias": "bullish",
"bullish_signals": [
"cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
"taker_buy_dominant:1.42 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure)",
"fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
],
"confidence": 0.6856,
"constraints": {},
"data_quality": "live",
"derivatives_signal": "neutral",
"exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
"explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.328). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); taker_buy_dominant:1.42 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
"mode": "deterministic",
"network_signal": "shrinking",
"onchain_available": true,
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "onchain_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://139764",
"title": "None",
"why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
}
],
"score": 0.328,
"signal": {},
"valuation_signal": "unknown"
},
"portfolio": {
"allow_add": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
"exposure_warning": null,
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"recommended_size_multiplier": null,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://139773",
"title": "None",
"why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
}
],
"signal": {}
},
"price": {
"confidence": 0.3866,
"constraints": {},
"expected_close": 66855.894,
"expected_high": 67658.164728,
"expected_low": 66053.623272,
"expected_move_pct": -8.0,
"explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"horizon": "1h",
"mode": "degraded",
"path_shape": "trend",
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"price_range_68": {
"high": 73541.4834,
"low": 71797.4166
},
"price_range_95": {
"high": 74326.31345999999,
"low": 71012.58653999999
},
"raw_refs": {},
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {
"ml_score": -0.19520042315055766,
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"realized_vol_short": 0.012
},
"sl_hard": 65402.505,
"sl_soft": 68018.60519999999,
"tp1": 73105.4667,
"tp2": 73497.88173000001
},
"rag_judge": {
"accepted_refs": [],
"confidence": null,
"consistency_score": null,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://139806",
"title": "None",
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
],
"rejected_refs": [],
"relevance_score": null,
"signal": {},
"usable": null
},
"risk": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"active_risk_factors": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://139650",
"artifact://139832",
"artifact://139773"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://139650",
"artifact://139832",
"artifact://139773"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": 7.26630470010025e-05
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://139650",
"artifact://139832",
"artifact://139773"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"autotrade_allowed": true,
"blocking_risks": [],
"caution_risks": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://139650",
"artifact://139832",
"artifact://139773"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://139650",
"artifact://139832",
"artifact://139773"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": 7.26630470010025e-05
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://139650",
"artifact://139832",
"artifact://139773"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"confidence": 0.5884333143633431,
"confidence_after_risk": 0.3368666287266863,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.3921845592312667,
"constraints": {},
"degraded_dependencies": [],
"explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.20); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.39-\u003e0.34.",
"explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
"explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.20); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.39-\u003e0.34.",
"manual_review_required": false,
"max_position": 25.0,
"mitigations": [
"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
],
"mode": "degraded",
"ok": true,
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://139650",
"portfolio": "artifact://139773",
"rag": [],
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://139832"
},
"reasons": [
"model_degraded_or_fallback",
"policy_short_not_allowed",
"strategy_timing_weak"
],
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://139650",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
},
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://139832",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
},
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://139773",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
}
],
"risk_breakdown": {
"data_risk": {
"score": 0.3333333333333333,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"event_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"execution_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"liquidity_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"market_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"model_risk": {
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated"
},
"policy_risk": {
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high"
},
"portfolio_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"signal_risk": {
"score": 0.3674442593044085,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"strategy_risk": {
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"system_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
}
},
"risk_confidence": 0.8,
"risk_level": "low",
"risk_score": 0.20150108704290645,
"risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.20); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"signal": {},
"stop_loss": 0.03878753
},
"sentiment": {
"action": null,
"bias": null,
"confidence": null,
"constraints": {},
"event_strength": null,
"explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "narratives",
"ref": "artifact://139714",
"title": "None",
"why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
}
],
"sentiment_score": null,
"signal": {}
},
"strategy": {
"action": "sell",
"confidence": 0.3921845592312667,
"constraints": {
"allow_short": null,
"blacklist": [],
"horizon": null,
"max_leverage": null,
"max_position_usd": null,
"preferred_assets": [],
"style": null
},
"explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
"mode": "deterministic",
"profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://139650",
"ml": [
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://139788\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8400673285106479}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://139790\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9497482677029874}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://139792\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9478994620105288}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://139793\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9164529302481796}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://139794\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9164529302481796}",
"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://139795\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9164529302481796}"
],
"narratives": "artifact://139714",
"news": [],
"rag": []
},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://139650",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
},
{
"kind": "narratives",
"ref": "artifact://139714",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://139788",
"title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://139790",
"title": "tp_3sl:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://139792",
"title": "sl_3tp:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://139793",
"title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://139794",
"title": "ensemble.price:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
},
{
"kind": "ml_prediction",
"ref": "artifact://139795",
"title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
"why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": "BTC",
"bias": "bearish",
"blockers": [],
"direction": "down",
"factors": [
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"macro_structural_bias",
"long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
],
"macd_hist": null,
"macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
"macro_agent_weight": 0.43738849379545286,
"macro_structural_score": -0.08776678065316355,
"market_momentum": 7.26630470010025e-05,
"ml_score": -0.19520042315055766,
"narrative_score": 0.0,
"news_score": 0.0,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"price_vs_slow": 0.0,
"reason_codes": [
"direction_sell"
],
"regime": null,
"rsi": null,
"score": -0.10721475729528744,
"score_deadband": 0.042,
"source": "deterministic_fallback"
}
},
"supervisor": {
"action": "hold",
"blocking_factors": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"confidence": 0.3921845592312667,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
"mode": "degraded",
"overrides": [
"price_safety_override"
],
"raw_refs": {},
"reasons": [
"synthetic_price_only"
],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "compliance",
"ref": "artifact://139777",
"title": "None",
"why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
},
{
"kind": "portfolio",
"ref": "artifact://139773",
"title": "None",
"why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
},
{
"kind": "macro",
"ref": "artifact://139760",
"title": "None",
"why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
},
{
"kind": "ml_judge",
"ref": "artifact://139810",
"title": "None",
"why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
},
{
"kind": "rag_judge",
"ref": "artifact://139806",
"title": "None",
"why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": null,
"blockers": [],
"max_position": 6.25,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"risk_confidence": 0.5884333143633431,
"risk_ok": true,
"source": "deterministic_fallback",
"stop_loss": 0.03878753,
"strategy_action": "sell",
"strategy_confidence": 0.3921845592312667
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"winner_factors": [
"risk_approved",
"compliance_clear",
"onchain_bullish_confirmation"
]
},
"trading": {
"action": "sell",
"confidence": 0.3821486321412845,
"constraints": {},
"explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
"mode": "deterministic",
"raw_refs": {
"compliance": "artifact://139777",
"execution": "artifact://139852",
"risk_agent_output": "artifact://139845",
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://139832"
},
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://139832",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
},
{
"kind": "risk_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://139845",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
},
{
"kind": "execution_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://139852",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
},
{
"kind": "compliance_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://139777",
"title": "None",
"why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
}
],
"signal": {
"asset": null,
"blockers": [],
"max_position": 6.25,
"pair": "BTC/USDT",
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"risk_confidence": 0.5884333143633431,
"risk_ok": true,
"source": "deterministic_fallback",
"stop_loss": 0.03878753,
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}
},
"trend": {
"confidence": 0.22,
"constraints": {},
"continuation_probability": 0.42,
"evidence": [
"market.momentum",
"ml.directional_bias"
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"explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
"invalidators": [
"momentum_flip",
"range_break_against_direction"
],
"mode": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
"reasons": [],
"refs_used": [],
"reversal_probability": 0.58,
"signal": {
"ml_direction": "down",
"momentum": 0.0
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"trend_direction": "flat",
"trend_horizon": "intraday",
"trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
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},
"confidence": 0.3,
"debug": {
"compliance": {
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.0,
"decision_override": null,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output"
],
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {},
"trading_allowed": true,
"violations": []
},
"evidence": {
"compliance": "artifact://139777",
"macro": "artifact://139760",
"market": {
"liquidity": "artifact://139639",
"ohlcv": "artifact://139630",
"price": "artifact://139644",
"snapshot": "artifact://139650"
},
"ml": [
"artifact://139788",
"artifact://139790",
"artifact://139792",
"artifact://139793",
"artifact://139794",
"artifact://139795"
],
"narratives": "chroma://narratives/db38ac298a5f16bb2ecc6579",
"news": [],
"portfolio": "artifact://139773",
"rag": []
},
"execution": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_liquidity",
"ref": "artifact://139639",
"title": null,
"why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
},
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://139650",
"title": null,
"why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
}
]
},
"execution_plan": {
"amount": null,
"execution_style": null,
"expected_price": null,
"market_type": "spot",
"max_slippage_bps": null,
"notional_usd": 100.0,
"order_type": null,
"reduce_only": false,
"sandbox": null,
"side": null,
"slices": null,
"symbol": "BTC/USDT",
"time_in_force": "GTC",
"timeframe": "1h",
"venue": "binance"
},
"judgements": {
"ml_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://139810",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
]
},
"rag_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://139806",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
]
}
},
"macro": {
"action": "hold",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"bias": "neutral",
"confidence": 0.5145746985828857,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasons": [
"quality.llm_invalid_output",
"macro.structural_fallback"
],
"refs_used": [],
"regime": "neutral",
"signal": {
"macro_regime": "neutral",
"macro_structural_factors": [
"crypto_macro_score",
"usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
"equity_risk_off"
],
"macro_structural_score": -0.08776678065316355
}
},
"meta_decision": {
"action": "paper_only",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.2294,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"edge_score": 0.2549,
"entry_quality_score": 0.42,
"execution_vote": "allow",
"expected_value_score": 0.209,
"explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reason_codes": [
"ml_trust_low"
],
"refs_used": [],
"risk_vote": "allow",
"should_trade": false,
"signal": {
"calibration_score": null,
"drift_detected": false,
"health_state": "unknown",
"ml_trust": 0.0,
"synthetic_price": true,
"trend_direction": "flat"
},
"size_multiplier": 0.0,
"skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
"trend_alignment_score": 0.4
},
"ml_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "ml_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://139810",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
}
]
},
"onchain": {
"action": "buy",
"autotrade_safe": false,
"bearish_signals": [
"mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
],
"bias": "bullish",
"bullish_signals": [
"cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
"taker_buy_dominant:1.42 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure)",
"fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
],
"confidence": 0.6856,
"data_quality": "live",
"derivatives_signal": "neutral",
"exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
"explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.328). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); taker_buy_dominant:1.42 \u2014 aggressive market buying (bullish pressure); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:2_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
"extra_metrics": {
"avg_funding_rate": 1.1655977061999974e-06,
"btc_dominance_pct": 57.23892688438785,
"btc_hash_rate": 918774730472.7507,
"btc_tx_count_24h": 510675,
"defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 4.653490212683018,
"defi_tvl_usd": 95791525374.0,
"fear_greed_index": 15.0,
"fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
"market_cap_change_24h_pct": 1.2977436837149743,
"mempool_fastest_fee": 2.0,
"okx_funding_rate": 6.31611954124e-05
},
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"mode": "deterministic",
"needs_manual_review": false,
"network_signal": "shrinking",
"onchain_available": true,
"quality": "trusted",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "onchain_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://139764",
"title": null,
"why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
}
],
"score": 0.328,
"sources_count": 10,
"valuation_signal": "unknown"
},
"portfolio": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://139773",
"title": null,
"why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
}
]
},
"price": {
"autotrade_safe": false,
"confidence": 0.3866,
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"expected_close": 66855.894,
"expected_high": 67658.164728,
"expected_low": 66053.623272,
"expected_move_pct": -8.0,
"explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"horizon": "1h",
"llm_status": "exception",
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"path_shape": "trend",
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"price_range_68": {
"high": 73541.4834,
"low": 71797.4166
},
"price_range_95": {
"high": 74326.31345999999,
"low": 71012.58653999999
},
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
"refs_used": [],
"signal": {
"ml_score": -0.19520042315055766,
"predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
"realized_vol_short": 0.012
},
"sl_hard": 65402.505,
"sl_soft": 68018.60519999999,
"tp1": 73105.4667,
"tp2": 73497.88173000001
},
"rag_judge": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "rag_judgement",
"ref": "artifact://139806",
"title": null,
"why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
}
]
},
"risk": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"active_risk_factors": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://139650",
"artifact://139832",
"artifact://139773"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://139650",
"artifact://139832",
"artifact://139773"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": 7.26630470010025e-05
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://139650",
"artifact://139832",
"artifact://139773"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"autotrade_allowed": true,
"autotrade_safe": false,
"blocking_risks": [],
"caution_risks": [
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"ml_mode": null,
"signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
},
"explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
"id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
"mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://139650",
"artifact://139832",
"artifact://139773"
],
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated",
"source": "ml.prediction",
"title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
"type": "model_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"allow_short": false
},
"explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
"id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
"mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"refs": [
"artifact://139650",
"artifact://139832",
"artifact://139773"
],
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high",
"source": "risk_prefs",
"title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
"type": "policy_risk"
},
{
"blocking": false,
"evidence": {
"momentum": 7.26630470010025e-05
},
"explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
"id": "strategy_timing_weak",
"mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
"refs": [
"artifact://139650",
"artifact://139832",
"artifact://139773"
],
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate",
"source": "strategy.signal",
"title": "Strategy timing risk",
"type": "strategy_risk"
}
],
"confidence": 0.5884333143633431,
"confidence_after_risk": 0.3368666287266863,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.3921845592312667,
"degraded_dependencies": [],
"deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
"explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.20); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.39-\u003e0.34.",
"explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
"explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.20); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.39-\u003e0.34.",
"llm_status": "exception",
"manual_review_required": false,
"max_position": 25.0,
"meta": {
"allow_short": false,
"max_leverage": 1.0,
"missing_inputs": [
"metrics.atr_pct",
"metrics.spread_bps"
],
"strategy_action": "sell",
"volatility": null
},
"mitigations": [
"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
"Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
],
"mode": "degraded",
"needs_manual_review": true,
"ok": true,
"quality": "degraded",
"raw_refs": {
"market_snapshot": "artifact://139650",
"portfolio": "artifact://139773",
"rag": [],
"strategy_agent_output": "artifact://139832"
},
"reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"reasons": [
"model_degraded_or_fallback",
"policy_short_not_allowed",
"strategy_timing_weak"
],
"recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "market_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://139650",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
},
{
"kind": "strategy_agent_output",
"ref": "artifact://139832",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
},
{
"kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
"ref": "artifact://139773",
"title": null,
"why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
}
],
"risk_breakdown": {
"data_risk": {
"score": 0.3333333333333333,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"event_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"execution_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"liquidity_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"market_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"model_risk": {
"score": 0.68,
"severity": "elevated"
},
"policy_risk": {
"score": 0.72,
"severity": "high"
},
"portfolio_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
},
"signal_risk": {
"score": 0.3674442593044085,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"strategy_risk": {
"score": 0.44,
"severity": "moderate"
},
"system_risk": {
"score": 0.0,
"severity": "low"
}
},
"risk_confidence": 0.8,
"risk_impact": {
"action_after_risk": "sell",
"action_before_risk": "sell",
"blocked_by": [],
"confidence_after_risk": 0.3368666287266863,
"confidence_before_risk": 0.3921845592312667,
"final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.20); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"overrides": [
"forbid_short",
"reduce_size"
],
"size_modifier": 0.25
},
"risk_level": "low",
"risk_score": 0.20150108704290645,
"risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.20); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
"stop_loss": 0.03878753
},
"sentiment": {
"error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
"explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
"mode": "llm_error",
"model": "gemma3:12b",
"raw_refs": {},
"reason": "quality.llm_exception",
"refs_used": [
{
"kind": "narratives",
"ref": "artifact://139714",
"title": null,
"why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
}
]
},
"strategy": {
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