Logs & Traces

{
  "artifacts": [
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.849548+00:00",
      "id": 287221,
      "kind": "decision.run.result",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://286945",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144960515691821,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08748589846136468
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.1567,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1285,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://287124",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish)",
              "fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish); fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287078",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.228,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.2522,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 74321.90439871621,
            "expected_high": 75213.76725150082,
            "expected_low": 73430.04154593161,
            "expected_move_pct": 0.1436420774640946,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "chop",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 75105.8836,
              "low": 73324.7164
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 75907.40884,
              "low": 72523.19116
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.0031920461658687693,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 73284.640138,
            "sl_soft": 73770.0082,
            "tp1": 74767.1961987162,
            "tp2": 75167.95881871622
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://287120",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
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            ],
            "confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.2180306174559428,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.24103322119903764,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [
              "strategy_agent_degraded"
            ],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
              "portfolio": "artifact://287087",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287146",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://287020",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.24103322119903764,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8274302727467299}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8993119999389683}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9110725807768418}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287107\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287108\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287109\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://287020",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://287020",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287102",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287104",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287106",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287107",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287108",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287109",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "neutral",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "neutral",
              "factors": [
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4373216438338048,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08748589846136468,
              "market_momentum": -0.0008326921536433651,
              "ml_score": 0.0031920461658687693,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "hold_deadband"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.01752768433253136,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "confidence": 0.27400786188490794,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://287091",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://287074",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://287124",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://287120",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.24103322119903764
            },
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
            ]
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.27400786188490794,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://287091",
              "execution": "artifact://287166",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://287159",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287146",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287159",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287166",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287091",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.24103322119903764
            }
          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "neutral",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "confidence": 0.2,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://287091",
            "macro": "artifact://287074",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://286945",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://286936",
              "price": "artifact://286950",
              "snapshot": "artifact://286956"
            },
            "ml": [
              "artifact://287102",
              "artifact://287104",
              "artifact://287106",
              "artifact://287107",
              "artifact://287108",
              "artifact://287109"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://287087",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://286945",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://287124",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://287120",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
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          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144960515691821,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
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              "macro_structural_score": -0.08748589846136468
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1567,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1285,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
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              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
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            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://287124",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
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          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish)",
              "fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish); fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": -0.00010049007385525001,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 57.3786328204549,
              "btc_hash_rate": 1056936344077.6755,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 575027,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 2.125708417242496,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 96951997505.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 21.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": 1.2677001838513602,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": -0.0001486401477105
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            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287078",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
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            ],
            "score": 0.228,
            "sources_count": 10,
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          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2522,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 74321.90439871621,
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            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "chop",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 75105.8836,
              "low": 73324.7164
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            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 75907.40884,
              "low": 72523.19116
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            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.0031920461658687693,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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            "sl_hard": 73284.640138,
            "sl_soft": 73770.0082,
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            "tp2": 75167.95881871622
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://287120",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
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                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
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                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
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                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
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                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
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              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
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                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
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                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
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                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
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                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
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            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
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                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
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                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
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              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
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                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
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                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
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                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
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                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
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            ],
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            "confidence_after_risk": 0.2180306174559428,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.24103322119903764,
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            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
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              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "volatility": null
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            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
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            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
              "portfolio": "artifact://287087",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287146",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "hold",
              "action_before_risk": "hold",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.2180306174559428,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.24103322119903764,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "allow"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833
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          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://287020",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "hold",
            "action_tradeable": false,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.24103322119903764,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8274302727467299}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8993119999389683}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9110725807768418}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287107\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287108\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287109\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://287020",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://287020",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287102",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287104",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287106",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287107",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287108",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287109",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "neutral",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "neutral",
              "factors": [
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4373216438338048,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08748589846136468,
              "market_momentum": -0.0008326921536433651,
              "ml_score": 0.0031920461658687693,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
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low a\u0027, \u0027override_explanation\u0027: None}, \u0027trend_agent\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027trend_direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027trend_phase\u0027: \u0027mean_reversion\u0027, \u0027trend_horizon\u0027: \u0027intraday\u0027, \u0027trend_strength\u0027: 0.0, \u0027continuation_probability\u0027: 0.42, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: 0.58, \u0027invalidators\u0027: [\u0027momentum_flip\u0027, \u0027range_break_against_direction\u0027], \u0027evidence\u0027: [\u0027market.momentum\u0027, \u0027ml.directional_bias\u0027], \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.22, \u0027reasoning_summary\u0027: \u0027Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027momentum\u0027: 0.0, \u0027ml_direction\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027}, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027deterministic_route_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded_deterministic\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {}}, \u0027price_agent\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027expected_close\u0027: 74321.90439871621, \u0027expected_high\u0027: 75213.76725150082, \u0027expected_low\u0027: 73430.04154593161, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: 0.1436420774640946, \u0027price_range_68\u0027: {\u0027low\u0027: 73324.7164, \u0027high\u0027: 75105.8836}, \u0027price_range_95\u0027: {\u0027low\u0027: 72523.19116, \u0027high\u0027: 75907.40884}, \u0027tp1\u0027: 74767.1961987162, \u0027tp2\u0027: 75167.95881871622, \u0027sl_soft\u0027: 73770.0082, \u0027sl_hard\u0027: 73284.640138, \u0027path_shape\u0027: \u0027chop\u0027, \u0027horizon\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: True, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.2522, \u0027reasoning_summary\u0027: \u0027Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027ml_score\u0027: 0.0031920461658687693, \u0027realized_vol_short\u0027: 0.012, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: True}, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027deterministic_route_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded_deterministic\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {}}, \u0027meta_decision\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozill\u2026"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287220",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.837069+00:00",
      "id": 287219,
      "kind": "decision.step.decision_bundle",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://286945",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144960515691821,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08748589846136468
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.1567,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1285,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://287124",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish)",
              "fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish); fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287078",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.228,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.2522,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 74321.90439871621,
            "expected_high": 75213.76725150082,
            "expected_low": 73430.04154593161,
            "expected_move_pct": 0.1436420774640946,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "chop",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 75105.8836,
              "low": 73324.7164
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 75907.40884,
              "low": 72523.19116
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.0031920461658687693,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 73284.640138,
            "sl_soft": 73770.0082,
            "tp1": 74767.1961987162,
            "tp2": 75167.95881871622
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://287120",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.2180306174559428,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.24103322119903764,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [
              "strategy_agent_degraded"
            ],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
              "portfolio": "artifact://287087",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287146",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://287020",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.24103322119903764,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8274302727467299}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8993119999389683}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9110725807768418}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287107\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287108\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287109\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://287020",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://287020",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287102",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287104",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287106",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287107",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287108",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287109",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "neutral",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "neutral",
              "factors": [
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4373216438338048,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08748589846136468,
              "market_momentum": -0.0008326921536433651,
              "ml_score": 0.0031920461658687693,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "hold_deadband"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.01752768433253136,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "confidence": 0.27400786188490794,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://287091",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://287074",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://287124",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://287120",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.24103322119903764
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            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
            ]
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.27400786188490794,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://287091",
              "execution": "artifact://287166",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://287159",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287146",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287159",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287166",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287091",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.24103322119903764
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          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
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            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "neutral",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "confidence": 0.2,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://287091",
            "macro": "artifact://287074",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://286945",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://286936",
              "price": "artifact://286950",
              "snapshot": "artifact://286956"
            },
            "ml": [
              "artifact://287102",
              "artifact://287104",
              "artifact://287106",
              "artifact://287107",
              "artifact://287108",
              "artifact://287109"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://287087",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://286945",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://287124",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://287120",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
            }
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144960515691821,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
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              "macro_structural_score": -0.08748589846136468
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1567,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1285,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://287124",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
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            ]
          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish)",
              "fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish); fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": -0.00010049007385525001,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 57.3786328204549,
              "btc_hash_rate": 1056936344077.6755,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 575027,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 2.125708417242496,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 96951997505.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 21.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": 1.2677001838513602,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": -0.0001486401477105
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            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287078",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
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            ],
            "score": 0.228,
            "sources_count": 10,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
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          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2522,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 74321.90439871621,
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            "expected_low": 73430.04154593161,
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            "horizon": "1h",
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            "mode": "degraded",
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            "path_shape": "chop",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 75105.8836,
              "low": 73324.7164
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            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 75907.40884,
              "low": 72523.19116
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            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.0031920461658687693,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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            "sl_hard": 73284.640138,
            "sl_soft": 73770.0082,
            "tp1": 74767.1961987162,
            "tp2": 75167.95881871622
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://287120",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
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                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
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                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
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            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
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                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
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                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
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                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
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            ],
            "confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.2180306174559428,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.24103322119903764,
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            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
              "portfolio": "artifact://287087",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287146",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "hold",
              "action_before_risk": "hold",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.2180306174559428,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.24103322119903764,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "allow"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://287020",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "hold",
            "action_tradeable": false,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.24103322119903764,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
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              "ml": [
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              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
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            "quality": "degraded",
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                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
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              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
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              "degraded_sources": [],
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              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
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            "severity": "low"
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          "liquidity_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "market_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "model_risk": {
            "score": 0.68,
            "severity": "elevated"
          },
          "policy_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "portfolio_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "signal_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "strategy_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "system_risk": {
            "score": 0.7,
            "severity": "high"
          }
        },
        "risk_confidence": 0.65,
        "risk_level": "low",
        "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
        "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
        "timeframe": "1h",
        "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d",
        "ts": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.826648+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287218",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.829497+00:00",
      "id": 287217,
      "kind": "decision.bundle",
      "payload": {
        "action": "unknown",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://286945",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144960515691821,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08748589846136468
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.1567,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1285,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://287124",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish)",
              "fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish); fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287078",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.228,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.2522,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 74321.90439871621,
            "expected_high": 75213.76725150082,
            "expected_low": 73430.04154593161,
            "expected_move_pct": 0.1436420774640946,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "chop",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 75105.8836,
              "low": 73324.7164
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 75907.40884,
              "low": 72523.19116
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": 0.0031920461658687693,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 73284.640138,
            "sl_soft": 73770.0082,
            "tp1": 74767.1961987162,
            "tp2": 75167.95881871622
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://287120",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "degraded_dependencies": [
                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
                  ]
                },
                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
                "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
                "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
                ],
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
                "type": "system_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.2180306174559428,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.24103322119903764,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [
              "strategy_agent_degraded"
            ],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
              "portfolio": "artifact://287087",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287146",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://287020",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.24103322119903764,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8274302727467299}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8993119999389683}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9110725807768418}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287107\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287108\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287109\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://287020",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://287020",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287102",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287104",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287106",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287107",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287108",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287109",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "neutral",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "neutral",
              "factors": [
                "macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.4373216438338048,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08748589846136468,
              "market_momentum": -0.0008326921536433651,
              "ml_score": 0.0031920461658687693,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "hold_deadband"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.01752768433253136,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [],
            "confidence": 0.27400786188490794,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://287091",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://287074",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://287124",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://287120",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.24103322119903764
            },
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear",
              "deterministic_arbitration"
            ]
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "hold",
            "confidence": 0.27400786188490794,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://287091",
              "execution": "artifact://287166",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://287159",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287146",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287159",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287166",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287091",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 100.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
              "risk_confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.24103322119903764
            }
          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
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            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
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            "refs_used": [],
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              "momentum": 0.0
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            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
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            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
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            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
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            "mode": "degraded",
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            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
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            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
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            "macro": "artifact://287074",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://286945",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://286936",
              "price": "artifact://286950",
              "snapshot": "artifact://286956"
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            "ml": [
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              "artifact://287104",
              "artifact://287106",
              "artifact://287107",
              "artifact://287108",
              "artifact://287109"
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            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://287087",
            "rag": []
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            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://286945",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://287124",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
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            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
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                  "ref": "artifact://287120",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
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          },
          "macro": {
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            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5144960515691821,
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            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
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            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
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                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.1567,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1285,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
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            "refs_used": [],
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            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
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              "synthetic_price": true,
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          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://287124",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
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          "onchain": {
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            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish)",
              "fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish"
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            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish); fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": -0.00010049007385525001,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 57.3786328204549,
              "btc_hash_rate": 1056936344077.6755,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 575027,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 2.125708417242496,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 96951997505.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 21.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": 1.2677001838513602,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": -0.0001486401477105
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            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287078",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
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            "score": 0.228,
            "sources_count": 10,
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          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2522,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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            "path_shape": "chop",
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            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 75105.8836,
              "low": 73324.7164
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              "high": 75907.40884,
              "low": 72523.19116
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            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
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            "tp2": 75167.95881871622
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://287120",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
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          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
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                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
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                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
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              {
                "blocking": false,
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                    "strategy_agent_degraded"
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                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
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                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
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                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
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            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
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                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
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                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
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                "refs": [
                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
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                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
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              {
                "blocking": false,
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                "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
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                  "artifact://286956",
                  "artifact://287146",
                  "artifact://287087"
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                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "pipeline.refs",
                "title": "System/dependency degradation",
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            "confidence_after_risk": 0.2180306174559428,
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            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
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            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "meta": {
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              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
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              "strategy_action": "hold",
              "volatility": null
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            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
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            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
              "portfolio": "artifact://287087",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "system_degraded_dependencies"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://287146",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://287087",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
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            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.7,
                "severity": "high"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.65,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "hold",
              "action_before_risk": "hold",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.2180306174559428,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.24103322119903764,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "allow"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 1.0
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833
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          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://287020",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "hold",
            "action_tradeable": false,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.24103322119903764,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
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              "ml": [
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                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8993119999389683}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9110725807768418}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287107\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287108\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287109\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://287020",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://286956",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://287020",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287102",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287104",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287106",
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                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://287109",
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                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"narratives\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287020\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source\"}]}",
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"portfolio_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287087\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks\"}]}",
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"rag_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287120\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as base evaluation\"}]}",
            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287124\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}]}",
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.795001+00:00",
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      "kind": "decision.step.supervisor_agent",
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        "out": "artifact://287207"
      },
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      "id": 287207,
      "kind": "decision.supervisor_agent.outputs",
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        "autotrade_safe": false,
        "blocking_factors": [],
        "confidence": 0.27400786188490794,
        "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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        "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
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        "needs_manual_review": true,
        "overrides": [],
        "quality": "degraded",
        "raw_refs": {},
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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            "title": null,
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          "confidence_before_risk": 0.24103322119903764,
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          "size_modifier": 1.0
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        "signal": {
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      "ref": "artifact://287207",
      "store": "postgres",
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.790829+00:00",
      "id": 287206,
      "kind": "decision.llm.supervisor.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
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      "ref": "artifact://287206",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.781610+00:00",
      "id": 287205,
      "kind": "decision.llm.supervisor.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are SupervisorAgent \u2014 the final decision maker. You MUST return a JSON object with these exact keys: \\\"action\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". action must be exactly one of: buy, sell, hold. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string explaining your decision. When strategy AND risk both agree on a direction with confidence \u003e= 0.5, the final action MUST match that direction. Use hold ONLY when evidence is genuinely contradictory or all signals are weak.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Arbitrate all agent outputs into final decision action and confidence.\u0027, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027action\u0027: \u0027hold\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.5144960515691821, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\u0027, \u0027reasons\u0027: [\u0027quality.llm_invalid_output\u0027, \u0027macro.structural_fallback\u0027], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027macro_regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08748589846136468, \u0027macro_structural_factors\u0027: [\u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027, \u0027usd_strong_crypto_headwind\u0027, \u0027equity_risk_off\u0027]}, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027deterministic_route_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded_deterministic\u0027, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {}}, \u0027sentiment\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027llm_error\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027quality.llm_exception\u0027, \u0027error\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027model\u0027: \u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287020\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}], \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.\u0027}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027hold\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.24103322119903764, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: False, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: -0.01752768433253136, \u0027ml_score\u0027: 0.0031920461658687693, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08748589846136468, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.4373216438338048, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: -0.0008326921536433651, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027hold_deadband\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. 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      "store": "postgres",
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.778627+00:00",
      "id": 287204,
      "kind": "decision.supervisor_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
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          "confidence": 0.0,
          "decision_override": null,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "quality.llm_invalid_output"
          ],
          "refs_used": [],
          "signal": {},
          "trading_allowed": true,
          "violations": []
        },
        "execution": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
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            {
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        },
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          "bias": "neutral",
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          "raw_refs": {},
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            "macro.structural_fallback"
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          "refs_used": [],
          "regime": "neutral",
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              "equity_risk_off"
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            "macro_structural_score": -0.08748589846136468
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        },
        "ml_judge": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
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          "model": "gemma3:12b",
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          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "ml_judgement",
              "ref": "artifact://287124",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
            }
          ]
        },
        "portfolio": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://287087",
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              "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
            }
          ]
        },
        "price": {
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.2522,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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          "expected_high": 75213.76725150082,
          "expected_low": 73430.04154593161,
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          "horizon": "1h",
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          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "path_shape": "chop",
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          "price_range_68": {
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          "price_range_95": {
            "high": 75907.40884,
            "low": 72523.19116
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          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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          "refs_used": [],
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            "ml_score": 0.0031920461658687693,
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            "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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          "sl_hard": 73284.640138,
          "sl_soft": 73770.0082,
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          "tp2": 75167.95881871622
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        "rag_judge": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "rag_judgement",
              "ref": "artifact://287120",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
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          ]
        },
        "requirements": {
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            "mode",
            "action",
            "confidence",
            "winner_factors",
            "blocking_factors",
            "overrides",
            "signal",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "refs_used"
          ],
          "must_apply_compliance_override": true,
          "must_output_json_only": true
        },
        "risk": {
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          "action_before_risk": "hold",
          "active_risk_factors": [
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "ml_mode": null,
                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
              },
              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
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                "artifact://286956",
                "artifact://287146",
                "artifact://287087"
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              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
              "type": "model_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "degraded_dependencies": [
                  "strategy_agent_degraded"
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              },
              "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
              "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
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                "artifact://286956",
                "artifact://287146",
                "artifact://287087"
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              "score": 0.7,
              "severity": "high",
              "source": "pipeline.refs",
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          ],
          "autotrade_allowed": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "blocking_risks": [],
          "caution_risks": [
            {
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              "evidence": {
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                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
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              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
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                "artifact://286956",
                "artifact://287146",
                "artifact://287087"
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              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
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            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
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                "degraded_dependencies": [
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              },
              "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
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                "artifact://286956",
                "artifact://287146",
                "artifact://287087"
              ],
              "score": 0.7,
              "severity": "high",
              "source": "pipeline.refs",
              "title": "System/dependency degradation",
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          ],
          "confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.2180306174559428,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.24103322119903764,
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          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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          "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
          "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
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            "max_leverage": 1.0,
            "missing_inputs": [
              "metrics.atr_pct",
              "metrics.spread_bps"
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            "volatility": null
          },
          "mitigations": [
            "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
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          ],
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "ok": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {
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            "portfolio": "artifact://287087",
            "rag": [],
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
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          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "model_degraded_or_fallback",
            "system_degraded_dependencies"
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          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://286956",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
            },
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://287146",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://287087",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
            }
          ],
          "risk_breakdown": {
            "data_risk": {
              "score": 0.3333333333333333,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "event_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "execution_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "liquidity_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "market_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "model_risk": {
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated"
            },
            "policy_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "portfolio_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "signal_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "strategy_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "system_risk": {
              "score": 0.7,
              "severity": "high"
            }
          },
          "risk_confidence": 0.65,
          "risk_impact": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "blocked_by": [],
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.2180306174559428,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.24103322119903764,
            "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "overrides": [
              "allow"
            ],
            "size_modifier": 1.0
          },
          "risk_level": "low",
          "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
          "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "stop_loss": 0.03715833
        },
        "sentiment": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://287020",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
            }
          ]
        },
        "strategy": {
          "action": "hold",
          "action_tradeable": false,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "neutral",
          "confidence": 0.24103322119903764,
          "constraints": {
            "allow_short": null,
            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
          },
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "disagreement_flags": [],
          "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
            "ml": [
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8274302727467299}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8993119999389683}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9110725807768418}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287107\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287108\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287109\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}"
            ],
            "narratives": "artifact://287020",
            "news": [],
            "rag": []
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://286956",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://287020",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://287102",
              "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://287104",
              "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://287106",
              "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://287107",
              "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://287108",
              "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://287109",
              "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
            "asset": "BTC",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "blockers": [],
            "direction": "neutral",
            "factors": [
              "macro_structural_bias"
            ],
            "macd_hist": null,
            "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
            "macro_agent_weight": 0.4373216438338048,
            "macro_structural_score": -0.08748589846136468,
            "market_momentum": -0.0008326921536433651,
            "ml_score": 0.0031920461658687693,
            "narrative_score": 0.0,
            "news_score": 0.0,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
            "reason_codes": [
              "hold_deadband"
            ],
            "regime": null,
            "rsi": null,
            "score": -0.01752768433253136,
            "score_deadband": 0.042,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback"
          },
          "signal_quality": "degraded"
        },
        "task": "Arbitrate all agent outputs into final decision action and confidence.",
        "trading": {
          "action": "hold",
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.27400786188490794,
          "degradation_blockers": [],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
          "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {
            "compliance": "artifact://287091",
            "execution": "artifact://287166",
            "risk_agent_output": "artifact://287159",
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://287146",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "risk_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://287159",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "execution_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://287166",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
            },
            {
              "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://287091",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
            "asset": null,
            "blockers": [],
            "max_position": 100.0,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
            "risk_confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback",
            "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
            "strategy_action": "hold",
            "strategy_confidence": 0.24103322119903764
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          "signal_quality": "degraded"
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        "trend": {
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.22,
          "continuation_probability": 0.42,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "evidence": [
            "market.momentum",
            "ml.directional_bias"
          ],
          "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
          "invalidators": [
            "momentum_flip",
            "range_break_against_direction"
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          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
          "refs_used": [],
          "reversal_probability": 0.58,
          "signal": {
            "ml_direction": "neutral",
            "momentum": 0.0
          },
          "trend_direction": "flat",
          "trend_horizon": "intraday",
          "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
          "trend_strength": 0.0
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      "ref": "artifact://287204",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.775607+00:00",
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"narratives\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287020\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source\"}]}",
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"portfolio_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287087\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks\"}]}",
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"rag_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287120\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as base evaluation\"}]}",
            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287124\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}]}",
            "{\"action\": \"hold\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"confidence\": 0.27400786188490794, \"degradation_blockers\": [], \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"execution_readiness\": \"not_ready\", \"explanation\": \"TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {\"compliance\": \"artifact://287091\", \"execution\": \"artifact://287166\", \"risk_agent_output\": \"artifact://287159\", \"strategy_agent_output\": \"artifact://287146\"}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"strategy_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287146\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent.\"}, {\"kind\": \"risk_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287159\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent.\"}, {\"kind\": \"execution_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287166\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping.\"}, {\"kind\": \"compliance_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287091\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates.\"}], \"signal\": {\"asset\": null, \"blockers\": [], \"max_position\": 100.0, \"pair\": \"BTC/USDT\", \"recommended_size_modifier\": 1.0, \"risk_confidence\": 0.5290153087279714, \"risk_ok\": true, \"source\": \"deterministic_fallback\", \"stop_loss\": 0.03715833, \"strategy_action\": \"hold\", \"strategy_confidence\": 0.24103322119903764}, \"signal_quality\": \"degraded\"}"
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "onchain_out": "{\"action\": \"buy\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bearish_signals\": [\"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish)\", \"fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish\"], \"confidence\": 0.6656, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish); fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.\", \"extra_metrics\": {\"avg_funding_rate\": -0.00010049007385525001, \"btc_dominance_pct\": 57.3786328204549, \"btc_hash_rate\": 1056936344077.6755, \"btc_tx_count_24h\": 575027, \"defi_tvl_change_7d_pct\": 2.125708417242496, \"defi_tvl_usd\": 96951997505.0, \"fear_greed_index\": 21.0, \"fear_greed_label\": \"Extreme Fear\", \"market_cap_change_24h_pct\": 1.2677001838513602, \"mempool_fastest_fee\": 1.0, \"okx_funding_rate\": -0.0001486401477105}, \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": false, \"network_signal\": \"shrinking\", \"onchain_available\": true, \"quality\": \"trusted\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"onchain_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287078\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Primary on-chain evidence\"}], \"score\": 0.228, \"sources_count\": 10, \"valuation_signal\": \"unknown\"}",
            "price_out": "{\"autotrade_safe\": false, \"confidence\": 0.2522, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"expected_close\": 74321.90439871621, \"expected_high\": 75213.76725150082, \"expected_low\": 73430.04154593161, \"expected_move_pct\": 0.1436420774640946, \"explanation\": \"Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\", \"horizon\": \"1h\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"path_shape\": \"chop\", \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"price_range_68\": {\"high\": 75105.8836, \"low\": 73324.7164}, \"price_range_95\": {\"high\": 75907.40884, \"low\": 72523.19116}, \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"reasoning_summary\": \"Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\", \"refs_used\": [], \"signal\": {\"ml_score\": 0.0031920461658687693, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"realized_vol_short\": 0.012}, \"sl_hard\": 73284.640138, \"sl_soft\": 73770.0082, \"tp1\": 74767.1961987162, \"tp2\": 75167.95881871622}",
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          }
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287203",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.767979+00:00",
      "id": 287202,
      "kind": "decision.trading_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"action\": \"hold\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"confidence\": 0.27400786188490794, \"degradation_blockers\": [], \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"execution_readiness\": \"not_ready\", \"explanation\": \"TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {\"compliance\": \"artifact://287091\", \"execution\": \"artifact://287166\", \"risk_agent_output\": \"artifact://287159\", \"strategy_agent_output\": \"artifact://287146\"}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"strategy_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287146\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent.\"}, {\"kind\": \"risk_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287159\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent.\"}, {\"kind\": \"execution_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287166\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping.\"}, {\"kind\": \"compliance_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287091\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates.\"}], \"signal\": {\"asset\": null, \"blockers\": [], \"max_position\": 100.0, \"pair\": \"BTC/USDT\", \"recommended_size_modifier\": 1.0, \"risk_confidence\": 0.5290153087279714, \"risk_ok\": true, \"source\": \"deterministic_fallback\", \"stop_loss\": 0.03715833, \"strategy_action\": \"hold\", \"strategy_confidence\": 0.24103322119903764}, \"signal_quality\": \"degraded\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287202",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.766355+00:00",
      "id": 287201,
      "kind": "decision.step.trading_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://287197",
        "out": "artifact://287200"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287201",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.764148+00:00",
      "id": 287200,
      "kind": "decision.trading_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "action": "hold",
        "autotrade_safe": false,
        "confidence": 0.27400786188490794,
        "degradation_blockers": [],
        "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
        "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "degraded",
        "needs_manual_review": true,
        "quality": "degraded",
        "raw_refs": {
          "compliance": "artifact://287091",
          "execution": "artifact://287166",
          "risk_agent_output": "artifact://287159",
          "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
        },
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://287146",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
          },
          {
            "kind": "risk_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://287159",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
          },
          {
            "kind": "execution_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://287166",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
          },
          {
            "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
            "ref": "artifact://287091",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
          }
        ],
        "signal": {
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          "blockers": [],
          "max_position": 100.0,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
          "risk_confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
          "risk_ok": true,
          "source": "deterministic_fallback",
          "stop_loss": 0.03715833,
          "strategy_action": "hold",
          "strategy_confidence": 0.24103322119903764
        },
        "signal_quality": "degraded"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287200",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.760661+00:00",
      "id": 287199,
      "kind": "decision.llm.trading.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287199",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.753614+00:00",
      "id": 287198,
      "kind": "decision.llm.trading.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are TradingAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with these exact keys: \\\"action\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". action must be exactly one of: buy, sell, hold. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string. Your job is to translate the strategy recommendation into an executable trade. If strategy says buy/sell with confidence \u003e= 0.50 and risk_ok is true, you MUST follow the strategy direction. Only override to hold if risk explicitly forbids or evidence collapses.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Convert strategy + risk into a final DecisionBundle intent (still not execution).\u0027, \u0027user_text\u0027: \u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027, \u0027risk_prefs\u0027: {}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027hold\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.24103322119903764, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: False, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: -0.01752768433253136, \u0027ml_score\u0027: 0.0031920461658687693, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08748589846136468, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.4373216438338048, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: -0.0008326921536433651, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027hold_deadband\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://286956\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287020\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287107\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287108\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287109\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated:1h\u0027}], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {\u0027market_snapshot\u0027: \u0027artifact://286956\u0027, \u0027news\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: \u0027artifact://287020\u0027, \u0027ml\u0027: [\\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8274302727467299}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8993119999389683}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9110725807768418}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287107\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287108\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287198",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.751331+00:00",
      "id": 287197,
      "kind": "decision.trading_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "requirements": {
          "must_respect_profile_constraints": true,
          "no_execution": true
        },
        "risk": {
          "action_after_risk": "hold",
          "action_before_risk": "hold",
          "active_risk_factors": [
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "ml_mode": null,
                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
              },
              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://286956",
                "artifact://287146",
                "artifact://287087"
              ],
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
              "type": "model_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "degraded_dependencies": [
                  "strategy_agent_degraded"
                ]
              },
              "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
              "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
              "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://286956",
                "artifact://287146",
                "artifact://287087"
              ],
              "score": 0.7,
              "severity": "high",
              "source": "pipeline.refs",
              "title": "System/dependency degradation",
              "type": "system_risk"
            }
          ],
          "autotrade_allowed": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "blocking_risks": [],
          "caution_risks": [
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "ml_mode": null,
                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
              },
              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://286956",
                "artifact://287146",
                "artifact://287087"
              ],
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
              "type": "model_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "degraded_dependencies": [
                  "strategy_agent_degraded"
                ]
              },
              "explanation": "Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.",
              "id": "system_degraded_dependencies",
              "mitigation": "Run in caution mode or force manual review.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://286956",
                "artifact://287146",
                "artifact://287087"
              ],
              "score": 0.7,
              "severity": "high",
              "source": "pipeline.refs",
              "title": "System/dependency degradation",
              "type": "system_risk"
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.5290153087279714,
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.2180306174559428,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.24103322119903764,
          "degraded_dependencies": [
            "strategy_agent_degraded"
          ],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
          "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.",
          "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "manual_review_required": false,
          "max_position": 100.0,
          "meta": {
            "allow_short": false,
            "max_leverage": 1.0,
            "missing_inputs": [
              "metrics.atr_pct",
              "metrics.spread_bps"
            ],
            "strategy_action": "hold",
            "volatility": null
          },
          "mitigations": [
            "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
            "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
          ],
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "ok": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
            "portfolio": "artifact://287087",
            "rag": [],
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
          },
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            "action_before_risk": "hold",
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            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
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            "{\"action\": \"hold\", \"action_tradeable\": false, \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.24103322119903764, \"constraints\": {\"allow_short\": null, \"blacklist\": [], \"horizon\": null, \"max_leverage\": null, \"max_position_usd\": null, \"preferred_assets\": [], \"style\": null}, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"disagreement_flags\": [], \"explanation\": \"StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"profile_summary_text\": \"language=Default\", \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {\"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://286956\", \"ml\": [\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8274302727467299}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8993119999389683}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9110725807768418}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287107\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287108\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287109\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}\"], \"narratives\": \"artifact://287020\", \"news\": [], \"rag\": []}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://286956\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\"}, {\"kind\": \"narratives\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287020\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287102\", \"title\": \"tp_eq_sl:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287104\", \"title\": \"tp_3sl:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287106\", \"title\": \"sl_3tp:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287107\", \"title\": \"ensemble.direction:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287108\", \"title\": \"ensemble.price:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287109\", \"title\": \"ensemble.orchestrated:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}], \"signal\": {\"asset\": \"BTC\", \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"blockers\": [], \"direction\": \"neutral\", \"factors\": [\"macro_structural_bias\"], \"macd_hist\": null, \"macro_agent_signed\": 0.0, \"macro_agent_weight\": 0.4373216438338048, \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08748589846136468, \"market_momentum\": -0.0008326921536433651, \"ml_score\": 0.0031920461658687693, \"narrative_score\": 0.0, \"news_score\": 0.0, \"pair\": \"BTC/USDT\", \"price_vs_slow\": 0.0, \"reason_codes\": [\"hold_deadband\"], \"regime\": null, \"rsi\": null, \"score\": -0.01752768433253136, \"score_deadband\": 0.042, \"source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"signal_quality\": \"degraded\"}",
            "{\"action_after_risk\": \"hold\", \"action_before_risk\": \"hold\", \"active_risk_factors\": [{\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"ml_mode\": null, \"signal_source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"explanation\": \"Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.\", \"id\": \"model_degraded_or_fallback\", \"mitigation\": \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://286956\", \"artifact://287146\", \"artifact://287087\"], \"score\": 0.68, \"severity\": \"elevated\", \"source\": \"ml.prediction\", \"title\": \"Model quality / fallback risk\", \"type\": \"model_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"degraded_dependencies\": [\"strategy_agent_degraded\"]}, \"explanation\": \"Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.\", \"id\": \"system_degraded_dependencies\", \"mitigation\": \"Run in caution mode or force manual review.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://286956\", \"artifact://287146\", \"artifact://287087\"], \"score\": 0.7, \"severity\": \"high\", \"source\": \"pipeline.refs\", \"title\": \"System/dependency degradation\", \"type\": \"system_risk\"}], \"autotrade_allowed\": true, \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"blocking_risks\": [], \"caution_risks\": [{\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"ml_mode\": null, \"signal_source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"explanation\": \"Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.\", \"id\": \"model_degraded_or_fallback\", \"mitigation\": \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://286956\", \"artifact://287146\", \"artifact://287087\"], \"score\": 0.68, \"severity\": \"elevated\", \"source\": \"ml.prediction\", \"title\": \"Model quality / fallback risk\", \"type\": \"model_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"degraded_dependencies\": [\"strategy_agent_degraded\"]}, \"explanation\": \"Some dependencies/refs are missing or degraded, reducing operational confidence.\", \"id\": \"system_degraded_dependencies\", \"mitigation\": \"Run in caution mode or force manual review.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://286956\", \"artifact://287146\", \"artifact://287087\"], \"score\": 0.7, \"severity\": \"high\", \"source\": \"pipeline.refs\", \"title\": \"System/dependency degradation\", \"type\": \"system_risk\"}], \"confidence\": 0.5290153087279714, \"confidence_after_risk\": 0.2180306174559428, \"confidence_before_risk\": 0.24103322119903764, \"degraded_dependencies\": [\"strategy_agent_degraded\"], \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"explanation\": \"Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.\", \"explanation_for_chat\": \"Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, system_degraded_dependencies. Main impact: allow.\", \"explanation_for_ui\": \"Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"manual_review_required\": false, \"max_position\": 100.0, \"meta\": {\"allow_short\": false, \"max_leverage\": 1.0, \"missing_inputs\": [\"metrics.atr_pct\", \"metrics.spread_bps\"], \"strategy_action\": \"hold\", \"volatility\": null}, \"mitigations\": [\"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"Run in caution mode or force manual review.\"], \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"ok\": true, \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {\"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://286956\", \"portfolio\": \"artifact://287087\", \"rag\": [], \"strategy_agent_output\": \"artifact://287146\"}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"reasons\": [\"model_degraded_or_fallback\", \"system_degraded_dependencies\"], \"recommended_size_modifier\": 1.0, \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://286956\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks.\"}, {\"kind\": \"strategy_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287146\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent.\"}, {\"kind\": \"portfolio_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287087\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as portfo\u2026"
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.741744+00:00",
      "id": 287195,
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      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287124\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}]}"
        }
      },
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.740405+00:00",
      "id": 287194,
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.739034+00:00",
      "id": 287193,
      "kind": "decision.ml_judge_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
        "mode": "llm_error",
        "model": "gemma3:12b",
        "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "ml_judgement",
            "ref": "artifact://287124",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
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        ]
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
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    {
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      "kind": "decision.llm.ml_judge.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "id": 287191,
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          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are MLJudgeAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"usable\\\", \\\"trust_score\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". usable must be true or false. trust_score must be a number between 0 and 1. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the ML prediction trustworthiness.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Judge whether ML predictions are trustworthy enough for this decision.\u0027, \u0027ml_judgement\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.450791+00:00\u0027, \u0027usable\u0027: True, \u0027trust_score\u0027: 0.9695749499335778, \u0027horizon_fit\u0027: 1.0, \u0027agreement_score\u0027: 1.0, \u0027reason\u0027: None, \u0027accepted_refs\u0027: [\u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027artifact://287107\u0027, \u0027artifact://287108\u0027, \u0027artifact://287109\u0027], \u0027rejected_refs\u0027: [], \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287124\u0027}, \u0027ml_predictions\u0027: [{\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.392066+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.08137899953409299, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8274302727467299, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.09119072771917724, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0}, \u0027prediction_value\u0027: None, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8274302727467299, \u0027error\u0027: None, \u0027last_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: None, \u0027features_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287101\u0027, \u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027expected_return\u0027: None, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: None, \u0027volatility_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027regime_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: None, \u0027breakout_probability\u0027: None, \u0027mean_reversion_probability\u0027: None, \u0027stop_loss_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027take_profit_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027tp_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027sl_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027risk_reward_estimate\u0027: None, \u0027tradeability_score\u0027: None, \u0027quality_score\u0027: None, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: None, \u0027uncertainty_score\u0027: None, \u0027forecast\u0027: {}}, {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.395700+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.006781837016293625, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8993119999389683, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.09390616304473809, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0}, \u0027prediction_value\u0027: None, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8993119999389683, \u0027error\u0027: None, \u0027last_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: None, \u0027features_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287103\u0027, \u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027expected_return\u0027: None, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: None, \u0027volatility_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027regime_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: None, \u0027breakout_probability\u0027: None, \u0027mean_reversion_probability\u0027: None, \u0027stop_loss_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027take_profit_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027tp_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027sl_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027risk_reward_estimate\u0027: None, \u0027tradeability_score\u0027: None, \u0027quality_score\u0027: None, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: None, \u0027uncertainty_score\u0027: None, \u0027forecast\u0027: {}}, {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.399166+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.08541375008681863, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9110725807768418, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.0035136691363396428, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0}, \u0027prediction_value\u0027: None, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9110725807768418, \u0027error\u0027: None, \u0027last_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: None, \u0027features_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287105\u0027, \u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027expected_return\u0027: None, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: None, \u0027volatility_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027regime_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: None, \u0027breakout_probability\u0027: None, \u0027mean_reversion_probability\u0027: None, \u0027stop_loss_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027take_profit_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027tp_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027sl_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027risk_reward_estimate\u0027: None, \u0027tradeability_score\u0027: None, \u0027quality_score\u0027: None, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: None, \u0027uncertainty_score\u0027: None, \u0027forecast\u0027: {}}, {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.400893+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.06094443443027142, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8773279816477761, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.06172758392195262, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0, \u0027ensemble\u0027: True, \u0027ensemble_mode\u0027: \u0027weighted\u0027, \u0027member_cou\u2026"
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          "kwargs": {}
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          "reason": null,
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          "ts": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.450791+00:00",
          "usable": true
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            "timeframe": "1h",
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            "ts": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.395700+00:00",
            "uncertainty_score": null,
            "volatility_forecast": null
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            "asset": "BTC",
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            "ts": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.399166+00:00",
            "uncertainty_score": null,
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          {
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        },
        "task": "Judge whether ML predictions are trustworthy enough for this decision."
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            "{\"compliance\": \"artifact://287091\", \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://287074\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://286945\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://286936\", \"price\": \"artifact://286950\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://286956\"}, \"ml\": [\"artifact://287102\", \"artifact://287104\", \"artifact://287106\", \"artifact://287107\", \"artifact://287108\", \"artifact://287109\"], \"ml_enrichment\": {\"1h\": {\"direction_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.8773279816477761, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"direction\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8274302727467299, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.6578, \"weight\": 0.6259}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8993119999389683, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.6613, \"weight\": 0.5055}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9110725807768418, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.7699, \"weight\": 0.5962}], \"p_down\": 0.06094443443027142, \"p_side\": 0.8773279816477761, \"p_up\": 0.06172758392195262}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"ensemble_weights\": [{\"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"weight\": 0.6259}, {\"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"weight\": 0.5055}, {\"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"weight\": 0.5962}], \"exit_policy\": {\"atr_base\": 0.01, \"break_even_trigger\": null, \"exit_template\": \"fixed\", \"max_hold_candles\": 24, \"partial_tp_levels\": [{\"fraction\": 0.5, \"target_distance\": 0.015}], \"stop_loss\": 0.01, \"take_profit\": 0.02, \"trailing_activation\": null, \"trailing_callback\": null, \"trend_factor\": 1.0, \"vol_factor\": 1.0}, \"member_scores\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.6578, \"score\": 0.548129, \"threshold_used\": 0.35}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.6613, \"score\": 0.55107, \"threshold_used\": 0.35}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.7699, \"score\": 0.641568, \"threshold_used\": 0.375}], \"price_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.8773279816477761, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"price\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8274302727467299, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.6578, \"weight\": 0.6259}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8993119999389683, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.6613, \"weight\": 0.5055}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9110725807768418, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.7699, \"weight\": 0.5962}], \"p_down\": 0.06094443443027142, \"p_side\": 0.8773279816477761, \"p_up\": 0.06172758392195262}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"regime_confidence\": 0.7778, \"regime_factors\": {\"bollinger_bandwidth\": 0.011401180319755466, \"directional_consistency\": 0.0, \"hurst_exp\": 0.497751882954881, \"is_trend_regime\": 0.0, \"realized_vol_short\": 0.0, \"slope_price\": 0.0, \"trend_persistence\": 0.65, \"vol_expansion\": 0.0}, \"regime_label\": \"range\"}}, \"ml_judge\": \"artifact://287124\", \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": \"artifact://287087\", \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": \"artifact://287120\", \"steps\": {\"chat_con\u2026",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.450791+00:00\u0027 usable=True trust_score=0.9695749499335778 horizon_fit=1.0 agreement_score=1.0 reason=None accepted_refs=[\u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027artifact://287107\u0027, \u0027artifact://287108\u0027, \u0027artifact://287109\u0027] rejected_refs=[] ref=\u0027artifact://287124\u0027\"",
            "[\"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.392066+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.08137899953409299, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8274302727467299, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.09119072771917724, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8274302727467299 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://287101\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://287102\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.395700+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_3sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.006781837016293625, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8993119999389683, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.09390616304473809, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8993119999389683 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://287103\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://287104\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.399166+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027sl_3tp\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.08541375008681863, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9110725807768418, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.0035136691363396428, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.9110725807768418 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://287105\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://287106\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.400893+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027ensemble.direction\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.06094443443027142, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8773279816477761, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.06172758392195262, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0, \u0027ensemble\u0027: True, \u0027ensemble_mode\u0027: \u0027weighted\u0027, \u0027member_count\u0027: 3, \u0027members\u0027: [{\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8274302727467299, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.6259, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.6578, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8993119999389683, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.5055, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.6613, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9110725807768418, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.5962, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.7699, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}], \u0027disagreement_score\u0027: -0.0, \u0027direction_votes\u0027: {\u0027up\u0027: 0, \u0027down\u0027: 0, \u0027flat\u0027: 3}} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8773279816477761 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=True features_ref=\u0027artifact://287101\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://287107\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.402296+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u0027\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287189",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.715637+00:00",
      "id": 287188,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"rag_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287120\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as base evaluation\"}]}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287188",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.714084+00:00",
      "id": 287187,
      "kind": "decision.step.rag_judge_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://287183",
        "out": "artifact://287186"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287187",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.712642+00:00",
      "id": 287186,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
        "mode": "llm_error",
        "model": "gemma3:12b",
        "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "rag_judgement",
            "ref": "artifact://287120",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
          }
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287186",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.709461+00:00",
      "id": 287185,
      "kind": "decision.llm.rag_judge.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287185",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.702721+00:00",
      "id": 287184,
      "kind": "decision.llm.rag_judge.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are RAGJudgeAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"usable\\\", \\\"relevance_score\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". usable must be true or false. relevance_score must be a number between 0 and 1. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the RAG context quality.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Judge whether retrieved RAG context is relevant enough for decision-making.\u0027, \u0027user_text\u0027: \u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027, \u0027rag_judgement\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.443897+00:00\u0027, \u0027usable\u0027: False, \u0027relevance_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027consistency_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027rag.no_refs\u0027, \u0027accepted_refs\u0027: [], \u0027rejected_refs\u0027: [], \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287120\u0027}, \u0027rag_preview\u0027: {\u0027refs\u0027: [], \u0027context_preview\u0027: \u0027\u0027}, \u0027requirements\u0027: {\u0027fields\u0027: [\u0027mode\u0027, \u0027usable\u0027, \u0027relevance_score\u0027, \u0027consistency_score\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027, \u0027accepted_refs\u0027, \u0027rejected_refs\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027, \u0027reasons\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027]}}\\n\\nReturn JSON judging RAG relevance and accepted/rejected refs.\", \"role\": \"user\"}]"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287184",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.701137+00:00",
      "id": 287183,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "rag_judgement": {
          "accepted_refs": [],
          "consistency_score": 0.0,
          "reason": "rag.no_refs",
          "ref": "artifact://287120",
          "rejected_refs": [],
          "relevance_score": 0.0,
          "ts": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.443897+00:00",
          "usable": false
        },
        "rag_preview": {
          "context_preview": "",
          "refs": []
        },
        "requirements": {
          "fields": [
            "mode",
            "usable",
            "relevance_score",
            "consistency_score",
            "confidence",
            "accepted_refs",
            "rejected_refs",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "signal"
          ]
        },
        "task": "Judge whether retrieved RAG context is relevant enough for decision-making.",
        "user_text": "scheduler decision tick"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287183",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.699397+00:00",
      "id": 287182,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
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            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.443897+00:00\u0027 usable=False relevance_score=0.0 consistency_score=0.0 reason=\u0027rag.no_refs\u0027 accepted_refs=[] rejected_refs=[] ref=\u0027artifact://287120\u0027\"",
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.693803+00:00",
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        }
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      "ref": "artifact://287181",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.692391+00:00",
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        "out": "artifact://287179"
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      "ref": "artifact://287180",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
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      "id": 287179,
      "kind": "decision.compliance_agent.outputs",
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        "decision_override": null,
        "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
        "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "degraded",
        "needs_manual_review": true,
        "quality": "degraded",
        "raw_refs": {},
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "reasons": [
          "quality.llm_invalid_output"
        ],
        "refs_used": [],
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      },
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
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      "id": 287178,
      "kind": "decision.llm.compliance.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287178",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.680442+00:00",
      "id": 287177,
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      "payload": {
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            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are ComplianceAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"trading_allowed\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"violations\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". trading_allowed must be true or false. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. violations must be an array of strings (empty if none). explanation must be a brief string summarizing the compliance check.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Apply policy and compliance gates to this decision.\u0027, \u0027compliance_snapshot\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:49.487638+00:00\u0027, \u0027dry_run\u0027: False, \u0027kill_switch\u0027: False, \u0027trading_allowed\u0027: True, \u0027violations\u0027: [], \u0027policy_flags\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027request_meta_runtime_profile\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027exchange\u0027: \u0027binance\u0027, \u0027env\u0027: \u0027local\u0027, \u0027allowed_assets\u0027: [], \u0027allowed_timeframes\u0027: [], \u0027blocked_exchanges\u0027: [], \u0027market_bans\u0027: [], \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027requested_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027allowed_envs\u0027: [], \u0027env_blocked\u0027: False}, \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287091\u0027}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027hold\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.24103322119903764, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: False, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: -0.01752768433253136, \u0027ml_score\u0027: 0.0031920461658687693, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08748589846136468, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.4373216438338048, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: -0.0008326921536433651, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027hold_deadband\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://286956\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287020\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287107\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287108\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287109\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated:1h\u0027}], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {\u0027market_snapshot\u0027: \u0027artifact://286956\u0027, \u0027news\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: \u0027artifact://287020\u0027, \u0027ml\u0027: [\\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8274302727467299}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8993119999389683}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl\u2026"
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.678634+00:00",
      "id": 287176,
      "kind": "decision.compliance_agent.inputs",
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          "dry_run": false,
          "kill_switch": false,
          "policy_flags": {
            "allowed_assets": [],
            "allowed_envs": [],
            "allowed_timeframes": [],
            "asset": "BTC",
            "blocked_exchanges": [],
            "env": "local",
            "env_blocked": false,
            "exchange": "binance",
            "market_bans": [],
            "max_leverage": null,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "requested_leverage": null,
            "source": "request_meta_runtime_profile",
            "timeframe": "1h"
          },
          "ref": "artifact://287091",
          "trading_allowed": true,
          "ts": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.487638+00:00",
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        },
        "requirements": {
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            "decision_override",
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            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "signal"
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            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
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            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:49.478291+00:00\u0027 total_exposure_usd=None net_exposure_usd=None per_asset_exposure={} correlation_risk=None leverage_used=None available_margin=None payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027fallback\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027portfolio.service_unavailable\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027source_notes\u0027: [], \u0027positions_count\u0027: 0, \u0027derived_from_rows\u0027: False} ref=\u0027artifact://287087\u0027\"",
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      "ref": "artifact://287168",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.651777+00:00",
      "id": 287167,
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          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_liquidity\", \"ref\": \"artifact://286945\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry\"}, {\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://286956\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Market snapshot used for execution context\"}]}"
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      "ref": "artifact://287167",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.650600+00:00",
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      "store": "postgres",
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    },
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      "id": 287165,
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        "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
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            "title": null,
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      "ref": "artifact://287165",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
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      "id": 287164,
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        "preview": {
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        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287164",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.636740+00:00",
      "id": 287163,
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          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\"",
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You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"execution_style\\\", \\\"entry_type\\\", \\\"slices\\\", \\\"max_slippage_bps\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". execution_style: one of \\\"market_single\\\", \\\"limit_passive\\\", \\\"twap\\\", \\\"iceberg\\\". confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the chosen execution approach.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Choose execution style for proposed strategy under current risk and market state.\u0027, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027hold\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.24103322119903764, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: False, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: -0.01752768433253136, \u0027ml_score\u0027: 0.0031920461658687693, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08748589846136468, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.4373216438338048, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: -0.0008326921536433651, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027hold_deadband\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. 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          "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking. Action hold -\u003e hold; size x1.00, confidence 0.24-\u003e0.22.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "manual_review_required": false,
          "max_position": 100.0,
          "meta": {
            "allow_short": false,
            "max_leverage": 1.0,
            "missing_inputs": [
              "metrics.atr_pct",
              "metrics.spread_bps"
            ],
            "strategy_action": "hold",
            "volatility": null
          },
          "mitigations": [
            "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
            "Run in caution mode or force manual review."
          ],
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "ok": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
            "portfolio": "artifact://287087",
            "rag": [],
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://287146"
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "model_degraded_or_fallback",
            "system_degraded_dependencies"
          ],
          "recommended_size_modifier": 1.0,
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://286956",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
            },
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://287146",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://287087",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
            }
          ],
          "risk_breakdown": {
            "data_risk": {
              "score": 0.3333333333333333,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "event_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "execution_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "liquidity_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "market_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "model_risk": {
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated"
            },
            "policy_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "portfolio_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "signal_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "strategy_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "system_risk": {
              "score": 0.7,
              "severity": "high"
            }
          },
          "risk_confidence": 0.65,
          "risk_impact": {
            "action_after_risk": "hold",
            "action_before_risk": "hold",
            "blocked_by": [],
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.2180306174559428,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.24103322119903764,
            "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "overrides": [
              "allow"
            ],
            "size_modifier": 1.0
          },
          "risk_level": "low",
          "risk_score": 0.13633333333333333,
          "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.14); 2 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "stop_loss": 0.03715833
        },
        "strategy": {
          "action": "hold",
          "action_tradeable": false,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "neutral",
          "confidence": 0.24103322119903764,
          "constraints": {
            "allow_short": null,
            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
          },
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "disagreement_flags": [],
          "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://286956",
            "ml": [
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287102\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8274302727467299}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287104\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8993119999389683}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287106\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9110725807768418}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287107\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287108\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287109\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8773279816477761}"
            ],
            "narratives": "artifact://287020",
            "news": [],
            "rag": []
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://286956",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://287020",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://287102",
              "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://287104",
              "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://287106",
              "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://287107",
              "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://287108",
              "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://287109",
              "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
            "asset": "BTC",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "blockers": [],
            "direction": "neutral",
            "factors": [
              "macro_structural_bias"
            ],
            "macd_hist": null,
            "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
            "macro_agent_weight": 0.4373216438338048,
            "macro_structural_score": -0.08748589846136468,
            "market_momentum": -0.0008326921536433651,
            "ml_score": 0.0031920461658687693,
            "narrative_score": 0.0,
            "news_score": 0.0,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
            "reason_codes": [
              "hold_deadband"
            ],
            "regime": null,
            "rsi": null,
            "score": -0.01752768433253136,
            "score_deadband": 0.042,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback"
          },
          "signal_quality": "degraded"
        },
        "task": "Choose execution style for proposed strategy under current risk and market state."
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287162",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.627400+00:00",
      "id": 287161,
      "kind": "decision.execution_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
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        "risk_breakdown": {
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          "execution_risk": {
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          "liquidity_risk": {
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          "market_risk": {
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          "policy_risk": {
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          "portfolio_risk": {
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          "strategy_risk": {
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          "system_risk": {
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        "risk_confidence": 0.65,
        "risk_impact": {
          "action_after_risk": "hold",
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asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u0027\u2026",
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    {
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            "\"narrative_id=\u002737e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.581489+00:00\u0027 symbol=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 source=\u0027narratives_enrich\u0027 tags=[\u0027btc/usdt\u0027, \u00271h\u0027, \u0027neutral\u0027] sentiment=0.0 maturity=0.19852469003787665 confidence=0.3965167501352737 embedding_ref=\u0027chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d\u0027 ref=\u0027artifact://287020\u0027 payload={\u0027method\u0027: \u0027lexicon_v1\u0027, \u0027signals\u0027: [\u0027no_lexicon_hits\u0027, \u0027raw=+0.00\u0027], \u0027events_used\u0027: 0, \u0027text_len\u0027: 165, \u0027stored\u0027: True, \u0027collection\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027created_at\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.581489+00:00\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027}\"",
            "[\"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.392066+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.08137899953409299, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8274302727467299, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.09119072771917724, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8274302727467299 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://287101\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://287102\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.395700+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_3sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.006781837016293625, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8993119999389683, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.09390616304473809, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8993119999389683 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://287103\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://287104\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.399166+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027sl_3tp\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.08541375008681863, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9110725807768418, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.0035136691363396428, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.9110725807768418 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://287105\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://287106\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.400893+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027ensemble.direction\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.06094443443027142, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8773279816477761, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.06172758392195262, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0, \u0027ensemble\u0027: True, \u0027ensemble_mode\u0027: \u0027weighted\u0027, \u0027member_count\u0027: 3, \u0027members\u0027: [{\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8274302727467299, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.6259, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.6578, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8993119999389683, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.5055, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.6613, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9110725807768418, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.5962, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.7699, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}], \u0027disagreement_score\u0027: -0.0, \u0027direction_votes\u0027: {\u0027up\u0027: 0, \u0027down\u0027: 0, \u0027flat\u0027: 3}} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8773279816477761 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=True features_ref=\u0027artifact://287101\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://287107\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:52.402296+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u0027\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "macro_out": "{\"action\": \"hold\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.5144960515691821, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\", \"macro.structural_fallback\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"signal\": {\"macro_regime\": \"neutral\", \"macro_structural_factors\": [\"crypto_macro_score\", \"usd_strong_crypto_headwind\", \"equity_risk_off\"], \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08748589846136468}}",
            "macro_snapshot": "\"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:48.033107+00:00\u0027 regime=\u0027neutral\u0027 rates_bias=\u0027neutral\u0027 usd_strength=1.0 equity_risk=0.255625 commodity_risk=0.318125 crypto_macro_score=0.27504700512878444 payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot\u0027, \u0027date\u0027: \u00272026-04-14\u0027, \u0027base_currency\u0027: \u0027USD\u0027, \u0027market\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 74252.65, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2323.3149999999996, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 83.78}, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027dxy\u0027: 118.8552, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.3, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.31, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6886.24, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 23183.74}, \u0027crypto\u0027: {\u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.3786328204549, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2591987388474.01, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 21.0}, \u0027meta\u0027: {\u0027best_effort\u0027: True, \u0027fred\u0027: {\u0027series\u0027: {\u0027DTWEXBGS\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T20:00:46.872730+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.187701, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\\\"}, \u0027DGS2\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.759558+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.7657318, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027DGS10\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T19:00:45.824131+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.2933662, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\\\"}, \u0027SP500\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T17:00:46.566924+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.2398345, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\\\"}, \u0027NASDAQCOM\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.766322+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.5432198, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}}, \u0027macro_degraded\u0027: False, \u0027source_mode\u0027: \u0027fred_observations_api\u0027}, \u0027sources\u0027: {\u0027market\u0027: [\u0027https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\u0027, \u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\u0027], \u0027macro\u0027: [\u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\u0027, \u0027https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027], \u0027crypto\u0027: [\u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\u0027, \u0027https://api.alternative.me/fng/\u0027]}}, \u0027derived\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 74252.65, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2323.3149999999996, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 83.78, \u0027dxy\u0027: 118.8552, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.3, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.31, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6886.24, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 23183.74, \u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.3786328204549, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2591987388474.01, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 21.0, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.255625, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.318125, \u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027: 0.27504700512878444, \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027rates_bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027}} ref=\u0027artifact://287074\u0027\""
          }
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287141",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.509119+00:00",
      "id": 287140,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"narratives\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287020\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source\"}]}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287140",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.508012+00:00",
      "id": 287139,
      "kind": "decision.step.sentiment_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://287135",
        "out": "artifact://287138"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287139",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.506910+00:00",
      "id": 287138,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
        "mode": "llm_error",
        "model": "gemma3:12b",
        "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "narratives",
            "ref": "artifact://287020",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
          }
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287138",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.504517+00:00",
      "id": 287137,
      "kind": "decision.llm.sentiment.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287137",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.498025+00:00",
      "id": 287136,
      "kind": "decision.llm.sentiment.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are SentimentAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"bias\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"sentiment_score\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". bias must be a string: \\\"bullish\\\", \\\"bearish\\\", or \\\"neutral\\\". confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. sentiment_score must be a number between -1 and 1. explanation: brief string summarizing the sentiment reading.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Interpret news + narratives as market sentiment for trading.\u0027, \u0027news_events\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: {\u0027narrative_id\u0027: \u002737e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d\u0027, \u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.581489+00:00\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027, \u0027tags\u0027: [\u0027btc/usdt\u0027, \u00271h\u0027, \u0027neutral\u0027], \u0027sentiment\u0027: 0.0, \u0027maturity\u0027: 0.19852469003787665, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3965167501352737, \u0027embedding_ref\u0027: \u0027chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d\u0027, \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://287020\u0027, \u0027payload\u0027: {\u0027method\u0027: \u0027lexicon_v1\u0027, \u0027signals\u0027: [\u0027no_lexicon_hits\u0027, \u0027raw=+0.00\u0027], \u0027events_used\u0027: 0, \u0027text_len\u0027: 165, \u0027stored\u0027: True, \u0027collection\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027created_at\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.581489+00:00\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027}}, \u0027requirements\u0027: {\u0027fields\u0027: [\u0027mode\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027, \u0027action\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027, \u0027event_strength\u0027, \u0027sentiment_score\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027, \u0027reasons\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027]}}\\n\\nReturn JSON with keys: bias, confidence, sentiment_score.\", \"role\": \"user\"}]"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287136",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.496776+00:00",
      "id": 287135,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "narratives": {
          "confidence": 0.3965167501352737,
          "embedding_ref": "chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d",
          "maturity": 0.19852469003787665,
          "narrative_id": "37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d",
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "payload": {
            "collection": "narratives",
            "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:46.581489+00:00",
            "events_used": 0,
            "method": "lexicon_v1",
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "signals": [
              "no_lexicon_hits",
              "raw=+0.00"
            ],
            "source": "narratives_enrich",
            "stored": true,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "text_len": 165,
            "timeframe": "1h"
          },
          "ref": "artifact://287020",
          "sentiment": 0.0,
          "source": "narratives_enrich",
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "tags": [
            "btc/usdt",
            "1h",
            "neutral"
          ],
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "ts": "2026-04-14T22:00:46.581489+00:00"
        },
        "news_events": [],
        "requirements": {
          "fields": [
            "mode",
            "bias",
            "action",
            "confidence",
            "event_strength",
            "sentiment_score",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "signal"
          ]
        },
        "task": "Interpret news + narratives as market sentiment for trading."
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287135",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.495166+00:00",
      "id": 287134,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"trace_id=\u0027dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\"",
            "{\"compliance\": \"artifact://287091\", \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://287074\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://286945\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://286936\", \"price\": \"artifact://286950\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://286956\"}, \"ml\": [\"artifact://287102\", \"artifact://287104\", \"artifact://287106\", \"artifact://287107\", \"artifact://287108\", \"artifact://287109\"], \"ml_enrichment\": {\"1h\": {\"direction_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.8773279816477761, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"direction\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8274302727467299, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.6578, \"weight\": 0.6259}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8993119999389683, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.6613, \"weight\": 0.5055}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9110725807768418, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.7699, \"weight\": 0.5962}], \"p_down\": 0.06094443443027142, \"p_side\": 0.8773279816477761, \"p_up\": 0.06172758392195262}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"ensemble_weights\": [{\"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"weight\": 0.6259}, {\"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"weight\": 0.5055}, {\"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"weight\": 0.5962}], \"exit_policy\": {\"atr_base\": 0.01, \"break_even_trigger\": null, \"exit_template\": \"fixed\", \"max_hold_candles\": 24, \"partial_tp_levels\": [{\"fraction\": 0.5, \"target_distance\": 0.015}], \"stop_loss\": 0.01, \"take_profit\": 0.02, \"trailing_activation\": null, \"trailing_callback\": null, \"trend_factor\": 1.0, \"vol_factor\": 1.0}, \"member_scores\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.6578, \"score\": 0.548129, \"threshold_used\": 0.35}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.6613, \"score\": 0.55107, \"threshold_used\": 0.35}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.7699, \"score\": 0.641568, \"threshold_used\": 0.375}], \"price_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.8773279816477761, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"price\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8274302727467299, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.6578, \"weight\": 0.6259}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.8993119999389683, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.6613, \"weight\": 0.5055}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9110725807768418, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.7699, \"weight\": 0.5962}], \"p_down\": 0.06094443443027142, \"p_side\": 0.8773279816477761, \"p_up\": 0.06172758392195262}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"regime_confidence\": 0.7778, \"regime_factors\": {\"bollinger_bandwidth\": 0.011401180319755466, \"directional_consistency\": 0.0, \"hurst_exp\": 0.497751882954881, \"is_trend_regime\": 0.0, \"realized_vol_short\": 0.0, \"slope_price\": 0.0, \"trend_persistence\": 0.65, \"vol_expansion\": 0.0}, \"regime_label\": \"range\"}}, \"ml_judge\": \"artifact://287124\", \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": \"artifact://287087\", \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": \"artifact://287120\", \"steps\": {\"chat_con\u2026",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "[]",
            "\"narrative_id=\u002737e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.581489+00:00\u0027 symbol=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 source=\u0027narratives_enrich\u0027 tags=[\u0027btc/usdt\u0027, \u00271h\u0027, \u0027neutral\u0027] sentiment=0.0 maturity=0.19852469003787665 confidence=0.3965167501352737 embedding_ref=\u0027chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d\u0027 ref=\u0027artifact://287020\u0027 payload={\u0027method\u0027: \u0027lexicon_v1\u0027, \u0027signals\u0027: [\u0027no_lexicon_hits\u0027, \u0027raw=+0.00\u0027], \u0027events_used\u0027: 0, \u0027text_len\u0027: 165, \u0027stored\u0027: True, \u0027collection\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027created_at\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.581489+00:00\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027}\""
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "ref": "artifact://287133",
      "store": "postgres",
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        "mode": "degraded",
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        "raw_refs": {},
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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      "store": "postgres",
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:52.482566+00:00",
      "id": 287130,
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        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
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      "ref": "artifact://287130",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
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      "id": 287129,
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            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are MacroAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"regime\\\", \\\"bias\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". regime: current market regime (trend_up, trend_down, range, breakout, high_vol). bias: risk_on or risk_off. confidence: number between 0 and 1. explanation: brief string summarizing the macro environment assessment.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Interpret macro backdrop for current trade decision.\u0027, \u0027macro_snapshot\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:48.033107+00:00\u0027, \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027rates_bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.255625, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.318125, \u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027: 0.27504700512878444, \u0027payload\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot\u0027, \u0027date\u0027: \u00272026-04-14\u0027, \u0027base_currency\u0027: \u0027USD\u0027, \u0027market\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 74252.65, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2323.3149999999996, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 83.78}, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027dxy\u0027: 118.8552, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.3, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.31, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6886.24, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 23183.74}, \u0027crypto\u0027: {\u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.3786328204549, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2591987388474.01, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 21.0}, \u0027meta\u0027: {\u0027best_effort\u0027: True, \u0027fred\u0027: {\u0027series\u0027: {\u0027DTWEXBGS\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T20:00:46.872730+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.187701, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\\\"}, \u0027DGS2\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.759558+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.7657318, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027DGS10\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T19:00:45.824131+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.2933662, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\\\"}, \u0027SP500\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T17:00:46.566924+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.2398345, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\\\"}, \u0027NASDAQCOM\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.766322+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.5432198, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}}, \u0027macro_degraded\u0027: False, \u0027source_mode\u0027: \u0027fred_observations_api\u0027}, \u0027sources\u0027: {\u0027market\u0027: [\u0027https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\u0027, \u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\u0027], \u0027macro\u0027: [\u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\u0027, \u0027https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027], \u0027crypto\u0027: [\u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\u0027, \u0027https://api.alternative.me/fng/\u0027]}}, \u0027derived\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 74252.65, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2323.3149999999996, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 83.78, \u0027dxy\u0027: 118.8552, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.3, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.31, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6886.24, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 23183.74, \u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.3786328204549, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2591987388474.01, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 21.0, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.255625, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.318125, \u0027c\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
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            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "{\"chat_id\": \"scheduler\", \"history\": [], \"language\": \"Default\", \"profile\": {\"meta_inf\": {\"language\": \"Default\"}}, \"profile_summary\": {\"allow_short\": null, \"blacklist\": [], \"horizon\": null, \"language\": \"Default\", \"max_leverage\": null, \"max_position_usd\": null, \"preferred_assets\": [], \"risk_level\": null, \"style\": null, \"summary_text\": \"language=Default\"}, \"profile_summary_ref\": \"artifact://286910\", \"profile_version\": 1, \"user_id\": \"scheduler\"}"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287090",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.481333+00:00",
      "id": 287089,
      "kind": "decision.portfolio_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:49.478291+00:00\u0027 total_exposure_usd=None net_exposure_usd=None per_asset_exposure={} correlation_risk=None leverage_used=None available_margin=None payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027fallback\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027portfolio.service_unavailable\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027source_notes\u0027: [], \u0027positions_count\u0027: 0, \u0027derived_from_rows\u0027: False} ref=\u0027artifact://287087\u0027\""
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287089",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.480066+00:00",
      "id": 287088,
      "kind": "decision.step.portfolio_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "available_margin": null,
        "correlation_risk": null,
        "leverage_used": null,
        "net_exposure_usd": null,
        "payload_source": "fallback",
        "per_asset_exposure": {},
        "ref": "artifact://287087",
        "source_notes": [],
        "total_exposure_usd": null
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287088",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.478845+00:00",
      "id": 287087,
      "kind": "decision.portfolio_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "available_margin": null,
        "correlation_risk": null,
        "leverage_used": null,
        "net_exposure_usd": null,
        "payload": {
          "asset": "BTC",
          "derived_from_rows": false,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "positions_count": 0,
          "reason": "portfolio.service_unavailable",
          "source": "fallback",
          "source_notes": []
        },
        "per_asset_exposure": {},
        "ref": null,
        "total_exposure_usd": null,
        "ts": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.478291+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287087",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.477249+00:00",
      "id": 287086,
      "kind": "decision.portfolio_snapshot.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"trace_id=\u0027dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\"",
            "{\"compliance\": null, \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://287074\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://286945\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://286936\", \"price\": \"artifact://286950\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://286956\"}, \"ml\": [], \"ml_judge\": null, \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": null, \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": null, \"steps\": {\"chat_context\": \"artifact://286914\", \"macro_snapshot\": \"artifact://287075\", \"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://286957\", \"narratives\": \"artifact://287025\", \"news_events\": \"artifact://286966\", \"onchain_agent\": \"artifact://287084\", \"onchain_snapshot\": \"artifact://287079\", \"profile_summary\": \"artifact://286912\", \"rag_context\": \"artifact://286989\"}}",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287086",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.471567+00:00",
      "id": 287085,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"action\": \"buy\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bearish_signals\": [\"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish)\", \"fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish\"], \"confidence\": 0.6656, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish); fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.\", \"extra_metrics\": {\"avg_funding_rate\": -0.00010049007385525001, \"btc_dominance_pct\": 57.3786328204549, \"btc_hash_rate\": 1056936344077.6755, \"btc_tx_count_24h\": 575027, \"defi_tvl_change_7d_pct\": 2.125708417242496, \"defi_tvl_usd\": 96951997505.0, \"fear_greed_index\": 21.0, \"fear_greed_label\": \"Extreme Fear\", \"market_cap_change_24h_pct\": 1.2677001838513602, \"mempool_fastest_fee\": 1.0, \"okx_funding_rate\": -0.0001486401477105}, \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": false, \"network_signal\": \"shrinking\", \"onchain_available\": true, \"quality\": \"trusted\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"onchain_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://287078\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Primary on-chain evidence\"}], \"score\": 0.228, \"sources_count\": 10, \"valuation_signal\": \"unknown\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287085",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.470260+00:00",
      "id": 287084,
      "kind": "decision.step.onchain_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://287082",
        "out": "artifact://287083"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287084",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.468998+00:00",
      "id": 287083,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "action": "buy",
        "autotrade_safe": false,
        "bearish_signals": [
          "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
        ],
        "bias": "bullish",
        "bullish_signals": [
          "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
          "ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish)",
          "fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.6656,
        "data_quality": "live",
        "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
        "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
        "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); ls_ratio_low:0.66 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish); fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
        "extra_metrics": {
          "avg_funding_rate": -0.00010049007385525001,
          "btc_dominance_pct": 57.3786328204549,
          "btc_hash_rate": 1056936344077.6755,
          "btc_tx_count_24h": 575027,
          "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 2.125708417242496,
          "defi_tvl_usd": 96951997505.0,
          "fear_greed_index": 21.0,
          "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
          "market_cap_change_24h_pct": 1.2677001838513602,
          "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
          "okx_funding_rate": -0.0001486401477105
        },
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "deterministic",
        "needs_manual_review": false,
        "network_signal": "shrinking",
        "onchain_available": true,
        "quality": "trusted",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
            "ref": "artifact://287078",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
          }
        ],
        "score": 0.228,
        "sources_count": 10,
        "valuation_signal": "unknown"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287083",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.467639+00:00",
      "id": 287082,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "data_quality": "live",
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "snapshot": {
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          "asset": "BTC",
          "data_quality": "live",
          "exchange_inflow_24h": null,
          "exchange_outflow_24h": null,
          "exchange_reserve": null,
          "funding_rate": -5.234e-05,
          "funding_rate_annualized": -0.0573123,
          "hash_rate": null,
          "liquidations_long_24h_usd": null,
          "liquidations_short_24h_usd": null,
          "long_short_ratio": 0.6562,
          "mvrv_ratio": null,
          "net_exchange_flow": null,
          "nvt_ratio": null,
          "open_interest_change_24h_pct": 7.033590785701821,
          "open_interest_usd": 7406771768.0879,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "realized_price": null,
          "ref": "artifact://287078",
          "sopr": null,
          "sources_used": [
            "binance_funding_rate",
            "binance_open_interest",
            "binance_long_short_ratio",
            "binance_taker_ratio",
            "alternative_me_fng",
            "coingecko_global",
            "blockchain_info",
            "mempool_space",
            "okx_funding_rate",
            "defillama_tvl"
          ],
          "stablecoin_supply_ratio": null,
          "taker_buy_sell_ratio": 0.955,
          "transaction_count_24h": null,
          "ts": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.449950+00:00"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287082",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.465785+00:00",
      "id": 287081,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
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            "\"trace_id=\u0027dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\"",
            "{\"compliance\": null, \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://287074\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://286945\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://286936\", \"price\": \"artifact://286950\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://286956\"}, \"ml\": [], \"ml_judge\": null, \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": null, \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": null, \"steps\": {\"chat_context\": \"artifact://286914\", \"macro_snapshot\": \"artifact://287075\", \"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://286957\", \"narratives\": \"artifact://287025\", \"news_events\": \"artifact://286966\", \"onchain_snapshot\": \"artifact://287079\", \"profile_summary\": \"artifact://286912\", \"rag_context\": \"artifact://286989\"}}",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "\"asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:49.449950+00:00\u0027 funding_rate=-5.234e-05 funding_rate_annualized=-0.0573123 open_interest_usd=7406771768.0879 open_interest_change_24h_pct=7.033590785701821 long_short_ratio=0.6562 taker_buy_sell_ratio=0.955 liquidations_long_24h_usd=None liquidations_short_24h_usd=None exchange_inflow_24h=None exchange_outflow_24h=None net_exchange_flow=None exchange_reserve=None mvrv_ratio=None sopr=None nvt_ratio=None realized_price=None active_addresses_24h=575027 transaction_count_24h=None hash_rate=None stablecoin_supply_ratio=None data_quality=\u0027live\u0027 sources_used=[\u0027binance_funding_rate\u0027, \u0027binance_open_interest\u0027, \u0027binance_long_short_ratio\u0027, \u0027binance_taker_ratio\u0027, \u0027alternative_me_fng\u0027, \u0027coingecko_global\u0027, \u0027blockchain_info\u0027, \u0027mempool_space\u0027, \u0027okx_funding_rate\u0027, \u0027defillama_tvl\u0027] ref=\u0027artifact://287078\u0027\"",
            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.278688+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 price=74215.3 ohlcv=[{\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775487600000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-06 15:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 69654.39, \u0027high\u0027: 69973.25, \u0027low\u0027: 69526.87, \u0027close\u0027: 69968.87, \u0027volume\u0027: 814.13173}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775491200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-06 16:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 69968.87, \u0027high\u0027: 70351.46, \u0027low\u0027: 69782.11, \u0027close\u0027: 69799.14, \u0027volume\u0027: 1291.21899}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775494800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-06 17:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 69799.14, \u0027high\u0027: 69820.0, \u0027low\u0027: 69282.02, \u0027close\u0027: 69574.61, \u0027volume\u0027: 914.30002}, 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\u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-07 12:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 68345.75, \u0027high\u0027: 68599.13, \u0027low\u0027: 68080.0, \u0027close\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287081",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.455775+00:00",
      "id": 287080,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:49.449950+00:00\u0027 funding_rate=-5.234e-05 funding_rate_annualized=-0.0573123 open_interest_usd=7406771768.0879 open_interest_change_24h_pct=7.033590785701821 long_short_ratio=0.6562 taker_buy_sell_ratio=0.955 liquidations_long_24h_usd=None liquidations_short_24h_usd=None exchange_inflow_24h=None exchange_outflow_24h=None net_exchange_flow=None exchange_reserve=None mvrv_ratio=None sopr=None nvt_ratio=None realized_price=None active_addresses_24h=575027 transaction_count_24h=None hash_rate=None stablecoin_supply_ratio=None data_quality=\u0027live\u0027 sources_used=[\u0027binance_funding_rate\u0027, \u0027binance_open_interest\u0027, \u0027binance_long_short_ratio\u0027, \u0027binance_taker_ratio\u0027, \u0027alternative_me_fng\u0027, \u0027coingecko_global\u0027, \u0027blockchain_info\u0027, \u0027mempool_space\u0027, \u0027okx_funding_rate\u0027, \u0027defillama_tvl\u0027] ref=\u0027artifact://287078\u0027\""
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287080",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.454334+00:00",
      "id": 287079,
      "kind": "decision.step.onchain_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "data_quality": "live",
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "sources": [
          "binance_funding_rate",
          "binance_open_interest",
          "binance_long_short_ratio",
          "binance_taker_ratio",
          "alternative_me_fng",
          "coingecko_global",
          "blockchain_info",
          "mempool_space",
          "okx_funding_rate",
          "defillama_tvl"
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287079",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.451532+00:00",
      "id": 287078,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "active_addresses_24h": 575027,
        "asset": "BTC",
        "data_quality": "live",
        "exchange_inflow_24h": null,
        "exchange_outflow_24h": null,
        "exchange_reserve": null,
        "funding_rate": -5.234e-05,
        "funding_rate_annualized": -0.0573123,
        "hash_rate": null,
        "liquidations_long_24h_usd": null,
        "liquidations_short_24h_usd": null,
        "long_short_ratio": 0.6562,
        "mvrv_ratio": null,
        "net_exchange_flow": null,
        "nvt_ratio": null,
        "open_interest_change_24h_pct": 7.033590785701821,
        "open_interest_usd": 7406771768.0879,
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "realized_price": null,
        "ref": null,
        "sopr": null,
        "sources_used": [
          "binance_funding_rate",
          "binance_open_interest",
          "binance_long_short_ratio",
          "binance_taker_ratio",
          "alternative_me_fng",
          "coingecko_global",
          "blockchain_info",
          "mempool_space",
          "okx_funding_rate",
          "defillama_tvl"
        ],
        "stablecoin_supply_ratio": null,
        "taker_buy_sell_ratio": 0.955,
        "transaction_count_24h": null,
        "ts": "2026-04-14T22:00:49.449950+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287078",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:48.049837+00:00",
      "id": 287077,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_snapshot.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"trace_id=\u0027dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\"",
            "{\"compliance\": null, \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://287074\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://286945\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://286936\", \"price\": \"artifact://286950\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://286956\"}, \"ml\": [], \"ml_judge\": null, \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": null, \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": null, \"steps\": {\"chat_context\": \"artifact://286914\", \"macro_snapshot\": \"artifact://287075\", \"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://286957\", \"narratives\": \"artifact://287025\", \"news_events\": \"artifact://286966\", \"profile_summary\": \"artifact://286912\", \"rag_context\": \"artifact://286989\"}}",
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            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.278688+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 price=74215.3 ohlcv=[{\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775487600000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-06 15:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 69654.39, \u0027high\u0027: 69973.25, \u0027low\u0027: 69526.87, \u0027close\u0027: 69968.87, \u0027volume\u0027: 814.13173}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775491200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-06 16:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 69968.87, \u0027high\u0027: 70351.46, \u0027low\u0027: 69782.11, \u0027close\u0027: 69799.14, \u0027volume\u0027: 1291.21899}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775494800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-06 17:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 69799.14, \u0027high\u0027: 69820.0, \u0027low\u0027: 69282.02, \u0027close\u0027: 69574.61, \u0027volume\u0027: 914.30002}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775498400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-06 18:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 69574.62, \u0027high\u0027: 69967.78, \u0027low\u0027: 69479.49, \u0027close\u0027: 69888.97, \u0027volume\u0027: 537.79955}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775502000000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-06 19:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 69888.97, \u0027high\u0027: 69899.99, \u0027low\u0027: 69583.33, \u0027close\u0027: 69739.53, \u0027volume\u0027: 431.93913}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775505600000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-06 20:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 69739.52, \u0027high\u0027: 69974.08, \u0027low\u0027: 69625.0, \u0027close\u0027: 69826.01, \u0027volume\u0027: 372.95882}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775509200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-06 21:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 69826.0, \u0027high\u0027: 69826.0, \u0027low\u0027: 69423.09, \u0027close\u0027: 69504.99, \u0027volume\u0027: 366.00988}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775512800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-06 22:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 69504.99, \u0027high\u0027: 69581.92, \u0027low\u0027: 68811.0, \u0027close\u0027: 68811.0, \u0027volume\u0027: 578.82627}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775516400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-06 23:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 68811.01, \u0027high\u0027: 68912.97, \u0027low\u0027: 68300.0, \u0027close\u0027: 68853.66, \u0027volume\u0027: 1062.40825}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775520000000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-07 00:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 68853.66, \u0027high\u0027: 69128.2, \u0027low\u0027: 68723.81, \u0027close\u0027: 68775.7, \u0027volume\u0027: 908.20417}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775523600000, \u0027datetime\u0027: 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\u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-07 12:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 68345.75, \u0027high\u0027: 68599.13, \u0027low\u0027: 68080.0, \u0027close\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287077",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:48.039876+00:00",
      "id": 287076,
      "kind": "decision.macro_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:48.033107+00:00\u0027 regime=\u0027neutral\u0027 rates_bias=\u0027neutral\u0027 usd_strength=1.0 equity_risk=0.255625 commodity_risk=0.318125 crypto_macro_score=0.27504700512878444 payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot\u0027, \u0027date\u0027: \u00272026-04-14\u0027, \u0027base_currency\u0027: \u0027USD\u0027, \u0027market\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 74252.65, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2323.3149999999996, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 83.78}, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027dxy\u0027: 118.8552, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.3, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.31, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6886.24, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 23183.74}, \u0027crypto\u0027: {\u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.3786328204549, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2591987388474.01, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 21.0}, \u0027meta\u0027: {\u0027best_effort\u0027: True, \u0027fred\u0027: {\u0027series\u0027: {\u0027DTWEXBGS\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T20:00:46.872730+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.187701, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\\\"}, \u0027DGS2\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.759558+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.7657318, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027DGS10\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T19:00:45.824131+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.2933662, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\\\"}, \u0027SP500\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T17:00:46.566924+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.2398345, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\\\"}, \u0027NASDAQCOM\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027live\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.766322+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1776204047.5432198, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}}, \u0027macro_degraded\u0027: False, \u0027source_mode\u0027: \u0027fred_observations_api\u0027}, \u0027sources\u0027: {\u0027market\u0027: [\u0027https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\u0027, \u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\u0027], \u0027macro\u0027: [\u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\u0027, \u0027https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027], \u0027crypto\u0027: [\u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\u0027, \u0027https://api.alternative.me/fng/\u0027]}}, \u0027derived\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 74252.65, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2323.3149999999996, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 83.78, \u0027dxy\u0027: 118.8552, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.3, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.31, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6886.24, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 23183.74, \u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.3786328204549, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2591987388474.01, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 21.0, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.255625, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.318125, \u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027: 0.27504700512878444, \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027rates_bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027}} ref=\u0027artifact://287074\u0027\""
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287076",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:48.038515+00:00",
      "id": 287075,
      "kind": "decision.step.macro_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "commodity_risk": 0.318125,
        "crypto_macro_score": 0.27504700512878444,
        "equity_risk": 0.255625,
        "payload_source": "tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot",
        "rates_bias": "neutral",
        "ref": "artifact://287074",
        "regime": "neutral",
        "usd_strength": 1.0
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287075",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:48.037095+00:00",
      "id": 287074,
      "kind": "decision.macro_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "commodity_risk": 0.318125,
        "crypto_macro_score": 0.27504700512878444,
        "equity_risk": 0.255625,
        "payload": {
          "base_currency": "USD",
          "crypto": {
            "btc_dominance": 57.3786328204549,
            "fear_greed_index": 21.0,
            "total3_market_cap": 2591987388474.01
          },
          "date": "2026-04-14",
          "derived": {
            "btc_dominance": 57.3786328204549,
            "btc_usdt": 74252.65,
            "commodity_risk": 0.318125,
            "crypto_macro_score": 0.27504700512878444,
            "dxy": 118.8552,
            "equity_risk": 0.255625,
            "eth_usdt": 2323.3149999999996,
            "fear_greed_index": 21.0,
            "gold_price": 1957.5,
            "nasdaq_index": 23183.74,
            "oil_brent": 70.3,
            "rates_bias": "neutral",
            "regime": "neutral",
            "sol_usdt": 83.78,
            "sp500_index": 6886.24,
            "total3_market_cap": 2591987388474.01,
            "us_10y_yield": 4.31,
            "us_2y_yield": 3.78,
            "usd_strength": 1.0
          },
          "macro": {
            "dxy": 118.8552,
            "gold_price": 1957.5,
            "nasdaq_index": 23183.74,
            "oil_brent": 70.3,
            "sp500_index": 6886.24,
            "us_10y_yield": 4.31,
            "us_2y_yield": 3.78
          },
          "market": {
            "btc_usdt": 74252.65,
            "eth_usdt": 2323.3149999999996,
            "sol_usdt": 83.78
          },
          "meta": {
            "best_effort": true,
            "fred": {
              "macro_degraded": false,
              "series": {
                "DGS10": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1776204047.2933662,
                  "last_error_short": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680",
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-14T19:00:45.824131+00:00",
                  "value_source": "stale_cache"
                },
                "DGS2": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1776204047.7657318,
                  "last_error_short": null,
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-14T22:00:46.759558+00:00",
                  "value_source": "live"
                },
                "DTWEXBGS": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1776204047.187701,
                  "last_error_short": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea",
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-14T20:00:46.872730+00:00",
                  "value_source": "stale_cache"
                },
                "NASDAQCOM": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1776204047.5432198,
                  "last_error_short": null,
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-14T22:00:46.766322+00:00",
                  "value_source": "live"
                },
                "SP500": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1776204047.2398345,
                  "last_error_short": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680",
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-14T17:00:46.566924+00:00",
                  "value_source": "stale_cache"
                }
              },
              "source_mode": "fred_observations_api"
            },
            "sources": {
              "crypto": [
                "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global",
                "https://api.alternative.me/fng/"
              ],
              "macro": [
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold",
                "https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold",
                "https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent",
                "https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil",
                "https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil"
              ],
              "market": [
                "https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price",
                "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price"
              ]
            }
          },
          "source": "tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot"
        },
        "rates_bias": "neutral",
        "ref": null,
        "regime": "neutral",
        "ts": "2026-04-14T22:00:48.033107+00:00",
        "usd_strength": 1.0
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287074",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:48.034101+00:00",
      "id": 287073,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.collect_macro_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"commodity_risk\": 0.318125, \"crypto_macro_score\": 0.27504700512878444, \"equity_risk\": 0.255625, \"payload\": {\"base_currency\": \"USD\", \"crypto\": {\"btc_dominance\": 57.3786328204549, \"fear_greed_index\": 21.0, \"total3_market_cap\": 2591987388474.01}, \"date\": \"2026-04-14\", \"derived\": {\"btc_dominance\": 57.3786328204549, \"btc_usdt\": 74252.65, \"commodity_risk\": 0.318125, \"crypto_macro_score\": 0.27504700512878444, \"dxy\": 118.8552, \"equity_risk\": 0.255625, \"eth_usdt\": 2323.3149999999996, \"fear_greed_index\": 21.0, \"gold_price\": 1957.5, \"nasdaq_index\": 23183.74, \"oil_brent\": 70.3, \"rates_bias\": \"neutral\", \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"sol_usdt\": 83.78, \"sp500_index\": 6886.24, \"total3_market_cap\": 2591987388474.01, \"us_10y_yield\": 4.31, \"us_2y_yield\": 3.78, \"usd_strength\": 1.0}, \"macro\": {\"dxy\": 118.8552, \"gold_price\": 1957.5, \"nasdaq_index\": 23183.74, \"oil_brent\": 70.3, \"sp500_index\": 6886.24, \"us_10y_yield\": 4.31, \"us_2y_yield\": 3.78}, \"market\": {\"btc_usdt\": 74252.65, \"eth_usdt\": 2323.3149999999996, \"sol_usdt\": 83.78}, \"meta\": {\"best_effort\": true, \"fred\": {\"macro_degraded\": false, \"series\": {\"DGS10\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776204047.2933662, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-14T19:00:45.824131+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"DGS2\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776204047.7657318, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-14T22:00:46.759558+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"DTWEXBGS\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776204047.187701, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-14T20:00:46.872730+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"NASDAQCOM\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776204047.5432198, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-14T22:00:46.766322+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"SP500\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776204047.2398345, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-14T17:00:46.566924+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}}, \"source_mode\": \"fred_observations_api\"}, \"sources\": {\"crypto\": [\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\", \"https://api.alternative.me/fng/\"], \"macro\": [\"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\", \"https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\"], \"market\": [\"https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\", \"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\"]}}}, \"rates_bias\": \"neutral\", \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"ts\": \"2026-04-14T22:00:48.033107+00:00\", \"usd_strength\": 1.0}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287073",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:48.030622+00:00",
      "id": 287072,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.agent_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"base_currency\": \"USD\", \"crypto\": {\"btc_dominance\": 57.3786328204549, \"fear_greed_index\": 21.0, \"total3_market_cap\": 2591987388474.01}, \"date\": \"2026-04-14\", \"macro\": {\"dxy\": 118.8552, \"gold_price\": 1957.5, \"nasdaq_index\": 23183.74, \"oil_brent\": 70.3, \"sp500_index\": 6886.24, \"us_10y_yield\": 4.31, \"us_2y_yield\": 3.78}, \"market\": {\"btc_usdt\": 74252.65, \"eth_usdt\": 2323.3149999999996, \"sol_usdt\": 83.78}, \"meta\": {\"best_effort\": true, \"fred\": {\"macro_degraded\": false, \"series\": {\"DGS10\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776204047.2933662, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-14T19:00:45.824131+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"DGS2\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776204047.7657318, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-14T22:00:46.759558+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"DTWEXBGS\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776204047.187701, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-14T20:00:46.872730+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"NASDAQCOM\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776204047.5432198, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-14T22:00:46.766322+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"live\"}, \"SP500\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1776204047.2398345, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-14T17:00:46.566924+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}}, \"source_mode\": \"fred_observations_api\"}, \"sources\": {\"crypto\": [\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\", \"https://api.alternative.me/fng/\"], \"macro\": [\"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\", \"https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\"], \"market\": [\"https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\", \"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\"]}}}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287072",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:48.027713+00:00",
      "id": 287071,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.get_gold_price.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "1957.5"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287071",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:48.023658+00:00",
      "id": 287070,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"\u003c!DOCTYPE html\u003e\u003chtml lang=\\\"ru\\\" dir=\\\"ltr\\\" class=\\\"html\\\"\u003e\u003chead\u003e\u003cmeta charSet=\\\"utf-8\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003cmeta name=\\\"viewport\\\" content=\\\"initial-scale=1.0,width=device-width\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"canonical\\\" href=\\\"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"x-default\\\" href=\\\"https://www.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-us\\\" href=\\\"https://www.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"he-il\\\" href=\\\"https://il.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ar\\\" href=\\\"https://sa.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"es\\\" href=\\\"https://es.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"fr\\\" href=\\\"https://fr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"zh-cn\\\" href=\\\"https://cn.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ru\\\" href=\\\"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"de\\\" href=\\\"https://de.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"it\\\" href=\\\"https://it.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"tr-tr\\\" href=\\\"https://tr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ja\\\" href=\\\"https://jp.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"pt\\\" href=\\\"https://br.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"sv-se\\\" href=\\\"https://se.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"el\\\" href=\\\"https://gr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"pl\\\" href=\\\"https://pl.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"nl\\\" href=\\\"https://nl.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"fi\\\" href=\\\"https://fi.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ko-kr\\\" href=\\\"https://kr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"es-mx\\\" href=\\\"https://mx.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"pt-pt\\\" href=\\\"https://pt.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-gb\\\" href=\\\"https://uk.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"vi-vn\\\" href=\\\"https://vn.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"th-th\\\" href=\\\"https://th.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"id-id\\\" href=\\\"https://id.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"zh-hk\\\" href=\\\"https://hk.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-in\\\" href=\\\"https://in.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ms\\\" href=\\\"https://ms.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-ca\\\" href=\\\"https://ca.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-au\\\" href=\\\"https://au.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-za\\\" href=\\\"https://za.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"hi\\\" href=\\\"https://hi.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-ng\\\" href=\\\"https://ng.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"\u2026"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287070",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.955938+00:00",
      "id": 287069,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.get_oil_price.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "70.3"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287069",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.953039+00:00",
      "id": 287068,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.error",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027403 Forbidden\u0027 for url \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/403",
        "error_type": "HTTPStatusError",
        "stack": "Traceback (most recent call last):\n  File \"/app/core/telemetry/decorator.py\", line 271, in _wrapper\n    res = await fn(*args, **kwargs)\n          ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 154, in _fetch_text\n    return await _call()\n           ^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 134, in _call\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/app/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Client error \u0027403 Forbidden\u0027 for url \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/403\n"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287068",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.915959+00:00",
      "id": 287067,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.inputs",
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.291152+00:00",
      "id": 287056,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"data\": [{\"time_until_update\": \"7154\", \"timestamp\": \"1776124800\", \"value\": \"21\", \"value_classification\": \"Extreme Fear\"}], \"metadata\": {\"error\": null}, \"name\": \"Fear and Greed Index\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287056",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.291014+00:00",
      "id": 287055,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"price\": \"83.75000000\", \"symbol\": \"SOLUSDT\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287055",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.290765+00:00",
      "id": 287054,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fred_fetch_json_once.error",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500",
        "error_type": "HTTPStatusError",
        "stack": "Traceback (most recent call last):\n  File \"/app/core/telemetry/decorator.py\", line 271, in _wrapper\n    res = await fn(*args, **kwargs)\n          ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 886, in _fred_fetch_json_once\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/app/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500\n"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287054",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.244790+00:00",
      "id": 287053,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price?ids=ethereum\u0026vs_currencies=usd\""
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "runtime": "{\"_autotrade_cadence\": {\"bucket_key\": \"1h:1776204000\", \"gate_name\": \"autotrade:binance:BTC/USDT:1h\", \"same_candle_skip\": true}, \"app\": \"\u003cfastapi.applications.FastAPI object at 0x7f034454c650\u003e\", \"ccxt_factory\": \"\u003cfunction _build_ccxt_factory.\u003clocals\u003e._factory at 0x7f02a29c09a0\u003e\", \"chat_runtime\": \"\u003cservices.chat.runtime.ChatRuntime object at 0x7f033fb4b1a0\u003e\", \"chroma\": \"\u003ccore.storage.chroma.ChromaStore object at 0x7f0363935c10\u003e\", \"chroma_mode\": \"chroma\", \"exchange\": \"binance\", \"last_decision_bundle\": {\"analysis_candle_bucket\": \"1h:1776200400\", \"analysis_candle_bucket_iso\": \"1h:2026-04-14T21:00:00+00:00\", \"ok\": true, \"payload\": {\"action\": \"unknown\", \"agents\": {\"compliance\": {\"confidence\": 0.0, \"constraints\": {}, \"decision_override\": null, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trading_allowed\": true, \"violations\": []}, \"execution\": {\"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"entry_type\": null, \"execution_style\": null, \"explanation\": \"ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.\", \"max_slippage_bps\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_liquidity\", \"ref\": \"artifact://285199\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry\"}, {\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://285210\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Market snapshot used for execution context\"}], \"signal\": {}, \"slices\": null}, \"macro\": {\"action\": \"hold\", \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.5146388091966819, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\", \"macro_score\": null, \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\", \"macro.structural_fallback\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"signal\": {\"macro_regime\": \"neutral\", \"macro_structural_factors\": [\"crypto_macro_score\", \"usd_strong_crypto_headwind\", \"equity_risk_off\"], \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08799574713100672}}, \"meta_decision\": {\"action\": \"paper_only\", \"confidence\": 0.2, \"constraints\": {}, \"edge_score\": 0.1524, \"entry_quality_score\": 0.42, \"execution_vote\": \"allow\", \"expected_value_score\": 0.125, \"explanation\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"final_summary\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"price_asymmetry_score\": 0.35, \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason_codes\": [\"ml_trust_low\"], \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [], \"risk_vote\": \"allow\", \"should_trade\": false, \"signal\": {\"calibration_score\": null, \"drift_detected\": false, \"health_state\": \"unknown\", \"ml_trust\": 0.0, \"synthetic_price\": true, \"trend_direction\": \"flat\"}, \"size_multiplier\": 0.0, \"skip_reason\": \"ml_trust_low\", \"trend_alignment_score\": 0.4}, \"ml_judge\": {\"accepted_refs\": [], \"agreement_score\": null, \"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"horizon_fit\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://285380\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}], \"rejected_refs\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trust_score\": null, \"usable\": null}, \"onchain\": {\"bearish_signals\": [\"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"ls_ratio_low:0.65 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish)\", \"fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish\"], \"confidence\": 0.6656, \"constraints\": {}, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); ls_ratio_low:0.65 \u2026",
            "trace_id": "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\""
          }
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287053",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.244471+00:00",
      "id": 287052,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price?ids=bitcoin\u0026vs_currencies=usd\""
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "runtime": "{\"_autotrade_cadence\": {\"bucket_key\": \"1h:1776204000\", \"gate_name\": \"autotrade:binance:BTC/USDT:1h\", \"same_candle_skip\": true}, \"app\": \"\u003cfastapi.applications.FastAPI object at 0x7f034454c650\u003e\", \"ccxt_factory\": \"\u003cfunction _build_ccxt_factory.\u003clocals\u003e._factory at 0x7f02a29c09a0\u003e\", \"chat_runtime\": \"\u003cservices.chat.runtime.ChatRuntime object at 0x7f033fb4b1a0\u003e\", \"chroma\": \"\u003ccore.storage.chroma.ChromaStore object at 0x7f0363935c10\u003e\", \"chroma_mode\": \"chroma\", \"exchange\": \"binance\", \"last_decision_bundle\": {\"analysis_candle_bucket\": \"1h:1776200400\", \"analysis_candle_bucket_iso\": \"1h:2026-04-14T21:00:00+00:00\", \"ok\": true, \"payload\": {\"action\": \"unknown\", \"agents\": {\"compliance\": {\"confidence\": 0.0, \"constraints\": {}, \"decision_override\": null, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trading_allowed\": true, \"violations\": []}, \"execution\": {\"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"entry_type\": null, \"execution_style\": null, \"explanation\": \"ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.\", \"max_slippage_bps\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_liquidity\", \"ref\": \"artifact://285199\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry\"}, {\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://285210\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Market snapshot used for execution context\"}], \"signal\": {}, \"slices\": null}, \"macro\": {\"action\": \"hold\", \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.5146388091966819, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\", \"macro_score\": null, \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\", \"macro.structural_fallback\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"signal\": {\"macro_regime\": \"neutral\", \"macro_structural_factors\": [\"crypto_macro_score\", \"usd_strong_crypto_headwind\", \"equity_risk_off\"], \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08799574713100672}}, \"meta_decision\": {\"action\": \"paper_only\", \"confidence\": 0.2, \"constraints\": {}, \"edge_score\": 0.1524, \"entry_quality_score\": 0.42, \"execution_vote\": \"allow\", \"expected_value_score\": 0.125, \"explanation\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"final_summary\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"price_asymmetry_score\": 0.35, \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason_codes\": [\"ml_trust_low\"], \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [], \"risk_vote\": \"allow\", \"should_trade\": false, \"signal\": {\"calibration_score\": null, \"drift_detected\": false, \"health_state\": \"unknown\", \"ml_trust\": 0.0, \"synthetic_price\": true, \"trend_direction\": \"flat\"}, \"size_multiplier\": 0.0, \"skip_reason\": \"ml_trust_low\", \"trend_alignment_score\": 0.4}, \"ml_judge\": {\"accepted_refs\": [], \"agreement_score\": null, \"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"horizon_fit\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://285380\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}], \"rejected_refs\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trust_score\": null, \"usable\": null}, \"onchain\": {\"bearish_signals\": [\"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"ls_ratio_low:0.65 \u2014 overcrowded shorts, potential squeeze (bullish)\", \"fear_greed_fear:21/100 \u2014 market fearful, cautious bullish\"], \"confidence\": 0.6656, \"constraints\": {}, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0001 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); ls_ratio_low:0.65 \u2026",
            "trace_id": "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\""
          }
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287052",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.237154+00:00",
      "id": 287051,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"price\": \"2321.66000000\", \"symbol\": \"ETHUSDT\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287051",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.236869+00:00",
      "id": 287050,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fred_fetch_json_once.error",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500",
        "error_type": "HTTPStatusError",
        "stack": "Traceback (most recent call last):\n  File \"/app/core/telemetry/decorator.py\", line 271, in _wrapper\n    res = await fn(*args, **kwargs)\n          ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 886, in _fred_fetch_json_once\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/app/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500\n"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287050",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.236027+00:00",
      "id": 287049,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"price\": \"74215.30000000\", \"symbol\": \"BTCUSDT\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287049",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.185545+00:00",
      "id": 287048,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fred_fetch_json_once.error",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500",
        "error_type": "HTTPStatusError",
        "stack": "Traceback (most recent call last):\n  File \"/app/core/telemetry/decorator.py\", line 271, in _wrapper\n    res = await fn(*args, **kwargs)\n          ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 886, in _fred_fetch_json_once\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/app/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500\n"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287048",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.165630+00:00",
      "id": 287047,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"data\": {\"active_cryptocurrencies\": 17653, \"ended_icos\": 3376, \"market_cap_change_percentage_24h_usd\": 1.2677001838513602, \"market_cap_percentage\": {\"bnb\": 3.2419154256617246, \"btc\": 57.3786328204549, \"eth\": 10.8286735804513, \"figr_heloc\": 0.6632401550006282, \"sol\": 1.8587547378695934, \"steth\": 0.8460252229680658, \"trx\": 1.1837702508000771, \"usdc\": 3.0380863493237382, \"usdt\": 7.131270770408025, \"xrp\": 3.223644887796097}, \"markets\": 1459, \"ongoing_icos\": 49, \"total_market_cap\": {\"aed\": 9520628876603.885, \"ars\": 3541256372928361.0, \"aud\": 3636345763063.181, \"bch\": 5942389964.972465, \"bdt\": 318656638222143.4, \"bhd\": 977448812143.1028, \"bits\": 34883884498664.0, \"bmd\": 2591987388474.01, \"bnb\": 4206199450.4985876, \"brl\": 12930647484880.291, \"btc\": 34883884.498664, \"cad\": 3568461613359.043, \"chf\": 2024673924783.9263, \"clp\": 2298107858368826.5, \"cny\": 17667115639208.273, \"czk\": 53507173256485.51, \"dkk\": 16425683279498.648, \"dot\": 2213674627443.864, \"eos\": 33289759449670.38, \"eth\": 1114757475.678444, \"eur\": 2197810906371.8247, \"gbp\": 1910678319438.8394, \"gel\": 6959486138052.716, \"hkd\": 20305027860231.266, \"huf\": 799670877136141.6, \"idr\": 4.441564789204349e+16, \"ils\": 7800573085675.589, \"inr\": 241484970027187.56, \"jpy\": 411684708914479.6, \"krw\": 3812732425511492.0, \"kwd\": 800444585371.6012, \"link\": 286696521028.85156, \"lkr\": 817673535910737.6, \"ltc\": 47514964807.00174, \"mmk\": 5442681038191609.0, \"mxn\": 44780858915079.48, \"myr\": 10239646178166.574, \"ngn\": 3504004070982474.5, \"nok\": 24511302402259.5, \"nzd\": 4393086849077.72, \"php\": 154967149994695.62, \"pkr\": 722874785321788.4, \"pln\": 9319884637341.348, \"rub\": 195404838553824.66, \"sar\": 9725307752722.125, \"sats\": 3488388449866400.0, \"sek\": 23816502038867.324, \"sgd\": 3295292062487.771, \"sol\": 30931964821.88121, \"thb\": 82995436178937.78, \"try\": 115946078446901.0, \"twd\": 81730546333362.45, \"uah\": 112753613116101.4, \"usd\": 2591987388474.01, \"vef\": 259535697207.9026, \"vnd\": 6.827307871554448e+16, \"xag\": 32575708700.233086, \"xau\": 535349075.21542186, \"xdr\": 1793826343991.654, \"xlm\": 16728236911393.84, \"xrp\": 1903370175347.9263, \"yfi\": 1015602207.755466, \"zar\": 42378993801550.04}, \"total_volume\": {\"aed\": 537242646302.428, \"ars\": 199830701278844.38, \"aud\": 205196531231.19702, \"bch\": 335325045.3851954, \"bdt\": 17981578506961.742, \"bhd\": 55156775173.8942, \"bits\": 1968474001483.7822, \"bmd\": 146264094716.29633, \"bnb\": 237352989.27729636, \"brl\": 729667689311.1874, \"btc\": 1968474.0014837822, \"cad\": 201365874590.57703, \"chf\": 114250979777.55113, \"clp\": 129680671657362.66, \"cny\": 996943382791.0115, \"czk\": 3019373586456.9194, \"dkk\": 926890194626.6416, \"dot\": 124916161559.77214, \"eos\": 1878518603478.2021, \"eth\": 62905010.16068746, \"eur\": 124020982512.31557, \"gbp\": 107818284891.9284, \"gel\": 392719094313.2557, \"hkd\": 1145798984737.4915, \"huf\": 45124886577540.23, \"idr\": 2506344961034773.5, \"ils\": 440181061728.22015, \"inr\": 13626833481397.824, \"jpy\": 23231089597765.652, \"krw\": 215149911258335.16, \"kwd\": 45168546409.81305, \"link\": 16178090716.43832, \"lkr\": 46140764432448.65, \"ltc\": 2681237317.695566, \"mmk\": 307126808726226.1, \"mxn\": 2526953571980.3, \"myr\": 577816306176.7285, \"ngn\": 197728579083172.34, \"nok\": 1383156211379.0022, \"nzd\": 247898918739.9985, \"php\": 8744691430803.209, \"pkr\": 40791335073036.61, \"pln\": 525914784694.84015, \"rub\": 11026562837979.559, \"sar\": 548792536805.79517, \"sats\": 196847400148378.22, \"sek\": 1343949096941.636, \"sgd\": 185951101648.42676, \"sol\": 1745469847.8036768, \"thb\": 4683376312815.808, \"try\": 6542758763160.819, \"twd\": 4611999434594.255, \"uah\": 6362610104413.884, \"usd\": 146264094716.29633, \"vef\": 14645423803.94275, \"vnd\": 3852603641602820.0, \"xag\": 1838225202.780205, \"xau\": 30209386.12270384, \"xdr\": 101224406973.92833, \"xlm\": 943963091381.1011, \"xrp\": 107405891265.22063, \"yfi\": 57309745.475528434, \"zar\": 2391417948611.444}, \"upcoming_icos\": 0, \"updated_at\": 1776203992, \"volume_change_percentage_24h_usd\": 38.828882382836085}}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287047",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:47.145624+00:00",
      "id": 287046,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\""
          ],
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            "trace_id": "\"dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d\""
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      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:46.740525+00:00",
      "id": 287027,
      "kind": "decision.macro_snapshot.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
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\u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-07 12:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 68345.75, \u0027high\u0027: 68599.13, \u0027low\u0027: 68080.0, \u0027close\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://287027",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:46.729475+00:00",
      "id": 287026,
      "kind": "decision.narratives.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"narrative_id=\u002737e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.581489+00:00\u0027 symbol=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 source=\u0027narratives_enrich\u0027 tags=[\u0027btc/usdt\u0027, \u00271h\u0027, \u0027neutral\u0027] sentiment=0.0 maturity=0.19852469003787665 confidence=0.3965167501352737 embedding_ref=\u0027chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d\u0027 ref=\u0027artifact://287020\u0027 payload={\u0027method\u0027: \u0027lexicon_v1\u0027, \u0027signals\u0027: [\u0027no_lexicon_hits\u0027, \u0027raw=+0.00\u0027], \u0027events_used\u0027: 0, \u0027text_len\u0027: 165, \u0027stored\u0027: True, \u0027collection\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027created_at\u0027: \u00272026-04-14T22:00:46.581489+00:00\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027}\""
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      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:46.728001+00:00",
      "id": 287025,
      "kind": "decision.step.narratives",
      "payload": {
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        "embedding_ref": "chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d",
        "maturity": 0.19852469003787665,
        "narrative_id": "37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d",
        "ref": "artifact://287024",
        "sentiment": 0.0,
        "tags": [
          "btc/usdt",
          "1h",
          "neutral"
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      },
      "ref": "artifact://287025",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "dd72e6c61d42477f903b0a98bacda80d"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:46.726836+00:00",
      "id": 287024,
      "kind": "decision.narratives",
      "payload": {
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        "embedding_ref": "chroma://narratives/37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d",
        "maturity": 0.19852469003787665,
        "narrative_id": "37e9ebb0b885e34c50b03c7d",
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "payload": {
          "collection": "narratives",
          "created_at": "2026-04-14T22:00:46.581489+00:00",
          "events_used": 0,
          "method": "lexicon_v1",
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "signals": [
            "no_lexicon_hits",
            "raw=+0.00"
          ],
          "source": "narratives_enrich",
          "stored": true,
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "text_len": 165,
          "timeframe": "1h"
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