Logs & Traces

{
  "artifacts": [
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.311326+00:00",
      "id": 134897,
      "kind": "decision.run.result",
      "payload": {
        "action": "hold",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://134623",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5145927312092587,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2154,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.2393,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1962,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://134800",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134754",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.228,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.323,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 69302.4136744224,
            "expected_high": 70134.04263851546,
            "expected_low": 68470.78471032933,
            "expected_move_pct": -4.690135904076248,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 73585.29288000001,
              "low": 71840.18712
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 74370.590472,
              "low": 71054.889528
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 68449.83209302799,
            "sl_soft": 69984.47893953792,
            "tp1": 73149.01644,
            "tp2": 73541.66523600002
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://134796",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.57745384710358,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
              "portfolio": "artifact://134763",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134822",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4062376323123271,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.20654422553393587,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03891361
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://134698",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://134698",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://134698",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134778",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134780",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134782",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134783",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134784",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134785",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bearish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "down",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias",
                "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43740382152786994,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994,
              "market_momentum": -0.0001311840057819089,
              "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_sell"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.06574597925233996,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            }
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://134767",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://134750",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://134800",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://134796",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.57745384710358,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3681326679663572
            },
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
            ]
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.36216600172851576,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://134767",
              "execution": "artifact://134842",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://134835",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134822",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134835",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134842",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134767",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.57745384710358,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3681326679663572
            }
          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
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              "ml_direction": "down",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "confidence": 0.3,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
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            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://134767",
            "macro": "artifact://134750",
            "market": {
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              "ohlcv": "artifact://134605",
              "price": "artifact://134628",
              "snapshot": "artifact://134634"
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            "ml": [
              "artifact://134778",
              "artifact://134780",
              "artifact://134782",
              "artifact://134783",
              "artifact://134784",
              "artifact://134785"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/2c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://134763",
            "rag": []
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          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://134623",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://134800",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://134796",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
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          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5145927312092587,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2154,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.2393,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1962,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
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                "ref": "artifact://134800",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
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          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": -2.5888518352799997e-05,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 57.26039429673665,
              "btc_hash_rate": 904958569112.2582,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 484094,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 4.749965828986963,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 95879856273.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 15.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": 0.8155050530994677,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": 2.04729632944e-05
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            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134754",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.228,
            "sources_count": 10,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.323,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 69302.4136744224,
            "expected_high": 70134.04263851546,
            "expected_low": 68470.78471032933,
            "expected_move_pct": -4.690135904076248,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 73585.29288000001,
              "low": 71840.18712
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 74370.590472,
              "low": 71054.889528
            },
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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            "sl_hard": 68449.83209302799,
            "sl_soft": 69984.47893953792,
            "tp1": 73149.01644,
            "tp2": 73541.66523600002
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://134796",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
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            ],
            "confidence": 0.57745384710358,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
              "portfolio": "artifact://134763",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134822",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4062376323123271,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 0.25
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.20654422553393587,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03891361
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://134698",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "action_tradeable": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "bearish",
            "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://134698",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://134698",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
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              {
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                "ref": "artifact://134778",
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              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134780",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134782",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134783",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134784",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
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              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134785",
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            ],
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              "bias": "bearish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "down",
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                "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
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            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
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                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
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                "kind": "ml_judge",
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                "title": null,
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
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                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
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              "blocked_by": [],
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                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
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            ],
            "reduce_only": false,
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                "break_even_trigger": null,
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                "partial_tp_levels": [
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                    "target_distance": 0.015
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                "trailing_callback": null,
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                    "target_distance": 0.015
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                ],
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                "vol_factor": 1.0
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              "dynamic_sizing": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "quote_notional": null,
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          "trading": {
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            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
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              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
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              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
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                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
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                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
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                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134767",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
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            ],
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              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
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              "ml.directional_bias"
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            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
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            "mode": "degraded",
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            "quality": "degraded",
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            "refs_used": [],
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              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "degraded_sources": [
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          "execution_mode": null,
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          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
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          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
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        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
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          ],
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            "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
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          "evidence_summary": "bullish: strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit, onchain:bullish:+0.228, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only",
          "override_explanation": "price_safety_override",
          "overrides": [
            "price_safety_override"
          ],
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              "kind": "compliance",
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              "title": null,
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            },
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              "kind": "portfolio",
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              "title": null,
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            },
            {
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              "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
            },
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              "kind": "ml_judge",
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              "kind": "rag_judge",
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          ],
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            "action_before_risk": "sell",
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            "bearish_contributors": [
              "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
            ],
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            ],
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              "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
              "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
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              "sl_3tp"
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              },
              {
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            ],
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              ],
              "bullish_contributors": [
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                "onchain:bullish:+0.228",
                "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
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              "evidence_summary": "bullish: strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit, onchain:bullish:+0.228, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only",
              "neutral_contributors": [
                "strategy_factor:ml_directional_bias",
                "strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias"
              ],
              "override_explanation": "price_safety_override"
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              "exit_template": "fixed",
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                {
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                  "target_distance": 0.015
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              "trailing_activation": null,
              "trailing_callback": null,
              "trend_factor": 1.0,
              "vol_factor": 1.0
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              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.1962,
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              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
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              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "reason_codes": [
                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
              "signal": {
                "calibration_score": null,
                "drift_detected": false,
                "health_state": "unknown",
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                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
              },
              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
            "model": "sl_3tp",
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            "model_selection_score": 0.462958,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "preferred_action": "sell",
            "price_agent": {
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              "confidence": 0.323,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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          "result": "\"trace_id=\u0027e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:51.291983+00:00\u0027 action=\u0027hold\u0027 confidence=0.3 explanation=\u0027TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.\u0027 signal={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027strategy_action\u0027: \u0027sell\u0027, \u0027strategy_confidence\u0027: 0.3681326679663572, \u0027risk_ok\u0027: True, \u0027risk_confidence\u0027: 0.57745384710358, \u0027max_position\u0027: 6.25, \u0027recommended_size_modifier\u0027: 0.25, \u0027stop_loss\u0027: 0.03891361, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: None, \u0027risk_impact\u0027: {\u0027action_before_risk\u0027: \u0027sell\u0027, \u0027action_after_risk\u0027: \u0027sell\u0027, \u0027confidence_before_risk\u0027: 0.3681326679663572, \u0027confidence_after_risk\u0027: 0.3149076942071602, \u0027overrides\u0027: [\u0027forbid_short\u0027, \u0027reduce_size\u0027], \u0027blocked_by\u0027: [], \u0027size_modifier\u0027: 0.25, \u0027final_reason\u0027: \u0027Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.\u0027}, \u0027evidence_pack\u0027: {\u0027bullish_contributors\u0027: [\u0027strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit\u0027, \u0027onchain:bullish:+0.228\u0027, \u0027onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende\u0027, \u0027onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b\u0027], \u0027bearish_contributors\u0027: [\u0027onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a\u0027], \u0027neutral_contributors\u0027: [\u0027strategy_factor:ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027strategy_factor:macro_structural_bias\u0027], \u0027degraded_sources\u0027: [], \u0027evidence_summary\u0027: \u0027bullish: strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit, onchain:bullish:+0.228, onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende, onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b | bearish: onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a | blocked: synthetic_price_only\u0027, \u0027override_explanation\u0027: \u0027price_safety_override\u0027}, \u0027trend_agent\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027trend_direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027trend_phase\u0027: \u0027mean_reversion\u0027, \u0027trend_horizon\u0027: \u0027intraday\u0027, \u0027trend_strength\u0027: 0.0, \u0027continuation_probability\u0027: 0.42, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: 0.58, \u0027invalidators\u0027: [\u0027momentum_flip\u0027, \u0027range_break_against_direction\u0027], \u0027evidence\u0027: [\u0027market.momentum\u0027, \u0027ml.directional_bias\u0027], \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.22, \u0027reasoning_summary\u0027: \u0027Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027momentum\u0027: 0.0, \u0027ml_direction\u0027: \u0027down\u0027}, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027deterministic_route_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded_deterministic\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {}}, \u0027price_agent\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027expected_close\u0027: 69302.4136744224, \u0027expected_high\u0027: 70134.04263851546, \u0027expected_low\u0027: 68470.78471032933, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: -4.690135904076248, \u0027price_range_68\u0027: {\u0027low\u0027: 71840.18712, \u0027high\u0027: 73585.29288000001}, \u0027price_range_95\u0027: {\u0027low\u0027: 71054.889528, \u0027high\u0027: 74370.590472}, \u0027tp1\u0027: 73149.01644, \u0027tp2\u0027: 73541.66523600002, \u0027sl_soft\u0027: 69984.47893953792, \u0027sl_hard\u0027: 68449.83209302799, \u0027path_shape\u0027: \u0027trend\u0027, \u0027horizon\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: True, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.323, \u0027reasoning_summary\u0027: \u0027Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027ml_score\u0027: -0.10422524231280551, \u0027realized_vol_short\u0027: 0.012, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: True}, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027deterministic_route_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded_deterministic\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {}}, \u0027meta_decision\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:\u2026"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134896",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.300930+00:00",
      "id": 134895,
      "kind": "decision.step.decision_bundle",
      "payload": {
        "action": "hold",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://134623",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5145927312092587,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2154,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.2393,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1962,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://134800",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134754",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.228,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.323,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 69302.4136744224,
            "expected_high": 70134.04263851546,
            "expected_low": 68470.78471032933,
            "expected_move_pct": -4.690135904076248,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 73585.29288000001,
              "low": 71840.18712
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 74370.590472,
              "low": 71054.889528
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 68449.83209302799,
            "sl_soft": 69984.47893953792,
            "tp1": 73149.01644,
            "tp2": 73541.66523600002
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://134796",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.57745384710358,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
              "portfolio": "artifact://134763",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134822",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4062376323123271,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.20654422553393587,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03891361
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://134698",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://134698",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://134698",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134778",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134780",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134782",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134783",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134784",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134785",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bearish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "down",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias",
                "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43740382152786994,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994,
              "market_momentum": -0.0001311840057819089,
              "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_sell"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.06574597925233996,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
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          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://134767",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://134750",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://134800",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://134796",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.57745384710358,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3681326679663572
            },
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
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          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.36216600172851576,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://134767",
              "execution": "artifact://134842",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://134835",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134822",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134835",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134842",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134767",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.57745384710358,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3681326679663572
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          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "down",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "confidence": 0.3,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://134767",
            "macro": "artifact://134750",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://134623",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://134605",
              "price": "artifact://134628",
              "snapshot": "artifact://134634"
            },
            "ml": [
              "artifact://134778",
              "artifact://134780",
              "artifact://134782",
              "artifact://134783",
              "artifact://134784",
              "artifact://134785"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/2c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://134763",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://134623",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://134800",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://134796",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
            }
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5145927312092587,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2154,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.2393,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1962,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://134800",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": -2.5888518352799997e-05,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 57.26039429673665,
              "btc_hash_rate": 904958569112.2582,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 484094,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 4.749965828986963,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 95879856273.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 15.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": 0.8155050530994677,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": 2.04729632944e-05
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134754",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.228,
            "sources_count": 10,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.323,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 69302.4136744224,
            "expected_high": 70134.04263851546,
            "expected_low": 68470.78471032933,
            "expected_move_pct": -4.690135904076248,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 73585.29288000001,
              "low": 71840.18712
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 74370.590472,
              "low": 71054.889528
            },
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 68449.83209302799,
            "sl_soft": 69984.47893953792,
            "tp1": 73149.01644,
            "tp2": 73541.66523600002
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://134796",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.57745384710358,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
              "portfolio": "artifact://134763",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134822",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4062376323123271,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 0.25
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.20654422553393587,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03891361
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://134698",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "action_tradeable": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "bearish",
            "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://134698",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://134698",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134778",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134780",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134782",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134783",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134784",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134785",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bearish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "down",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias",
                "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43740382152786994,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994,
              "market_momentum": -0.0001311840057819089,
              "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_sell"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.06574597925233996,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            },
            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://134767",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://134750",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://134800",
                "title": null,
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://134796",
                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 0.25
            },
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.57745384710358,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3681326679663572
            },
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
            ]
          },
          "system_status": {
            "agents": {
              "compliance_mode": "degraded",
              "execution_mode": "llm_error",
              "macro_mode": "degraded",
              "meta_decision_mode": "degraded",
              "ml_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "portfolio_mode": "llm_error",
              "price_mode": "degraded",
              "rag_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "risk_mode": "degraded",
              "sentiment_mode": "llm_error",
              "strategy_mode": "deterministic",
              "supervisor_mode": "degraded",
              "trading_mode": "deterministic",
              "trend_mode": "degraded"
            },
            "compliance_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "macro_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "ml_predictions_status": {
              "count": 6,
              "usable": false
            },
            "narratives": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            },
            "news_status": {
              "count": 0
            },
            "portfolio_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "rag": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            }
          },
          "trade_intent": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.3,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "entry": {
              "aggressiveness": "neutral",
              "execution_style": null,
              "max_slippage_bps": null,
              "price": null,
              "slices": null,
              "type": null
            },
            "guards": {
              "blocking_factors": [
                "synthetic_price_only"
              ],
              "compliance_ok": true,
              "execution_ok": null,
              "overrides": [
                "price_safety_override"
              ],
              "portfolio_ok": null,
              "quality_gate_blocked": true,
              "quality_gate_reasons": [
                "quality.supervisor_degraded",
                "quality.ml_trust_very_low"
              ],
              "risk_ok": true,
              "winner_factors": [
                "risk_approved",
                "compliance_clear"
              ]
            },
            "health": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "degraded_sources": [
                "supervisor",
                "risk"
              ],
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust_score": null,
              "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "meta_decision": {
              "action": "paper_only",
              "autotrade_safe": false,
              "confidence": 0.2154,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "edge_score": 0.2393,
              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.1962,
              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "reason_codes": [
                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
              "signal": {
                "calibration_score": null,
                "drift_detected": false,
                "health_state": "unknown",
                "ml_trust": 0.0,
                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
              },
              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reduce_only": false,
            "risk": {
              "cancel_after_sec": null,
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "time_in_force": "GTC"
            },
            "side": null,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": 1.0,
              "candidate_models": [
                "tp_eq_sl",
                "tp_3sl",
                "sl_3tp"
              ],
              "ensemble_weights": [
                {
                  "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                  "weight": 0.2752
                },
                {
                  "model": "tp_3sl",
                  "weight": 0.2363
                },
                {
                  "model": "sl_3tp",
                  "weight": 0.4458
                }
              ],
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "model": "sl_3tp",
              "model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
              "model_selection_score": 0.462958,
              "quality_score": 0.5555,
              "realized_vol_short": null,
              "regime": {
                "regime_confidence": 0.8571,
                "regime_factors": {
                  "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.005988807371961158,
                  "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                  "hurst_exp": 0.34265444507760956,
                  "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                  "slope_price": 0.0,
                  "trend_persistence": 0.5,
                  "vol_expansion": 0.0
                },
                "regime_label": "range"
              },
              "threshold_used": 0.375
            },
            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "dynamic_sizing": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "quote_notional": null,
              "size_multiplier": null
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "trade_class": "paper_only"
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "sell",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.36216600172851576,
            "degradation_blockers": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://134767",
              "execution": "artifact://134842",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://134835",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134822",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134835",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134842",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134767",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.57745384710358,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3681326679663572
            },
            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "trend": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "down",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
          }
        },
        "degraded_sources": [
          "supervisor",
          "risk"
        ],
        "execution_plan": {
          "amount": null,
          "execution_mode": null,
          "expected_price": null,
          "maker_first": null,
          "market_type": "spot",
          "marketable_limit": null,
          "max_reprice_attempts": null,
          "max_slippage_bps": null,
          "notional_usd": 100.0,
          "order_type": "None",
          "qualification_class": null,
          "reduce_only": false,
          "sandbox": null,
          "slice_interval_ms": null,
          "slices": null,
          "time_in_force": "GTC",
          "venue": "binance"
        },
        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
        "final_summary": {
          "action": "hold",
          "bearish_contributors": [
            "onchain_detail:mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low a"
          ],
          "blocking_factors": [
            "synthetic_price_only"
          ],
          "bullish_contributors": [
            "strategy_factor:long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit",
            "onchain:bullish:+0.228",
            "onchain_detail:cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextende",
            "onchain_detail:fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian b"
          ],
          "confidence": 0.3,
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            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
          "reason_codes": [
            "ml_trust_low"
          ],
          "reduce_only": false,
          "risk": {
            "cancel_after_sec": null,
            "exit_policy": {
              "atr_base": 0.01,
              "break_even_trigger": null,
              "exit_template": "fixed",
              "max_hold_candles": 24,
              "partial_tp_levels": [
                {
                  "fraction": 0.5,
                  "target_distance": 0.015
                }
              ],
              "stop_loss": 0.01,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "trailing_activation": null,
              "trailing_callback": null,
              "trend_factor": 1.0,
              "vol_factor": 1.0
            },
            "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
            "take_profit": 0.02,
            "time_in_force": "GTC"
          },
          "side": "None",
          "signal": {
            "calibration_score": 1.0,
            "candidate_models": [
              "tp_eq_sl",
              "tp_3sl",
              "sl_3tp"
            ],
            "ensemble_weights": [
              {
                "model": "tp_eq_sl",
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              },
              {
                "model": "tp_3sl",
                "weight": 0.2363
              },
              {
                "model": "sl_3tp",
                "weight": 0.4458
              }
            ],
            "exit_policy": {
              "atr_base": 0.01,
              "break_even_trigger": null,
              "exit_template": "fixed",
              "max_hold_candles": 24,
              "partial_tp_levels": [
                {
                  "fraction": 0.5,
                  "target_distance": 0.015
                }
              ],
              "stop_loss": 0.01,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "trailing_activation": null,
              "trailing_callback": null,
              "trend_factor": 1.0,
              "vol_factor": 1.0
            },
            "model": "sl_3tp",
            "model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
            "model_selection_score": 0.462958,
            "quality_score": 0.5555,
            "realized_vol_short": null,
            "regime": {
              "regime_confidence": 0.8571,
              "regime_factors": {
                "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.005988807371961158,
                "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                "hurst_exp": 0.34265444507760956,
                "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                "slope_price": 0.0,
                "trend_persistence": 0.5,
                "vol_expansion": 0.0
              },
              "regime_label": "range"
            },
            "threshold_used": 0.375
          },
          "size": {
            "base_qty": null,
            "dynamic_sizing": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "quote_notional": null,
            "size_multiplier": null
          },
          "size_multiplier": 0.0,
          "source_quality_score": 0.88,
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "trade_class": "paper_only"
        },
        "ts": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.291983+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134895",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.298578+00:00",
      "id": 134894,
      "kind": "risk.snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "action_after_risk": "sell",
        "action_before_risk": "sell",
        "active_risk_ids": [
          "model_degraded_or_fallback",
          "policy_short_not_allowed",
          "strategy_timing_weak"
        ],
        "autotrade_allowed": true,
        "blocking_risk_ids": [],
        "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
        "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
        "degraded_dependencies": [],
        "exchange": null,
        "manual_review_required": false,
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "market_snapshot",
            "ref": "artifact://134634",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
          },
          {
            "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://134822",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
          },
          {
            "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
            "ref": "artifact://134763",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
          }
        ],
        "risk_breakdown": {
          "data_risk": {
            "score": 0.3333333333333333,
            "severity": "moderate"
          },
          "event_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "execution_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "liquidity_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "market_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "model_risk": {
            "score": 0.68,
            "severity": "elevated"
          },
          "policy_risk": {
            "score": 0.72,
            "severity": "high"
          },
          "portfolio_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "signal_risk": {
            "score": 0.4062376323123271,
            "severity": "moderate"
          },
          "strategy_risk": {
            "score": 0.44,
            "severity": "moderate"
          },
          "system_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          }
        },
        "risk_confidence": 0.8,
        "risk_level": "low",
        "risk_score": 0.20654422553393587,
        "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
        "timeframe": "1h",
        "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745",
        "ts": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.291983+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134894",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.294267+00:00",
      "id": 134893,
      "kind": "decision.bundle",
      "payload": {
        "action": "hold",
        "agents": {
          "compliance": {
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "constraints": {},
            "decision_override": null,
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "entry_type": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://134623",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {},
            "slices": null
          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5145927312092587,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "macro_score": null,
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994
            }
          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "confidence": 0.2154,
            "constraints": {},
            "edge_score": 0.2393,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1962,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
          },
          "ml_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "agreement_score": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "horizon_fit": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://134800",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trust_score": null,
            "usable": null
          },
          "onchain": {
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "constraints": {},
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134754",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
              }
            ],
            "score": 0.228,
            "signal": {},
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "allow_add": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "exposure_warning": null,
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_size_multiplier": null,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {}
          },
          "price": {
            "confidence": 0.323,
            "constraints": {},
            "expected_close": 69302.4136744224,
            "expected_high": 70134.04263851546,
            "expected_low": 68470.78471032933,
            "expected_move_pct": -4.690135904076248,
            "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "horizon": "1h",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 73585.29288000001,
              "low": 71840.18712
            },
            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 74370.590472,
              "low": 71054.889528
            },
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
            },
            "sl_hard": 68449.83209302799,
            "sl_soft": 69984.47893953792,
            "tp1": 73149.01644,
            "tp2": 73541.66523600002
          },
          "rag_judge": {
            "accepted_refs": [],
            "confidence": null,
            "consistency_score": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://134796",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ],
            "rejected_refs": [],
            "relevance_score": null,
            "signal": {},
            "usable": null
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.57745384710358,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
            "constraints": {},
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "ok": true,
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
              "portfolio": "artifact://134763",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
            },
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134822",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4062376323123271,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.20654422553393587,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "signal": {},
            "stop_loss": 0.03891361
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "action": null,
            "bias": null,
            "confidence": null,
            "constraints": {},
            "event_strength": null,
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://134698",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ],
            "sentiment_score": null,
            "signal": {}
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://134698",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://134698",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134778",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134780",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134782",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134783",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134784",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134785",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bearish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "down",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias",
                "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43740382152786994,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994,
              "market_momentum": -0.0001311840057819089,
              "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_sell"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.06574597925233996,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
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          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://134767",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://134750",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://134800",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://134796",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.57745384710358,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3681326679663572
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            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
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          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "sell",
            "confidence": 0.36216600172851576,
            "constraints": {},
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://134767",
              "execution": "artifact://134842",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://134835",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
            },
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134822",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134835",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134842",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134767",
                "title": "None",
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.57745384710358,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3681326679663572
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          },
          "trend": {
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "constraints": {},
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "reasons": [],
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "down",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
        "confidence": 0.3,
        "debug": {
          "compliance": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.0,
            "decision_override": null,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {},
            "trading_allowed": true,
            "violations": []
          },
          "evidence": {
            "compliance": "artifact://134767",
            "macro": "artifact://134750",
            "market": {
              "liquidity": "artifact://134623",
              "ohlcv": "artifact://134605",
              "price": "artifact://134628",
              "snapshot": "artifact://134634"
            },
            "ml": [
              "artifact://134778",
              "artifact://134780",
              "artifact://134782",
              "artifact://134783",
              "artifact://134784",
              "artifact://134785"
            ],
            "narratives": "chroma://narratives/2c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0",
            "news": [],
            "portfolio": "artifact://134763",
            "rag": []
          },
          "execution": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_liquidity",
                "ref": "artifact://134623",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
              },
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
              }
            ]
          },
          "execution_plan": {
            "amount": null,
            "execution_style": null,
            "expected_price": null,
            "market_type": "spot",
            "max_slippage_bps": null,
            "notional_usd": 100.0,
            "order_type": null,
            "reduce_only": false,
            "sandbox": null,
            "side": null,
            "slices": null,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "time_in_force": "GTC",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "venue": "binance"
          },
          "judgements": {
            "ml_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "ml_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://134800",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
                }
              ]
            },
            "rag_judge": {
              "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
              "mode": "llm_error",
              "model": "gemma3:12b",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
              "refs_used": [
                {
                  "kind": "rag_judgement",
                  "ref": "artifact://134796",
                  "title": null,
                  "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
                }
              ]
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          },
          "macro": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "neutral",
            "confidence": 0.5145927312092587,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "quality.llm_invalid_output",
              "macro.structural_fallback"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "regime": "neutral",
            "signal": {
              "macro_regime": "neutral",
              "macro_structural_factors": [
                "crypto_macro_score",
                "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
                "equity_risk_off"
              ],
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994
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          },
          "meta_decision": {
            "action": "paper_only",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.2154,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "edge_score": 0.2393,
            "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
            "execution_vote": "allow",
            "expected_value_score": 0.1962,
            "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "refs_used": [],
            "risk_vote": "allow",
            "should_trade": false,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust": 0.0,
              "synthetic_price": true,
              "trend_direction": "flat"
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
            "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
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          "ml_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "ml_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://134800",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
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          "onchain": {
            "action": "buy",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bearish_signals": [
              "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
            ],
            "bias": "bullish",
            "bullish_signals": [
              "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
              "fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.6656,
            "data_quality": "live",
            "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
            "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
            "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
            "extra_metrics": {
              "avg_funding_rate": -2.5888518352799997e-05,
              "btc_dominance_pct": 57.26039429673665,
              "btc_hash_rate": 904958569112.2582,
              "btc_tx_count_24h": 484094,
              "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 4.749965828986963,
              "defi_tvl_usd": 95879856273.0,
              "fear_greed_index": 15.0,
              "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
              "market_cap_change_24h_pct": 0.8155050530994677,
              "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
              "okx_funding_rate": 2.04729632944e-05
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            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": false,
            "network_signal": "shrinking",
            "onchain_available": true,
            "quality": "trusted",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134754",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
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            ],
            "score": 0.228,
            "sources_count": 10,
            "valuation_signal": "unknown"
          },
          "portfolio": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
              }
            ]
          },
          "price": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.323,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "expected_close": 69302.4136744224,
            "expected_high": 70134.04263851546,
            "expected_low": 68470.78471032933,
            "expected_move_pct": -4.690135904076248,
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            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "path_shape": "trend",
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "price_range_68": {
              "high": 73585.29288000001,
              "low": 71840.18712
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            "price_range_95": {
              "high": 74370.590472,
              "low": 71054.889528
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            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "signal": {
              "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
              "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
              "realized_vol_short": 0.012
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            "sl_hard": 68449.83209302799,
            "sl_soft": 69984.47893953792,
            "tp1": 73149.01644,
            "tp2": 73541.66523600002
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          "rag_judge": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "rag_judgement",
                "ref": "artifact://134796",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
              }
            ]
          },
          "risk": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "active_risk_factors": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
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                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
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                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
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                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
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            ],
            "autotrade_allowed": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_risks": [],
            "caution_risks": [
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "ml_mode": null,
                  "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
                },
                "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
                "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
                "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated",
                "source": "ml.prediction",
                "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
                "type": "model_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "allow_short": false
                },
                "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
                "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
                "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high",
                "source": "risk_prefs",
                "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
                "type": "policy_risk"
              },
              {
                "blocking": false,
                "evidence": {
                  "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
                },
                "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
                "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
                "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
                "refs": [
                  "artifact://134634",
                  "artifact://134822",
                  "artifact://134763"
                ],
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate",
                "source": "strategy.signal",
                "title": "Strategy timing risk",
                "type": "strategy_risk"
              }
            ],
            "confidence": 0.57745384710358,
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
            "degraded_dependencies": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
            "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
            "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "manual_review_required": false,
            "max_position": 25.0,
            "meta": {
              "allow_short": false,
              "max_leverage": 1.0,
              "missing_inputs": [
                "metrics.atr_pct",
                "metrics.spread_bps"
              ],
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "volatility": null
            },
            "mitigations": [
              "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
            ],
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "ok": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
              "portfolio": "artifact://134763",
              "rag": [],
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "strategy_timing_weak"
            ],
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
              },
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134822",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
              }
            ],
            "risk_breakdown": {
              "data_risk": {
                "score": 0.3333333333333333,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "event_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "execution_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "liquidity_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "market_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "model_risk": {
                "score": 0.68,
                "severity": "elevated"
              },
              "policy_risk": {
                "score": 0.72,
                "severity": "high"
              },
              "portfolio_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              },
              "signal_risk": {
                "score": 0.4062376323123271,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "strategy_risk": {
                "score": 0.44,
                "severity": "moderate"
              },
              "system_risk": {
                "score": 0.0,
                "severity": "low"
              }
            },
            "risk_confidence": 0.8,
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 0.25
            },
            "risk_level": "low",
            "risk_score": 0.20654422553393587,
            "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "stop_loss": 0.03891361
          },
          "sentiment": {
            "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
            "mode": "llm_error",
            "model": "gemma3:12b",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://134698",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
              }
            ]
          },
          "strategy": {
            "action": "sell",
            "action_tradeable": true,
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "bias": "bearish",
            "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
            "constraints": {
              "allow_short": null,
              "blacklist": [],
              "horizon": null,
              "max_leverage": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "preferred_assets": [],
              "style": null
            },
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "disagreement_flags": [],
            "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
              "ml": [
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
                "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}"
              ],
              "narratives": "artifact://134698",
              "news": [],
              "rag": []
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "market_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134634",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "narratives",
                "ref": "artifact://134698",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134778",
                "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134780",
                "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134782",
                "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134783",
                "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134784",
                "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_prediction",
                "ref": "artifact://134785",
                "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
                "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": "BTC",
              "bias": "bearish",
              "blockers": [],
              "direction": "down",
              "factors": [
                "ml_directional_bias",
                "macro_structural_bias",
                "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
              ],
              "macd_hist": null,
              "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
              "macro_agent_weight": 0.43740382152786994,
              "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994,
              "market_momentum": -0.0001311840057819089,
              "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
              "narrative_score": 0.0,
              "news_score": 0.0,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
              "reason_codes": [
                "direction_sell"
              ],
              "regime": null,
              "rsi": null,
              "score": -0.06574597925233996,
              "score_deadband": 0.042,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback"
            },
            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "supervisor": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "blocking_factors": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "overrides": [
              "price_safety_override"
            ],
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasons": [
              "synthetic_price_only"
            ],
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "compliance",
                "ref": "artifact://134767",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
              },
              {
                "kind": "portfolio",
                "ref": "artifact://134763",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
              },
              {
                "kind": "macro",
                "ref": "artifact://134750",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
              },
              {
                "kind": "ml_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://134800",
                "title": null,
                "why": "ML trust influences final confidence"
              },
              {
                "kind": "rag_judge",
                "ref": "artifact://134796",
                "title": null,
                "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
              }
            ],
            "risk_impact": {
              "action_after_risk": "sell",
              "action_before_risk": "sell",
              "blocked_by": [],
              "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
              "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
              "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
              "overrides": [
                "forbid_short",
                "reduce_size"
              ],
              "size_modifier": 0.25
            },
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.57745384710358,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3681326679663572
            },
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "winner_factors": [
              "risk_approved",
              "compliance_clear"
            ]
          },
          "system_status": {
            "agents": {
              "compliance_mode": "degraded",
              "execution_mode": "llm_error",
              "macro_mode": "degraded",
              "meta_decision_mode": "degraded",
              "ml_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "portfolio_mode": "llm_error",
              "price_mode": "degraded",
              "rag_judge_mode": "llm_error",
              "risk_mode": "degraded",
              "sentiment_mode": "llm_error",
              "strategy_mode": "deterministic",
              "supervisor_mode": "degraded",
              "trading_mode": "deterministic",
              "trend_mode": "degraded"
            },
            "compliance_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "macro_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "ml_predictions_status": {
              "count": 6,
              "usable": false
            },
            "narratives": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            },
            "news_status": {
              "count": 0
            },
            "portfolio_snapshot_status": {
              "present": true,
              "source": "artifact"
            },
            "rag": {
              "reason": null,
              "status": "used"
            }
          },
          "trade_intent": {
            "action": "hold",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.3,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "disagreement_score": 0.0,
            "entry": {
              "aggressiveness": "neutral",
              "execution_style": null,
              "max_slippage_bps": null,
              "price": null,
              "slices": null,
              "type": null
            },
            "guards": {
              "blocking_factors": [
                "synthetic_price_only"
              ],
              "compliance_ok": true,
              "execution_ok": null,
              "overrides": [
                "price_safety_override"
              ],
              "portfolio_ok": null,
              "quality_gate_blocked": true,
              "quality_gate_reasons": [
                "quality.supervisor_degraded",
                "quality.ml_trust_very_low"
              ],
              "risk_ok": true,
              "winner_factors": [
                "risk_approved",
                "compliance_clear"
              ]
            },
            "health": {
              "calibration_score": null,
              "degraded_sources": [
                "supervisor",
                "risk"
              ],
              "drift_detected": false,
              "health_state": "unknown",
              "ml_trust_score": null,
              "pipeline_quality": "degraded"
            },
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "meta_decision": {
              "action": "paper_only",
              "autotrade_safe": false,
              "confidence": 0.2154,
              "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
              "edge_score": 0.2393,
              "entry_quality_score": 0.42,
              "execution_vote": "allow",
              "expected_value_score": 0.1962,
              "explanation": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "final_summary": "Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.",
              "llm_status": "exception",
              "mode": "degraded",
              "needs_manual_review": true,
              "price_asymmetry_score": 0.35,
              "quality": "degraded",
              "raw_refs": {},
              "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
              "reason_codes": [
                "ml_trust_low"
              ],
              "refs_used": [],
              "risk_vote": "allow",
              "should_trade": false,
              "signal": {
                "calibration_score": null,
                "drift_detected": false,
                "health_state": "unknown",
                "ml_trust": 0.0,
                "synthetic_price": true,
                "trend_direction": "flat"
              },
              "size_multiplier": 0.0,
              "skip_reason": "ml_trust_low",
              "trend_alignment_score": 0.4
            },
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "reason": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints. | winner_factors=[\u0027risk_approved\u0027, \u0027compliance_clear\u0027] | blocking_factors=[\u0027synthetic_price_only\u0027] | overrides=[\u0027price_safety_override\u0027]",
            "reason_codes": [
              "ml_trust_low"
            ],
            "reduce_only": false,
            "risk": {
              "cancel_after_sec": null,
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
              "take_profit": 0.02,
              "time_in_force": "GTC"
            },
            "side": null,
            "signal": {
              "calibration_score": 1.0,
              "candidate_models": [
                "tp_eq_sl",
                "tp_3sl",
                "sl_3tp"
              ],
              "ensemble_weights": [
                {
                  "model": "tp_eq_sl",
                  "weight": 0.2752
                },
                {
                  "model": "tp_3sl",
                  "weight": 0.2363
                },
                {
                  "model": "sl_3tp",
                  "weight": 0.4458
                }
              ],
              "exit_policy": {
                "atr_base": 0.01,
                "break_even_trigger": null,
                "exit_template": "fixed",
                "max_hold_candles": 24,
                "partial_tp_levels": [
                  {
                    "fraction": 0.5,
                    "target_distance": 0.015
                  }
                ],
                "stop_loss": 0.01,
                "take_profit": 0.02,
                "trailing_activation": null,
                "trailing_callback": null,
                "trend_factor": 1.0,
                "vol_factor": 1.0
              },
              "model": "sl_3tp",
              "model_runtime_score": 0.462958,
              "model_selection_score": 0.462958,
              "quality_score": 0.5555,
              "realized_vol_short": null,
              "regime": {
                "regime_confidence": 0.8571,
                "regime_factors": {
                  "bollinger_bandwidth": 0.005988807371961158,
                  "directional_consistency": 0.0,
                  "hurst_exp": 0.34265444507760956,
                  "is_trend_regime": 0.0,
                  "realized_vol_short": 0.0,
                  "slope_price": 0.0,
                  "trend_persistence": 0.5,
                  "vol_expansion": 0.0
                },
                "regime_label": "range"
              },
              "threshold_used": 0.375
            },
            "size": {
              "base_qty": null,
              "dynamic_sizing": null,
              "max_position_usd": null,
              "quote_notional": null,
              "size_multiplier": null
            },
            "size_multiplier": 0.0,
            "source_quality_score": 0.88,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "timeframe": "1h",
            "trade_class": "paper_only"
          },
          "trading": {
            "action": "sell",
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.36216600172851576,
            "degradation_blockers": [],
            "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
            "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
            "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "deterministic",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "partial",
            "raw_refs": {
              "compliance": "artifact://134767",
              "execution": "artifact://134842",
              "risk_agent_output": "artifact://134835",
              "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
            },
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "refs_used": [
              {
                "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134822",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "risk_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134835",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
              },
              {
                "kind": "execution_agent_output",
                "ref": "artifact://134842",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
              },
              {
                "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
                "ref": "artifact://134767",
                "title": null,
                "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
              }
            ],
            "signal": {
              "asset": null,
              "blockers": [],
              "max_position": 6.25,
              "pair": "BTC/USDT",
              "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
              "risk_confidence": 0.57745384710358,
              "risk_ok": true,
              "source": "deterministic_fallback",
              "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
              "strategy_action": "sell",
              "strategy_confidence": 0.3681326679663572
            },
            "signal_quality": "partial"
          },
          "trend": {
            "autotrade_safe": false,
            "confidence": 0.22,
            "continuation_probability": 0.42,
            "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
            "evidence": [
              "market.momentum",
              "ml.directional_bias"
            ],
            "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "invalidators": [
              "momentum_flip",
              "range_break_against_direction"
            ],
            "llm_status": "exception",
            "mode": "degraded",
            "needs_manual_review": true,
            "quality": "degraded",
            "raw_refs": {},
            "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
            "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
            "refs_used": [],
            "reversal_probability": 0.58,
            "signal": {
              "ml_direction": "down",
              "momentum": 0.0
            },
            "trend_direction": "flat",
            "trend_horizon": "intraday",
            "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
            "trend_strength": 0.0
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        },
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      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"action\": \"hold\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"blocking_factors\": [\"synthetic_price_only\"], \"confidence\": 0.3681326679663572, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"disagreement_score\": 0.0, \"explanation\": \"LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"overrides\": [\"price_safety_override\"], \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"reasons\": [\"synthetic_price_only\"], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"compliance\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134767\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Compliance gate can override final action\"}, {\"kind\": \"portfolio\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134763\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk\"}, {\"kind\": \"macro\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134750\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Macro backdrop influences regime filter\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_judge\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134800\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"ML trust influences final confidence\"}, {\"kind\": \"rag_judge\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134796\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"RAG trust influences evidence usage\"}], \"risk_impact\": {\"action_after_risk\": \"sell\", \"action_before_risk\": \"sell\", \"blocked_by\": [], \"confidence_after_risk\": 0.3149076942071602, \"confidence_before_risk\": 0.3681326679663572, \"final_reason\": \"Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.\", \"overrides\": [\"forbid_short\", \"reduce_size\"], \"size_modifier\": 0.25}, \"signal\": {\"asset\": null, \"blockers\": [], \"max_position\": 6.25, \"pair\": \"BTC/USDT\", \"recommended_size_modifier\": 0.25, \"risk_confidence\": 0.57745384710358, \"risk_ok\": true, \"source\": \"deterministic_fallback\", \"stop_loss\": 0.03891361, \"strategy_action\": \"sell\", \"strategy_confidence\": 0.3681326679663572}, \"source_quality_score\": 0.88, \"winner_factors\": [\"risk_approved\", \"compliance_clear\"]}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134885",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.266884+00:00",
      "id": 134884,
      "kind": "decision.step.supervisor_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://134880",
        "out": "artifact://134883"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134884",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.265678+00:00",
      "id": 134883,
      "kind": "decision.supervisor_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
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        "autotrade_safe": false,
        "blocking_factors": [
          "synthetic_price_only"
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        "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
        "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
        "disagreement_score": 0.0,
        "explanation": "LLM unavailable/invalid; SupervisorAgent applied deterministic arbitration.",
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "degraded",
        "needs_manual_review": true,
        "overrides": [
          "price_safety_override"
        ],
        "quality": "degraded",
        "raw_refs": {},
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "reasons": [
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        ],
        "refs_used": [
          {
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            "ref": "artifact://134767",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Compliance gate can override final action"
          },
          {
            "kind": "portfolio",
            "ref": "artifact://134763",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Portfolio state can reduce or block adding risk"
          },
          {
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            "ref": "artifact://134750",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Macro backdrop influences regime filter"
          },
          {
            "kind": "ml_judge",
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            "title": null,
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            "title": null,
            "why": "RAG trust influences evidence usage"
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          "action_before_risk": "sell",
          "blocked_by": [],
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
          "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "overrides": [
            "forbid_short",
            "reduce_size"
          ],
          "size_modifier": 0.25
        },
        "signal": {
          "asset": null,
          "blockers": [],
          "max_position": 6.25,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
          "risk_confidence": 0.57745384710358,
          "risk_ok": true,
          "source": "deterministic_fallback",
          "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
          "strategy_action": "sell",
          "strategy_confidence": 0.3681326679663572
        },
        "source_quality_score": 0.88,
        "winner_factors": [
          "risk_approved",
          "compliance_clear"
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134883",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.263318+00:00",
      "id": 134882,
      "kind": "decision.llm.supervisor.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134882",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.256767+00:00",
      "id": 134881,
      "kind": "decision.llm.supervisor.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are SupervisorAgent \u2014 the final decision maker. You MUST return a JSON object with these exact keys: \\\"action\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". action must be exactly one of: buy, sell, hold. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string explaining your decision. When strategy AND risk both agree on a direction with confidence \u003e= 0.5, the final action MUST match that direction. Use hold ONLY when evidence is genuinely contradictory or all signals are weak.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Arbitrate all agent outputs into final decision action and confidence.\u0027, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027action\u0027: \u0027hold\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.5145927312092587, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\u0027, \u0027reasons\u0027: [\u0027quality.llm_invalid_output\u0027, \u0027macro.structural_fallback\u0027], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027macro_regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08783118289020994, \u0027macro_structural_factors\u0027: [\u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027, \u0027usd_strong_crypto_headwind\u0027, \u0027equity_risk_off\u0027]}, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027degraded\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027deterministic_route_quality\u0027: \u0027degraded_deterministic\u0027, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {}}, \u0027sentiment\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027llm_error\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027quality.llm_exception\u0027, \u0027error\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027model\u0027: \u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134698\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}], \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.\u0027}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027sell\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3681326679663572, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027down\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: -0.06574597925233996, \u0027ml_score\u0027: -0.10422524231280551, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08783118289020994, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.43740382152786994, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: -0.0001311840057819089, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027, \u0027long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_sell\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134634\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134698\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:1\u2026"
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          "kwargs": {}
        }
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      "ref": "artifact://134881",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.254439+00:00",
      "id": 134880,
      "kind": "decision.supervisor_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "compliance": {
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.0,
          "decision_override": null,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "quality.llm_invalid_output"
          ],
          "refs_used": [],
          "signal": {},
          "trading_allowed": true,
          "violations": []
        },
        "execution": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_liquidity",
              "ref": "artifact://134623",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry"
            },
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://134634",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Market snapshot used for execution context"
            }
          ]
        },
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          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "neutral",
          "confidence": 0.5145927312092587,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "quality.llm_invalid_output",
            "macro.structural_fallback"
          ],
          "refs_used": [],
          "regime": "neutral",
          "signal": {
            "macro_regime": "neutral",
            "macro_structural_factors": [
              "crypto_macro_score",
              "usd_strong_crypto_headwind",
              "equity_risk_off"
            ],
            "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994
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        },
        "ml_judge": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "ml_judgement",
              "ref": "artifact://134800",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Judgement artifact used as trust source"
            }
          ]
        },
        "portfolio": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://134763",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks"
            }
          ]
        },
        "price": {
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.323,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "expected_close": 69302.4136744224,
          "expected_high": 70134.04263851546,
          "expected_low": 68470.78471032933,
          "expected_move_pct": -4.690135904076248,
          "explanation": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
          "horizon": "1h",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "path_shape": "trend",
          "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
          "price_range_68": {
            "high": 73585.29288000001,
            "low": 71840.18712
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          "price_range_95": {
            "high": 74370.590472,
            "low": 71054.889528
          },
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.",
          "refs_used": [],
          "signal": {
            "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
            "predicted_close_is_synthetic": true,
            "realized_vol_short": 0.012
          },
          "sl_hard": 68449.83209302799,
          "sl_soft": 69984.47893953792,
          "tp1": 73149.01644,
          "tp2": 73541.66523600002
        },
        "rag_judge": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "rag_judgement",
              "ref": "artifact://134796",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
            }
          ]
        },
        "requirements": {
          "fields": [
            "mode",
            "action",
            "confidence",
            "winner_factors",
            "blocking_factors",
            "overrides",
            "signal",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "refs_used"
          ],
          "must_apply_compliance_override": true,
          "must_output_json_only": true
        },
        "risk": {
          "action_after_risk": "sell",
          "action_before_risk": "sell",
          "active_risk_factors": [
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "ml_mode": null,
                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
              },
              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://134634",
                "artifact://134822",
                "artifact://134763"
              ],
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
              "type": "model_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "allow_short": false
              },
              "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
              "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://134634",
                "artifact://134822",
                "artifact://134763"
              ],
              "score": 0.72,
              "severity": "high",
              "source": "risk_prefs",
              "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
              "type": "policy_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
              },
              "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
              "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
              "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://134634",
                "artifact://134822",
                "artifact://134763"
              ],
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "strategy.signal",
              "title": "Strategy timing risk",
              "type": "strategy_risk"
            }
          ],
          "autotrade_allowed": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "blocking_risks": [],
          "caution_risks": [
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "ml_mode": null,
                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
              },
              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://134634",
                "artifact://134822",
                "artifact://134763"
              ],
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
              "type": "model_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "allow_short": false
              },
              "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
              "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://134634",
                "artifact://134822",
                "artifact://134763"
              ],
              "score": 0.72,
              "severity": "high",
              "source": "risk_prefs",
              "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
              "type": "policy_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
              },
              "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
              "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
              "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://134634",
                "artifact://134822",
                "artifact://134763"
              ],
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "strategy.signal",
              "title": "Strategy timing risk",
              "type": "strategy_risk"
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.57745384710358,
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
          "degraded_dependencies": [],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
          "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
          "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "manual_review_required": false,
          "max_position": 25.0,
          "meta": {
            "allow_short": false,
            "max_leverage": 1.0,
            "missing_inputs": [
              "metrics.atr_pct",
              "metrics.spread_bps"
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            "strategy_action": "sell",
            "volatility": null
          },
          "mitigations": [
            "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
            "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
            "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
          ],
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "ok": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
            "portfolio": "artifact://134763",
            "rag": [],
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "model_degraded_or_fallback",
            "policy_short_not_allowed",
            "strategy_timing_weak"
          ],
          "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://134634",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
            },
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://134822",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://134763",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
            }
          ],
          "risk_breakdown": {
            "data_risk": {
              "score": 0.3333333333333333,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "event_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "execution_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "liquidity_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "market_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "model_risk": {
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated"
            },
            "policy_risk": {
              "score": 0.72,
              "severity": "high"
            },
            "portfolio_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "signal_risk": {
              "score": 0.4062376323123271,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "strategy_risk": {
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "system_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            }
          },
          "risk_confidence": 0.8,
          "risk_impact": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "blocked_by": [],
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
            "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "overrides": [
              "forbid_short",
              "reduce_size"
            ],
            "size_modifier": 0.25
          },
          "risk_level": "low",
          "risk_score": 0.20654422553393587,
          "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "stop_loss": 0.03891361
        },
        "sentiment": {
          "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
          "mode": "llm_error",
          "model": "gemma3:12b",
          "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://134698",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
            }
          ]
        },
        "strategy": {
          "action": "sell",
          "action_tradeable": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "bearish",
          "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
          "constraints": {
            "allow_short": null,
            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
          },
          "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
          "disagreement_flags": [],
          "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "deterministic",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
          "quality": "partial",
          "raw_refs": {
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            "ml": [
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              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}"
            ],
            "narratives": "artifact://134698",
            "news": [],
            "rag": []
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://134634",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://134698",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134778",
              "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134780",
              "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134782",
              "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134783",
              "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134784",
              "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134785",
              "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
            "asset": "BTC",
            "bias": "bearish",
            "blockers": [],
            "direction": "down",
            "factors": [
              "ml_directional_bias",
              "macro_structural_bias",
              "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
            ],
            "macd_hist": null,
            "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
            "macro_agent_weight": 0.43740382152786994,
            "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994,
            "market_momentum": -0.0001311840057819089,
            "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
            "narrative_score": 0.0,
            "news_score": 0.0,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
            "reason_codes": [
              "direction_sell"
            ],
            "regime": null,
            "rsi": null,
            "score": -0.06574597925233996,
            "score_deadband": 0.042,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback"
          },
          "signal_quality": "partial"
        },
        "task": "Arbitrate all agent outputs into final decision action and confidence.",
        "trading": {
          "action": "sell",
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.36216600172851576,
          "degradation_blockers": [],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
          "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
          "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "deterministic",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "partial",
          "raw_refs": {
            "compliance": "artifact://134767",
            "execution": "artifact://134842",
            "risk_agent_output": "artifact://134835",
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://134822",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "risk_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://134835",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "execution_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://134842",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
            },
            {
              "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://134767",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
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          ],
          "signal": {
            "asset": null,
            "blockers": [],
            "max_position": 6.25,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
            "risk_confidence": 0.57745384710358,
            "risk_ok": true,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback",
            "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
            "strategy_action": "sell",
            "strategy_confidence": 0.3681326679663572
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          "signal_quality": "partial"
        },
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          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "confidence": 0.22,
          "continuation_probability": 0.42,
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "evidence": [
            "market.momentum",
            "ml.directional_bias"
          ],
          "explanation": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
          "invalidators": [
            "momentum_flip",
            "range_break_against_direction"
          ],
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {},
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasoning_summary": "Deterministic trend estimate from momentum and ML directional bias.",
          "refs_used": [],
          "reversal_probability": 0.58,
          "signal": {
            "ml_direction": "down",
            "momentum": 0.0
          },
          "trend_direction": "flat",
          "trend_horizon": "intraday",
          "trend_phase": "mean_reversion",
          "trend_strength": 0.0
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      },
      "ref": "artifact://134880",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"narratives\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134698\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source\"}]}",
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"PortfolioAgent assessed exposure and sizing constraints.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"portfolio_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134763\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Portfolio snapshot used for exposure and correlation checks\"}]}",
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            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"rag_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134796\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as base evaluation\"}]}",
            "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134800\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}]}",
            "{\"action\": \"sell\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"confidence\": 0.36216600172851576, \"degradation_blockers\": [], \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"full_deterministic\", \"execution_readiness\": \"not_ready\", \"explanation\": \"TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"quality\": \"partial\", \"raw_refs\": {\"compliance\": \"artifact://134767\", \"execution\": \"artifact://134842\", \"risk_agent_output\": \"artifact://134835\", \"strategy_agent_output\": \"artifact://134822\"}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"strategy_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134822\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent.\"}, {\"kind\": \"risk_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134835\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent.\"}, {\"kind\": \"execution_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134842\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping.\"}, {\"kind\": \"compliance_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134767\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates.\"}], \"signal\": {\"asset\": null, \"blockers\": [], \"max_position\": 6.25, \"pair\": \"BTC/USDT\", \"recommended_size_modifier\": 0.25, \"risk_confidence\": 0.57745384710358, \"risk_ok\": true, \"source\": \"deterministic_fallback\", \"stop_loss\": 0.03891361, \"strategy_action\": \"sell\", \"strategy_confidence\": 0.3681326679663572}, \"signal_quality\": \"partial\"}"
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "onchain_out": "{\"action\": \"buy\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bearish_signals\": [\"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal\"], \"confidence\": 0.6656, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.\", \"extra_metrics\": {\"avg_funding_rate\": -2.5888518352799997e-05, \"btc_dominance_pct\": 57.26039429673665, \"btc_hash_rate\": 904958569112.2582, \"btc_tx_count_24h\": 484094, \"defi_tvl_change_7d_pct\": 4.749965828986963, \"defi_tvl_usd\": 95879856273.0, \"fear_greed_index\": 15.0, \"fear_greed_label\": \"Extreme Fear\", \"market_cap_change_24h_pct\": 0.8155050530994677, \"mempool_fastest_fee\": 1.0, \"okx_funding_rate\": 2.04729632944e-05}, \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": false, \"network_signal\": \"shrinking\", \"onchain_available\": true, \"quality\": \"trusted\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"onchain_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134754\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Primary on-chain evidence\"}], \"score\": 0.228, \"sources_count\": 10, \"valuation_signal\": \"unknown\"}",
            "price_out": "{\"autotrade_safe\": false, \"confidence\": 0.323, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"expected_close\": 69302.4136744224, \"expected_high\": 70134.04263851546, \"expected_low\": 68470.78471032933, \"expected_move_pct\": -4.690135904076248, \"explanation\": \"Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\", \"horizon\": \"1h\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"path_shape\": \"trend\", \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"price_range_68\": {\"high\": 73585.29288000001, \"low\": 71840.18712}, \"price_range_95\": {\"high\": 74370.590472, \"low\": 71054.889528}, \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"reasoning_summary\": \"Deterministic price corridor from ML bias and realized volatility.\", \"refs_used\": [], \"signal\": {\"ml_score\": -0.10422524231280551, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"realized_vol_short\": 0.012}, \"sl_hard\": 68449.83209302799, \"sl_soft\": 69984.47893953792, \"tp1\": 73149.01644, \"tp2\": 73541.66523600002}",
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          }
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134879",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.246362+00:00",
      "id": 134878,
      "kind": "decision.trading_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"action\": \"sell\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"confidence\": 0.36216600172851576, \"degradation_blockers\": [], \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"full_deterministic\", \"execution_readiness\": \"not_ready\", \"explanation\": \"TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"quality\": \"partial\", \"raw_refs\": {\"compliance\": \"artifact://134767\", \"execution\": \"artifact://134842\", \"risk_agent_output\": \"artifact://134835\", \"strategy_agent_output\": \"artifact://134822\"}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"strategy_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134822\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent.\"}, {\"kind\": \"risk_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134835\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent.\"}, {\"kind\": \"execution_agent_output\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134842\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping.\"}, {\"kind\": \"compliance_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134767\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates.\"}], \"signal\": {\"asset\": null, \"blockers\": [], \"max_position\": 6.25, \"pair\": \"BTC/USDT\", \"recommended_size_modifier\": 0.25, \"risk_confidence\": 0.57745384710358, \"risk_ok\": true, \"source\": \"deterministic_fallback\", \"stop_loss\": 0.03891361, \"strategy_action\": \"sell\", \"strategy_confidence\": 0.3681326679663572}, \"signal_quality\": \"partial\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134878",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.245170+00:00",
      "id": 134877,
      "kind": "decision.step.trading_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://134873",
        "out": "artifact://134876"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134877",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.243901+00:00",
      "id": 134876,
      "kind": "decision.trading_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "action": "sell",
        "autotrade_safe": false,
        "confidence": 0.36216600172851576,
        "degradation_blockers": [],
        "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
        "execution_readiness": "not_ready",
        "explanation": "TradingAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Final intent was derived from StrategyAgent output and RiskAgent constraints.",
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "deterministic",
        "needs_manual_review": true,
        "quality": "partial",
        "raw_refs": {
          "compliance": "artifact://134767",
          "execution": "artifact://134842",
          "risk_agent_output": "artifact://134835",
          "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
        },
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://134822",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as the source strategy intent to convert into final trading intent."
          },
          {
            "kind": "risk_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://134835",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as the risk approval and constraint layer for final trading intent."
          },
          {
            "kind": "execution_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://134842",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as execution-style guidance for final intent shaping."
          },
          {
            "kind": "compliance_snapshot",
            "ref": "artifact://134767",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as policy context so final trading intent respects hard gates."
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        "signal": {
          "asset": null,
          "blockers": [],
          "max_position": 6.25,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
          "risk_confidence": 0.57745384710358,
          "risk_ok": true,
          "source": "deterministic_fallback",
          "stop_loss": 0.03891361,
          "strategy_action": "sell",
          "strategy_confidence": 0.3681326679663572
        },
        "signal_quality": "partial"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134876",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.241514+00:00",
      "id": 134875,
      "kind": "decision.llm.trading.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
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      "ref": "artifact://134875",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.235444+00:00",
      "id": 134874,
      "kind": "decision.llm.trading.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are TradingAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with these exact keys: \\\"action\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". action must be exactly one of: buy, sell, hold. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string. Your job is to translate the strategy recommendation into an executable trade. If strategy says buy/sell with confidence \u003e= 0.50 and risk_ok is true, you MUST follow the strategy direction. Only override to hold if risk explicitly forbids or evidence collapses.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Convert strategy + risk into a final DecisionBundle intent (still not execution).\u0027, \u0027user_text\u0027: \u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027, \u0027risk_prefs\u0027: {}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027sell\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3681326679663572, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027down\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: -0.06574597925233996, \u0027ml_score\u0027: -0.10422524231280551, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08783118289020994, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.43740382152786994, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: -0.0001311840057819089, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027, \u0027long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_sell\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134634\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134698\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated:1h\u0027}], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {\u0027market_snapshot\u0027: \u0027artifact://134634\u0027, \u0027news\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: \u0027artifact://134698\u0027, \u0027ml\u0027: [\\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}\\\", \\\"{\u0027predictio\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134874",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.233316+00:00",
      "id": 134873,
      "kind": "decision.trading_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "requirements": {
          "must_respect_profile_constraints": true,
          "no_execution": true
        },
        "risk": {
          "action_after_risk": "sell",
          "action_before_risk": "sell",
          "active_risk_factors": [
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "ml_mode": null,
                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
              },
              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://134634",
                "artifact://134822",
                "artifact://134763"
              ],
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
              "type": "model_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "allow_short": false
              },
              "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
              "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://134634",
                "artifact://134822",
                "artifact://134763"
              ],
              "score": 0.72,
              "severity": "high",
              "source": "risk_prefs",
              "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
              "type": "policy_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
              },
              "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
              "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
              "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://134634",
                "artifact://134822",
                "artifact://134763"
              ],
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "strategy.signal",
              "title": "Strategy timing risk",
              "type": "strategy_risk"
            }
          ],
          "autotrade_allowed": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "blocking_risks": [],
          "caution_risks": [
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "ml_mode": null,
                "signal_source": "deterministic_fallback"
              },
              "explanation": "Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.",
              "id": "model_degraded_or_fallback",
              "mitigation": "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://134634",
                "artifact://134822",
                "artifact://134763"
              ],
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated",
              "source": "ml.prediction",
              "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
              "type": "model_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "allow_short": false
              },
              "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
              "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
              "mitigation": "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://134634",
                "artifact://134822",
                "artifact://134763"
              ],
              "score": 0.72,
              "severity": "high",
              "source": "risk_prefs",
              "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
              "type": "policy_risk"
            },
            {
              "blocking": false,
              "evidence": {
                "momentum": -0.0001311840057819089
              },
              "explanation": "Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.",
              "id": "strategy_timing_weak",
              "mitigation": "Wait for clearer trend confirmation.",
              "refs": [
                "artifact://134634",
                "artifact://134822",
                "artifact://134763"
              ],
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate",
              "source": "strategy.signal",
              "title": "Strategy timing risk",
              "type": "strategy_risk"
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.57745384710358,
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
          "degraded_dependencies": [],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
          "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
          "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "manual_review_required": false,
          "max_position": 25.0,
          "meta": {
            "allow_short": false,
            "max_leverage": 1.0,
            "missing_inputs": [
              "metrics.atr_pct",
              "metrics.spread_bps"
            ],
            "strategy_action": "sell",
            "volatility": null
          },
          "mitigations": [
            "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
            "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
            "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
          ],
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "ok": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
            "portfolio": "artifact://134763",
            "rag": [],
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "model_degraded_or_fallback",
            "policy_short_not_allowed",
            "strategy_timing_weak"
          ],
          "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://134634",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
            },
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://134822",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://134763",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
            }
          ],
          "risk_breakdown": {
            "data_risk": {
              "score": 0.3333333333333333,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "event_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "execution_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "liquidity_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "market_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "model_risk": {
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated"
            },
            "policy_risk": {
              "score": 0.72,
              "severity": "high"
            },
            "portfolio_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "signal_risk": {
              "score": 0.4062376323123271,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "strategy_risk": {
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "system_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            }
          },
          "risk_confidence": 0.8,
          "risk_impact": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "blocked_by": [],
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
            "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "overrides": [
              "forbid_short",
              "reduce_size"
            ],
            "size_modifier": 0.25
          },
          "risk_level": "low",
          "risk_score": 0.20654422553393587,
          "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "stop_loss": 0.03891361
        },
        "risk_prefs": {},
        "strategy": {
          "action": "sell",
          "action_tradeable": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "bearish",
          "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
          "constraints": {
            "allow_short": null,
            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
          },
          "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
          "disagreement_flags": [],
          "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "deterministic",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
          "quality": "partial",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
            "ml": [
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}"
            ],
            "narratives": "artifact://134698",
            "news": [],
            "rag": []
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://134634",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://134698",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134778",
              "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134780",
              "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134782",
              "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134783",
              "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134784",
              "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134785",
              "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
            "asset": "BTC",
            "bias": "bearish",
            "blockers": [],
            "direction": "down",
            "factors": [
              "ml_directional_bias",
              "macro_structural_bias",
              "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
            ],
            "macd_hist": null,
            "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
            "macro_agent_weight": 0.43740382152786994,
            "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994,
            "market_momentum": -0.0001311840057819089,
            "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
            "narrative_score": 0.0,
            "news_score": 0.0,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
            "reason_codes": [
              "direction_sell"
            ],
            "regime": null,
            "rsi": null,
            "score": -0.06574597925233996,
            "score_deadband": 0.042,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback"
          },
          "signal_quality": "partial"
        },
        "task": "Convert strategy + risk into a final DecisionBundle intent (still not execution).",
        "user_text": "scheduler decision tick"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134873",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.231236+00:00",
      "id": 134872,
      "kind": "decision.trading_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
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        "explanation": "MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.",
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            "[{\"content\": \"You are MLJudgeAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"usable\\\", \\\"trust_score\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". usable must be true or false. trust_score must be a number between 0 and 1. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the ML prediction trustworthiness.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Judge whether ML predictions are trustworthy enough for this decision.\u0027, \u0027ml_judgement\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.941463+00:00\u0027, \u0027usable\u0027: True, \u0027trust_score\u0027: 0.9734180700396838, \u0027horizon_fit\u0027: 1.0, \u0027agreement_score\u0027: 1.0, \u0027reason\u0027: None, \u0027accepted_refs\u0027: [\u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027artifact://134785\u0027], \u0027rejected_refs\u0027: [], \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134800\u0027}, \u0027ml_predictions\u0027: [{\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.872360+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.12417405469641196, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.7977695349128914, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.07805641039069659, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0}, \u0027prediction_value\u0027: None, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914, \u0027error\u0027: None, \u0027last_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: None, \u0027features_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134777\u0027, \u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027expected_return\u0027: None, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: None, \u0027volatility_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027regime_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: None, \u0027breakout_probability\u0027: None, \u0027mean_reversion_probability\u0027: None, \u0027stop_loss_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027take_profit_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027tp_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027sl_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027risk_reward_estimate\u0027: None, \u0027tradeability_score\u0027: None, \u0027quality_score\u0027: None, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: None, \u0027uncertainty_score\u0027: None, \u0027forecast\u0027: {}}, {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.878637+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.0032871365805969047, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9268176667983773, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.06989519662102567, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0}, \u0027prediction_value\u0027: None, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773, \u0027error\u0027: None, \u0027last_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: None, \u0027features_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134779\u0027, \u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027expected_return\u0027: None, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: None, \u0027volatility_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027regime_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: None, \u0027breakout_probability\u0027: None, \u0027mean_reversion_probability\u0027: None, \u0027stop_loss_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027take_profit_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027tp_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027sl_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027risk_reward_estimate\u0027: None, \u0027tradeability_score\u0027: None, \u0027quality_score\u0027: None, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: None, \u0027uncertainty_score\u0027: None, \u0027forecast\u0027: {}}, {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.883045+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.05424015905506382, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.944121262856447, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.0016385780884890441, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0}, \u0027prediction_value\u0027: None, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447, \u0027error\u0027: None, \u0027last_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close\u0027: None, \u0027predicted_close_is_synthetic\u0027: None, \u0027features_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134781\u0027, \u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027expected_return\u0027: None, \u0027expected_move_pct\u0027: None, \u0027volatility_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027regime_forecast\u0027: None, \u0027reversal_probability\u0027: None, \u0027breakout_probability\u0027: None, \u0027mean_reversion_probability\u0027: None, \u0027stop_loss_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027take_profit_suggestion\u0027: None, \u0027tp_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027sl_hit_probability\u0027: None, \u0027risk_reward_estimate\u0027: None, \u0027tradeability_score\u0027: None, \u0027quality_score\u0027: None, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: None, \u0027uncertainty_score\u0027: None, \u0027forecast\u0027: {}}, {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.884829+00:00\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027prediction\u0027: {\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.061766881813727824, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8977750721282324, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.04045804605803974, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0, \u0027ensemble\u0027: True, \u0027ensemble_mode\u0027: \u0027weighted\u0027, \u0027member_cou\u2026"
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          "kwargs": {}
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          "ts": "2026-04-11T06:00:50.941463+00:00",
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            "ts": "2026-04-11T06:00:50.878637+00:00",
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        "task": "Judge whether ML predictions are trustworthy enough for this decision."
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            "{\"compliance\": \"artifact://134767\", \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://134750\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://134623\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://134605\", \"price\": \"artifact://134628\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://134634\"}, \"ml\": [\"artifact://134778\", \"artifact://134780\", \"artifact://134782\", \"artifact://134783\", \"artifact://134784\", \"artifact://134785\"], \"ml_enrichment\": {\"1h\": {\"direction_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.8977750721282324, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"direction\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.7977695349128914, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"weight\": 0.2752}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9268176667983773, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"weight\": 0.2363}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.944121262856447, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"weight\": 0.4458}], \"p_down\": 0.061766881813727824, \"p_side\": 0.8977750721282324, \"p_up\": 0.04045804605803974}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"ensemble_weights\": [{\"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"weight\": 0.2752}, {\"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"weight\": 0.2363}, {\"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"weight\": 0.4458}], \"exit_policy\": {\"atr_base\": 0.01, \"break_even_trigger\": null, \"exit_template\": \"fixed\", \"max_hold_candles\": 24, \"partial_tp_levels\": [{\"fraction\": 0.5, \"target_distance\": 0.015}], \"stop_loss\": 0.01, \"take_profit\": 0.02, \"trailing_activation\": null, \"trailing_callback\": null, \"trend_factor\": 1.0, \"vol_factor\": 1.0}, \"member_scores\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"score\": 0.238049, \"threshold_used\": 0.38}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"score\": 0.2848, \"threshold_used\": 0.38}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"score\": 0.462958, \"threshold_used\": 0.375}], \"price_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.8977750721282324, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"price\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.7977695349128914, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"weight\": 0.2752}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9268176667983773, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"weight\": 0.2363}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.944121262856447, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"weight\": 0.4458}], \"p_down\": 0.061766881813727824, \"p_side\": 0.8977750721282324, \"p_up\": 0.04045804605803974}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"regime_confidence\": 0.8571, \"regime_factors\": {\"bollinger_bandwidth\": 0.005988807371961158, \"directional_consistency\": 0.0, \"hurst_exp\": 0.34265444507760956, \"is_trend_regime\": 0.0, \"realized_vol_short\": 0.0, \"slope_price\": 0.0, \"trend_persistence\": 0.5, \"vol_expansion\": 0.0}, \"regime_label\": \"range\"}}, \"ml_judge\": \"artifact://134800\", \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/2c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": \"artifact://134763\", \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": \"artifact://134796\", \"steps\": {\"chat_con\u2026",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.941463+00:00\u0027 usable=True trust_score=0.9734180700396838 horizon_fit=1.0 agreement_score=1.0 reason=None accepted_refs=[\u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027artifact://134785\u0027] rejected_refs=[] ref=\u0027artifact://134800\u0027\"",
            "[\"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.872360+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.12417405469641196, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.7977695349128914, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.07805641039069659, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.7977695349128914 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://134777\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://134778\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.878637+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_3sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.0032871365805969047, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9268176667983773, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.06989519662102567, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.9268176667983773 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://134779\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://134780\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.883045+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027sl_3tp\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.05424015905506382, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.944121262856447, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.0016385780884890441, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.944121262856447 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://134781\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://134782\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.884829+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027ensemble.direction\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.061766881813727824, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8977750721282324, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.04045804605803974, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0, \u0027ensemble\u0027: True, \u0027ensemble_mode\u0027: \u0027weighted\u0027, \u0027member_count\u0027: 3, \u0027members\u0027: [{\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.2752, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.1904, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.2363, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.2278, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.4458, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.5555, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}], \u0027disagreement_score\u0027: -0.0, \u0027direction_votes\u0027: {\u0027up\u0027: 0, \u0027down\u0027: 0, \u0027flat\u0027: 3}} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8977750721282324 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=True features_ref=\u0027artifact://134777\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://134783\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.886358+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134865",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.204431+00:00",
      "id": 134864,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"rag_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134796\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as base evaluation\"}]}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134864",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.202300+00:00",
      "id": 134863,
      "kind": "decision.step.rag_judge_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://134859",
        "out": "artifact://134862"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134863",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.200014+00:00",
      "id": 134862,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "explanation": "RAGJudgeAgent evaluated context relevance and quality.",
        "mode": "llm_error",
        "model": "gemma3:12b",
        "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "rag_judgement",
            "ref": "artifact://134796",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Judgement artifact used as base evaluation"
          }
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134862",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.196406+00:00",
      "id": 134861,
      "kind": "decision.llm.rag_judge.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134861",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.188906+00:00",
      "id": 134860,
      "kind": "decision.llm.rag_judge.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are RAGJudgeAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"usable\\\", \\\"relevance_score\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". usable must be true or false. relevance_score must be a number between 0 and 1. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the RAG context quality.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Judge whether retrieved RAG context is relevant enough for decision-making.\u0027, \u0027user_text\u0027: \u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027, \u0027rag_judgement\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.933004+00:00\u0027, \u0027usable\u0027: False, \u0027relevance_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027consistency_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027rag.no_refs\u0027, \u0027accepted_refs\u0027: [], \u0027rejected_refs\u0027: [], \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134796\u0027}, \u0027rag_preview\u0027: {\u0027refs\u0027: [], \u0027context_preview\u0027: \u0027\u0027}, \u0027requirements\u0027: {\u0027fields\u0027: [\u0027mode\u0027, \u0027usable\u0027, \u0027relevance_score\u0027, \u0027consistency_score\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027, \u0027accepted_refs\u0027, \u0027rejected_refs\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027, \u0027reasons\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027]}}\\n\\nReturn JSON judging RAG relevance and accepted/rejected refs.\", \"role\": \"user\"}]"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134860",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.187162+00:00",
      "id": 134859,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "rag_judgement": {
          "accepted_refs": [],
          "consistency_score": 0.0,
          "reason": "rag.no_refs",
          "ref": "artifact://134796",
          "rejected_refs": [],
          "relevance_score": 0.0,
          "ts": "2026-04-11T06:00:50.933004+00:00",
          "usable": false
        },
        "rag_preview": {
          "context_preview": "",
          "refs": []
        },
        "requirements": {
          "fields": [
            "mode",
            "usable",
            "relevance_score",
            "consistency_score",
            "confidence",
            "accepted_refs",
            "rejected_refs",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "signal"
          ]
        },
        "task": "Judge whether retrieved RAG context is relevant enough for decision-making.",
        "user_text": "scheduler decision tick"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134859",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.185549+00:00",
      "id": 134858,
      "kind": "decision.rag_judge_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
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            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.933004+00:00\u0027 usable=False relevance_score=0.0 consistency_score=0.0 reason=\u0027rag.no_refs\u0027 accepted_refs=[] rejected_refs=[] ref=\u0027artifact://134796\u0027\"",
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.180329+00:00",
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        }
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.179219+00:00",
      "id": 134856,
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      "ref": "artifact://134856",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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    {
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      "id": 134855,
      "kind": "decision.compliance_agent.outputs",
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        "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
        "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.",
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "degraded",
        "needs_manual_review": true,
        "quality": "degraded",
        "raw_refs": {},
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "reasons": [
          "quality.llm_invalid_output"
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "kind": "decision.llm.compliance.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.170092+00:00",
      "id": 134853,
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      "payload": {
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            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are ComplianceAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"trading_allowed\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"violations\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". trading_allowed must be true or false. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. violations must be an array of strings (empty if none). explanation must be a brief string summarizing the compliance check.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Apply policy and compliance gates to this decision.\u0027, \u0027compliance_snapshot\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T06:00:48.247468+00:00\u0027, \u0027dry_run\u0027: False, \u0027kill_switch\u0027: False, \u0027trading_allowed\u0027: True, \u0027violations\u0027: [], \u0027policy_flags\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027request_meta_runtime_profile\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027exchange\u0027: \u0027binance\u0027, \u0027env\u0027: \u0027local\u0027, \u0027allowed_assets\u0027: [], \u0027allowed_timeframes\u0027: [], \u0027blocked_exchanges\u0027: [], \u0027market_bans\u0027: [], \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027requested_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027allowed_envs\u0027: [], \u0027env_blocked\u0027: False}, \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134767\u0027}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027sell\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3681326679663572, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027down\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: -0.06574597925233996, \u0027ml_score\u0027: -0.10422524231280551, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08783118289020994, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.43740382152786994, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: -0.0001311840057819089, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027, \u0027long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_sell\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134634\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134698\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated:1h\u0027}], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {\u0027market_snapshot\u0027: \u0027artifact://134634\u0027, \u0027news\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: \u0027artifact://134698\u0027, \u0027ml\u0027: [\\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773}\u2026"
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "id": 134852,
      "kind": "decision.compliance_agent.inputs",
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          "dry_run": false,
          "kill_switch": false,
          "policy_flags": {
            "allowed_assets": [],
            "allowed_envs": [],
            "allowed_timeframes": [],
            "asset": "BTC",
            "blocked_exchanges": [],
            "env": "local",
            "env_blocked": false,
            "exchange": "binance",
            "market_bans": [],
            "max_leverage": null,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "requested_leverage": null,
            "source": "request_meta_runtime_profile",
            "timeframe": "1h"
          },
          "ref": "artifact://134767",
          "trading_allowed": true,
          "ts": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.247468+00:00",
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        },
        "requirements": {
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            "trading_allowed",
            "decision_override",
            "violations",
            "confidence",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "signal"
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            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
          },
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You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"allow_add\\\", \\\"recommended_size_multiplier\\\", \\\"exposure_warning\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". allow_add must be true or false. recommended_size_multiplier must be a number between 0 and 1. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the portfolio exposure assessment.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Assess whether portfolio exposure allows this strategy and how size should be adjusted.\u0027, \u0027portfolio_snapshot\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T06:00:48.238415+00:00\u0027, \u0027total_exposure_usd\u0027: None, \u0027net_exposure_usd\u0027: None, \u0027per_asset_exposure\u0027: {}, \u0027correlation_risk\u0027: None, \u0027leverage_used\u0027: None, \u0027available_margin\u0027: None, \u0027payload\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027fallback\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027portfolio.service_unavailable\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027source_notes\u0027: [], \u0027positions_count\u0027: 0, \u0027derived_from_rows\u0027: False}, \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134763\u0027}, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027sell\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3681326679663572, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027down\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: -0.06574597925233996, \u0027ml_score\u0027: -0.10422524231280551, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08783118289020994, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.43740382152786994, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: -0.0001311840057819089, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027, \u0027long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_sell\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. 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            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:48.238415+00:00\u0027 total_exposure_usd=None net_exposure_usd=None per_asset_exposure={} correlation_risk=None leverage_used=None available_margin=None payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027fallback\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027portfolio.service_unavailable\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027source_notes\u0027: [], \u0027positions_count\u0027: 0, \u0027derived_from_rows\u0027: False} ref=\u0027artifact://134763\u0027\"",
            "{\"action\": \"sell\", \"action_tradeable\": true, \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bias\": \"bearish\", \"confidence\": 0.3681326679663572, \"constraints\": {\"allow_short\": null, \"blacklist\": [], \"horizon\": null, \"max_leverage\": null, \"max_position_usd\": null, \"preferred_assets\": [], \"style\": null}, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"full_deterministic\", \"disagreement_flags\": [], \"explanation\": \"StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"profile_summary_text\": \"language=Default\", \"quality\": \"partial\", \"raw_refs\": {\"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://134634\", \"ml\": [\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}\", \"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}\"], \"narratives\": \"artifact://134698\", \"news\": [], \"rag\": []}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134634\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\"}, {\"kind\": \"narratives\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134698\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134778\", \"title\": \"tp_eq_sl:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134780\", \"title\": \"tp_3sl:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134782\", \"title\": \"sl_3tp:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134783\", \"title\": \"ensemble.direction:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134784\", \"title\": \"ensemble.price:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}, {\"kind\": \"ml_prediction\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134785\", \"title\": \"ensemble.orchestrated:1h\", \"why\": \"Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\"}], \"signal\": {\"asset\": \"BTC\", \"bias\": \"bearish\", \"blockers\": [], \"direction\": \"down\", \"factors\": [\"ml_directional_bias\", \"macro_structural_bias\", \"long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit\"], \"macd_hist\": null, \"macro_agent_signed\": 0.0, \"macro_agent_weight\": 0.43740382152786994, \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08783118289020994, \"market_momentum\": -0.0001311840057819089, \"ml_score\": -0.10422524231280551, \"narrative_score\": 0.0, \"news_score\": 0.0, \"pair\": \"BTC/USDT\", \"price_vs_slow\": 0.0, \"reason_codes\": [\"direction_sell\"], \"regime\": null, \"rsi\": null, \"score\": -0.06574597925233996, \"score_deadband\": 0.042, \"source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"signal_quality\": \"partial\"}"
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          "kwargs": {}
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      },
      "ref": "artifact://134844",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.141184+00:00",
      "id": 134843,
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      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_liquidity\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134623\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry\"}, {\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134634\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Market snapshot used for execution context\"}]}"
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.139781+00:00",
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      },
      "ref": "artifact://134842",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.138705+00:00",
      "id": 134841,
      "kind": "decision.execution_agent.outputs",
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        "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "explanation": "ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.",
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        "model": "gemma3:12b",
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            "title": null,
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
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      },
      "ref": "artifact://134840",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.125568+00:00",
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        "preview": {
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            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\"",
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You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"execution_style\\\", \\\"entry_type\\\", \\\"slices\\\", \\\"max_slippage_bps\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". execution_style: one of \\\"market_single\\\", \\\"limit_passive\\\", \\\"twap\\\", \\\"iceberg\\\". confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. explanation must be a brief string about the chosen execution approach.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Choose execution style for proposed strategy under current risk and market state.\u0027, \u0027strategy\u0027: {\u0027mode\u0027: \u0027deterministic\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \\\"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\\\", \u0027action\u0027: \u0027sell\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3681326679663572, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027autotrade_safe\u0027: False, \u0027needs_manual_review\u0027: True, \u0027llm_status\u0027: \u0027exception\u0027, \u0027signal_quality\u0027: \u0027partial\u0027, \u0027action_tradeable\u0027: True, \u0027disagreement_flags\u0027: [], \u0027signal\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027deterministic_fallback\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027down\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027: \u0027bearish\u0027, \u0027score\u0027: -0.06574597925233996, \u0027ml_score\u0027: -0.10422524231280551, \u0027macro_structural_score\u0027: -0.08783118289020994, \u0027macro_agent_signed\u0027: 0.0, \u0027macro_agent_weight\u0027: 0.43740382152786994, \u0027market_momentum\u0027: -0.0001311840057819089, \u0027price_vs_slow\u0027: 0.0, \u0027rsi\u0027: None, \u0027macd_hist\u0027: None, \u0027narrative_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027news_score\u0027: 0.0, \u0027regime\u0027: None, \u0027blockers\u0027: [], \u0027factors\u0027: [\u0027ml_directional_bias\u0027, \u0027macro_structural_bias\u0027, \u0027long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit\u0027], \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027reason_codes\u0027: [\u0027direction_sell\u0027], \u0027score_deadband\u0027: 0.042}, \u0027explanation\u0027: \u0027StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.\u0027, \u0027constraints\u0027: {\u0027allow_short\u0027: None, \u0027max_position_usd\u0027: None, \u0027max_leverage\u0027: None, \u0027blacklist\u0027: [], \u0027preferred_assets\u0027: [], \u0027horizon\u0027: None, \u0027style\u0027: None}, \u0027profile_summary_text\u0027: \u0027language=Default\u0027, \u0027refs_used\u0027: [{\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134634\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027market_snapshot\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134698\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: None}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price:1h\u0027}, {\u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027kind\u0027: \u0027ml_prediction\u0027, \u0027why\u0027: \u0027Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment.\u0027, \u0027title\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated:1h\u0027}], \u0027raw_refs\u0027: {\u0027market_snapshot\u0027: \u0027artifact://134634\u0027, \u0027news\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: \u0027artifact://134698\u0027, \u0027ml\u0027: [\\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134778\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134780\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134783\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.direction\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}\\\", \\\"{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u2026"
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              "title": "Strategy timing risk",
              "type": "strategy_risk"
            }
          ],
          "confidence": 0.57745384710358,
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
          "degraded_dependencies": [],
          "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
          "explanation": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
          "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
          "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "manual_review_required": false,
          "max_position": 25.0,
          "meta": {
            "allow_short": false,
            "max_leverage": 1.0,
            "missing_inputs": [
              "metrics.atr_pct",
              "metrics.spread_bps"
            ],
            "strategy_action": "sell",
            "volatility": null
          },
          "mitigations": [
            "Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.",
            "Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.",
            "Wait for clearer trend confirmation."
          ],
          "mode": "degraded",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "ok": true,
          "quality": "degraded",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
            "portfolio": "artifact://134763",
            "rag": [],
            "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "reasons": [
            "model_degraded_or_fallback",
            "policy_short_not_allowed",
            "strategy_timing_weak"
          ],
          "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://134634",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
            },
            {
              "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
              "ref": "artifact://134822",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
            },
            {
              "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://134763",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
            }
          ],
          "risk_breakdown": {
            "data_risk": {
              "score": 0.3333333333333333,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "event_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "execution_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "liquidity_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "market_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "model_risk": {
              "score": 0.68,
              "severity": "elevated"
            },
            "policy_risk": {
              "score": 0.72,
              "severity": "high"
            },
            "portfolio_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            },
            "signal_risk": {
              "score": 0.4062376323123271,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "strategy_risk": {
              "score": 0.44,
              "severity": "moderate"
            },
            "system_risk": {
              "score": 0.0,
              "severity": "low"
            }
          },
          "risk_confidence": 0.8,
          "risk_impact": {
            "action_after_risk": "sell",
            "action_before_risk": "sell",
            "blocked_by": [],
            "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
            "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
            "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
            "overrides": [
              "forbid_short",
              "reduce_size"
            ],
            "size_modifier": 0.25
          },
          "risk_level": "low",
          "risk_score": 0.20654422553393587,
          "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "stop_loss": 0.03891361
        },
        "strategy": {
          "action": "sell",
          "action_tradeable": true,
          "autotrade_safe": false,
          "bias": "bearish",
          "confidence": 0.3681326679663572,
          "constraints": {
            "allow_short": null,
            "blacklist": [],
            "horizon": null,
            "max_leverage": null,
            "max_position_usd": null,
            "preferred_assets": [],
            "style": null
          },
          "deterministic_route_quality": "full_deterministic",
          "disagreement_flags": [],
          "explanation": "StrategyAgent deterministic fallback used because LLM was unavailable or invalid. Decision was derived from ML direction, market momentum/regime, narrative sentiment and news bias.",
          "llm_status": "exception",
          "mode": "deterministic",
          "needs_manual_review": true,
          "profile_summary_text": "language=Default",
          "quality": "partial",
          "raw_refs": {
            "market_snapshot": "artifact://134634",
            "ml": [
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              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134782\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447}",
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              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134784\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.price\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}",
              "{\u0027prediction_ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134785\u0027, \u0027model\u0027: \u0027ensemble.orchestrated\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.8977750721282324}"
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            "narratives": "artifact://134698",
            "news": [],
            "rag": []
          },
          "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
          "refs_used": [
            {
              "kind": "market_snapshot",
              "ref": "artifact://134634",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as the primary market state input for strategy formation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "narratives",
              "ref": "artifact://134698",
              "title": null,
              "why": "Used as narrative/sentiment context for structural market interpretation."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134778",
              "title": "tp_eq_sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134780",
              "title": "tp_3sl:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134782",
              "title": "sl_3tp:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134783",
              "title": "ensemble.direction:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134784",
              "title": "ensemble.price:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            },
            {
              "kind": "ml_prediction",
              "ref": "artifact://134785",
              "title": "ensemble.orchestrated:1h",
              "why": "Used as ML directional evidence for short-term strategy assessment."
            }
          ],
          "signal": {
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            "bias": "bearish",
            "blockers": [],
            "direction": "down",
            "factors": [
              "ml_directional_bias",
              "macro_structural_bias",
              "long_only_sell_as_reduce_or_exit"
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            "macd_hist": null,
            "macro_agent_signed": 0.0,
            "macro_agent_weight": 0.43740382152786994,
            "macro_structural_score": -0.08783118289020994,
            "market_momentum": -0.0001311840057819089,
            "ml_score": -0.10422524231280551,
            "narrative_score": 0.0,
            "news_score": 0.0,
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "price_vs_slow": 0.0,
            "reason_codes": [
              "direction_sell"
            ],
            "regime": null,
            "rsi": null,
            "score": -0.06574597925233996,
            "score_deadband": 0.042,
            "source": "deterministic_fallback"
          },
          "signal_quality": "partial"
        },
        "task": "Choose execution style for proposed strategy under current risk and market state."
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134838",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.116335+00:00",
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67069.0, \u0027low\u0027: 66827.14, \u0027close\u0027: 67010.46, \u0027volume\u0027: 361.0645}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775235600000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 17:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67010.45, \u0027high\u0027: 67067.0, \u0027low\u0027: 66751.86, \u0027close\u0027: 66855.01, \u0027volume\u0027: 378.12395}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775239200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 18:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66855.0, \u0027high\u0027: 66930.0, \u0027low\u0027: 66786.12, \u0027close\u0027: 66812.03, \u0027volume\u0027: 187.13591}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775242800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 19:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66812.04, \u0027high\u0027: 66911.19, \u0027low\u0027: 66774.02, \u0027close\u0027: 66885.74, \u0027volume\u0027: 289.39585}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775246400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 20:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66885.73, \u0027high\u0027: 66919.61, \u0027low\u0027: 66831.97, \u0027close\u0027:\u2026"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.105646+00:00",
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        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"action_after_risk\": \"sell\", \"action_before_risk\": \"sell\", \"active_risk_factors\": [{\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"ml_mode\": null, \"signal_source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"explanation\": \"Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.\", \"id\": \"model_degraded_or_fallback\", \"mitigation\": \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://134634\", \"artifact://134822\", \"artifact://134763\"], \"score\": 0.68, \"severity\": \"elevated\", \"source\": \"ml.prediction\", \"title\": \"Model quality / fallback risk\", \"type\": \"model_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"allow_short\": false}, \"explanation\": \"User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.\", \"id\": \"policy_short_not_allowed\", \"mitigation\": \"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://134634\", \"artifact://134822\", \"artifact://134763\"], \"score\": 0.72, \"severity\": \"high\", \"source\": \"risk_prefs\", \"title\": \"Short selling disabled by policy\", \"type\": \"policy_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"momentum\": -0.0001311840057819089}, \"explanation\": \"Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.\", \"id\": \"strategy_timing_weak\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for clearer trend confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://134634\", \"artifact://134822\", \"artifact://134763\"], \"score\": 0.44, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"strategy.signal\", \"title\": \"Strategy timing risk\", \"type\": \"strategy_risk\"}], \"autotrade_allowed\": true, \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"blocking_risks\": [], \"caution_risks\": [{\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"ml_mode\": null, \"signal_source\": \"deterministic_fallback\"}, \"explanation\": \"Model confidence context is degraded or based on fallback inference.\", \"id\": \"model_degraded_or_fallback\", \"mitigation\": \"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://134634\", \"artifact://134822\", \"artifact://134763\"], \"score\": 0.68, \"severity\": \"elevated\", \"source\": \"ml.prediction\", \"title\": \"Model quality / fallback risk\", \"type\": \"model_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"allow_short\": false}, \"explanation\": \"User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.\", \"id\": \"policy_short_not_allowed\", \"mitigation\": \"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://134634\", \"artifact://134822\", \"artifact://134763\"], \"score\": 0.72, \"severity\": \"high\", \"source\": \"risk_prefs\", \"title\": \"Short selling disabled by policy\", \"type\": \"policy_risk\"}, {\"blocking\": false, \"evidence\": {\"momentum\": -0.0001311840057819089}, \"explanation\": \"Momentum/entry timing is weak for directional execution.\", \"id\": \"strategy_timing_weak\", \"mitigation\": \"Wait for clearer trend confirmation.\", \"refs\": [\"artifact://134634\", \"artifact://134822\", \"artifact://134763\"], \"score\": 0.44, \"severity\": \"moderate\", \"source\": \"strategy.signal\", \"title\": \"Strategy timing risk\", \"type\": \"strategy_risk\"}], \"confidence\": 0.57745384710358, \"confidence_after_risk\": 0.3149076942071602, \"confidence_before_risk\": 0.3681326679663572, \"degraded_dependencies\": [], \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"explanation\": \"Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.\", \"explanation_for_chat\": \"Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.\", \"explanation_for_ui\": \"Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"manual_review_required\": false, \"max_position\": 25.0, \"meta\": {\"allow_short\": false, \"max_leverage\": 1.0, \"missing_inputs\": [\"metrics.atr_pct\", \"metrics.spread_bps\"], \"strategy_action\": \"sell\", \"volatility\": null}, \"mitigations\": [\"Lower aggressiveness and prioritize market/liquidity confirmation.\", \"Interpret as reduce-only or switch to allowed direction.\", \"Wait for clearer trend confirmation.\"], \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"ok\": true, \"quality\": \"degr\u2026"
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        "action_before_risk": "sell",
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              "artifact://134822",
              "artifact://134763"
            ],
            "score": 0.68,
            "severity": "elevated",
            "source": "ml.prediction",
            "title": "Model quality / fallback risk",
            "type": "model_risk"
          },
          {
            "blocking": false,
            "evidence": {
              "allow_short": false
            },
            "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
            "id": "policy_short_not_allowed",
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              "artifact://134822",
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            "score": 0.72,
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              "artifact://134822",
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            "severity": "moderate",
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            "title": "Strategy timing risk",
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          }
        ],
        "autotrade_allowed": true,
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          {
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              "artifact://134822",
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            "explanation": "User profile/policy disallows short entry in current configuration.",
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              "artifact://134822",
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            "severity": "high",
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            "title": "Short selling disabled by policy",
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          },
          {
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              "artifact://134822",
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            "severity": "moderate",
            "source": "strategy.signal",
            "title": "Strategy timing risk",
            "type": "strategy_risk"
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        ],
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        "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
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        "deterministic_route_quality": "degraded_deterministic",
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        "explanation_for_chat": "Detected risks: model_degraded_or_fallback, policy_short_not_allowed, strategy_timing_weak. Main impact: forbid_short, reduce_size.",
        "explanation_for_ui": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking. Action sell -\u003e sell; size x0.25, confidence 0.37-\u003e0.31.",
        "llm_status": "exception",
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        "ok": true,
        "quality": "degraded",
        "raw_refs": {
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          "rag": [],
          "strategy_agent_output": "artifact://134822"
        },
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "reasons": [
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          "policy_short_not_allowed",
          "strategy_timing_weak"
        ],
        "recommended_size_modifier": 0.25,
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "market_snapshot",
            "ref": "artifact://134634",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as current market context for risk constraints and sizing checks."
          },
          {
            "kind": "strategy_agent_output",
            "ref": "artifact://134822",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as the proposed strategy intent being evaluated by RiskAgent."
          },
          {
            "kind": "portfolio_snapshot",
            "ref": "artifact://134763",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Used as portfolio exposure context for risk budgeting."
          }
        ],
        "risk_breakdown": {
          "data_risk": {
            "score": 0.3333333333333333,
            "severity": "moderate"
          },
          "event_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "execution_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "liquidity_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "market_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
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          "model_risk": {
            "score": 0.68,
            "severity": "elevated"
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          "policy_risk": {
            "score": 0.72,
            "severity": "high"
          },
          "portfolio_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
          },
          "signal_risk": {
            "score": 0.4062376323123271,
            "severity": "moderate"
          },
          "strategy_risk": {
            "score": 0.44,
            "severity": "moderate"
          },
          "system_risk": {
            "score": 0.0,
            "severity": "low"
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        "risk_confidence": 0.8,
        "risk_impact": {
          "action_after_risk": "sell",
          "action_before_risk": "sell",
          "blocked_by": [],
          "confidence_after_risk": 0.3149076942071602,
          "confidence_before_risk": 0.3681326679663572,
          "final_reason": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
          "overrides": [
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            "reduce_size"
          ],
          "size_modifier": 0.25
        },
        "risk_level": "low",
        "risk_score": 0.20654422553393587,
        "risk_summary": "Risk level low (score=0.21); 3 active factors, 0 blocking.",
        "stop_loss": 0.03891361
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          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.088764+00:00",
      "id": 134832,
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      "payload": {
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          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
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            "[{\"content\": \"You are RiskAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with these exact keys: \\\"ok\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"max_position\\\", \\\"stop_loss\\\", \\\"reasons\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". ok must be true or false. true means trading is safe. confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. max_position must be a number or null. stop_loss must be a number or null. reasons must be an array of strings. explanation must be a brief string summarizing the risk assessment. Only set ok=false when there is a clear, specific risk (extreme volatility, liquidity crisis, position limit exceeded). 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asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271\u2026",
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        }
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      "ref": "artifact://134819",
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    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.018458+00:00",
      "id": 134818,
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                  "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                  "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
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            "\"narrative_id=\u00272c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:45.158232+00:00\u0027 symbol=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 source=\u0027narratives_enrich\u0027 tags=[\u0027btc/usdt\u0027, \u00271h\u0027, \u0027neutral\u0027] sentiment=0.0 maturity=0.19852469003787665 confidence=0.3965167501352737 embedding_ref=\u0027chroma://narratives/2c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0\u0027 ref=\u0027artifact://134698\u0027 payload={\u0027method\u0027: \u0027lexicon_v1\u0027, \u0027signals\u0027: [\u0027no_lexicon_hits\u0027, \u0027raw=+0.00\u0027], \u0027events_used\u0027: 0, \u0027text_len\u0027: 165, \u0027stored\u0027: True, \u0027collection\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027created_at\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T06:00:45.158232+00:00\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027}\"",
            "[\"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.872360+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.12417405469641196, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.7977695349128914, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.07805641039069659, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.7977695349128914 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://134777\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://134778\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.878637+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027tp_3sl\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.0032871365805969047, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.9268176667983773, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.06989519662102567, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.9268176667983773 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://134779\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://134780\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.883045+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027sl_3tp\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.05424015905506382, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.944121262856447, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.0016385780884890441, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.944121262856447 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=None features_ref=\u0027artifact://134781\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://134782\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.884829+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 model=\u0027ensemble.direction\u0027 prediction={\u0027p_down\u0027: 0.061766881813727824, \u0027p_side\u0027: 0.8977750721282324, \u0027p_up\u0027: 0.04045804605803974, \u0027class\u0027: 1, \u0027label_raw\u0027: 0, \u0027ensemble\u0027: True, \u0027ensemble_mode\u0027: \u0027weighted\u0027, \u0027member_count\u0027: 3, \u0027members\u0027: [{\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_eq_sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.7977695349128914, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.2752, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.1904, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027tp_3sl\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.9268176667983773, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.2363, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.2278, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}, {\u0027model\u0027: \u0027sl_3tp\u0027, \u0027direction\u0027: \u0027flat\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.944121262856447, \u0027weight\u0027: 0.4458, \u0027quality_score\u0027: 0.5555, \u0027calibration_score\u0027: 1.0}], \u0027disagreement_score\u0027: -0.0, \u0027direction_votes\u0027: {\u0027up\u0027: 0, \u0027down\u0027: 0, \u0027flat\u0027: 3}} prediction_value=None direction=\u0027flat\u0027 confidence=0.8977750721282324 error=None last_close=None predicted_close=None predicted_close_is_synthetic=True features_ref=\u0027artifact://134777\u0027 prediction_ref=\u0027artifact://134783\u0027 expected_return=None expected_move_pct=None volatility_forecast=None regime_forecast=None reversal_probability=None breakout_probability=None mean_reversion_probability=None stop_loss_suggestion=None take_profit_suggestion=None tp_hit_probability=None sl_hit_probability=None risk_reward_estimate=None tradeability_score=None quality_score=None calibration_score=None uncertainty_score=None forecast={}\", \"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:50.886358+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "macro_out": "{\"action\": \"hold\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.5145927312092587, \"deterministic_route_quality\": \"degraded_deterministic\", \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\", \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"needs_manual_review\": true, \"quality\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\", \"macro.structural_fallback\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"signal\": {\"macro_regime\": \"neutral\", \"macro_structural_factors\": [\"crypto_macro_score\", \"usd_strong_crypto_headwind\", \"equity_risk_off\"], \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08783118289020994}}",
            "macro_snapshot": "\"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:46.632915+00:00\u0027 regime=\u0027neutral\u0027 rates_bias=\u0027neutral\u0027 usd_strength=1.0 equity_risk=0.254375 commodity_risk=0.31749999999999995 crypto_macro_score=0.27389605703263353 payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot\u0027, \u0027date\u0027: \u00272026-04-11\u0027, \u0027base_currency\u0027: \u0027USD\u0027, \u0027market\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 72731.37, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2233.12, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 84.11}, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.225, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89}, \u0027crypto\u0027: {\u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.26039429673665, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2544580227370.546, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 15.0}, \u0027meta\u0027: {\u0027best_effort\u0027: True, \u0027fred\u0027: {\u0027series\u0027: {\u0027DTWEXBGS\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T04:00:45.927229+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.9573457, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\\\"}, \u0027DGS2\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T04:00:45.933318+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.70524, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807\\\"}, \u0027DGS10\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027cache_fresh\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T05:00:46.687790+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.3075995, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027SP500\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T04:00:45.937839+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.7029054, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\\\"}, \u0027NASDAQCOM\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T04:00:45.940050+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.7115092, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6e\\\"}}, \u0027macro_degraded\u0027: False, \u0027source_mode\u0027: \u0027fred_observations_api\u0027}, \u0027sources\u0027: {\u0027market\u0027: [\u0027https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\u0027, \u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\u0027], \u0027macro\u0027: [\u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\u0027, \u0027https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027], \u0027crypto\u0027: [\u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\u0027, \u0027https://api.alternative.me/fng/\u0027]}}, \u0027derived\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 72731.37, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2233.12, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 84.11, \u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.225, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89, \u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.26039429673665, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2544580227370.546, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 15.0, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.254375, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.31749999999999995, \u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027: 0.27389605703263353, \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027rates_bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027}} ref=\u0027artifact://134750\u0027\""
          }
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134817",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.003718+00:00",
      "id": 134816,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"explanation\": \"SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"narratives\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134698\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source\"}]}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134816",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.002335+00:00",
      "id": 134815,
      "kind": "decision.step.sentiment_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://134811",
        "out": "artifact://134814"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134815",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:51.000565+00:00",
      "id": 134814,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
        "explanation": "SentimentAgent analysis based on news flow and narratives.",
        "mode": "llm_error",
        "model": "gemma3:12b",
        "reason": "quality.llm_exception",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "narratives",
            "ref": "artifact://134698",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Narratives enrichment used as sentiment source"
          }
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134814",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:50.997852+00:00",
      "id": 134813,
      "kind": "decision.llm.sentiment.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"error\": \"Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404\", \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"model\": \"gemma3:12b\", \"reason\": \"quality.llm_exception\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134813",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:50.990898+00:00",
      "id": 134812,
      "kind": "decision.llm.sentiment.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are SentimentAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"bias\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"sentiment_score\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". bias must be a string: \\\"bullish\\\", \\\"bearish\\\", or \\\"neutral\\\". confidence must be a number between 0 and 1. sentiment_score must be a number between -1 and 1. explanation: brief string summarizing the sentiment reading.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Interpret news + narratives as market sentiment for trading.\u0027, \u0027news_events\u0027: [], \u0027narratives\u0027: {\u0027narrative_id\u0027: \u00272c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0\u0027, \u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T06:00:45.158232+00:00\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027, \u0027tags\u0027: [\u0027btc/usdt\u0027, \u00271h\u0027, \u0027neutral\u0027], \u0027sentiment\u0027: 0.0, \u0027maturity\u0027: 0.19852469003787665, \u0027confidence\u0027: 0.3965167501352737, \u0027embedding_ref\u0027: \u0027chroma://narratives/2c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0\u0027, \u0027ref\u0027: \u0027artifact://134698\u0027, \u0027payload\u0027: {\u0027method\u0027: \u0027lexicon_v1\u0027, \u0027signals\u0027: [\u0027no_lexicon_hits\u0027, \u0027raw=+0.00\u0027], \u0027events_used\u0027: 0, \u0027text_len\u0027: 165, \u0027stored\u0027: True, \u0027collection\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027created_at\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T06:00:45.158232+00:00\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027}}, \u0027requirements\u0027: {\u0027fields\u0027: [\u0027mode\u0027, \u0027bias\u0027, \u0027action\u0027, \u0027confidence\u0027, \u0027event_strength\u0027, \u0027sentiment_score\u0027, \u0027explanation\u0027, \u0027reasons\u0027, \u0027signal\u0027]}}\\n\\nReturn JSON with keys: bias, confidence, sentiment_score.\", \"role\": \"user\"}]"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134812",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:50.989345+00:00",
      "id": 134811,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "narratives": {
          "confidence": 0.3965167501352737,
          "embedding_ref": "chroma://narratives/2c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0",
          "maturity": 0.19852469003787665,
          "narrative_id": "2c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0",
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "payload": {
            "collection": "narratives",
            "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.158232+00:00",
            "events_used": 0,
            "method": "lexicon_v1",
            "pair": "BTC/USDT",
            "signals": [
              "no_lexicon_hits",
              "raw=+0.00"
            ],
            "source": "narratives_enrich",
            "stored": true,
            "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
            "text_len": 165,
            "timeframe": "1h"
          },
          "ref": "artifact://134698",
          "sentiment": 0.0,
          "source": "narratives_enrich",
          "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
          "tags": [
            "btc/usdt",
            "1h",
            "neutral"
          ],
          "timeframe": "1h",
          "ts": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.158232+00:00"
        },
        "news_events": [],
        "requirements": {
          "fields": [
            "mode",
            "bias",
            "action",
            "confidence",
            "event_strength",
            "sentiment_score",
            "explanation",
            "reasons",
            "signal"
          ]
        },
        "task": "Interpret news + narratives as market sentiment for trading."
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134811",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:50.987572+00:00",
      "id": 134810,
      "kind": "decision.sentiment_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"trace_id=\u0027e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\"",
            "{\"compliance\": \"artifact://134767\", \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://134750\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://134623\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://134605\", \"price\": \"artifact://134628\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://134634\"}, \"ml\": [\"artifact://134778\", \"artifact://134780\", \"artifact://134782\", \"artifact://134783\", \"artifact://134784\", \"artifact://134785\"], \"ml_enrichment\": {\"1h\": {\"direction_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.8977750721282324, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"direction\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.7977695349128914, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"weight\": 0.2752}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9268176667983773, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"weight\": 0.2363}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.944121262856447, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"weight\": 0.4458}], \"p_down\": 0.061766881813727824, \"p_side\": 0.8977750721282324, \"p_up\": 0.04045804605803974}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"ensemble_weights\": [{\"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"weight\": 0.2752}, {\"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"weight\": 0.2363}, {\"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"weight\": 0.4458}], \"exit_policy\": {\"atr_base\": 0.01, \"break_even_trigger\": null, \"exit_template\": \"fixed\", \"max_hold_candles\": 24, \"partial_tp_levels\": [{\"fraction\": 0.5, \"target_distance\": 0.015}], \"stop_loss\": 0.01, \"take_profit\": 0.02, \"trailing_activation\": null, \"trailing_callback\": null, \"trend_factor\": 1.0, \"vol_factor\": 1.0}, \"member_scores\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"score\": 0.238049, \"threshold_used\": 0.38}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"score\": 0.2848, \"threshold_used\": 0.38}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"score\": 0.462958, \"threshold_used\": 0.375}], \"price_ensemble\": {\"confidence\": 0.8977750721282324, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble_kind\": \"price\", \"last_close\": null, \"pred_return\": null, \"pred_return_pct\": null, \"predicted_close\": null, \"predicted_close_is_synthetic\": true, \"prediction\": {\"class\": 1, \"direction_votes\": {\"down\": 0, \"flat\": 3, \"up\": 0}, \"disagreement_score\": -0.0, \"ensemble\": true, \"ensemble_mode\": \"weighted\", \"label_raw\": 0, \"member_count\": 3, \"members\": [{\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.7977695349128914, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_eq_sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.1904, \"weight\": 0.2752}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.9268176667983773, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"tp_3sl\", \"quality_score\": 0.2278, \"weight\": 0.2363}, {\"calibration_score\": 1.0, \"confidence\": 0.944121262856447, \"direction\": \"flat\", \"model\": \"sl_3tp\", \"quality_score\": 0.5555, \"weight\": 0.4458}], \"p_down\": 0.061766881813727824, \"p_side\": 0.8977750721282324, \"p_up\": 0.04045804605803974}, \"prediction_value\": null, \"source_of_forecast\": \"ensemble_direction_only\", \"tradeability_score\": 1.0, \"uncertainty_score\": 0.0}, \"regime_confidence\": 0.8571, \"regime_factors\": {\"bollinger_bandwidth\": 0.005988807371961158, \"directional_consistency\": 0.0, \"hurst_exp\": 0.34265444507760956, \"is_trend_regime\": 0.0, \"realized_vol_short\": 0.0, \"slope_price\": 0.0, \"trend_persistence\": 0.5, \"vol_expansion\": 0.0}, \"regime_label\": \"range\"}}, \"ml_judge\": \"artifact://134800\", \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/2c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": \"artifact://134763\", \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": \"artifact://134796\", \"steps\": {\"chat_con\u2026",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "[]",
            "\"narrative_id=\u00272c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:45.158232+00:00\u0027 symbol=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 source=\u0027narratives_enrich\u0027 tags=[\u0027btc/usdt\u0027, \u00271h\u0027, \u0027neutral\u0027] sentiment=0.0 maturity=0.19852469003787665 confidence=0.3965167501352737 embedding_ref=\u0027chroma://narratives/2c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0\u0027 ref=\u0027artifact://134698\u0027 payload={\u0027method\u0027: \u0027lexicon_v1\u0027, \u0027signals\u0027: [\u0027no_lexicon_hits\u0027, \u0027raw=+0.00\u0027], \u0027events_used\u0027: 0, \u0027text_len\u0027: 165, \u0027stored\u0027: True, \u0027collection\u0027: \u0027narratives\u0027, \u0027symbol\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027timeframe\u0027: \u00271h\u0027, \u0027created_at\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T06:00:45.158232+00:00\u0027, \u0027source\u0027: \u0027narratives_enrich\u0027}\""
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      "store": "postgres",
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        "explanation": "LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.",
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        "raw_refs": {},
        "reason": "Client error \u0027404 Not Found\u0027 for url \u0027http://ollama:11434/api/chat\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/404",
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:50.973630+00:00",
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        }
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:50.963859+00:00",
      "id": 134805,
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            "\"\u003ccore.llm.client.AsyncOllamaChat object at 0x7f039e2f7020\u003e\"",
            "\"e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\"",
            "[{\"content\": \"You are MacroAgent. You MUST return a JSON object with keys: \\\"regime\\\", \\\"bias\\\", \\\"confidence\\\", \\\"explanation\\\". regime: current market regime (trend_up, trend_down, range, breakout, high_vol). bias: risk_on or risk_off. confidence: number between 0 and 1. explanation: brief string summarizing the macro environment assessment.\", \"role\": \"system\"}, {\"content\": \"{\u0027task\u0027: \u0027Interpret macro backdrop for current trade decision.\u0027, \u0027macro_snapshot\u0027: {\u0027ts\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T06:00:46.632915+00:00\u0027, \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027rates_bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.254375, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.31749999999999995, \u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027: 0.27389605703263353, \u0027payload\u0027: {\u0027source\u0027: \u0027tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot\u0027, \u0027date\u0027: \u00272026-04-11\u0027, \u0027base_currency\u0027: \u0027USD\u0027, \u0027market\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 72731.37, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2233.12, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 84.11}, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.225, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89}, \u0027crypto\u0027: {\u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.26039429673665, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2544580227370.546, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 15.0}, \u0027meta\u0027: {\u0027best_effort\u0027: True, \u0027fred\u0027: {\u0027series\u0027: {\u0027DTWEXBGS\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T04:00:45.927229+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.9573457, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\\\"}, \u0027DGS2\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T04:00:45.933318+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.70524, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807\\\"}, \u0027DGS10\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027cache_fresh\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T05:00:46.687790+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.3075995, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027SP500\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T04:00:45.937839+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.7029054, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\\\"}, \u0027NASDAQCOM\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T04:00:45.940050+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.7115092, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6e\\\"}}, \u0027macro_degraded\u0027: False, \u0027source_mode\u0027: \u0027fred_observations_api\u0027}, \u0027sources\u0027: {\u0027market\u0027: [\u0027https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\u0027, \u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\u0027], \u0027macro\u0027: [\u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\u0027, \u0027https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027], \u0027crypto\u0027: [\u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\u0027, \u0027https://api.alternative.me/fng/\u0027]}}, \u0027derived\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 72731.37, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2233.12, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 84.11, \u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.225, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89, \u0027btc_dom\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
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      "ref": "artifact://134805",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "{\"chat_id\": \"scheduler\", \"history\": [], \"language\": \"Default\", \"profile\": {\"meta_inf\": {\"language\": \"Default\"}}, \"profile_summary\": {\"allow_short\": null, \"blacklist\": [], \"horizon\": null, \"language\": \"Default\", \"max_leverage\": null, \"max_position_usd\": null, \"preferred_assets\": [], \"risk_level\": null, \"style\": null, \"summary_text\": \"language=Default\"}, \"profile_summary_ref\": \"artifact://134589\", \"profile_version\": 1, \"user_id\": \"scheduler\"}"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134766",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.241359+00:00",
      "id": 134765,
      "kind": "decision.portfolio_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:48.238415+00:00\u0027 total_exposure_usd=None net_exposure_usd=None per_asset_exposure={} correlation_risk=None leverage_used=None available_margin=None payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027fallback\u0027, \u0027reason\u0027: \u0027portfolio.service_unavailable\u0027, \u0027asset\u0027: \u0027BTC\u0027, \u0027pair\u0027: \u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, \u0027source_notes\u0027: [], \u0027positions_count\u0027: 0, \u0027derived_from_rows\u0027: False} ref=\u0027artifact://134763\u0027\""
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134765",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.240140+00:00",
      "id": 134764,
      "kind": "decision.step.portfolio_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "available_margin": null,
        "correlation_risk": null,
        "leverage_used": null,
        "net_exposure_usd": null,
        "payload_source": "fallback",
        "per_asset_exposure": {},
        "ref": "artifact://134763",
        "source_notes": [],
        "total_exposure_usd": null
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134764",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.238934+00:00",
      "id": 134763,
      "kind": "decision.portfolio_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "available_margin": null,
        "correlation_risk": null,
        "leverage_used": null,
        "net_exposure_usd": null,
        "payload": {
          "asset": "BTC",
          "derived_from_rows": false,
          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
          "positions_count": 0,
          "reason": "portfolio.service_unavailable",
          "source": "fallback",
          "source_notes": []
        },
        "per_asset_exposure": {},
        "ref": null,
        "total_exposure_usd": null,
        "ts": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.238415+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134763",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.237476+00:00",
      "id": 134762,
      "kind": "decision.portfolio_snapshot.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"trace_id=\u0027e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\"",
            "{\"compliance\": null, \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://134750\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://134623\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://134605\", \"price\": \"artifact://134628\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://134634\"}, \"ml\": [], \"ml_judge\": null, \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/2c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": null, \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": null, \"steps\": {\"chat_context\": \"artifact://134592\", \"macro_snapshot\": \"artifact://134751\", \"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://134635\", \"narratives\": \"artifact://134703\", \"news_events\": \"artifact://134644\", \"onchain_agent\": \"artifact://134760\", \"onchain_snapshot\": \"artifact://134755\", \"profile_summary\": \"artifact://134590\", \"rag_context\": \"artifact://134667\"}}",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134762",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.232348+00:00",
      "id": 134761,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"action\": \"buy\", \"autotrade_safe\": false, \"bearish_signals\": [\"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal\"], \"confidence\": 0.6656, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.\", \"extra_metrics\": {\"avg_funding_rate\": -2.5888518352799997e-05, \"btc_dominance_pct\": 57.26039429673665, \"btc_hash_rate\": 904958569112.2582, \"btc_tx_count_24h\": 484094, \"defi_tvl_change_7d_pct\": 4.749965828986963, \"defi_tvl_usd\": 95879856273.0, \"fear_greed_index\": 15.0, \"fear_greed_label\": \"Extreme Fear\", \"market_cap_change_24h_pct\": 0.8155050530994677, \"mempool_fastest_fee\": 1.0, \"okx_funding_rate\": 2.04729632944e-05}, \"llm_status\": \"exception\", \"mode\": \"deterministic\", \"needs_manual_review\": false, \"network_signal\": \"shrinking\", \"onchain_available\": true, \"quality\": \"trusted\", \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"onchain_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://134754\", \"title\": null, \"why\": \"Primary on-chain evidence\"}], \"score\": 0.228, \"sources_count\": 10, \"valuation_signal\": \"unknown\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134761",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.231092+00:00",
      "id": 134760,
      "kind": "decision.step.onchain_agent",
      "payload": {
        "in": "artifact://134758",
        "out": "artifact://134759"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134760",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.229886+00:00",
      "id": 134759,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "action": "buy",
        "autotrade_safe": false,
        "bearish_signals": [
          "mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity"
        ],
        "bias": "bullish",
        "bullish_signals": [
          "cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)",
          "fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.6656,
        "data_quality": "live",
        "derivatives_signal": "neutral",
        "exchange_flow_signal": "neutral",
        "explanation": "On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Bearish factors: mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity.",
        "extra_metrics": {
          "avg_funding_rate": -2.5888518352799997e-05,
          "btc_dominance_pct": 57.26039429673665,
          "btc_hash_rate": 904958569112.2582,
          "btc_tx_count_24h": 484094,
          "defi_tvl_change_7d_pct": 4.749965828986963,
          "defi_tvl_usd": 95879856273.0,
          "fear_greed_index": 15.0,
          "fear_greed_label": "Extreme Fear",
          "market_cap_change_24h_pct": 0.8155050530994677,
          "mempool_fastest_fee": 1.0,
          "okx_funding_rate": 2.04729632944e-05
        },
        "llm_status": "exception",
        "mode": "deterministic",
        "needs_manual_review": false,
        "network_signal": "shrinking",
        "onchain_available": true,
        "quality": "trusted",
        "refs_used": [
          {
            "kind": "onchain_snapshot",
            "ref": "artifact://134754",
            "title": null,
            "why": "Primary on-chain evidence"
          }
        ],
        "score": 0.228,
        "sources_count": 10,
        "valuation_signal": "unknown"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134759",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.228572+00:00",
      "id": 134758,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "data_quality": "live",
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "snapshot": {
          "active_addresses_24h": 484094,
          "asset": "BTC",
          "data_quality": "live",
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          "exchange_outflow_24h": null,
          "exchange_reserve": null,
          "funding_rate": -7.225e-05,
          "funding_rate_annualized": -0.07911375,
          "hash_rate": null,
          "liquidations_long_24h_usd": null,
          "liquidations_short_24h_usd": null,
          "long_short_ratio": 0.7328,
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          "open_interest_change_24h_pct": 1.9823936904668573,
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          "pair": "BTC/USDT",
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          "ref": "artifact://134754",
          "sopr": null,
          "sources_used": [
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            "binance_open_interest",
            "binance_long_short_ratio",
            "binance_taker_ratio",
            "alternative_me_fng",
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            "defillama_tvl"
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          "stablecoin_supply_ratio": null,
          "taker_buy_sell_ratio": 1.0466,
          "transaction_count_24h": null,
          "ts": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.212521+00:00"
        }
      },
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.226755+00:00",
      "id": 134757,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_agent.inputs",
      "payload": {
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            "\"trace_id=\u0027e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\"",
            "{\"compliance\": null, \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://134750\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://134623\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://134605\", \"price\": \"artifact://134628\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://134634\"}, \"ml\": [], \"ml_judge\": null, \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/2c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": null, \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": null, \"steps\": {\"chat_context\": \"artifact://134592\", \"macro_snapshot\": \"artifact://134751\", \"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://134635\", \"narratives\": \"artifact://134703\", \"news_events\": \"artifact://134644\", \"onchain_snapshot\": \"artifact://134755\", \"profile_summary\": \"artifact://134590\", \"rag_context\": \"artifact://134667\"}}",
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Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 20:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66885.73, \u0027high\u0027: 66919.61, \u0027low\u0027: 66831.97, \u0027close\u0027:\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134757",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.217134+00:00",
      "id": 134756,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:48.212521+00:00\u0027 funding_rate=-7.225e-05 funding_rate_annualized=-0.07911375 open_interest_usd=6988753738.621801 open_interest_change_24h_pct=1.9823936904668573 long_short_ratio=0.7328 taker_buy_sell_ratio=1.0466 liquidations_long_24h_usd=None liquidations_short_24h_usd=None exchange_inflow_24h=None exchange_outflow_24h=None net_exchange_flow=None exchange_reserve=None mvrv_ratio=None sopr=None nvt_ratio=None realized_price=None active_addresses_24h=484094 transaction_count_24h=None hash_rate=None stablecoin_supply_ratio=None data_quality=\u0027live\u0027 sources_used=[\u0027binance_funding_rate\u0027, \u0027binance_open_interest\u0027, \u0027binance_long_short_ratio\u0027, \u0027binance_taker_ratio\u0027, \u0027alternative_me_fng\u0027, \u0027coingecko_global\u0027, \u0027blockchain_info\u0027, \u0027mempool_space\u0027, \u0027okx_funding_rate\u0027, \u0027defillama_tvl\u0027] ref=\u0027artifact://134754\u0027\""
        }
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.215764+00:00",
      "id": 134755,
      "kind": "decision.step.onchain_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "data_quality": "live",
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "sources": [
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          "binance_open_interest",
          "binance_long_short_ratio",
          "binance_taker_ratio",
          "alternative_me_fng",
          "coingecko_global",
          "blockchain_info",
          "mempool_space",
          "okx_funding_rate",
          "defillama_tvl"
        ]
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134755",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.213678+00:00",
      "id": 134754,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "active_addresses_24h": 484094,
        "asset": "BTC",
        "data_quality": "live",
        "exchange_inflow_24h": null,
        "exchange_outflow_24h": null,
        "exchange_reserve": null,
        "funding_rate": -7.225e-05,
        "funding_rate_annualized": -0.07911375,
        "hash_rate": null,
        "liquidations_long_24h_usd": null,
        "liquidations_short_24h_usd": null,
        "long_short_ratio": 0.7328,
        "mvrv_ratio": null,
        "net_exchange_flow": null,
        "nvt_ratio": null,
        "open_interest_change_24h_pct": 1.9823936904668573,
        "open_interest_usd": 6988753738.621801,
        "pair": "BTC/USDT",
        "realized_price": null,
        "ref": null,
        "sopr": null,
        "sources_used": [
          "binance_funding_rate",
          "binance_open_interest",
          "binance_long_short_ratio",
          "binance_taker_ratio",
          "alternative_me_fng",
          "coingecko_global",
          "blockchain_info",
          "mempool_space",
          "okx_funding_rate",
          "defillama_tvl"
        ],
        "stablecoin_supply_ratio": null,
        "taker_buy_sell_ratio": 1.0466,
        "transaction_count_24h": null,
        "ts": "2026-04-11T06:00:48.212521+00:00"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134754",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:46.651729+00:00",
      "id": 134753,
      "kind": "decision.onchain_snapshot.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
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            "\"trace_id=\u0027e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\u0027 user_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 chat_id=\u0027scheduler\u0027 text=\u0027scheduler decision tick\u0027 asset=None pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 risk_prefs={} meta={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027runtime_compat\u0027}\"",
            "\"e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\"",
            "{\"compliance\": null, \"debug\": {\"rag_context\": \"\"}, \"decision\": null, \"extras\": {\"narratives_reason\": null, \"narratives_status\": \"used\", \"rag_reason\": null, \"rag_status\": \"used\"}, \"macro\": \"artifact://134750\", \"market\": {\"liquidity\": \"artifact://134623\", \"ohlcv\": \"artifact://134605\", \"price\": \"artifact://134628\", \"snapshot\": \"artifact://134634\"}, \"ml\": [], \"ml_judge\": null, \"narratives\": \"chroma://narratives/2c20013e06e0f142ea46c4d0\", \"news\": [], \"portfolio\": null, \"rag\": [], \"rag_judge\": null, \"steps\": {\"chat_context\": \"artifact://134592\", \"macro_snapshot\": \"artifact://134751\", \"market_snapshot\": \"artifact://134635\", \"narratives\": \"artifact://134703\", \"news_events\": \"artifact://134644\", \"profile_summary\": \"artifact://134590\", \"rag_context\": \"artifact://134667\"}}",
            "\"namespace(app=namespace(state=namespace(runtime={\u0027settings\u0027: AppSettings(RUN_MODE=\u0027dev\u0027, LLM_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, LLM_BASE_URL=None, LLM_MODEL=None, LLM_MODEL_SMALL=None, LLM_MODEL_MEDIUM=None, LLM_API_KEY=None, OLLAMA_BASE_URL=\u0027http://ollama:11434\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:12b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_SMALL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, OLLAMA_MODEL_MEDIUM=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, OLLAMA_KEEP_ALIVE=\u00275m\u0027, OLLAMA_NUM_CTX=8192, OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT=1200, OLLAMA_TEMPERATURE=0.2, LLM_DECISION_ALLOW_BIG_FALLBACK=True, CHAT_FAST_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FAST_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:4b\u0027, CHAT_FAST_TIMEOUT_S=20.0, CHAT_FAST_MAX_TOKENS=400, CHAT_FAST_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_FAST_MAX_RETRIES=1, CHAT_CONTEXT_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_MODEL=\u0027qwen3.5:9b\u0027, CHAT_CONTEXT_TIMEOUT_S=35.0, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_TOKENS=600, CHAT_CONTEXT_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_CONTEXT_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MODEL=\u0027gemma3:27b\u0027, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_S=60.0, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_TOKENS=800, CHAT_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE=0.2, CHAT_ANALYSIS_MAX_RETRIES=2, CHAT_FALLBACK_PROVIDER=\u0027ollama\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_MODEL=\u0027llama3.1:8b\u0027, CHAT_FALLBACK_TIMEOUT_S=15.0, POSTGRES_DSN=\u0027postgresql://vanga:vanga_pass@postgres:5432/vanga\u0027, DATABASE_DSN=\u0027\u0027, CHROMA_MODE=\u0027http\u0027, CHROMA_HOST=\u0027chroma\u0027, CHROMA_PORT=8000, CHROMA_PERSIST_PATH=\u0027/app/.chroma_local\u0027, NEWS_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, NEWS_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=300, NEWS_RUN_ON_STARTUP=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, MARKET_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=30, MARKET_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, MARKET_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, MARKET_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, MARKET_OHLCV_LIMIT=200, MARKET_PERSIST_OHLCV=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, DECISION_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, DECISION_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, DECISION_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, DECISION_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ENABLE_TREND_AGENT=True, ENABLE_PRICE_AGENT=True, ENABLE_META_DECISION_V2=True, DECISION_MIN_EXECUTABLE_CONFIDENCE=0.45, ENABLE_ML_HEALTH_GATING=True, ML_SCHEDULER_ENABLED=True, ML_SCHEDULER_INTERVAL_SEC=60, ML_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, ML_TIMEFRAMES=\u00271h,1d,1w\u0027, ML_PERSIST_KIND=\u0027ml.prediction\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_INTERVAL_SEC=60, AUTOTRADE_SAME_CANDLE_SKIP=True, DECISION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, EXECUTION_ONLY_ON_NEW_CANDLE=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_ENABLED=True, LIGHTWEIGHT_MONITORING_INTERVAL_SEC=45, ANALYSIS_WINDOW_SEC=0, EXECUTION_WINDOW_SEC=0, ALLOW_INTRABAR_NEW_ENTRIES=False, MONITORING_ONLY_BETWEEN_CANDLES=True, AUTOTRADE_CONSUME_SCHEDULER_DECISION=True, AUTOTRADE_EXCHANGE=\u0027binance\u0027, AUTOTRADE_SYMBOL=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TIMEFRAME=\u00271h\u0027, AUTOTRADE_PROFILE=\u0027derivatives_long_short_combat\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_TYPE=\u0027market\u0027, AUTOTRADE_TESTNET_ONLY=True, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.48, AUTOTRADE_MIN_CONFIDENCE_NO_LLM=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DETERMINISTIC_MIN_WINNER_FACTORS=2, AUTOTRADE_SOURCE_QUALITY_MIN_THRESHOLD=0.45, AUTOTRADE_DISAGREEMENT_MAX_THRESHOLD=0.55, AUTOTRADE_USER_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_CHAT_ID=\u0027autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_BUY=True, AUTOTRADE_ALLOW_SELL=True, AUTOTRADE_DRY_RUN=False, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH=False, AUTOTRADE_MAX_POSITION_USD=250.0, AUTOTRADE_DEFAULT_QUOTE_NOTIONAL_USD=100.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_USD_EXPOSURE=1000.0, AUTOTRADE_REQUIRE_LIQUIDITY=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_MANAGED_EXIT_MIN_SECONDS=90.0, AUTOTRADE_STATE_DIR=\u0027.local_autotrade\u0027, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_PCT=0.0, AUTOTRADE_EXECUTION_METRICS_MAX_SAMPLES=200, AUTOTRADE_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL=\u0027\u0027, SHARPE_INITIAL_NAV_USD=10000.0, SHARPE_RISK_FREE_ANNUAL=0.0, SHARPE_PERIODS_PER_YEAR=365.0, TRADING_PROFILE=\u0027testnet\u0027, LIVE_TRADING_CONFIRMED=False, DEV_BLOCK_LIVE_BINANCE=True, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_FILE=None, AUTOTRADE_KILL_SWITCH_URL=None, AUTOTRADE_RECONCILE_INTERVAL_SEC=300, AUTOTRADE_MAX_CONCURRENT_POSITIONS=2, AUTOTRADE_MAX_DAILY_NOTIONAL_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_SPREAD_BPS_PAUSE=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MIN_QUOTE_VOLUME_USD=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_FUNDING_RATE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_PAUSE_24H_CHANGE_ABS=0.0, AUTOTRADE_MAX_MARGIN_UTILIZATION_PCT=0.0, OPS_METRICS_ENABLED=True, AUTOTRADE_IDEMPOTENCY_MAX_KEYS=500, AUTOTRADE_ORDER_LIFECYCLE_MAX=100, BINANCE_API_KEY=\u0027Rnk1HTSIiF0816UnzOFq5LKx2pjN9Q8Y69Hbky5EwAYWA2dy9PLO0juBuwxnjQwe\u0027, BINANCE_API_SE\u2026",
            "\"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:44.950902+00:00\u0027 asset=\u0027BTC\u0027 pair=\u0027BTC/USDT\u0027 timeframe=\u00271h\u0027 price=72712.74 ohlcv=[{\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775170800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-02 23:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66982.48, \u0027high\u0027: 67096.68, \u0027low\u0027: 66855.5, \u0027close\u0027: 66901.99, \u0027volume\u0027: 444.18527}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775174400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 00:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66901.99, \u0027high\u0027: 67000.0, \u0027low\u0027: 66702.83, \u0027close\u0027: 66785.86, \u0027volume\u0027: 388.08477}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775178000000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 01:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66785.87, \u0027high\u0027: 66905.61, \u0027low\u0027: 66483.9, \u0027close\u0027: 66630.0, \u0027volume\u0027: 613.9141}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775181600000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 02:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66630.01, \u0027high\u0027: 66750.57, \u0027low\u0027: 66282.0, \u0027close\u0027: 66533.81, \u0027volume\u0027: 625.3621}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775185200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 03:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66533.82, \u0027high\u0027: 66724.17, \u0027low\u0027: 66495.69, \u0027close\u0027: 66579.97, \u0027volume\u0027: 581.20992}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775188800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 04:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66579.98, \u0027high\u0027: 66699.99, \u0027low\u0027: 66500.04, \u0027close\u0027: 66602.66, \u0027volume\u0027: 733.15532}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775192400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 05:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66602.67, \u0027high\u0027: 66808.5, \u0027low\u0027: 66416.68, \u0027close\u0027: 66600.35, \u0027volume\u0027: 822.39566}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775196000000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 06:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66600.35, \u0027high\u0027: 66800.0, \u0027low\u0027: 66558.76, \u0027close\u0027: 66796.79, \u0027volume\u0027: 434.2967}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775199600000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 07:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66796.8, \u0027high\u0027: 67247.38, \u0027low\u0027: 66758.0, \u0027close\u0027: 67042.08, \u0027volume\u0027: 883.37731}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775203200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 08:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67042.08, \u0027high\u0027: 67288.0, \u0027low\u0027: 66900.56, \u0027close\u0027: 66965.39, \u0027volume\u0027: 717.16964}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775206800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 09:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66965.39, \u0027high\u0027: 67007.93, \u0027low\u0027: 66749.35, \u0027close\u0027: 66859.58, \u0027volume\u0027: 291.40037}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775210400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 10:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66859.58, \u0027high\u0027: 66898.97, \u0027low\u0027: 66674.72, \u0027close\u0027: 66883.08, \u0027volume\u0027: 215.33139}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775214000000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 11:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66883.09, \u0027high\u0027: 67057.42, \u0027low\u0027: 66823.18, \u0027close\u0027: 67017.44, \u0027volume\u0027: 215.91455}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775217600000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 12:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67017.43, \u0027high\u0027: 67370.42, \u0027low\u0027: 66646.36, \u0027close\u0027: 66722.16, \u0027volume\u0027: 808.01051}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775221200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 13:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66722.16, \u0027high\u0027: 66735.62, \u0027low\u0027: 66508.1, \u0027close\u0027: 66672.0, \u0027volume\u0027: 554.93399}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775224800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 14:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66671.99, \u0027high\u0027: 66990.59, \u0027low\u0027: 66634.0, \u0027close\u0027: 66929.81, \u0027volume\u0027: 530.03077}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775228400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 15:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66929.8, \u0027high\u0027: 67028.37, \u0027low\u0027: 66823.3, \u0027close\u0027: 66827.15, \u0027volume\u0027: 465.79672}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775232000000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 16:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66827.15, \u0027high\u0027: 67069.0, \u0027low\u0027: 66827.14, \u0027close\u0027: 67010.46, \u0027volume\u0027: 361.0645}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775235600000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 17:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 67010.45, \u0027high\u0027: 67067.0, \u0027low\u0027: 66751.86, \u0027close\u0027: 66855.01, \u0027volume\u0027: 378.12395}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775239200000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 18:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66855.0, \u0027high\u0027: 66930.0, \u0027low\u0027: 66786.12, \u0027close\u0027: 66812.03, \u0027volume\u0027: 187.13591}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775242800000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 19:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66812.04, \u0027high\u0027: 66911.19, \u0027low\u0027: 66774.02, \u0027close\u0027: 66885.74, \u0027volume\u0027: 289.39585}, {\u0027timestamp\u0027: 1775246400000, \u0027datetime\u0027: Timestamp(\u00272026-04-03 20:00:00+0000\u0027, tz=\u0027UTC\u0027), \u0027open\u0027: 66885.73, \u0027high\u0027: 66919.61, \u0027low\u0027: 66831.97, \u0027close\u0027:\u2026"
          ],
          "kwargs": {}
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134753",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:46.639581+00:00",
      "id": 134752,
      "kind": "decision.macro_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"ts=\u00272026-04-11T06:00:46.632915+00:00\u0027 regime=\u0027neutral\u0027 rates_bias=\u0027neutral\u0027 usd_strength=1.0 equity_risk=0.254375 commodity_risk=0.31749999999999995 crypto_macro_score=0.27389605703263353 payload={\u0027source\u0027: \u0027tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot\u0027, \u0027date\u0027: \u00272026-04-11\u0027, \u0027base_currency\u0027: \u0027USD\u0027, \u0027market\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 72731.37, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2233.12, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 84.11}, \u0027macro\u0027: {\u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.225, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89}, \u0027crypto\u0027: {\u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.26039429673665, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2544580227370.546, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 15.0}, \u0027meta\u0027: {\u0027best_effort\u0027: True, \u0027fred\u0027: {\u0027series\u0027: {\u0027DTWEXBGS\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T04:00:45.927229+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.9573457, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\\\"}, \u0027DGS2\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T04:00:45.933318+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.70524, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807\\\"}, \u0027DGS10\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027cache_fresh\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T05:00:46.687790+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.3075995, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: None}, \u0027SP500\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T04:00:45.937839+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.7029054, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\\\"}, \u0027NASDAQCOM\u0027: {\u0027value_source\u0027: \u0027stale_cache\u0027, \u0027last_good_timestamp\u0027: \u00272026-04-11T04:00:45.940050+00:00\u0027, \u0027last_attempt_ts\u0027: 1775887245.7115092, \u0027last_error_short\u0027: \\\"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6e\\\"}}, \u0027macro_degraded\u0027: False, \u0027source_mode\u0027: \u0027fred_observations_api\u0027}, \u0027sources\u0027: {\u0027market\u0027: [\u0027https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\u0027, \u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\u0027], \u0027macro\u0027: [\u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\u0027, \u0027https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\u0027, \u0027https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\u0027, \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027], \u0027crypto\u0027: [\u0027https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\u0027, \u0027https://api.alternative.me/fng/\u0027]}}, \u0027derived\u0027: {\u0027btc_usdt\u0027: 72731.37, \u0027eth_usdt\u0027: 2233.12, \u0027sol_usdt\u0027: 84.11, \u0027dxy\u0027: 120.6565, \u0027gold_price\u0027: 1957.5, \u0027oil_brent\u0027: 70.225, \u0027us_2y_yield\u0027: 3.78, \u0027us_10y_yield\u0027: 4.29, \u0027sp500_index\u0027: 6816.89, \u0027nasdaq_index\u0027: 22902.89, \u0027btc_dominance\u0027: 57.26039429673665, \u0027total3_market_cap\u0027: 2544580227370.546, \u0027fear_greed_index\u0027: 15.0, \u0027usd_strength\u0027: 1.0, \u0027equity_risk\u0027: 0.254375, \u0027commodity_risk\u0027: 0.31749999999999995, \u0027crypto_macro_score\u0027: 0.27389605703263353, \u0027regime\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027, \u0027rates_bias\u0027: \u0027neutral\u0027}} ref=\u0027artifact://134750\u0027\""
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134752",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:46.637937+00:00",
      "id": 134751,
      "kind": "decision.step.macro_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "commodity_risk": 0.31749999999999995,
        "crypto_macro_score": 0.27389605703263353,
        "equity_risk": 0.254375,
        "payload_source": "tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot",
        "rates_bias": "neutral",
        "ref": "artifact://134750",
        "regime": "neutral",
        "usd_strength": 1.0
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134751",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:46.636261+00:00",
      "id": 134750,
      "kind": "decision.macro_snapshot",
      "payload": {
        "commodity_risk": 0.31749999999999995,
        "crypto_macro_score": 0.27389605703263353,
        "equity_risk": 0.254375,
        "payload": {
          "base_currency": "USD",
          "crypto": {
            "btc_dominance": 57.26039429673665,
            "fear_greed_index": 15.0,
            "total3_market_cap": 2544580227370.546
          },
          "date": "2026-04-11",
          "derived": {
            "btc_dominance": 57.26039429673665,
            "btc_usdt": 72731.37,
            "commodity_risk": 0.31749999999999995,
            "crypto_macro_score": 0.27389605703263353,
            "dxy": 120.6565,
            "equity_risk": 0.254375,
            "eth_usdt": 2233.12,
            "fear_greed_index": 15.0,
            "gold_price": 1957.5,
            "nasdaq_index": 22902.89,
            "oil_brent": 70.225,
            "rates_bias": "neutral",
            "regime": "neutral",
            "sol_usdt": 84.11,
            "sp500_index": 6816.89,
            "total3_market_cap": 2544580227370.546,
            "us_10y_yield": 4.29,
            "us_2y_yield": 3.78,
            "usd_strength": 1.0
          },
          "macro": {
            "dxy": 120.6565,
            "gold_price": 1957.5,
            "nasdaq_index": 22902.89,
            "oil_brent": 70.225,
            "sp500_index": 6816.89,
            "us_10y_yield": 4.29,
            "us_2y_yield": 3.78
          },
          "market": {
            "btc_usdt": 72731.37,
            "eth_usdt": 2233.12,
            "sol_usdt": 84.11
          },
          "meta": {
            "best_effort": true,
            "fred": {
              "macro_degraded": false,
              "series": {
                "DGS10": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1775887245.3075995,
                  "last_error_short": null,
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-11T05:00:46.687790+00:00",
                  "value_source": "cache_fresh"
                },
                "DGS2": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1775887245.70524,
                  "last_error_short": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807",
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-11T04:00:45.933318+00:00",
                  "value_source": "stale_cache"
                },
                "DTWEXBGS": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1775887245.9573457,
                  "last_error_short": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea",
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-11T04:00:45.927229+00:00",
                  "value_source": "stale_cache"
                },
                "NASDAQCOM": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1775887245.7115092,
                  "last_error_short": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6e",
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-11T04:00:45.940050+00:00",
                  "value_source": "stale_cache"
                },
                "SP500": {
                  "last_attempt_ts": 1775887245.7029054,
                  "last_error_short": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680",
                  "last_good_timestamp": "2026-04-11T04:00:45.937839+00:00",
                  "value_source": "stale_cache"
                }
              },
              "source_mode": "fred_observations_api"
            },
            "sources": {
              "crypto": [
                "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global",
                "https://api.alternative.me/fng/"
              ],
              "macro": [
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d",
                "https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold",
                "https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold",
                "https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent",
                "https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil",
                "https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil"
              ],
              "market": [
                "https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price",
                "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price"
              ]
            }
          },
          "source": "tools_3.collect_macro_snapshot"
        },
        "rates_bias": "neutral",
        "ref": null,
        "regime": "neutral",
        "ts": "2026-04-11T06:00:46.632915+00:00",
        "usd_strength": 1.0
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134750",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:46.633526+00:00",
      "id": 134749,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.collect_macro_snapshot.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"commodity_risk\": 0.31749999999999995, \"crypto_macro_score\": 0.27389605703263353, \"equity_risk\": 0.254375, \"payload\": {\"base_currency\": \"USD\", \"crypto\": {\"btc_dominance\": 57.26039429673665, \"fear_greed_index\": 15.0, \"total3_market_cap\": 2544580227370.546}, \"date\": \"2026-04-11\", \"derived\": {\"btc_dominance\": 57.26039429673665, \"btc_usdt\": 72731.37, \"commodity_risk\": 0.31749999999999995, \"crypto_macro_score\": 0.27389605703263353, \"dxy\": 120.6565, \"equity_risk\": 0.254375, \"eth_usdt\": 2233.12, \"fear_greed_index\": 15.0, \"gold_price\": 1957.5, \"nasdaq_index\": 22902.89, \"oil_brent\": 70.225, \"rates_bias\": \"neutral\", \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"sol_usdt\": 84.11, \"sp500_index\": 6816.89, \"total3_market_cap\": 2544580227370.546, \"us_10y_yield\": 4.29, \"us_2y_yield\": 3.78, \"usd_strength\": 1.0}, \"macro\": {\"dxy\": 120.6565, \"gold_price\": 1957.5, \"nasdaq_index\": 22902.89, \"oil_brent\": 70.225, \"sp500_index\": 6816.89, \"us_10y_yield\": 4.29, \"us_2y_yield\": 3.78}, \"market\": {\"btc_usdt\": 72731.37, \"eth_usdt\": 2233.12, \"sol_usdt\": 84.11}, \"meta\": {\"best_effort\": true, \"fred\": {\"macro_degraded\": false, \"series\": {\"DGS10\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775887245.3075995, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-11T05:00:46.687790+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"cache_fresh\"}, \"DGS2\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775887245.70524, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-11T04:00:45.933318+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"DTWEXBGS\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775887245.9573457, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-11T04:00:45.927229+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"NASDAQCOM\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775887245.7115092, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6e\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-11T04:00:45.940050+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"SP500\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775887245.7029054, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-11T04:00:45.937839+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}}, \"source_mode\": \"fred_observations_api\"}, \"sources\": {\"crypto\": [\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\", \"https://api.alternative.me/fng/\"], \"macro\": [\"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\", \"https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\"], \"market\": [\"https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\", \"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\"]}}}, \"rates_bias\": \"neutral\", \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"ts\": \"2026-04-11T06:00:46.632915+00:00\", \"usd_strength\": 1.0}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134749",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:46.629639+00:00",
      "id": 134748,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.agent_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"base_currency\": \"USD\", \"crypto\": {\"btc_dominance\": 57.26039429673665, \"fear_greed_index\": 15.0, \"total3_market_cap\": 2544580227370.546}, \"date\": \"2026-04-11\", \"macro\": {\"dxy\": 120.6565, \"gold_price\": 1957.5, \"nasdaq_index\": 22902.89, \"oil_brent\": 70.225, \"sp500_index\": 6816.89, \"us_10y_yield\": 4.29, \"us_2y_yield\": 3.78}, \"market\": {\"btc_usdt\": 72731.37, \"eth_usdt\": 2233.12, \"sol_usdt\": 84.11}, \"meta\": {\"best_effort\": true, \"fred\": {\"macro_degraded\": false, \"series\": {\"DGS10\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775887245.3075995, \"last_error_short\": null, \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-11T05:00:46.687790+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"cache_fresh\"}, \"DGS2\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775887245.70524, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-11T04:00:45.933318+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"DTWEXBGS\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775887245.9573457, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-11T04:00:45.927229+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"NASDAQCOM\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775887245.7115092, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6e\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-11T04:00:45.940050+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}, \"SP500\": {\"last_attempt_ts\": 1775887245.7029054, \"last_error_short\": \"Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea680\", \"last_good_timestamp\": \"2026-04-11T04:00:45.937839+00:00\", \"value_source\": \"stale_cache\"}}, \"source_mode\": \"fred_observations_api\"}, \"sources\": {\"crypto\": [\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/global\", \"https://api.alternative.me/fng/\"], \"macro\": [\"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS10\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\", \"https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=brent\", \"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\", \"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\"], \"market\": [\"https://api.binance.com/api/v3/ticker/price\", \"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price\"]}}}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134748",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:46.625829+00:00",
      "id": 134747,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.get_gold_price.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "1957.5"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134747",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:46.621828+00:00",
      "id": 134746,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "\"\u003c!DOCTYPE html\u003e\u003chtml lang=\\\"ru\\\" dir=\\\"ltr\\\" class=\\\"html\\\"\u003e\u003chead\u003e\u003cmeta charSet=\\\"utf-8\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003cmeta name=\\\"viewport\\\" content=\\\"initial-scale=1.0,width=device-width\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"canonical\\\" href=\\\"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"x-default\\\" href=\\\"https://www.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-us\\\" href=\\\"https://www.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"he-il\\\" href=\\\"https://il.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ar\\\" href=\\\"https://sa.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"es\\\" href=\\\"https://es.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"fr\\\" href=\\\"https://fr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"zh-cn\\\" href=\\\"https://cn.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ru\\\" href=\\\"https://ru.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"de\\\" href=\\\"https://de.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"it\\\" href=\\\"https://it.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"tr-tr\\\" href=\\\"https://tr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ja\\\" href=\\\"https://jp.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"pt\\\" href=\\\"https://br.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"sv-se\\\" href=\\\"https://se.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"el\\\" href=\\\"https://gr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"pl\\\" href=\\\"https://pl.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"nl\\\" href=\\\"https://nl.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"fi\\\" href=\\\"https://fi.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ko-kr\\\" href=\\\"https://kr.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"es-mx\\\" href=\\\"https://mx.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"pt-pt\\\" href=\\\"https://pt.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-gb\\\" href=\\\"https://uk.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"vi-vn\\\" href=\\\"https://vn.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"th-th\\\" href=\\\"https://th.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"id-id\\\" href=\\\"https://id.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"zh-hk\\\" href=\\\"https://hk.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-in\\\" href=\\\"https://in.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"ms\\\" href=\\\"https://ms.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-ca\\\" href=\\\"https://ca.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-au\\\" href=\\\"https://au.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-za\\\" href=\\\"https://za.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"hi\\\" href=\\\"https://hi.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"en-ng\\\" href=\\\"https://ng.investing.com/commodities/gold\\\" data-next-head=\\\"\\\"/\u003e\u003clink rel=\\\"alternate\\\" hrefLang=\\\"\u2026"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134746",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:46.407369+00:00",
      "id": 134745,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"ethereum\": {\"usd\": 2233.82}}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134745",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:46.311295+00:00",
      "id": 134744,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.get_oil_price.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "70.225"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134744",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:46.291365+00:00",
      "id": 134743,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.error",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Client error \u0027403 Forbidden\u0027 for url \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/403",
        "error_type": "HTTPStatusError",
        "stack": "Traceback (most recent call last):\n  File \"/app/core/telemetry/decorator.py\", line 271, in _wrapper\n    res = await fn(*args, **kwargs)\n          ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 154, in _fetch_text\n    return await _call()\n           ^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 134, in _call\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/app/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Client error \u0027403 Forbidden\u0027 for url \u0027https://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/403\n"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.954983+00:00",
      "id": 134736,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fred_fetch_json_once.error",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500",
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        "stack": "Traceback (most recent call last):\n  File \"/app/core/telemetry/decorator.py\", line 271, in _wrapper\n    res = await fn(*args, **kwargs)\n          ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 886, in _fred_fetch_json_once\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/app/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DTWEXBGS\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500\n"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.920785+00:00",
      "id": 134735,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.845335+00:00",
      "id": 134734,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
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          "result": "{\"bitcoin\": {\"usd\": 72750}}"
        }
      },
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.790310+00:00",
      "id": 134733,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
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            "\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price?ids=solana\u0026vs_currencies=usd\""
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      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.789985+00:00",
      "id": 134732,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price?ids=bitcoin\u0026vs_currencies=usd\""
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "runtime": "{\"_autotrade_cadence\": {\"bucket_key\": \"1h:1775887200\", \"gate_name\": \"autotrade:binance:BTC/USDT:1h\", \"same_candle_skip\": true}, \"app\": \"\u003cfastapi.applications.FastAPI object at 0x7f034454c650\u003e\", \"ccxt_factory\": \"\u003cfunction _build_ccxt_factory.\u003clocals\u003e._factory at 0x7f02cf6accc0\u003e\", \"chat_runtime\": \"\u003cservices.chat.runtime.ChatRuntime object at 0x7f033fb4b1a0\u003e\", \"chroma\": \"\u003ccore.storage.chroma.ChromaStore object at 0x7f0363935c10\u003e\", \"chroma_mode\": \"chroma\", \"exchange\": \"binance\", \"last_decision_bundle\": {\"analysis_candle_bucket\": \"1h:1775883600\", \"analysis_candle_bucket_iso\": \"1h:2026-04-11T05:00:00+00:00\", \"ok\": true, \"payload\": {\"action\": \"unknown\", \"agents\": {\"compliance\": {\"confidence\": 0.0, \"constraints\": {}, \"decision_override\": null, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trading_allowed\": true, \"violations\": []}, \"execution\": {\"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"entry_type\": null, \"execution_style\": null, \"explanation\": \"ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.\", \"max_slippage_bps\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_liquidity\", \"ref\": \"artifact://132968\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry\"}, {\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://132979\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Market snapshot used for execution context\"}], \"signal\": {}, \"slices\": null}, \"macro\": {\"action\": \"hold\", \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.5145780335429768, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\", \"macro_score\": null, \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\", \"macro.structural_fallback\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"signal\": {\"macro_regime\": \"neutral\", \"macro_structural_factors\": [\"crypto_macro_score\", \"usd_strong_crypto_headwind\", \"equity_risk_off\"], \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08777869122491708}}, \"meta_decision\": {\"action\": \"paper_only\", \"confidence\": 0.2, \"constraints\": {}, \"edge_score\": 0.1742, \"entry_quality_score\": 0.42, \"execution_vote\": \"allow\", \"expected_value_score\": 0.1428, \"explanation\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"final_summary\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"price_asymmetry_score\": 0.35, \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason_codes\": [\"ml_trust_low\"], \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [], \"risk_vote\": \"allow\", \"should_trade\": false, \"signal\": {\"calibration_score\": null, \"drift_detected\": false, \"health_state\": \"unknown\", \"ml_trust\": 0.0, \"synthetic_price\": true, \"trend_direction\": \"flat\"}, \"size_multiplier\": 0.0, \"skip_reason\": \"ml_trust_low\", \"trend_alignment_score\": 0.4}, \"ml_judge\": {\"accepted_refs\": [], \"agreement_score\": null, \"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"horizon_fit\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://133147\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}], \"rejected_refs\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trust_score\": null, \"usable\": null}, \"onchain\": {\"bearish_signals\": [\"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal\"], \"confidence\": 0.6656, \"constraints\": {}, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Beari\u2026",
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.783432+00:00",
      "id": 134730,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
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      "store": "postgres",
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      "id": 134731,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
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      "ref": "artifact://134731",
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      "id": 134729,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"data\": {\"active_cryptocurrencies\": 17707, \"ended_icos\": 3376, \"market_cap_change_percentage_24h_usd\": 0.8155050530994677, \"market_cap_percentage\": {\"bnb\": 3.2504322094518376, \"btc\": 57.26039429673665, \"eth\": 10.597541984662415, \"figr_heloc\": 0.6669253764173626, \"sol\": 1.9015313647532486, \"steth\": 0.8263655141912655, \"trx\": 1.1870668998944534, \"usdc\": 3.0899908765912234, \"usdt\": 7.242664663897943, \"xrp\": 3.255674556415338}, \"markets\": 1455, \"ongoing_icos\": 49, \"total_market_cap\": {\"aed\": 9344970885018.33, \"ars\": 3511326307841980.0, \"aud\": 3601670102066.6343, \"bch\": 5765663148.211451, \"bdt\": 312147944109228.0, \"bhd\": 960087931848.4987, \"bits\": 34952976216478.2, \"bmd\": 2544580227370.546, \"bnb\": 4196064548.399267, \"brl\": 12735496808978.215, \"btc\": 34952976.2164782, \"cad\": 3522589637760.4146, \"chf\": 2008913009966.0903, \"clp\": 2271911763561500.0, \"cny\": 17374393792486.088, \"czk\": 52897751598669.85, \"dkk\": 16216355331009.752, \"dot\": 1975801238515.4893, \"eos\": 31954009766149.01, \"eth\": 1138696953.5900133, \"eur\": 2169939135914.5532, \"gbp\": 1890897923600.8716, \"gel\": 6844920811626.766, \"hkd\": 19929025111754.75, \"huf\": 814774588804048.6, \"idr\": 4.348509487960346e+16, \"ils\": 7720103735028.595, \"inr\": 236876243111457.56, \"jpy\": 405288015714443.7, \"krw\": 3778464037466529.5, \"kwd\": 785771463372.4791, \"link\": 282262481558.523, \"lkr\": 801845057574412.6, \"ltc\": 46594620360.47036, \"mmk\": 5343135007234943.0, \"mxn\": 44024800345828.77, \"myr\": 10089260601524.215, \"ngn\": 3457258301252164.5, \"nok\": 24236872207681.715, \"nzd\": 4359771800046.6875, \"php\": 152360563073312.97, \"pkr\": 708680596167717.5, \"pln\": 9231235782595.547, \"rub\": 196030603133002.2, \"sar\": 9551290539013.988, \"sats\": 3495297621647820.0, \"sek\": 23593220639168.336, \"sgd\": 3241286293624.602, \"sol\": 30211480607.743156, \"thb\": 81987087408342.66, \"try\": 113653675855505.44, \"twd\": 80770063032615.64, \"uah\": 110389511241056.56, \"usd\": 2544580227370.546, \"vef\": 254788818166.61276, \"vnd\": 6.701406486803069e+16, \"xag\": 33484105766.166744, \"xau\": 535837704.27968943, \"xdr\": 1769633408285.3008, \"xlm\": 16511789695071.67, \"xrp\": 1886077834004.962, \"yfi\": 989345608.2202185, \"zar\": 41777070847783.266}, \"total_volume\": {\"aed\": 316288320861.4869, \"ars\": 118843762657900.02, \"aud\": 121901523599.81819, \"bch\": 195143670.13431063, \"bdt\": 10564907083975.29, \"bhd\": 32494975487.892452, \"bits\": 1183012584270.8489, \"bmd\": 86123436585.83714, \"bnb\": 142019298.56916982, \"brl\": 431043493940.28564, \"btc\": 1183012.584270849, \"cad\": 119224979437.60362, \"chf\": 67993333579.84281, \"clp\": 76894745385920.67, \"cny\": 588050825008.096, \"czk\": 1790368449121.0164, \"dkk\": 548856049017.8815, \"dot\": 66872638103.98533, \"eos\": 1081510067616.1177, \"eth\": 38540146.55074758, \"eur\": 73443396893.86775, \"gbp\": 63999014714.42826, \"gel\": 231672044415.9018, \"hkd\": 674514449168.4473, \"huf\": 27576724394785.043, \"idr\": 1471789244846346.2, \"ils\": 261293339195.23474, \"inr\": 8017273687370.436, \"jpy\": 13717310362209.21, \"krw\": 127885261554076.94, \"kwd\": 26595089464.579674, \"link\": 9553408719.278908, \"lkr\": 27139113644311.344, \"ltc\": 1577033723.9485912, \"mmk\": 180842853377306.6, \"mxn\": 1490056025746.203, \"myr\": 341479426062.84424, \"ngn\": 117013785954169.81, \"nok\": 820317121136.4403, \"nzd\": 147560106814.96353, \"php\": 5156770122978.751, \"pkr\": 23985884872937.75, \"pln\": 312438861616.40967, \"rub\": 6634818991443.029, \"sar\": 323271381346.73975, \"sats\": 118301258427084.89, \"sek\": 798532197852.0527, \"sgd\": 109704033523.03937, \"sol\": 1022532717.3016348, \"thb\": 2774921241357.9165, \"try\": 3846703295106.416, \"twd\": 2733730037984.2056, \"uah\": 3736224925765.0337, \"usd\": 86123436585.83714, \"vef\": 8623539705.339872, \"vnd\": 2268146825924606.5, \"xag\": 1133297440.798665, \"xau\": 18135873.27624558, \"xdr\": 59894716220.49361, \"xlm\": 558855271068.2926, \"xrp\": 63835874768.520424, \"yfi\": 33485225.906623635, \"zar\": 1413979749272.4692}, \"upcoming_icos\": 0, \"updated_at\": 1775886842, \"volume_change_percentage_24h_usd\": -9.698764186140103}}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134729",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.765973+00:00",
      "id": 134728,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"data\": [{\"time_until_update\": \"64755\", \"timestamp\": \"1775865600\", \"value\": \"15\", \"value_classification\": \"Extreme Fear\"}], \"metadata\": {\"error\": null}, \"name\": \"Fear and Greed Index\"}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134728",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.709377+00:00",
      "id": 134727,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fred_fetch_json_once.error",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500",
        "error_type": "HTTPStatusError",
        "stack": "Traceback (most recent call last):\n  File \"/app/core/telemetry/decorator.py\", line 271, in _wrapper\n    res = await fn(*args, **kwargs)\n          ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 886, in _fred_fetch_json_once\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/app/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=NASDAQCOM\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500\n"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134727",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.703005+00:00",
      "id": 134726,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fred_fetch_json_once.error",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500",
        "error_type": "HTTPStatusError",
        "stack": "Traceback (most recent call last):\n  File \"/app/core/telemetry/decorator.py\", line 271, in _wrapper\n    res = await fn(*args, **kwargs)\n          ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 886, in _fred_fetch_json_once\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/app/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=DGS2\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500\n"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134726",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.698819+00:00",
      "id": 134725,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fred_fetch_json_once.error",
      "payload": {
        "error": "Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500",
        "error_type": "HTTPStatusError",
        "stack": "Traceback (most recent call last):\n  File \"/app/core/telemetry/decorator.py\", line 271, in _wrapper\n    res = await fn(*args, **kwargs)\n          ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/app/tools/agents/tools_3.py\", line 886, in _fred_fetch_json_once\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/app/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Server error \u0027500 Internal Server Error\u0027 for url \u0027https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id=SP500\u0026file_type=json\u0026api_key=383e0dd0b931f6ea6807849a6d85469d\u0027\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/500\n"
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134725",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.698431+00:00",
      "id": 134724,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_json.outputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "result": "{\"data\": {\"active_cryptocurrencies\": 17707, \"ended_icos\": 3376, \"market_cap_change_percentage_24h_usd\": 0.8155050530994677, \"market_cap_percentage\": {\"bnb\": 3.2504322094518376, \"btc\": 57.26039429673665, \"eth\": 10.597541984662415, \"figr_heloc\": 0.6669253764173626, \"sol\": 1.9015313647532486, \"steth\": 0.8263655141912655, \"trx\": 1.1870668998944534, \"usdc\": 3.0899908765912234, \"usdt\": 7.242664663897943, \"xrp\": 3.255674556415338}, \"markets\": 1455, \"ongoing_icos\": 49, \"total_market_cap\": {\"aed\": 9344970885018.33, \"ars\": 3511326307841980.0, \"aud\": 3601670102066.6343, \"bch\": 5765663148.211451, \"bdt\": 312147944109228.0, \"bhd\": 960087931848.4987, \"bits\": 34952976216478.2, \"bmd\": 2544580227370.546, \"bnb\": 4196064548.399267, \"brl\": 12735496808978.215, \"btc\": 34952976.2164782, \"cad\": 3522589637760.4146, \"chf\": 2008913009966.0903, \"clp\": 2271911763561500.0, \"cny\": 17374393792486.088, \"czk\": 52897751598669.85, \"dkk\": 16216355331009.752, \"dot\": 1975801238515.4893, \"eos\": 31954009766149.01, \"eth\": 1138696953.5900133, \"eur\": 2169939135914.5532, \"gbp\": 1890897923600.8716, \"gel\": 6844920811626.766, \"hkd\": 19929025111754.75, \"huf\": 814774588804048.6, \"idr\": 4.348509487960346e+16, \"ils\": 7720103735028.595, \"inr\": 236876243111457.56, \"jpy\": 405288015714443.7, \"krw\": 3778464037466529.5, \"kwd\": 785771463372.4791, \"link\": 282262481558.523, \"lkr\": 801845057574412.6, \"ltc\": 46594620360.47036, \"mmk\": 5343135007234943.0, \"mxn\": 44024800345828.77, \"myr\": 10089260601524.215, \"ngn\": 3457258301252164.5, \"nok\": 24236872207681.715, \"nzd\": 4359771800046.6875, \"php\": 152360563073312.97, \"pkr\": 708680596167717.5, \"pln\": 9231235782595.547, \"rub\": 196030603133002.2, \"sar\": 9551290539013.988, \"sats\": 3495297621647820.0, \"sek\": 23593220639168.336, \"sgd\": 3241286293624.602, \"sol\": 30211480607.743156, \"thb\": 81987087408342.66, \"try\": 113653675855505.44, \"twd\": 80770063032615.64, \"uah\": 110389511241056.56, \"usd\": 2544580227370.546, \"vef\": 254788818166.61276, \"vnd\": 6.701406486803069e+16, \"xag\": 33484105766.166744, \"xau\": 535837704.27968943, \"xdr\": 1769633408285.3008, \"xlm\": 16511789695071.67, \"xrp\": 1886077834004.962, \"yfi\": 989345608.2202185, \"zar\": 41777070847783.266}, \"total_volume\": {\"aed\": 316288320861.4869, \"ars\": 118843762657900.02, \"aud\": 121901523599.81819, \"bch\": 195143670.13431063, \"bdt\": 10564907083975.29, \"bhd\": 32494975487.892452, \"bits\": 1183012584270.8489, \"bmd\": 86123436585.83714, \"bnb\": 142019298.56916982, \"brl\": 431043493940.28564, \"btc\": 1183012.584270849, \"cad\": 119224979437.60362, \"chf\": 67993333579.84281, \"clp\": 76894745385920.67, \"cny\": 588050825008.096, \"czk\": 1790368449121.0164, \"dkk\": 548856049017.8815, \"dot\": 66872638103.98533, \"eos\": 1081510067616.1177, \"eth\": 38540146.55074758, \"eur\": 73443396893.86775, \"gbp\": 63999014714.42826, \"gel\": 231672044415.9018, \"hkd\": 674514449168.4473, \"huf\": 27576724394785.043, \"idr\": 1471789244846346.2, \"ils\": 261293339195.23474, \"inr\": 8017273687370.436, \"jpy\": 13717310362209.21, \"krw\": 127885261554076.94, \"kwd\": 26595089464.579674, \"link\": 9553408719.278908, \"lkr\": 27139113644311.344, \"ltc\": 1577033723.9485912, \"mmk\": 180842853377306.6, \"mxn\": 1490056025746.203, \"myr\": 341479426062.84424, \"ngn\": 117013785954169.81, \"nok\": 820317121136.4403, \"nzd\": 147560106814.96353, \"php\": 5156770122978.751, \"pkr\": 23985884872937.75, \"pln\": 312438861616.40967, \"rub\": 6634818991443.029, \"sar\": 323271381346.73975, \"sats\": 118301258427084.89, \"sek\": 798532197852.0527, \"sgd\": 109704033523.03937, \"sol\": 1022532717.3016348, \"thb\": 2774921241357.9165, \"try\": 3846703295106.416, \"twd\": 2733730037984.2056, \"uah\": 3736224925765.0337, \"usd\": 86123436585.83714, \"vef\": 8623539705.339872, \"vnd\": 2268146825924606.5, \"xag\": 1133297440.798665, \"xau\": 18135873.27624558, \"xdr\": 59894716220.49361, \"xlm\": 558855271068.2926, \"xrp\": 63835874768.520424, \"yfi\": 33485225.906623635, \"zar\": 1413979749272.4692}, \"upcoming_icos\": 0, \"updated_at\": 1775886842, \"volume_change_percentage_24h_usd\": -9.698764186140103}}"
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134724",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.604680+00:00",
      "id": 134723,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.inputs",
      "payload": {
        "preview": {
          "args": [
            "\"https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil\""
          ],
          "kwargs": {
            "headers": "{\"Accept-Language\": \"en-US,en;q=0.8,ru;q=0.6\"}",
            "runtime": "{\"_autotrade_cadence\": {\"bucket_key\": \"1h:1775887200\", \"gate_name\": \"autotrade:binance:BTC/USDT:1h\", \"same_candle_skip\": true}, \"app\": \"\u003cfastapi.applications.FastAPI object at 0x7f034454c650\u003e\", \"ccxt_factory\": \"\u003cfunction _build_ccxt_factory.\u003clocals\u003e._factory at 0x7f02cf6accc0\u003e\", \"chat_runtime\": \"\u003cservices.chat.runtime.ChatRuntime object at 0x7f033fb4b1a0\u003e\", \"chroma\": \"\u003ccore.storage.chroma.ChromaStore object at 0x7f0363935c10\u003e\", \"chroma_mode\": \"chroma\", \"exchange\": \"binance\", \"last_decision_bundle\": {\"analysis_candle_bucket\": \"1h:1775883600\", \"analysis_candle_bucket_iso\": \"1h:2026-04-11T05:00:00+00:00\", \"ok\": true, \"payload\": {\"action\": \"unknown\", \"agents\": {\"compliance\": {\"confidence\": 0.0, \"constraints\": {}, \"decision_override\": null, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; ComplianceAgent used compliance_snapshot fallback.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trading_allowed\": true, \"violations\": []}, \"execution\": {\"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"entry_type\": null, \"execution_style\": null, \"explanation\": \"ExecutionAgent assessed entry timing and execution style.\", \"max_slippage_bps\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"market_liquidity\", \"ref\": \"artifact://132968\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Liquidity evidence used to decide passive/aggressive entry\"}, {\"kind\": \"market_snapshot\", \"ref\": \"artifact://132979\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Market snapshot used for execution context\"}], \"signal\": {}, \"slices\": null}, \"macro\": {\"action\": \"hold\", \"bias\": \"neutral\", \"confidence\": 0.5145780335429768, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"LLM returned invalid output; MacroAgent used macro_snapshot structural signals fallback.\", \"macro_score\": null, \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [\"quality.llm_invalid_output\", \"macro.structural_fallback\"], \"refs_used\": [], \"regime\": \"neutral\", \"signal\": {\"macro_regime\": \"neutral\", \"macro_structural_factors\": [\"crypto_macro_score\", \"usd_strong_crypto_headwind\", \"equity_risk_off\"], \"macro_structural_score\": -0.08777869122491708}}, \"meta_decision\": {\"action\": \"paper_only\", \"confidence\": 0.2, \"constraints\": {}, \"edge_score\": 0.1742, \"entry_quality_score\": 0.42, \"execution_vote\": \"allow\", \"expected_value_score\": 0.1428, \"explanation\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"final_summary\": \"Meta decision derived from strategy/risk/execution/trend/price consistency.\", \"mode\": \"degraded\", \"price_asymmetry_score\": 0.35, \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reason_codes\": [\"ml_trust_low\"], \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [], \"risk_vote\": \"allow\", \"should_trade\": false, \"signal\": {\"calibration_score\": null, \"drift_detected\": false, \"health_state\": \"unknown\", \"ml_trust\": 0.0, \"synthetic_price\": true, \"trend_direction\": \"flat\"}, \"size_multiplier\": 0.0, \"skip_reason\": \"ml_trust_low\", \"trend_alignment_score\": 0.4}, \"ml_judge\": {\"accepted_refs\": [], \"agreement_score\": null, \"confidence\": null, \"constraints\": {}, \"explanation\": \"MLJudgeAgent assessed prediction trustworthiness and model agreement.\", \"horizon_fit\": null, \"mode\": \"llm_error\", \"raw_refs\": {}, \"reasons\": [], \"refs_used\": [{\"kind\": \"ml_judgement\", \"ref\": \"artifact://133147\", \"title\": \"None\", \"why\": \"Judgement artifact used as trust source\"}], \"rejected_refs\": [], \"signal\": {}, \"trust_score\": null, \"usable\": null}, \"onchain\": {\"bearish_signals\": [\"mempool_quiet:1_sat/vB \u2014 Bitcoin mempool nearly empty, low activity\"], \"bias\": \"bullish\", \"bullish_signals\": [\"cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk)\", \"fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal\"], \"confidence\": 0.6656, \"constraints\": {}, \"data_quality\": \"live\", \"derivatives_signal\": \"neutral\", \"exchange_flow_signal\": \"neutral\", \"explanation\": \"On-chain signals lean BULLISH (score: +0.228). Bullish factors: cross_exchange_funding_negative:-0.0000 \u2014 shorts overextended cross-exchange (squeeze risk); fear_greed_extreme_fear:15/100 \u2014 extreme panic, contrarian buy signal. Beari\u2026",
            "trace_id": "\"e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745\""
          }
        }
      },
      "ref": "artifact://134723",
      "store": "postgres",
      "trace_id": "e8df7ed4dbff44059146b16069152745"
    },
    {
      "created_at": "2026-04-11T06:00:45.598294+00:00",
      "id": 134722,
      "kind": "tools.macro_v3.http.fetch_text.outputs",
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